EIR should identify and describe the 2018 State Air Resources Board's regional greenhouse gas emission reduction targets and also address where and how customized and in-house land use inputs may project higher economic activity and population and housing grow th. The effects of such in terms of its direct, indirect, and cumulative impact to the environment must be analyzed in accordance with CEQA. Furthermore, the EIR must identify and address in a meaningful manner how competing land use assumptions can be reconciled with the California Air Resource Board and address what impact that may have on the 2018 regional target.
5. The proposed Plan is legally required to accommodate the forecasted growth in population, employment, households, and housing units for the region, using the most recent planning assumption s. SAN DAG must also apply this legal constraint to the EIR alternatives in order to allow for an
11 apples-to -apples" comparison of the proposed Plan and the EIR alternatives and to provide a reasonable range of feasible alternatives that could accommodate the forecasted growth. The term
11 feasible" is defined to mean "capable of being accomplished in a successful manner within a reasonable period of time, taking into account economic, environmental, legal, social, and technological factors." (CEQA Guidelines §15364.) On this basis, each of the EIR alternatives is constrained by the same planning assumptions as the proposed Plan, which must maintain the same regional growth forecasts - population, employment, households, and housing units based on the most recent planning assumptions, and maintain the same forecast of reasonably available revenues for Plan implementation.
6. It is anticipated that the proposed Plan would seek to reduce per capita vehicle miles traveled (VMT), increase accessibility by mode share of bicycle, pedestrian, and transit travel, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. City staff recommends using local screening criteria and significance thre sholds as appropriate . When there is a local impact, city staff also recommends maximizing mitigation benefits locally by prioritizing community specific mitigation including the establishment of local programs or methods to reduce VMT and support appropriate bicycle, pedestrian, and transit infrastructure in the areas that bear the impact, with a preference to proximity.
7. It is city staff's understanding that a program -level EIR will be prepared to support the proposed Plan, which will set a framework for future environmental analysis and other factor s that apply to the program as a whole . The EIR must consider the activities associated with the proposed Plan to determine the short-term and long-term effects associated with their implementation (including associated past, present, and reasonably foreseeable future projects). In doing so, the EIR should identify how individual specific environmental analysis of each project will be performed, and by what agency has any permit authority or other approval power over any aspect of the propo sed project prior to each project being implemented .
Should you have any questions, please contact me at [email protected] or 442-339-2712.
Sincerely,
ERIC LARDY
City Planner
Attachment G
1 2
9 3
4 , ·
SA NDAG 13
Population = Fewer Births, Stable Migration,
More Deaths
Births, Deaths, and Net Migration, San Diego County
60.000 50,028
50,000 ...... __________ 37,217
40,000
:--- -- --- -------------- -- ---- -_ .:32 -;:6
Births
10,000 400
0 ---'1--- -1--------1,- ~ ---e___- - ~~-- ~ -=-~~------~~---- = - =- -=- =- =-=-=-=-=-...-~ -10,000 Net Migration
-26,659
-40,000
------------ Deaths
---------------------
-50,000 -40, 138
-60,000
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
SANDAG 14
10 5
I
6 Population Projection Summary
Population
4,000,000
3,800,000
3,600,000
3,400,000
3,200,000
3,000,000
2,800,000
2,600,000
2,400,000
1990 2000 2010 2020
Series 14
___________ °i>oF (Vintage 2020)
,,----------------------- l
I ,.--:,: ----- 3.3t:::i~lion 2060 ♦ ,._.. ----0------- O 3,26 million c::::= ---------- --- ------<> Series 15
2022 3.3::i~lion ------
1 3-29 million California Economic Forecast
2030 2040 2050 2060
SA NDAG I 5
The Region Will Continue to Grow More Diverse
1%
2060 38% 34%
2022 43% 34%
■ White ■ Hispanic ■ Asian ■ Multi-Race ■ Black Other
SANDAG 16
11