Notice of Draft Submission to FEMA and CalOES – Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2022

CPMS
Agenda Item B.4

CONSENT CALENDAR
Meeting Date: March 1, 2022
TO: Mayor and Councilmembers
FROM: Jaime A. Valdez, Neighborhood Services Director
CONTACT: Michael Baris, Emergency Services Coordinator
SUBJECT: Notice of Draft Submission to FEMA and CalOES – Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 2022
RECOMMENDATION:

Receive an update on the progress and next steps regarding the 2022 update to the Goleta Hazard Mitigation Plan.

BACKGROUND:

All city jurisdictions are required to have an updated Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) filed with the California Office of Emergency Services (CalOES) and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). HMPs are updated every five ( 5) years to stay in compliance with state and federal standards and are important for securing grant funding for local projects and receiving financial reimbursement in the event of a disaster. The current Goleta HMP is set to expire in September of this year (Attachment 1).

The City of Goleta’s HMP is an annex to the wider Multi -Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan that is managed by the County of Santa Barbara. The County has been leading the effort in updating this multi -jurisdictional plan alongside a contractor, Wood PLC. S taff have been participating in the update process since May of 2021.

The full Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan draft was received by staff on January 27, 2022, and staff now have all the resources to begin the editing and writing process of the Goleta annex. Staff have received feedback regarding the Goleta plan from other City departments and outside agencies, including Wood PLC, Santa Barbara County Fire, Santa Barbara County Sheriff, and Santa Barbara County Office of Emergency Management. Public feedback has been received via County -led Virtual Town Hall meetings that City staff both shared with Goleta community members and attended. One final public meeting will be held in early March.

On February 17th, 2022, the Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness Committee met and received an update on the progress of the Goleta HMP update. The Committee 1 Meeting Date: March 1, 2022

Page 2 of 3 ends

concurred with staff’s recommendation and approach. The Committee further recommended that the plan be adopted via resolution once final documentation is complete in August of 2022.

DISCUSSION:

There are three last steps needed to complete the editing process. Staff will attend the final County-led Virtual Town Hall meeting in late February, coordinate changes to the plan with other Goleta departments , and submit the new Goleta draft alongside the County to FEMA and CalOES on March 25 th. The state and federal agencies will then review the submitted draft , then Goleta will receive approval documentation needed to complete formal adoption in August via resolution.

Staff want to inform the Council and community members that March 25th is the “point of no return” for the plan. The approval documentation received from CalOES, and FEMA will be for the submitted draft exactly as written, and any editing after their review will render the approval documentation null and void. The plan submitted in March will need to be the same that is adopted in August.

As staff from both Goleta and other jurisdictions are currently working on the HMP update, no attachment of the 2022 update can be added to this staff report. Santa Barbara County Office of Emergency Management will be making the 2022 update to the HMP public by March 14, 2022 at the latest, and the best location to find this 2022 draft will be at the following link:

 https://readysbc.org/2021/03/19/2022mjhmpupdate/

FISCAL IMPACTS:

There are no direct fiscal impacts associated with the submission of the HMP. Failing to comply with HMP standards can result in the loss of grant funding opportunities for mitigation projects, and the potential loss of reimbursement dollars following a disaster.

ALTERNATIVES:

No feasible alternatives exist at this time . However, Council could choose to hold submission of the HMP and file a Goleta-only document. A new Goleta-only HMP process will need to begin immediately to meet all the requirements for FEMA and CalOES , and all steps of this process will need to be completed by August 2022 to avo id the plan expiration the following month . A Goleta-only HMP will have no added benefit and in almost all cases would be considered weaker than a multi-jurisdictional document during consideration for grant opportunities. Therefore, staff does not recommend a Goleta-only HMP that could result in a loss of potential grant opportunities for the City.

2 Meeting Date: March 1, 2022

Page 3 of 3 ends

Reviewed By: Legal Review By: Approved By:

___________________ ___________________ _________________ Kristine Schmidt Megan Garibaldi Michelle Greene
Assistant City Manager City Attorney City Manager

ATTACHMENT:

1. 2017 Goleta Annex to the Santa Barbara County Multi -Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan
3 ATTACHMENT 1

2017 Goleta Annex to the Santa Barbara County
Multi-Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan
4 Santa Barbara County Multi-Jurisdictional
H
azard Mitigation Plan

C
ity of Goleta Annex

Prepared By:

C
ity of Goleta
Neighborhood Services & Public Safety Department

July 2017
5 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 1 Co
ntents

CITY OF GOLETA

1. Introduction 3
2 . Plan Purpose and Authority 5

3. Planning Process 5
i. Overview 5
ii. Mitigation Advisory Committee 7

iii. City Local Planning Team 10
iv. Public Outreach/Involvement 12

4. Capability Assessment 20
i. Key Departments 20
ii. Administrative and Technical Capacity 23
iii. Legal and Regulatory Capabilities 26
iv. Fiscal Resources 27
v. Relevant Plans, Policies, and Ordinances 28

1. City of Goleta Economic Development Strategic Plan 28

2. City of Goleta Emergency Operations Plan/Threat Analysis 28

3. City of Goleta Municipal Codes for Flood Risk 30

4. NFIP Repetitive Loss Properties 31

5. City of Goleta Stormwater Management Plan 31

6. Capital Improvement Plan 32

7. City of Goleta General Plan/Coastal Land Use Plan 32

8. Incorporation of HMP into City Plans 32
5 . Hazard Assessment 33
i. Overview 33

ii. Mitigation Advisory Committee Hazard Assessment 33 iii. Local Planning Team Hazard Assessment 36
iv. Flood and Coastal Storm Surge 37

1. Climate Change Consideration 42

v. Wildfire 43
vi. Earthquake 47

1. Tsunami 56
6 . Vulnerability Assessment 58
i. Flood Vulnerability 61
6 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 2 ii. Wildfire Vulnerability 62

iii. Earthquake Vulnerability 63
iv.. Tsunami Vulnerability 65

7. Mitigation Strategy 66
i. Mitigation Priorities 66
ii. Mitigation Progress 67
iii. Mitigation Approach 68
iv. Implementation Plan 71
v. Climate Change Induced Mitigation Actions 81

8. Plan Maintenance 82
i. Point of Contact 82

9. City of Goleta Appendices 83
i. Goleta Meeting Documentation 83
ii. Goleta Outreach Materials 87
iii. References 87

7 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 3 C

ITY OF GOLETA

1. INTRODUCTION

This Annex was prepared as part of a 2016-2017 update to the Santa Barbara County Multi- H
azard Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan. The City of Goleta participated in the County wide Mitigation Advisory Committee, reviewed all portions of the previous hazard mitigation plan pertaining to the City, and incorporated relevant components into this annex.

This annex serves as a complete hazard mitigation planning tool for the City of Goleta. It contains updated capability assessment information, vulnerability assessment, and an updated/revised mitigation strategy. The methodology and process for developing this annex is explained throughout the following sections.

The City of Goleta is mostly suburban residential with a population of approximately 30,000 people and is part high-tech entrepreneurial business area. The city is located in the commercial and industrial heart of the County and has in recent years drawn many high technology companies to the area. The City is now home to approximately 80 research and development firms in the hi-tech field including those that specialize in electronics, telecommunications, medical research, national security and remote sensing manufacturing that contribute significantly to the local economy. The City is also a regional shopping hub with several “big box” retailers not found elsewhere in the south coast area.

The City is located about eight miles west of the City of Santa Barbara, with a swath of unincorporated urban area between the two cities, and is adjacent to the Santa Barbara Airport and the University of California at Santa Barbara (UCSB). Located along the coast, the town has

7.9 square miles of land area, comprising a total of 5,075 acres. Goleta is in an excellent position, as it develops its policies and governance through planning and regulatory development, to institutionalize mitigation into its government operations.

8 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 4

T
his page intentionally left blank to be replaced by the 2017 resolution adopting this annex. 9 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 5

2. PLAN PURPOSE AND AUTHORITY

A
uthority to create this Plan is derived from the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (Public Law 93-288), as amended by the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 (DMA 2000). The requirements and procedures for mitigation plans are found in the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) at Title 44, Chapter 1, Part 201 and the associated Interim Final Rule changes.

The federal law and associated rule changes and regulations establish planning and funding criteria for states and local communities.

Enhance Public Awareness and Understanding – to help residents of the City better understand the natural hazards that threaten safety and welfare; economic vitality; and the operational capability of critical infrastructure;
Create a Decision Tool for Management – to provide information that managers and leaders of local government, business and industry, community associations, and other key institutions and organizations need to take action to address vulnerabilities to future disasters; Promote Compliance with State and Federal Program Requirements – to ensure that the City of Goleta can take full advantage of state and federal grant programs, policies, and regulations that encourage or mandate that local governments develop comprehensive hazard mitigation plans;
Enhance Local Policies for Hazard Mitigation Capability – to provide the policy basis for mitigation actions that should be promulgated by participating jurisdictions to create a more disaster-resistant future; and
Provide Inter-Jurisdictional Coordination of Mitigation-Related Programming – to ensure that proposals for mitigation initiatives are reviewed and coordinated among the participating jurisdictions within the County.

Achieve
Regulatory Compliance – To qualify for certain forms of federal aid for pre- and post- disaster funding, local jurisdictions must comply with the federal DMA 2000 and its implementing regulations (44 CFR Section 201.6). DMA 2000 intends for hazard mitigation plans to remain relevant and current. Therefore, Local plans (including the City of Goleta’s) are updated every five years. This means that the Hazard Mitigation Plan for Santa Barbara County and the City of Goleta uses a “five-year planning horizon”. It is designed to carry the County and its participating jurisdictions, including the City of Goleta, through the next five years, after which its assumptions, goals, and objectives will be revisited and the Plan resubmitted for approval. Section 7 details specific goals and objectives with regard to implementing mitigation activities over the life of this Plan. In Section 8, the City of Goleta has outlined a more aggressive approach to ensuring the Plan is implemented, evaluated, monitored and updated.

3. PLANNING PROCESS

i. Overview
Th
e planning process implemented for updating the Santa Barbara County Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) utilized two (2) different planning teams. The first team is the Mitigation Advisory Committee (MAC) and the second is the Local Planning team. All eight (8) incorporated cities (including the City of Goleta,) joined the County of Santa Barbara in the 10 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 6 preparation of this Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan. Each of the participating j
urisdictions had representation on the MAC and was responsible for the administration of their own Local Planning Team.

The planning process followed the concepts and principles outlined in the Comprehensive Preparedness Guide (CPG) 101. Both the MAC and the Local Planning teams focused on these underlining philosophies:

Focus on the mitigation strategy: The mitigation strategy is the plan’s primary purpose. All other sections contribute to and inform the mitigation strategy and specific hazard mitigation actions.

Process is as important as the plan itself: In mitigation planning, as with most other planning efforts, the plan is only as good as the process and people involved in its development. The plan should also serve as the written record, or documentation, of the planning process.

This is the community’s plan: To have value; the plan must represent the current needs and values of the community and be useful for local officials and stakeholders. Develop the mitigation plan in a way that best serves your community’s purpose and people.

Intent is as important as Compliance: Plan reviews will focus on whether the mitigation plan meets the intent of the law and regulation; and ultimately that the plan will make the community safer from hazards.

The planning process for the Santa Barbara County Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) incorporated the following steps:

Plan Preparation:
− Form/Validate planning team members
- Establishing common project goals
- Setting expectations and timelines

Plan Development
− Validate and revise the existing conditions/situation within planning area; the Capabilities Assessment and Hazard Assessment Sections in the HMP
− Develop and review the risk to hazards (exposure and vulnerability) within the planning area; the Vulnerability Assessment Section in the HMP
− Review and identify mitigation actions and projects within the planning area; the Mitigation Strategy in the HMP

Finalize the Plan
- Review and revise the plan
- Approve the plan
- Adopt and disseminate the plan

Throughout this process, and though other standard practices, opportunities for public involvement was offered and encouraged. More details about public engagement are provided under Section 3.4.

The MAC team was guided through the planning process; and as material was shared and decisions were made, it was the MAC team’s responsibility to bring these findings back to their 11 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 7 Local Planning Team. Below is a summary of the collaborative planning process of the MAC a
nd Local Planning team.

During the 2017 update of the HMP, the MAC reviewed several other plans, utilized the information p
rovided, and cross referenced where applicable; including:

• 2011 Santa Barbara County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan • 2013 Santa Barbara County Emergency Management Plan
• 2009 Santa Barbara County Comprehensive Plan-Safety Element • 2016 Santa Barbara County Operational Area THIRA
• 2013 California Enhanced Hazard Mitigation Plan
• 2015 Ventura County Hazard Mitigation Plan
• 2014 San Luis County LHMP

ii. Mitigation Advisory Committee (MAC)

The Mitigation Advisory Committee (MAC) is a standing committee that works together t
hroughout the year to discuss and provide input on a variety of activities. The MAC provides an opportunity for neighboring communities to be part of the planning process. This includes local and regional agencies involved in hazard mitigation, including floodplain administrators and special districts. The MAC is led by Santa Barbara County Office of Emergency Management a
nd has representation from all of the local jurisdictions, as well as County Departments and CalOES.

The MAC was utilized for the updating of the Santa Barbara County Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan. To assist with this effort Santa Barbara County Office of Emergency Management hired a consultant to support and assist each jurisdiction with their Local Hazard Mitigation Plan; contained as an annex in the Santa Barbara County Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan.

12 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 8 Table 3.1 Members of the 2017 Mitigation Advisory Committee N
ame Organization MA C Member
Status
Michael Dyer Santa Barbara County – Emergency Manager New Member Shannon
McCrone
Santa Barbara County – Emergency Services Planner New Member Robert Troy Santa Barbara County – Deputy Director Emergency Management
New Member
Tylor Headrick Santa Barbara County- GIS/Emergency Services Planner New Member Rob Hazard Santa Barbara County Fire – Battalion Chief New Member Rudy Martel Santa Barbara County Agricultural Commissioner New Member Joyce Tromp Santa Barbara County Flood Control New Member Jon Frye Santa Barbara County Flood Control New Member
Jan Koegle Santa Barbara County Health Returning Member Marc
Bierdzinski
City of Buellton – City Manager/Planning Director Returning Member Mimi Audelo City of Carpinteria – Program Manager New Member Claudia Dato City of Goleta – Senior Project Manager (Public Safety) Returning Member Gary Hoving City of Guadalupe – Public Safety Director New Member Kurt Latipow City of Lompoc – Fire Chief New Member
Yolanda
McGlinchey
City of Santa Barbara – Emergency Services Manager Returning Member Roy Dugger City of Santa Maria – Emergency Preparedness Coordinator
Returning Member
Lisa Martin City of Solvang New Member
Yvette LaDuke Cal OES – Emergency Services Coordinator New Member Andrew Petrow Consultant New Member
The MAC meetings were arranged and scheduled to follow the planning process steps outlined in Section 3.1. Each meeting was designed to walk the MAC members through sections of the Santa Barbara County Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan and annexes. In addition to reviewing and validating material, the intent was to also educate MAC members on the planning process and purpose of each section. By taking this step it will help ensure that each MAC member could bring this knowledge back to their Local Planning Teams. The table below provides a list and the main purpose of each of the MAC meetings.

13 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 9 Table 3.2 Mitigation Advisory Committee (MAC) Meetings Summary Date Purpose
April 2015 Kick Off (in person)
• Reviewed and discussed the hazards in the Plan; including initial ranking. • Each jurisdiction was asked to review their previous goals and objectives with a local planning team.

December
2015
MAC Meeting (in person)
• Recap of previous MAC meeting
• Goal of the project
• Understanding of HMP update requirements
• Validation of team members
• Proposed Planning Process
• Review of Capabilities Assessment Section
January 2016 MAC Meeting (conference call)
• Recap of previous MAC meeting
• Review of Capabilities Assessment Section
• Discussion of public outreach efforts
• Preparation for next MAC meeting
February 2016 MAC Meeting (in person)
• Recap of previous MAC meeting
• Review of Hazard Assessment Section
• Presentation of Vulnerability Assessment results
• Discussion of public outreach efforts
• Preparation for next MAC meeting
March 2016 MAC Meeting (conference call)
• Recap of previous MAC meeting
• Review of Capabilities Assessment and Vulnerability Assessment Sections • Preparation for next MAC meeting
April 2016 MAC Meeting (in person)
• Recap of previous MAC meeting
• Initial discussion of mitigation projects and actions May 2016 MAC Meeting (conference call)
• Recap of previous MAC meeting
• Discussion of mitigation actions and projects
• Discussion of update process
• Preparation for next MAC meeting
June 2016 MAC Meeting (in person)
• Recap of previous MAC meeting
• Discussion of mitigation actions and projects
• Discussion of update process

14 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 10 iii. City of Goleta Local Planning Team

A
Local Planning Team was created to review and arrive at a consensus relating to the imple- mentation of the Goleta Annex of the Hazard Mitigation Plan. The team was created from key management and supervisory staff. Meetings of the Local Planning Team were conducted to re- view the existing Hazard Mitigation Plan, update the capabilities and hazard assessments, and discuss existing, recurring, or new mitigation strategies. This Annex was developed as a city- wide hazard mitigation plan focusing on collaboration to implement mitigation strategies throughout the City of Goleta, while maintaining accountability to identify and track specific mitigation actions.

Each of the following sections detail the methodologies for development and updates since the 2011 Plan. The Capability Assessment (Section 4) has been updated to reflect changes in city departments and organizational structure. As necessary, the discussions of local planning documents have been revised to reflect updates since 2011.

The Hazard Assessment, detailed in Section 5, presents the methodology in which the Local Planning team reviewed the previously identified hazards and discussed revisions to their prioritization. A profile for each hazard is included which summarizes the type of hazard, location and extent, history of past occurrences, and probability of future occurrences. The hazard identification and ranking documented in this section form the foundation for prioritizing mitigation actions.

The Local Planning team reviewed the previous Mitigation Strategy and reported on progress made in implementing the listed actions. In addition, based on updates to the hazard identification, profiles, vulnerability assessments, and the capability assessment new mitigation actions were identified. The progress report and new mitigation actions are presented in the updated Mitigation Strategy (Section 7).

The Local Planning team held regular meetings and continually worked on the Plan. The Local Planning team coordinated and consulted with other entities and stakeholders to identify and de- lineate natural hazards within the City to assess the risks and vulnerable property in identified hazard areas. From the start, every attempt was made to establish an open public process to pro- vide an opportunity for all sectors of the overall community to be involved in the planning pro- cess. Most of the public input was sought through social media outlets, such as Nextdoor, Face- book, City Gov Delivery email notifications seeking comments related to the plan, and the City’s website. There were also social media notices, press releases and website notices regarding loca- tions to review the Plan. The City’s social media followers have grown substantially over the past few years creating a successful platform for sharing information. The City also co-hosted a meeting at the Goleta Community Center to solicit public input on the Plan. In some cases direct public input was successful and in others the residents were represented in the process by their jurisdictions staff, by necessity.

Table 13.3 lists the City of Goleta Local Planning Team. These individuals collaborated to i
dentify the City’s critical facilities, provide relevant plans, report on progress of City mitigation actions and provide suggestions for new mitigation actions.

15 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 11 Table 3.3 City of Goleta Local Planning Team 2016
Name Title/Department Responsibility
Vyto Adomaitis Director of Neighborhood Services
&
Public Safety
Emergency Preparedness,
O
perations and Disaster Planning
Claudia Dato
Senior Project Manager
(
Neighborhood Services & Public
Safety Department)
Special Projects Management
Rosemarie
Gaglione Public Works Director Public Works, Engineering C
ity Engineer
Kathy Garcia Deputy Public Works Director Public Works, Engineering James Winslow Senior Project Engineer (Public
W
orks)
Public Works, Engineering
C
apital Projects
Teresa Lopes Senior Project Engineer (Public
W
orks)
Public Works, Engineering
C
apital Projects
Anne Wells
Advanced Planning Manager
(
Planning and Environmental
Review Department)
Planning/Zoning/Building
G
eneral Plan/Coastal Land Use
Plan
Dennis Loyst JDL Mapping Contract Mapping and GIS
Tim Giles City Attorney Legal Review

The City of Goleta Local Planning Team (LPT) met as needed during the planning process to d
iscuss data collection, identify mitigation projects that have been implemented or completed since the 2011 Plan Update, and to identify new projects needed for the coming five year period.

In addition, electronic communication was conducted with the LPT during the course of the Plan Update as needed. The draft Plan was also distributed to the LPT electronically for final review and comment before submitting to the County of Santa Barbara.

16 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 12 Table 3.4 City of Goleta Internal Collaboration Meetings Summary Meeting
Dates Summary of Discussions
2/3/2016 Discussion of critical facilities, status of 2011 mitigation projects and future mitigation m
easures.
2/9/2016 Discuss plans and other hazards assessment completed since 2011 (e.g. 2015 Coastal H
azards Vulnerability Assessment) and updating all the maps. 6/10/2016
6/15/2016
Discuss mapping and critical facilities updates.

iv. P ublic Outreach/Involvement
Th
ere were two different Public Outreach campaigns used during the Santa Barbara County Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan update process: the first informing the Community of HMP Update, and the second educating the Community of Hazards. The second campaign (educating of the Community of Hazards) is an ongoing campaign that was leveraged during the Santa Barbara County Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan update process.

In July 2015, Santa Barbara County Office of Emergency Management issued a press release (in Spanish and English) announcing the commencement of the hazard mitigation planning process.

This announcement invited the public to notify the County of their interest to participate in the planning process or submit comments. Also in July 2015, an online survey was distributed county-wide to solicit public input regarding the concern for risk to natural hazard events and suggestions for how local government could minimize the risk. The City of Goleta notified residents and businesses of the opportunity to participate in the survey through a press release and sending an email to past graduates and present enrollees of the City’s Community Emergency Response Team (CERT) training program. Survey results are summarized below.

In January 2016, the City issued another press release asking for public comments related to the update of this Plan. In response to the press release, the City did receive one detailed comment letter. Copies of the City’s outreach materials and the comment letter are included in Section

11.8 (Appendix) Attachment 2: Outreach Materials and Attachment 3: Comments.

Additionally, final drafts of the Santa Barbara County Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan, Goleta Annex were also made available to the public on the Aware and Prepare Website and additional comments were solicited through a public workshop held at the Goleta Community Center on July 15, 2016. Hard copies were made available to the public at the Goleta City Hall. Input from the public was presented to both the MAC and the Local Planning Team for consideration of incorporation into the HMP.

17 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 13 Ongoing Public Outreach

The City of Goleta utilizes several platforms to educate the public about hazards in the c
ommunity, relevant programs to safeguard and protect themselves from disaster, and actions they can take to prepare themselves for events. Below is a list of the different platforms used and a brief summary of the some of the programs:

• Aware and Prepare Website
• Social Media (Facebook, Twitter)
• Meetings/Workshops
• Public Service Announcements- radio and television
• Public Surveys
• Community Emergency Response Team Training (CERT) and CERT Graduate Newsletters
• Monthly Community Online Newsletter, The Monarch Press

S
urvey Results

Of the 220 people who responded to the survey Countywide, nearly 12% or 26 respondents said they live in the City of Goleta. The survey respondents identified wildfire, earthquake, the drought and climate change as the hazards of primary concern. Previously flooding and tsunami were significant concerns; drought and climate change did not make the prior list of hazards people were concerned about. With the prolonged drought affecting the region, the perceived hazards concerns have shifted as a result. Despite the survey responses, the City of Goleta’s Local Planning Team still deemed flooding as a significant planning consideration, especially given the high rain predictions in association with the strong El Nino system (although as of yet, significant rain totals have yet to materialize). The responses regarding hazard concerns will help the City improve messaging and outreach efforts regarding realistic risk of these hazards. The table below identifies survey responses to the question of what hazards are of most concern to your neighborhood or home:

H
azards of Most Concern
Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Earthquake 154 72%
Wildfire 147 69%
Drought 146 68%
Climate Change 59 28%
Flooding (including Coastal Surge) 48 22%
Agriculture (pests and disease) 38 18%
Tsunami 27 13%
Landslide/Coastal Erosion 23 11%
Dam Failure 11 5%
18 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 14 More than 70% of the survey respondents indicated they have made improvements to their property t
o reduce risk of damage. The majority of these respondents has implemented and/or maintain defensible space around their properties to reduce damage from wildfires. Others have retrofitted their roofs using fire resistant materials; have performed seismic retrofits; have strengthened openings; have installed fire sprinklers; or have installed backflow prevention devices. The results of the survey provide valuable information for the City of Goleta as it continues in its mitigation efforts.

These responses may be used as a bench mark for future measurements of improvement. For example, the City may choose to focus on educational outreach about what homeowners and renters can do to reduce future damage from natural hazards. After this type of implementation, a similar survey may be administered to validate the progress and confirm that more residents have implemented mitigation practices.

R
espondents were asked what they are doing to their property or within their home to reduce future damage from the hazards identified above. Below is a summary of responses:

Property Mitigation
Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Defensible space landscaping (clear vegetation around house to reduce wildfire risk) 85 71%
Roof retrofit using fire resistant materials 35 29%
Strengthened openings (Doors, windows, and/or garage door to reduce high-hazard wind risk) 29 24%
Seismic retrofit of the structure and/or foundation 21 18% Installed backflow prevention device(s) 17 14%
Installation of fire sprinklers 17 14%
Installation of fire hydrant or above ground water storage tank 9 8% House elevation or first floor modification to prevent flood damage 2 2%

Respondents were asked if a severe hazard event occurred today, such that all services were cut off from their home and they were unable to leave or access a store for 72 hours, which items they would have readily available. Below is a summary of responses from Goleta respondents:

Item that is Readily Available

Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Can Opener 189 94%
Flashlight (with batteries) 172 86%
First Aid Kit/Supplies 174 87%
Cooking and eating utensils 178 89%
Canned / Non-perishable Foods (ready to eat) 163 81%
Blanket(s)/ Sleeping Bag(s) 165 82%
19 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 15 Item that is Readily Available
Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Gas grill / Camping stove 138 69%
Extra Clothes and Shoes 151 75%
Extra Medications 122 61%
Portable AM/FM Radio (solar powered, hand crank, or batteries) 119 59% Potable Water (3 gallons per person) 127 63%
Telephone (with batteries) 110 55%
Cash 95 47%
Pet Supplies 97 48%
Important Family Photos/Documentation in a water and fire proof con- tainer 54 27%
Handheld "Walkie-Talkie" Radios (with batteries) 55 27% Gasoline 44 22%

Respondents were asked if they have a plan for evacuating large animals and pets. Below is a summary of responses:
• 72,
or 35% of respondents, answered that they have a plan for evacuating their pets (cats, dogs, etc).
• 5, or 2% of respondents, answered that they have a plan for evacuating large animals (horses, cows, etc).
• 27, or 13%% of respondents, answered that they have pets but have not planned for their evacuation.
• 3, or 1% of respondents, answered that they have large animals but have not planned for their evacuation.
• 99, o r 48% of respondents, answered that they have no large animals or pets.

R
espondents were asked if they are familiar with the special needs of their neighbors in the event of a disaster situation. Below is a summary of responses:
• 82, or 4 0% of respondents, indicated that they are familiar with the special needs of their neighbors.
• 123, or 6 0% of respondents, indicated that they are not familiar with the special needs of their neighbors.
• 24 respondents skipped this question.

R
espondents were asked if they are a trained member of their Community Emergency Response Team (CERT). Below is a summary of responses:
• 48, or 24 % o f respondents, indicated that they are part of CERT. • 81, or 4 1% of respondents, indicated that they are not a part of CERT, but would like to learn more about CERT.
• 70, or 3 5% of respondents, indicated that they are not interested in being a trained CERT.
• 30 respondents skipped this question.
20 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 16

R
espondents were asked what the most important thing local government can do to help communities be more prepared for a disaster. Below is a summary of responses:

Things Local Government can do to help prepare
Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Disseminate effective emergency notifications and communication 160 82% Community outreach regarding emergency preparedness 129 66% Make a plan to use volunteer residents to help in a disaster 106 54% Provide training and education to residents and business owners on how they can reduce future damage 109 56%
Being aware of special needs and vulnerable populations 96 49% Skipped Question 33 14%

Respondents were asked if they live in an apartment building or home with a living space above a garage or parking area.
• 163, or 8 1.5% of respondents, indicated that they do not live in an apartment or home with living space above a garage or parking area.
• 37, or 1 8.5% of respondents, indicated that they do live in an apartment building or home with living space above a garage or parking area.
• 29 respondents skipped this question.

T
hose respondents who indicated that they do live in an apartment building or home with living space above the garage or parking area were asked to describe their level of concern for the building to collapse in a large earthquake event:

• 7 respondents or 4% indicated that they are “Extremely Concerned” • 13 respondents or 7% have a “High Concern”
• 29 respondents or 15% have a “Moderate Concern”
• 22 respondents or 12% indicated that they have “Little Concern” • 15 respondents or 8% indicated that they have “No Concern, I feel safe in my home” • 102 respondents or 54% indicated the questions was not applicable and 41 respondents or 1 8% skipped this question

R
espondents who are homeowners were asked if they have adequate homeowners insurance to cover the hazards that could impact their home. Below is a summary of responses:

21 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 17 Answer
Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Yes, my insurance coverage should be adequate 93 48%
No, I don't believe my insurance coverage would be adequate for a major disaster 20 10% Unsure 22 11%
I do not have an insurance policy 4 2%
Not applicable, I rent my current residence 55 28%
Skipped Question 35 15%

Respondents who are renters were asked if they have renter’s insurance. Below is a summary of responses:

Answer

Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Yes 32 16%
No 32 16%
Not applicable, I own my residence. 130 67%
Skipped Question 35 15%

Respondents were asked if they have earthquake insurance. Below is a summary of responses:

Answer

Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Yes, I own my home and have earthquake insurance. 43 23% Yes, I rent my home and have earthquake insurance. 9 5% No, but I am interested in reviewing earthquake insurance options. (http://www.earthquakeauthority.com) 26 14%
No, earthquake insurance is too expensive. 89 47%
No, I do not need earthquake insurance. 22 12%
Skipped Question 40 17%

Respondents were asked if they have flood insurance. Below is a summary of responses:

Answer
Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Yes, I own my home and have flood insurance. 27 15%
22 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 18 Answer
Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Yes, I rent my home and have flood insurance. 7 4%
No, but I am interested in reviewing flood insurance options. (http://www.floodsmart.gov/floodsmart/) 25 14%
No, I do not need flood insurance 126 68%
Skipped Question 44 19%

Respondents were asked if they work in Santa Barbara County:
• 161, or 8 3% of respondents, indicated that they do work in Santa Barbara County. • 33, or 17%% o f respondents, indicated that they do not work in Santa Barbara County. • 35, or 15% of the respondents, skipped this question.

R
espondents were asked if their place of work is in an area susceptible to natural hazards. Below is a list of natural hazards and responses from survey respondents:

Natural Hazard
Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Earthquake fault zone 64 39%
High-risk flood zone 19 12%
Landslide Risk Area 12 7%
Wildland urban interface (wildfire risk area) 43 26%
Liquefaction zone 13 8%
Sea level rise area 20 12%
I don’t know 75 46%
Skipped Question 66 28%

Respondents were asked: Does your employer have a workforce communication plan to implement following a disaster so they may contact you?

• 111, or 6 4% of respondents, indicated that their employer does have a workforce communication plan to implement following a disaster.
• 20, or 1 1% of respondents, indicated that their employer does have a workforce communication plan to implement following a disaster.
• 43, or 25% of respondents, were u nsure if their employer has a workforce communication plan to implement following a disaster.
• 55 respondents skipped this question.

R
espondents were asked what recommendations they have for Santa Barbara County and the incorporated cities to improve identification, prioritization, and implementation of actions intended to reduce future damage and increase resiliency. The following recommendations were received:

23 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 19 Recommendations for Santa Barbara County
Number of
Responses
Percentage of
Respondents
Provide training and materials on how residents can be prepared for the identified risks 128 76%
Perform outreach to ensure people are aware of their environment and the inherent risks 123 73%
Enforce/update building codes 91 54%
Skipped Question 60 26%

Respondents were asked to recommend any companies or local associations that should be involved in the Santa Barbara County hazard mitigation planning process. The following contacts were given:
• Forest Service
• Direct Relief International
• Goleta Community Center
• Encina Royale
• Community Awareness and Emergency Response (CAER)

R
espondents were asked if they would like to review and comment on a draft of their jurisdictions annex to the Multi-Jurisdictional Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan. • 71, or 3 8% of respondents said they would like to review and comment on the draft plan.
• 117, or 6 2% of respondents said they would not like to review and comment on the plan draft.
• 41, or 18% of respondents skipped this question.

T
he City of Goleta received one detailed comment letter in response to the City’s press releases soliciting public comments. The comments in this letter are summarized below:

• In response to the question how would you prioritize the hazards facing the City:

P
riorities should be determined by doing a Pareto analysis, looking at the risk (life or property) and then prioritizing based on a mathematical product of the probability of incidence with the average cost of a loss.
• In response to the question of what actions can the City take to reduce future damages:

H
ave volunteers help monitor and maintain clear creeks; provide keys to gates when necessary and official Goleta City vests so it's obvious this is an authorized access; and have the Fire Department respond to creek flooding if they can blast an obstruction free with their hose.
• In response to the question of how can local government officials better communicate r
isk to the public or information during an emergency event: Ensure adequate emergency backup for the cell phone system; set up a network of volunteers to respond to assist with neighborhood emergencies when Fire and Ambulance services are overloaded; provide umbrella insurance for situations not covered by Good Samaritan law (medical care is covered, but not rescue services -- People have been found liable when a rescue created more injury, as in the case where a girl was extracted from a car by someone thinking it was on fire (it was actually the airbag talc power) and further injured the victim). • In response to the question of what measures have you taken to protect your property f
rom hazards: Installed French drains for improved lot drainage; checked nearby creek for obstructions; laser checked elevation of house slab relative to street drains. 24 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 20 • In response to the question of what measures have you taken to prepare your family for a
n emergency: I have purchased emergency food kit; have stored 5 gallons of water in dark area; have stocked propane canisters for cooking; keep emergency camping gear and tools in my car; used a 1000 watt inverter off my car during electrical outages to keep my freezer at proper temperature; and removed any AC power surge arresters that lack thermal protection that didn't exist before 1995 IEEE standard. • In response to the question of have you participated in Community Emergency Response T
eam (CERT) training and if not, would you like more information on the CERT Program: I went to Goleta Community Center for CERT training on a Saturday shown as an event in The Independent, but nobody was there and no cancellation notice was posted; I would like more (accurate) notices.

4. CAPABILITY ASSESSMENT

T
he City identified current capabilities and mechanisms available for implementing hazard mitigation activities. This section presents a discussion of the roles of key departments, administrative and technical capacity, fiscal resources, and summaries of relevant planning mechanisms, codes, and ordinances.
i. K ey Departments
The following is a summary of existing departments in Goleta and their responsibilities related to h
azard mitigation planning and implementation, as well as existing planning documents and regulations related to mitigation efforts within the community. Specific resources reviewed include those involving technical personnel such as planners/engineers with knowledge of land development and land management practices, engineers trained in construction practices related to building and infrastructure, planners and engineers with an understanding of natural, floodplain managers, surveyors, personnel with GIS skills and scientists familiar with hazards in the community. The organizational chart below presents the structure of the City’s government:

25 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 21 C
ity Organizational Chart

Goleta City Council
− Provides vision, adopts policies and regulations, and approves funding requests/budgets over all aspects of City government
Goleta City Manager’s Office (Office of Emergency Services) – Provides the leadership and supervision that, in turn, implements the policies and decisions of the Goleta City Council, thereby ensuring the delivery of services to the community. – City Manager serves as OEM Director. As noted above, Goleta is a newer city still in the process of developing plans and programs including emergency response/management plans.

The City Neighborhood Services and Public Safety Department is responsible for emergency preparedness and EOC operations and will be responsible for the implementation of emergency management programs for the City. Currently Police and Fire Services are contracted through the County. The Director of Neighborhood Services and Public Safety oversees the law enforcement (Sheriff’s) and animal control contracts, and acts as the City’s liaison to the County Fire District, and also serves as the Assistant Director of Emergency Services and Assistant OEM Director.
– Various staff within the City Manager’s Office, Public Works Department and Neighborhood Services and Public Safety Department prepare grant applications for the City.

26 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 22 City of Goleta Finance Department
The Finance Department will have a role in the implementation of the actions identified in this plan:

Provides services associated with cost tracking and financial management of Grant Funded and other capital improvement projects.

Assures all aspects of City financing, funding, and expenditures are within legal, prescribed guidelines and regulations. The Department tracks and audits expenditures.

City of Goleta Planning and Environmental Review Department (includes Building Inspection and GIS)
– The Department is responsible for updating the City’s General Plan and Coastal Land Use Plan.
– Guides the physical development of the City through the implementation of the General Plan/Coastal Land Use Plan and Building Codes and is committed to enhancing the quality of life in the community by planning for sound infrastructure and public services, protecting the environment, and promoting high quality social and economic growth. – Enforces the Goleta Zoning Ordinances and Municipal Code (brush removal, building regulations, fire prevention, flood management, development along watercourses, oil and petroleum wells).
– Implements and/or enforces programs, plans, ordinances, and policies of the City over a wide range of activities related to code enforcement.
– Regulates land uses and land development in accordance with plans, policies, and regulations adopted by the City Council. Enforces local, State, and federal requirements for land development, building construction, and specific uses. Recommends additions and revisions to existing ordinances, plans, and policies when necessary.

Public Works/Engineering/Parks and Open Space Maintenance – Enforces Floodplain Management Ordinance
– Oversee flood control and infrastructure development and improvement projects – Provides a variety of engineering services including the review and inspection of privately constructed public facilities, infrastructure, and subdivisions; design and inspection of publicly funded infrastructure improvements; management and monitoring of existing and projected traffic conditions throughout the City; preparation of the City’s long-term Capital Improvement Program. Engineering also provides fiscal management for the City’s Parks and Open Space Maintenance, Community Facility Districts, and Development Impact Fees (currently only transportation impact).
– Implements and enforces programs, plans, policies, and regulations over land development and redevelopment in order to assure adequate and maintainable infrastructure. – Public Works Department, Public Works Operations provides support in disaster emergencies.

27 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 23 City of Goleta Public Safety – Police Services
– Through a contract with the County, the Sheriff’s Department protects the community through the enforcement of laws and the analysis/reduction/ elimination of risks and, in times of emergency, provides for the orderly and rapid implementation of emergency plans. The Sheriff’s Department is a first responder in natural and manmade emergencies.

City of Goleta Public Safety - Fire Services
– Through a contract with the Santa Barbara County Fire Protection District, the Fire Department serves and safeguards the community through a professional, efficient and effective system of services, which protect life, environment, and property. – Implements programs, policies, and regulations over a wide range to reduce the loss of life, environment, and property. The Fire Department is a first responder in natural and manmade emergencies.
ii. Administrative and Technical Capacity
T
he administrative and technical capabilities of Gole ta, as shown in Table 11-3, provides an identification of the staff, personnel, and department resources available to implement the actions identified in the mitigation section of the Plan.
28 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 24

T
his page left intentionally blank

29 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 25 Table 13 - City of Goleta: Administrative and Technical Capacity Staff/Personnel Resources Y/N Department/Agency and
Position
A. Planner(s) or engineer(s) with knowledge of land devel- opment and land management practices Y
Planning & Environmental
Review/ All Staff
Public Works Dept./
City Engineer, Principal Civil
Engineer and CIP Manager,
Neighborhood Services, &
Public Safety Dept./Analysts
B. Engineer(s) or professional(s) trained in construction practices related to buildings and/or infrastructure Y
Public Works Dept./ City
Engineer, Principal Civil
Engineer and CIP Manager
Planning & Environmental
Review/Building Staff
C. Planners or Engineer(s) with an understanding of natural hazards Y
Public Works Dept./City
Engineer, Principal Civil
Engineer and CIP Manager
Planning & Environmental
Review/ Advanced Planning
Building Staff
D. Floodplain manager Y Public Works Dept./ City
Engineer
E. Surveyors Y Contract Services
F. Staff with education or expertise to assess the communi- ty’s vulnerability to hazards Y
Public Works Dept./ City
Engineer, Principal Civil
Engineer and CIP Manager
Planning & Environmental
Review/ Advanced Planning and
Building Staff
Neighborhood Services and
Public Safety Dept./ Director
G. Personnel skilled in GIS Y Planning & Environmental Review/General Plan Manager
H. Scientists familiar with the hazards of the community N I. Emergency manager Y
City Manager and,
Neighborhood Services and
Public Safety Director
30 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 26 Staff/Personnel Resources Y/N Department/Agency and
Position
J. Grant writers Y
City Manager’s Office/Admin.

Asst. and Management Asst.

Public Works Dept./ Project
Manager
Neighborhood Services and
Public Safety Dept./
Management Analyst

iii. Legal and Regulatory Capabilities
The legal and regulatory capabilities of Goleta are shown in Table 11-4, which presents the existing o
rdinances and codes that affect the physical or built environment of Goleta. Examples of legal and/or regulatory capabilities can include: the City’s building codes, zoning ordinances, subdivision ordinances, special purpose ordinances, growth management ordinances, site plan review, General Plans, Coastal Land Use Plans, capital improvement plans, economic development plans, emergency response plans, and real estate disclosure requirements.

Table 11-4
C
ity of Goleta: Legal and Regulatory Capability
Regulatory Tools (ordinances, codes, plans) Local
Authority
(Y/N)
Does State
Prohibit?
(Y/N)
A. Building code Y N
B. Zoning ordinance Y N
C. Subdivision ordinance or regulations Y N
D. Special purpose ordinances (floodplain management, storm water manage- ment, hillside or steep slope ordinances, wildfire ordinances, hazard setback requirements)
Y N
E. Growth management ordinances (also called “smart growth” or anti-sprawl programs) N N
F. Site plan review requirements Y N
G. General Plan Y N
H. Coastal Land Use Plan N* N
I. A capital improvements plan Y N
31 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 27 Regulatory Tools (ordinances, codes, plans) Local
Authority
(Y/N)
Does State
Prohibit?
(Y/N)
J. An economic development plan Y N
K. An emergency response plan (Fire, O/G Facilities) Y N L. A post-disaster recovery plan N N
M. A post-disaster recovery ordinance N N
N. Real estate disclosure requirements (floodplain, airport/noise, contaminated sites) Y N
* California Coastal Commission has authority

iv. Fiscal Resources

T
able 11-5 shows specific financial and budgetary tools available to Goleta such as community development block grants; capital improvements project funding; authority to levy taxes for specific purposes; impact fees for homebuyers or developers for new development; ability to incur debt through general obligations bonds and others.

The Fiscal Year 2015-2016 General Fund budget included over $36.8 million for General Government, A
dministrative Services, Public Safety Planning and Environmental Services and Community Services.

The General Fund balance is an important element that can show Goleta’s financial strength.

Table 11-5
City of Goleta: Fiscal Capability
Financial Resources Accessible or Eligible to Use
A. Community Development Block Grants (CDBG) Yes
B. Capital improvements project funding Yes - With Council approval C. Authority to levy taxes for specific purposes Yes - With 2/3 voter approval D. Fees for water, sewer, gas, or electric service No – Provided by Special Districts E. Impact fees for homebuyers or developers for new develop- ments/homes Yes
F. Incur debt through general obligation bonds Yes - With 2/3 voter approval G. Incur debt through special tax and revenue bonds Yes - With 2/3 voter approval H. Redevelopment funding Yes – With Agency approval
I. Other – Other Grants Yes
32 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 28 v. R elevant Plans, Policies, and Ordinances
It is important to note that during the LPT update planning process the following plans, programs, c
odes, and policies were evaluated to determine their effectiveness in risk education and reduction efforts, as well as, its usefulness to implement mitigation measures. Any shortfalls or areas where the plans, programs, codes, and policies could be improved or expanded were identified and captured under annual review, the annual planning process and Mitigation Actions chapter of this plan. If no mitigation actions were identified, then it can be assumed that the LPT determined that no shortfalls or areas for improvement are needed.

1. City of Goleta Economic Development Strategic Plan
Goleta’s Economic Development Strategic Plan (“EDSP”) seeks to accomplish two primary goals:
j
ob creation and job retention. It attempts to leverage local strengths and capitalize on local opportunities. Its goals are to create a diverse employment base and a balanced approach to economic development; to establish a plan to increase tourism; to improve access to financial capital and human resources; to establish the City of Goleta as a green tech and sustainable community; to increase and expand local partnerships; to continue to improve and enhance the City’s permitting process; and to focus economic development on Old Town and update the Old Town Revitalization Plan. The Plan also guides decisions related to land use and economic development and outlines strategies to retain, enhance and expand the City’s business base.

Amongst the many themes within the General Plan, Protecting Health and Safety is most relevant toward striving to maintain the environments necessary to minimize health and safety hazards -- including hazardous materials, flooding, geological hazards, and excessive noise. Similar to the Strategic Plan, the Economic Development Plan acknowledges the need to re-invest in order to revitalize Old Town. Its goal is to secure funding to complete the San Jose Creek Flood Control Channel, since the existing infrastructure inhibits economic development efforts. Moreover, it justifies such an investment by proposing that the additional loan, insurance costs, and requirements create a difficult re-investment environment. The Economic Plan also emphasizes the need to work with the County Flood Control District to explore additional funding options to create improvements to the San Jose Flood Control Channel and other similar projects.

In summary, by providing an economic perspective on the need to reduce areas susceptible to hazards – such as floods - greater impetus may be delivered for the funding of such mitigation projects. This would result in a more attractive economic environment, which would in turn result in the revitalization of Old Town. Some of the mitigation actions proposed in this Hazard Mitigation Plan are directed at removing the commercial and industrial areas of Old Town from the flood zones which will assist property owners in getting funding for property improvements.

2 . City of Goleta Emergency Operations Plan and Threat Analysis

T
he City of Goleta recognizes that the planning process must address each hazard that threatens the city. There are three broad categories of hazards: natural, technological or man-made and national security. The section of the Goleta NIMS-SEMS Emergency Operations Plan consists of a series of threat assessments, which individually or jointly could require evacuation and/or sheltering of the population. They are:

33 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 29 Major Earthquake. W ithin the larger jurisdictional area of Santa Barbara County - which includes the City of Goleta- there are numerous faults that are located both on- and off-shore. The economic impact on the City would be considerable in terms of loss of employment and loss of tax base.

Expected ramifications include long-term homelessness, significant disruptions to business and local commerce, and reduced government resources. Damages are expected along Highway U.S. 101, State Route-154, Highway 150, Santa Barbara airport, local railroads and harbor facilities, and other critical facilities and utilities.

When notified of a short term earthquake prediction, the area at risk is responsible to inform all cities within the County. (A notification procedure is listed in the EOP). Resources would then be concentrated to this area. Agencies would inspect and prepare those facilities and systems which are essential to conduct emergency operations, advice and provide guidance to the public on precautions, and take any other precautions necessary.

Hazardous Material. The increasing volume and variety of hazardous materials that are generated, stored, or transported within Santa Barbara County is a problem of great concern to public officials and the community. The threat of a major hazardous material incident in Santa Barbara County exists from four different sources. These are commercial vehicle, rail and air transportation, pipeline, fixed facility, and clandestine dumping. With regards to emergency response actions, the authority is vested in the Santa Barbara County Certified Unified Program Agency, CUPA, which is the agency responsible for the development and implementation of the Santa Barbara County Hazardous Materials Emergency Response Plan. The Santa Barbara County Area Plan includes information on agency responsibilities, evacuation procedures, cleanup funding, emergency medical resources, as well as an inventory on supplies and communications equipment.

Flooding. The Goleta Valley is subject to flooding from overflow of local streams, which along with their respective evacuation routes are identified through flood maps. Although there are nine major dams in Santa Barbara County with known populations in their inundation areas, the City of Goleta did not identify dam failure as a major threat to its population.

T
ransportation. The document also includes threats involving highways, railroads and air incidents.

Highway U.S. 101 and the Union Pacific Railroad are identified as areas at risk. Aircraft crash situations are given special attention due to the high volume of air traffic occurring in the highly populated area near Santa Barbara Airport.

Wildfire. Annually, the County experiences fires that often burn "out of control" and can damage the watershed and structures. County, city fire departments and federal agencies have developed emergency response actions associated with wildfire disasters. Copies of these plans are on file in the City of Goleta’s Emergency Operating Center.

Terrorism. Due to the fact that a terrorist attack is generally sudden and without any prior warning, there are no stages of Emergency Readiness. A copy of the Santa Barbara County Terrorism plan is under development and will be located in each County Department and in the Office of Emergency Services.

Landslide. Santa Barbara County landslides have occurred most often on those slopes that are underlain by rocks of the Monterey and Rincon formations. Emergency response actions associated with the above situations are presented in the Standard Operating Procedures. Response procedures for landslides are found in the Urban Search and Rescue (USAR) document.

34 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 30 Tsunami. To prepare for a possible tsunami, the City adopted the T sunami Ready program developed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The City is also developing Standard Operating Procedures (SOP’s) for each critical department to use in time of emergency.

3. C ity of Goleta Municipal Codes for Flood Risk
The City of Goleta participates in the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). In an effort to m
inimize the risk of flooding, the City of Goleta has alerted property owners that the Flood Plain Management Ordinance applies to their property. Its intent is to avoid exposing new development to flood hazards. As part of this strategy, the Flood Hazard Overlay Map is developed, which reflects the boundaries of special flood hazard areas as shown on the current Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) maps on file with the office of the City Clerk. All potential development projects located within floodplains must follow an established development review process. Developments involving drainage ditches or watercourses in floodplains must receive Federal, State and Local review and permits as required by the Goleta Municipal Code. Whether or not any proposed development is subject to the provisions of Chapter 15.10, Floodplain Management, of the Goleta Municipal Code, is determined by the City’s Planning and Environmental Review Director.

An excerpt of Chapter 15.10 Floodplain Management is included below. Through implementation and enforcement of Chapter 15.10, the City will continue to comply with NFIP requirements. The Planning Director will annually monitor NFIP requirements to determine if revisions are needed to the City’s ordinance as a result of any changes.

GMC 15.10.020 Findings of Fact. This municipal code acknowledges flood hazard areas and the potential impact on the City of Goleta. It states the potential losses include loss of life and property, health and safety hazards, disruption of commerce and governmental services, extraordinary public expenditures for flood protection and relief, and impairment of the tax base. It also acknowledges that flood losses are caused by the cumulative effect of obstructions in areas of special flood hazards which increase flood heights and velocities.

GMC 15.10.030 Statement of Purpose. This refers to the purpose of Chapter 15, which is to promote the public health, safety, general welfare, and to minimize public and private losses due to flood conditions in specific areas by provisions designed: to protect human life and health; to minimize publicly-funded expenditures; to help maintain a stable tax base with minimal interruption to business; and to inform buyers of flood hazard areas.

GMC 15.10.040 Methods of Reducing Flood Losses. This section includes provisions for: restricting uses dangerous to health, safety, and property due to water or erosion hazards, which may result in increases in erosion or flood heights or velocities; requiring that uses vulnerable to floods are protected against flood damage; controlling the alteration of natural floodplains, stream channels, and natural protective barriers which help accommodate or channel flood waters; controlling filling, grading and dredging which may increase flood damage; and preventing or regulating the construction of flood barriers which will unnaturally divert flood water or which may increase flood hazards in other areas.

GMC 15.10.070 Basis for Establishing the Areas of Special Flood Hazard. This section states that all areas of special flood hazard identified by the Federal Insurance Administration of the Federal Emergency Management Agency in the Flood Insurance Study dated September 1978 and the Flood 35 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 31 Insurance Rate Map (FIRM), dated March 15, 1979, and all subsequent amendments and/or r
evisions, are adopted.

GMC 15.10.220 Coastal High Hazard Areas. Requirements for new construction along coastal high hazard areas are listed in this section. Primarily, it states that all new developments and substantial improvements within these areas be elevated on adequately anchored pilings or columns, with the lowest horizontal structural member being at or above the base flood level. Furthermore, it requires that new construction be located landward of the reach of mean high tide; excavation of sand dunes is not permitted; and structural support cannot be defined by fill. The floodplain administrator would obtain and maintain structure certification with section 15.10.220.A.

GMC 15.10.160 Standards of Construction. This section provides details on the structural requirements in order to minimize flooding. They include standards for anchoring and elevations as adopted by the jurisdiction, the Federal Insurance Administration, and the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

4 . National Flood Insurance Program Repetitive Loss Properties

R
epetitive loss properties are defined as property that is insured under the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) that has filed two or more claims in excess of $1,000 each within any consecutive 10-year period since 1978. Currently, there are 27 repetitive loss structures in Santa Barbara County’s unincorporated areas. Twenty six (26) of the 27 are located in the South Coast Flood Zone.

There are no repetitive loss properties within the City of Goleta.

5. C
ity of Goleta Stormwater Management Plan

I
n the State of California, the State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) and the various Regional Water Resource Control Boards (RWRCBs) implement mandates of the Federal Clean Water Act and the National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permit program.

During one of their studies, the SWRCB determined that urban runoff is a leading cause of pollution through the state and a contributor to pollutants of concern (POC), such as nutrients, pathogens, hydrocarbons, metals, trash and pesticides to waterways. In compliance with various federal and state requirements, the City as a municipality and operator of a separate stormwater system (MS4) has prepared the Stormwater Management Plan (SWMP) to guard against the detrimental effects on human health and the surrounding ecosystems.

The City’s SWMP was approved by the Central Coast Regional Water Quality Control Board (CCRWQCB) (Water Board) on February 4, 2010. The goal of the SWMP for the City of Goleta is to reduce the discharge of storm water pollutants into water bodies and to protect and improve water quality within the city.

Because several programs and Best Management Practices (BMPs) have not been fully implemented, adequate data is not always available to make strong determinations about the effectiveness of the programs. Many of the effectiveness assessments made are preliminary and somewhat inchoate, but they provide a general idea of the status, appropriateness, and effectiveness of the measures and identify areas where modifications are needed thus far. In addition, the effectiveness of the City’s Storm Water Management Program is difficult to judge given that the success of many of the measures by definition cannot be directly measured in terms of water quality.

36 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 32 In summary, though these new standards reflect the compliance of water quality standards by the C
ity of Goleta, its effects are also translated into a reduction of flood risk. This is evidenced through stormwater drainage maintenance and repair, public outreach efforts on pollution and overall stormwater events, and the development of new pre- and post- construction regulations.

Alongside pollution prevention controls and good housekeeping, it is expected that not only would residents be better protected from contaminated waters, but it would also establish the best management practices that would minimize the risk of flooding.

Several of the storm drainage improvements envisioned in the Storm Water Manager Program are included as Mitigation Action Measures in this Hazard Mitigation Plan.

6 . Capital Improvement Program
The City of Goleta’s Capital Improvement Program (CIP) is used as an important organization and m
anagement tool to help establish priorities for City Capital Projects over a 5-year term. All of the Hazard Mitigation Plan’s mitigation action projects are incorporated into the City’s CIP so timing of implementation and funding can be established. Some of these projects are discussed below.

With regards to the flood hazard mitigation projects, the San Jose Creek Flood Control Project would, when completed, increase the channel from a 25 year to a 100 year storm event. The entire channel would be reconstructed and the Hollister Avenue Bridge would be replaced. At this point, only the Hollister Avenue bridge replacement remains to be done, so this project is included in this Hazard Mitigation Plan as a mitigation action for the coming 5-year period.

Another flood mitigation project is the replacement of the San Pedro Creek culvert. This would be redesigned for a storm event greater than the existing 10 year storm event design; under this scenario and present conditions, extensive flooding occurs on Vega Drive, Valdez Avenue and Carlo Drive.

Similarly, the Hollister Avenue Bridge over San Jose Creek would be redesigned to satisfy a 100 year storm flow capacity. In all, the flood mitigation projects total approximately $30 million and would reduce the risk of impacts and losses within Old Town Goleta and other areas of the City.

7. City of Goleta Safety Element in the Goleta General Plan/Coastal Land Use Plan T
he Safety Element’s primary objectives are to avoid siting of development or land use activities in hazardous areas, and if required, apply appropriate mitigation measures to lessen or minimize exposure to hazards. Additional significant Safety Element objectives include:
• Attaining a high level of emergency preparedness to limit damage and risks to public safety from natural and industrial hazards and to have effective and efficient emergency recovery procedures in place to minimize social, environmental, and economic disruption following an emergency.
• Minimizing the potential for loss of life, property, economic and social disruption resulting from earthquakes or seismically induced hazards through the adoption of updated California Building Code requirements, and requiring geotechnical studies for new construction where appropriate.

The proposed mitigation actions detailed in this Plan are consistent with the objectives of the City’s Safety Element and are intended to minimize or avoid the potential for loss of life and property.

37 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 33

8. Incorporation of Hazard Mitigation Plan into City Plans

A
fter FEMA approval and City Council adoption, the 2011 Hazard Mitigation Plan was prepared and integrated into existing City Plans, including the General Plan, and specifically the Safety Element.

The 2011 HMP was also integrated into the City’s Capital Improvement Plan and Emergency Operations Plan. The 2011 HMP and the current update will be used for guidance in development of any hazard-related technical plans, such as the Community Wildfire Protection Plan which identifies the need for development of Fire Station 10. Development of Fire Station 10 is included in the Hazard Mitigation Plan and Mitigation Action #2011-5 and is currently in progress. Where proposed mitigation actions consisting of capital projects are not currently in the City’s Capital Improvement Program (CIP), the Neighborhood Services & Public Safety Director works with the Public Works Director to add these projects to the City’s CIP. This requires approval by the City Council.

5. H
azard Assessment

i. Overview

The purpose of this section is to review, update, and/or validate the identified and profiled h
azards in 2016 Santa Barbara County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP). The intent is to confirm the list of hazards facing the county and determine if the current information and material is accurate. The importance of this is to ensure that all hazards are being considered and decisions are based on the most up-to-date information. Another purpose of this section is to screen the hazards. It will provide an understanding of the significance by ranking hazards by their priority in the community.

To assist with this effort two groups were utilized: the Mitigation Advisory Committee (MAC) and t
he Santa Barbara County Local Planning Team. The MAC group assessed information as it related to their jurisdiction, while the Local Planning Team assessed information at the county-level. As part of process both groups leveraged other planning efforts and documents, including the State of Cali- fornia Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan, the Santa Barbara County Comprehensive Plan Seismic Safety and Safety Element, and the Santa Barbara County 2016 HMP.

i
i. Mitigation Advisory Committee Hazard Assessment
Utilizing the information and material from the State of California Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan, the C
ity of Goleta General Plan Safety Element, and the Santa Barbara County 2011 HMP, Goleta Annex; the Local Planning Team reviewed and revised 1) the list of hazards in the geographic area; 2) the information and material presented for each hazard; and 3) the prioritization of the hazards.

The following sections provide a summary of the work.

38 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 34 Relevant Hazards in the City of Goleta

H
azard Screening/Prioritization

The intent of screening hazards is to help prioritize which hazard creates the greatest concern in the community. A summary of the process and the results of the hazard ranking for the 2016 HMP Update are discussed below:

Ranking Tool Design
The ranking tool prioritizes hazards on two (2) separate factors:
• P
robability of the hazard affecting the community
• Potential impacts of the hazard on the community

To further assist with the process; the following definition of “High”, “Medium”, and “Low” probability and impacts were utilized:

City of Goleta Hazards
Earthquake
Liquefaction
Expansive Soils/Land Subsidence
Wildfire
Flooding/Sea Level Rise
Droughts and Water Shortage
Severe Weather and Storms
Energy Shortage and Energy Resilience
Oil Spill
Epidemic/Pandemic/Vector Borne Disease
Hazardous Material Release
Radiological Incident
Terrorism
Cyber Threat
Aircraft Crash
Train Accident; Explosion and/or Chemical Release
Natural Gas Pipeline/Storage
Civil Disturbance
39 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 35 Probability
High- Highly Likely/Likely
Medium- Possible
Low- Unlikely

Impact
High- Catastrophic/Critical: Major loss of function, downtime, and/or evacuations Medium- Limited: Some loss of function, downtime, and/or evacuations Low- Negligible: Minimal loss of function, downtime, and/or evacuations

B
ased on the revised list of hazards and utilizing the alternative approach, the MAC and Local Planning Team screened the hazards. The results of the assessment are in the below table. The shading of the matrix boxes indicates the priority level: red = tier 1; green = tier 2; and gray = tier 3.

Hazard Screening and Ranking

Rank
High
Impact
Medium
Impact
Low
Impact
High
Probability
• Drought/Water Shortage
• Energy Shortage
• Flooding
• Sea Level Rise/Coastal
Flooding
• Oil Spill
• Severe Weather
• Wildfire
• Agricultural Pests/Disease
• Train Accident
Medium
Probability
• Earthquake • HazMat Release
• Terrorism
• Commercial/Military Air-
craft Crash
• Cyber Threat

Rank
High
Impact
Medium
Impact
Low
Impact
Low
Probability
• Radiological Acci-
dent
• Civil Disturbance
• Marine Invasive Species
• Natural Gas Pipe-
line/Shortage
• Well Stimula-
tion/Hydraulic Fracking

• Dam Failure
• Tsunami

40 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 36 iii. Local Planning Team Hazard Assessment
The City of Goleta’s Local Planning Team (LPT) reviewed the hazard ranking worksheet developed b
y the County MAC. The ranking information was modified by the LPT based on the hazards that impact the City. After reviewing the County’s hazard ranking, the LPT for the City of Goleta removed the dam failure, landslide and coastal erosion, and agricultural (pests and diseases) hazards from planning consideration because those hazards do not affect the jurisdiction. The remaining hazards were ranked based on the planning consideration for them, and it was decided that flooding including coastal storm surge, wildfire and earthquakes all required significant planning consideration, while tsunami only requires limited planning consideration. The below tables provide the hazard ranking for the City of Goleta and the ranking worksheet for how the Local Planning Team calculated each specific hazard as impacting the City.

City of Goleta Hazard Ranking and Planning Consideration Hazard Type and Ranking Planning Consideration Based on Hazard Level Flooding (including coastal surge) Significant
Wildfire Significant
Earthquake Significant
Tsunami Limited

41 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 37 Based on these rankings, the City of Goleta’s Annex focuses on the most significant hazards facing t
he community: Flooding, Wildfire and Earthquakes.

iv. Flood and Coastal Storm Surge

A
flood is a general and temporary condition of partial or complete inundation on land that is normally dry. Several factors determine the severity of floods, including rainfall intensity and duration, antecedent moisture conditions, surface permeability, and geographic characteristics of the watershed such as shape and slope. Other causes can include a ruptured dam or levee, rapid ice or snow melting in the mountains, under-engineered infrastructure, or even a poorly placed beaver dam can overwhelm a river or channel and send water spreading over adjacent land or floodplains.

A large amount of rainfall in a short time can result in flash flood conditions, as can a dam failure or other sudden spill. The National Weather Service’s definition of a flash flood is a flood occurring in a watershed where the time of travel of the peak of flow from one end of the watershed to the other is less than six hours.

Another form of flooding occurs when coastal storms produce large ocean waves that sweep across coastlines making landfall. Storm surges inundate coastal areas, destroy dunes, and cause flooding. If a storm surge occurs at the same time as high tide, the water height will be even greater. The County historically has been vulnerable to storm surge inundation associated with tropical storms.

The geographical location, climate, and topography of Santa Barbara County make the area prone to flooding. In regions such as Santa Barbara, without extended periods of below-freezing temperatures, floods usually occur during the season of highest precipitations or during heavy rainfalls after long dry spells. Additionally, due to the Mediterranean climate and the variability of rainfall, stream flow throughout the County is highly variable and directly impacted from rainfall with little snowmelt or base flow from headwaters. Watercourses can experience a high amount of sedimentation during wet years and high amounts of vegetative growth during dry and moderate years.

The drainages in the southern part of the County are characterized by high intensity, short duration runoff events, due to the relatively short distance from the top of the Santa Ynez Mountains to the Pacific Ocean. Runoff from high intensity, short duration storm events can cause inundation of over bank areas, debris including sediment, rock, downed trees in the water that can plug culverts and bridges, erosion and sloughing of banks, and loss of channel capacity due to sedimentation. The drainages in the northern part of the County are contained in the upper mountain areas, but broaden out into level valley floors. The drainages in the northern part of the County are generally characterized by longer duration and less intense storms than the southern coastal areas.

Another contributing factor to flooding is the County’s location along the Pacific Ocean. With its 1 10 miles of coastline, the County is susceptible to storm surge events following storms off the coast. Additionally, portions of the County are subject to flooding due to flash flooding, urban flooding, river channel overflow, and downstream flooding.

History of Hazard

Flooding has been a major problem throughout Santa Barbara County’s history. Santa Barbara C
ounty has several hydrologic basins that have different types of flooding problems, including over bank riverine flooding, flash floods, tidal flooding/tsunamis, and dam failure. The most common flooding in Santa Barbara is due to riverine flooding and flash flood events. 42 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 38 Between 1862 and the 2014, Santa Barbara experienced 19 significant floods. Eight of these floods r
eceived Presidential Disaster Declarations. The below table lists the modern day floods, as well as information concerning the nature of the flooding and the extent of the damages.

Historical Records of Large Floods in Santa Barbara County Date Damages Source of Estimate Comments
1952 50+ homes inundated, large-
scale evacuations
EIR, 1993 Precipitation
Report
Extensive flooding in Old Town Go-
leta; Propagated the formation of the
Flood Control District
1980 Presidential Disaster
Declaration n/a Severe flooding, mudslides, and high
tides throughout County
1982-
1983
2 Presidential Disaster
Declarations n/a Parts of southern California received
over 200% of normal rainfall
1993
$1.4 million in disaster re-
covery funds received from
FEMA
1993 Precipitation Report
and Hydrology Methods
180%-209% or normal rainfall, with
highest-ever intensity for the County
recorded at Buellton Fire Station:
11/
4 inches in 15 minutes.

Jan
1995
$50 million, Presidential Dis-
aster Declaration 1995 Floods
Flooding on most major channels in
Goleta, Santa Barbara, Montecito, and
Carpinteria
March
1995
$30 million, Presidential Dis-
aster Declaration 1995 Floods
Major flooding in Goleta, Santa Bar-
bara, and Montecito, many of the same

structures flooded in January were
flooded again
1998 $15 million, Presidential Dis-
aster Declaration 1998 Flood Report

21.36” of rainfall that month in Santa
Barbara, many areas at 600% of nor-
mal February rainfall
Feb
2005 $2 million NCDC
In Santa Barbara county, flash flood-
ing and mudslides closed down High-
way 101 at Bates Road.

Janu-
ary
2011
Total Individual Assistance:
$1,909,557
Total Public Assistance:
$75,414,223
Presidential Disaster
Declaration
FEMA
Severe winter storms, flooding, and
debris and mudflows occurred from
December 17, 2010 to January 4, 2011

March
2011 $1.7 Million County Insurance Claims
A severe winter storm occurred in
March 2011 that included flooding,
debris and mudflows flows throughout
Santa Barbara County
March
2014 $500k Television Reports
A strong winter storm caused signifi-
cant damage to coastal properties on
the south coast of Santa Barbara
County. Coastal Damage; Goleta Pier
partially closed

43 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 39 While there is extensive detailed documentation of historical flood events in Santa Barbara C
ounty, the following section provides a summary of the more recent significant flood events:

1992 Flood- The 1992 – 1993 rainy season was one of the wettest recorded in Santa Barbara County, areas of the County received 180% to 209% normal rainfall. Following a 25-year storm event that occurred in late March, Santa Barbara was declared a federal disaster area with 12 creeks substantially damaged along with several detention basins and residences.

Santa Barbara County received approximately $1.4 million in disaster recovery funds from FEMA. (1993 Precipitation Report and Hydrology Methods) (Presidential Disaster Declaration)

January 1995 - Flooding occurred on most major channels in Goleta, Santa Barbara, Montecito, and Carpinteria. Approximately 510 structures were reported flooded and/or damaged along the South Coast, with a total cost resulting from public and private damages of approximately $50,000,000. All modes of transportation in and out of the South Coast were cut off for several hours; some modes of transportation were not restored for several days. (1995 Floods) (Presidential Disaster Declaration)

March 1995- During the March 10 th 1995 storm, major flooding occurred again in the areas o
f Goleta, Santa Barbara, and Montecito. More than 300 structures were reported flooded and/or damaged; many of the same structures flooded or damaged during the January 1995 storm event. Approximately 30 million dollars of public and private property were damaged during the storm. Once again, all modes of transportation in and out of the South Coast were cut off for several hours. (1995 Floods) (Presidential Disaster Declaration)

1998 Flood – February 1998 brought several record-breaking rainfalls with 50-year storm event intensities. The City of Santa Barbara recorded its wettest month in history, 21.36- inches of rainfall. By the end of the month, many areas in the County had received 600% of normal February rainfall. Flood related damages within Santa Barbara occurred during three major storm periods: February 1-4, February 6-9, and February 22-24. The cost to repair extensive flood damage to public and private property was estimated at $15 million. Just like in 1995, transportation throughout the County was disrupted through closures of roads, the Santa Barbara Airport, and train service. Flood damage was spread throughout the County and the County was declared a Federal Disaster Area on February 9. (Presidential Disaster Declaration)

2005 Flood– A powerful Pacific storm tapped into a subtropical moisture source to produce heavy rain and flash flooding across Southwestern California. Overall, rainfall totals ranged from 4 to 8 inches over coastal.

2011 Flood- Severe winter storms, flooding, and debris and mudflows occurred from December 17, 2010 to January 4, 2011. The counties affected include: Inyo, Kern, Kings, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Tulare.

March 2011 Flood- A severe winter storm occurred in March 2011 that included flooding, debris and mudflows throughout Santa Barbara County.

44 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 40 March 1, 2014- A strong winter storm caused significant damage to coastal properties on the south coast of Santa Barbara County

December 12, 2014 – A brief but intense rainfall, portions of which covered a limited area that exceeded a 200-year return period, caused damages county-wide, mostly in the form of downed trees, bank erosion and sediment and debris deposition.

T
he City of Goleta ranked the flooding and coastal storm surge hazard as being a significant risk to the City. The City of Goleta removed dam failure hazards from planning consideration because only minor flooding impacts are expected in relation to this hazard. The following pages include maps for Dam Inundation with Critical Facilities, Flood Hazard Areas with Critical Facilities, and Sea Level Rise with Critical Facilities.

Dam Inundation Areas with Critical Facilities

Probability of Occurrence
Th
e probability of flooding in the City of Goleta is shown in the below figure. The map shows the location of the special flood hazard zones in and around Goleta. The flood hazard zones depicted on the map are derived from FEMA’s Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRM) and indicate the probability of flooding happening over a given period of time. Flood zones are geographic areas that defined varying levels of flood risk. Each zone reflects the severity or type of flooding in the area. The FIRM boundaries are developed by FEMA to convey flood risk. 45 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 41 Flood Hazard Areas with Critical Facilities

T
he following below describes the different flood hazard zones and their associated probabilities.

46 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 42 C
limate Change Consideration
Climate change is both a present threat and a slow-onset disaster. It acts as an amplifier of existing h
azards. Extreme weather events have become more frequent over the past 40 to 50 years and this trend is projected to continue. Rising sea levels, changes in rainfall distribution and intensity are expected to have a significant impact on coastal communities, including portions of Goleta. This section presents a discussion of how climate change might impact the frequency, intensity and distribution of flood hazards.

One subset of flooding is related to coastal flooding and sea level rise. Sea level rise (SLR) is defined as the rising of the level of the sea as a result of the so-called greenhouse effect or global warming.

SLR can occur through one or more of three (3) processes that include eustasy, isostasy, or thermal expansion. Erosion is a natural process which alters existing geomorphic features. Erosion can occur due to a number of factors, including winter storms, tidal action, wind ‐generated high surf, wave ac
tion, and rising sea levels. The impacts from SLR and erosion will affect portions of the western Goleta coastline and areas south of Goleta around the Santa Barbara Airport. SLR coupled with increased frequency, severity, and duration of high tide and storm events related to climate change will result in more frequent and severe extreme events along the coast. These events could expose the coast to severe flooding and erosion, damage to coastal structures and real estate, and salinity intrusion into delta areas and coastal aquifers (Projecting Future Sea Level, A Report from the California Climate Change Center, 2006).

Typically, the highest sea level readings along California’s coastline occur during periods of heavy rain that coincide with high tides, causing coastal flooding, coastal bluff erosion, and landslides such as were experienced during the 1998 El Nino storms. Sea levels are already rising along the Santa Barbara County coastline as is evident in long term tidal gauge records since 1973.

Sea Level Rise with Critical Facilities

47 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 43 Probability of Future Occurrence
A
s discussed above, the potential impacts of global warming and climate change include increased opportunities for severe weather that may result in sea level rise and erosion. Santa Barbara County’s land mass includes more than 110 miles of coastline with varying geologic features including steep coastal bluffs, beaches, wetlands, bays, and deltas. It also supports varying levels of development and land use, including recreational, agricultural, industrial, commercial, and residential.

A growing consensus of scientists believes that sea level rise will continue and the rate of rise will increase. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) suggests that global SLR on the order of 0.2 m (0.66 ft.) and 0.6 m (1.97 ft.) is possible by 2100 with other scientists indicating this rise could be over 1 meter (3.28 ft.). The below map depicts areas (dark blue along and near the Goleta coastline that may be vulnerable to sea level rise.

vi. W
ildfire

W
ildfires can be classified as either a wildland fire or a wildland-urban interface (WUI) fire. The former involves situations where wildfire occurs in an area that is relatively undeveloped except for the possible existence of basic infrastructure such as roads and power lines. A WUI fire includes situations in which a wildfire enters an area that is developed with structures and other human developments. In WUI fires, the fire is fueled by both naturally occurring vegetation and the urban structural elements themselves. According to the National Fire Plan issued by the U.S. Departments of Agriculture and Interior, the wildland-urban interface is defined as “ …the line, area, or zone where structures and other human development meet or intermingle with undeveloped wildland or vegetative fuels.”

The WUI fire can be subdivided into three categories (NWUIFPP, 1998): The classic wildland-urban interface exists where well-defined urban and suburban development presses up against open expanses of wildland areas. The mixed wildland-urban interface is characterized by isolated homes, subdivisions, and small communities situated predominantly in wildland settings. The occluded wildland-urban interface exists where islands of wildland vegetation occur inside a largely urbanized area. Generally, the City of Goleta’s area of risk falls into the classic wildland-urban interface category.

Certain conditions must be present for a wildfire hazard to occur; a large source of fuel must be present, the weather must be conducive (generally hot, dry, and windy), and fire suppression sources Goleta
48 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 44 must not be able to easily suppress and control the fire. The cause of a majority of wildfires is h
uman-induced or lightning; however, once burning, wildfire behavior is based on three primary factors: fuel, topography, and weather. Fuel will affect the potential size and behavior of a wildfire depending on the amount present, its burning qualities (e.g. level of moisture), and its horizontal and vertical continuity. Topography affects the movement of air, and thus the fire, over the ground surface. The terrain can also change the speed at which the fire travels, and the ability of firefighters to reach and extinguish the fire. Weather as manifested in temperature, humidity and wind (both short and long term) affect the probability, severity, and duration of wildfires. The climate, topography, and vegetation in Santa Barbara County is conducive to wildfires.

Santa Barbara County Fire has synthesized data at a more local level to convey communities at risk.

To help protect people and their property from potential catastrophic wildfire, the National Fire Plan directs funding to be provided for projects designed to reduce the fire risks to communities. A fundamental step in achieving this goal was the identification of communities that are at high risk of damage from wildfire. These high risk communities identified within the WUI, were published in the Federal Register in 2001. At the request of Congress, the Federal Register notice only listed those communities neighboring federal lands. The list represents the collaborative work of the 50 states and five federal agencies using a standardized process, whereby states were asked to submit all communities within their borders that met the criteria of a structure at high risk from wildfire. The list of federally regulated (communities which adjoin federal lands) communities at risk within Santa Barbara County includes the City of Goleta.

The City of Goleta ranked the wildfire hazard as being a significant planning concern for the City.

For a complete listing of the wildfire profile, please refer to Section 5.4. Please refer to the below maps for City of Goleta specific information on the risk to wildfire.

Fire Threat Zones with Critical Facilities (Source: Goleta General Plan)

49 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 45 Wildland Urban Interface Zones (Source: Goleta General Plan)

F
ire Hazard Severity Zones (Source: Goleta General Plan)

50 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 46 History of Wildfire Hazard
Because Santa Barbara County is prone to wildfires, there is a long history of wildfires in the County.

H
owever, not all of these fires threatened the City of Goleta. Over the last ten years, Santa Barbara County experienced seven (7) major fires. Two of these fires (Gap and Jesusita) had the potential to impact the City of Goleta:

• The Gap Wildfire in 2008 charred 9,443 acres of forest in the Los Padres National Forest.

The fire was located in the Santa Ynez Mountains north of the community of Goleta. • The Jesusita Fire in 2009 burned over 8,700 acres in the hills above the City of Santa Barbara. This wildfire was driven by a combination of a large dead fuel bed and sundowner winds gusting over 60 miles per hour. The damage, as a result of this fire, was significant, with 80 homes destroyed and another 15 homes badly damaged. No deaths were reported, but at least 30 firefighters were injured battling the fire.

Probability of Future Occurrence

V
egetation and topography are the significant elements in the identification of the fire threat zones. A substantial amount of the vegetation in Santa Barbara is commonly called chaparral, it is a dense and scrubby bush that has evolved to persist in a fire-prone habitat. Chaparral plants will eventually age and die; however, they will not be replaced by new growth until a fire rejuvenates the area. Chamise, manzanita and ceanothus are all examples of chaparral which are quite common in Santa Barbara County and in the foothills above Goleta.

Santa Barbara County was subject to 29 major wildfires over 88 years, resulting in a 33% chance of occurrence in any given year. While the probability for the City of Goleta is likely lower due to the Pacific Ocean to the south and agricultural orchards to the north, the threat remains moderate. The map below shows the threat of fire to Santa Barbara County. Fire threat is a combination of two (2) factors: 1) fire frequency or the likelihood of a given area burning, and 2) potential fire behavior.

These two factors are combined to create four (4) threat classes ranging from Moderate to Extreme.

The City of Goleta falls predominantly in the category of Moderate, but portions of western Goleta are adjacent to High and Very High threat areas.

Fire Threat

Goleta
51 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 47 C
limate Change Considerations
Climate change plays a significant role in wildfire hazards. The changing conditions from wet to dry c
an create more fuel; the increased possibility of high winds increase risk and present a challenge, and drought conditions could hinder ability to contain fires. Large wildfires also have several indirect effects beyond those of a smaller, local fire. These may include air quality and health issues, road closures, business closures, and other forms of losses. Furthermore, large wildfires increase the threat of other disasters such as landslide and flooding.
vi.

Earthquake
The City of Goleta ranked the earthquake hazard as being a significant planning concern for the City.

A
n earthquake is caused by a release of strain within or along the edge of the Earth's tectonic plates producing ground motion and shaking, surface fault rupture, and secondary hazards, such as ground failure. The severity of the motion increases with the amount of energy released, decreases with distance from the causative fault or epicenter, and is amplified by soft soils. After just a few seconds, earthquakes can cause massive damage and extensive casualties.

The effect of an earthquake on the Earth's surface is called the intensity. The intensity scale consists of a series of certain key responses such as people awakening, movement of furniture, damage to chimneys, and total destruction. The scale currently used in the United States is the Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) Scale. It was developed in 1931 by the American seismologists Harry Wood and Frank Neumann. This scale is composed of 12 increasing levels of intensity designated by Roman numerals that range from imperceptible shaking to catastrophic destruction. It does not have a mathematical basis; instead it is an arbitrary ranking based on observed effects.

Most people are familiar with the Richter scale, a method of rating earthquakes based on strength using an indirect measure of released energy. The Richter scale is logarithmic. Each one-point increase corresponds to a 10-fold increase in the amplitude of the seismic shock waves and a 32-fold increase in energy released. For an example, an earthquake registering 7.0 on the Richter scale releases over 1,000 times more energy than an earthquake registering 5.0.

Richter Scale

Richter
Magnitudes Earthquake Effects
Less than

3.5 Generally not felt, but recorded.

3.5-5.4 Often felt, but rarely causes damage.

Under 6.0 Slight damage to well-designed buildings. Can cause major damage to poorly constructed buildings over small regions.

6.1-6.9 Can be destructive in areas up to about 100 kilometers across residential areas.

7.0-7.9 Can cause serious damage over larger areas.
8 or greater Can cause serious damage in areas several hundred kilometers across. 52 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 48 Peak ground acceleration (PGA) is a measure of the strength of ground shaking. Larger peak ground a
ccelerations result in greater damage to structures. PGA is used to depict the risk of damage from future earthquakes by showing earthquake ground motions that have a specified probability (10%, 5%, or 2%) of being exceeded in 50 years return period. These values are often used for reference in construction design, and in assessing relative hazards when making economic and safety decisions.

Liquefaction is the phenomenon that occurs when ground shaking causes loose, saturated soils to lose strength and act like viscous fluid. Liquefaction causes two types of ground failure: lateral spread and loss of bearing strength. Lateral spreads develop on gentle slopes and entail the sidelong movement of large masses of soil as an underlying layer liquefies. Loss of bearing strength occurs when the soil supporting structures liquefy, causing the structures to settle; resulting in potential damage.

As previously mentioned, Santa Barbara County is located in a high seismic activity zone in the Transverse Range geologic province. Movement of continental plates manifest primarily along the San Andreas Fault system. The San Andreas Fault is situated seven miles northeast of Santa Barbara County; active faults in the San Andreas Fault system that fall within Santa Barbara County include the Nacimiento, Ozena, Suey, and Little Pine faults. Other active faults in the region include the Big Pine, Mesa, Santa Ynez, Graveyard-Turkey Trap, More Ranch, Pacifico, Santa Ynez, and Santa Rose Island faults. The Santa Barbara County Comprehensive Plan Seismic Safety and Safety Element provides descriptions of all faults in Santa Barbara County. This list includes historically active, active, potentially active, and inactive faults, as well as their location and fault length. A map of faults in the Santa Barbara County region is located below.

Earthquake Faults in Santa Barbara County

Goleta
53 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 49 After earthquakes, some regions may be prone to liquefaction. On level ground, liquefaction results i
n water rising to the ground surface. On sloping ground, liquefaction will usually result in slope failure such as the event at the Sheffield Dam in the aftermath of the 1925 Santa Barbara earthquake.

Liquefaction risk is considered high if there are soft soils (Types D or E) present.

The National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) rates soils from hard to soft, and gives the soils ratings from Type A through Type E. The hardest soils are rated Type A, and the softest soils are rated Type E. The majority of the soils in Santa Barbara County are types A-C, with some areas having type D. There have been no Type E soils identified. Liquefaction risk is also determined by depth to groundwater. Most of the low coastal plan and valley bottoms are underlain by alluvium and given a moderate rating with respect to liquefaction potential. Those facilities in Goleta at risk for liquefaction are shown below.

History of Hazard in Santa Barbara County and Goleta
Santa Barbara County is located in a high seismic activity zone and as such has a long history of e
arthquakes. Although most seismic activity in California occurs along the San Andreas Fault system, most historic seismic events in the Santa Barbara region have been centered offshore on an east-west trending fault between Santa Barbara and the Channel Islands.

54 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 50 The following provides an overview of the most recent, significant event affecting Goleta:

I
n 1978, a swarm of small earthquakes, called micro-earthquakes occurred underneath the northeastern end of the Santa Barbara Channel. Toward the end of the micro-earthquake swarm, in July and early August of 1978, an unusually large amount of oil and tar was re- ported on local beaches in Santa Barbara. A common occurrence for the Santa Barbara area, the oil from these natural seeps was considered only a minor nuisance. On August 13, 1978, an earthquake occurred just to the southwest of the City of Santa Barbara, about 5 miles be- neath the Santa Barbara Channel. The earthquake ruptured to the northwest, focusing its en- ergy toward Goleta, the most intense ground motion occurring between Turnpike Road and Winchester Canyon Road. Sixty-five people were treated for injuries at local hospitals. No deaths were reported.

The below map displays historical epicenters of earthquakes located in the Santa Barbara County from 1568 to 2009. The dates of the more significant earthquake events are provided adjacent to the epicenters.

Significant Earthquakes 1568 to 2009

Goleta
55 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 51 Probability of Occurrence
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) and their partners, as part of the latest Uniform C
alifornia Earthquake Rupture Forecast Version 3 (UCERF3; 2015), have estimated the chances of having large earthquakes throughout California over the next 30 years. Statewide, the rate of earthquakes around Magnitude 6.7 (the size of the 1994 Northridge earthquake) has been estimated to be one per 6.3 years (more than 99% likelihood in the next 30 years); in southern California, the rate is one per 12 years (93% likelihood in the next 30 years). Southern California’s rates are given below.

Southern California Region Earthquake Likelihoods (UCERF3, 2015)

Magnitude (greater
than or equal to)
Average Repeat
Time (years)
30-year likelihood of
one or more events
5 0.24 100%
6 2.3 100%

6.7 12 93%
7 25 75%

7.5 87 36%
8 522 7%

The City of Goleta also ran probabilities for 500 year and 2000 year scenarios for various magnitude earthquakes. The strongest earthquake the City of Goleta could experience is 7.6 with only a 3% probability in 2000 years. The figures below show all the resulting earthquake probabilities for the area.
56 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 52

57 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 53

58 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 54

59 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 55

60 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 56

Tsunami
Another hazard related to earthquakes is a Tsunami. The City of Goleta ranked the tsunami hazard as b
eing a limited planning concern for the City, but it is worth mentioning as a subset of earthquake hazards. A tsunami is a series of long waves generated in the ocean by a sudden displacement of a large volume of water. Underwater earthquakes can cause this displacement. Tsunami waves travel at speeds averaging 450 to 600 miles per hour. As a tsunami nears the coastline, its speed diminishes, its wavelength decreases, and its height increases. Depending on the type of event that creates the tsunami, as well the remoteness of the event, the tsunami could reach land within a few minutes or after several hours. Low-lying areas could experience severe inland inundation of water and deposition of debris more than 3,000 feet inland.

The Cities of Santa Barbara and Carpinteria are located on or near several offshore geological faults, the more prominent faults being the Mesa Fault, the Santa Ynez Fault in the mountains, and the Santa Rosa Fault. There are other unnamed faults in the offshore area of the Channel Islands. These faults have been active in the past and can subject the entire area to seismic action at any time.

The relative threat for local tsunamis in the Santa Barbara area can be considered low due to low recurrence frequencies. Large, locally-generated tsunamis are estimated to occur once every 100 years. Thirteen possible tsunamis have been observed or recorded from local earthquakes between 1812 and 1988. These tsunami events were poorly documented and some are very questionable.

There is no doubt that earthquakes occurring along submarine faults off Santa Barbara could generate large destructive local tsunamis (http://www.drgeorgepc.com/Tsunami1812SantaBarbara.html).

Internet research provides some documentation that two tsunamis were generated from two major 61 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 57 earthquakes in the Santa Barbara region in December of 1812. The size of these tsunamis may never b
e known with certainty, but there are unconfirmed estimates of 15 feet waves at Gaviota, 30-35 feet waves at Santa Barbara, and waves of 15 feet or more at Ventura. These estimates are found in various literature and based on anecdotal history only.

Major faults of the San Andreas zone, although capable of strong earthquakes, cannot generate any significant tsunamis. Only earthquakes in the Transverse Ranges, specifically the seaward extensions in the Santa Barbara Channel and offshore area from Point Arguello, can generate local tsunamis of any significance. The reason for this may be that earthquakes occurring in these regions result in a significant vertical displacement of the crust along these faults. Such tectonic displacements are necessary for tsunami generation.

Two separate events, occurring in 1877 and 1896, are listed in NOAA’s online database as having heights of 1.8 and 2.5 feet waves. However, tsunami heights from historical records are estimated and should not be regarded as exact. Other recorded tsunamis affecting Santa Barbara during the 20th century are in the 0.1 – 1.0 foot range.

On February 27, 2010, a magnitude 8.8 earthquake occurred along the central coast of Chile and produced a tsunami. For the coast of Southern California, it was one of the largest tsunami episodes since 1964. In general, tsunami waves between 2 and 4 feet were reported. Tsunami waves of around 3 feet were reported by tide gauges across the Santa Barbara Channel. At Santa Barbara Pier, significant beach erosion was reported along with displacement of buoys. The tsunami surge lasted in excess of 20 hours. The most significant damage occurred along the coasts of Ventura and southern Santa Barbara counties. Numerous reports of dock damage were reported along with beach erosion.

On March 11, 2011, a magnitude 9.0 earthquake occurred off the Pacific coast of Tohoku, Japan.

This earthquake devastated many communities in Japan and caused tsunami effects across the ocean in Santa Barbara County. The only significant impact to Santa Barbara County was to the dredging contractor for the harbor. The City harbor operations documented approximately $1,500 of damages (Public Assistance). The dredging contractor may pursue SBA funding.

Probability of Occurrence

The University of Southern California (USC) Tsunami Research Group has modeled areas in Santa Barbara County that could potentially be inundated in the event of a tsunami. This model is based on potential earthquake sources and hypothetical extreme undersea, near-shore landslide sources. The data was mapped by Cal OES for the purpose of Tsunami Evacuation Planning. Extreme tsunami inundation areas were mapped and used to profile maximum potential exposure. The figure below shows tsunami inundation areas for the City of Goleta. Tsunami inundation maps help to assist cities and counties in identifying their tsunami hazard areas. The inundation line represents the maximum considered tsunami run up from a number of extreme, yet realistic, tsunami sources.

The tsunami run-up areas for the City of Goleta are shown in Figure 5-2 of the City’s General Plan/Coastal Land Use Plan and on the map below.

62 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 58 Tsunami Inundation Areas with Critical Facilities

6. VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT
New Development in Hazard Prone Areas

Since the 2011 Plan Update, three major developments have been constructed in hazard prone areas:

1. The Village at Los Carneros, 465 residential units on 43 acres, located south of Highway 101 along Los Carneros Drive

2. The Hideaways, 105 residential units on a 14.46 acre parcel in the 7000 block of Hollister Avenue (on the north side of Hollister Avenue)

3. Westar/Hollister Village Mixed Use Project, 274 multi-family residential units, five live/work residential units and 88,700 square feet of commercial space on a 23.56 acre parcel located between Highway 101 and Hollister Avenue, west of Glen Annie Road

For each of the areas where this has occurred, the vulnerability has been increased to some degree.

The below table identifies which hazard prone areas each project is located in:

New Development
Dam
Inundation
Flood
Hazards Wildfire Groundwater
Liquefaction Earthquake
Village at Los Carneros X X X X X
Westar/Hollister Village X X X
The Hideaways X X X

63 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan pg. 59 Critical Facilities

The City of Goleta has identified 28 critical facilities to be included in the Vulnerability Assessment portion of the plan. These facilities primarily include bridges, a few government structures and private medical facilities such as Goleta Valley Cottage Hospital. Of the data that was available, it was shown that the exposure value is approximately $86 million for the structures, and over $2 million in value for the contents. No values were able to be obtained for some major facilities, so the actual value may be twice these amounts.

The table below lists the City’s identified critical facilities and the corresponding Map ID Numbers shown on the hazard maps.

Map ID
Critical Facility
1 Goleta Library
2 Goleta Community Center
3 City of Goleta Corporation Yard Building
4 Ellwood Overhead
5 Los Carneros Road Overhead
6 Las Vegas Creek Bridge
7 Los Carneros Creek Bridge
8 San Jose Creek Bridge at Calle Real
9 San Pedro Creek Bridge
10 Glen Annie Creek Bridge
11 Goleta Overhead Bridge
12 Glen Annie Creek Bridge
13 San Jose Creek Bridge at Hollister
14 Maria Ygnacio Creek Bridge
15 Los Carneros Creek Bridge
16 Las Vegas Creek Bridge
17 San Pedro Creek Bridge
18 Tecolotito Creek Bridge
19 Patterson Avenue Overhead
20 Glen Annie Road Overhead
21 Goleta City Hall
22 Fire Station 11
23 Fire Station 12
24 Fire Station 14
25 Fire Station 10 (under development)
26 Goleta Valley Cottage Hospital
27 Goleta Post Office at Patterson
28 Goleta CHP Station
64 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 60 The results of these facilities shown to be impacted (AT LEAST moderately) from each hazard are shown in the table below:

Hazard Type Specific Risk Count or
(Average)
% of Critical
Facilities
Impacted
Exposure*
Flood
FEMA Flood Zone 1 2 42.80% $30,950,000
Sea Level Rise 1 3.57% $1,700,000
Fire
Fire Severity Zone 2 7.14% $12,400,000
WUI 1 4 50% $45,113,893
Fire Threat 25 89.29% $78,337,419
Dam Inundation 3 15% $3,700,000
Tsunami
Inundation
0 0 % $0
Landslide
Incidence
0 0 % $0
Earthquake
Groundwater/Liquefaction
S
everity 28 100% $88,221,501

It is worth noting that a majority of the City of Goleta’s critical facilities evaluated were at least m
oderately impacted by the following threats:
• Flooding/FEMA Flood Zone
• Fire Threat
• Groundwater/Liquefaction Severity

A full description of the threats in the table above is provided in Section 6 of the countywide mitigation plan. As the City continues to assess its vulnerability the collection of better data will help to improve the risk assessment process in order to direct planning and mitigation decisions.

65 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 61 i. Flood Vulnerability
F
looding resulting from climate changes are documented in the 2015 Draft City of Goleta Coastal Vulnerability Study. The study provides the current vulnerabilities as:
• The Bacara Resort and Spa Beach House, in addition to the coastal public access to Haskell's B
each, are vulnerable to all existing hazards, including: creek flooding, coastal erosion, and coastal flooding. The estimated replacement and relocation costs are approximately $420,000. • The two active Lease 421 oil wells are threatened by existing coastal hazards. • The existing coastal armoring is severely outdated and derelict, and the structure will continue to e
rode and become a nuisance over time. The cost of removing this structure is approximately $1 million. The City’s financial liability is approximately 25 percent of this amount, or equates to approximately $250,000.
• The City faces a serious potential threat from oils spills, both from active and inactive wells. The c
osts of mitigating these issues are high. The estimates range from $7.9 million to $63.2 million for capping and/or recapping the existing wells.
• The low lying Placencia neighborhood and nearby roads are already susceptible to substantial f
looding during closed Goleta Slough conditions and creek flooding. • FEMA has mapped 640 acres, or 12 percent of the City in an existing 100-year creek flood hazard z
one.

The estimated City responsibility for vulnerabilities (from Draft 2015 City of Goleta Coastal Hazards Vulnerability Assessment and Fiscal Impact Report) is detailed below:

City Respon-
sibility
Event driven
clean up costs
2030 Cost 2060 Cost 2100 Cost Total
(Undiscounted)
City
responsible
$500,000 $630,630 $1,175,380 $1,945,310 $4,251,320
City partially
responsible
$4,750,000 $471,052 $2,193,387 $12,490,707 $19,905,146
City
potentially
responsible
$
264,900,000 — $1,625,000 $8,125,000 $274,650,000

66 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 62 ii. Wildfire Vulnerability
Map ID Critical Facility Bldg Value
Fire Severity
Zone WUI Zone Fire Threat
1 Goleta Library $5,000,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
2 Goleta Community Center $15,000,000
Inside – Very
High Within WUI Moderate
3 City of Goleta Corporation Yard
Building $2,000,000

Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
4 Ellwood Overhead $4,000,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
5 Los Carneros Road Overhead $9,000,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
6 Las Vegas Creek Bridge $1,500,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
7 Los Carneros Creek Bridge $8,400,000 Inside – High Within WUI Little or No
Threat
8 San Jose Creek Bridge at Calle Real $1,900,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
9 San Pedro Creek Bridge $1,200,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
10 Glen Annie Creek Bridge $1,000,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI
Little or No
Threat
11 Goleta Overhead Bridge $8,000,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
12 Glen Annie Creek Bridge $1,000,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
13 San Jose Creek Bridge at Hollister $4,500,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
14 Maria Ygnacio Creek Bridge $1,500,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
15 Los Carneros Creek Bridge $1,000,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
16 Las Vegas Creek Bridge $750,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
17 San Pedro Creek Bridge $650,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
18 Tecolotito Creek Bridge $1,700,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
19 Patterson Avenue Overhead $9,000,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
20 Glen Annie Road Overhead $9,000,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
21 Goleta City Hall Leased
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
22 Fire Station 11 $1,023,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
23 Fire Station 12 $1,331,948
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
24 Fire Station 14 $391,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI
Little or No
Threat
25 Fire Station 10
(under development)
$4,500,000
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
26 Goleta Valley Cottage Hospital Not known
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
27 Goleta Post Office at Patterson Not known
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Outside WUI Moderate
28 Goleta CHP Station Not known
Outside Fire
Severity Zone Within WUI Moderate
67 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 63 iii. Earthquake Vulnerability
Map
I
D Critical Facility Type Bldg Value
Groundwater/
Liquefaction Severity

Peak Ground
Acceleration

1 Goleta Library Government $5,000,000 High Severity 2 .55 2 Goleta Community Center Government $15,000,000
Moderate Groundwa-
ter/High Liquefaction 2 .55
3 City of Goleta Corporation Yard Building Government $2,000,000 Moderate Groundwa-
ter/High Liquefaction
4 Ellwood Overhead $4,000,000
Moderate Groundwa-
ter/Low Liquefaction 2 .55
5 Los Carneros Road Overhead Bridge $9,000,000
Moderate Groundwa-
ter/Low Liquefaction 2 .55
6 Las Vegas Creek Bridge Bridge $1,500,000
High Groundwater
and Liquefaction
7 Los Carneros Creek Bridge Bridge $8,400,000
Moderate Groundwa-
ter/Low Liquefaction
8 San Jose Creek Bridge at Calle Real Bridge $1,900,000 High Groundwater
and Liquefaction
9 San Pedro Creek Bridge Bridge $1,200,000
Moderate Groundwa-
ter/High Liquefaction
10 Glen Annie Creek Bridge Bridge $1,000,000
Moderate Groundwa-
ter/Low Liquefaction 2 .55
11 Goleta Overhead Bridge Bridge $8,000,000
High Groundwater
and Liquefaction 2 .55
12 Glen Annie Creek Bridge Bridge $1,000,000
Moderate Groundwa-
ter/Low Liquefaction 2 .55
13 San Jose Creek Bridge at Hollister Bridge $4,500,000 Moderate Groundwa-
ter/High Liquefaction 2 .55
14 Maria Ygnacio Creek Bridge Bridge $1,500,000
Moderate Groundwa-
ter/High Liquefaction 2 .45
15 Los Carneros Creek Bridge Bridge $1,000,000
Moderate Groundwa-
ter/High Liquefaction 2 .55
16 Las Vegas Creek Bridge Bridge $750,000
High Severity
Groundwater and
Liquefaction 2 .55
17 San Pedro Creek Bridge Bridge $650,000
Moderate Severity
Groundwater/High
Severity Liquefaction 2
.55
68 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 64 Map
ID Critical Facility Type Bldg Value
Groundwater/
Liquefaction Severity

Peak Ground
Acceleration

18 Tecolotito Creek Bridge Bridge $1,700,000
High Severity
Groundwater and
Liquefaction 2 .55
19 Patterson Avenue Overhead $9,000,000
Moderate Severity
Groundwater/High
Severity Liquefaction 2
.65
20 Glen Annie Road Overhead $9,000,000
Moderate Severity
Groundwater/Low
Severity Liquefaction 2
.55
21 Goleta City Hall Bridge Leased
High Severity
Groundwater and
Liquefaction 2
.55
22 Fire Station 11 Bridge $1,023,000
Moderate Severity
Groundwater/Low
Severity Liquefaction 2
.55
23 Fire Station 12 Bridge $1,331,948
Moderate Severity
Groundwater/High
Severity Liquefaction 2 .55
24 Fire Station 14 Bridge $391,000
Moderate Severity
Groundwater/High
Severity Liquefaction 2 .55
25 Fire Station 10 (under development) Bridge $4,500,000 Moderate Severity
Groundwater/Low
Severity Liquefaction 2 .55
26 Goleta Valley Cottage Hospital
Private
Hospital Not known
Moderate Severity
Groundwater/High
Severity Liquefaction 2 .65
27 Goleta Post Office at Patterson Government Not known Moderate Severity
Groundwater/High
Severity Liquefaction 2
.65
28 Goleta CHP Station Government Not known
Moderate Severity
Groundwater/High
Severity Liquefaction 2
.55

69 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 65 iv. Tsunami Vulnerability
Map
I
D Critical Facility Type Bldg Value
Tsunami
Inundation Area

1 Goleta Library Government $5,000,000 Outside
2 Goleta Community Center Government $15,000,000 Outside 3 City of Goleta Corporation Yard
Building Government $2,000,000
Outside
4 Ellwood Overhead $4,000,000 Outside
5 Los Carneros Road Overhead Bridge $9,000,000 Outside 6 Las Vegas Creek Bridge Bridge $1,500,000 Outside
7 Los Carneros Creek Bridge Bridge $8,400,000 Outside
8 San Jose Creek Bridge at Calle Real Bridge $1,900,000 Outside 9 San Pedro Creek Bridge Bridge $1,200,000 Outside
10 Glen Annie Creek Bridge Bridge $1,000,000 Outside
11 Goleta Overhead Bridge Bridge $8,000,000 Outside
12 Glen Annie Creek Bridge Bridge $1,000,000 Outside
13 San Jose Creek Bridge at Hollister Bridge $4,500,000 Outside 14 Maria Ygnacio Creek Bridge Bridge $1,500,000 Outside 15 Los Carneros Creek Bridge Bridge $1,000,000 Outside 16 Las Vegas Creek Bridge Bridge $750,000 Outside
17 San Pedro Creek Bridge Bridge $650,000 Outside
18 Tecolotito Creek Bridge Bridge $1,700,000 Outside
19 Patterson Avenue Overhead $9,000,000 Outside
20 Glen Annie Road Overhead $9,000,000 Outside
21 Goleta City Hall Bridge Leased Outside
22 Fire Station 11 Bridge $1,023,000 Outside
23 Fire Station 12 Bridge $1,331,948 Outside
24 Fire Station 14 Bridge $391,000 Outside
25 Fire Station 10 (under development) Bridge $4,500,000 Outside 26 Goleta Valley Cottage Hospital Private Hospital Not known Outside 27 Goleta Post Office at Patterson Government Not known Outside 28 Goleta CHP Station Government Not known Outside
70 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 66

7. M ITIGATION STRATEGY

I
n preparation of the 2016 update of this plan, the City’s Local Planning Team reviewed the Mitiga- tion Priorities from the previous plan and validated them for continued relevance. Additionally, the City made minor revisions to the Countywide goals and objectives to better reflect the needs for the City. This section contains the City’s updated and most current mitigation strategy as of July 2016.

i. Mi
tigation Priorities
Goals and Objectives

The City of Goleta modified the goals and objectives as determined by the County wide Mitigation Advisory Committee to meet the specific needs of the City. These goals and objectives represent a vision of long-term hazard reduction or enhancement of capabilities.

Goal 1: Promote disaster-resistant future development.

Objective 1.A: Facilitate the development or updating of the Compre- hensive Plan, City General Plans and zoning ordi-
nances to limit (or ensure safe) development in hazard
areas.

Objective 1.B: Facilitate the adoption of building codes and develop- ment regulations that protect existing assets and re-
quire disaster resistant design for new development in
hazard areas.

Objective 1.C: Facilitate consistent enforcement of the comprehensive plan, zoning ordinances, and building and fire codes
Goal 2: Build and support capacity and commitment for existing as- sets, including people, critical facilities/infrastructure, and public facilities, to become less vulnerable to hazards.

Objective 2.A: Increase awareness and knowledge of hazard miti- gation principles and practice among local govern-
ment officials.

Objective 2.B: Decrease the vulnerability of public infrastructure including facilities, roadways, and utilities.

Objective 2.C: Protect existing structures with the highest relative vulnerability to the effects of identified hazards
through structural mitigation projects.

Notes: This goal focuses on the programmatic and structural approaches to reducing risk to existing development. The term “local govern- m
ent” is used to refer to city, county, and special districts.

71 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 67 Goal 3: Enhance hazard mitigation coordination and communication.

Objective 3.A: Educate the public to increase awareness of hazards, potential impact, and opportunities for mitigation ac-
tions.

Objective 3.B: Monitor and publicize the effectiveness of mitigation actions implemented countywide.

Objective 3.C: Participate in initiatives that have mutual hazard miti- gation benefits for the County, cities, state, tribal, and federal governments, where feasible.

Objective 3.D: Encourage other organizations, within the public, pri- vate, and non-profit sectors, to incorporate hazard
mitigation activities into their existing programs and
plans.

Objective 3.E: Encourage partnerships between the state, local, and tribal governments to identify, prioritize, and imple-
ment mitigation actions.

Objective 3.F: Support a coordinated permitting activities process and consistent enforcement.

Note: This goal focuses on communication and coordination required for suc- cessful mitigation of risk.

ii. Mi tigation Progress
The City’s Local Planning Team reviewed the mitigation actions listed in the 2011 plan to determine t
he status of each action. This following table includes only the actions that have been completed or were underway as of June 2016.

Ultimately, all of these projects will be completed and are no longer necessary for consideration by the LPT regarding implementation approaches. Mitigation actions identified for future implementation are presented in the following section.
72 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 68 Table 11-8 Completed and In-Progress Mitigation Actions 2011
Plan
Action
#
Mitigation Action De-
s
cription Status
Completion
D
ate Comments
Priority
S
core
2011-1
San Jose Creek/Hollister Ave
Bridge Replacement Project In Progress
Creek Section
Completed; Bridge
by 2017 Bridge at Hollister by 2017 18
2011-2
Lake Los Carneros Outlet
Structure Rehabilitation
Completed 2015 10
2011-3
Join the NFIP Community Rating
System (CRS) In Progress 8
2011-4
San Pedro Creeks Culvert
Modifications
In Progress 2016 11
2011-5
Develop New Fire Station in
Western Goleta (Fire Station 10) In Progress Target - 2018 Design Contract was executed in
January 2016; MOU with County
was executed in March 2016;
Design process is underway 18
2011-6
Avenida Gorrion New Storm
Drain
Completed 2016 11

iii. Mi tigation Approach
The City of Goleta’s Local Planning Team used the STA PLE/E Criteria (Social, Technical, Administrative, Political, Legal, Economic, and Environmental) to evaluate the mitigation actions identified in the 2004 plan which have not been completed or implemented (noted as deferred) in addition to newly identified mitigation actions. The social, technical, administrative, political, legal, economic, and environmental as- pects of each project were ranked using the following scale:

0 = Poor (negative impacts)
1 = Fair (neutral or no impacts)
2 = Good (positive impacts)
3 = Excellent (very favorable impacts)

This process was used to help ensure that the most equitable and feasible actions would be undertaken based on available resources. Table 11-10 presents the STAPLE/E criteria.

73 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 69 TABLE 11-10 — STAPLE/ E REVIEW AND SELECTION CRITERIA FOR AL-

TERNATIVES
SOCIAL
• IS THE PROPOSED ACTION SOCIALLY ACCEPTABLE TO THE COMMUNITY ? • A RE THERE EQUITY ISSUES INVOLVED THAT WOULD MEAN THAT ONE SEGMENT OF THE COMMUNITY ARE TREATED UNFAIRLY ? • W ILL THE ACTION CAUSE SOCIAL DISRUPTION ?

T ECHNICAL
• W ILL THE PROPOSED ACTION WORK ?
• W ILL IT CREATE MORE PROBLEMS THAN IT SOLVES ?
• D OES IT SOLVE A PROBLEM OR ONLY A SYMPTOM ?
• IS IT THE MOST USEFUL ACTION IN LIGHT OF OTHER COMMUNITY GOALS ?

A DMINISTRATIVE
• C AN THE COMMUNITY IMPLEMENT THE ACTION ?
• IS THERE SOMEONE TO COORDINATE AND LEAD THE EFFORT ?
• IS THERE SUFFICIENT FUNDING , STAFF , AND TECHNICAL SUPPORT AVAILABLE ? • A RE THERE ONGOING ADMINISTRATIVE REQUIREMENTS THAT NEED TO BE MET ?

P OLITICAL
• IS THE ACTION POLITICALLY ACCEPTABLE ?
• IS THERE PUBLIC SUPPORT BOTH TO IMPLEMENT AND TO MAINTAIN THE PROJECT ? L EGAL
• IS THE COMMUNITY AUTHORIZED TO IMPLEMENT THE PROPOSED ACTION ? IS THERE A CLEAR LEGAL BASIS OR PRECEDENT FOR THIS AC- TIVITY ?
• A RE THERE LEGAL SIDE EFFECTS ? C OULD THE ACTIVITY BE CONSTRUED AS A TAKING ? • IS THE PROPOSED ACTION ALLOWED BY THE GENERAL PLAN , OR MUST THE GENERAL PLAN BE AMENDED TO ALLOW THE PROPOSED AC- TION ?
• W ILL THE COMMUNITY BE LIABLE FOR ACTION OR LACK OF ACTION ? • W ILL THE ACTIVITY BE CHALLENGED ?

E CONOMIC
• W HAT ARE THE COSTS AND BENEFITS OF THIS ACTION ?
• D O THE BENEFITS EXCEED THE COSTS ?
• A RE INITIAL , MAINTENANCE , AND ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT ? • H AS FUNDING BEEN SECURED FOR THE PROPOSED ACTION ? IF NOT , WHAT ARE THE POTENTIAL SOURCES (PUBLIC , NON -PROFIT , AND PRIVATE )?
• H OW WILL THIS ACTION AFFECT THE FISCAL CAPABILITY OF THE COMMUNITY ? • W HAT BURDEN WILL THIS ACTION PLACE ON THE TAX BASE OR LOCAL ECONOMY ? • W HAT ARE THE BUDGET AND REVENUE EFFECTS OF THIS ACTIVITY ? • D OES THE ACTION CONTRIBUTE TO OTHER COMMUNITY GOALS , SUCH AS CAPITAL IMPROVEMENTS OR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ? • W HAT BENEFITS WILL THE ACTION PROVIDE ?
74 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 70 TABLE 11-10 — STAPLE/ E REVIEW AND SELECTION CRITERIA FOR AL-

TERNATIVES

E NVIRONMENTAL
• H OW WILL THE ACTION AFFECT THE ENVIRONMENT ?
• W ILL THE ACTION NEED ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATORY APPROVALS ? • W ILL IT MEET LOCAL AND STATE REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS ? A RE ENDANGERED OR THREATENED SPECIES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED ?

The following table presents the six actions to be considered and implemented during the life of this p
lan update and their priority score based on the STAPLEE analysis.

Table 11-11 Mitigation Actions for Future Implementation 2011 Plan
Action # Mitigation Action Description Status
Responsible
D
ept. Comments
Priority
S
core S T A P L E E
2011-1
San Jose Creek/Hollister Avenue
Bridge Replacement Project In Progress
Public Works
Dept..

Creek Bridge com-
pleted by 2017 18 3 3 3 3 1 2 3
2011-2
Lake Los Carneros Outlet Struc-
ture Rehabilitation Completed
Public Works
Dept.
10 1 2 2 1 1 1 2
2011-3
Join the NFIP Community Rating
System (CRS) Deferred
Public Works
Dept. 8 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
2011-4
San Pedro Creeks Culvert Modifi-
cations
In Progress
Public Works
Dept. 2016 11 1 2 2 1 1 2 2
2011-5
Develop New Fire Station in
Western Goleta

In Progress NS/Public
S
afety
MOU executed with
County in March
2016; Contract
Award for Design in
Jan 2016. 18 3 3 2 3 2 2 3
2011-6
Avenida Gorrion New Storm
Drain
2016
Public Works
Dept. 2016 11 1 2 2 1 1 2 2
2017 PLAN
ACTION # NEW MITIGATION ACTION
2017-1
Cathedral Oaks/Camino Laguna
Vista Strom Drain
Public Works
D
ept. 2017
2017-2 Misc. OT Drainage Improvements
Public Works
D
ept. Target by 2020
2017-3
Goleta Community Center –
Seismic Upgrades

NS/Public
S
afety 2017
2017-4
Critical Infrastructure Threat
Assessment Identification Project

Public Works 2 018

75 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 71 iv. Implementation Plan
Mitigation Action 2011-1 In Progress Project Description: San Jose Creek/Hollister Avenue Bridge Replacement Project This project will construct capacity improvements to the San Jose Creek Channel that will increase the de- s
ign storm from a 25 year to a 100 year storm event. The new channel will be 50 feet wide with vertical walls and an articulated concrete revetment bottom. The revetment will include fish passage. The project will require the reconstruction of the entire channel and the replacement of the Hollister Avenue Bridge over San Jose Creek. The bridge project will begin after the channel portion is completed. This second phase of the project will replace the Hollister Avenue Bridge over San Jose Creek. The new bridge will have a 100 year storm flow capacity and will be designed to fit with the San Jose Creek project.

The project will reduce flooding and related impacts within Old Town Goleta by increasing the capacity of the channel to accommodate a 100 year storm event. The project will result in a redrawing of the FEMA flood plain maps to remove approximately 200 parcels from the flood plain.

• Construction of channel improvements completed.
• Obtain permits
• Construct bridge project
Applicable Hazards
Significant
Flooding (including coastal surge)
Wildfire
Agriculture (pests and disease)
Earthquake
Moderate
Landslide / Coastal Erosion
Limited
Dam Failure
Tsunami
Existing and Potential Resources: Funding for this project is a combination of Neighborhood Services a
nd Public Safety, Santa Barbara County Flood Control District, Goleta Valley Land Trust and California Fish and Wildlife Fisheries Restoration Grant (FRGP) funds. Proposition 84 and Habitat Conservation Grants are also expected to be awarded.

Responsible Department: Public Works Department – Engineering, Public Works Maintenance, with c
ooperation from County Flood Control District
Target Completion Date: 2018
Additional Comments / Status Report:

The threat to public safety, infrastructure, commerce and residential and commercial properties in terms of dollars, in the event of a failure is expected to significantly exceed the cost of this project.

76 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 72 Mitigation Action #2011-2 has been completed.

Mitigation Action # 2011 – 3
Project Description: Join the NFIP Community Rating System (CRS) The NFIP/CRS program is a points based program. Fixed numbers of points are assigned for eligible floodplain management and mitigation activities which exceed the minimum standards of NFIP par- ticipation (e.g. development of this plan, more restrictive floodplain ordinance, outreach, etc.). A community accumulates points based on activities it undertakes and as the points accumulate, the community’s rating moves down by classes. Each class level the City obtains results in an additional 5% reduction on all flood insurance premiums for policies held by citizens and businesses in Goleta.

Goleta will join the CRS program.
• Arrange a meeting with FEMA Region IX and its CRS servicing contractor, ISO Commercial Services to review Goleta’s programs and establish how many points it is eligible for and at what class it could enter the program. • Make application to FEMA to join.

Applicable Hazards
Significant

Flooding (including coastal surge)
Wildfire
Agriculture (pests and disease)
Earthquake
Moderate

Landslide / Coastal Erosion
Limited

Dam Failure
Tsunami
Existing and Potential Resources: Departmental Budgets Responsible Department: Public Works Department – Engineering P
lanning and Environmental Review Department – Building and Safety Target Completion Date: December 2017
Additional Comments / Status Report:

Relatively inexpensive measure that can be expected to result in long term mitigation benefits

77 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 73 Mitigation Action # 2011 – 4
Project Description: San Pedro Creek Culvert Modifications This project will construct capacity improvements to San Pedro Creek at Calle Real, Route 101, and at U
nion Pacific Railroad (UPRR) by replacing the existing culvert with a larger volume bridge structure.

The City's portion of the funding is for culvert capacity beneath Calle Real.

The existing culvert has capacity rated for a 10 year storm event. These areas have been flooded several times, and the flood waters also cover HWY 101. Replacing this culvert will increase capacity to a 25 year storm event and reduce flood events north of Calle Real in the City of Goleta.

• Identify funding

• D esign and construct project
Applicable Hazards
Significant

Flooding (including coastal surge)
Wildfire
Agriculture (pests and disease)
Earthquake
Moderate

Landslide / Coastal Erosion
Limited

Dam Failure
Tsunami
Existing and Potential Resources: Funding for this project is a combination of Measure A (City s
hare), State Highway Operations and Protection Program (SHOPP) and the Santa Barbara County Flood Control District.

Responsible Department: Caltrans is the lead agency working with Santa Barbara County Flood C
ontrol and the City of Goleta – Community Services Department.

Target Completion Date: 2016

78 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 74 Mitigation Action # 2011-5 In Progress Project Description: Develop New Fire Station in Western Goleta This is a joint City/County project. It has long been documented that fire service in Western Goleta does not meet the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) guidelines for emergency response time and population to firefighter ratio. Guidelines for response time specify a maximum of 5 minutes and the maximum recommended population to firefighter ratio is 4,000:1. Fire Station 11 which cur- rently serves Western Goleta cannot meet the 5-minut response threshold. In addition, the existing population to firefighter ratio is 7,198:1 which well exceed the recommended maximum ratio.

The project consists of the design and construction of a new fire station, approximately 11,600 square feet in size, with associated landscaping and appurtenant facilities on a City-owned parcel located at 7952 Hollister Avenue. The site is adjacent to the new Cathedral Oaks Interchange. It is anticipated that the new fire station will be a three-bay, single-story building. Site improvements are expected to include an emergency generator and an above-ground fueling facility.

• Initiate and complete design phase
• Obtain permits
• Complete construction
Applicable Hazards
Significant
Flooding (including coastal surge)
Wildfire
Agriculture (pests and disease)
Earthquake
Moderate
Landslide / Coastal Erosion
Limited
Dam Failure
Tsunami
Existing and Potential Resources: City and County Fire Facility Development Impact Fee (DIF) f
unds; City of Goleta Development Agreements with Developers Responsible Department: City of Goleta –Neighborhood Services and Public Safety Department with a
ssistance from the Public Works Department in coordination with the County Fire Protection District Target Completion Date: 2017-2018

79 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 75 Mitigation Action # 2011-6 In progress Project Description: Avenida Gorrion Storm Drain
This is a City flood control project proposed. Insufficient capacity of existing storm drain system causes repeated flooding along Avenida Gorrion between La Patera Lane and Valdez Avenue putting homes on the street at risk. Installation of a new storm drain line will reduce or eliminate flooding during storm events.
• Identify funding
• Design and construct project
Applicable Hazards
Significant

Flooding (including coastal surge)
Wildfire
Agriculture (pests and disease)
Earthquake
Moderate

Landslide / Coastal Erosion
Limited

Dam Failure
Tsunami
Existing and Potential Resources: FEMA grants; City CIP funding; Responsible Department: The City of Goleta Public Works Department will be the responsible for this p
roject.

Target Completion Date: 2016

80 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 76

Mitigation Action # 2017-1 In progress Project Description: Cathedral Oaks/Camino Laguna Vista Storm Drain This is a City flood control project proposed. Insufficient capacity of existing storm drain system causes repeated flooding in the area. Installation of a new storm drain line will reduce or eliminate flooding during storm events.
• Identify funding
• Design and construct project
Applicable Hazards
Significant

Flooding (including coastal surge)

Moderate

Landslide / Coastal Erosion
Limited

Dam Failure
Tsunami
Existing and Potential Resources: FEMA grants; City CIP funding; Responsible Department: The City of Goleta Public Works Department will be the responsible for this p
roject.

Target Completion Date: 2017

81 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 77 Mitigation Action # 2017-2 In progress Project Description: Miscellaneous Old Town Drainage Improvements This is a City flood control project proposed. Insufficient capacity of existing storm drain system causes repeated flooding in Old Town. Installation of new storm drain lines will reduce or eliminate flooding during storm events.
• Identify funding
• Design and construct project
Applicable Hazards
Significant

Flooding (including coastal surge)

Moderate

Landslide / Coastal Erosion
Limited

Dam Failure
Tsunami
Existing and Potential Resources: FEMA grants; City CIP funding; Responsible Department: The City of Goleta Public Works Department will be the responsible for this p
roject.

Target Completion Date: 2020

82 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 78 Mitigation Action # 2017-3 In progress Project Description: Goleta Community Center Seismic Upgrades Complete Structural Tier 1 and limited Tier 2 life-safety seismic upgrades to the Goleta Community Center including reinforcements, roof sheathing, and more. • Identify funding
• Design and construct project
Applicable Hazards
Significant

Earthquake
Moderate

Landslide / Coastal Erosion
Flooding
Limited

Tsunami
Existing and Potential Resources: FEMA grants; City CIP funding; Responsible Department: The City of Goleta Public Works Department will be the responsible for this p
roject.

Target Completion Date: 2017

83 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 79 Mitigation Action # 2017-4
Project Description: Critical Infrastructure Threat Assessment Identification Project • Establish project deliverables in order to meet goals and objectives • Establish budget and timeline
• Assess current capabilities to achieve project objectives and address resource s
hortfalls.
• Establish a comprehensive list of built infrastructure resources, their owners, and meta data relevant to risk assessment.
• Identify facilities and infrastructure that are necessary to minimize loss of life a
nd property or to facilitate response or recovery activities. • Prioritize projects and establish a budget and project calendar. • Identify on-going costs to maintain and monitor

Applicable Hazards
Earthquake, Drought/Water Shortage, Flooding, Severe Weather, Cyber Threat, Hazardous Ma- terials Release, Energy Shortage, Well Stimulation/Hydraulic Fracking, Oil Spill, Agricultural Pests/Disease, Terrorism, Natural Gas, Pipelines and Storage, Epidemic/Pandemic/Vector Borne Disease, Dam Failure, Levee Failure, Radiological Incident, Train Accident, Wildfire, Civil Disturbance, Landslide/Other Earth Movement, Commercial/Military Aircraft Accident

Existing and Potential Resources: Capital Projects budget, Maintenance budget, CDBG funds, HMP funds, Homeland Security grants, and other Federal and State infrastructure grants and funds, community partners.

Responsible Department: Public Works, City Manager’s Office, Information Technology, with support from other departments as required.

Target Completion Date: To be determined.

84 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 80 Additional Comments / Status Report:

Currently there is not a countywide agreed upon list of Critical or Essential Facilities. While there are several lists of Critical and Essential Facilities, the criteria are not standardized. Addi- tionally, the list of Critical and Essential Facilities lack the necessary meta data (i.e., construc- tion type, elevation level, replacement value, content cost) that would be beneficial to assessing risk to threats and hazards.

Because there is not a comprehensive list of Critical or Essential Facilities, portions of the HMP utilized the HAZUS default data. While the HAZUS default data provided better insight into the earthquake and flood risk, the assumptions (i.e. structural characteristics of building) does not adequately reflect the true vulnerabilities of the facilities and/or the community. To remedy this, The City of Goleta is proposing to coordinate with Santa Barbara County to create a com- prehensive Critical or Essential Facilities List and utilize it in HAZUS.

All of the above mitigation actions have been incorporated into the City’s Capital Improvement Program which is reviewed annually to determine if additional projects are needed to address po- tential hazards.
85 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 81 v. Climate Change Induced Mitigation Actions

Over the next five years, the City will also be examining mitigation actions considering the findings and recommendations resulting from predicted climate change conditions identified in the 2015 Draft City of Goleta Coastal Hazards

Vulnerability Assessment and Fiscal Impact Report, the findings of which are summarized below:

• Existing creek hazards (FEMA) are the highest hazard in the City. Coastal flooding will be exacerbated by SLR, however future climate impacts on creek flooding are not available.

• Coastal flooding damages to structures in Goleta could increase dramatically by 416% between the time horizons of 2060 and 2100.

• Adaptation costs to elevate and accommodate coastal flooding by 2100 ($175 million) exceed damages ($14 million) and cleanup (approximately $5 million) by an order of magnitude.

• The Storke Ranch neighborhood becomes exposed around 2100, when Goleta and Devereux Sloughs come together.

• Coastal flooding impacts the light manufacturing sector the greatest between 2 and 5 feet of SLR during the time period of 2060 to 2100.

Recommendations:

• Conduct coastal confluence modeling to better assess future vulnerabilities associated with stream flood hazards exacerbated by sea level rise to provide projections of future flood extents and depths.

• Engage in regional inlet management discussions with the City of Santa Barbara and the County of Santa Barbara.

• Establish a repetitive loss policy to trigger eminent domain in combination with a Transfer of Development (TDR) Program. Once a property had multiple flood insurance claims the policy would take effect.

• Adjust building codes to allow for increased building heights by additional freeboard based on sea level rise projections for parcels projected to be impacted by flooding after 2060.

Adaptation strategies are discussed in detail in Section 5 of the Draft 2015 City of Goleta Coastal Hazards Vulnerability Assessment and Fiscal Impact Report.

86 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 82

8. PLAN MAINTENANCE

T
he City of Goleta will be responsible for ensuring that this Annex is monitored on an on-going basis.

The City will continue to participate in the Countywide Mitigation Advisory Committee and attend the annual meeting organized by the County Office of Emergency Management (OEM) to discuss items to be updated/added in future revisions of this Plan.

Major disasters affecting the City of Goleta, legal changes and other significant events may trigger revisions to this plan or a convening of the Local Planning Team. The City of Goleta’s Local Planning Team, in collaboration with the Santa Barbara County Office of Emergency Management, and the other jurisdictions of the County, will determine how often and when the plan should be updated. In order to remain eligible for mitigation grant funding from FEMA, the City is committed to revising the plan at a minimum of every five years.

The City of Goleta’s Director of Neighborhood Services and Public Safety, or designee, will be responsible for ensuring that this Annex is monitored on an on-going basis and will contact County OEM no later than four years after this Plan is approved to ensure that the County will be initiating the Plan Update Process. The City will continue to work with County OEM and the other jurisdictions within the County on future revisions/updates of this Plan.

The public will continue to be involved whenever the plan is updated and as appropriate during the monitoring and evaluation process. Prior to adoption of updates, the City will provide the opportunity for the public to comment on the updates. A public notice will be published prior to the meeting to announce the comment period and meeting logistics. Moreover, the City will engage stakeholders in community emergency planning.

Point of Contact

C
omments or suggestions regarding this plan may be submitted at any time to the City of Goleta, Attn:

Vyto Adomaitis, Neighborhood Services & Public Safety Director, 130 Cremona Drive, Ste. B, Go- leta, CA 93117 or via email or phone at: [email protected], Phone 805.961.7555.

87 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 83

9. CITY OF GOLETA APPENDICES
i. G oleta Meeting Documentation
The logs on the following pages provide documentation of the meetings conducted within Goleta’s L
ocal Planning Team separately from the County Mitigation Advisory Committee meetings which were attended by representatives of the City.

88 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 84 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan Update
Meeting #1
Agenda & Notes
City of Goleta
Da
te: 2/3/16
Time: 3:00 – 4:30 pm

Attendees: Claudia Dato, Rosemarie Gaglione, Vyto Adomaitis, Anne Wells, Kathy Garcia, James Winslow and Teresa Lopes

Di
scussion Topics:

This meeting included the Public Works Director (City Engineer), Deputy Public Works Di- r
ector and Capital Improvement Program Managers as well as Neighborhood Services/Public Safety staff and the Advanced Planning Manager. We reviewed the status of previously iden- tified mitigation projects (mostly CIP) and identified projects for the coming five year period.

Meeting Outcomes:

The status of 2011 projects was discussed and new mitigation projects for the next five year period were identified.

89 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 85 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan Update
Meeting #2
Agenda & Notes
City of Goleta
Da
te: 2/9/16
Time: 3:00 – 4:30 pm

Attendees: Claudia Dato and Anne Wells

Di
scussion Topics:

Discuss the 5-year update to the 2011 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan and other new o
r updated plans that have happened since the 2011 Plan and identification of any projects or plans for the coming five years.

Meeting Outcomes:

New plans such as Wildfire Protection Plan, Coastal Hazards Plan, etc. with relevance to the H
azard Mitigation Plan were identified as having been developed since the 2011 Plan.

90 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 86 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan Update
Meetings #3 and 4
Agenda & Notes
City of Goleta
Da
te: 6/10/16 and 6/15/16

Attendees: Claudia Dato, Anne Wells, and Dennis Loyst (JDL Mapping)

Di
scussion Topics:

Mapping needs and updates to critical facilities was discussed.

Meeting Outcomes:

New maps needed for the 2016 update and new critical facilities to be added to updated maps were identified.

91 City of Goleta Annex to Santa Barbara County 2017 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Page 87 ii. Goleta Attachment 1: Outreach Materials
This attachment includes documentation demonstrating the City’s efforts to engage public and i
nterested stakeholders in the mitigation planning process.

iii. R eferences
City of Goleta General Plan/Coastal Land Use Plan
C
ity of Goleta Economic Development Strategic Plan
City of Goleta Emergency Operations Plan and Threat Analysis City of Goleta Municipal Code
City of Goleta Inland and Coastal Zoning Codes
Goleta Old Town Revitalization Plan (Redevelopment Plan) City of Goleta Stormwater Management Plan
City of Goleta Strategic Plan
City of Goleta Capital Improvement Plan
Draft 2015 City of Goleta Coastal Hazards Vulnerability Assessment and Fiscal Impact Report Resolution 15-55, City Council Adoption of the Report
City of Goleta General Plan/ Coastal Land Use Plan, Chapter 5, Safety Element 92 93
94 95
96 97
98 99
100
101

Goleta City CouncilMarch 1, 2022

Goleta City Council
March 1, 2022