Cities Index.
Attachment IX General Fund Long Range Financial Model

Hayward City Council
June 4, 2024

Document
Attachment IX General Fund Long Range Financial Model
Meeting
June 4, 2024
Body
Hayward City Council
Original file
652 KB
Text extracted from the city's file for reading and search. Open the original on hayward.legistar1.com. That file is the official record.

CURRENT FORECAST GENERAL FUND LONG RANGE FINANCIAL MODEL UPDATE FY2019
Actuals
FY2020
Actuals
FY2021
Actuals
FY2022
Actuals
FY2023
Actuals
FY2024
Adopted
FY 2024
Revised
FY2025
Proposed
FY2026
Forecast
FY2027
Forecast
FY2028
Forecast
FY2029
Forecast
FY2030
Forecast
FY2031
Forecast
FY2032
Forecast
FY2033
Forecast
FY2034
Forecast
FY2035
Forecast
Property Tax $54,468 $58,432 $61,196 $63,524 $68,458 $67,498 $69,698 $72,938 $75,579 $78,331 $81,202 $83,998 $86,708 $90,185 $93,844 $97,704 $101,555 $105,649 Sales Tax 36,011 39,680 40,075 44,028 44,051 46,439 46,439 47,619 48,930 47,847 47,992 50,519 53,186 55,965 57,517 59,109 57,788 57,939 Utility Users Tax 16,935 16,066 17,268 17,308 25,945 18,000 21,000 24,000 24,480 24,970 25,469 25,978 26,498 27,028 27,568 28,120 28,682 29,256 Transient Occupancy Tax 2,823 2,187 1,552 1,979 2,359 2,000 2,000 3,125 3,219 3,154 3,170 3,343 3,525 3,717 3,829 3,944 3,865 3,884 Cannabis Tax 0 3 442 843 804 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,122 1,144 1,167 1,191 1,214 1,239 1,264 1,289 1,315 1,341 Emerg Svcs Facilities Excise Tax 2,186 2,030 1,831 1,829 2,045 2,075 2,075 2,075 2,096 2,117 2,138 2,159 2,181 2,203 2,225 2,247 2,269 2,292 Business License Tax 2,833 2,755 2,677 3,171 3,287 2,811 2,811 3,058 3,089 3,120 2,995 2,950 3,052 3,157 3,266 3,299 3,332 3,198 Property Transfer Tax 12,256 12,150 17,120 21,226 12,357 17,600 17,600 17,600 17,776 17,065 16,809 17,389 17,989 18,609 18,796 18,983 18,224 17,951 Franchises 9,730 10,582 10,624 10,516 11,907 12,179 12,179 12,928 13,186 13,450 13,719 13,993 14,273 14,559 14,850 15,147 15,450 15,759 Permits & Fees 15,966 12,074 13,300 12,738 14,297 14,099 14,099 15,144 15,447 15,521 15,717 16,143 16,582 17,035 17,376 17,723 17,808 18,034 Interest 488 460 (9) (735) 427 300 300 300 517 452 338 214 90 1 0 0 0 0 Other Revenue 10,751 9,725 14,597 8,629 7,663 11,591 12,027 11,791 11,834 11,879 11,923 11,969 12,015 12,061 12,109 12,157 12,205 12,255 Transfers In 17,357 3,964 3,967 11,571 17,123 4,192 8,690 4,681 4,759 4,838 4,919 5,001 5,085 5,171 5,258 5,347 5,438 5,531 Total Revenues 181,804 170,107 184,641 196,625 210,724 199,883 210,017 216,360 222,033 223,887 227,558 234,847 242,398 250,930 257,900 265,069 267,931 273,088 Salaries/Wages 72,803 73,459 73,817 77,837 81,762 98,419 100,108 104,703 106,784 109,169 111,607 114,100 116,649 119,254 121,918 124,646 127,436 130,287 Overtime 9,574 9,767 11,903 13,903 14,919 3,370 3,370 3,370 3,437 3,506 3,576 3,648 3,721 3,795 3,871 3,948 4,027 4,108 Retirement 26,951 30,183 33,051 36,742 40,016 42,846 42,846 47,734 49,399 51,648 53,639 57,479 58,780 60,031 58,410 58,532 56,751 56,337 Health 11,533 11,639 11,765 11,994 12,410 16,200 16,200 17,175 16,873 17,379 17,901 18,438 18,991 19,560 20,147 20,752 21,374 22,015 Retiree Medical 3,020 3,107 3,059 3,248 3,241 3,465 3,465 4,306 4,414 4,512 4,613 4,717 4,822 4,930 5,041 5,154 5,270 5,388 Workers Compensation 6,815 6,816 8,106 8,526 9,001 5,418 5,418 5,857 6,004 6,139 6,276 6,417 6,562 6,709 6,860 7,014 7,171 7,333 Other Benefits 1,831 2,065 2,347 2,299 2,492 1,233 1,233 1,886 1,923 1,966 2,010 2,055 2,102 2,149 2,197 2,247 2,297 2,349 Personnel Charge Out (3,803) (5,031) (3,500) (4,168) (5,336) (6,371) (6,371) (7,317) (7,481) (7,649) (7,821) (7,996) (8,176) (8,359) (8,547) (8,740) (8,936) (9,137) Vacancy Savings - - - - - (5,881) (5,881) (6,084) (4,238) (4,323) (4,409) (4,497) (4,586) (4,678) (4,771) (4,866) (4,963) (5,062) Subtotal Personnel 128,724 132,005 140,546 150,382 158,506 158,699 160,388 171,630 177,114 182,348 187,394 194,362 198,864 203,392 205,127 208,687 210,428 213,618 Maintenance & Utilities 797 920 804 1,210 1,092 1,687 1,687 1,679 1,729 1,781 1,835 1,890 1,946 2,005 2,065 2,127 2,191 2,256 Services & Supplies 11,441 12,105 11,880 10,069 12,593 10,901 11,679 11,612 11,902 12,200 12,505 12,818 13,138 13,466 13,803 14,148 14,502 14,864 Internal Service Charges 15,504 16,858 14,048 14,890 16,813 19,951 19,951 18,729 19,197 19,773 20,366 20,977 21,606 22,254 22,922 23,610 24,318 25,048 Capital Outlay 5,427 12 257 657 68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Transfers Out-Debt 2,857 2,015 2,993 2,544 2,742 2,708 2,708 2,577 2,715 2,715 734 734 508 281 281 281 281 281 Transfers Out-CIP 3,357 5,814 2,117 6,309 4,811 2,560 3,476 2,108 2,171 2,236 2,303 2,373 2,444 2,517 2,593 2,670 2,750 2,833 Transfers Out-Liability/Other 8,500 5,624 6,252 8,217 9,244 8,473 8,770 9,833 10,029 10,230 10,435 10,643 10,856 11,073 11,295 11,521 11,751 11,986 Budget Additions/Appropriations - - - - - - 4,629 - - - - - - - - - - 7,158 Budget Cuts - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Total Expense 176,608 175,353 178,897 194,277 205,868 204,978 213,286 218,168 224,858 231,284 235,572 243,796 249,362 254,989 258,085 263,044 266,221 278,045 GF Reserves - Surplus/(Use) 5,196 (5,246) 5,743 2,348 4,857 (5,095) (3,269) (1,808) (2,825) (7,397) (8,013) (8,949) (6,964) (4,058) (185) 2,025 1,710 (4,957) ACFR Adjustment (702) (785) (461) (612) (425) - - - - - - - - - - - - Beginning Fund Balance 32,385 36,879 30,847 36,130 37,866 42,298 42,298 39,029 37,221 34,395 26,998 18,985 10,036 3,073 (986) (1,171) 855 2,565 Ending Fund Balance 36,879 30,847 36,130 37,866 42,298 37,203 39,029 37,221 34,395 26,998 18,985 10,036 3,073 (986) (1,171) 855 2,565 (2,393) Bal as % of Expenses 20.9% 17.6% 20.2% 19.5% 20.5% 18.1% 18.3% 17.1% 15.3% 11.7% 8.1% 4.1% 1.2% -0.4% -0.5% 0.3% 1.0% -0.9% Employee Home Loan Program 1,000
ED Corp Loan / Repayment 8,600 (575) (575) (575) (575) (575) (575) (575) (575) (575) (575) Net Ending Fund Balance 36,879 30,847 36,130 37,866 42,298 37,203 29,428 27,620 25,369 18,547 11,109 2,735 (3,653) (7,137) (6,747) (4,146) (1,861) (6,244) Net Bal as % of Expenses 20.9% 17.6% 20.2% 19.5% 20.5% 18.1% 13.8% 12.7% 11.3% 8.0% 4.7% 1.1% -1.5% -2.8% -2.6% -1.6% -0.7% -2.2% ($ in Thousands)

ATTACHMENT IX

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