National City
Climate Action Plan (CAP)
2023 Update
November 2023 Climate Action Plan (CAP)
Agenda
2 CAP Update
Where We’re Going
Emissions Profile
Past Success
Implementation summary
November 2023
CAP Summary
Community-Wide Emissions Inventory
National City & Legislative Baseline Forecasts
Reduction Strategies Overview
Background Overview
State Drivers
Regional Picture
2011 CAP Implementation Status
Unique Profile
Strategies & Priorities
Detailed Greenhouse Gas Reduction
This Climate Action Plan Update (CAP Update) addresses the major sources of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in National City and sets forth a detailed and long-term strategy that the City and community can implement to help the State achieve its GHG emissions reduction targets.
This CAP Update builds upon the goals of the 2011 CAP and provides an updated baseline emissions inventory for the City.
3 CAP Update
November 2023
Where We’re Going
Mitigated Forecast with Legislative Actions and Reduction Strategies November 2023 4
0 100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
2018 2030 2050
BAU Legislative BAU 2030 Target 2050 Target CAP
Metric Tons CO
2 e
5 Emissions Profile
Mitigated Forecast Emissions by Sector
0 100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
Transportation Commercial/Industrial Residential Solid Waste Water & Wastewater GHG Target 2030 GHG Target 2050 November 2023 6
Our Past Success
Where we’ve gone
First CAP Adopted
May 2011
First CAP
Expired
In 2020
CAP Update
To accompany FGPU as
greenhouse gas
mitigation strategy for
buildout of the City
2010 2011 2020 2023
City Accomplishments
2015
Approximately
15 Miles of new
bike facilities
Energy savings
retrofits at 15
City facilities
3 Community
Parks
Implementation of City
fleet modernization
& electrification program
Climate Action Plan
Update Summary
November 2022
November 2023 7
2011 CAP
Implementation Summary
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Water and Wastewater
Solid Waste
Energy
Transportation
Total Measures 2011 Total Implemented
8 Climate Action Plan Summary
November 2022
November 2023
• Developed National City Greenhouse Gas (GHG)
Emissions Inventory (2018)
• Completed Baseline Forecasts
(“Business as Usual” or BAU projections)
• Established GHG Emissions Targets to align with
State targets
• Developed mitigated emissions forecast
• Reviewed National City’s 2011 CAP strategies and
developed revised/new emissions reduction strategies
9 Community Engagement
Community Outreach Completed to Date: 2020 – 2023
• Online Survey
• Webinars (7 total)
• Telephone Office Hours
• Interactive Map
• Stakeholder Interviews
• Planning Commission
& City Council Briefings
• Workshops & Hearings
(for Housing Committee, Planning
Commission, and City Council)
10 Climate Action Plan Summary
Community-Wide Emissions Inventory
November 2023
Closer Look
Transportation
Residential
Waste
Commercial and Industrial
Water and Wastewater
Solid Waste
2%
Waste
0.2%
Residential
9%
Commercial
30%
Transportation
59%
11 Climate Action Plan Summary
National City and Legislative Baseline Forecasts
November 2023
Closer Look
0 100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
2018 2030 2050
BAU Legislative BAU 2030 Target 2050 Target
Metric Tons CO
2 e
12 Climate Action Plan Summary
Reduction Strategies Overview
November 2023
Closer Look
Strategy 2018 2030 2050
Transportation 304,070 188,409 11,242
Commercial/Industrial 153,738 74,377 56,594
Residential 48,872 22,788 17,344
Solid Waste 10,492 11,907 14,367
Water and Wastewater 1,091 1,231 1,486
Emissions avoided from CAP measures -185,171 -138,516
Emissions avoided from Federal and State Regulations -123,888 -494,705 Total Reductions -309,059 -633,221
% Below 2018 Baseline Emissions -42% -81%
November 2023 13
Background Overview
2020 – 2023
State Drivers
What are they
and why do
they matter?
Regional Picture
2020-2023
2011 CAP
Implementation
Status
National City
Summary
Unique Profile
What makes
National City
Unique?
State Drivers
• Electric Vehicle Mandate
• 2045 Net Zero Targets
• CARB Scoping Plan 2022
Background
Overview 2020 – 2023
November 2023 14
2045
Net Zero
Regional Picture
• Formation of San Diego
Community Choice Power
• SANDAG – CAP and
Funding
• El Cajon CAP Rescinded
• City of San Diego CAP
updated 2022 and Status
• Low-hanging fruit is GONE
• Berkeley Decision
Background
Overview 2020 – 2023
November 2023 15
2011 CAP Implementation
Status
National City Summary
Background
Overview 2020 – 2023
November 2023 16
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Water and Wastewater
Solid Waste
Energy
Transportation
Total Measures 2011 Total Implemented
Unique Profile
What makes National City
unique?
• Vehicles Miles Traveled
(VMT) Today and 2050
• Building Stock: Natural Gas
vs. Electric
Background
Overview 2020 – 2023
November 2023 17
VMT Metric
Base Year (2012)
% of Regional
Base Year
(average)
Region National City National City
VMT per capita 17.6 11.1 63.1%
VMT per capita
2050
Without
Project
2050
With
Project
Significant
Impact?
National City 8.33 8.21 No
Regional 14.72 14.72
National City Base Year VMT Metrics
VMT Impact Determination
November 2023 18
Strategies & Priorities
Detailed GHG Reduction
Transportation Commercial /
Industrial
Energy Use
Residential
Energy Use
Solid Waste Water and
Wastewater
19 Strategies & Priorities Detailed GHG Reduction
Transportation
Objective
Reduce Vehicle
Miles Traveled
Encourage
Clean
Transportation
Encourage
Parking
Restrictions and
Prioritizations
Promote
Completion of
Transportation
Studies
Promote
Vehicle and
Driver Efficiency
20 Strategies & Priorities Detailed GHG Reduction
• Encourage high density and mixed-use development
• Reduce parking requirements
• Develop a Transportation Demand Management Plan
• Support San Diego Metropolitan Transit Service (MTS)
• Continue bicycle corridor improvements
• Improve access to bike share and electric scooters
• Increase commuter walking opportunities
• Identify gaps in existing pedestrian network and
address improvement opportunities
• Identify gaps in existing pedestrian network and
address improvement opportunities
• Incorporate the “Complete Streets” principal to capital projects and plans
• Implement strategies that prioritize parking for high occupancy vehicles
• Encourage employers to institute programs that
provide financial incentives for commuters to reduce
their vehicle trips
• Encourage employers to institute telework programs
and alternative work schedules to reduce commuting
during peak hours
Transportation
Strategies
21 Strategies & Priorities Detailed GHG Reduction
Existing Stock New Development
• Exceed Calgreen/Incentives
• LEED certification
• CCE
• Restrict new natural gas connections
• Building electrification
• On-site renewables
• Energy-efficiency upgrades/audits
• Energy financing program/retrofits
Commercial Energy Use Residential Energy Use
Strategies Strategies
• Greenwaste recycling
• Curbside composting
Solid Waste Water & Wastewater
22 Strategies & Priorities Detailed GHG Reduction
• Stormwater re-capture systems in
capital projects
• Water financing program/efficiency
retrofits
What’s Next?
November 2023 23
Monitoring Implementation Continued Community
Engagement
24 In Summary
November 2023
Aligns with FGPU
Goals and Policies
Meets State 2030
and 2050 Targets
CEQA Qualified for
Future Streamlining
November 2023 Climate Action Plan (CAP)
Questions?
26 Mode Share Series 13 Regional Model
Agg Mode
Existing Adopted 2050 Preferred Alt 2050
Trips Mode Share Trips Mode Share
Bike 2,489 0.42% 2,667 0.45%
HOV2 153,440 25.93% 154,282 25.76%
HOV3 89,982 15.21% 90,312 15.08%
Other 5,528 0.93% 5,726 0.96%
SOV 221,612 37.45% 223,940 37.39%
Transit 32,857 5.55% 33,704 5.63%
Walk 85,871 14.51% 88,375 14.75%
27 Mode Share ACS: Means of Transportation to Work
Mode United States California San Diego
County National City
Bicycle 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7%
Drove Alone
Car, Truck, or Van 74.9% 72.1% 73.9% 66.0%
Carpool
Car, Truck, or Van 8.9% 10.0% 8.7% 15.5%
Transit 4.6% 4.6% 2.6% 5.1%
Walked 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 7.0%
Other Means 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7%
Worked at Home 7.3% 8.4% 9.6% 4.1%
Source: American Community Survey 2020 5-Year Estimates, Table S0801