Cityof P Beach
Federal A
DECEMBER 2024
GREG BURNS, THORN RUN PARTNERS THORN RUN PARTNERS REDEFINING THE ART OF ADVOCACY.
THORN RUN PARTNERS
oEaMErat., = 2024 Election Results : President �j Election 2024 How Trump won Presidential results 2020 vs.2024 Voter turnout Senate results More k_J upuaiea y:lr a.rn.tl
Next update in 4 seconds
SHIFT SINCE 2020
Smaller
I - To Dems To GOP
Largershift
*-At least 35%counted F 90%
Hover over an area to view details
There were big swings towarRepublicans in•Newk Yo� Co..
Trump improved in his 2020
margins in nearly every
county,but particularly inl`. �.h
a a small cities and rural areas. ;
° The Atlanta suburbs were
place Harris improved on
;Biden's 2020 performance.
oOTrumpcontinuedhis „c� Trump won Miami-Dade'
2020 improvements in County,which shifted,
Texas border counties. 19 points rightward.
THORN RUN P A R T N E R S
�oEaMErRr.,, = 2024 Election Results : House & Senate 2024 House Election Results 2024 Senate Election Results 215 220 47 53
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IMPORTANT CAVEAT: With three House vacancies due to appointments to the Trump Administration, the real margin in the House for the first few months of 2025 will be 217-215 — a one vote margin!
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Post - E le ct i o n Ti m e li n e
Week of Nov. 11 Week of Nov.18 Week of Nov.25 Dec 2-20 *Congress returns for"lame duck" *Congress in session -Congress out for Thanksgiving *Final 3 weeks of the 118th •Presidential transition process •House&Senate Democratic break Congress formally begins Leadership elections > > *Committee leadership *House GOP leadership elections recommendations from Dem/GOP (11/13) steering committees possible •Senate GOP Leadership elections *Government funding deadline:
*New member orientation Dec.20, 2024, at 11:59 PM EST Jan.2,2025 Jan.3 Early-Mid Jan. Mid-Late Jan.2025. *House speakership elections
-Federal debt limit to be reinstated •118th Congress adjourns; 119th -House&Senate rosters for key"A" -Presidential inauguration (1/20) Congress gets sworn-in and "B"committees likely to be *Additional confirmation hearings *Rules package for House to be > announced likely,subject matter hearings to introduced *First congressional hearings likely begin in earnest to begin,likely with a focus on
confirmations of new cabinet
officials and adopting
rules/procedures
Late April Sept.30,2025 Dec.31,2025
*Penalty for use of a CR in FY 2025 *Statutory government funding date -Core provisions of the Tax Cuts under the Fiscal Responsibility Act *Discretionary spending caps and Jobs Act expire *Defense and nondefense funding > enacted in FRA expire levels by 1 percent if
appropriations bills are not
enacted by April 30
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oEaMErat., = FY 2025 Government Funding Status of 125 Appropriatio
— Congress has until Friday, Dec. 20, 2024, to - pass a government funding deal. Agriculture-FDA Floor Vote Postponed Passed Full Committee Commerce-Justice-Science Floor Vote Postponed Passed Full Committee — Lawmakers likely to pass another short-term CR
Defense Passed House Passed Full Committee to March to give the new administration and the Considered on the Floor, 119th Congress more leeway over future spending Energy-Water Proceedings Postponed Passed Full Committee levels. Financial Services& General
Floor Vote Postponed Passed Full Committee
Government
Homeland Security Passed House Passed Full Committee Interior-Environment Passed House Passed Full Committee Labor-HHS-Education Floor Vote Postponed Passed Full Committee Legislative Branch Initial Passage Failed Passed Full Committee MilCon-VA Passed House Passed Full Committee State-Foreign Ops Passed House Passed Full Committee Transportation-HUD Floor Vote Postponed Passed Full Committee
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�oEaMErRr.,, = Policies to Watch in " Lame Duck " & Beyond . ..........
,-Syl
l _ •F L6 ,,• a +
Government Funding FY 2025 NDAA Debt Ceiling Health Extenders+ Farm Bill Water Resources Physician Pay Development Act
• PEACE
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,
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Families ANIF)
NATIONAL FLOOD ' •• "/AGNOSM"'
INgHRONCF PRO RAM •
National Flood Insurance Artificial Intelligence& PandemicTemporary Assistance for Preparedness Older Americans Act Program Reauthorization Data Privacy Reauthorization Reauthorization Needy Families(TANF) Reauthorization Digital Assets d/ / 1 1, A
Cannabis Banking Opioid
340B Reform Legislation Treatment/Fentanyl Rail Safety Tracking
THORN RUN P A R T N E R S
oEaMErRr.,I.— Trump 2 . 0 Legislative Agenda Tax legislation to build on and codify the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Boosting domestic energy production
(TCJA)of 2017.
Across-the-board tariffs ranging from 10-20% Repeal effort of IRA&CHIPS Strict immigration and migration policy Drug importation v
Repeal of Biden administration regulations ranging from health, Affordable Care Act reform/repeal banking, energy, climate, ESG, & DEL
Merger-friendly Antitrust policy College sport participation & NIL reform 60%tariff on all Chinese goods Permitting Reform
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oEaMErat., . First Legislative Task : Budget Reconciliation START END
• sw co,
BudgetRmlutior xitn
t • Reconciliation President's
• , 25 reconciliation
•
Desk opportunities
kecommrrsds pohc ee s
Budget Resolution
that make chances up Tax bill
to[he 1•Y•1spec.Lod
with RYCGnbhati" ininstr ucunns Resolve Initructions:S
amended{or noll w • Border security, energy • and passed out of •
IEC]L:SCfS4naL4 needed)
r policy, health care, what
Each body comiden else?
Shf r4cormAiatim biil
OR a"Im trams,'wah
stNd lirnAs on time
t $ends ngnicto and amendments•
to one pR multiple and a 54Yatt Past
reconciliation
. • •
Differenc- c
commist4es • LhrlShGld rA the
Senjte
ills
Irons out differences Passes Can;ressional
in budget resolutions lBudset R*�lut on. • Mostly tax bills (including — A
Send i In iteumorni t0
Cammivae Trump and GW Bush tax bills) • ARPA
Corr prlesr W0 • Inflation Reduction Act
Recommends pali<ies that singit bill
make changes up to t#re
Ie"I specdred m
�nstrucSions
'Example
THORN RUN P A R T N E R S
oEaMErRr.,, = The Secret to Effective Governing BimPARTISANSHIP .1
Most meaningful bills are passed in a bi-partisan manner:
annual appropriations bills, CARES Act, BIL, Chips Act, etc.
THORN RUN P A R T N E R S
oEaMErRr.,, = Future Opportunities and Challenges BipartisanContinuation of Community Funded Projects
- Law expires at - • of - • - • - 2026, during next Congress • Still two years to help the City with grant applications, etc. • Debate on the future of the bill will begin in 2025
Tax biLL Could threaten tax exempt municipal bonds
Reauthorization of Farm Bill, Older Americans Act still needed Department of Government•We've seen this before -- will it be successful this time? Expansion of Executive Authority
• " } 11
Article 1 of the Constitution: all legislative Powers herein granted shall be vested .� n ,• ' �_�� in a Congress of the United States:' r: °f,. ' " •Article 2 creates the Executive Branch.
FY24: Improvements to FY25: Shell Beach Road
Water Reservoirs Shared Use Path Project
• $500,000 thanks to Rep. • 2.5M thanks to Rep. Carbajal FY26 project TBD Pismo Beach Federal Efforts
Carbajal • Requested by SLOCOG,
strongly supported by Pismo
Beach
Central Coast Blue
Federal Funding Federal grant Constant
• Ongoing support ready when/if engagement; daylighting monitoring/engaging on a necessary new opportunities host of other issues • �$15M secured to date
THORN
2025 Federal Agenda
Central Coast Blue & Infrastructure
Vandenberg Space Force Base
Emergency Services Support and Wildfire and the Wildland Urban Interface Energy Issues
Diablo•
Canyon Nuclear Power Plant
Offshore•
• Offshore oil & • .
Open Space Opportunities
Monarch Butterfly
Community Development Bloch=11111 ill 1111Progra1111
m
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Q u e st i o n s ?
Thankyou !
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GOVERNMENT RELATIONS