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CITY OF SAN PABLO
March 2024
Contents
Fixed income market review 3
Activity and performance summary 4
Recap of securities held 6
Maturity distribution of securities held 7
Securities held 8
GASB 40 - Deposit and investment risk disclosure 12
Securities sold and matured 16
Detail of return and interest received 17
Transaction report 20
Additional information 21
FIXED INCOME MARKET REVIEW
As of March 31, 2024
CITY OF SAN PABLO
Chart 1: The Fed’s “dot plot” remained largely unchanged Source: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Insight, March 31, 2024 Chart 2: Q4 GDP was revised up again
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, FRED, Insight, March 31, 2024 Economic Indicators and Monetary Policy
The Federal Reserve left the Fed Funds Rate and its quantitat ive tightening operations unchanged at the March meeting. The “dot plot” continued to project three rate hikes in 2024, albeit reflecting one less cut over 2025 and 2026, and its eco nomic forecasts were largely unchanged. (Chart 1.) Some members raised their estimate of the
neutral
or longer run
equilibrium rate, although this only nudged the median estimate up slightly from 2.5% to 2.6%.
Chair Powell signaled an announcement that