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CITY OF SAN PABLO
December 2024
Contents
Fixed income market review 3
Activity and performance summary 4
Recap of securities held 6
Maturity distribution of securities held 7
Securities held 8
GASB 40 - Deposit and investment risk disclosure 13
Securities purchased 18
Securities sold and matured 19
Detail of return and interest received 20
Transaction report 23
Additional information 24
FIXED INCOME MARKET REVIEW
As of December 31, 2024
CITY OF SAN PABLO
Chart 1: The FOMC projects a gentler rate cutting cycle Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, December 31, 2024 Chart 2: Payrolls rebound after hurricane-related disruptions Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, December 31, 2024 Economic Indicators and Monetary Policy
The FOMC cut the Fed Funds rate by 25bp, taking it to a range of 4 .25% to 4.5%, with one member dissenting.
The central bank also adjusted its median “dot plot” interes t rate projections to reflect only two rate cuts in 2025, down from the four it projected in Septe mber. Additionally, it slightly increased its median projection for the longer run “neutral” rate slightly from 2.9% to 3%.
The FOMC increased both its headline and core inflation proj ections for 2025 from 2.1% and
2.2% respectively to 2.5%. Chair Powell acknowledged that
some
committee members did
start to consider President-elect Trump
s fiscal policy agenda, although he emphasized that
the potential impact of tariffs remains highly uncertain at this stage.
CPI rose from 2.6% to 2.7% and PCE from 2.3% to 2.4%. Core CPI remained at 3.3%, and core PCE remained at 2.8%. However, the