STAFF REPORT
Board of Directors - SB
MEETING DATE: January 16, 2025
STAFF CONTACT: Jacky Mata, SBCAG
SUBJECT: FINAL MEASURE A REVENUE ESTIMATES FOR FISCAL YEARS 25/26 TO 29/30
ATTACHMENTS: Attachment A - Measure D and Measure A Revenues Attachment B - Development Schedule
Attachment C Measure A Local POP Submittal Form - FY 25-26 Attachment D Final FY 25-26 Tables 1-5
RECOMMENDATION:
Approve the final Measure A revenue estimates for Fiscal Years 2025/26 to 2029/30.
DISCUSSION:
As the Local Transportation Authority, SBCAG allocates Measure A transportation sales tax revenues according to the voter-approved ordinance and investment plan. Integral to this responsibility, SBCAG staff prepares five-year revenue estimates that are used annually to develop the Measure A Program of Projects (POP), which the SBCAG Board will adopt in May. The attached tables provide draft projected revenues for FY 2025/26 to FY 2029/30.
The revenue estimates reflect the repayment of a $75 million TIFIA loan to accommodate the construction of the U.S. 101 HOV Phase 4 project. This TIFIA loan issuance will impact the overall program, with debt payments that began in FY 2022/23.
The estimates allow local agencies to prepare their Measure A Programs of Projects. SBCAG is responsible for preparing the Authority Program of Projects. The Local Program of Projects will be due to SBCAG by March 31, 2025 . The draft Measure A Program of Projects will be presented for review in May and adopted by the Board in June.
Estimates of Measure A allocations for the five-year period are presented in the attached tables as follows in Attachment D:
Table 1 – Five-Year Measure A Revenue Estimate
Table 1 presents the overall Measure A program revenue estimate for the five-year period. HdL, SBCAG’s revenue analysis consultant, developed the revenue projection for FY 25/26, which is 2.4% higher than the projection for FY 24/25.
The 5-year revenue projections being presented take into consideration the following factors:
FY 25/26: The Federal Reserve is expected to continue its rate-cutting campaign through mid- 2026, with rates stabilizing between 2.75% and 3.00%, according to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members’ consensus projection for the anticipated trajectory of interest rates. likelihood a soft landing has increased significantly. However, short-term The of Attachment C
economic growth is projected to remain below average, reflecting ongoing economic risks and the time required for the full impact of these cuts to stimulate the economy. FY 26/27: Following several years of below-trend growth after the extraordinary surges in FY 20/21 and 21/22, which satisfied several years of future demand, growth is expected to accelerate. As the economy continues to normalize, the growth rate is anticipated to return to a rate closer to the long-term historical trend.
FY 27/28: The auto and transportation markets are expected to significantly contribute to renewed growth after years of market distortions. As inventory, pricing, and financing rates become more favorable, consumers will likely begin replacing vehicles that have reached an average age of 12.6 years. Additionally, the housing market is expected to ramp up as policymakers and the marketplace address the acute housing shortage in California.
FY 28/29: Business industrial development is projected to accelerate due to increased technological investments in automation, robotics, artificial intelligence, and the electrification of the economy. These investments will be necessary to address emerging challenges and are expected to result in robust returns on investment. This period is anticipated to see a faster increase in overall productivity compared to the post-2008 years, driving a cycle of improved growth.
FY 29/30 and beyond: This period represents a normal business cycle, eventually including a recession or economic slowdown. The United States will face challenges such as high debt levels, expanding burdens from entitlement programs, and an aging workforce, with the birth rate below the replacement rate. However, advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), robotics, and other technological innovations, along with immigration, may provide solutions to these issues. These factors could help offset labor shortages and enhance productivity, marking a significant shift from the recent post-2008 productivity slump, which is believed to have ended with the COVID-19 pandemic in 2019.
Table 1 shows annual deductions for CDTFA administration costs, which are a maximum of 1.15%. In addition, the table includes a gross revenue deduction of 1.0% for SBCAG administrative costs.
As discussed by TTAC, SBCAG was approved for a Federal TIFIA Loan by the Build America Bureau to provide financing for SBCAG’s Measure A match for the SB1 Cycle 1 award for construction of the U.S. 101 HOV project. This will be required to continue annual apportionments of Local Street & Transportation Improvement and transit funding while constructing segment(s) of the HOV project.
Debt service estimates have been incorporated in Table 1, which assumes a TIFIA loan of $75 million beginning in FY 22/23 and drawn down through FY 24/25. The borrowing amount and debt service estimates are the most conservative approach, with the possibility of being revised slightly downward.
This table also includes deductions off the top for consultant assistance, ongoing consultation with the financial advisor, and TIFIA reporting assistance.
This table includes the proposed deduction off the top for Replica. Replica is a planning tool that benefits planning projects, public outreach, application development, and numerous other tasks.
Following the September 2023 TTAC meeting, TTAC members agreed to fund a regionwide and ongoing subscription with off-the-top Measure A funds. Doing so would enable the region to retain access to Replica through the expiration of Measure A. To extend the current agreement, Replica offered a non-escalating fee of $96,000 annually through 2040 to cover all regional agencies. (The cost would have been approximately $500,000 annually if each agency subscribed individually).
Finally, the table assumes that interest will be earned on the Measure A fund balance and allocated at the same percentages as the sales tax revenues.
Attachment C
Table 2A – North County and South Coast Annual Allocation Table 2A lists the allocations to be made annually over the five-year period to programs in the North County and South Coast sub-programs. The investment plan specifies that the North County and South Coast programs receive 43.3% of the total measure revenues over 30 years. However, the amount of funding that projects or programs within the sub-programs are to receive is reflected in the investment plan as estimated revenues (in $) over 30 years, not as a percentage. So, dollar amounts have been used to derive a percentage of the sub-program revenue that each will receive annually.
The percentages reflected are the same as those from last year.
Table 2B – Highway 101 HOV Widening & Other Named Projects The estimated revenues available for the South Coast Highway 101 HOV project and other “named” projects are reflected in Table 2B. The estimate is derived by deducting the North County and South Coast annual allocation total from the net revenues available for allocation in Table 1.
Table 3 – Local Street & Transportation Improvement Revenues Table 3 derives the estimated North County and South Coast Local Street and Transportation Improvement revenues by jurisdiction within sub-regions using the LSTI estimate from Table 2A and population estimates from January 2024. The North County and South Coast unincorporated population split is based on the 2020 census. The investment plan specifies that each local agency on the South Coast will provide SBMTD with a percentage of their gross LTSI allocation for transit operations. These estimates are reflected in Table 3. The funds will be distributed directly to SBMTD per the investment plan. The table also reflects the minimum percentage of LTSI funding and the corresponding dollar amount each local agency must expend on alternative transportation by the end of the five-year period, as required by the Investment Plan.
Table 4 – Specialized Transit for Elderly & Disabled
Table 4 reflects the estimated revenues for Easy Lift, the sole specialized transit service provider on the South Coast, and a revenue estimate for the North County based on population and paratransit ridership. Per the investment plan, transit operators and Consolidated Transportation Service Agencies are eligible recipients of this funding, which is intended to reduce fares charged to the elderly and disabled by funding operating expenses of specialized services. Half of the annual North County Specialized Transit funding is allocated based on population, with a $5,000 base allocation to Guadalupe and SMOOTH, and the other half is allocated based on specialized transit ridership figures. Table 4 reflects population figures from the Department of Finance for January 2024 and specialized transit ridership figures from FY 23/24 provided by Transit Operators.
Table 5 – Local & Authority Program of Projects
This table summarizes revenue estimates reflected in Tables 1-4, organized by the two Programs of Projects, a Local program, and an Authority program, that the ordinance requires SBCAG to adopt annually. It includes a column showing which agencies are responsible for preparing the various components of the two POPs.
Program of Projects Submittal Form
Annually, SBCAG and local agency recipients of Measure A funds are required to adopt programs of projects showing how Measure A funds will be spent over the five-year period. The current Local Program of Projects Submittal form is included in Attachment C. It is based on Appendix B1 (Local Street and Transportation Improvements Funding Eligible Uses) and Appendix B2 (eligible Local Attachment C
Street and Transportation Improvements Funding Alternative Transportation Expenditures) of the Measure A Investment Plan.
The submittal form also includes a designated area for agencies to identify how they meet their prescribed alternative transportation expenditure percentages. These percentages for local alternative expenditures must be met by the end of the fourth quinquennium of the program (FY 29/30). One column is to be used exclusively by the County to identify expenditures on Class 2 bikeway maintenance that may be counted towards its alternative transportation percentage. The County may count 50% of such expenditures towards its percentages, but these expenditures may not exceed 50% of the prescribed rate in the five-year period.
Schedule
Attachment B to this report includes a summary schedule of the Measure A POP process. The local Programs of Projects are due to SBCAG by March 31, 2025. SBCAG staff will present them for review in May and adoption in June.
Attachment C
Attachment A
Measure D and Measure A Revenues
Fiscal Years 2005/06 to 2025/26
* Projected through end of Fiscal Year (Provided by HdL) ** Projected
Program Fiscal Year Revenues Growth Rate
Measure D
2005-06 $31,009,268
2006-07 $32,760,075 5.6%
2007-08 $32,573,516 -0.6%
2008-09 $29,769,950 -8.6%
2009-10 $27,047,320 -9.1%
Measure A
2010-11 $29,175,863 7.9%
2011-12 $32,084,170 10.0%
2012-13 $33,020,369 2.9%
2013-14 $34,817,454 5.4%
2014-15 $36,274,326 4.2%
2015-16 $36,952,647 1.9%
2016-17 $37,497,469 1.5%
2017-18 $37,255,453 -0.6%
2018-19 $42,398,043 13.8%
2019-20 $40,372,225 -4.8%
2020-21 $46,257,033 14.6%
2021-22 $53,769,084 16.2%
2022-23 $54,916,379 2.1%
2023-24 $54,989,323 0.1%
2024-25* $55,058,323 0.1%
2025-26** $56,352,323 2.4%
Attachment C
Attachment B
Measure A Program of Projects
Development Schedule
FY 2025/26 Cycle
Action Date
Review of Draft Revenue Estimates
SBCAG provides the Technical Transportation Advisory
Committee with a draft five-year estimate of the Measure A revenues for comment.
November 7
SBCAG approves Measure A Revenue Estimates for FY 25/26 January 16 POP Submittal Date
Local agencies and SBMTD Service Agencies submit a five-year program of projects to SBCAG. The project listing should be prepared and adopted consistent with the Measure A Ordinance.
March 31, 2025
Review of POPs
SBCAG staff reviews local programs of projects and seeks modifications as necessary. SBCAG staff also develops the Draft Measure A Program of Projects for review in May.
April 2025
Draft Measure A POP is presented to TTAC and SBCAG Board May 2025 SBCAG Board Approval of POP
SBCAG Board approves Local and Authority Program of Projects and allocation of Measure A funds for FY 25/26.
June 19, 2025
Attachment C
Local Street & Transportation Improvements Total Project Cost
For Santa Barbara County
Only
Project Descriptions
FY 23/24
Actual
Expenditures
Carry-over
from FY
23/24
Carry-over
from FY
24/25
FY 25/26 FY 26/27 FY 27/28 FY 28/29 FY 29/30 TOTAL Measure A Revenues Local State Federal TOTAL Non-Measure A
Revenues
Class 2 Bikeway Maintenance
Expenditure - Count as
Alternative Transportation
Expenditure
Maintainance, Improvement or Construction of Roadways & Bridges $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Safety Improvements
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Urban Forestry Street Tree Program
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Storm Damage Repair to Transportation Facilities
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Roadway Drainage Facilities
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Traffic Signal Coordination, Intersection Channelization $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Traffic Management
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Landscaping Maintenance
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Highway Improvements
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Matching Funds for State and Regional Programs and Projects $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
TOTAL 0 $ 0$ 0$ 0$ 0$ 0$ 0 $ 0 $ 0$ 0$ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $0
Alternative Transportation Expenditures Total Project
Cost
Project Descriptions
FY 23/24
Actual
Expenditures
Carry-over
from FY
23/24
Carry-over
from FY
24/25
FY 25/26 FY 26/27 FY 27/28 FY 28/29 FY 29/30 TOTAL Measure A Revenues Local State Federal TOTAL Non-Measure A
Revenues
Maintenance, Repair, Construction & Improvement of Bike & Ped Facilities $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Safe Routes to School Improvements
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Reduced Transit Fares for Seniors & Disabled
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Bus and Rail Transit Services and Facilties
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
Programs, Education, & Incentives to Reduce Single Occupant Auto Trips or Transportation Demand
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
TOTAL ALTERNATIVE TRANSPORTATION EXPENDITURES 0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 0 $ 0$ 0$ 0$ 0$ 0$ 0 $ 0 $ 0$ 0$ 0 $ 0 $ 0 Alternative Transportation Summary
TOTAL MEASURE A ALLOCATION (FY 2025/26 TO 2029/30) $0
MINIMUM ALTERNATIVE PERCENTAGE PRESCRIBED BY INVESTMENT PLAN TO BE MET BY FY 2029/30 FOR FISCAL YEARS 2025/26 THROUGH 2029/30 Enter
Percentage
TOTAL MEASURE A ALLOCATION TO ALTERNATIVE TRANSPORTATION $0 $0 PERCENTAGE OF MEASURE A ALLOCATION TO ALTERNATIVE TRANSPORTATION Enter Percentage
Measure A Revenues Non-Measure A Revenues
Non-Measure A Revenues
City/County of ______________
Measure A Local Street and Transportation Improvements Submittal Form Five Year Measure A Program of Projects (Fys 25/26 to 29/30) (Figures in $1000's)
Measure A Revenues
Attachment C
FY 25/26 FY 26/27 FY 27/28 FY 28/29 FY 29/30 TOTAL
Total Receipts1 $56,352,323 $58,060,323 $59,907,323 $61,838,323 $63,842,323 $300,000,615 Board of Equalization Costs ($650,352) ($669,994) ($691,234) ($713,441) ($736,487) ($3,461,507) Administrative Costs (up to 1.15% on receipts)
Administration: SBCAG Staff + Indirect Costs ($565,523) ($582,603) ($601,073) ($620,383) ($640,423) ($3,010,006) (no more than 1% of receipts for administration and
audits)
Measure A TIFIA Reporting, HdL revenue
analysis 3 ($60,000) ($60,000) ($60,000) ($60,000) ($60,000) ($300,000) Replica Annual Subscription 4 ($96,000) ($96,000) ($96,000) ($96,000) ($96,000) ($480,000) Debt Service on TIFIA Loan 2 ($2,836,542) ($8,476,292) ($8,473,474) ($8,468,250) ($8,469,173) ($36,723,731) Interest on Measure A Fund Balance $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 $1,000,000 Based on historical data
Available for Allocation $52,343,906 $48,375,434 $50,185,542 $52,080,249 $54,040,240 $257,025,371
1. Growth rate figures and revenue estimate for FY 25/26 provided by SBCAG's revenue analysis consultant, HdL.
2. Debt service estimates assume TIFIA loan of $75 million (drawn down through FY 24/25) at 4.02% assumed rate.
3. This also includes $50,000 for TIFIA reporting assistance and $10,000 for revenue monitoring services
4. Includes $96,000 annually for Replica
Table 1 - Total Receipts and Available Allocations
Final Five Year Measure A Revenue Estimate
FY 2025/26 to FY 2029/30
12/17/2024
Attachment C
Investment Plan
Total % FY 25/26 FY 26/27 FY 27/28 FY 28/29 FY 29/30 TOTAL North County Annual Allocations $455,000,000 43.3%
Local Street and Transportation Improvements $341,000,000 74.9% $16,986,230 $15,698,413 $16,285,815 $16,900,670 $17,536,711 $83,407,840 Specialized Transit for Elderly and Disabled $4,500,000 1.0% $224,158 $207,164 $214,915 $223,029 $231,423 $1,100,690 Safe Routes to School, Bicycle & Pedestrian Program $3,000,000 0.7% $149,439 $138,109 $143,277 $148,686 $154,282 $733,793 Carpool and Vanpool Program $2,000,000 0.4% $99,626 $92,073 $95,518 $99,124 $102,855 $489,196 Interregional Transit Program $22,500,000 4.9% $1,120,792 $1,035,819 $1,074,577 $1,115,147 $1,157,114 $5,503,450 Subtotal $18,580,246 $17,171,578 $17,814,102 $18,486,657 $19,182,385 $91,234,968 South County Annual Allocations $455,000,000 43.3%
Local Street and Transportation Improvements $330,650,000 72.7% $16,470,666 $15,221,936 $15,791,509 $16,387,703 $17,004,439 $80,876,253 Safe Routes to School Program $13,000,000 2.9% $647,569 $598,473 $620,867 $644,307 $668,555 $3,179,771 Bicycle & Pedestrian Program $13,000,000 2.9% $647,569 $598,473 $620,867 $644,307 $668,555 $3,179,771 South Coast Transit Capital Program $27,000,000 5.9% $1,344,951 $1,242,983 $1,289,493 $1,338,176 $1,388,537 $6,604,140 Interregional Transit Program $25,350,000 5.6% $1,262,759 $1,167,023 $1,210,690 $1,256,399 $1,303,682 $6,200,553 Specialized Transit for Elderly and Disabled $6,000,000 1.3% $298,878 $276,218 $286,554 $297,372 $308,564 $1,467,587 Carpool and Vanpool Program $7,000,000 1.5% $348,691 $322,255 $334,313 $346,935 $359,991 $1,712,184 Commuter/Passenger Rail $25,000,000 5.5% $1,245,325 $1,150,910 $1,193,975 $1,239,052 $1,285,683 $6,114,944 Subtotal $22,266,407 $20,578,272 $21,348,268 $22,154,251 $22,988,006 $109,335,203 $40,846,653 $37,749,850 $39,162,370 $40,640,908 $42,170,390 $200,570,172 FY 25/26 FY 26/27 FY 27/28 FY 28/29 FY 29/30 TOTAL
$11,497,253 $10,625,584 $11,023,171 $11,439,341 $11,869,850 $56,455,199Highway 101 HOV Widening & Other Named Projects Total of North & South Annual Allocations
Table 2A - North County and South Coast Annual Allocations Five Year Measure A Revenue Estimate
FY 2025/26 to FY 2029/30
Table 2B - Highway 101 HOV Widening & Other Named Projects Five Year Measure A Revenue Estimate
FY 2025/26 to FY 2029/30
12/17/2024
Attachment C
Jurisdiction Population Population % FY 25/26 FY 26/27 FY 27/28 FY 28/29 FY 29/30 TOTAL Alternative
Mode
Percentage
Total North County Estimates 238,018 100.000% $16,986,230 $15,698,413 $16,285,815 $16,900,670 $17,536,711 $83,407,840 Buellton 4,970 2.088% $442,156 $415,266 $427,531 $440,370 $453,651 $2,178,975 5% Guadalupe 8,676 3.645% $697,294 $650,352 $671,763 $694,175 $717,359 $3,430,942 5% Lompoc 43,610 18.322% $3,102,303 $2,866,347 $2,973,972 $3,086,626 $3,203,162 $15,232,411 15% Santa Maria 110,608 46.470% $7,714,737 $7,116,284 $7,389,252 $7,674,977 $7,970,548 $37,865,798 15% Solvang 5,663 2.379% $489,866 $459,226 $473,201 $487,830 $502,963 $2,413,085 15% Co. of Santa Barbara (unincorporated North County) 64,491 27.095% $4,539,874 $4,190,938 $4,350,096 $4,516,692 $4,689,028 $22,286,629 10% Total South Coast Estimates 205,605 100.000% $16,470,666 $15,221,936 $15,791,509 $16,387,703 $17,004,439 $80,876,253 Carpinteria 12,744 6.198% $1,096,109 $1,018,709 $1,054,013 $1,090,967 $1,129,194 $5,388,992 % of Gross Allocation for SC Transit Operations 7.96% $87,250 $81,089 $83,899 $86,841 $89,884 $428,964 Carpinteria $1,008,859 $937,620 $970,114 $1,004,126 $1,039,310 $4,960,029 10% Goleta 32,515 15.814% $2,641,470 $2,443,992 $2,534,066 $2,628,350 $2,725,882 $12,973,759 % of Gross Allocation for SC Transit Operations 13.18% $348,146 $322,118 $333,990 $346,417 $359,271 $1,709,941 Goleta $2,293,324 $2,121,873 $2,200,076 $2,281,933 $2,366,611 $11,263,818 10% Santa Barbara City 85,679 41.672% $6,796,927 $6,276,560 $6,513,911 $6,762,355 $7,019,360 $33,369,113 % of Gross Allocation for SC Transit Operations 26.05% $1,770,600 $1,635,044 $1,696,874 $1,761,594 $1,828,543 $8,692,654 Santa Barbara City $5,026,328 $4,641,516 $4,817,037 $5,000,762 $5,190,817 $24,676,459 10% Co. of Santa Barbara (unincorporated South Coast) 74,667 36.316% $5,936,159 $5,482,676 $5,689,520 $5,906,031 $6,130,002 $29,144,388 % of Gross Allocation for SC Transit Operations 11.12% $660,101 $609,674 $632,675 $656,751 $681,656 $3,240,856 Co. of Santa Barbara (unincorporated South Coast) $5,276,058 $4,873,002 $5,056,845 $5,249,280 $5,448,346 $25,903,532 10% South Coast Transit Operations Program TOTAL $2,866,097 $2,647,925 $2,747,438 $2,851,602 $2,959,355 $14,072,415 Population estimates reflect California Department of Finance (DOF) figures for January 2023. https://dof.ca.gov/forecasting/de mographics/estimates-e1/ North/South unincorporated split is based on 2020 US Census, 2020 American Community Survey, 5 year estimates All local jurisdictions receive a $100,000 base allocation Alternative Mode Percentages per the Measure A Investment Plan Table 3 - Local Agency Apportionments
Five Year Measure A Revenue Estimate
FY 2025/26 to FY 2029/30
12/17/2024
Attachment C
FY 25/26 FY 26/27 FY 27/28 FY 28/29 FY 29/30 TOTAL
North County
Population 238,018 100.000000% $112,079 $103, 582 $107,458 $111,515 $115,711 $550,345 Ridership* 88,616 100.000000% $112,079 $103, 582 $107,458 $111,515 $115,711 $550,345 Lompoc Valley
City of Lompoc Transit (COLT)
Population 60,644 25.478541% $28,556 $26,391 $27,379 $28,412 $29,482 $140,220 Ridership 9,346 10.546628% $11,821 $10,924 $11,333 $11,761 $12,204 $58,043 Lompoc Valley Total $40,377 $37,316 $38,712 $40,173 $41,685 $198,263 Santa Maria Valley 155,093 65.160124% $73,031 $67,494 $70,020 $72,663 $75,398 $358,605 Guadalupe Transit
Population $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $25,000
Ridership 1,202 1.356414% $1,520 $1,405 $1,458 $1,513 $1,570 $7,465 Guadalupe Total $6,520 $6,405 $6,458 $6,513 $6,570 $32,465 Santa Maria Regional Transit (SMRT)
Population $63,031 $57,494 $60,020 $62,663 $65,398 $308,605 Ridership 12,346 13.932021% $15, 615 $14,431 $14,971 $15,536 $16,121 $76,674 SMRT Total $78,646 $71,925 $74,991 $78,199 $81,519 $385,280 Santa Maria Organization of Transportation Helpers (SMOOTH) $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $25,000
Ridership 63,440 71.589781% $80, 237 $74,154 $76,929 $79,833 $82,838 $393,991 SMOOTH Total $85,237 $79,154 $81,929 $84,833 $87,838 $418,991 Santa Ynez Valley
Santa Ynez Valley Transit (SYVT)
Population 22,282 9.361335% $10,492 $9,697 $10,059 $10,439 $10,832 $51,520 Ridership 2,282 2.575156% $2,886 $2,667 $2,767 $2,872 $2,980 $14,172 Santa Ynez Valley Total $13,378 $12,364 $12,827 $13,311 $13,812 $65,692 NORTH COUNTY TOTAL $224,158 $207,164 $214,915 $223,029 $231,423 $1,100,690 South Coast
Easy Lift $298,878 $276,218 $286,554 $297,372 $308,564 $1,467,587 SOUTH COAST TOTAL $298,878 $276,218 $286,554 $297, 372 $308,564 $1,467,587 Notes:
- Population estimates reflect California Department of Finance (DOF) figures for January 2024. - Ridership figures are based on Fiscal Year 23/24 Specialized Transit figures provided by Transit Operators.
Table 4 - Specialized Transit for Elderly & Disabled
5-Year Measure A Revenue Estimate
FY 2025/26 to FY 2029/30
12/17/2024
Attachment C
Local Street & Transportation Improvements FY 25/26 FY 26/27 FY 27/28 FY 28/29 FY 29/30 POP Prepared by Buellton $442,156 $415,266 $427,531 $440,370 $453,651 City Guadalupe $697,294 $650,352 $671,763 $694,175 $717,359 City Lompoc $3,102,303 $2,866,347 $2,973,972 $3,086,626 $3,203,162 City Santa Maria $7,714,737 $7,116,284 $7,389,252 $7,674,977 $7,970,548 City Solvang $489,866 $459,226 $473,201 $487,830 $502,963 City Co. of Santa Barbara (North County) $4,539,874 $4,190,938 $4,350,096 $4,516,692 $4,689,028 County Co. of Santa Barbara (South County) $5,276,058 $4,873,002 $5,056,845 $5,249,280 $5,448,346 County Carpinteria $1,008,859 $937,620 $970,114 $1,004,126 $1,039,310 City Goleta $2,293,324 $2,121,873 $2,200,076 $2,281,933 $2,366,611 City Santa Barbara City $5,026,328 $4,641,516 $4,817,037 $5,000,762 $5,190,817 City Subtotal $30,590,800 $28,272,425 $29,329,887 $30,436,772 $31,581,795 North County FY 25/26 FY 26/27 FY 27/28 FY 28/29 FY 29/30 POP Prepared by Specialized Transit for Elderly and Disabled
- City of Lompoc Transit (COLT) $40,377 $37,316 $38,712 $40,173 $41,685 Lompoc - Guadalupe Transit $6,520 $6,405 $6,458 $6,513 $6,570 Guadalupe - Santa Maria Area Transit (SMAT) $78,646 $71,925 $74,991 $78,199 $81,519 Santa Maria - Santa Maria Organization of Transp. Helpers $85,237 $79,154 $81,929 $84,833 $87,838 SMOOTH - Santa Ynez Valley Transit (SYVT) $13,378 $12,364 $12,827 $13,311 $13,812 Solvang Safe Routes to School, Bike & Ped Program $149,439 $138,109 $143,277 $148,686 $154,282 SBCAG Carpool and Vanpool Program $99,626 $92,073 $95,518 $99,124 $102,855 SBCAG Traffic Solutions Interregional Transit Program $1,120,792 $1,035,819 $1,074,577 $1,115,147 $1,157,114 SBCAG South Coast
Specialized Transit for Elderly and Disabled
- Easy Lift $298,878 $276,218 $286,554 $297,372 $308,564 Easy Lift South Coast Transit Operations $2,866,097 $2,647,925 $2,747,438 $2,851,602 $2,959,355 SBMTD South Coast Transit Capital $1,344,951 $1,242,983 $1,289,493 $1,338,176 $1,388,537 SBMTD Safe Routes to School Program $647,569 $598,473 $620,867 $644,307 $668,555 SBCAG Bicycle and Pedestrian Program $647,569 $598,473 $620,867 $644,307 $668,555 SBCAG Interregional Transit Program $1,262,759 $1,167,023 $1,210,690 $1,256,399 $1,303,682 SBCAG Carpool and Vanpool Program $348,691 $322,255 $334,313 $346,935 $359,991 SBCAG Traffic Solutions Commuter/Passenger Rail $1,245,325 $1,150,910 $1,193,975 $1,239,052 $1,285,683 SBCAG Named Projects
Hwy 101 HOV Widening & Other Named Projects $11,497,253 $10,625,584 $11,023,171 $11,439,341 $11,869,850 SBCAG Subtotal $21,753,107 $20,103,009 $20,855,655 $21,643,478 $22,458,445 TOTAL $52,343,906 $48,375,434 $50,185,542 $52,080,249 $54,040,240 Table 5
Five Year Measure A Revenue Estimate
Local & Authority Program of Projects
FY 2025/26 to FY 2029/30
Authority Program of Projects
Local Program of Projects
12/17/2024
Attachment C