Measure GS Staff Proposal:
Predictive Prevention Pilot
Homelessness Prevention & Intervention (HPI) Division
Tee Martin
• Present staff
-recommended
Measure GS-funded Predictive
Prevention Pilot program
in partnership with
LA County Homelessness
Prevention Unit (HPU)
• Receive committee feedback and
support determination for moving
forward with implementing
program
2 Agenda & Purpose
3 LA County Homelessness Prevention Unit
The Homelessness Prevention Unit (HPU) is a data-driven program launched in 2021 by Los Angeles County's Department of Health Services. The HPU identifies households at high risk of homelessness through predictive modeling drawing from County data and then proactively outreaches those households to enroll them in targeted case management and financial assistance to stabilize their household and prevent homelessness.
Targeted Data-Driven Proactive Measurable Innovative
• Client Identification
• Partners with UCLA’s California Policy Lab (CPL); using AI and data analytics to predict who is most likely to lose their housing in the next 12 months
• Predictive model uses 500+ factors: DHS Emergency Rooms, DMH Crisis Stabilization Holds, DPSS Benefits, LASD Arrests
• Identified High-Risk households are outreached to via phone and mail outreach with a 43% enrollment rate
• Case Management
• 4-6 months of housing stability case management
• Referrals to supportive services such as employment assistance, mental health, legal assistance • Case manager caseloads of 1:15
• Financial Assistance
• Up to $8,000 per household, $6,500 average per client household • Client-centered with parameters and collaboration from case management Homelessness Prevention Unit Interventions
Short-term: 90% of
HPU clients (n =
1500+) retain their
Permanent Housing
at time of program
exit
Long-term:
Enrollment in the
HPU is associated
with a 71% decrease
in the use of street
outreach or interim
housing 18 months
after discharge
Lower rates of any
observed
homelessness,
mental health crisis
stabilization, and
criminal justice
involvement
More to come in RCT
(published by CPL in
early 2027)
LA County HPU Impact
One-year pilot partnership with LA County HPU
Timeframe intended to be FY26-27, option to renew
Proactively serve approximately 72 at-risk Santa Monica households annually with HPU interventions...
Proposed Santa Monica Pilot – Predictive Prevention Pilot Client Identification
o Tailor predictive analytics to identify at-risk households in Santa Monica Case Management
o 4-6 months of case management trained on local Santa
Monica service landscape and integration with RtC and FFA programs Financial Assistance
o $8,000 maximum financial assistance per household
Budget
• Total Measure GS Request: ~$800,000
• Majority of funds (estimated 60%) go to financial assistance Staffing
• 2 full-time case managers
• 1 half-time resource navigator + supervisory oversight Reporting (Quarterly)
• Households served
• Housing stability at exit
• Use of financial assistance
Budget, Capacity & Reporting
9 Alignment with Measure GS & City Priorities
Measure GS
• Aligns with utilization of Homelessness Prevention & Affordable Housing Funds • Complements existing Measure GS-funded reactive prevention efforts (RtC, FFA) by implementing proactive outreach and prevention
Homelessness Strategic Plan
• Aligns with strategic pillar of Prevention's, objective #3 of expanding and promoting tenant-protection resources
Realignment Plan
• Aligns with strategic priority of Developing Affordable, Livable, & Secure Housing for All through securing housing for most vulnerable Santa Monica households City staff invites Measure GS
Committee feedback and
deliberation of next steps.
10 Feedback & Next Steps