SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN 2050 | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY
Climate Action Subcommittee
November 1, 2023
SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Agenda
• Santa Rosa General Plan 2050 and GHG
Reduction Strategy Overview
• 2019 GHG Emissions Inventory and Forecasts
Results
• State and City GHG Emission Reduction Targets
• GHG Reduction Strategy Format and Proposed
Sustainability Measures
• Need for Additional Analysis
• Updated Timeline and Next Steps
• Discussion
2 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Santa Rosa General Plan 2050
• Provides an opportunity to rethink planning
policies and programs to achieve the
community’s vision for the future
• Plans for growth that minimizes adverse
impacts of climate change and increases
community resilience with a qualified GHG
Reduction Strategy
3 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM What is a GHG Reduction Strategy?
• A strategic plan to reduce Santa Rosa’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Includes:
• Inventory and forecast of GHG emissions in city boundary and planning area
• Targets for future GHG emissions
• Strategies to reduce GHG emissions
• An implementation plan
• GHG Reduction Strategy updates and replaces City’s 2012 Community-Wide Climate Action Plan
• Expands on goals and policies in the General Plan
4 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM GHG Inventory and Forecasts
5 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM What is a GHG Inventory?
• A GHG inventory identifies and estimates the
community’s annual GHG emissions from
community-wide sources and activities, such as
energy use, vehicles, water use, and solid waste
• GHG inventories provide insights into major
activities and sources of emissions in a community
as well as an understanding of how they change
over time
• The GHG Reduction Strategy includes an updated
inventory for 2007 and a new inventory for 2019 (to
avoid impacts from COVID)
6 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Inventory Sectors
• Informational sources include stationary sources and wildfires/controlled burns Transportation
On-road vehicles and SMART train
Energy
Residential and nonresidential electricity
and natural gas
Solid waste
Garbage from residents and businesses
Off-road equipment
Non-transportation equipment
Water and wastewater
Processing and distribution of water and
wastewater
Agriculture
Fertilizer use
Land use and sequestration
Land development and
carbon storage in plants and soils
7 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM 2019 GHG Inventory Results (City Boundary)
8 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM 2019 GHG Inventory Results (City Boundary)
• Total emissions fell 27% from 2007 to 2019 for community- wide emissions
• On track to meet 2020 target included in 2012 CCAP
• Significant decreases in emissions from energy due to cleaner energy and increased energy efficiency
• Increased fuel efficiency lowers transportation-related emissions
• Decreases in other sectors likely a result of methodological changes
9 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM 2019 GHG Inventory Results (Entire Planning Area)
10 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM GHG Emissions Business as Usual Forecast (City Limits)
• Overall 20% decline from 2007 levels by 2050
• Emissions declined from 2007 to 2019
• Emissions will rise in future years while remaining below 2007 levels
GHG Emissions Business as Usual Forecast (Planning Area) • Overall 14% decline from 2007 levels by 2050
• Emissions declined from 2007 to 2019
• Emissions will rise in future years while remaining below 2007 levels
11 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM GHG Reduction Targets
12 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM State GHG Emissions-Reduction Targets
• Senate Bill (SB) 32, adopted in 2016
• Reduce statewide GHG emissions to 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030
• Executive Order B-55-18, adopted in 2018
• Goal to achieve net carbon neutrality by 2045
• Assembly Bill (AB) 1279, adopted in 2022
• Codified this goal into law, directing statewide achievement of net zero GHG emissions no later than 2045
13 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM City GHG Emissions-Reduction Targets
• The City’s Community-Wide Climate Action Plan establishes a target of reducing emissions to 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2020
Total emissions fell 27% from 2007 to 2019 for
community-wide emissions within City limits
On track to meet 2020 target in 2012 CCAP
• City of Santa Rosa Climate Emergency Resolution includes a goal to reach carbon neutrality by 2030
14 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM What is Carbon Neutrality?
• Net carbon neutrality refers to the idea of achieving net- zero carbon emissions by balancing those emissions so that they are equal to or less than emissions that are removed from the atmosphere through sequestration or related
efforts
• Achieving carbon neutrality requires both significantly reducing community GHG emissions and supporting the
ecosystems that sequester carbon
15 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM GHG Reduction Strategy
16 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Overall GHG Reduction Strategy Format:
• Objectives
• Sustainability Measures
• GHG Emissions Savings (MTCO2e)
• Implementing Programs
• Performance Indicators
• Implementation Details
Applicability
Type
Timeframe of Implementation:
Short-term
Medium-term
Long-term
Responsible and Supporting City Departments and Supporting Community Partners Potential Funding Sources
17 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Proposed Sustainability Measures
• Developed:
Using industry best practices
Considering lessons learned through 2012 CCAP implementation With input and feedback from residents and key stakeholders • Designed to:
Decrease community-wide vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and increase the use of zero-emission vehicles and equipment Reduce community-wide energy use and transition to carbon-free energy sources
Achieve a zero-waste future for Santa Rosa
Use water efficiently and enhance drought resilience
Enhance sustainable and carbon-free practices community-wide 18 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Proposed Sustainability Measures
• Measure 1: Locate and design development to minimize vehicle dependence
• Measure 2: Improve the frequency, coverage, and effectiveness of local and regional transit and rail networks
• Measure 3: Develop and expand transportation demand management (TDM) programs to reduce VMT and dependence on single-occupancy vehicle trips
• Measure 4: Enhance active transportation and micro-mobility systems • Measure 5: Accelerate the adoption of zero-emission light-duty and heavy-duty vehicles
19 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Proposed Sustainability Measures
• Measure 6: Transition to zero emission motorized equipment, including construction and landscaping
• Measure 7: Reduce community-wide energy use and increase energy efficiency in new and existing buildings, including municipal buildings • Measure 8: Transition to all-electric building energy uses • Measure 9: Increase local renewable energy generation and the use of renewable, carbon free, and distributed energy systems, including energy storage, throughout the City
• Measure 10: Reduce the amount of recyclable and compostable material sent to landfills
20 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Proposed Sustainability Measures
• Measure 11: Reduce total waste generation
• Measure 12: Improve indoor and outdoor water-use efficiency • Measure 13: Expand water catchment and reuse opportunities • Measure 14: Increase local natural carbon sequestration opportunities • Measure 15: Reduce embedded carbon in goods and services used by the City and community members
• Measure 16: Maximize opportunities for local food production • Measure 17: Integrate climate action across all City departments and programs
21 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Draft Implementing Programs – Potential Unintended
Consequences
22 Example: Eliminate the use of fossil fuels as an energy source in all new building construction.
Potential issue: Potentially added development costs.
Example: Reduce the use of fossil fuels as an energy
source in the existing building stock at the time of
building alteration through requirements for all-electric appliances.
Potential issue: Barrier to the rehabilitation of affordable housing and/or construction of attached ADUs?
SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Draft Implementing Programs – Potential Unintended
Consequences
23 Example: Update the Zoning Code to require new
developments in Areas of Change to include on-site
and proximal access to goods and services that
support daily life, including but not limited to fresh- food stores, recreation, community gathering, and
infrastructure that supports active transportation
and transit.
Potential issue: Potentially added development
costs.
SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Draft Performance Indicators – Achievable?
24 Example: Businesses enrolled in Transportation
Demand Management (TDM) programs (there
currently aren’t any):
• 1,420 by 2030 (~203 per year)
• 2,430 by 2045
• 2,590 by 2050
Example: Some proposed transit-related
Performance Indicators are not specific enough
and utilize a method of measurement that does
not allow for accurate planning and tracking.
SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Draft Performance Indicators – Achievable?
25 Example: Convert 10,675 residential water heaters to electric by 2030 = 1,775 per year or five per day. Convert 60,380 residential water heaters to electric by 2045 = 2,875 per year or eight per day.
Example: Generate new recycled water (gallons) 150,000 by 2030 and 250,000 by 2045. The City already recycles 100% of our wastewater and may not see increased wastewater from growth due to water efficiency improvements over time.
Example: 11,860 residential units with graywater systems by 2030 and 31,840 residential units with graywater systems by 2045. Seven added since 2019.
SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Updated Timeline and Next Steps
• January 2024 – General Plan 2050 and administrative draft GHG Reduction Strategy comments provided to consultant
• March 2024 – Revised draft General Plan 2050 and public review GHG Reduction Strategy
• Spring 2024 –Climate Action Subcommittee review of revised draft General Plan 2050 and GHG Reduction Strategy
• August 2024 – Public Review Draft EIR
• August/September 2024 – Planning Commission Review of Draft EIR and GHG Reduction Strategy
• January 2025 – Receive Final General Plan 2050, EIR and Mitigation, Monitoring, and Reporting Program and Findings of Overriding Consideration
• Adoption hearings – early 2025
26 SANTA ROSA GENERAL PLAN UPDATE | GHG REDUCTION STRATEGY WWW.SANTAROSAFORWARD.COM Thank you!
• www.SantaRosaForward.com
• [email protected]
Shari Meads
Senior Planner
[email protected]
(707) 543-4665
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