TONIGHT’S ROADMAP
1. Provide background on greenhouse gases and
climate change
2. Review the Greenhouse Gas Inventory
3. Discuss Key Greenhouse Gas Reduction Analysis
4. Highlight What’s Happening Next and How to
Provide Feedback on the Draft General Plan and
Climate Action Plan
5. Solicit feedback from Planning Commission and
City Council on the Climate Action Plan
CITY COUNCIL AND PLANNING
COMMISSION ENGAGEMENT
• Kick-off the public review
process
• Review the General Plan
process
• Discuss the General Plan
structure
• Highlight key quality of life
components
• Review greenhouse gas inventory
and reduction measures
• Discuss greenhouse gas
reduction analysis
March 2: Kick-Off Tonight: Climate Action Plan
• Review land use designations
and map and land use policy
• Discuss complete streets
mobility network and mobility
policy
April 20: Land Use & Mobility
• Review the draft Zoning Code,
including new zones and
allowed uses
TBD Q2: Zoning Code
• Discuss changes made to the
Public Draft plans based on
public comment
• Review and adopt plans
TBD Q3: Adoption Hearings
PLAN UPDATES
• Sets the 20-year vision for the city
• Address current and future
challenges, building on
community assets
• Provides policy direction for
future decision-making across 12
chapters
• Establishes pattern of future
development in the city (where,
what kind, and how much)
• Out for public review
• Acts as the City’s greenhouse gas
reduction program
• Inventories current emissions
• Estimates future emissions
• Establishes greenhouse gas
reduction measures
• Assesses the effectiveness of
greenhouse gas reduction
measures at meeting State
targets
• Out for public review
General Plan Update Climate Action Plan Update
• Establishes development
standards and process
• Release date anticipated in Q2
Zoning Code Update
• Evaluates and discloses the
potential impact of plan buildout
• Release date anticipated in Q2
Environmental Impact Report
Background on Climate Change
WHAT IS CLIMATE AND THE GREENHOUSE
EFFECT?
• Climate is the long-term behavior of the
atmosphere – typically represented as
averages
• Includes average annual temperature,
snowpack, and rainfall
• Greenhouse gases trap heat in the
atmosphere, resulting in warming over time
• Most common greenhouse gases, include
water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane,
nitrous oxide, ozone, chlorofluorocarbons
(CFCs), hydrochlorofluorocarbons and
Hydrofluorocarbons (HCFCs and HFCs)
CHANGE IN GREENHOUSE GASES
• GHGs have been relatively constant
throughout history but have increased
sharply
• Since the industrial revolution, humancaused GHG emissions have sharply increased driven by:
• Fossil fuel combustion
• Deforestation other land use changes
• Agricultural practices
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE AND CARBON DIOXIDE
WHY DO WE NEED TO CARE ABOUT GHGS?
• Aggressive strategies are needed to meet the
city’s climate goals and combat GHG
emissions
• Climate change resulting from GHG
emissions leads to more frequent extreme- weather events, with localized impacts • Example climate hazards in SSF include:
• Sea level rise and flooding
• Wildfire and poor air quality from smoke
• Excessive heat days
• Periods of drought
• Climate change will not affect everyone
equally
• California passed Senate Bill 32 (SB 32)
which requires the State to reduce its GHG
emissions to 40% below 1990 levels by 2030
CURRENT STATE OF THE CLIMATE
• It is “unequivocal” that human emissions of carbon
dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions have
warmed the atmosphere, ocean, and land
• Recent changes across the climate system are
unprecedented. Human-induced climate change is
already affecting many weather and climate
extremes in every region across the globe
• Evidence of observed changes include heatwaves,
heavy precipitation, droughts, and hurricanes
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPLICATIONS FOR
HAZARDS
Increasing
Temperatures
• Extreme heat days will increase
considerably in the city
• Increasing temperatures and
changing precipitation
patterns can create periods of
abnormally dry weather that
create drought
• Warmer, drier summers, high
wind events, such as the Diablo
winds, and increased
vegetation growth, can create
conditions suitable for wildfires
Changing
Precipitation Patterns
• The Bay Area will continue to
see larger precipitation
fluctuations over the next
century with very wet and very
dry years
• Boom to bust rainfall patterns
will make it far more likely for
wildfires to occur in the region
and for “atmospheric rivers”,
which can bring up to 50% of
the region’s rainfall in a few
days
Rising Sea
Levels
• More extensive coastal and
river flooding during storm
events
• Higher groundwater table
• Stormwater flooding may
increase as high bay levels can
impede drainage of
stormwater runoff
Source: Ackerly, D and et. al. 2018. California Fourth Climate Change Assessment: San Francisco Bay Area Region Report.
WHAT IS A CLIMATE ACTION PLAN?
• Creates a path for reducing the
community’s greenhouse gas emissions
and increases resiliency across multiple
sectors
• Encompasses the entire community &
reflects its values
• Leverages existing plans/programs
• Ranks opportunities & priorities
• Maximizes cost-benefit
STEP 1
Inventory
Emissions
STEP 2
Establish
Emissions
Reduction
Target
STEP 3
Develop
Strategies +
Measures
STEP 4
Implement
Strategies +
Measures
STEP 5
Monitor/
Evaluate
Progress
VALUES
A Resilient Community
…. South San Francisco takes a leadership role in the region in creating a cleaner, healthier, and more economically viable future through conscious investments and regulatory measures. The City adopts innovative practices and partnerships aimed at climate pollution reduction, efficient energy and water use, and clean air. These sustainability and climate actions aim to fight climate change and increase community resilience.
WHAT WE’VE HEARD
Establish the City as an
environmental leader
Access to public transit
including BART, Caltrain,
buses, and free shuttles
Pedestrian and
cyclist safety
The need for
improved parks and
open spaces –
preserve views and
trail system
The need for additional
public and civic spaces
Bring nature and
biodiversity back into
the City
Preserve and enhance
historic and cultural
resources including public
art
Revitalize Colma
Creek
Climate threats including sea
level rise, emergency
preparedness, and wildfires
1. Achieve carbon neutrality by 2045, reduce emissions 40% by 2030 and 80% by 2040
2. Equitably mitigate and address the impacts of climate change
3. Realize the co-benefits of climate mitigation actions that help create a sustainable community
KEY CLIMATE ACTION PLAN OUTCOMES
1 2
3 Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions and Target
Setting
14%,
Residential
Energy
31%,
Nonresidential
Energy 38%,
Transportation
13%, Solid
Waste
0.3%, Waste
Water
Treatment
4%, Off-Road 9%, Residential Energy
32%,
Nonresidential
Energy 44%,
Transportation
10.1%, Solid
Waste
0.3%, Waste
Water Treatment
4.1%, Off-Road
GHG EMISSIONS (2005 AND 2007)
2017 Emissions
(609,452 MTCO2e, 4.9 MTCO2e per service pop.)
2005 Emissions
(517,757 MTCO2e, 4.8 MTCO2e per service pop.)
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 1990 (Backcast)
2005
2017
2040 (Forecast)
GHG EMISSIONS (1990 BACKCAST AND 2040 FORECAST)
+59%
1990-2040
+37%
1990-2017
+16%
1990-2005
GHG EMISSIONS (TRENDS)
• By 2040 emissions are projected to increase as a
result population and economic growth
• Transportation is the largest contributor to
emissions every year, increasing over time
• Emissions from natural gas use are the second
largest contributor to emissions
• Emissions from electricity use have decreased as a
result of joining Peninsula Clean Energy (PCE) and
will continue to fall
GHG REDUCTION TARGETS (STATE TARGETS)
40% reduction in
emissions by 2030
SB 32
Requirements
80% reduction in
emissions by 2040
Interim Target
Carbon neutrality
by 2045
EO B-55-18 Target
Emission Reduction Pathway
1. Clean energy
2. Buildings (existing and new)
3. Transportation and land use
4. Water and wastewater
5. Solid waste
6. Carbon sequestration
7. City leadership
KEY CLIMATE ACTION SECTORS
1 2
3 4
5 6
7 CLEAN ENERGY ACTION PLAN
Local Solar Installation and Carbon-Free Electricity Cost GHG Reduction
Potential
• CE 1.1 Solar reach code for nonresidential buildings Supportive $ • CE 1.2 Streamlined approval process for battery storage systems
Supportive $
• CE 1.3 Streamlined photovoltaic (PV) system permitting and approval
Supportive $
• CE 1.4 Energy resilience via back-up energy systems,
microgrids, and other measures
Low $$-$$$
• CE 1.5 Public Safety Power Shutoffs Supportive $
• CE 1.6 Community scale solar and other renewable energy Supportive $-$$$ • CE 2.1 Peninsula Clean Energy Membership High $
NEW BUILDING ACTION PLAN
New Construction Cost
GHG Reduction
Potential
• BNC 1.1 Energy Efficient New Construction Medium $
• BNC 2.1 Nonresidential All-Electric New Construction Medium $
EXISTING BUILDING ACTION PLAN
Improved Energy Efficiency Cost
GHG Reduction
Potential
• BE 1.1 EPA Home Energy Score Supportive $
• BE 1.2 CALGreen standards for major renovations Medium $$ • BE 1.3 Energy Efficiency Programs Medium $
• BE 1.4 Low-Cost Energy Audits Low $
• BE 1.5 Deep Energy Retrofits Medium $$
• BE 1.6 Commercial Benchmarking Ordinance Supportive $ • BE 1.7 Retrocommissioning Partnership Low $
• BE 1.8 Transition to carbon-free back-up power Low $
EXISTING BUILDING ACTION PLAN
Electricity Existing Buildings Cost
GHG Reduction
Potential
• BE 2.1 Existing Building Electrification Plan High $$ • BE 2.2 Electric Panel Upgrade Supportive $
• BE 2.3 Burnout Ordinance Medium $$
• BE 2.4 All-Electric Major Renovations Medium $$
TRANSPORTATION ACTION PLAN
Clean VMT and Reduced VMT Cost
GHG Reduction
Potential
• TL 1.1 Electric Vehicle Charging Reach Code Medium $
• TL 1.2 Electric Vehicle Chargers at Municipal Facilities Medium $$ • TL 2.1 Trip CAP on East of 101 Medium $
• TL 2.2 TDM Program Medium $
• TL 2.3 Improve Curb Management Supportive $$
• TL 2.4 Parking Demand Management Strategy Supportive $ • TL 2.5 Development along Transit Corridors Medium $
• TL 2.6 Complete Streets Policy Medium $$
• TL 2.7 Free Local Bus Service Low $$
• TL 2.8 Transit Station Access Low $$
• TL 2.9 Transit Service Levels Low $
SOLID WASTE ACTION PLAN
Increased Diversion from Landfill Cost
GHG Reduction
Potential
• SW 1.1 Zero-Waste Plan Low $$
• SW 1.2 SSF Scavenger Partnership Low $
• SW 1.3 Waste Reduction Compliance Pathways Low $
• SW 1.4 Educational outreach about waste diversion Supportive $$ • SW 1.5 Waste rate structures Low $$
• SW 1.6 City green purchasing program Low $
WATER AND WASTEWATER ACTION PLAN
Water Use Cost
GHG Reduction
Potential
• WW 1.1 Landscaping Water Requirements Low $
• WW 1.2 Alternative Water Sources Low $
• WW 1.3 Greywater Systems Low $
• WW 1.4 Landscaping Plant List Supportive $
• WW 1.5 Smart Meters Low $
• WW 2.1 Indoor Water Efficiency Standards Low $
• WW 2.2 Water Supplier Rebates Supportive $
CARBON SEQUESTRATION ACTION PLAN
Carbon Farming, Tree Canopy, and Restoration Cost
GHG Reduction
Potential
• CS 1.1 Carbon Farming Low $
• CS 2.1 Public Tree Planting Low $$
• CS 2.2 Tree Standards for New Development Supportive $ • CS 3.1 Colma Creek Restoration Low $$$
CITY LEADERSHIP ACTION PLAN
Building, Facilities, and Landscaping Cost
GHG Reduction
Potential
• CL 1.1 Minimum LEED certification or equivalent for new buildings
Low $$
• CL 1.2 Environmental performance of municipal buildings and facilities
Supportive $
• CL 1.3 Municipal building retrofits and operational changes Low $ • CL 1.4 Requirements for municipal construction and
demolition projects
Low $
• CL 1.5 Energy resilience of municipal buildings Supportive $$ • CL 1.6 Zero Emission Fleet Vehicles Low $$
• CL 1.7 TDM Program Low $
CITY LEADERSHIP ACTION PLAN
CAP, GHG, and Innovation Cost
GHG Reduction
Potential
• CL 2.1 Carbon neutrality goal monitoring Supportive $ • CL 2.2 Community Greenhouse Gas Inventory maintenance Supportive $ • CL 2.3 Municipal Greenhouse Gas inventory preparation Supportive $ • CL 2.4 Innovative pilot programs Low $$
• CL 2.5 Funding to support greenhouse gas emission
reductions
Low $
• CL 2.6 Community education about greenhouse gas
reduction incentives
Supportive $
EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS FROM CAP
ACTIONS
Implementation and Monitoring
1. Partnerships
2. Equitable program development
3. Cost-effectiveness
4. Funding opportunities
5. Monitoring and evaluation
IMPLEMENTING THE CLIMATE ACTION
PLAN
1 2
3 4
5 EQUITABLE PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT
• Implementation guided by two
guardrails
• Local benefits resulting from
CAP implementation will be
focused in disadvantaged
communities
• Measures do not present an
undue cost burden on those
least able to afford
implementation
COST-EFFECTIVENESS
MONITORING AND EVALUATION
1. GHG inventory updates
2. Annual CAP Progress Reports
3. CAP updates
1 2
3 DISCUSSION QUESTIONS
Given the identified disadvantaged
communities, how should this
analysis inform the City’s
implementation strategy?
Are there policy ideas or emerging
practices that are not listed here that
should be incorporated?
What are your priority 3 actions?
What should the City commit to
doing first?
What’s Up Next
UPCOMING EVENTS
• April 12: Community Advisory Committee on the
Climate Action Plan, 6-8pm
• April 20: Planning Commission / City Council Study
Session on the Land Use and Mobility, 6-8pm
• May 7: Meeting in Downtown (Ra-Viva Pop-up Event),
11am - 3pm
• May 9: Meeting at the Municipal Services Building, 6- 8pm • May 10: Community Advisory Committee on the
General Plan, 6-8pm
• June 14: Community Advisory Committee /
Community Open House on the Zoning Code
• June 16: Planning Commission Environmental
Impact Report
• June 29, Planning Commission / City Council Study
Session on the Zoning Code
Stay tuned for additional meetings in May and June!
COMMENTS ON THE PUBLIC REVIEW DRAFT
GENERAL PLAN AND CLIMATE ACTION PLAN
Visit: https://shapessf.com/
Provide Comments by May 15, 2022
RE-LAUNCHED DIGITAL PLAN
Visit: https://shapessf.com/
THANK YOU!