BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Analysis of Alternative Forecast Scenarios 7-13
7.3 Alternate Scenario Results
The scenario analysis demonstrates how variations in demographic, economic, climate, pricing, and conservation assumptions influence regional water demand trajectories through 2050. Figure 7-9 and Table 7-5 provide a comparison of the volumetric demands for each scenario identified in Table 7-4.
Figure 7-9: Graphical Comparison of Water Demand Scenarios Table 7-5: Tabular Comparison of Water Demand Scenarios (MGD) Scenario 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Baseline 189 197 202 208 213 220
Low 181 167 160 158 155 155
Moderated-
Low 183 182 178 177 175 173
High 191 207 220 234 250 264
Moderated-
High 190 205 216 230 244 256
Historical
Trend 186 189 191 196 200 204
189 220
155
173
256
264
204
0 50
100
150
200
250
300
2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Projected Water Demand (mgd)
Baseline Low Moderated-Low Moderated-High High Historical Trend DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Analysis of Alternative Forecast Scenarios 7-14
By the early 2030s, the alternative demand projections begin to separate significantly, with continued widening toward 2050. High and Moderated-High Scenarios show the steepest growth, driven by high demographic projections, hotter/drier climate assumptions, and stable real water rates. The inclusion of potential data center loads in the High Scenario amplifies this effect. Low and Moderated-Low Scenarios exhibit substantial reductions in demand, reflecting CA DOF demographics, cooler/wetter climate conditions, and more aggressive real price increases combined with nonfunctional turf restrictions.
Baseline and Historical Trend Scenarios remain near the center of the range, with the Historical Trend Scenario tracking slightly below Baseline due to moderated growth and rate adjustments.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Summary and Recommendations 8-1
8. Summary and Recommendations
The baseline water demand and conservation projections presented in this report provide a robust foundation for long-term planning across BAWSCA member agencies. Developed through a rigorous process of data collection, econometric modeling, and conservation analysis, these projections are designed to support the 2025 UWMP cycle and inform long-term planning for the region’s water future.
Key elements of the study’s analysis included:
• Integrated Modeling Approach. The Project coupled econometric modeling of sectoral water consumption with detailed end-use conservation accounting. This hybrid framework enables the separation of structural drivers—such as demographic growth, economic trends, and climate impacts—from the effects of conservation programs and pricing policies. The scenario-ready design allows for flexible adaptation as new data, policies, and/or priorities emerge.
• Transparent and Consensus-Based Assumptions. The baseline scenario assumptions are grounded in member agency-approved demographic projections, climate-adjusted temperature scenarios, and best-practice efficiency standards. The process incorporated extensive feedback from member agencies, ensuring that the assumptions reflect both regional trends and local planning realities.
• Explicit Quantification of Conservation: Both passive (code-driven) and active (programmatic) conservation measures were explicitly modeled. Passive savings, driven by ongoing fixture turnover and new construction standards, are projected to steadily reduce water use across all sectors. Active conservation programs, developed in collaboration with member agencies, offer additional potential for demand reduction, but must be invested in to be fully realized.
• Sensitivity to Demographic and Economic Uncertainty: The scenario analysis demonstrates that future water demand is highly sensitive to changes in population, housing, and employment. Scenario analysis highlights the importance of monitoring demographic and development trends and maintaining flexibility in planning to accommodate a range of plausible futures.
• Alignment with Regulatory and Planning Needs: The baseline forecast provides a neutral, transparent point of comparison for evaluating future compliance with regulatory requirements. The results from this comparison demonstrate that the majority of BAWSCA agencies are anticipated to meet their UWUOs across the full period from 2025 – 2050. The baseline forecast also provides insights into future water supply reliability needs and the anticipated effectiveness of current regional conservation strategies and investment.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Summary and Recommendations 8-2
8.1 Recommendations for Future Analyses and Studies
Water demand projections are a critical component on long-range water resource planning for the region.
Water managers should consider the following recommendations, to help better monitor, track, and understand water demands as key drivers evolve in the future:
Enhanced Monitoring of High-Uncertainty Sectors (e.g., Data Centers):
• Establish a regular monitoring program for new and existing data centers, including tracking permitting, operational cooling technologies, and actual water use. • Consider establishment of new customer classifications that encompass data centers and/or other large industrial users.
• Collaborate with local planning departments and utilities to obtain early warning of large-scale developments.
• Update demand models annually to reflect observed trends and incorporate new data center loads as they materialize.
• Consider introducing an additional model that explicitly considers energy consumption as an independent driver unit for data centers and related industries.
Scenario Analysis of Future Drought Impacts:
• Develop and periodically update drought scenarios that simulate the effects of severe and prolonged droughts on both demand and supply.
• Assess the resilience of current and planned conservation programs under drought conditions. • Integrate lessons learned from recent drought events to refine assumptions and response strategies.
• Revisit participation assumptions for active programs annually, incorporating observed participation rates and, for BAWSCA specifically, feedback from member agencies.
Prioritize High Cost-Effectiveness Water Conservation Programs • Focus on programs with the lowest cost per 1,000 gallons saved (e.g., high-efficiency toilet and urinal retrofits, smart irrigation controllers, and direct-install kits), as identified in the cost-effectiveness analysis tables.
• Regularly review and update the program portfolio to ensure that investments are directed toward measures with the greatest water savings per dollar spent.
Monitor Water Conservation Program Participation and Adjust Outreach • Track participation rates and program uptake annually to identify underperforming programs or sectors.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Summary and Recommendations 8-3
• Adjust outreach and incentive levels as needed to increase participation in priority programs, especially in sectors or agencies lagging behind regional targets. • Focus active conservation programs on targeted incentives for MF properties, particularly shared laundry facilities, to accelerate the adoption of efficient appliances. • Develop tailored outreach for property owners and managers to address barriers to upgrading inefficient fixtures in MF buildings.
Coordinate Water Conservation Planning with Regulatory Compliance • Use conservation program analysis to support compliance with the UWUO and other regulatory requirements.
• Identify regulated sectors at risk of exceeding the established UWUO budget and prioritize additional or targeted conservation measures for those sectors.
Continuous Improvement of Data and Models:
• Continue to maintain clear documentation of all data sources, model parameters, and calibration methods.
• Maintain consistent and comprehensive data collection regarding core indicators such as population, housing, and employment, in addition to conservation-related metrics including program implementation, associated costs, and achieved savings. • Periodically review and refine model structure and parameters (for both the econometric models and AWE Tracking Tool) to incorporate new data, research, emerging technologies, and regulatory requirements.
• Maintain up-to-date estimates of fixture and appliance stock by sector and efficiency level, using the latest available data and the AWE Tracking Tool.
Lastly, as BAWSCA’s Strategy 2050 effort proceeds, there are several areas for which the new water demand projections and models can directly support. These include:
• Coordination of scenario definitions, assumptions, and timelines between the demand forecasting team and the Strategy 2050 Project to ensure consistency and comparability. • Assessment of the interplay between demand-side uncertainties (e.g., demographics, conservation, high water users) and supply-side uncertainties (e.g., climate change, regulatory shifts) and concomitant risks.
• Use integrated scenario results to identify potential gaps in supply reliability, inform adaptive management strategies, and prioritize investments in both demand management and new supply options.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix A: Procedure for Reprojecting Demographic Data A-1 Appendix A: Procedure for Reprojecting Demographic
Data
Introduction / Purpose
Key demographic information necessary for water demand forecasting—such as population, employment figures, and housing units—must align with the boundaries of each member agency's service area.
Historical and projected records for these data (e.g., DOF and Plan Bay Area 2050) are available at jurisdictional, census tract, and/or Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) geographical boundaries, which often do not directly align with member agency service area boundaries (see Figure A-1 as an example). These data must be reprojected from their native geographies to member agency service area boundaries in order to be used for statistical modeling and water demand projection. This Appendix documents the data sources and reprojection approach applied in the Project.
Figure A-1: Example of TAZ Tracts Overlapping an Adjacent Member Agency Service Areas
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix A: Procedure for Reprojecting Demographic Data A-2 Data Sources
Demographic data sources used for econometric modeling and demand projection as well as their native geographies are summarized in Table A-1.
Table A-1: Summary of Demographic Data Sources and Native Geographies Data Source Use Native Geography
DOF Primary data source for determining historical
housing units and population
City and county jurisdictional
boundaries
ACS Supplemental data source for housing units,
population distribution between SF and MF
residences
Census tract
LODES Primary data source for determining historical jobs and job sectors
Census tract
Plan Bay Area 2050 Primary data source for understanding future growth in housing units, population, and jobs
TAZ
In addition to demographic datasets, several geospatial data sources were obtained including:
• Member agency service area boundaries;
• Census tract boundary dataset from the US Census Bureau; • Parcel boundaries obtained from the Alameda County, Santa Clara County, and San Mateo County assessor’s office;
• Land use classification obtained from California Geoportal, General Plan Land Use dataset; and • TAZ boundary dataset from Metropolitan Transportation Commission.
General Reprojection Approach
The general reprojection approach applies the following steps:
Step 1: Define Target Geographies
• Identify the boundaries for the member agencies service areas using GIS datasets approved by member agency representatives.
• Ensure all member agency service area boundaries are spatially aligned and compatible (e.g., same projection, no gaps/overlaps).
Step 2: Source Population Forecasts
• Obtain regional population forecasts and historical datasets (e.g., Plan Bay Area 2050) at the finest available granularity (TAZ, census tract, etc.).
Step 3: Reproject Forecasts to Target Boundaries
• Spatial Overlay:
Overlay forecast units (e.g., TAZs) with target member agency service area boundaries.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix A: Procedure for Reprojecting Demographic Data A-3 • Weighting Factor:
Use parcel counts (residential parcel counts for population data, non-residential parcel counts for jobs) within the intersection of each forecast unit and target boundary as the primary weighting factor.
o For each forecast unit, calculate the proportion of residential parcels within each target boundary. o Allocate forecasted population, housing units, or jobs to each target boundary based on these proportions.
• Fallback:
If parcel count data is unavailable, use area-weighting (proportion of land area within the target boundary).
Step 4: Interpolate to Desired Time Increments (If Necessary) • For projection datasets (i.e., Plan Bay Area 2050) interpolate the demographic estimates for intermediate years using trends from forecasted years.
• Step 4 is not necessary for DOF, LODES, and ACS datasets.
A simple example of the reprojection procedure is illustrated below:
TAZ #2 has 100 residential parcels within its boundary and a projected population of 2,000 people. 10 of the 100 residential parcels fall within Agency A’s service area. 90 of the 100 residential parcels fall within Agency B’s service area.
• The weighting factor for allocating TAZ #2 population to Agency A equals 10/100 (0.1). • The projected number of people residing in TAZ #2 allocated to Agency A equals 0.1 x 2,000 (200 people).
• The weighting factor for allocating TAZ #2 population to Agency B equals 90/100 (0.9). • The projected number of people residing in TAZ #2 allocated to Agency B equals 0.9 x 2,000 (1,800 people).
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix B: Monthly and Bimonthly Smoothing Procedure B-1
Appendix B: Monthly and Bimonthly Smoothing
Procedure
Member agencies have different billing and meter reading frequencies. Additionally, within each agency, meter reading cycles can vary by customer. Many agencies universally adopt either monthly or bimonthly billing; however, some utilize a combination of the two billing cycles depending on customer class and date. Water use rates for the different agency billing cycles were standardized to a calendar-month to better reflect the actual seasonal timing of water use for each of the four modeled sectors (other uses are applied as a percentage of total use across the SF, MF, CII, and irrigation sectors).
Water use billed at monthly intervals can generally overlap with two consecutive calendar months. A smoothing equation extracts a single calendar-month use from the two monthly billing periods. For example, April water use is equal to the fraction of the April consumption billed in April plus the fraction of the April consumption billed in May, as demonstrated in the equation below.
𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝑈𝑠𝑒 = (𝐵𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑑 𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 ×
𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠
𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠+𝑀𝑎𝑦 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠) +
(𝐵𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑑 𝑀𝑎𝑦 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 ×
𝑀𝑎𝑦 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠
𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠+𝑀𝑎𝑦 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠)
Customers billed at bimonthly intervals are divided into two groups, and each group is billed every second month. Bimonthly meter readings contain water use that occurs over a span of three calendar months. For example, April use equals the fraction of April consumption billed in April and June (billing group 1) plus the fraction of April consumption billed in May (billing group 2), per the equation below:
𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝑈𝑠𝑒 = ((
1 4 𝐵𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑑 𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 +
1 4 𝐵𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑑 𝐽𝑢𝑛𝑒 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛) ×
1 2𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠+1
2𝐽𝑢𝑛𝑒 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠
1 2𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠+𝑀𝑎𝑦 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠+1
2𝐽𝑢𝑛𝑒 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠
) + (
1 2 𝐵𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑑 𝑀𝑎𝑦 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 ×
𝑀𝑎𝑦 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠
1 2𝐴𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑙 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠+𝑀𝑎𝑦 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠+1
2𝐽𝑢𝑛𝑒 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑠
)
Figure B-1 depicts smoothed water use for an agency whose billing structure changes from bimonthly to monthly in late 2022.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix B: Monthly and Bimonthly Smoothing Procedure B-2
Figure B-1: Example smoothing of consumption for an Agency with a Billing Structure that Changes Over Time
If an agency employs both monthly and bimonthly billing cycles for billing sectors that fall into a single model demand sector, a weighting of smoothed monthly (m) and bimonthly (b) water use (q) is employed to average use (qM,avg) over the two cycles, per the equation below:
𝑞𝑀,𝑎𝑣𝑔 = 𝑤𝑚 × 𝑞𝑚 + 𝑤𝑏 × 𝑞𝑏
The weighting factors (w) are defined in the equations below:
𝑤𝑚 = 𝐴𝑀,𝑚 + 𝐴𝑀+1,𝑚
(𝐴𝑀 + 2𝐴𝑀+1,𝑏 + 𝐴𝑀+2,𝑏) + (𝐴𝑀,𝑚 + 𝐴𝑀+1,𝑚)
𝑤𝑏 = 𝐴𝑀,𝑏 + 2𝐴𝑀+1,𝑏 + 𝐴𝑀+2,𝑏
(𝐴𝑀 + 2𝐴𝑀+1,𝑏 + 𝐴𝑀+2,𝑏) + (𝐴𝑀,𝑚 + 𝐴𝑀+1,𝑚)
0 1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Jan-10
Jun-10
Nov-10
Apr-11
Sep-11
Feb-12
Jul-12
Dec-12
May-13
Oct-13
Mar-14
Aug-14
Jan-15
Jun-15
Nov-15
Apr-16
Sep-16
Feb-17
Jul-17
Dec-17
May-18
Oct-18
Mar-19
Aug-19
Jan-20
Jun-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
Sep-21
Feb-22
Jul-22
Dec-22
May-23
Oct-23
Mar-24
Aug-24
Gallons/Account/Day
Billed Water Use
Smoothed
Monthly Water
Use
Bimonthly Monthly
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix C: Estimated Model Coefficient Ranges C-1
Appendix C: Estimated Model Coefficient Ranges
This section provides a summary of the econometric model coefficient values for each of the five common water use sectors modeled in the Project. Each model is summarized in tabular form identifying the predictors used, the expected directional influence (i.e., increasing or decreasing effect on water use) the predictor should have on water use, and the range of fitted coefficient values.
Consistent with the panel regression approach, certain model coefficients are shared between agencies while others are unique. Unique coefficients are indicated in the tables below using a range. Note that not all potential model predictors discussed in Section 3 were used in all models.
Table C-1: Single-Family Regression Predictors and Coefficients Predictor Expected Directional
Influence
Model Coefficient Range
PPH + 0.200
Housing Density - -0.454
Water Rate (per 10 CCF) - -0.132 (annual average)
Tmax + -0.120 to 1.026
Tmax (lag 1 month) + -0.247 to 0.514
Precip - -0.060 to 0.001
Precip (lag 1 months) - -0.045 to 0.004
Passive Efficiency Index - -0.325 to -0.107
COVID Indicator + 0.023 to 0.174
Tier 2 Percentage - -1.213 to -0.022
SFPUC Systemwide Voluntary
Rationing - -0.997 to 0.389
State Requested Percent Restriction - -0.154
Table C-2: Multifamily Regression Predictors and Coefficients Predictor Expected Directional
Influence
Model Coefficient Range
Units Per Account Mean + 0.606
Units Per Account 2023 + 0.068
PPH + 0.407
Housing Density - -0.243
Water Rate (per 20 CCF) - -0.083
(annual average)
Tmax + -0.281 to 0.407
Precip - -0.018 to 0.005
Precip (lag 1 month) - -0.015 to 0.01
Precip (lag 2 months) - -0.009 to 0.011
Passive Efficiency Index - -0.358 to 0.131
COVID Indicator + -0.157 to 0.537
SFPUC Systemwide Voluntary
Rationing - -1.528 to 0.255
State Requested Percent Restriction - -1.902 to 1.793
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix C: Estimated Model Coefficient Ranges C-2
Table C-3: CII Regression Predictors and Coefficients
Predictor Expected Directional
Influence
Model Coefficient Range
Total Jobs per Account + 0.416
GDP + 0.422
Average Unemployment Rate - -0.059
Water Rate (per 20 CCF) - -0.212
Tmax + -1.135 to 1.113
Tmax (lag 1 month) + -0.451 to 0.897
Precip - -0.048 to 0.018
Precip (lag 1 month) - -0.037 to 0.013
Passive Efficiency Index - -1.423 to 0.381
SFPUC Systemwide Voluntary
Rationing - -2.64 to 0.796
State Requested Percent Restriction - -0.624 to 0.386
COVID - -0.453 to 0.392
Table C-4: Dedicated Irrigation Regression Predictors and Coefficients Predictor Expected Directional
Influence
Model Coefficient Range
Precip - -0.187 to -0.016
Precip (lag 1 month) - -0.129 to -0.043
SFPUC Systemwide Voluntary
Rationing - -7.265 to 1.783
State Requested Percent Reduction - -8.633 to 8.381
Tmax + 1.617
Water Rate (per 20 CCF) - -0.272
COVID n/a -0.325 to 0.41
Table C-5: Recycled and Raw Water Regression Predictors and Coefficients Predictor
Expected Directional
Influence
Model Coefficient Range
Precip - -0.276 to -0.005
Precip (lag 1 month) - -0.58 to -0.006
SFPUC Systemwide Voluntary
Rationing - -6.037 to 25.271
State Requested Percent Reduction - -2.129 to 1.225
Tmax + 1.617 to 1.621
Water Rate (per 20 CCF) - -0.272
COVID n/a -2.29 to 0.349
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix D: Summary of Econometric Model Fits D-1
Appendix D: Summary of Econometric Model Fits
Fitted econometric models were evaluated against historical rates of water consumption using both visual inspection of plotted data and evaluation of several statistical measures of goodness-of-fit.
Statistical measures examined in the study are summarized in Table D-1 below.
Table D-1: Summary of Statistical Measures of Fit
Statistical Measure Definition Example
R2 Measures how well a model explains
the variability of the outcome variable
(rate of water use).
A R2 of 0.5 means that the model
explains 50% of the variability in
the historical rate of billed water
consumption.
Mean Absolute Percent Error Measures the average absolute percent error of the model prediction
across all historical observations.
A mean absolute percent error of
5% indicates that the model’s
prediction is on average 5%
different than the historical rate of
water consumption across all
monthly billings.
Mean Bias Measures the average difference
between predicted values and
observed values. Helps assess
whether a model tends to overpredict
or underpredict on average.
A mean bias of -2% indicates that
on average, the model predicts a
2% lower rate of water
consumption than billed records.
Goodness of fit is a holistic exercise requiring simultaneous judgement of several indicators, including the measures of fit summarized in Table D-1, visual inspection of time series plots and scatter plots comparing model predictions to observed data, and as assessment of the reasonableness of model coefficients.
Table D-2 provides a summary of the model historical model performance for each of the statistical measures of fit identified in Table D-1. Overall, the econometric models illustrate strong measures of overall fit, with R2 values averaging exceeding 0.9 on a regional basis, low percent error, and bias relatively close to 0. The SF models tended to have the strongest measures of fit amongst the sectors, which is typical (and important) given that single family sectors tend to be the highest historical proportional use and most stable. Fit statistics tended to be lower for member agencies and sectors that had less variability on a seasonal basis, however these same agencies also expressed low percent error and bias statistics, indicating acceptable model fits. Error statistics for the irrigation and recycled/raw water models are generally higher than SF, MF, and CII given the smaller sample size, record of historical data, and relatively low number of accounts.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix D: Summary of Econometric Model Fits D-2
Table D-2: Summary of Historical Model Performance
Model
Statistical Measures of Fit
R2 Mean Absolute Percent
Error
Mean Bias
Regional Pooled Statistics Across All Member Agency Monthly Predictions Single Family .971 6.24% 0.36%
Multi Family .983 6.35% 0.43%
CII .973 9.60% 0.98%
Dedicated Irrigation .901 29.80% 8.18%
Recycled and Raw Water .903 26.96% 7.40%
Member Agency Range
Single Family .526 to .958 3.37% to 11.20% 0.11% to 1.05% Multi Family .512 to .961 3.01% to 11.98% 0.07% to 1.19% CII .421 to .951 4.47% to 27.20% 0.16% to 6.03%
Dedicated Irrigation .635 to .917 13.23% to 50.72% 1.83% to 21.20% Recycled and Raw
Water52
.593 to .956 7.08% to 93.52% 0.39% to 48.81%
52 Maximum recycled water percent error and mean bias reflects a single month for a single agency where the historical prediction significantly differs from the observed value. Mean errors are amplified by the relatively small sample size for this sector.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-1
Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-2
Table E-1: Conservation Measure Descriptions
Program
ID Program Name Program Category Program Class Units Program Description 1 Toilets - Conventional (>=3.5 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) HET Single-Family Toilet Replacement of existing conventional, low-efficiency toilets (>=3.5 gpf) with high-efficiency toilets (<=1.28 gpf). 2 Toilets - Conventional (>=3.5 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) HET Multi-Family Toilet 3 Toilets - Conventional (>=3.5 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) HET CII Common Meter Toilet 4 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) HET Single-Family Toilet Replacement of existing low flush toilets (>= 1.6 gpf) with high-efficiency toilets (<=1.28 gpf). 5 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) HET Multi-Family Toilet 6 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) HET CII Common Meter Toilet 7 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf) to HET+ (<=1.0 gpf) HET Single-Family Toilet Replacement of existing high-efficiency toilets (1.28 gpf) with high-efficiency plus toilets (<=1.0 gpf). 8 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf) to HET+ (<=1.0 gpf) HET Multi-Family Toilet 9 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf) to HET+ (<=1.0 gpf) HET CII Common Meter Toilet 10 CII Urinal (1/8 gpf) Replacement Urinal (0.125 gpf) CII Common Meter Urinal Replacement of existing low-efficiency urinals with high-efficiency urinals (0.125 gpf). 11 SF Washer Rebate (WF <=4) Clothes Washers
(residential in-unit) Single-Family Washer
Replacement of traditional clothes washers with high-efficiency clothes washers (< 15 gal/load) 12 MF In-Unit Washer Rebate (WF <=4) Clothes Washers
(residential in-unit) Multi-Family Washer
13 Water Conservation Kits - Indoor Kits & Giveaways Single-Family Kit The Indoor kit includes a high-efficiency showerhead (1.75 gpm), kitchen aerator (1.5 gpm), bathroom aerator (1.0 gpm), digital thermometer, toilet leak detector tablets, Teflon tape, miniature tape measure, rain/drip gauge, shower timer, natural resources facts slide chart, flow rate test bag, and information material. 14 Water Conservation Kits - Outdoor Kits & Giveaways Single-Family Kit The outdoor kit includes a garden hose spray nozzle, male and female end garden hose replacement, soil moisture meter, TORO male and female precision 180° nozzle, TORO male and female precision 90° nozzle, rain/drip gauge, natural resources facts slide chart, flow rate test bag, and information material. 15 Water Conservation Kits - LivingWise Kits & Giveaways Single-Family Kit The LivingWise kit includes a high-efficiency showerhead (1.75 gpm), kitchen aerator (1.5 gpm), bathroom aerator (1.0 gpm), 9 watt LED, LED nightlight, filter tone alarm, digital thermometer, toilet leak detector tablets, miniature tape measure, rain/drip gauge, shower timer, resources fact slide chart, flow rate test bag, Teflon tape, and information material. 16 Water Conservation Kits - Spray Valves Kits & Giveaways CII Common Meter Kit CII water conservation kits include one pre-rinse spray valve. 17 Water Conservation Kits - Aerators/Showerheads Kits & Giveaways CII Common Meter Kit CII water conservation kits include the direct installation of one faucet aerator and one showerhead. 18 CII Technologies Cooling & Heating Systems CII Irrigation Meter CCF Customizable rebate incentive for CII customers to implement projects that result in a reduction of water use per year. 19 SF Turf Replacement Turf Replacement Single-Family Square-foot Replacement of high-water use lawns with low-water use, water-efficient landscape. Includes Lawn Be Gone!, Large Landscape Lawn to Mulch and Lawn Bust Programs. 20 MF Turf Replacement Turf Replacement Multi-Family Square-foot 21 CII Large Landscape Turf Replacement Turf Replacement CII Irrigation Meter Square-foot 22 Rain Garden Addition Rainwater Harvesting Single-Family Square-foot Optional rain garden addition to Lawn Be Gone! Program for water customers under participating agencies. 23 SF In-Line Drip Irrigation Conversion Irrigation System & Devices Single-Family Square-foot Convert overhead sprinklers to in-line drip tubing in existing shrubs, perennial, or annual planting beds. 24 MF In-Line Drip Irrigation Conversion Irrigation System & Devices Multi-Family Square-foot 25 CII In-Line Drip Irrigation Conversion Irrigation System & Devices CII Irrigation Meter Square-foot 26 SF Smart Irrigation Controller Rebate Irrigation System & Devices Single-Family Device Replacement of existing conventional irrigation controller with a "smart" irrigation controller. Program includes WaterSense certified weather-based irrigation controllers and Rachio 3 Smart Controller. 27 MF Large Landscape Smart Irrigation Controller Rebate Irrigation System & Devices Multi-Family Device
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-3
Program
ID Program Name Program Category Program Class Units Program Description 28 CII Large Landscape Irrigation Controller Irrigation System & Devices CII Irrigation Meter Station 29 SF Irrigation Nozzle Replacement Irrigation System & Devices Single-Family Device Purchase and installation of new technology sprinkler heads that save water by allowing slower water application rates, by improving distribution uniformity, and by reducing the effects of wind-blow overspray. Includes high sprinkler nozzles, spray bodies with integrated pressure regulation and large rotary nozzles. 30 MF Irrigation Nozzle Replacement Irrigation System & Devices Multi-Family Device 31 CII Large Landscape Irrigation Nozzle
Replacement Irrigation System & Devices CII Irrigation Meter Station 32 Rainwater Capture - Rain Barrel <200 Rainwater Harvesting Single-Family Barrel Purchase of a rain barrel (less than 200 gallons) or a small rain cistern (200 to 500 gallons). 33 Rainwater Capture - Cistern >=200 Rainwater Harvesting Multi-Family Barrel 34 Rainwater Capture - Cistern >=200 Rainwater Harvesting CII Common Meter Barrel 35 SF Graywater Laundry to Landscape Rebate Graywater Single-Family Household Purchase and installation of graywater systems to recycle laundry rise water from clothes washers directly to landscape areas without filters, tanks or pumps.
36 Submetering - Other Metering & Submetering Multi-Family Meter Separation of domestic and irrigation meters for HOA or multi-family residential units with combined domestic and irrigation meters.
37 SF Unmetered to Metered Metering & Submetering Multi-Family Meter New submeter installation at existing water customer sites where they do not currently exist at mobile home parks, apartments, HOA's and condominium complexes.
38 SF Water Use Audit Audits & Rpts Single-Family Household Residential home surveys include a site visit by a trained personnel who assesses current water use practices and make recommendations for efficiency improvements. The outdoor portion of the survey can range from a brochure on outdoor savings to an intensive outdoor water efficiency study (turf audit, catch can test, and written recommendations for irrigation scheduling or landscape changes). Conservation devices could be directly installed. 39 MF Water Use Audit Audits & Rpts Multi-Family Property Residential home surveys include a site visit by a trained personnel who assesses current water use practices and makes recommendations for efficiency improvements. For the multi-family sector, these surveys cover indoor use, outdoor landscape, pools, and washing machines. Conservation devices could be directly installed. 40 CII Large Landscape Water Audit Audits & Rpts CII Irrigation Meter Property A large landscape water audit includes a site visit by a trained personnel who assesses current irrigation practices, measures and inspects landscape areas, inspects and tests irrigation system performance, and makes recommendations for improvements in plant material, irrigation equipment, and irrigation schedule. Conservation devices could be directly installed. 41 SF Wireless Flow Monitor Audits & Rpts Single-Family Monitor Wireless devices that continuously measure the flow of water volume and provide alerts in the case of detected leaks. These devices can attach to the meter, incoming water pipes, fitted under the sink or be in-line installed directly on the water main.
Examples include Flume and WaterSmart (VertexOne). Note devices that sense water on the floor or humidity to indicate a leak are not included.
42 SF AMI Leak Alert Audits & Rpts Single-Family Household Leak detection alert systems of various sorts that identify leaks on the customer side of the meter, where the metering is Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI). Since AMI technology connects customer meters to the utility through a network, it allows storage and analysis of water use patterns, in addition to billing. An AMI Leak Alert Program, thus, is one that uses the data infrastructure to identify customers with leaks, and to send alerts. This activity assumes AMI is utilized with the ability to both identify a leak at a customer site and to alert the customer in a way that allows subsequent repair or resolution (mail, email, text, and/or call). Not included are devices installed on the customer side of the meter. 43 MF (4 or fewer units) AMI Leak Alert Audits & Rpts Multi-Family Property 44 Water Use Monitoring - Water Calculator Education Single-Family Household Website available to water customers with advice on how to set irrigation controllers properly and how to manage it thereafter. 45 Water Use Monitoring - Footprint Calculator Education Single-Family Household An interactive website quiz that calculates a persons water footprint. The website also includes information on what a water footprint is, ways to save water and educational resources. 46 Water Use Monitoring - RSAT Kit/Home Survey Kit Kits & Giveaways Single-Family Household An at-home self-audit survey that includes a step-by-step guide to check for flow rates, leaks, and general inefficiencies. 47 In-School Education - Poster Contest Education Single-Family Household Annual contest part of the school education program designed to promote water conservation awareness among students in kindergarten through 5th grade.
48 In-School Education - EarthCapades Education Single-Family Performance School assemblies designed to increase student awareness of water conservation by combining age-appropriate state science standards with circus skills, juggling, music, storytelling, comedy, and audience participation to teach environmental awareness, water science and conservation.
49 In-School Education - Water-Wise Kits & Giveaways Single-Family Kit Through the Water-wise School Education Kits Program, kits are distributed to 5th grade students that enable them to install water saving devices and perform a water audit in their home. After the student performs the audit and installs the water and energy savings devices, affidavits signed by the parents are returned to the school, collected by the teacher, and forwarded to Water Wise for program documentation of implementation and resulting savings. The kit includes energy and water savings high-efficiency showerhead, kitchen aerator, flip control bathroom aerator, energy cost calculator, mini-tape measure, flow rate test bag, multi-function drop/rain gauge, water temperature check card, toilet leak detector tablets. 50 In-School Education - Classroom Visit Education Single-Family Household DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-4
Program
ID Program Name Program Category Program Class Units Program Description 51 In-School Education - Teacher Training Education Single-Family Household A collection of classroom resources on conservation for teachers. 52 Public Outreach Education Single-Family Household
BAWSCA participates in the Water Conservation Showcase event every year and helped form the Silicon Valley Water Conservation Award Coalition to recognize programs and leadership that has contributed to the advancement of water conservation in Silicon Valley. Other measures taken include collaborations with member agencies for public outreach and community events.
53 Water Efficient Landscaping - Conservation
Garden Education Single-Family Household Water Conservation Garden that demonstrates low water landscaping concepts. Visit the garden to learn how you can incorporate these water conservation concepts into your landscaping project. 54 Water Efficient Landscaping - Education Classes Education Single-Family Household BAWSCA's Landscape Education Classes are designed to introduce homeowners, commercial property managers, landscape service providers, and others to the concepts of water-efficient and sustainable landscaping. 55 Water Efficient Landscaping - Garden Tours Education Single-Family Household Garden tours which showcase homes around the Bay Area that have beautiful water conserving gardens comprised primarily of California native plants. These tours are regional throughout the Bay Area and provide homeowners, landscape professionals, and others with ideas for design and implementation of water-efficient landscapes. 56 Water Efficient Landscaping - Water-Wise Tool Education Single-Family Household A website full of information on how to garden beautifully while saving water. 57 Certification - Green Business Education CII Common Meter Certification Program designed to encourage businesses follow best practices for energy and water conservation, waste management, and more.
58 Certification - QWEL Education Single-Family Certification Free or low cost 20-hour training and certification on irrigation and water management to receive an EPA WaterSense labeled professional certification in irrigation system audits. 59 Affordability/Equity - Grants Grants Single-Family Grant Grants for non-profit, government agencies and schools/universities to test new and innovative water conservation technologies and programs.
60 Affordability/Equity - Assistance Program Grants Single-Family Grant Qualified water customers receive a free water and energy conservation assessments to residents. Services include indoor and outdoor leak assessments, and if needed, installation of new fixtures such as high-efficiency toilets, bathroom faucets, outdoor hose bibs, and sprinkler heads.
61 Building Efficiency Program Cooling & Heating Systems CII Common Meter CII Establishment
Program designed to address energy and water use in existing buildings to help make them more efficient, thereby saving owners money, improving the safety and comfort of the building stock, and reducing emissions that are driving climate change. 62 Showerhead Replacement (<= 1.8 gpm) Low Flow Showerhead (<=
1.8 gpm) Single-Family Showerhead
Replacement of existing low efficiency showerheads with low-flow showerheads rated 1.8 gpm or less. 63 Showerhead Replacement (<= 1.8 gpm) Low Flow Showerhead (<=
1.8 gpm) Multi-Family Showerhead
64 Bathroom Direct Install HET Single-Family Toilet
Direct installation of high efficiency toilets, inefficient showerheads and bathroom faucets by a contractor. 65 Bathroom Direct Install HET Multi-Family Toilet
66 Irrigation System Flow Sensor Rebate Irrigation System & Devices Single-Family Controller Installation of irrigation flow sensors that measure the flow rate from which the volume of water being delivered to an irrigation system can be inferred. 67 Irrigation System Flow Sensor Rebate Irrigation System & Devices Multi-Family Controller 68 SFR Medium Cistern (501-999 gal) Rebate Rainwater Harvesting Single-Family Barrel Purchase of a medium cistern (501 to 999 gallons) or a large cistern (1,000+ gallons) for the purpose of rainwater harvesting. 69 SFR Large Cistern (1000+ gal) Rebate Rainwater Harvesting Single-Family Barrel 70 CII Ozone Laundry Washer Rebate Laundries & Laundromats CII Common Meter Washer Ozone laundry systems utilize cold-water, lower amounts of detergent and fewer rinse cycles to conserve water and energy.
Applicable to hospitals, nursing homes, hotels/motels, universities and prisons. 71 CII Commercial Kitchen Dishwasher Rebate Commercial Kitchens & Restaurants CII Common Meter Dishwasher Installation of high efficiency dishwashers in commercial and industrial kitchens. 72 CII Commercial Kitchen Spray Rinse Valve Rebate Commercial Kitchens & Restaurants CII Common Meter Spray Valve Installation of pre-rinse spray valves that control the water flow in sprayers for rinsing food waste from pots, pans, utensils, and dishware before entering a dishwasher.
73 CII Commercial Kitchen Food Steamer Rebate Commercial Kitchens & Restaurants CII Common Meter Food Steamer Installation of water efficient food steamers in commercial and industrial kitchens. 74 CII Restaurant Dipper Well Rebate Commercial Kitchens & Restaurants CII Common Meter Dipper Well Installation of high efficiency dipper wells that utilize automatic shutoffs and other features to reduce water use. Can include replacement of low efficiency dripper wells.
75 CII Large Landscape Water Budget Audits & Rpts CII Irrigation Meter Site Large landscape, irrigated area greater than 1 acre, where water budgets tied to water rates. 76 Acoustic Hydrant Cap Leaks and Water Loss CII Common Meter Hydrant Cap Leak detection technology. System water loss is calculated by determining the total water inputs into the system against the total measurable outputs of the system. Inputs are measured at the point of entry into the water network through a meter.
Outputs are then calculated at residential or commercial meters where customers purchase the water.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-5
Table E-2: Conservation Cost and Savings Assumptions
Program ID Program Name Units
BAWSCA Defined Programs Valley Water Defined Programs Other Utility Defined Programs Utility
Cost
($/unit)
Utility Unit
Cost
($/1000
gal)
Expected
Savings
(gpd/unit)
Life of
Savings
(Years)
Utility
Cost
($/unit)
Utility Unit
Cost
($/1000
gal)
Expected
Savings
(gpd/unit)
Life of
Savings
(Years)
Utility
Cost
($/unit)
Utility Unit
Cost ($/1000 gal)
Expected
Savings
(gpd/unit)
Life of
Savings
(Years)
1 Toilets - Conventional (>=3.5 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) Toilet NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 50 - 70 0.2 - 0.28 28 25 2 Toilets - Conventional (>=3.5 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) Toilet NA NA NA NA $150 $0.43 39 25 50 - 150 0.14 - 0.43 39 25 3 Toilets - Conventional (>=3.5 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) Toilet NA NA NA NA $150 $0.43 39 25 50 - 150 0.14 - 0.43 39 25 4 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) Toilet NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 50 0.26 28 25 5 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) Toilet NA NA NA NA $150 $0.43 39 25 50 - 150 0.19 - 0.57 39 25 6 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6 gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf) Toilet NA NA NA NA $150 $0.43 39 25 50 - 150 0.19 - 0.57 15 25 7 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf) to HET+ (<=1.0 gpf) Toilet NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 50 0.3 28 25 8 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf) to HET+ (<=1.0 gpf) Toilet NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 50 - 150 0.22 - 0.65 39 25 9 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf) to HET+ (<=1.0 gpf) Toilet NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 50 - 150 0.22 - 0.65 16 25 10 CII Urinal (1/8 gpf) Replacement Urinal NA NA NA NA $150 $0.78 21 25 150 - 150 0.83 20 25 11 SF Washer Rebate (WF <=4) Washer NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 100 - 150 1.65 - 2.48 11 15 12 MF In-Unit Washer Rebate (WF <=4) Washer NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 100 - 150 2.23 - 3.34 8 15 13 Water Conservation Kits - Indoor Kit $40 $1.48 7 10 $40 $1.48 7 10 15 0.56 7 10 14 Water Conservation Kits - Outdoor Kit $38 $1.61 6 10 $38 $1.61 6 10 NA NA NA NA 15 Water Conservation Kits - LivingWise Kit $55 $2.04 7 10 $55 $2.04 7 10 NA NA NA NA 16 Water Conservation Kits - Spray Valves Kit NA NA NA NA $50 $0.18 77 10 35 0.5 19 10 17 Water Conservation Kits - Aerators/Showerheads Kit NA NA NA NA $60 $3.74 4 10 3.68 - 60 0.23 - 3.74 4 10 18 CII Technologies CCF $4 $0.55 2 10 $4 $0.55 2 10 4 0.55 2 10 19 SF Turf Replacement Square-foot $2 $5.56 0 10 $5 $13.70 0 10 0.71 - 3 1.97 - 8.34 NA 10 20 MF Turf Replacement Square-foot $2 $5.56 0 10 $5 $13.70 0 10 0.71 - 3 1.97 - 8.34 NA 10 21 CII Large Landscape Turf Replacement Square-foot $2 $5.56 0 10 $5 $13.70 0 10 0.77 - 1 2.14 - 2.78 NA 10 22 Rain Garden Addition Square-foot $1 $3.61 0 10 $3 $8.22 0 10 NA NA NA NA 23 SF In-Line Drip Irrigation Conversion Square-foot NA NA NA NA $0 $1.10 0 10 0.25 1.1 NA 10 24 MF In-Line Drip Irrigation Conversion Square-foot NA NA NA NA $0 $1.10 0 10 0.25 1.1 NA 10 DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-6
Program ID Program Name Units
BAWSCA Defined Programs Valley Water Defined Programs Other Utility Defined Programs Utility
Cost
($/unit)
Utility Unit
Cost
($/1000
gal)
Expected
Savings
(gpd/unit)
Life of
Savings
(Years)
Utility
Cost
($/unit)
Utility Unit
Cost
($/1000
gal)
Expected
Savings
(gpd/unit)
Life of
Savings
(Years)
Utility
Cost
($/unit)
Utility Unit
Cost ($/1000 gal)
Expected
Savings
(gpd/unit)
Life of
Savings
(Years)
25 CII In-Line Drip Irrigation Conversion Square-foot NA NA NA NA $0 $1.10 0 10 0.25 1.1 NA 10 26 SF Smart Irrigation Controller Rebate Device $82 $0.86 26 10 $82 $0.86 26 10 125 1.31 26 10 27 MF Large Landscape Smart Irrigation Controller
Rebate Device $125 $0.05 727 10 $1,461 $0.55 727 10 125 - 960 0.05 - 0.36 727 10 28 CII Large Landscape Irrigation Controller Station $25 $0.01 727 10 $3,295 $1.24 727 10 25 - 960 0.01 - 0.36 727 10 29 SF Irrigation Nozzle Replacement Device $5 $0.86 2 10 $9 $1.48 2 10 4.51 - 5 0.77 - 0.86 2 10 30 MF Irrigation Nozzle Replacement Device $5 $0.86 2 10 $11 $1.86 2 10 4.51 - 18 0.77 - 3.08 2 10 31 CII Large Landscape Irrigation Nozzle
Replacement Station $5 $0.86 2 10 $7 $1.12 2 10 37 6.34 2 10 32 Rainwater Capture - Rain Barrel <200 Barrel $50 $16.15 2 5 $150 $48.46 2 5 50 16.15 2 5 33 Rainwater Capture - Cistern >=200 Barrel $200 $16.15 7 5 $200 $16.15 7 5 NA NA NA NA 34 Rainwater Capture - Cistern >=200 Barrel $200 $16.15 7 5 $200 $16.15 7 5 NA NA NA NA 35 SF Graywater Laundry to Landscape Rebate Household NA NA NA NA $200 $3.04 18 10 200 5.03 11 10 36 Submetering - Other Meter NA NA NA NA $300 $0.68 60 20 302 - 1,950 0.69 - 4.45 60 20 37 SF Unmetered to Metered Meter NA NA NA NA $150 $0.40 51 20 NA NA NA NA 38 SF Water Use Audit Household $125 $2.02 34 5 $125 $2.02 34 5 125 2.02 34 5 39 MF Water Use Audit Property NA NA NA NA $75 $3.74 11 5 75 3.74 11 5 40 CII Large Landscape Water Audit Property $1,700 $1.04 893 5 $1,400 $0.66 1,160 5 725 0.44 893 5 41 SF Wireless Flow Monitor Monitor $200 $4.57 24 5 $200 $4.57 24 5 0 - 200 22.83 24 1 42 SF AMI Leak Alert Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.003 - 301 0.01 - 1,178 1 1 43 MF (4 or fewer units) AMI Leak Alert Property NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.003 - 20 0 - 27.40 2 1 44 Water Use Monitoring - Water Calculator Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 45 Water Use Monitoring - Footprint Calculator Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 46 Water Use Monitoring - RSAT Kit/Home Survey Kit Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 47 In-School Education - Poster Contest Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 48 In-School Education - EarthCapades Performance NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 49 In-School Education - Water-Wise Kit NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 50 In-School Education - Classroom Visit Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-7
Program ID Program Name Units
BAWSCA Defined Programs Valley Water Defined Programs Other Utility Defined Programs Utility
Cost
($/unit)
Utility Unit
Cost
($/1000
gal)
Expected
Savings
(gpd/unit)
Life of
Savings
(Years)
Utility
Cost
($/unit)
Utility Unit
Cost
($/1000
gal)
Expected
Savings
(gpd/unit)
Life of
Savings
(Years)
Utility
Cost
($/unit)
Utility Unit
Cost ($/1000 gal)
Expected
Savings
(gpd/unit)
Life of
Savings
(Years)
51 In-School Education - Teacher Training Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 52 Public Outreach Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 53 Water Efficient Landscaping - Conservation
Garden Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 54 Water Efficient Landscaping - Education Classes Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 55 Water Efficient Landscaping - Garden Tours Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 56 Water Efficient Landscaping - Water-Wise Tool Household NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 57 Certification - Green Business Certification NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 58 Certification - QWEL Certification NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 59 Affordability/Equity - Grants Grant NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 60 Affordability/Equity - Assistance Program Grant NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 61 Building Efficiency Program CII
Establishment NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 62 Showerhead Replacement (<= 1.8 gpm) Showerhead $4 $0.50 2 10 $10 $1.14 2 10 4.26 - 10 0.49 - 1.14 2 10 63 Showerhead Replacement (<= 1.8 gpm) Showerhead $4 $0.50 2 10 $10 $1.14 2 10 4.26 - 10 0.49 - 1.14 2 10 64 Bathroom Direct Install Toilet NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 65 Bathroom Direct Install Toilet NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 350 0.73 53 25 66 Irrigation System Flow Sensor Rebate Controller NA NA NA NA $190 $5.78 9 10 190 5.78 9 10 67 Irrigation System Flow Sensor Rebate Controller NA NA NA NA $190 $1.93 27 10 190 1.93 27 10 68 SF Medium Cistern (501-999 gal) Rebate Barrel $50 $3.26 8 5 $300 $19.57 8 5 350 22.85 8 5 69 SF Large Cistern (1000+ gal) Rebate Barrel $50 $2.84 10 5 $300 $17.12 10 5 400 22.73 10 5 70 CII Ozone Laundry Washer Rebate Washer NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2,100 0.54 704 15 71 CII Commercial Kitchen Dishwasher Rebate Dishwasher NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 72 CII Commercial Kitchen Spray Rinse Valve Rebate Spray Valve NA NA NA NA $50 $0.71 19 10 50 0.71 19 10 73 CII Commercial Kitchen Food Steamer Rebate Food Steamer NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1,250 - 1,400 1.54 - 1.72 223 10
74 CII Restaurant Dipper Well Rebate Dipper Well NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 75 CII Large Landscape Water Budget Site $44 $0.10 1,160 1 $0 $0.00 1,160 1 NA NA NA NA 76 Acoustic Hydrant Cap Hydrant Cap NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1,189 NA 165 NA DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-8
Table E-3: Residential End Uses by Technological Efficiency Level Class
End Use Mechanical
Efficiency
Projections 2025-2050
Technology 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Change %
Change
SF Toilets
Pre-ULFT 151,442 113,341 84,668 63,085 46,838 34,611 -116,831 -77.15% ULFT 350,144 276,937 219,042 173,255 137,043 108,403 -241,741 -69.04% HET 437,464 566,933 670,738 747,887 808,391 857,304 419,840 95.97% % Pre-ULFT 16.13% 11.84% 8.69% 6.41% 4.72% 3.46% - -
SF Showerheads
>2.5 gpm 15,998 8,085 3,643 2,046 1,149 645 -15,353 -95.97% (1.8, 2.5) 293,958 172,598 101,596 59,886 35,328 20,849 -273,108 -92.91% <=1.8 gpm 441,284 585,085 674,318 725,450 757,342 778,760 337,476 -247,609 % >2.5 gpm 2.13% 1.06% 0.47% 0.26% 0.14% 0.08% - -
SF Clothes
Washers
Conventional 195,946 193,675 193,394 193,228 193,565 194,423 -1,523 -0.78% High-Efficiency 169,031 178,204 185,034 189,295 192,395 194,972 25,942 15.35% % Conventional 53.69% 52.08% 51.10% 50.51% 50.15% 49.93% - - SF Dishwashers
Conventional 84,968 64,128 51,356 43,669 39,227 36,777 -48,191 -56.72% High-Efficiency 260,799 288,178 307,155 318,722 326,419 332,124 71,325 27.35% % Conventional 24.57% 18.20% 14.32% 12.05% 10.73% 9.97% - - MF Toilets
Pre-ULFT 78,569 60,818 47,959 37,796 29,776 23,450 -55,119 -70.15% ULFT 195,636 154,654 122,259 96,650 76,407 60,404 -135,231 -69.12% HET 339,297 487,333 628,848 745,917 854,434 973,556 634,259 186.93% % Pre-ULFT 12.81% 8.65% 6.00% 4.29% 3.10% 2.22% - -
MF Showerheads
>2.5 gpm 9,555 5,502 3,168 1,824 1,051 605 -8,950 -93.67% (1.8, 2.5) 214,334 126,295 74,488 43,956 25,946 15,318 -199,016 -92.85% <=1.8 gpm 372,572 551,486 699,212 810,128 906,936 1,012,115 639,544 171.66% % >2.5 gpm 1.60% 0.81% 0.41% 0.21% 0.11% 0.06% - -
MF
In-Unit
Clothes
Washers
Conventional 96,044 106,513 118,683 129,230 139,915 153,072 57,028 59.38% High-Efficiency 85,854 100,190 114,759 126,795 138,403 152,133 66,280 77.20% % Conventional 52.80% 51.53% 50.84% 50.48% 50.27% 50.15% - - MF
Shared
Clothes
Washers
Conventional 23,117 26,033 29,280 32,054 34,816 38,164 15,047 65.09% High-Efficiency 22,357 25,643 29,080 31,952 34,763 38,137 15,780 70.58% % Conventional 50.84% 50.38% 50.17% 50.08% 50.04% 50.02% - - MF Dishwashers
Conventional 57,447 48,091 43,180 40,664 40,120 41,465 -15,982 -27.82% High-Efficiency 197,209 241,293 283,640 317,771 349,525 385,822 188,613 95.64% % Conventional 22.56% 16.62% 13.21% 11.34% 10.30% 9.70% - -
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-9
Table E-4: CII End Uses by Technological Efficiency Level Class End Use
Technology
Mechanical
Efficiency
Projections 2025-2050
2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Change %
Change
CII Toilets
Pre- ULFT 51,923 40,352 31,727 24,873 19,438 15,132 -36,790 -70.86% ULFT 102,789 83,811 68,337 55,720 45,433 37,045 -65,744 -63.96% % Pre-ULFT 33.56% 32.50% 31.71% 30.86% 29.96% 29.00% - - CII Urinals
>=1 gpf 23,376 18,985 15,398 12,472 10,090 8,151 -15,226 -65.13%
0.5 gpf 2,420 1,973 1,609 1,312 1,070 872 -1,548 -63.96%
0.25 gpf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.125 gpf 14,977 22,401 28,390 33,661 38,286 42,927 27,951 186.63% 0 gpf 1,347 1,744 2,063 2,348 2,601 2,863 1,517 112.62% % >=1 gpf 55.50% 42.09% 32.45% 25.05% 19.39% 14.87% - -
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-10
Table E-5: Annual Active Savings by Program(a), MG
ID Program Name Units Clas
s
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
Total
1 Toilets - Conventional (>=3.5 gpf) to
HET (1.28 gpf)
Toilet SF
1 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 23 24 25 26 27 392 2 Toilets - Conventional (>=3.5 gpf) to
HET (1.28 gpf)
Toilet MF
0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 40
3 Toilets - Conventional (>=3.5 gpf) to
HET (1.28 gpf)
Toilet CII
0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 49
4 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6 gpf) to HET
(1.28 gpf)
Toilet SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6 gpf) to HET
(1.28 gpf)
Toilet MF
2 5 7 9 11 13 12 12 12 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 229 6 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6 gpf) to HET
(1.28 gpf)
Toilet CII
2 4 6 8 10 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 310 7 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf) to HET+
(<=1.0 gpf)
Toilet SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf) to HET+
(<=1.0 gpf)
Toilet MF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11
9 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf) to HET+
(<=1.0 gpf)
Toilet CII
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13
10 CII Urinal (1/8 gpf) Replacement Urinal CII 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 40 11 SFR Washer Rebate (WF <=4) Washer SF 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 204 12 MFR In-Unit Washer Rebate (WF
<=4)
Washer MF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Water Conservation Kits - Indoor Kit SF 8 17 25 33 41 49 56 64 72 79 87 94 100 107 114 121 127 134 141 147 154 161 167 174 181 187 2,640 14 Water Conservation Kits - Outdoor Kit SF 1 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 11 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 31 427 15 Water Conservation Kits -
LivingWise
Kit SF
3 5 7 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 27 29 31 32 33 35 36 38 39 40 42 43 44 46 692 16 Water Conservation Kits - Spray
Valves
Kit CII
2 4 5 7 8 10 12 13 15 16 18 19 21 23 24 26 27 29 30 32 34 35 37 38 40 42 568 17 Water Conservation Kits -
Aerators/Showerheads
Kit CII
1 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 11 167 18 CII Technologies CCF Irr. 4 8 12 16 20 24 27 31 35 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 845 19 SFR Turf Replacement Square-foot SF 9 18 27 36 46 55 64 74 84 93 94 95 96 97 97 98 99 100 101 103 104 105 106 107 107 108 2,123 20 MFR Turf Replacement Square-foot MF 2 4 7 9 11 14 16 19 21 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 26 26 26 27 27 27 28 28 28 28 545 21 CII Large Landscape Turf
Replacement
Square-foot Irr.
3 6 9 12 16 21 27 32 38 43 46 49 52 54 56 57 58 58 59 60 60 61 62 62 63 63 1,128 22 Rain Garden Addition Square-foot SF 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 75 23 SFR In-Line Drip Irrigation
Conversion
Square-foot SF
12 23 35 47 59 71 83 95 106 118 119 119 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 2,563 24 MFR In-Line Drip Irrigation
Conversion
Square-foot MF
1 2 3 5 6 8 10 12 14 15 16 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 19 19 366 25 CII In-Line Drip Irrigation
Conversion
Square-foot Irr.
3 6 10 14 19 24 28 33 38 43 45 47 49 50 51 52 53 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 1,100 26 SFR Smart Irrigation Controller
Rebate
Device SF
6 12 19 25 31 38 45 52 59 66 64 62 61 59 57 55 53 50 48 46 46 47 47 47 47 47 1,189 27 MFR Large Landscape Smart
Irrigation Controller Rebate
Device MF
8 17 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 97 99 102 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 110 111 112 112 113 114 2,212 DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-11
ID Program Name Units Clas
s
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
Total
28 CII Large Landscape Irrigation
Controller
Station Irr.
8 14 21 29 37 46 54 62 70 78 80 82 83 84 84 85 85 86 86 87 87 88 88 89 89 90 1,793 29 SFR Irrigation Nozzle Replacement Device SF 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 167 30 MFR Irrigation Nozzle Replacement Device MF 1 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 287 31 CII Large Landscape Irrigation
Nozzle Replacement
Station Irr.
1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 143 32 Rainwater Capture - Rain Barrel
<200
Barrel SF
3 7 10 14 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 414 33 Rainwater Capture - Cistern >=200 Barrel MF 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 70 34 Rainwater Capture - Cistern >=200 Barrel CII 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 35 35 SFR Graywater Laundry to
Landscape Rebate
Household SF
1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 30
36 Submetering - Other Meter MF 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 29 37 SFR Unmetered to Metered Meter MF 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 38 38 SFR Water Use Audit Household SF 7 12 17 20 23 23 23 23 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 578 39 MFR Water Use Audit Property MF 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 15 40 CII Large Landscape Water Audit Property Irr. 32 57 78 96 112 113 116 117 118 119 120 120 121 122 122 123 123 124 125 126 127 127 127 127 127 127 2,947 41 SFR Wireless Flow Monitor Monitor SF 49 54 59 65 70 74 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 1,947 42 SFR AMI Leak Alert Household SF 30 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 809 43 MFR (4 or fewer units) AMI Leak
Alert
Property MF
73 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 1,924 44 Water Use Monitoring - Water
Calculator
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
45 Water Use Monitoring - Footprint
Calculator
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
46 Water Use Monitoring - RSAT
Kit/Home Survey Kit
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
47 In-School Education - Poster
Contest
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
48 In-School Education -
EarthCapades
Performance SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49 In-School Education - Water-Wise Kit SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 In-School Education - Classroom
Visit
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
51 In-School Education - Teacher
Training
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
52 Public Outreach Household SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 53 Water Efficient Landscaping -
Conservation Garden
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
54 Water Efficient Landscaping -
Education Classes
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
55 Water Efficient Landscaping -
Garden Tours
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
56 Water Efficient Landscaping -
Water-Wise Tool
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
57 Certification - Green Business Certification CII 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 58 Certification - QWEL Certification SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-12
ID Program Name Units Clas
s
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
Total
59 Affordability/Equity - Grants Grant SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 Affordability/Equity - Assistance
Program
Grant SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
61 Building Efficiency Program CII
Establishment
CII
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
62 Showerhead Replacement (<= 1.8
gpm)
Showerhead SF
0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 79
63 Showerhead Replacement (<= 1.8
gpm)
Showerhead MF
0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 48
64 Bathroom Direct Install Toilet SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 65 Bathroom Direct Install Toilet MF 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 38 66 Irrigation System Flow Sensor
Rebate
Controller SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
67 Irrigation System Flow Sensor
Rebate
Controller MF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
68 SFR Medium Cistern (501-999 gal)
Rebate
Barrel SF
0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 40
69 SFR Large Cistern (1000+ gal)
Rebate
Barrel SF
0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 43
70 CII Ozone Laundry Washer Rebate Washer CII 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 73 71 CII Commercial Kitchen Dishwasher
Rebate
Dishwasher CII
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
72 CII Commercial Kitchen Spray
Rinse Valve Rebate
Spray Valve CII
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 10
73 CII Commercial Kitchen Food
Steamer Rebate
Food Steamer CII
0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 21
74 CII Restaurant Dipper Well Rebate Dipper Well CII 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 75 CII Large Landscape Water Budget Site Irr. 442 446 450 453 457 461 465 469 473 476 480 483 486 490 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 7,548 76 Acoustic Hydrant Cap Hydrant Cap CII 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Regional Total
721 848 968
1,09
0 1,20
8 1,30
8 1,40
3 1,49
3 1,58
2 1,67
2 1,70
1 1,72
8 1,75
6 1,77
8 1,39
2 1,40
8 1,42
4 1,44
0 1,45
7 1,47
4 1,49
2 1,51
0 1,52
7 1,54
4 1,55
9 1,57
5 37,05
5 Regional Total, Single-Family
134 192 248 304 358 406 453 495 538 581 591 602 614 624 635 644 653 662 672 681 693 704 716 727 738 749 14,41
3 Regional Total, Multi-Family 90 107 123 142 161 179 195 211 227 243 246 250 253 255 256 257 259 260 262 264 265 267 268 269 270 271 5,853 Regional Total, CII Common Meter 6 11 16 21 26 31 34 37 40 43 46 48 51 54 56 59 61 63 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 81 1,286 Regional Total, Irrigation
492 538 580 623 663 692 721 750 778 806 817 827 838 846 445 448 451 454 457 461 464 467 469 471 473 474 15,50
4 (a) San Jose Municipal Water System - North San José – Alviso active savings cannot be broken out at the program level as the annual measures are applied to the whole San Jose service area. Total active savings for San Jose Municipal Water System - North San José – Alviso is estimated to be 0.08 MGD in 2050 based on the projected water demand relative to the entire San Jose agency demand.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-13
Table E-6: Annual Program Budgets per $K
ID Program Name Units Class
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
Total
1 Toilets - Conventional
(>=3.5 gpf) to HET
(1.28 gpf)
Toilet SF
8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 212 2 Toilets - Conventional
(>=3.5 gpf) to HET
(1.28 gpf)
Toilet MF
2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 28
3 Toilets - Conventional
(>=3.5 gpf) to HET
(1.28 gpf)
Toilet CII
1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 27
4 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6
gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf)
Toilet SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6
gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf)
Toilet MF
20 19 19 21 19 20 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 132 6 Toilets - ULFT (>=1.6
gpf) to HET (1.28 gpf)
Toilet CII
26 29 29 31 30 30 11 9 9 11 9 9 11 9 9 11 9 9 11 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 369 7 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf)
to HET+ (<=1.0 gpf)
Toilet SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf)
to HET+ (<=1.0 gpf)
Toilet MF
2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11
9 Toilets - HET (1.28 gpf)
to HET+ (<=1.0 gpf)
Toilet CII
2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11
10 CII Urinal (1/8 gpf)
Replacement
Urinal CII
2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 69
11 SFR Washer Rebate
(WF <=4)
Washer SF
23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 614 12 MFR In-Unit Washer
Rebate (WF <=4)
Washer MF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Water Conservation
Kits - Indoor
Kit SF
75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 1,801 14 Water Conservation
Kits - Outdoor
Kit SF
16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 404 15 Water Conservation
Kits - LivingWise
Kit SF
51 51 51 51 51 46 46 46 46 46 40 40 40 40 40 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 1,069 16 Water Conservation
Kits - Spray Valves
Kit CII
6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 83
17 Water Conservation
Kits -
Aerators/Showerheads
Kit CII
21 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 309 18 CII Technologies CCF Irr. 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 570 19 SFR Turf Replacement Square-foot SF 800 808 816 824 832 840 849 858 868 878 888 899 910 921 933 946 959 972 986 1,001 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 23,882 20 MFR Turf Replacement Square-foot MF 160 165 166 168 174 175 177 179 180 182 184 186 188 190 192 194 201 204 206 209 211 211 211 211 211 211 4,950 21 CII Large Landscape
Turf Replacement
Square-foot Irr.
250 257 272 308 367 491 535 539 544 548 553 557 562 567 573 578 584 590 597 603 610 610 610 610 610 610 13,536 22 Rain Garden Addition Square-foot SF 20 27 27 28 28 21 22 22 22 22 23 23 23 24 24 24 25 25 25 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 640 23 SFR In-Line Drip
Irrigation Conversion
Square-foot SF
3 3 3 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 188 24 MFR In-Line Drip
Irrigation Conversion
Square-foot MF
10 12 12 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 554 DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-14
ID Program Name Units Class
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
Total
25 CII In-Line Drip
Irrigation Conversion
Square-foot Irr.
35 37 38 52 53 54 54 55 56 58 59 60 61 62 64 65 66 68 69 71 72 72 72 72 72 72 1,570 26 SFR Smart Irrigation
Controller Rebate
Device SF
66 66 66 67 67 71 71 71 72 72 51 52 52 52 52 52 52 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 1,530 27 MFR Large Landscape
Smart Irrigation
Controller Rebate
Device MF
21 21 21 28 28 29 28 28 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 724 28 CII Large Landscape
Irrigation Controller
Station Irr.
33 26 27 34 34 41 34 35 35 35 42 36 36 36 36 44 37 37 38 38 45 38 38 38 38 45 957 29 SFR Irrigation Nozzle
Replacement
Device SF
7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 204 30 MFR Irrigation Nozzle
Replacement
Device MF
28 28 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 759 31 CII Large Landscape
Irrigation Nozzle
Replacement
Station Irr.
7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 209 32 Rainwater Capture -
Rain Barrel <200
Barrel SF
798 796 796 801 796 796 802 796 796 802 796 797 802 797 797 802 797 797 803 797 797 797 797 797 797 797 20,747 33 Rainwater Capture -
Cistern >=200
Barrel MF
13 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 420 34 Rainwater Capture -
Cistern >=200
Barrel CII
10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 220 35 SFR Graywater
Laundry to Landscape
Rebate
Household SF
42 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 107 36 Submetering - Other Meter MF 7 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 119 37 SFR Unmetered to
Metered
Meter MF
0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 25
38 SFR Water Use Audit Household SF 70 70 71 71 71 71 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 1,870 39 MFR Water Use Audit Property MF 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 158 40 CII Large Landscape
Water Audit
Property Irr.
77 92 93 100 101 102 104 104 105 106 107 107 107 108 109 109 110 110 113 114 114 114 114 114 114 114 2,761 41 SFR Wireless Flow
Monitor
Monitor SF
1,118 1,222 1,322 1,422 1,522 1,622 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 1,722 42,668 42 SFR AMI Leak Alert Household SF 772 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 3,703 43 MFR (4 or fewer units)
AMI Leak Alert
Property MF
2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 93
44 Water Use Monitoring -
Water Calculator
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
45 Water Use Monitoring -
Footprint Calculator
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
46 Water Use Monitoring -
RSAT Kit/Home
Survey Kit
Household SF
3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 62
47 In-School Education -
Poster Contest
Household SF
25 25 25 25 25 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 694 48 In-School Education -
EarthCapades
Performance SF
2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 2,543 66,109 49 In-School Education -
Water-Wise
Kit SF
373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 9,685 DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| Appendix E: Supplementary Conservation Tables E-15
ID Program Name Units Class
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
Total
50 In-School Education -
Classroom Visit
Household SF
49 49 49 49 49 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 1,377 51 In-School Education -
Teacher Training
Household SF
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 26
52 Public Outreach Household SF 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 1,656 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 311 9,438 53 Water Efficient
Landscaping -
Conservation Garden
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
54 Water Efficient
Landscaping -
Education Classes
Household SF
17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 475 55 Water Efficient
Landscaping - Garden
Tours
Household SF
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 36
56 Water Efficient
Landscaping - Water-
Wise Tool
Household SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
57 Certification - Green
Business
Certification CII
9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 260 58 Certification - QWEL Certification SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 59 Affordability/Equity -
Grants
Grant SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
60 Affordability/Equity -
Assistance Program
Grant SF
52 152 152 152 152 152 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 2,813 61 Building Efficiency
Program
CII Establishment CII
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
62 Showerhead
Replacement (<= 1.8
gpm)
Showerhead SF
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 99
63 Showerhead
Replacement (<= 1.8
gpm)
Showerhead MF
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 62
64 Bathroom Direct Install Toilet SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 65 Bathroom Direct Install Toilet MF 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 53 66 Irrigation System Flow
Sensor Rebate
Controller SF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
67 Irrigation System Flow
Sensor Rebate
Controller MF
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
68 SFR Medium Cistern
(501-999 gal) Rebate
Barrel SF
6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 150 69 SFR Large Cistern
(1000+ gal) Rebate
Barrel SF
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 132 70 CII Ozone Laundry
Washer Rebate
Washer CII
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 55
71 CII Commercial
Kitchen Dishwasher
Rebate
Dishwasher CII
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
72 CII Commercial
Kitchen Spray Rinse
Valve Rebate
Spray Valve CII
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
| E-16
ID Program Name Units Class
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
Total
73 CII Commercial
Kitchen Food Steamer
Rebate
Food Steamer CII
1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 40
74 CII Restaurant Dipper
Well Rebate
Dipper Well CII
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
75 CII Large Landscape
Water Budget
Site Irr.
57 58 58 58 59 59 60 60 60 61 61 62 62 62 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 1,079 76 Acoustic Hydrant Cap Hydrant Cap CII 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Regional Total 8,090 7,630 7,758 7,970 8,136 8,381 8,453 8,458 8,478 8,512 8,498 8,499 8,534 8,543 8,525 8,566 8,573 9,945 8,642 8,657 8,693 8,683 8,683 8,683 8,683 8,693 220,966 Regional Total, Single-Family 7,258 6,779 6,887 7,007 7,111 7,220 7,283 7,288 7,298 7,315 7,296 7,297 7,314 7,321 7,334 7,349 7,357 8,716 7,392 7,402 7,420 7,419 7,419 7,419 7,419 7,420 190,740 Regional Total, Multi-Family 272 281 283 306 309 311 297 295 297 303 301 303 309 308 310 316 320 323 329 329 332 332 332 332 332 332 8,092 Regional Total, CII Common Meter 80 71 71 76 72 74 56 52 53 57 50 49 52 48 48 54 49 50 54 50 49 47 47 47 47 49 1,452 Regional Total, Irrigation 480 499 517 581 644 776 817 823 830 838 851 851 858 866 832 847 848 856 868 876 892 885 885 885 885 892 20,682
DRAFT
Attachment 1
BAWSCA December 8, 2025
Regional Water Demand and Conservation Projections Study Final Report
|
This page is intentionally left blank.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
Hazen and Sawyer
201 Mission Street • Suite 500 • San Francisco, CA 94105 DRAFT
Attachment 1
www.hydroscience.com
THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
DRAFT
Attachment 1
www.hydroscience.com
APPENDIX D
City of Sunnyvale
2025 Urban Water Management Plan
Projected Demands Provided to Wholesale Agencies
DRAFT
Attachment 1
Anticipated Supplies (AF) or
% of Demand 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Groundwater Pumping 141 7,997 7,997 7,997 7,997 7,997 Valley Water Treated Water 7,835 9,341 11,222 11,928 12,163 12,410 SFPUC Purchased Water 11,775 12,006 12,488 13,350 14,090 14,090 Local Surface Water - - - - - - Recycled Water Deliveries 896 1,008 1,120 1,232 1,809 2,385 Other Water - Describe - - - - - - Total - Calculated 20,646 30,352 32,827 34,507 36,058 36,881 NOTE: Supplies shown in AF. These values represent demands after passive conservation savings.
DRAFT
Attachment 1
www.hydroscience.com
APPENDIX E
City of Sunnyvale
2025 Urban Water Management Plan
SBX7-7 C
ompliance
DRAFT
Attachment 1
City of Sunnyvale
2020 Urban Water Management Plan
SECTION 5 – Baselines and Targets
www.hydroscience.com
– BASELINES AND TARGETS
The Water Conservation Bill of 2009 (SBX7-7) required a statewide reduction in urban per capita wat
er use by 20% by the year 2020. To achieve this statewide objective, the California Legislature required each water retail supplier to develop a 2020 water use target based on population to help the state collectively achieve a 20% reduction. Reporting for SBX7-7 began in the 2010 UWMP with the calculation of the Baseline, the 2015 Interim Target, and the 2020 Target, each in units of gpcd. In the 2015 UWMP, each retail agency was required to demonstrate compliance with its 2015 Interim Target to ensure they were on track to meet the goal of 20% reduction by 2020. In the 2020 UWMP, each retail agency is required to demonstrate compliance with its 2020 Target. The Baseline, 2015 Interim and 2020 Targets, and 2020 Compliance are calculated through completion of the SBX7-7 Verification Form prepared by DWR, submitted as Appendix E of the 2020 UWMP, and summarized in Table 5-1 and Table 5-2.
5.1 Service Area Population
Accurate service area population estimates are necessary to calculate representative daily per cap
ita water use. The 2020 population for the City’s service area is based on DOF estimates for the City of Sunnyvale, as described in Section 3.4. Historical populations from 1995-2007 using DWR methodology and DOF data were used to calculate baseline water use. Population estimates used for SBX7-7 calculations are included in SBX7-7 Table 3 (Appendix E).
5.2 Gross Water Use
Gross Water Use is defined in Water Code Section 10608.12 (h) as the total volume of water ent
ering the distribution system of a retail water supplier with four possible deductions:
• Recycled water,
• Water placed in long term storage,
• Water exported for use by another urban water supplier, and/or • Agricultural water use.
The City did not make any deductions to their reported total volume of water entering the distribution system. Gross water use is categorized by supply source and presented in SBX7-7 Table 4 and SBX7-7 Table 4-A in Appendix E.
5.3 Baselines and Targets Summary
Baselines and targets were established as part of the 2010 UWMP. For recycled water retailers, the
re was the option, if eligible, to use a base period of up to 15 years for calculating the Base Daily Water Use. The City was not eligible for the 15-year base period, so the baseline water use was calculated using a 10-year base period. The City selected the period of 1995-2004 as the 10-year base period. The five-year period 2003-2007 was used to calculate the minimum water use reduction requirement. Baseline periods are included in SBX7-7 Table 1 (Appendix E).
DRAFT
Attachment 1
City of Sunnyvale
2020 Urban Water Management Plan
SECTION 5 – Baselines and Targets
www.hydroscience.com
The baseline per capita water use for each period was calculated using gross water use totals for each year and the historical service area population estimates. Calculations are described and presented in SBX7-7 Table 5 in Appendix E. Because the 5-year baseline per capita water use was greater than 100 gpcd, the minimum water use reduction requirement was also calculated.
This calculation was used to determine whether the City’s 2020 water use target meets the minimum water use reduction requirement (per section 10608.22 of the California Water Code).
Four methods are allowed by Water Conservation Bill of 2009 for calculating the 2020 water use targets. Method 1 states that the target per capita daily water use in 2020 is 80% of the 10-year baseline per capita daily water use. This method was used because it was the most applicable to the available data. The 2020 per capita water use target cannot exceed 95% of the five-year compliance baseline water use. The calculated Method 1 2020 target of 139 gpcd is below the minimum water use target of 158 gpcd (95% of the City’s 5-year average baseline), therefore no adjustment to the 2020 target is necessary. Table 5-1 presents a summary of the baselines, targets, and Method 1 2020 minimum water use reduction target.
Table 5-1: Baselines and Targets Summary
Baseline Period Start Year End Year Average Baseline
Water Use1
Confirmed 2020
Target1,2
10-year 1995 2004 174
139
5-year 2003 2007 167
Notes:
1. All values are in gpcd.
2. Method 1 2020 minimum water use reduction based on 80% of the 10-year baseline.
5.4 2020 Compliance Daily per Capita Water Use
The City’s 2020 per capita water use is 115 gpcd using the 2020 gross water use (potable and rec
ycled water) detailed in Section 4 and the DOF population estimates for 2020. This is well below the 2020 target of 139 gpcd; thus, achieving compliance with SBX7-7.
As mentioned in Section 4 , water use for 2020 was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Although 2020 water use by sector showed a slight decline in commercial water compared to 2015, that decrease was offset by the increase in residential water use. Since the total gross water use is assumed to be representative of a non-pandemic year, no adjustments were made to the 2020 gpcd.
Table 5-2 presents the final 2020 water use and confirmed compliance with SBX7-7.
Table 5-2: 2020 Compliance
Actual 2020 GPCD 2020 Total
Adjustments
Adjusted 2020
GPCD
2020 Confirmed
Target GPCD
Did Supplier
Achieve Targeted
Reduction for
2020? Y/N
115 0 115 139 Y
DRAFT
Attachment 1
SB X7-7 Table 0: Units of Measure Used in 2020 UWMP*
(select one from the drop down list)
Acre Feet
*The unit of measure must be consistent throughout the UWMP, as reported in Submittal Table 2-3.
NOTES:
DRAFT
Attachment 1
NOTES:
SB X7-7 Table 2: Method for 2020 Population Estimate
Method Used to Determine 2020 Population
(may
check more than one)
1. Department of Finance (DOF) or
American Community Survey (ACS)
3. DWR Population Tool
4. Other
DWR recommends pre-review
2. Persons-per-Connection Method
DRAFT
Attachment 1
156,503 2020
SB X7-7 Table 3: 2020 Service Area Population
2020 Compliance Year Population
NOTES:
DRAFT
Attachment 1
Exported
Water *
Change in
Dist. System
Storage*
(+/-)
Indirect
Recycled
Water
This column will
remain blank
until SB X7-7
Table 4-B is
completed.
Water
Delivered
for
Agricultural
Use*
Process Water
This column will
remain blank
until SB X7-7
Table 4-D is
completed.
20,187 - - 20,187 NOTES:
SB X7-7 Table 4: 2020 Gross Water Use
2020 Volume
Into
Distribution
System
This column will
remain blank until
SB X7-7 Table 4-A
is completed.
2020 Gross Water
Use
2020 Deductions
* Units of measure (AF, MG , or CCF) must remain consistent throughout the UWMP, as reported in SB X7-7 Table 0 and Submittal Table 2-3.
Compliance
Year 2020
DRAFT
Attachment 1
Volume Entering
Distribution System 1
Meter Error
Adj
ustment 2
Optional
(+/
-)
Corrected Volume
Entering
Distribution System
87 - 87 Volume Entering
Distribution System 1
Meter Error
Adj
ustment 2
Optional
(+/
-)
Corrected Volume
Entering
Distribution System
383 383
A purchased or imported source
1 Units of measure (AF, MG , or CCF) must remain consistent throughout the UWMP, as reported in SB X7-7 Table 0 and Submittal Table 2-3. 2 Meter Error Adjustment - See guidance in Methodology 1, Step 3 of Methodologies Document Compliance Year
202
0 SB X7-7 Table 4-A: 2020 Volume Entering the Distribution System(s), Meter Err
or Adjustment
Complete one table for each source.
Nam
e of Source Recycled Water
Name of Source
SB X7-7 Table 4-A: 2020 Volume Entering the Distribution System(s) Meter Err
or Adjustment
Complete one table for each source.
1 Units of measure (AF, MG , or CCF) must remain consistent throughout the UWMP, as reported in SB X7-7 Table 0 and Submittal Table 2-3. 2 Meter Error Adjustment - See guidance in Methodology 1, Step 3 of Methodologies Document NOTES
This water source is (check one) :
The supplier's own water source
A purchased or imported source
Well
Compliance Year
202
0 This water source is (check one) :
The supplier's own water source
NOTES: Although 383 AF of recycled water was produced at the WPCP, approximately 611 AF of purchased potable water from SFPUC was added to the recycled water distribution system, making the total recycled water demand 994 AF.
Approximately 713 AF was distributed within City limits, with the remaining 281 AF distributed to services outside City limits (Moffett Field and the Apple® Campus 2) DRAFT
Attachment 1
Volume Entering
Distribution System 1
Meter Error
Adj
ustment 2
Optional
(+/
-)
Corrected Volume
Entering
Distribution System
11,052 11,052
Volume Entering
Distribution System 1
Meter Error
Adj
ustment 2
Optional
(+/
-)
Corrected Volume
Entering
Distribution System
8,665 8,665
SFPUC
This water source is (check one) :
SB X7-7 Table 4-A: 2020 Volume Entering the Distribution System(s), Meter Error Adjustment
Complete one table for each source.
1 Units of measure (AF, MG , or CCF) must remain consistent throughout the UWMP, as reported in SB X7-7 Table 0 and Submittal Table 2-3. 2 Meter Error Adjustment - See guidance in Methodology 1, Step 3 of Methodologies Document NOTES:
1 Units of measure (AF, MG , or CCF) must remain consistent throughout the UWMP, as reported in SB X7-7 Table 0 and Submittal Table 2-3. 2 Meter Error Adjustment - See guidance in Methodology 1, Step 3 of Methodologies Document Compliance Year
202
0 Compliance Year
2020
Valley Water
This water source is (check one) :
The supplier's own water source
A purchased or imported source
SB X7-7 Table 4-A: 2020 Volume Entering the Distribution System(s), Meter Error Adjustment
Complete one table for each source.
NOT
ES:
Name of Source
The supplier's own water source
A purchased or imported source
Name of Source
DRAFT
Attachment 1
2020 Gross Water
Fm SB X7-7 Table 4
2020 Population Fm
SB X7-7 Table 3 2020 GPCD
20,187 156,503 115
SB X7-7 Table 5: 2020 Gallons Per Capita Per Day
(GPCD)
NOTES:
DRAFT
Attachment 1
Extraordinary
Events1
Weather
Normalization1
Economic
Adjustment1
115 - - - - 115 156 YES NOTES:
1 All values are reported in GPCD
2 2020 Confirmed Target GPCD is taken from the Supplier's SB X7-7 Verification Form Table SB X7-7, 7-F.
SB X7-7 Table 9: 2020 Compliance
Optional Adjustments to 2020 GPCD
Did Supplier
Achieve
Targeted
Reduction for
2020?
Actual 2020
GPCD1
2020 Confirmed
Target GPCD 1, 2TOTAL
Adjustments1
Adjusted 2020
GPCD 1
(Adjusted if
applicable)
Enter "0" if Adjustment Not Used
DRAFT
Attachment 1
www.hydroscience.com
THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
DRAFT
Attachment 1
www.hydroscience.com
APPENDIX F
City of Sunnyvale
2025 Urban Water Management Plan
2021 Santa Clara Valley Water District Groundwater
Management Plan
DRAFT
Attachment 1
The 2021 Santa Clara Valley Water District Groundwater Management Plan can be downloaded at:
https://assets.valleywater.org/files/2021_GWMP.pdf
DRAFT
Attachment 1
www.hydroscience.com
APPENDIX G
City of Sunnyvale
2025 Urban Water Management Plan
Water Conservation Plan
DRAFT
Attachment 1
ENVIRONMENTAL
MANAGEMENT
The Environmental Management chapter contains information on the following topics:
/g81 Water Supply — information on various sources of potable and nonpotable water, and policies to ensure adequate supplies, water conservation efforts and water quality.
/g81 Wastewater Collection and Treatment — information on the wastewater collection system and the Water Pollution Control Plant and policies for future treatment issues.
/g81 Urban Runoff — Information on sources of urban runoff and treatment methods, as well as policies to minimize quantity of urban runoff and improve quality.
/g81 Air Quality — information on sources air pollution and policies for addressing this pollution through transportation and land use. /g81 Solid Waste — information on collection, recycling programs and disposal and policies to reduce future waste and increase recycling efforts.
CHAPTER 7
DRAFT
Attachment 1
DRAFT
Attachment 1
WATER SUPPLY
GOAL EM-1
ADEQUATE WATER SUPPLIES
ACQUIRE AND MANAGE WATER SUPPLIES SO THAT EXISTING AND FUTURE REASONABLE DEMANDS FOR WATER, AS PROJECTED IN THE 20-YEAR FORECAST, ARE RELIABLY MET. (Previously Water Resources Goal A / Adopted in 2008) The City has several sources of potable water to meet expected water demand. These include local groundwater wells, imported supplies from the San Francisco Public 5TILITIES #OMMISSION 3&05# AND 3ANTA #LARA 6ALLEY 7ATER $ISTR ICT 3#67$ PLUS
interagency connections with other local water suppliers for emergencies. Temporary interruptions of water supply from one source can be readily offset by increasing supply from the other available sources.
In order to further manage supplies, the City uses recycled water for nonpotable use and water conservation efforts. Future challenges will include the possible expansion of the recycled water system and new capital projects to address the aging water infrastructure. $URING THE LAST YEARS