Presentations
Agenda Item No. 7 - City Manager
Presentation for the General
Transaction and Use Tax - Infrastructure
and Public Services
INFRASTRUCTURE & SERVICE
EXPANSION NEEDS ANALYSIS
121168
123510 123565 123710
126543
134638
135950
137430
138869
141777 142200
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
110000
115000
120000
125000
130000
135000
140000
145000
POPULATION TRENDS
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
15%
1 Repair Streets, Fix Potholes, and Improve Roadway
Safety
2 Expand Law Enforcement and Increase Traffic Safety
3 Expand and Maintain Fire and Paramedic Services to
Improve Emergency Response Times
4 Stormwater Drainage, Water Quality, and Safe, Clean
Drinking Water Supply
5 Increase Parks, Recreation, and Children’s Play Areas Needs Analysis Focus
1. REPAIR STREETS, FIX POTHOLES,
AND IMPROVE ROADWAY SAFETY
Overview
• 479 Centerline Miles
– Arterial, Collector and Residential Streets
• Annual Road Maintenance Budget
– $13.9 Million Total ($6.5 million- Capital)
– Revenue Sources: Measure I & SB1
• Major Improvements
– Greentree/RR Extension
– Bear Valley Road- Amethyst/395
– Roy Rogers Dr., Ridgecrest Road
– Mojave Drive (Upcoming)
– Air Expressway (Upcoming)
LF: Linear Feet SF: Square Feet AC: Asphalt Concrete R&R: Removal & Reconstruction
CURRENT
PAVEMENT CONDITION
Financial Considerations
$220 Million in Present Value Needs
• $7 Million Annual Budget (Current budget) - Will result in the Pavement Condition Index (PCI) decreasing by 2 points per year. The backlog of deferred projects will grow by approximately $15 million a year.
• $16 Million Annual Budget – The PCI would decrease by 1 point per year. The backlog of deferred projects will grow by approximately $6 million a year. • $20 Million Annual Budget – The PCI would stabilize and the backlog of deferred projects will grow approximately $2 million a year.
• $22 Million Annual Budget – The PCI average would increase. The backlog of projects will slowly shrink, and no additional projects will be deferred.
2. EXPAND LAW ENFORCEMENT AND
INCREASE TRAFFIC SAFETY
Measure P Service Level
Enhancements
• Response Times for non-priority calls down 47%
• Traffic citations issued up 220%
• Fatal collisions down 15%
• Department staffing increased 11%
• Technology enhancements: Automatic License Plate Readers (ALPRs), ShotSpotter, Drone as First Responder
• Proactive call response increased by 73%
*2022 data missing due to CAD system migration
3. EXPAND AND MAINTAIN FIRE
SERVICES TO IMPROVE EMERGENCY
RESPONSE TIMES
Service Level Enhancements
• Opened Fire Station 315
• Two new paramedic squads in service
• New Apparatus
– Tiller Truck, Fire Engines (3), transport capable squads (3), 1,850- gallon water tender.
• Average response times improved
– Medic calls- 6.32 minutes
– Fire Calls- 7.76
Standard of Cover
Preliminary Findings
• The current Fire Management Zone configuration no
longer aligns with actual service demand
• Development is increasing the distance and travel time to coverage areas
• Palmdale Rd./US 395 Corridor
• Nisqualli Rd./I-15
• Up to 75% of response time is due to distance
Standard of Cover
Preliminary Findings
• Expanded paramedic bay at Station 313
• New Fire Station 316
• New Fire Station 317
• Expected Outcomes
– Reduced response time 3 to 5 minutes
• Present Value Cost: $41 million
– Not including added staffing costs
4. STORMWATER DRAINAGE, WATER
QUALITY, AND SAFE, CLEAN DRINKING
WATER SUPPLY
Domestic Water System Overview
• Service Territory- 85 Square Miles
– 776 miles of pipeline
– 34 active ground water wells
– 26 storage reservoirs
– 74 domestic water tanks
– 1 reclaimed water tank
– 8 booster pump stations
– 35 pressure reducing valve stations
• Base Annual Production: 26,312
ac.ft.
• Ramp Down: 50.4%
• Customer Demand: 24,242 ac.ft.
• Free Production Allowance:
13,261 ac.ft.
• Replacement Water: 10,981
Domestic Water Consumption
Alternative Water Source
Reduced Dependency on Ground Water Supply
Reclaimed Water Project Costs
LF: Linear Feet
LS: Lump Sum
HP: Horsepower
EA: Each
Storm Water/Water Quality
• System Includes
– storm drains
– culverts
– wash crossings
– channels
– detention facilities
• Mojave River
• Limited Funding Sources
– Storm Drain Fee- $4/mo. (Improved Properties)
– Storm Drain DIF- New Development/Capacity
Enhancements
Storm Water/Water Quality
$353 Million Citywide Needs
5. INCREASE PARKS, RECREATION, AND
CHILDREN'S PLAY AREAS
Current Park and Play Space System
• 316 acres including 19 parks and one 18-hole golf
course
– 24 baseball fields
– 18 playgrounds
– 10 tennis courts
– 9 soccer/football fields
– 5 walking loops
– 2 gymnasiums
– 2 fitness courses
– 1 aquatic facility
– 1 trail system
Available Funding
Financial Conclusions
• $404 million, 10-year Expenditure Program
• Roadway and Safety Improvements: $120.8 to $169.6 million • Police and Fire Stations: $71.6 to $108.1 million
• Stormwater/Water Quality Improvements: $30.8 to $36.6 million • Groundwater Supply/Reclaimed Water: $47.0 to $48.9 million • Parks, Recreation and Children’s Play Areas: $26.2 to $40.7 million • New 1-cent measure could generate $541 million over 10-years, including interest earned
Agenda Item No. 7 – Consultant
Presentation for the General
Transaction and Use Tax - Infrastructure
and Public Services
220-7800
Attitudes on Local Funding in Victorville
Highlights of a Survey of Likely Voters
2 February 28-March 9, 2026Dates
Likely November 2026 Voters in the City of VictorvilleResearch Population 515Total Interviews
(Full Sample) ±4.4% at the 95% Confidence Level
(Half Sample) ±6.2% at the 95% Confidence LevelMargin of Sampling Error Contact Methods
Data Collection Modes
English & SpanishLanguages
Survey Methodology
(Note: Not All Results Will Sum to 100% Due to Rounding) Text
Invitations
Telephone
Calls
Email
Invitations
Telephone
Interviews
Online
Interviews
3 Community Attitudes
4 Close to 8-in-10 believe the City has
at least “some” need for additional funding.
In your personal opinion, do you think there is a great need, some need, a little need, or no real need for additional funds to provide the level of city services that Victorville residents need and want? 58%
20%
6%
10%
7%
Great need
Some need
A little need
No real need
Don't know
Total a Little/
No Real Need
16%
Total Great/
Some Need
78%
5 Total
Extremely/Very
Serious Problem
82%
77%
75%
75%
74%
71%
70%
The most serious problems for voters include homelessness, speeding /unsafe driving, housing costs, crime and the lack of good-paying jobs.
Q. Next, please consider the following issues people in Victorville may be concerned about. For each one, please indicate whether you think it is an extremely serious problem, a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, not too serious of a problem or not a problem at all for people who live in Victorville. *Split Sample 59%
57%
55%
47%
50%
48%
43%
22%
20%
20%
28%
24%
23%
27%
13%
17%
17%
18%
17%
20%
21%
4%
5%
5%
5%
4%
6%
7%
4%
Homelessness
Speeding and unsafe driving
*Rising housing costs
Crime in general
The lack of good-paying jobs
*Cost of living
The condition of local streets and roads
Extremely Serious Problem Very Serious Problem Somewhat Serious Problem Not Too Serious Problem Not a Problem at All Don’t Know (Ranked by Total Extremely/Very Serious Problem)
6 Total
Extremely/Very
Serious Problem
67%
61%
60%
58%
58%
56%
55%
52%
33%
Serious Problems, Continued
Q. Next, please consider the following issues people in Victorville may be concerned about. For each one, please indicate whether you think it is an extremely serious problem, a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, not too serious of a problem or not a problem at all for people who live in Victorville. *Split Sample 38%
37%
36%
37%
33%
33%
36%
40%
22%
29%
24%
24%
22%
25%
23%
20%
12%
10%
19%
17%
23%
26%
26%
22%
21%
26%
22%
6%
8%
11%
9%
11%
15%
14%
9%
14%
4%
6%
6%
5%
11%
5%
11%
4%
4%
8%
20%
*Property crime, such as break-ins and theft
The potential impact of federal and state budget
cuts on local City services
*The number of vacant storefronts and buildings
*The condition of the local economy
Flooding of local streets and highways
*Lack of entertainment and recreation options
The amount you pay in local taxes and fees
*The lack of activities for youth and families
*911 emergency response times
Extremely Serious Problem Very Serious Problem Somewhat Serious Problem Not Too Serious Problem Not a Problem at All Don’t Know (Ranked by Total Extremely/Very Serious Problem)
7 Initial Attitudes on a
Potential Local Revenue Measure
8 Hypothetical Ballot Measure Tested in Survey
(As Approved by Legal Counsel)
VICTORVILLE 911 EMERGENCY RESPONSE, PUBLIC SAFETY , SAFE STREETS/WATER MEASURE . To improve 911 emergency response by funding fire/paramedic/police stations, repair streets/potholes, improve driver/pedestrian safety, protect long-term drinking water supplies, improve disaster preparedness/response, provide other general community services, shall the City of Victorville’s measure establishing a 1¢ sales tax providing approximately $29,000,000 annually until ended by voters, requiring financial audits/public spending disclosure, no state takeaways, all funds used locally, be adopted?
9 Over six-in-ten voters initially support the measure, placing it above the simple majority threshold for passage and outside the survey’s margin of error.
Q. Do you think you would vote yes or no on this measure? 39%
17%
5%
2%
6%
19%
11%
Definitely yes
Probably yes
Undecided, lean yes
Undecided, lean no
Probably no
Definitely no
Undecided
Total
Yes
62%
56%
Total
No
27%
(MOE: ±4.4%)
10 Ballot Measure Priorities
11 Maintaining safe/clean drinking water, public safety, and repairing streets are among voters’ top priorities.
Q. Next, please consider some potential elements of the ballot measure you considered earlier, including ways in which funds it generates could be spent and provisions that could be included. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, for each one, please indicate how important it is to you personally: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important. ^Not Part of Split Sample 76%
67%
65%
63%
57%
51%
55%
52%
57%
56%
17%
25%
26%
25%
30%
36%
29%
33%
28%
28%
6%
7%
6%
11%
10%
10%
12%
11%
13%
11% 4%
Maintaining safe and clean drinking water
^Maintaining public safety
Protecting the long-term local drinking water supply
Helping to keep public areas safe and clean
Repairing streets and potholes
^Retaining local small businesses and jobs
Addressing speeding and unsafe driving
^Maintaining the City’s long-term financial stability
Fixing damaged local streets and roads
^Recruiting and retaining qualified firefighters and paramedics Extremely Important Very Important Somewhat Important Not Too Important Don’t Know Total
Extremely/Very
Important
93%
92%
90%
88%
87%
87%
85%
85%
84%
84%
(Ranked by Total Extremely/Very Important)
12 Continued
Q. Next, please consider some potential elements of the ballot measure you considered earlier, including ways in which funds it generates could be spent and provisions that could be included. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, for each one, please indicate how important it is to you personally: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important. ^Not Part of Split Sample 56%
52%
57%
61%
56%
48%
52%
58%
53%
48%
27%
31%
24%
20%
24%
33%
27%
20%
25%
30%
13%
13%
13%
13%
13%
16%
16%
14%
14%
14%
4%
5%
5%
4%
6%
6%
5%
^Improving the drivability of local streets and roads
Maintaining essential City services
Reducing homeless encampments
Addressing homelessness
^Adding lighted stop signs on dark roads
Ensuring the City can meet future needs
Upgrading roads so they do not flood during major storms Improving driver and pedestrian safety
^Recruiting and retaining qualified police officers
^Improving emergency response times
Extremely Important Very Important Somewhat Important Not Too Important Don’t Know Total
Extremely/Very
Important
83%
83%
82%
81%
80%
80%
79%
78%
78%
78%
(Ranked by Total Extremely/Very Important)
13 Continued
Q. Next, please consider some potential elements of the ballot measure you considered earlier, including ways in which funds it generates could be spent and provisions that could be included. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, for each one, please indicate how important it is to you personally: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important. ^Not Part of Split Sample 52%
43%
46%
44%
43%
39%
40%
50%
25%
33%
29%
30%
31%
33%
31%
20%
15%
17%
18%
20%
21%
17%
16%
20%
7%
5%
6%
5%
5%
6%
10%
8%
5%
^Creating safe children’s play areas
^Improving disaster preparedness and response
^Synchronizing traffic signals
^Upgrading and repairing storm drains
Preventing flooding
^Increasing coordination between the police and
fire departments
Improving 911 emergency response by funding police stations Adding sidewalks on major streets
Extremely Important Very Important Somewhat Important Not Too Important Don’t Know Total
Extremely/Very
Important
77%
77%
75%
74%
73%
73%
71%
70%
(Ranked by Total Extremely/Very Important)
14 Impact of Information
15 After simulating voters learning more about the measure, support remains near initial levels, above the simple majority threshold for passage.
Q. Do you think you would vote yes or no on this measure? 46%
18%
5%
2%
4%
16%
9%
39%
18%
6%
3%
4%
19%
11%
39%
17%
5%
2%
6%
19%
11%
Definitely yes
Probably yes
Undecided, lean yes
Undecided, lean no
Probably no
Definitely no
Undecided
Total
Yes
62%
Initial Vote Vote After OppositionVote After Education
Total
Yes
69%
Total
Yes
63%
Total
No
27%
Total
No
22%
Total
No
27%
(MOE: ±4.4%)
16 Conclusions
17 Conclusions
• There is a strong perception among likely voters in Victorville that the City needs additional funding.
• Voters perceive the most serious problems to be homelessness, speeding and unsafe driving, housing costs, crime and the lack of good-paying jobs. • A 1-cent sales tax measure is viable for planning for the November 2026 election. Support for the measure begins at 62%, which is above the simple majority threshold required for passage and outside the margin of error. • Following a back-and-forth of information and opposition, opinions on the measure remain positive with more than six-in-ten supporting it. • Top priorities for funding focus on maintaining safe and clean drinking water/protecting water supply, public safety services, and repairing streets, among others.
220-7800
Attitudes on Local Funding in Victorville
Highlights of a Survey of Likely Voters
Public Comments
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