Appendix A
Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas
Analysis Technical Report
Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Analysis Technical Report
for the
San Marcos Restaurant Row Project
City of San Marcos, California
Prepared for:
Lennar
16465 Via Esprillo, Suite 150
San Diego, California 92127
Contact: David Shepherd
Prepared by:
605 Third Street
Encinitas, California 92024
Contact: David Larocca
NOVEMBER 2023
Printed on 30% post-consumer recycled material.
13844
i November 2023
Table of Contents
SECTION PAGE NO.
ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ III EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ................... V 1 INTRODUCTION ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ................. 1
1.1 Report Purpose and Scope .................................................................................................................... 1
1.2 Project Description ................................................................................................................................. 1 2 AIR QUALITY ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ...................... 7
2.1 Environmental Setting ............................................................................................................................ 7
2.1.1 Meteorological and Topographical Conditions ........................................................................ 7
2.1.2 Pollutants and Effects .............................................................................................................. 8
2.1.3 Sensitive Receptors ............................................................................................................... 14
2.2 Regulatory Setting ............................................................................................................................... 14
2.2.1 Federal Regulations ............................................................................................................... 14
2.2.2 State Regulations .................................................................................................................. 15
2.2.3 Local Regulations .................................................................................................................. 19
2.3 Regional and Local Air Quality Conditions ......................................................................................... 23
2.3.1 San Diego Air Basin Attainment Designation ....................................................................... 23
2.3.2 Local Ambient Air Quality ....................................................................................................... 24
2.4 Significance Criteria and Methodology .............................................................................................. 26
2.4.1 Thresholds of Significance .................................................................................................... 26
2.4.2 Approach and Methodology .................................................................................................. 27
2.5 Impact Analysis .................................................................................................................................... 30 3 GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ................................ ................................ ................................ ..................... 41
3.1 Environmental Setting ......................................................................................................................... 41
3.1.1 Climate Change Overview ...................................................................................................... 41
3.1.2 Greenhouse Gases ................................................................................................................ 41
3.1.3 Global Warming Potential ...................................................................................................... 43
3.2 Regulatory Setting ............................................................................................................................... 44
3.2.1 Federal Regulations ............................................................................................................... 44
3.2.2 State Regulations .................................................................................................................. 46
3.2.3 Local Regulations .................................................................................................................. 57
3.3 Greenhouse Gas Inventories and Climate Change Conditions ......................................................... 58
3.3.1 Sources of Greenhouse Gas Emissions ............................................................................... 58
3.3.2 Potential Effects of Climate Change ..................................................................................... 60
3.4 Significance Criteria and Methodology .............................................................................................. 62
3.4.1 Thresholds of Significance .................................................................................................... 62
3.4.2 Approach and Methodology .................................................................................................. 63
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
ii November 2023
3.5 Impact Analysis .................................................................................................................................... 64 4 REFERENCES CITED ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ....... 71 5 LIST OF PREPARERS ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ....... 77
APPENDICES
A CalEEMod Output Files
B CAP Checklist
FIGURES
1 Project Location ................................................................................................................................................... 3 2 Conceptual Site Plan ............................................................................................................................................ 5 TABLES
1 Ambient Air Quality Standards ......................................................................................................................... 16 2 San Diego Air Basin Attainment Status ........................................................................................................... 23 3 Local Ambient Air Quality Data ......................................................................................................................... 24 4 Air Quality Significance Thresholds .................................................................................................................. 27 5 Construction Scenario Assumptions ................................................................................................................ 28 6 Project Traffic Generation Versus Current Uses Traffic .................................................................................. 30 7 Estimated Annual Operational Ozone(O3) Precursor Emissions .................................................................... 31 8 Estimated Maximum Daily Construction Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions - Unmitigated .............................. 33 9 Estimated Operational Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions - Unmitigated .......................................................... 34 10 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Sources in California .......................................................................................... 59 11 City of San Marcos (Year 2012) Communitywide Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory ............................ 59 12 Estimated Annual Construction Greenhouse Gas Emissions - Unmitigated ................................................. 65 13 Estimated Annual Operational Greenhouse Gas Emissions .......................................................................... 66 14 Estimated Operational Greenhouse Gas Emissions ....................................................................................... 67
13844
iii November 2023
Acronyms and Abbreviations
Acronym/Abbreviation Definition
µg/m3 micrograms per cubic meter
AB Assembly Bill
CAAQS California Ambient Air Quality Standards
CalEEMod California Emissions Estimator Model
CALGreen California’s Green Building Standards
CalRecycle California Department of Resources Recycling and Recovery CAP climate action plan
CAPCOA California Air Pollution Control Officers Association CARB California Air Resources Board
CEC California Energy Commission
CEQA California Environmental Quality Act
CFCs chlorofluorocarbons
CH4 methane
City City of San Marcos
CNRA California Natural Resources Agency
CO carbon monoxide
CO2 carbon dioxide
CO2e carbon dioxide equivalent
CPUC California Public Utilities Commission
DPM diesel particulate matter
EIR environmental impact report
EO Executive Order
EPA U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
EV electric vehicle
GHG greenhouse gas
gpm gallons per minute
GWP global warming potential
H2S hydrogen sulfide
HAP hazardous air pollutant
HCFCs hydrochlorofluorocarbons
HFC hydrofluorocarbon
HVAC heating, ventilation, and air conditioning
IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
kW kilowatt
LCFS Low Carbon Fuel Standard
LOS level of service
MMT million metric ton
MPO metropolitan planning organizatio n
MT CO2e metric tons of CO2 equivalent
N2O nitrous oxide
NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality Standards
NF3 nitrogen trifluoride
NHTSA National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
NO2 nitrogen dioxide
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
iv November 2023
Acronym/Abbreviation Definition
NOx oxides of nitrogen
O3 ozone
PFC perfluorocarbon
PM10 particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 10 microns PM2.5 particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 microns ppb parts per billion
ppm parts per million
PV photovoltaic
RAQS Regional Air Quality Strategy
RPS Renewables Portfolio Standard
RTP Regional Transportation Plan
SAFE Safer Affordable Fuel-Efficient
SANDAG San Diego Association of Governments
SB Senate Bill
SCS Sustainable Communities Strategy
SDAB San Diego Air Basin
SDAPCD San Diego Air Pollution Control District
SF6 sulfur hexafluoride
SIP State Implementation Plan
SLCP short-lived climate pollutant
SO2 sulfur dioxide
SO4 sulfates
SOx sulfur oxides
SWRCB State Water Resources Control Board
TAC toxic air contaminants
VOC volatile organic compound
ZEV zero emission vehicle
13844
v November 2023
Executive Summary
The purpose of this technical report is to assess the potential air quality and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions impacts associated with implementation of the proposed Restaurant Row Project (Project). This assessment utilizes the significance thresholds in Appendix G of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Guidelines (14 CCR 15000 et seq.).
Project Overview
The Project site is located at 1020 West San Marcos Boulevard on the northeast corner of West San Marcos Boulevard and Via Vera Cruz (APNs 219 -200-30, 31, and 45) . The proposed Restaurant Row Project (project) consists of demolition of 63,484 square feet (sf) of existing (primarily vacant) restaurant uses on -site, and re - development of 202 multi-family residential units and 10,400 sf of commercial retail uses on the 10.5-acre project site. Residential units would consist of eight (8) three -bedroom townhomes over commercial (town over commercial); 17 front street townhomes ranging in size from three- to four-bedrooms; 57 court townhomes ranging in size from two - to four-bedrooms; and 120 motor court units ranging in size from two - to three-bedrooms. The project would also incorporate a 1.1-acre neighborhood public park including dedicated dog areas, four tot lots, a rolling plaza (for roller skates/roller blades), skaters bowl, open lawn area and 4 pickleball courts. The park would not include an amphitheater or event space, and no outdoor ampli fied sound system is proposed. From the perspective of potential noise generation for the neighborhood park component, the pickleball courts represent the only potential noise source of concern.
The project includes a request for a Specific Plan, General Plan Amendment, Rezone, Site Development Plan for the private development, and Vesting Tentative Subdivision Map for a mixed -use residential development project on a 10.5-acre site in the City of San Marcos. Additionally, the project requests a separate Site Development Plan for the development of a proposed 1.1-acre neighborhood public park. The General Plan Amendment and Rezone would change the General Plan designation and Zoning from Mixed -Use 1 (MU-1) and Light Industrial (L -1) to Specific Plan Area (SPA). The Specific Plan has been prepared with the intent to provide a comprehensive plan to ensure the efficient development of a new mixed -use residential community. The Specific Plan serves as bo th a policy document and a regulatory document for the systematic implementation of the policies and goals of the General Plan. The Site Development Plan would configure the site for multi -family dwelling units, ground floor commercial mixed-use space, rec reational open space, and private open space. The Tentative Subdivision Map presents specific infrastructure, and lot and street configurations for the site.
Air Quality
The air quality impact analysis evaluated the potential for adverse impacts to air quality due to construction and operational emissions resulting from the Project. Impacts were evaluated for their significance based on the County of San Diego’s mass daily criteria air pollutant thresholds of significance (County of San Diego 2007), which is based on SDAPCD Rules 20.2 and 20.3 (SDAPCD 1998 and 2018). Criteria air pollutants are defined as pollutants for which the federal and state governments have established ambient air quality standards, or criteria, for outdoor concentrations to protect public health. Criteria air pollutants include ozone (O 3), nitrogen dioxide (NO 2), carbon monoxide (CO), sulfur dioxide (SO 2), particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 10 microns (PM10), particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 microns (PM 2.5), and lead. Pollutants that are evaluated include volatile organic compounds (VOCs), oxides of nitrogen (NO x), CO, sulfur oxides (SOx), PM10, and PM2.5. VOCs and NOx are important because they are precursors to O3.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
vi November 2023
Air Quality Plan Consistency
Regarding consistency with local air quality plans, the Project would not result in a more intensive land use than currently allowed under the City’s General Plan (City of San Marcos 201 2), which SDAPCD’s Regional Air Quality Strategy (RAQS) emissions forecast is based on. The northern portion of the Project site includes 1.63 acres of existing vacant light industrial zoned land, while the remaining portion of the total 10.5 -acre project area is zoned Mixed-Use 1 (MU -1) and built with an existing 63,484 SF of restaurant uses. Therefore, the Project requires a General Plan Amendment and Rezone to change the General Plan designation and Zoning from Mixed-Use 1 (MU- 1) and Light Industrial (L-1) to Specific Plan Area (SPA).. However, the proposed Project development of the Project would result in a reduction of ozone precursors, VOC and NOx, of 11.35 tons per year ( TPY) and 0.21 TPY, respectively, compared to the buildout of the existing site as currently zoned. Therefore, the proposed Project would not conflict with the SIP and RAQ S and would result in a less than significant impact on air quality. As such, the Project would be consistent with relevant air quality plans, and impacts would be less than significant.
Construction Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions
Construction of the Project would result in the temporary addition of pollutants to the local airshed caused by on - site sources (i.e., off -road construction equipment, soil disturbance, and VOC off -gassing) and off -site sources (i.e., on -road haul trucks, vendor trucks, and wo rker vehicle trips). Estimated maximum daily construction emissions would not exceed the applied significance thresholds for VOC, NO x, CO, SO x, PM 10, or PM 2.5 during construction in all construction years ( 2024–2026). Therefore, Project construction air quality impacts would be less than significant .
Operational Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions
Operation of the Project would generate operational criteria air pollutants from mobile sources (i.e., vehicle trips), area sources (i.e., consumer product use, architectural coatings, and landscape maintenance equipment), and energy (i.e., natural gas). Maximum daily operational emissions would not exceed the County of San Diego’s operational significance thresholds for VOC, NOx, CO, SOx, PM10, or PM2.5. Therefore, Project operational air quality impacts would be less than significant .
Exposure of Sensitive Receptors
Carbon Monoxide Hotspots
Operation of the Project would generate minimal new daily vehicle trips and would not expose sensitive receptors to localized high concentrations of CO or contribute traffic volumes to intersections that would cause a CO hotspot.
In addition, according to the project traffic impact assessment (Intersection Metrics, June 2022), the project would reduce average daily trips coming from the Project site, compared to the existing restaurants. Potential operational CO hotspot impacts would be less than significant.
Toxic Air Contaminants
Construction activities would not generate emissions in excess of the applied mass daily thresholds; therefore, Project-generated construction emissions are not anticipated to be substantial. In addition, diesel equipment used during Project construction would be subject to the California Air Resources Board air toxic control measures for in- use off-road diesel fleets, which would minimize diesel particulate matter emissions.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
vii November 2023
In regards to long-term toxic air contaminant emissions, the Project would result in a minimal increase in daily truck traffic on the roadway network and would not require stationary sources (such as diesel emergency generators). Therefore, the exposure of Project-related TAC emission impacts to proximate sensitive receptors would be less than significant.
Other Emissions (Odors)
The analysis of other emissions is focused on the potential for an odor impact to occur. Potential odors produced during construction would be attributable to concentrations of unburned hydrocarbons from tailpipes of construction equipment, architectural coatings, and asphalt pavement application, which would disperse rapidly from the Project site and generally occur at magnitudes that would not affect substantial numbers of people. In addition, t he Project would not include land -use types that would genera te odors during operation. Therefore, Project construction and operations would result in odor impacts that are less than significant.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Global climate change is primarily considered a cumulative impact, but must also be evaluated on a project -level under CEQA. A project participates in this potential impact through its incremental contribution combined with the cumulative increase of all o ther sources of GHG emissions. GHGs are gases that absorb infrared radiation in the atmosphere. Principal GHGs regulated under state and federal law and regulations include carbon dioxide (CO 2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O). GHG emissions are measured in metric tons of CO2 equivalent (MT CO2e), which account for weighted global warming potential factors for CH4 and N2O.
The City of San Marcos adopted the Final Climate Action Plan (CAP) on December 8, 2020. The CAP relies on a screening threshold of 500 MT CO2e per year based on land use size and a CAP Consistency Checklist to determine whether a project’s emissions would be consistent with GHG emissions estimated within the City’s CAP. The Project would result in annual emissions greater than 500 MT CO2e and therefore relies of the CAP Checklist for consistency with the City’s CAP. As presented in Appendix B, per Step 1 of the Checklist, the project would generate GHG emissions equal to or less than estimated emission generated under the existing designation . Step 2 of the CAP Checklist determines the project’s consistency with the applicable strategies and measures of the CAP. As shown in Attachment B, CAP Checklist, the Project has demonstrated consistency with the applicable strategies and measures of the CAP as required by Step 2 of the CAP Checklist. Therefore, the Project is deemed consistent with the City’s CAP and would be less than significant.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
viii November 2023
INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
13844
1 November 2023
1 Introduction
1.1 Report Purpose and Scope
The purpose of this technical report is to assess the potential air quality and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions impacts associated with implementation of the proposed Restaurant Row Project (Project). This assessment uses the significance thresholds in Appendix G of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Guidelines (14 CCR 15000 et seq.) , and is based on the emissions -based significance thresholds recommended by the County of San Diego (County), which is based on the San Diego Air Pollution Control District (SDAPCD) rules, and other applicable thresholds of significance.
This introductory Section provides a description of the Project and the Project location. Chapter 2, Air Quality, describes the air quality –related environmental setting, regulatory setting, existing air quality conditions, and thresholds of significance and analysis methodology, and presents an air quality impact analysis per Appendix G of the CEQA Guidelines. Chapter 3, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, follows the same format as Chapter 2 and similarly describes the GHG emissions –related environmental setting, regulatory setting, existing climate changes conditions, and thresholds of significance and analysis methodology , and presents a GHG emissions impact analysis per Appendix G of the CEQA Guidelines. Chapter 4, References Cited, includes a list of the references cited.
Chapter 5, List of Preparers, includes a list of those who prepared this technical report.
1.2 Project Description
The Project site is located at 1020 West San Marcos Boulevard on the northeast corner of West San Marcos Boulevard and Via Vera Cruz (APNs 219 -200-30, 31, and 45) . The proposed Restaurant Row Project (project) consists of demolition of 63,484 square feet (sf) of existing (primarily vacant) restaurant uses on -site, and re - development of 202 multi-family residential units and 10,400 sf of commercial retail uses on the 10.5-acre project site. Residential units would consist of eight (8) three -bedroom townhomes over commercial (town over commercial); 17 front street townhomes ranging in size from three- to four-bedrooms; 57 court townhomes ranging in size from two - to four-bedrooms; and 120 motor court units ranging in size from two - to three-bedrooms. The project would also incorporate a 1.1 acre neighborhood public park including dedicated dog areas, four tot lots, a rolling plaza (for roller skates/roller blades), skaters bowl, open lawn area and 4 pickleball courts. The park would not include an amphitheater or event space, and no outdoor amplified sound system is proposed. From the perspective of potential noise generation for the neighborhood park component, the pickleball courts represent the only potential noise source of concern.
The project includes a request for a Specific Plan, General Plan Amendment, Rezone, Site Development Plan for the private development, and Vesting Tentative Subdivision Map for a mixed -use residential development project on a 10.5-acre site in the City of San Marcos. Additionally, the project requests a separate Site Development Plan for the development of a proposed 1.1-acre neighborhood public park. The General Plan Amendment and Rezone would change the General Plan designation and Zoning from Mixed -Use 1 (MU-1) and Light Industrial (L -1) to Specific Plan Area (SPA). The Specific Plan has been prepared with the intent to provide a comprehensive plan to ensure the efficient development of a new mixed -use residential community. The Specific Plan serves as bo th a policy document and a regulatory document for the systematic implementation of the policies and goals of the General Plan. The Site Development Plan would configure the site for multi -family dwelling units, ground floor commercial mixed-use space, rec reational open space, and private open space. The Tentative Subdivision Map
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
2 November 2023
presents specific infrastructure, and lot and street configurations for the site. The Project site is located within the San Diego Air Basin and is under the jurisdiction of the San Diego Air Pollution Control District (SDAPCD). The Project location is shown on Figure 1. Figure 2, provides the Project Site Plan. 78 SYCAMOREAVE
BUSINESSPARK
DR
POINSETT IAAVE
CAMINODELARRO
YODR
PANORAMAAVE
S
LASPOSASRD
LAFLORA DR
ALTURA DR
SAN MARINO DR
S TWIN OAKS VALLEY RD
VIAPORTOLA KNOLL RD
DISCOVERY ST
LA GRANADA DR
RUS
H DR
SRANCHOSANTAFERD
JEWEL RD
HERMOSITADR
PONTE
AVE
SPECIALTY DR
PICOAVE
PAWNEE ST
OLEANDER AVE
NAVAJO ST
SA
NTA
BARBARA DR
S PACIFIC ST
LASOM
BRADR
LAS FLORES DR
AVENIDADELASROSAS
POPPYRD
VIEWPOINTDR
RICHMAR AVE
SHENAN DOAHAVE
LA TIERRA DR
FIREBIRD
LN
BINGHAM DR
LAPLAZA DR
TREASUREDR
HOLLENCRESTRD
CIMA DR
VIOLET AVE
01ST ST
VALENCIA AVE
ACACIA DR
LODGEPOLERD
LA NOCHE DR
BOARDWALK
BEL ESPR IT CIR
PALOMARCOS AVE
ALLEY
PARKW O OD
AVE
ALLEY
GEMSTONEDR
W SAN MARCOS BLVD
MARCOS ST
DISCOVERY ST
APPLEWILDE DR
LIBERTYDR
GRANDON AVE
CRAVEN RD
ISLAND
DR
GRAND AVE
HONEYS UC KLEDR
CANOPYDR
NLASPOSAS
RD
VILLAGEDR N
FOXHALLDR
SAN PABLO DR
CAMINOLI NDADR
SA N JULIAN DR
CREEK ST
LA MIRADA DR
ALLEY
ALLEY
LAKERIDGEDR
KIRKWALL DR
09TH ST ALLEY
VIA VERACRUZ
BIRCH ST
DESCANSO AVE
QUAIL HILL DR
AUTUMN DR
SUN VALLEY RD
W MISSION RD
VIAALTAVISTA
GRANI
TERD
COMMERCEWAY
TAU
LBEES LN
GLENDALEAVE
CAD ES WAY
HILL HAVEN
DR
HAPPYHILLLN
JOY CT
N PACIFIC ST
LOS VALLECITOS BLVD
DOGWOODWAY CAPALINA RD
LA CASADR
01ST ST
LA MIRADA DR
COMET CIR
ECHO LN
S BENT AVE
LA COLUSA DR
MERITDR
WESTLAKEDR
W LINDA VISTADR
CORALST
AVENIDA AZUL
DECISION ST
SON
OMA S T
BLUESAGE DR
PROGRESS ST
KELLOGGST
MCMAHRRD
LA LINDA DR
LA LOMA DR
ARBORVIEW DR
LA
BONITADR
HELMSDALE RD
PLUM
E
RIADR
ASHST
MIM O
SAAVE
TOYON TER
W BORDEN RD
GRAND AVE
TILLEY LN
TIGER
WAY
VIRGINIA PL
LINDA VISTA DR
LA CASITA DR
WHITESANDS
DR
ROADRUNNER RD
DESCANSO AVE
ARMORLITE DR
LINDA VISTA DR
ACTIVITYDR
SEQUOIA ST
ECHO LN
COAST AVE
DELEONERD
PIONEERAVE
COMETCIR
LINDA VISTA DR
WINDRIDGE CIR
FIRE LN
Project Location
San Marcos Restaurant Row
SOURCE: SANGIS 2020, 2022
Date: 3/22/2023 - Last saved by: agreis - Path: Z:\Projects\j1384401\MAPDOC\DOCUMENT\InitialStudy\Figure1-ProjectLocation.m xd 02 , 0 0 0 1,000
Feet
Project Boundary
FIGURE 1
Chula Vista
Solana Beach
Encinitas
San Diego
Carlsbad
Oceanside
La Mesa El Cajon
Santee
Poway
San Marcos
Escondido
Vista
Imperial
Beach
Del Mar
Coronado
Riverside
County
Mexico
905
209
75 52
54 94
241
98 73
125
274
195
56 78
86 111
67 74
74 76 79
805
215
15 5
8 Project Site
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
4 November 2023
INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
9'-0"
18'-0"
EXISTING
9'-0"
SPECIAL SETBACK FROM SAN MARCOS:
61 FEET FROM CENTERLINE
616'-6"
20'-0"
19'-0"
38'-0"
20'-0"
270'-6"
30'-6"
24'-10"
897'-1"
28'-9"
24'-0"
33'-9"
26'-10"
10'
21'-4" 28'-11"
12'-11"
57'-0" 9'-0"
13'-4"
27'-6"
17'-4"
15'
22'-6"
54'-5"
30'-0"
20'-0"
622'-4"
18'-0"
13'-8"
16'-1"
15'-10"
7'-8"7'-1"
15'-11"
12'-3"
41'-4"
17'-4"
37'-0"
39'-2"
27'-0"
41'-0"
39'-11"
32'-2"
25'-6"
TYP
66'-2"
24'-0"
24'-0"
62'-11"12'-0"
24'-0"
24'-0"
20'-0" 20'-0"
72'-8"
24'-0"
40'-0"
24'-0"
34'-11"
34'-0"
24'-0"
15'
24'-0"33'-2"
39'-2"
34'-0"
12'-2"
19'-0"
38'-0"
38'-0"
34'-0"
10'-11"
10'-9"
11'-1"
17'-2"
17'-2"
14'-8"
25'-10"
15'-8"
12'-0"
19'-1"
12'
24'-0"
15'-0"SETBACK
MidBlock Retail Areas
Parkside Retail Areas
Line Floodway
Line Floodway
18'-0"
CommercialTrashEnclosure
LoadingZone
FRONT STREET
ROWTOWN
TOWN OVERCOMMERCIAL
FRONT STREET
ROWTOWN
COMMERCIAL
TOWN OVERCOMMERCIALCOMMERCIAL
TOWN OVERCOMMERCIALCOMMERCIAL
FRONT STREET
ROWTOWN
FRONT STREET
ROWTOWN
TOWN OVER
COMMERCIAL
COMMERCIAL
MOTORCOURT
MOTORCOURT
MOTORCOURT
MOTORCOURT
MOTORCOURTGREENCOURT
GREENCOURT
GREENCOURT
GREENCOURT
GREENCOURT
GREENCOURT
GREENCOURT
GREENCOURT
GREENCOURT
GREENCOURT
PROPERTY LINE
TYP.
PROPERTY LINE
TYP
PARK
A
B
C
D
MOTORCOURT
0 50 10025
Scale: 1" = 50'-0"
0 50 10025
Scale: 1" = 50'-0"
TOWN OVER COMMERCIAL
3 Bedroom 8 du
Sub-Total 8 du
FRONT STREET ROWTOWNS
3 Bedroom 17 du
Sub-Total 17 du
GREENCOURT TOWNHOMES
2 Bedroom 22du
3 Bedroom 21 du
4 Bedroom 14 du
Sub-Total 57 du
MOTORCOURT TOWNHOMES (120du/3.9ac = 30.8 du/ac)
2 Bedroom 78 du
3 Bedroom 42 du
Sub-Total 120 du
Grand Total: 202 units
Total Commercial: 10,400 sf
PRIVATE OPEN SPACE
Greencourts 4,460 sf
Motorcourts 9,876 sf
Town over Commercial 10,032 sf
Total 24,368 sf (.56 acres)
PARKING
Residential Parking Requirements
Multi-Family (2 BR): 107x1.75 188 spaces
Multi-Family (3+ BR): 95x2 190 spaces
Guest Parking: 202 d.u. x 0.15 31 spaces
Total
409 spaces
Non-Residential Parking Requirements
Park Site: 1.1 acres/9 per acre 10 spaces
Restaurant > 2000 sf:
(3,232 sf/1,000 sf) x 7.5 24 spaces
Restaurant < 2000 sf:
(4,063 sf/1,00sf) x 6.5
27 spaces
Retail:(2,280 sf/1000 sf) x 3 7 spaces
Total 68 spaces
Residential Parking Provided
2 Car Garage: (190 d.u.) 380 spaces
1 Car Garage: (12 d.u.) 12 spaces
Assigned Spaces for Units
w/ Single Car Garage: 9 spaces
Guest Spaces Open Bay: 48 spaces
Total 449 spaces
Non-Residential Parking Provided
Park: 10 spaces
Open Bay: 76 spaces
Total 86 spaces
Open Parking Spaces Provided
Standard (incl. 10 park spaces: 84 spaces
EV Ready: 18 spaces
ADA Standard: 5 spaces
ADA Van: 2 spaces
EVCS: 7 spaces
EVCS Van: 1 spaces
Total 117 spaces
PRODUCT TYPE INFO
OCCUPANCY GROUP:
(CBC SECTION 310)
SEPARATIONS:
(CBC SECTION 420.2)
TYPE OF CONSTRUCTION
FIRE RESISTIVE RATING
REQUIREMENTS FOR
BUILDNG ELEMENTS.
FIRE RESISTIVE RATING
REQUIREMENTS FOR
EXTERIOR WALLS BASED
ON FIRE SEPARATION
DISTANCE:
(TABLE 602)
MIXED USE 1 ZONE: MU-1 R-2/U (PRIVATE
GARAGES) - SEPARATED OCCUPANCIES
WALLS SEPARATING DWELLING UNITS - 1/2 HOUR
FIRE PARTITION PER CBC SECTION 708.3,
EXCEPTION #2
TYPE VB
REFER TO TABLE 601
(NO RATING IS REQUIRED PER TABLE 601)
FIRE SEPARATION DISTANCE > 10' FOR TYPE VB
CONSTRUCTION AND R-2 OCCUPANCY SHALL BE
ZERO (0)
(NON-RATED) FIRE SEPARATION DISTANCE < 10'
FOR TYPE VB CONSTRUCTION AND R-2
OCCUPANCY SHALL BE ONE (1) - (1 HOUR)
REFER TO SITE PLAN, FOR ACTUAL DIMENSIONS
BETWEEN BUILDINGS
ALLOWABLE HEIGHT:
(CBC TABLE 504.3)
ACTUAL HEIGHT:
ALLOWABLE STORIES:
(CBC TABLE 504.4)
FIRE SPRINKLERS:
MAXIMUM AREA OF
EXTERIOR WALL OPENINGS:
ALLOWABLE FLOOR AREA:
ACCESSIBILITY:
60 FEET (HEIGHT INCREASE USED)
±40'-0"
3 STORIES
NFPA 13 PER CBC SECTION 903.3.1.1
UNPROTECTED, SPRINKLERED - PER
C.B.C. TABLE 705.8, SEE SITE PLAN FOR
FIRE SEPARATION DISTANCE
SEE TABLE
SHALL COMPLY WITH CBC CHAPTER
1102A.3 MULTI-STORY DWELLINGS
REFER TO SITE PLAN FOR MORE
INFORMATION
CONDOMINIUMS (R-2/U)
DEVELOPMENT NOTES
- SECTION 20.225.040 - MIXED USE 1 ZONE: THE MU-1 ZONE SHOULD
INCORPORATE RETAIL STOREFRONTS, URBAN LIVING, AND COMMUNITY DESTINATIONS IN A VERTICAL PEDESTRIAN-ORIENTED SETTING. THESE USES
MAY BE MIXED VERTICALLY ON SEPARATE FLOORS OF A BUILDING, OR
HORIZONTALLY IN SEPARATE BUILDINGS ON A SINGLE SITE OR ADJACENT PARCELS. TO MAINTAIN A PEDESTRIAN SCALE AND ORIENTATION, PERMITTED
USES ON THE GROUND FLOOR ARE LIMITED TO RETAIL AND OTHER ACTIVE USES. THE MU-1 ZONE IS INTENDED TO IMPLEMENT AND IS CONSISTENT WITH THE MIXED USE 1 (MU1) LAND USE DESIGNATION OF THE GENERAL PLAN. - TABLE 20.225-1 - C BUILDING FRONTAGE AND ACTIVE USE REQUIREMENTS:
PEDESTRIAN-ORIENTED GROUND FLOOR USES ARE REQUIRED FOR EIGHTY PERCENT (80%) OF THE BUILDING FRONTAGE ALONG PRIMARY STREET FRONTAGE, AND FACING PUBLIC OPEN SPACES OR PLAZAS.
- FORM-BASED REGULATION FIGURE 20.225-1: FIGURE 20.225-1 IS THE REGULATING PLAN FOR THE MIXED USE ZONES. THE REGULATING PLAN
FURTHER MODIFIES THE ZONING DESIGNATIONS OF THE ZONING MAP BY
ADDING FORM-BASE STANDARDS SUCH AS SETBACK TYPES, AND
PLACE-ORIENTED REGULATIONS TO EACH ZONE. THE DEVELOPMENT STANDARD TABLES OF EACH MIXED USE ZONE (TABLES 20.225-1, 20.225-2,
20.225-3, AND 20.225-4) REFERENCE FEATURES AND LOCATIONS REPRESENTED ON THE REGULATING PLAN.
Conceptual Site Plan
San Marcos Restaurant Row
FIGURE 2
SOURC
E: KYGY Architecture + Planning, 2023; Lennar 2023
Z:\Projects\j1384401\MAPDOC\DOCUMENT\InitialStudy
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
6 November 2023
INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
13844
7 November 2023
2 Air Quality
2.1 Environmental Setting
2.1.1 Meteorological and Topographical Conditions
The Project site is located within the San Diego Air Basin (SDAB) and is subject to the SDAPCD guidelines and regulations. The SDAB is one of 15 air basins that geographically divide the State of California. The primary factors that determine air quality are the locations of air pollutant sources and the amount of pollutants emitted.
Meteorological and topographical conditions, however, are also important. Factors such as wind speed and direction, air temperature gradients and sunlight, and precipitation and humidity interact with physical landscape features to determine the movement and dispersal of air pollutants. Meteorological and topographical factors that affect air quality in the SDAB are described below.1
Regional Climate and Meteorological Conditions
The climate of the San Diego region, as in most of Southern California, is influenced by the strength and position of the semi -permanent high -pressure system over the Pacific Ocean, known as the Pacific High. This high - pressure ridge over the west coast often creates a pattern of late -night and early -morning low clouds, hazy afternoon sunshine, daytime onshore breezes, and little temperature variation year -round. The SDAB is characterized as a Mediterranean climate with dry, warm summers and mild, occasio nally wet winters. Average temperature ranges (in degrees Fahrenheit (°F)) from the mid -40s to the high 90s, with an average of 201 days warmer than 70°F. The SDAB experiences 9 to 13 inches of rainfall annually, with most of the region’s precipitation falli ng from November through March, with infrequent (approximately 10%) precipitation during the summer. El Niño and La Niña patterns have large effects on the annual rainfall received in San Diego, where San Diego receives less than normal rainfall during La Niña years.
The interaction of ocean, land, and the Pacific High maintains clear skies for much of the year and influences the direction of prevailing winds (westerly to northwesterly). The winds tend to blow onshore in the day and offshore at night. Local terrain is often the dominant factor inland, and winds in inland mountainous areas tend to blow through the valleys during the day and down the hills and valleys at night.
The favorable climate of San Diego also works to create air pollution problems. Sinking, or subsiding air from the Pacific High, creates a temperature inversion known as a subsidence inversion, which acts as a “lid” to vertical dispersion of pollutants. We ak summertime pressure gradients further limit horizontal dispersion of pollutants in the mixed layer below the subsidence inversion. Poorly dispersed anthropogenic emissions combined with strong sunshine leads to photochemical reactions that result in the creation of ozone (O3) at this surface layer. In addition, light winds during the summer further limit ventilation.
In the fall months, the SDAB is often impacted by Santa Ana winds, which are the result of a high -pressure system over the Nevada and Utah regions that overcomes the westerly wind pattern and forces hot, dry winds from the east
1 The discussion of meteorological and topographical conditions of the SDAB is based on information provided in the SDAPCD 2016 Monitoring Plan (SDAPCD 2017), the County of San Diego Guidelines for Determining Significance – Air Quality (County of San Diego 2007), the County of San Diego General Plan Update EIR (County of San Diego 2011), and the CARB Recommended Area Designation for the 2010 Federal Sulfur Dioxide Standard (CARB 2011).
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
8 November 2023
to the Pacific Ocean. The Santa Ana winds are powerful and can blow the SDAB’s pollutants out to sea. However, a weak Santa Ana can transport air pollution from the South Coast Air Basin and greatly increase O 3 concentrations in the San Diego area.
Under certain conditions, atmospheric oscillation results in the offshore transport of air from the Los Angeles region to San Diego County. This often produces high O3 concentrations, as measured at air pollutant monitoring stations within San Diego County. The transport of air pollutants from Los Angeles to San Diego can also occur within the stable layer of the elevated subsidence inversion, where high levels of O3 are transported.
Topographical Conditions
Topography in the San Diego region varies greatly, from beaches in the west to mountains and desert in the east; much of the topography in between consists of mesa tops intersected by canyon areas. Along with local meteorology, topography influences the dispersal and movement of pollutants in the SDAB. Mountains to the east prohibit dispersal of pollutants in that direction and help trap pollutants in inversion layers.
The topography of the SDAB also drives pollutant levels, and the SDAB is classified as a “transport recipient,” whereby pollutants are transported from the South Coast Air Basin to the north and, when the wind shifts direction, from Tijuana, Mexico, to the south.
2.1.2 Pollutants and Effects
2.1.2.1 Criteria Air Pollutants
Criteria air pollutants are defined as pollutants for which the federal and state governments have established ambient air quality standards, or criteria, for outdoor concentrations to protect public health. The national and California standards have been set, with an adequate margin of safety, at levels above which concentrations could be harmful to human health and welfare. These standards are designed to protect the most sensitive persons from illness or discomfort. Pollutants of concern include O3, nitrogen dioxide (NO2), carbon monoxide (CO), sulfur dioxide (SO2), particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 10 microns (PM10), particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 microns (PM2.5), and lead. In California, sulfates, vinyl chloride, hydrogen sulfide, and visibility -reducing particles are also regulated as criteria air pollutants. These pollutants, as well as toxic air contaminants (TACs), are discussed in the following paragraphs.2 Ozone. O3 is a strong -smelling, pale blue, reactive, toxic chemical gas consisting of three oxygen atoms. It is a secondary pollutant formed in the atmosphere by a photochemical process involving the sun’s energy and O 3 precursors. These precursors are mainly oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). The maximum effects of precursor emissions on O3 concentrations usually occur several hours after they are emitted and many miles from the source. Meteorology and terrain play major roles in O3 formation, and ideal conditions occur during summer and early autumn on days with low wind speeds or stagnant air, warm temperatures, and cloudless skies. O3 exists in the upper atmosphere O 3 layer (stratospheric O3) and at the Earth’s surface in the troposphere
2 The descriptions of the criteria air pollutants and associated health effects are based on the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s “Criteria Air Pollutants” (EPA 2018), as well as the California Air Resources Board’s “Glossary” (CARB 2019a) and “Fact Sheet: Air Pollution Sources, Effects and Control” (CARB 2009).
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
9 November 2023
(ground-level O3).3 The O3 that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the California Air Resources Board (CARB) regulate as a criteria air pollutant is produced close to the ground level, where people live, exercise, and breathe. Ground-level O3 is a harmful air pollutant that causes numerous adverse health effects and is thus considered “bad” O3. Stratospheric, or “good,” O 3 occurs naturally in the upper atmosphere, where it reduces the amount of ultraviolet light (i.e., solar radiation) entering the Earth’s atmosphere. Without the protection of the beneficial stratospheric O3 layer, plant and animal life would be seriously harmed.
O3 in the troposphere causes numerous adverse health effects; short -term exposures (lasting for a few hours) to O3 at levels typically observed in Southern California can result in breathing pattern changes, reduction of breathing capacity, increased susceptibility to infections, inflammation of the lung tissue, and some immunological changes (EPA 2013).
Inhalation of O3 causes inflammation and irritation of the tissues lining human airways, causing and worsening a variety of symptoms. Exposure to O3 can reduce the volume of air that the lungs breathe in, thereby causing shortness of breath. O3 in sufficient doses increases the permeability of lung cells, rendering them more susceptible to toxins and microorganisms. The occurrence and severity of health effects from O3 exposure vary widely among individuals, even when the dose and the duration of exposure are the same. Research shows adults and children who spend more time outdoors participating in vigorous physical activities are at greater risk from the harmful health effects of O 3 exposure. While there are relatively few studies on the effects of O 3 on children, the available studies show that children are no more or less likely to suffer harmful effects than adults. However, there are a number of reasons why children may be more susceptible to O3 and other pollutants. Children and teens spend nearly twice as much time outdoors and engaged in vigorous activities as adults. Children breathe more rapidly than adults and inhale more pollution per pound of their body weight than adults. Also, children are less likely than adults to notice their own symptoms and avoid harmful exposures. Further research may be able to better distinguish between health effects in children and adults. Children, adolescents and adults who exercise or work outdoors, where O3 concentrations are the highest, are at the greatest risk of harm from this pollutant (CARB 2019b).
Nitrogen Dioxide. NO2 is a brownish, highly reactive gas that is present in all urban atmospheres. The major mechanism for the formation of NO2 in the atmosphere is the oxidation of the primary air pollutant nitric oxide (NO), which is a colorless, odorless gas. NOx plays a major role, together with VOCs, in the atmospheric reactions that produce O3. NOx is formed from fuel combustion under high temperature or pressure. In addition, NOx is an important precursor to acid rain and may affect both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems. The two major emissions sources are transportation and stationary fuel combustion sources such as electric utility and industrial boilers. NO2 can irritate the lungs, cause bronchitis and pneumonia, and lower resistance to respiratory infections (EPA 2016).
A large body of health science literature indicates that exposure to NO 2 can induce adverse health effects. The strongest health evidence, and the health basis for the ambient air quality standards for NO2, results from controlled human exposure studies that show that NO2 exposure can intensify responses to allergens in allergic asthmatics. In addition, a number of epidemiological studies have demonstrated associations between NO2 exposure and premature death, cardiopulmonary effects, decreased lung function growth in children, respiratory symptoms, emergency room visits for asthma, and intensified allergic responses. Infants and children are particularly at risk because they have disproportionately higher exposure to NO2 than adults due to their greater breathing rate for their body weight and their typically greater outdoor exposure duration. Several studies have shown that long -term NO2 exposure during
3 The troposphere is t he layer of the Earth ’s atmosphere nearest to the surface of the Earth. The troposphere extends outward about 5 miles at the poles and about 10 miles at the equator.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
10 November 2023
childhood, the period of rapid lung growth, can lead to smaller lungs at maturity in children with higher levels of exposure compared to children with lower exposure levels. In addition, children with asthma have a greater degree of airway responsiveness compared with adult asthmatics. In adults, the greatest risk is to people who have chronic respiratory diseases, such as asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (CARB 2019c).
Carbon Monoxide. CO is a colorless, odorless gas formed by the incomplete combustion of hydrocarbon, or fossil fuels.
CO is emitted almost exclusively from motor vehicles, power plants, refineries, industrial boilers, ships, aircraft, and trains. In urban areas, such as the Project location, automobile exhaust accounts for the majority of CO emissions. CO is a nonreactive air pollutant that dissipates relatively quickly; therefore, ambient CO concentrations generally follow the spatial and temporal distributions of vehicular traffic. CO concentrations are influenced by local meteorological conditions—primarily wind speed, topography, and atmospheric stability. CO from motor vehicle exhaust can become locally concentrated when surface-based temperature inversions are combined with calm atmospheric conditions, which is a typical situation at dusk in urban areas from November to February. The highest levels of CO typically occur during the colder months of the year, when inversion conditions are more frequent.
CO is harmful because it binds to hemoglobin in the blood, reducing the ability of blood to carry oxygen. This interferes with oxygen delivery to the body’s organs. The most common effects of CO exposure are fatigue, headaches, confusion and reduced mental alertness, light -headedness, and dizziness due to inadequate oxygen delivery to the brain. For people with cardiovascular disease, short -term CO exposure can further reduce their body’s already compromised ability to respond to the increased oxygen demand s of exercise, exertion, or stress. Inadequate oxygen delivery to the heart muscle leads to chest pain and decreased exercise tolerance. Unborn babies whose mothers experience high levels of CO exposure during pregnancy are at risk of adverse developmental effects. Unborn babies, infants, elderly people, and people with anemia or with a history of heart or respiratory disease are most likely to experience health effects with exposure to elevated levels of CO (CARB 2019d).
Sulfur Dioxide. SO2 is a colorless, pungent gas formed primarily from incomplete combustion of sulfur -containing fossil fuels. The main sources of SO 2 are coal and oil used in power plants and industries; as such, the highest levels of SO 2 are generally found near large industrial complexes. In recent years, SO 2 concentrations have been reduced by the increasingly stringent controls placed on stationary source emissions of SO2 and limits on the sulfur content of fuels.
Controlled human exposure and epidemiological studies show that children and adults with asthma are more likely to experience adverse responses with SO2 exposure, compared with the non-asthmatic population. Effects at levels near the 1 -hour standard are those of asthma exacerbation, including bronchoconstriction accompanied by symptoms of respiratory irritation such as wheezing, shortness of breath, and chest tightness, especially during exercise or physical activity. Also, exposure at elevated levels of SO 2 (above 1 parts per million [ppm]) results in increased incidence of pulmonary symptoms and disease, decreased pulmonary function, and increased risk of mortality. Older people and people with cardiovascular disease or chronic lung disease (such as bronchitis or emphysema) are most likely to experience these adverse effects (CARB 2019e).
SO2 is of concern both because it is a direct respiratory irritant and because it contributes to the formation of sulfate and sulfuric acid in particulate matter (NRC 2005). People with asthma are of particular concern, both because they have increased baseline airflow resistance and because their SO 2-induced increase in airflow resistance is greater than in healthy people, and it increases with the severity of their asthma (NRC 2005). SO 2 is thought to induce airway constriction via neural reflexes involving irritant receptors in the airways (NRC 2005).
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
11 November 2023
Particulate Matter. Particulate matter pollution consists of very small liquid and solid particles floating in the air, which can include smoke, soot, dust, salts, acids, and metals. Particulate matter can form when gases emitted from industries and motor vehicles undergo chemical reactions in the atmosphere. PM 2.5 and PM10 represent fractions of particulate matter. Coarse particulate matter (PM 10) consists of particulate matter that is 10 microns or less in diameter, which is about 1/7 the thickness of a h uman hair. Major sources of PM 10 include crushing or grinding operations; dust stirred up by vehicles traveling on roads; wood -burning stoves and fireplaces; dust from construction, landfills, and agriculture; wildfires and brush/waste burning; industrial sources; windblown dust from open lands; and atmospheric chemical and photochemical reactions. Fine particulate matter (PM 2.5) consists of particulate matter that is 2.5 microns or less in diameter , which is roughly 1/28 the diameter of a human hair.
PM2.5 results from fuel combustion (e.g., from motor vehicles and power generation and industrial facilities), residential fireplaces, and woodstoves. In addition, PM 2.5 can be formed in the atmosphere from gases such as sulfur oxides (SOx), NOx, and VOCs.
PM2.5 and PM 10 pose a greater health risk than larger -size particles. When inhaled, these tiny particles can penetrate the human respiratory system’s natural defenses and damage the respiratory tract. PM2.5 and PM10 can increase the number and severity of asthma attacks, cause or aggravate bronchitis and other lung diseases, and reduce the body’s ability to fight infections. Very small particles of substances such as lead, sulfates, and nitrates can cause lung damage directly or be absorbed into the bloodst ream, causing damage elsewhere in the body.
Additionally, these substances can transport adsorbed gases such as chlorides or ammonium into the lungs, also causing injury. Whereas PM10 tends to collect in the upper portion of the respiratory system, PM 2.5 is so tiny that it can penetrate deeper into the lungs and damage lung tissue. Suspended particulates also damage and discolor surfaces on which they settle and produce haze and reduce regional visibility.
A number of adverse health effects have been associated with exposure to both PM 2.5 and PM 10. For PM 2.5, short-term exposures (up to 24 -hour duration) have been associated with premature mortality, increased hospital admissions for heart or lung causes, acute and chronic bronchitis, asthma attacks, emergency room visits, respiratory symptoms, and restricted activity days. These adverse health effects have been reported primarily in infants, children, and older adults with preexisting heart or lung diseases. In addition, of all of the common air pollutants, PM 2.5 is associated with the greatest proportion of adverse health effects related to air pollution, both in the United States and worldwide based on the World Health Organization’s Global Burden of Disease Project. Short -term exposures to PM 10 have been associated primarily with worsening of respiratory diseases, including asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, leading to hospitalization and emergency department visits (CARB 2017 a).
Long-term exposure (months to years) to PM2.5 has been linked to premature death, particularly in people who have chronic heart or lung diseases, and reduced lung function growth in children. The effects of long-term exposure to PM10 are less clear, although several studies suggest a link between long -term PM 10 exposure and respiratory mortality. The International Agency for Research on Cancer published a review in 2015 that concluded that particulate matter in outdoor air pollution causes lung cancer (CARB 2017a).
Lead. Lead in the atmosphere occurs as particulate matter. Sources of lead include leaded gasoline; the manufacturing of batteries, paints, ink, ceramics, and ammunition; and secondary lead smelters. Prior to 1978, mobile emissions were the primary source of atmospheric lead. Between 1978 and 1987, the phaseout of leaded gasoline reduced the overall inventory of airborne lead by nearly 95%. With the phaseout of leaded gasoline, secondary lead smelters, battery recycling, and manufacturing facilities are bec oming lead-emissions sources of greater concern.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
12 November 2023
Prolonged exposure to atmospheric lead poses a serious threat to human health. Health effects associated with exposure to lead include gastrointestinal disturbances, anemia, kidney disease, and in severe cases, neuromuscular and neurological dysfunction. Of particular concern are low-level lead exposures during infancy and childhood. Such exposures are associated with decrements in neurobehavioral performance, including intelligence quotient (IQ) performance, psychomotor performance, reaction time, and growth. Children are highly susceptible to the effects of lead.
Sulfates. Sulfates are the fully oxidized form of sulfur, which typically occur in combination with metals or hydrogen ions. Sulfates are produced from reactions of SO 2 in the atmosphere and can result in respiratory impairment, as well as reduced visibility.
Vinyl Chloride. Vinyl chloride is a colorless gas with a mild, sweet odor, which has been detected near landfills, sewage plants, and hazardous waste sites, due to the microbial breakdown of chlorinated solvents. Short -term exposure to high levels of vinyl chloride in air can cause nervous system effects, such as dizziness, drowsiness, and headaches. Long-term exposure through inhalation can cause liver damage, including liver cancer.
Hydrogen Sulfide. Hydrogen sulfide is a colorless and flammable gas that has a characteristic odor of rotten eggs.
Sources of hydrogen sulfide include geothermal power plants, petroleum refineries, sewers, and sewage treatment plants. Exposure to hydrogen sulfide can result in nuisance odors, as well as headaches and breathing difficulties at higher concentrations.
Visibility-Reducing Particles. Visibility-reducing particles are any particles in the air that obstruct the range of visibility. Effects of reduced visibility can include obscuring the viewshed of natural scenery, reducing airport safety, and discouraging tourism. Sources of visibility-reducing particles are the same as for PM2.5.
Volatile Organic Compounds. Hydrocarbons are organic gases that are formed from hydrogen and carbon and sometimes other elements. Hydrocarbons that contribute to formation of O3 are referred to and regulated as VOCs (also referred to as reactive organic gases). Combustion engine exhaust, oil refineries, and fossil -fueled power plants are the sources of hydrocarbons. Other sources of hydrocarbons include evaporation from petroleum fuels, solvents, dry cleaning solutions, and paint.
The primary health effects of VOCs result from the formation of O3 and its related health effects. High levels of VOCs in the atmosphere can interfere with oxygen intake by reducing the amount of available oxygen through displacement. Carcinogenic forms of hydrocarbons, such as benzene, are considered TACs. There are no separate ambient air quality standards for VOCs as a group.
2.1.2.2 Non-Criteria Air Pollutants
Toxic Air Contaminants . A substance is considered toxic if it has the potential to cause adverse health effects in humans, including increasing the risk of cancer upon exposure, or acute and/or chronic non-cancer health effects.
A toxic substance released into the air is considered a TAC. TACs are identified by federal and state agencies based on a review of available scientific evidence. In the state of California, TACs are identified through a two-step process that was established in 1983 under the Toxic Air Contaminant Identification and Control Act. This two-step process of risk identification and risk management and reduction was designed to protect residents from the health effects of toxic substances in the air. In addition, the California Air Toxics “Hot Spots” Information and Assessment Act, Assembly Bill (AB) 2588, was enacted by the legislature in 1987 to address public concern over the release of TACs
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
13 November 2023
into the atmosphere. The law requires facilities emitting toxic substances to provide local air pollution control districts with information that will allow an assessment of the air toxics problem, identification of air toxics emissions sources, location of resulting hotspots, notification of the public exposed to significant risk, and development of effective strategies to reduce potential risks to the public over 5 years.
Examples include certain aromatic and chlorinated hydrocarbons, certain metals, and asbestos. TACs are generated by a number of sources, including stationary sources, such as dry cleaners, gas stations, combustion sources, and laboratories; mobile sources, such as automobiles; and area sources, such as landfills. Adverse health effects associated with exposure to TACs may include carcinogenic (i.e., cancer -causing) and non -carcinogenic effects. Non-carcinogenic effects typically affect one or more target or gan systems and may be experienced on either short-term (acute) or long-term (chronic) exposure to a given TAC.
Diesel Particulate Matter. Diesel particulate matter (DPM) is part of a complex mixture that makes up diesel exhaust.
Diesel exhaust is composed of two phases, gas and particle, both of which contribute to health risks. More than 90% of DPM is less than 1 micrometer in diameter (about 1/70 the diameter of a human hair), and thus is a subset of PM 2.5 (CARB 2019f). DPM is typically composed of carbon particles (“soot,” also called black carbon) and numerous organic compounds, including over 40 known cancer -causing organic substances. Examples of these chemicals include polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, benzene, formaldehyde, acetaldehyde, acrolein, and 1,3 - butadiene (CARB 2019f). The CARB classified “particulate emissions from diesel -fueled engines” (i.e., DPM ) (17 CCR 93000) as a TAC in August 1998. DPM is emitted from a broad range of diesel engines: on-road diesel engines, including trucks, buses, and cars, and off-road diesel engines, including locomotives, marine vessels, and heavy - duty construction equipment, among others. Approximately 70% of all airborne cancer risk in California is associated with DPM (CARB 2000). To reduce the cancer risk associated with DPM, CARB adopted a diese l risk reduction plan in 2000 (CARB 2000). Because it is part of PM 2.5, DPM also contributes to the same non -cancer health effects as PM 2.5 exposure. These effects include premature death; hospitalizations and e mergency department visits for exacerbated chronic heart and lung disease, including asthma; increased respiratory symptoms; and decreased lung function in children. Several studies suggest that exposure to DPM may also facilitate developm ent of new allergies (CARB 2019f ). Those most vulnerable to non -cancer health effects are children, whose lungs are still developing, and older people, who often have chronic health problems.
Valley Fever. Coccidioidomycosis, more commonly known as “Valley Fever,” is an infection caused by inhalation of the spores of the Coccidioides immitis fungus, which grows in the soils of the southwestern United States. When fungal spores are present, any activity that disturbs the soil, such as digging, grading , or other earth -moving operations, can cause the spores to become airborne and thereby increase the risk of exposure. The ecologic factors that appear to be most conducive to survival and replication of the spores are high summer temperatures, mild winters, sparse rainfall, and alkaline sandy soils.
The reported number of cases in California was 7,515 cases in 2018, with the Coccidioidomycosis incidence rate of 18.8 per 100,000 population in 2018 (CDPH 2019). Valley Fever is not considered highly endemic to San Marcos. Per the San Diego County Health and Human Services Agency, the 10 -year average (2008 –2017) for Coccidioidomycosis cases in the County of San Diego is 4.5 cases per 100,000 people per year. Similarly, among the total reported incidents of Valley Fever from 2010 through 2019, the cases reported in the County were in in the City’s zip code that includes the Project site (92078) were at a rate of 4.1 cases per 100,000 population (County of San Diego 2021).
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
14 November 2023
Even if present at a site, earth-moving activities may not result in increased incidence of Valley Fever. Propagation of Coccidioides immitis is dependent on climatic conditions, with the potential for growth and surface exposure highest following early seasonal rains and long dry spells. Coccidioides immitis spores can be released when filaments are disturbed by earth-moving activities, although receptors must be exposed to and inhale the spores to be at increased risk of developing Valley Fever. Moreover, exposure to Coccidioides immitis does not guarantee that an individual will become ill—approximately 60% of people exposed to the fungal spores are asymptomatic and show no signs of an infection (USGS 2000).
Odorous Compounds. Odors are generally regarded as an annoyance rather than a health hazard. Manifestations of a person’s reaction to odors can range from psychological (e.g., irritation, anger, or anxiety) to physiological (e.g., circulatory and respiratory effects, nausea, vomiting, and headache). The ability to detect odors varies considerably among the population and overall is quite subjective. People may have different reactions to the same odor. An odor that is offensive to one person may be perfectly acceptable to another (e.g., coffee roaster). An unfamiliar odor is more easily detected and is more likely to cause complaints than a familiar one. In a phenomenon known as odor fatigue, a person can become desensitized to almost any odor, and recogniti on may only occur with an alteration in the intensity. The occurrence and severity of odor impacts depend on the nature, frequency, and intensity of the source; wind speed and direction; and the sensitivity of receptors.
2.1.3 Sensitive Receptors
Some land uses are considered more sensitive to changes in air quality than others, depending on the population groups and the activities involved. The SDAPCD identifies sensitive receptors as those who are especially susceptible to adverse health effects from exposure to TACs, such as children, the elderly, and the ill. Sensitive receptors include schools (grades Kindergarten through 12), day care centers, nursing homes, retirement homes, health clinics, and hospitals within two kilometers of the facility (SDAPCD 2019).
Based on SDAPCD guidance, the nearest existing sensitive receptors site include; single family residential (>1,000 feet away) and EZ Living Mobile Home Park (~1,500 feet away) and Big Future Preschool (>850 feet) the most proximate.
2.2 Regulatory Setting
2.2.1 Federal Regulations
2.2.1.1 Criteria Air Pollutants
The federal Clean Air Act, passed in 1970 and last amended in 1990, forms the basis for the national air pollution control effort. The EPA is responsible for implementing most aspects of the Clean Air Act, including setting National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for major air pollutants ; setting hazardous air pollutant (HAP) standards; approving state attainment plans ; setting motor vehicle emission standards ; issuing stationary source emission standards and permits ; and establishing acid rain contr ol measures, stratospheric O 3 protection measures, and enforcement provisions. Under the Clean Air Act, NAAQS are established for the following criteria pollutants: O3, CO, NO2, SO2, PM10, PM2.5, and lead.
The NAAQS describe acceptable air quality conditions designed to protect the health and welfare of the citizens of the nation. The NAAQS (other than for O3, NO2, SO2, PM10, PM2.5, and those based on annual averages or arithmetic mean)
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
15 November 2023
are not to be exceeded more than once per year. NAAQS for O3, NO2, SO2, PM10, and PM2.5 are based on statistical calculations over 1- to 3-year periods, depending on the pollutant. The Clean Air Act requires the EPA to reassess the NAAQS at least every 5 years to determine whether adopted standards are adequate to protect public health based on current scientific evidence. States with areas that exceed the NAAQS must prepare a state implementation plan that demonstrates how those areas will attain the NAAQS within mandated time frames.
2.2.1.2 Hazardous Air Pollutants
The 1977 federal Clean Air Act amendments required the EPA to identify National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants to protect public health and welfare. HAPs include certain volatile organic chemicals, pesticides, herbicides, and radionuclides that present a tangible hazard, based on scientific studies of exposure to humans and ot her mammals. Under the 1990 federal Clean Air Act Amendments, which expanded the control program for HAPs, 187 substances and chemical families were identified as HAPs.
2.2.2 State Regulations
2.2.2.1 Criteria Air Pollutants
The federal Clean Air Act delegates the regulation of air pollution control and the enforcement of the NAAQS to the states. In California, the task of air quality management and regulation has been legislatively granted to CARB, with subsidiary responsibilities assigned to air quality management districts and air pollution control districts at the regional and county levels. CARB, which became part of the California Environmental Protection Agency in 1991, is responsible for ensuring implementation of the California Clean Air Act of 1988, responding to the federal Clean Air Act, and regulating emissions from motor vehicles and consumer products.
CARB has established California Ambient Air Quality Standards (CAAQS), which are generally more restrictive than the NAAQS. As stated previously, a n ambient air quality standard defines the maximum amount of a pollutant averaged over a specified period of time that can be present in outdoor air without harm to the public's health. For each pollutant, concentrations must be below the relevant CAAQS before a basin can attain the corresponding CAAQS. Air quality is considered “in attainment” if pollutant level s are continuously below the CAAQS and violate the standards no more than once each year. The CAAQS for O3, CO, SO2 (1-hour and 24-hour), NO2, PM10, and PM2.5 and visibility-reducing particles are values that are not to be exceeded.
California air districts have based their thresholds of significance for CEQA purposes on the levels that scientific and factual data demonstrate that the air basin can accommodate without affecting the attainment date for the NAAQS or CAAQS. Since an ambient air quality standard is based on maximum pollutant levels in outdoor air that would not harm the public's health , and air district thresholds pertain to attainment of the ambient air quality standard, this means that the thresholds established by air districts are also protective of human health.
All others are not to be equaled or exceeded. The NAAQS and CAAQS are presented in Table 1.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
16 November 2023
Table 1. Ambient Air Quality Standards
Pollutant Averaging Time
California Standardsa National Standardsb
Concentrationc Primaryc,d Secondaryc,e
O3 1 hour 0.09 ppm (180 g/m3) — Same as Primary
Standardf 8 hours 0.070 ppm (137 g/m3) 0.070 ppm
(137 g/m3)f
NO2g 1 hour 0.18 ppm (339 g/m3) 0.100 ppm
(188 g/m3)
Same as Primary
Standard
Annual Arithmetic
Mean
0.030 ppm (57 g/m3) 0.053 ppm
(100 g/m3)
CO 1 hour 20 ppm (23 mg/m3) 35 ppm (40 mg/m3) None
8 hours 9.0 ppm (10 mg/m3) 9 ppm (10 mg/m3)
SO2h 1 hour 0.25 ppm (655 g/m3) 0.075 ppm (196
g/m3)
—
3 hours — — 0.5 ppm (1,300
g/m3)
24 hours 0.04 ppm (105 g/m3) 0.14 ppm
(for certain areas)g
—
Annual — 0.030 ppm
(for certain areas)g
—
PM10i 24 hours 50 g/m3 150 g/m3 Same as Primary
Standard Annual Arithmetic
Mean
20 g/m3 —
PM2.5i 24 hours — 35 g/m3 Same as Primary
Standard
Annual Arithmetic
Mean
12 g/m3 12.0 g/m3 15.0 g/m3
Leadj,k 30-day Average 1.5 g/m3 — —
Calendar Quarter — 1.5 g/m3
(for certain areas)k
Same as Primary
Standard
Rolling 3-Month
Average
— 0.15 g/m3
Hydrogen
sulfide
1 hour 0.03 ppm (42 µg/m3) — —
Vinyl
chloridej
24 hours 0.01 ppm (26 µg/m3) — —
Sulfates 24 hours 25 µg/m3 — —
Visibility
reducing
particles
8 hours (10:00 a.m.
to 6:00 p.m. PST)
Insufficient amount to
produce an extinction
coefficient of 0.23 per
kilometer due to the
number of particles when
the relative humidity is
less than 70%
— —
Source: CARB 2016.
Notes: g/m3 = micrograms per cubic meter; mg/m3= milligrams per cubic meter; ppm = parts per million by volume; O3 = ozone; NO2 = nitrogen dioxide; CO = carbon monoxide; SO2 = sulfur dioxide; PM10 = particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 10 microns; PM2.5 = particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 microns.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
17 November 2023
a California standards for O3, CO, SO2 (1-hour and 24-hour), NO2, suspended particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5), and visibility-reducing particles are values that are not to be exceeded. All others are not to be equaled or exceeded. CAAQS are listed in the Table of Standards in Section 70200 of Title 17 of the California Code of Regulations. b National standards (other than O3, NO2, SO2, particulate matter, and those based on annual averages or annual arithmetic mean) are not to be exceeded more than once per year. The O 3 standard is attained when the fourth highest 8 -hour concentration measured at each site in a year, averaged over 3 years, is equal to or less than the standard. For PM 10, the 24-hour standard is attained when the expected number of days per calendar year with a 24 -hour average concentration above 150 µg/m3 is equal to or less than 1. For PM2.5, the 24-hour standard is attained when 98% of the daily concentrations, averaged over 3 years, are equal to or less than the standard.
c Concentration expressed first in units in which it was promulgated. Equivalent units given in parentheses are based on a reference temperature of 25°C and a reference pressure of 760 torr. Most measurements of air quality are to be corrected to a reference temperature of 25°C and a reference pressure of 760 torr; ppm in this table refers to ppm by volume, or micromoles of pollutant per mole of gas.
d National Primary Standards: The levels of air quality necessary, with an adequate margin of safety, to protect the public health. e National Secondary Standards: The levels of air quality necessary to protect the public welfare from any known or anticipated adverse effects of a pollutant.
f On October 1, 2015, the national 8-hour O3 primary and secondary standards were lowered from 0.075 to 0.070 ppm. g To attain the national 1-hour standard, the 3-year average of the annual 98th percentile of the 1-hour daily maximum concentrations at each site must not exceed 100 parts per billion (ppb). Note that the national 1-hour standard is in units of ppb. California standards are in units of ppm. To directly compare the national 1-hour standard to the California standards, the units can be converted from ppb to ppm. In this case, the national standard of 100 ppb is identical to 0.100 ppm. h On June 2, 2010, a new 1-hour SO2 standard was established, and the existing 24-hour and annual primary standards were revoked.
To attain the national 1-hour standard, the 3-year average of the annual 99th percentile of the 1-hour daily maximum concentrations at each site must not exceed 75 ppb. The 1971 SO2 national standards (24-hour and annual) remain in effect until 1 year after an area is designated for the 2010 standard, except that in areas designated nonattainment of the 1971 standards, the 1971 standards remain in effect until implementation plans to attain or maintain the 2010 standards are approved. i On December 14, 2012, the national annual PM2.5 primary standard was lowered from 15 g/m3 to 12.0 g/m3. The existing national 24-hour PM2.5 standards (primary and secondary) were retained at 35 g/m3, as was the annual secondary standard of 15 μg/m3.
The existing 24-hour PM10 standards (primary and secondary) of 150 g/m3 were also retained. The form of the annual primary and secondary standards is the annual mean averaged over 3 years. j CARB has identified lead and vinyl chloride as TACs with no threshold level of exposure for adverse health effects determined. These actions allow for the implementation of control measures at levels below the ambient concentrations specified for these pollutants. k The national standard for lead was revised on October 15, 2008, to a rolling 3 -month average. The 1978 lead standard (1.5 μg/m3 as a quarterly average) remains in effect until 1 year after an area is designated for the 2008 standard, except that in areas designated nonattainment for the 1978 standard, the 1978 standard remains in effect until implementation plans to attain or maintain the 2008 standard are approved.
2.2.2.2 Toxic Air Contaminants
The state Air Toxics Program was established in 1983 under AB 1807 (Tanner). The California TAC list identifies more than 700 pollutants, of which carcinogenic and noncarcinogenic toxicity criteria have been established for a subset of these pollutants pursuant to the California Health and Safety Code. In accordance with AB 2728, the state list includes the (federal) HAPs. In 1987, the Legislature enacted the Air Toxics “Hot Spots” Information and Assessment Act of 1987 (AB 2588) to address public concern over the release of TACs into the atmosphere. AB 2588 law requires facilities emitting toxic substances to provide local air pollution control districts with information that will allow an assessment of the air toxics problem, identification of air toxics emissions sources, location of resulting hotspots, notification of the public exposed to significant risk, and development of effective strategies to reduce potential risks to the public over 5 years. TAC emissions from individual facilities are quantified and prioritized. “High-priority” facilities are required to perform a health risk assessment , and if specific thresholds are exceeded, the facility operator is required to communicate the results to the public in the form of notices and public meetings.
In 2000, CARB approved a comprehensive Diesel Risk Reduction Plan to reduce diesel emissions from both new and existing diesel -fueled vehicles and engines (CARB 2000). The regulation is anticipated to result in an 80% decrease in statewide diesel health risk in 2020 compared with the diesel risk in 2000. Additional regulations include Airborne Toxic Control Measure s (ATCMs), several of which are described below .
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
18 November 2023
Idling of Commercial Heavy Duty Trucks (13 CCR 2485)
In July 2004, CARB adopted an Airborne Toxic Control Measure (ATCM) to control emissions from idling trucks.
The ATCM prohibits idling for more than five minutes for all commercial trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating over 10,000 pounds. The ATCM cont ains an exception that allows trucks to idle while queuing or involved in operational activities.
In-Use Off-Road Diesel-Fueled Fleets (13 CCR 2449 et seq.) In July 2007, CARB adopted an ATCM for in-use off-road diesel vehicles. This regulation requires that specific fleet average requirements are met for NOx emissions and for particulate matter emissions. Where average requirements cannot be met, best available control technology requirements apply. The regulation also includes several recordkeeping and reporting requirements.
In response to AB 8 2X, the regulations were revised in July 2009 (effective December 3, 2009) to allow a partial postponement of the compliance schedule in 2011 and 2012 for existing fleets. On December 17, 2010, CARB adopted additional revisions to further delay the deadlines reflecting reductions in diesel emissions due to the poor economy and overestimates of diesel emissions in California. The revisions delayed the first compliance date until no earlier than January 1, 2014, for large fleets, with fina l compliance by January 1, 2023. The compliance dates for medium fleets were delayed until an initial date of January 1, 2017, and final compliance date of January 1, 2023. The compliance dates for small fleets were delayed until an initial date of January 1, 2019, and final compliance date of January 1, 2028. Correspondingly, the fleet average targets were made more stringent in future compliance years. The revisions also accelerated the phaseout of older equipment with newer equipment added to existing large and medium fleets over time, requiring the addition of Tier 2 or higher engines starting on March 1, 2011, with some exceptions: Tier 2 or higher engines on January 1, 2013, without exception; and Tier 3 or higher engines on January 1, 2018 (January 1, 2023, for small fleets).
On October 28, 2011 (effective December 14, 2011), the Executive Officer approved amendments to the regulation.
The amendments included revisions to the applicability section and additions and revisions to the definition. The initial date for requiring the addition of Tier 2 or higher engines for large and medium fleets, with some exceptions, was revised to January 1, 2012. New provisions also allow for the removal of emission control devices for safety or visibility purposes. The regulation also was amended to combine the particulate matter and NOx fleet average targets under one, instead of two, sections. The amended fleet average targets are based on the fleet’s NOx fleet average, and the previous section regarding particulate matter performance requirements was deleted completely. The best available control technology requirements, if a fleet cannot comply with the fleet average requirements, were restructured and clarified. Other amendments to the regulations included minor administrative changes to the regulatory text.
In-Use On-Road Diesel-Fueled Vehicles (13 CCR 2025)
On December 12, 2008, CARB adopted an ATCM to reduce NOx and particulate matter emissions from most in-use on-road diesel trucks and buses with a gross vehicle weight rating greater than 14,000 pounds. The original ATCM regulation required fleets of on -road trucks to limit their NO x and particulate matter emissions through a combination of exhaust retrofit equipment and new vehicles. The regulation limited particulate matter emissions for most fleets by 2011, and limited NO x emissions for most fleets by 2013. The regulation did not require any vehicle to be replaced before 2012 and never required all vehicles in a fleet be replaced.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
19 November 2023
In December 2009, the CARB Governing Board directed staff to evaluate amendments that would provide additional flexibility for fleets adversely affected by the struggling California economy. On December 17, 2010, CARB revised this ATCM to delay its implementation along with limited relaxation of its requirements. Starting on January 1, 2015, lighter trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating of 14,001 to 26,000 pounds with 20-year-old or older engines need to be replaced with newer trucks (2010 model year emissions equivalent as defined in the regulation). Trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating greater than 26,000 pounds with 1995 model year or older engines needed to be replaced as of January 1, 2015. Trucks with 1996 to 2006 model year engines must install a Level 3 (85% control) diesel particulate filter starting on January 1, 2012, to January 1, 2014, depending on the model year, and then must be replaced after eight years. Trucks with 2007 to 2009 model year engines have no requirements until 2023, at which time they must be replaced with 2010 model year emissions -equivalent engines, as defined in the regulation. Trucks with 2010 model year engines would meet the final compliance requirements. The ATCM provides a phase-in option under which a fleet operator would equip a percentage of trucks in the fleet with diesel particulate filters, starting at 30% as of January 1, 2012, with 100% by January 1, 2016. Under each option, delayed compliance is granted to fleet operators who have or will comply with requirements before the required deadlines.
On September 19, 2011 (effective December 14, 2011), the Executive Officer approved amendments to the regulations, including revisions to the compliance schedule for vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 26,000 pounds or less to clarify that all vehicles must be equipped with 2010 model year emissions equivalent engines by 2023. The amendments included revised and additional credits for fleets that have downsized; implement early particulate matter retrofits; incorporate hybrid vehicles, alternat ive-fueled vehicles, and vehicles with heavy -duty pilot ignition engines; and implement early addition of newer vehicles. The amendments included provisions for additional flexibility, such as for low -usage construction trucks, and revisions to previous exem ptions, delays, and extensions. Other amendments to the regulations included minor administrative changes to the regulatory text, such as recordkeeping and reporting requirements related to other revisions.
California Health and Safety Code Section 41700
Section 41700 of the Health and Safety Code states that a person shall not discharge from any source whatsoever quantities of air contaminants or other material that cause injury, detriment, nuisance, or annoyance to any considerable number of persons or to the public ; or that endanger the comfort, repose, health, or safety of any of those persons or the public ; or that cause, or have a natural tendency to cause, injury or damage to business or property. This Section also applies to sources of objectionable odors.
2.2.3 Local Regulations
2.2.3.1 San Diego Air Pollution Control District
San Diego Air Pollution Control District
While CARB is responsible for the regulation of mobile emission sources within the state, local air quality management districts and air pollution control districts are responsible for enforcing standards and regulating stationary sources. The Project site is located within the SDAB , which is under the jurisdiction of the SDAPCD, and is therefore, subject to the guidelines and regulations of SDAPCD. Federal and State attainment plans adopted by the SDAPCD are summarized below.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
20 November 2023
Federal Attainment Plans
SDAPCD has prepared the 2020 Plan for Attaining the National Ambient Air Quality Standards for Ozone in San Diego County (2020 Attainment Plan) that demonstrates how the region will further reduce air pollutant emissions in order to attain the current NAAQS for ozone. The 2020 Attainment Plan was approved by the SDAPCD on October 14, 2020. On November 19, 2020, CARB adopted the 2020 Attainment Plan for attaining the Federal 8 -hour 75 ppb and 70 ppb Ozone standards and projects attainment for the standards b y 2026 and 2032 , respectively (SDAPCD 2020 a). The 2020 Attainment Plan will be submitted to the EPA as a revision to the California State Implementation Plan (SIP) for attaining the ozone NAAQS.
In December 2016, the SDAPCD adopted an update to the Eight-Hour Ozone Attainment Plan for San Diego County (2008 O 3 NAAQS). The 2016 Final Eight -Hour Ozone Attainment Plan for San Diego County indicates that local controls and state programs would allow the region to reach attainment of the federal 8 -hour O3 standard (1997 O3 NAAQS) by 2018 (SDAPCD 2016a). In this plan, SDAPCD relies on the Regional Air Quality Strategy (RAQS) to demonstrate how the region will comply with the federal O3 standard. The RAQS details how the region will manage and reduce O 3 precursors (NO x and VOCs) by identifying measures and regulations intended to reduce these pollutants. The control measures identified in the RAQS generally focus on stationary sources; however, the emissions inventories and projections in the RAQS address all potential sources, including those under the authority of CARB and EPA. Incentive programs for reduction of emissions from heavy -duty diesel vehicles, off -road equipment, and school buses are also established in the RAQS.
Currently, the County is designated as severe nonattainment for the 2008 O3 NAAQS and maintenance for the 1997 O3 NAAQS. As documented in the 2016 Final Eight -Hour Ozone Attainment Plan for San Diego County, the County has a likely chance of obtaining attainment due to the transition to low emission cars, stricter new source review rules, and continuing the requireme nt of general conformity for military growth and the San Diego International Airport. SDAPCD will also continue emission control measures inclu ding ongoing implementation of existing regulations in ozone precursor reduction to stationary and area -wide sources, subsequent inspections of facilities and sources, and the adoption of laws requiring Best Available Retrofit Control Technology for control of emissions (SDAPCD 2016a).
State Attainment Plans
SDAPCD and the San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) are responsible for developing and implementing the clean air plan for attainment and maintenance of the ambient air quality standards in the SDAB.
The RAQS for the SDAB was initially adopted in 1991 and is updated every 3 years, most recently in 2023 (SDAPCD 2023). The RAQS outlines SDAPCD’s plans and control measures designed to attain the CAAQS for O 3. The RAQS relies on information from CARB and SANDAG, including mobile and area source emissions, as well as information regarding projected growth in the County and the cities in the County, to forecast future emissions and then determine from that the strategies necessary for the reduction of emissions through regulatory controls. The CARB mobile source emission projections and SANDAG growth projections are based on population, vehicle trends, and land use plans developed by the County and the cities in the County as part of the development of their general plans (SANDAG 2017a, 2017b).
In December 2016, SDAPCD adopted the revised RAQS for the County. Since 2007, the San Diego region has reduced daily VOC emissions and NO x emissions by 3.9% and 7.0%, respectively; SDAPCD expects to continue reductions through 2035 (SDAPCD 2016 b). These reductions were achieved through implementation of six VOC
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
21 November 2023
control measures and three NOx control measures adopted in SDAPCD’s 2009 RAQS (SDAPCD 2009a); in addition, SDAPCD is considering additional measures, including three VOC measures and four control measures to reduce
0.3 daily tons of VOCs and 1.2 daily tons of NO x, provided they are found to be feasible region -wide. In addition, SDAPCD has implemented nine incentive -based programs, has worked with SANDAG to implement regional transportation control measures, and has reaffirmed the state emission offset repeal.
On March 9, 2023, SDAPCD adopted the 2022 RAQS. The 2022 RAQS guides the SDAPCD in deploying tools, strategies, and resources to continue reducing pollutants that are precursors to ground-level O3, including NOx and VOC. The 2022 RAQS emphasizes O3 control measures but also identifies complementary measures and strategies that can reduce emissions of Greenhouse Gases (GHGs) and PM. It also includes new analyses exploring O3 and its relationship to public health, mobile sources, under -resourced communities, and GHGs and climate change.
Further, the 2022 RAQS identifies strategies to expand SDAPCD regional partnerships, identify more opportunities to engage the public and communities of concern, and integrate environmental justice and equity across all proposed measures and strategies.
In regard to particulate matter emissions reduction efforts, in December 2005, SDAPCD prepared a report titled “Measures to Reduce Particulate Matter in San Diego County” to address implementation of Senate Bill (SB) 656 in San Diego County ( SB 656 required additional controls to reduce ambient concentrations of PM 10 and PM2.5) (SDAPCD 2005). In the report, SDAPCD evaluated the implementation of source -control measures that would reduce particulate matter emissions associated with residential wood combustio n; various construction activities including earthmoving, demolition, and grading; bulk material storage and handling; carryout and trackout removal and cleanup methods; inactive disturbed land; disturbed open areas; unpaved parking lots/staging areas; unpaved roads; and windblown dust (SDAPCD 2005).
SDAPCD Rules and Regulations
As stated previously, SDAPCD is responsible for planning, implementing, and enforcing federal and state ambient standards in the SDAB. The following rules and regulations apply to all sources in the jurisdiction of SDAPCD:
• SDAPCD Regulation IV: Prohibitions; Rule 50: Visible Emissions. Prohibits any activity causing air contaminant emissions darker than 20% opacity for more than an aggregate of 3 minutes in any consecutive 60-minute time period. In addition, Rule 50 prohibits any diesel pile -driving hammer activity causing air contamina nt emissions for a period or periods aggregating more than 4 minutes during the driving of a single pile (SDAPCD 1997).
• SDAPCD Regulation IV: Prohibitions; Rule 51: Nuisance. Prohibits the discharge, from any source, of such quantities of air contaminants or other materials that cause or have a tendency to cause injury, detriment, nuisance, annoyance to people and/or the public, or damage to any business or property (SDAPCD 1976). • SDAPCD Regulation IV: Prohibitions; Rule 55: Fugitive Dust. Regulates fugitive dust emissions from any commercial construction or demolition activity capable of generating fugitive dust emissions, including active operations, open storage piles, and inactive disturbed areas, as well as track-out and carry-out onto paved roads beyond a project site (SDAPCD 2009b).
• SDAPCD Regulation IV: Prohibitions; Rule 67.0.1: Architectural Coatings. Requires manufacturers, distributors, and end users of architectural and industrial maintenance coatings to reduce VOC emissions from the use of these coatings, primarily by placing limits on the VOC content of various coating categories (SDAPCD 2015a).
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
22 November 2023
• SDAPCD Regulation IV: Prohibitions; Rule 67.7: Cutback and Emulsified Asphalts . This rule prohibits manufacturers, distributors, and end users of cutback and emulsified asphalt materials for the paving, construction or maintenance of parking lots, driveways, streets and highways from applying asphalt material or road oils which contain more than 0.5 percent by volume VOC which evaporate at 260º C (500 º F) or less (SDAPCD 1979).
2.2.3.2 San Diego Association of Governments
SANDAG is the regional planning agency for the County and serves as a forum for regional issues relating to transportation, the economy, community development, and the environment. SANDAG serves as the federally designated metropolitan planning organization for the County. With respect to air quality planning and other regional issues, SANDAG has prepared San Diego Forward: The Regional Plan (Regional Plan) for the San Diego region (SANDAG 2015). The Regional Plan combines the big -picture vision for how the region will grow over the next 35 years with an implementation program to help make that vision a reality. The Regional Plan, including its Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS), is built on an integrated set of public policies, strategies, and investments to maintain, manage, and improve the transportation system so that it meets the diverse needs of the San Diego region through 2050. The Regional Plan was updated in 2021, which was the result of years of planning, data analysis, and community engagement to reimagine the San Diego region with a transformative transportation system, a sustainable pattern of growth and development, and innovative demand and management strategies (SANDAG 2021). The 2021 Regional Plan includes a SCS, which describes coordinated transportation and land use planning that exceeds the state’s target for reducing per capita GHG emissions set by CARB. The state-mandated target is a 19% reduction —compared with 2005 —in per capita GHG emissions from cars and light -duty trucks by 2035. The 2021 Regional Plan achieves a 20% reduction by then. The 2021 Regional Plan also puts forth a forecasted development pattern that is driven by regional goals for sustainability, mobility, housing affordability, and economic prosperity.
2.2.3.3 City of San Marcos
The City’s General Plan (City of San Marcos 2012) includes various policies related to reducing Air Quality and GHG emissions. Air quality policies that would be applicable to the Project include:
Land Use and Community Design Element
Policy LU-2.1: Promote compact development patterns that reduce air pollution and automobile dependence and facilitate walking, bicycling, and transit use.
Policy LU-3.1: Require that new development and redevelopment incorporate connections and reduce barriers between neighborhoods, transit corridors, and activity centers within the City.
Mobility Element
Policy M-2.1: Work with new development to design roadways that minimize traffic volumes and/or speed, as appropriate within residential neighborhoods; while maintaining the City’s desire to provide connectivity on the roadway network.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
23 November 2023
Conservation and Open Space Element
Policy COS-4.6: Promote efficient use of energy and conservation of available resources in the design, construction, maintenance and operation of public and private facilities, infrastructure and equipment.
Policy COS-4.8: Encourage and support the generation, transmission and use of renewable energy.
2.3 Regional and Local Air Quality Conditions
2.3.1 San Diego Air Basin Attainment Designation
Pursuant to the 1990 federal Clean Air Act amendments, the EPA classifies air basins (or portions thereof) as “attainment” or “nonattainment” for each criteria air pollutant, based on whether the NAAQS have been achieved.
Generally, if the recorded concentrations of a pollutant are lower than the standard, the area is classified as “attainment” for that pollutant. If an area exceeds the standard, the area is classified as “nonattainment” for that pollutant. If there is not enough data available to determine whether the standard is exceeded in an area, the area is designated as “unclassified” or “unclassifiable.” The designation of “unclassifiable/attainment” means that the area meets the standard or is expected to be meet the standard despite a lack of monitoring data. Areas that achieve the standards after a nonattainment designation are re-designated as maintenance areas and must have approved Maintenance Plans to ensure continued attainment of the standards. The California Clean Air Act, like its federal counterpart, called for the designation of areas as “attainment” or “nonattainment,” bu t based on CAAQS rather than the NAAQS. Table 2 depicts the current attainment status of the Project site with respect to the NAAQS and CAAQS, as well as the attainment classifications for the criteria pollutants are outlined in Table 2.
Table 2. San Diego Air Basin Attainment Status
Pollutant
Designation/Classification
National Standards State Standards
Ozone (O3) – 1-hour Attainment (maintenance)a Nonattainment Ozone (O3) – 8-hour Nonattainment (severe) Nonattainment Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) Unclassifiable/attainmentb Attainment Carbon monoxide (CO) Unclassifiable/attainment Attainment Sulfur dioxide (SO2) Unclassifiable/attainment Attainment Respirable particulate matter
(PM10)
Unclassifiable/attainment Nonattainment
Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) Unclassifiable/attainment Nonattainment Lead (Pb) Attainment Attainment
Sulfates (SO4) No national standard Attainment
Hydrogen sulfide (H2S) No national standard Unclassified Vinyl chloride No national standard No designation
Visibility-reducing particles No national standard Unclassified Sources: EPA 2021a (national); CARB 2020 (state).
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
24 November 2023
Definitions: Attainment = meets the standards; attainment/maintenance = achieve the standards after a non attainment designation ; n onattainment = does not meet the standards; u nclassified or unclassifiable = insufficient data to classify; unclassifiable/attainment = meets the standard or is expected to be meet the standard despite a lack of monitoring data.
Notes: SDAB = San Diego; O3 = ozone; CO = carbon monoxide; PM10 = coarse particulate matter; PM2.5 = fine particulate matter; NO2 = nitrogen dioxide; SO2 = sulfur dioxide.
a The national 1-hour standard of 0.12 parts per million (ppm) was in effect from 1979 through June 15, 2005. The revoked standard is referenced here because it was employed for such a long period and because this benchmark is addressed in SIPs. b The western and central portions of the SDAB are designated attainment, while the eastern portion is designated unclassifiable/ attainment.
In summary, the EPA has designated the SDAB as a nonattainment area for the federal 8 -hour O3 standard, and CARB has designated the SDAB as a nonattainment area for the state 1-hour and 8-hour O3 standards. The SDAB has been designated as a nonattainment area for the state 24 -hour and annual PM 10 standards and as a nonattainment area for the state annual PM 2.5 standard. The SDAB is designated as unclassified or attainment for all other criteria air pollutants.
2.3.2 Local Ambient Air Quality
CARB, air districts, and other agencies monitor ambient air quality at approximately 250 air quality monitoring stations across the state. SDAPCD operates a network of ambient air monitoring stations throughout San Diego County, which measure ambient concentrations of pollutants and determine whether the ambient air quality meets the CAAQS and the NAAQS. Air quality monitoring stations usually measure pollutant concentrations 10 feet above ground level; therefore, air quality is often referred to in terms of ground-level concentrations. The SDAPCD monitors air quality conditions at 11 locations throughout the SDAB. Escondido – East Valley Parkway monitoring station cease to collect data post-2015; thus, due to proximity to the site and similar geographic and climactic characteristics, the Camp Pendleton, San Diego- Rancho Carmel Drive, San Diego –Kearny Villa Road, and El Cajon-Lexington Elementary School monitoring station concentrations for all pollutants are considered most representative of the Project site. Ambient concentrations of pollutants from 2019 through 2021 are presented in Table 3.
Table 3. Local Ambient Air Quality Data
Averaging Time Unit
Agency/
Method
Ambient
Air
Quality
Standard
Measured Concentration
by Year Exceedances by Year
2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
Ozone (O3) – Camp Pendleton
Maximum 1-hour
concentration
ppm State 0.12 0.075 0..094 0.074 0 0 0
Maximum 8-hour
concentration
ppm State 0.070 0.065 0.074 0.059 0 3 0
Federal 0.070 0.064 0.074 0.059 0 3 0
Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) – San Diego – Rancho Carmel Drive Maximum 1-hour
concentration
ppm State 0.18 0.054 0.054 0.054 0 0 0
Federal 0.100 0.054 0.054 0.054 0 0 0
Annual
concentration
ppm State 0.030 0.014 0.014 0.013 — — —
Federal 0.053 0.014 0.014 0.013 — — —
Carbon Monoxide (CO) – San Diego – Rancho Carmel Drive
Maximum 1-hour
concentration
ppm State 20 4.1 3.3 3.0 0 0 0
Federal 35 4.1 3.3 3.0 0 0 0
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
25 November 2023
Table 3. Local Ambient Air Quality Data
Averaging Time Unit
Agency/
Method
Ambient
Air
Quality
Standard
Measured Concentration
by Year Exceedances by Year
2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
Maximum 8-hour
concentration
ppm State 9.0 2.5 1.7 1.8 0 0 0
Federal 9 2.5 1.7 1.8 0 0 0
Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) – El Cajon-Lexington Elementary School Maximum 1-hour
concentration
ppm Federal 0.075 0.0008 0.0017 0.0016 0 0 0
Maximum 24-
hour
concentration
ppm Federal 0.14 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0 0 0
Annual
concentration
ppm Federal 0.030 0.0000
7 0.0000
9 0.0011 — — —
Coarse Particulate Matter (PM10)a – El Cajon-Lexington Elementary School Maximum 24-
hour
concentration
g/m3 State 50 37.4 ND 0.0 (0) ND (0) ND (0)
Federal 150 38.7 ND 0.0 (0) ND (0) ND (0)
Annual
concentration
g/m3 State 20 20.1 ND — — —
Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5)a – San Diego – Kearny Villa Road Maximum 24-
hour
concentration
g/m3 Federal 35 16.2 47.5 20.9 0.0 (0) 0.0 (0) 5.8 (2) Annual
concentration
g/m3 State 12 ND ND — — —
Federal 12.0 7.0 8.7 7.6 — — —
Sources: CARB 2022; EPA 2021b.
Notes: ppm = parts per million by volume; ND = insufficient data available to determine the value; — = not available; g/m3 = micrograms per cubic meter.
Data taken from CARB iADAM (http://www.CARB.ca.gov/adam) and EPA AirData (http://www.epa.gov/airdata/) represent the highest concentrations experienced over a given year.
Daily exceedances for particulate matter are estimated days because PM 10 and PM 2.5 are not monitored daily. All other criteria pollutants did not exceed federal or s tate standards during the years shown. There is no federal standard for 1 -hour ozone, annual PM10, or 24-hour SO2, nor is there a state 24-hour standard for PM2.5.
The Camp Pendleton monitoring station is located at 21441 West B Street, Camp Pendleton, California.
The San Diego-Rancho Carmel Drive monitoring station is located at 11403 Rancho Carmel Drive, San Diego, California.
The El Cajon-Lexington Elementary School monitoring station is located at 533 First Street, El Cajon, California.
The San Diego-Kearny Villa Road monitoring station is located at 6125A Kearny Villa Road, San Diego, California. a Measurements of PM10 and PM2.5 are usually collected every 6 days and every 1 to 3 days, respectively. Number of days exceeding the standards is a mathematical estimate of the number of days concentrations would have been greater than the level of the standard had each day been monitored. The numbers in parentheses are the measured number of samples that exceeded the standard.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
26 November 2023
2.4 Significance Criteria and Methodology
2.4.1 Thresholds of Significance
The significance criteria used to evaluate the Project impacts to air quality is based on the recommendations provided in Appendix G of the CEQA Guidelines. For the purposes of this air quality analysis, a significant impact would occur if the Project would (14 CCR 15000 et seq.):
1. Conflict with or obstruct implementation of the applicable air quality plan.
2. Result in a cumulatively considerable net increase of any criteria pollutant for which the project region is non-attainment under an applicable federal or state ambient air quality standard .
3. Expose sensitive receptors to substantial pollutant concentrations.
4. Result in other emissions (such as those leading to odors) adversely affecting a substantial number of people.
Appendix G of the CEQA Guidelines (14 CCR 15000 et seq.) indicates that, where available, the significance criteria established by the applicable air quality management district or air pollution control district may be relied upon to determine whether the Project would have a significant impact on air quality.
County of San Diego and SDAPCD
Neither the City of San Marcos nor the SDAPCD have developed CEQA thresholds of significance for air quality; however, the County of San Diego has established CEQA screening -level thresholds for air quality impact analyses based on the SDAPCD Air Quality Impact Assessments trigger levels, which are based on emissions levels identified under the New Source Review program. As part of its air quality permitting process, SDAPCD has established thresholds in Rule 20.2 and Rule 20.3 requiring the preparation of Air Quality Impact Assessments for permitted stationary sources (non-major and major stationary sources, respectively ) (SDAPCD 2020b, 2021). SDAPCD sets forth quantitative emission thresholds below which a stationary source would not have a significant impact on ambient air quality. Because SDAPCD Rules 20.2 and 20.3 do not identify a VOC threshold, the County of San Diego established a VOC threshold based on the South Coast Air Quality Management District’s VOC threshold.
For CEQA purposes, the screening-level thresholds established by the County of San Diego can be used as numeric methods to demonstrate that a project’s total emissions would not result in a significant impact to air quality for projects within San Diego County. Accordingly, the thresholds listed in Table 4 are used to evaluate whether Project- related emissions could cause a significant impact on air quality. For nonattainment pollutants, if emissions exceed the thresholds shown in Table 4, the Project could have the potential to result in a cumulatively considerable net increase in these pollutants and thus , could have a significant impact on the ambient air quality ; conversely, emissions below the screening-level thresholds would not cause a significant impact. A project that involves a use that would produce objectionable odors would be deemed to have a significant odor impact if it would affect a considerable number of off-site receptors.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
27 November 2023
Table 4. Air Quality Significance Thresholds
Construction and Operational Emissions
Pollutant
Total Emissions
Pounds per Hour Pounds per Day Tons per Year
Respirable particulate matter (PM10) — 100 15
Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) — 55 10
Oxides of nitrogen (NOx) 25 250 40
Sulfur oxides (SOx) 25 250 40
Carbon monoxide (CO) 100 550 100
Lead and lead compounds — 3.2 0.6
Volatile organic compounds (VOC) — 75a 13.7
Source: SDAPCD Rules 20.2(d)(2) and 20.3(d)(2).
a VOC threshold based on South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD) levels for Coachella Valley, which have similar federal and state attainment status to San Diego.
2.4.2 Approach and Methodology
2.4.2.1 Construction Emissions
Emissions from the construction phase of the Project were estimated using CalEEMod Version 2020.4.0. Construction scenario assumptions, including phasing, equipment mix, and vehicle trips, were based on information provided by the Project applicant and CalEEMod default values when Project specifics were not known.
For purposes of estimating Project emissions, and based on information provided by the Project applicant, it is assumed that construction of the Project would commence in January 20244 and would last approximately 30 months, ending in May 2026. The analysis contained herein is based on the following assumptions (duration of phases is approximate):
• Demolition: 34 days (January 2024 – February 2024)
• Site Preparation: 10 days (January 2024 – February 2024) • Grading: 147 days (February 2024 – September 2024)
• Building Construction: 560 days (March 2024 – May 2026) • Paving: 66 days (September 2024 – December 2024)
• Architectural Coating: 490 days (June 2024 – May 2026) Demolition includes removal of 63,484 sqft of existing structures and approximately 376,358 sqft of paved surface.
Grading was assumed to require 184,420 cubic yards of soil for import. The construction equipment mix and vehicle trips used for estimating the Project-generated construction emissions are shown in Table 5.
4 The analysis assumes a construction start date of January 2024, which represents the earliest date construction would initiate.
Assuming the earliest start date for construction represents the worst-case scenario for criteria air pollutant and GHG emissions because equipment and vehicle emission factors for later years would be slightly less due to more stringent standards for in-use off-road equipment and heavy-duty trucks, as well as fleet turnover replacing older equipment and vehicles in later years.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
28 November 2023
Table 5. Construction Scenario Assumptions
Construction
Phase
One-Way Vehicle Trips Equipment
Average Daily
Worker Trips
Average Daily
Vendor Truck
Trips
Total Haul
Truck Trips Equipment Type Quantity
Daily
Usage
Hours
Demolition 16 4 1,878 Concrete/Industri
al Saws
1 8
Excavators 3 8
Rubber Tires
Dozers
2 8
Site Preparation 18 4 0 Rubber Tires
Dozers
3 8
Tractors/Loaders/
Backhoes
4 8
Grading 20 4 23,052 Excavators 2 8
Graders 1 8
Rubber Tired
Dozers
1 8
Scrappers 2 8
Tractors/Loaders/
Backhoes
2 8
Building
Construction
240 60 0 Cranes 1 7
Forklifts 3 8
Generator Sets 1 8
Tractors/Loaders/
Backhoes
3 7
Welders 1 8
Paving 16 0 0 Pavers 2 8
Paving Equipment 2 8
Rollers 2 8
Architectural
Coating
48 0 0 Air Compressors 1 6
Notes: See Appendix A for details.
Construction of project components would be subject to SDAPCD Rule 55 – Fugitive Dust Control. This rule requires that construction of project components include steps to restrict visible emissions of fugitive dust beyond the property line (SDAPCD 2009b). Compliance with Rule 55 would limit fugitive dust (PM 10 and PM2.5) that may be generated during grading and construction activities. To reflect implementation of proposed dust control strategies, it was assumed that the exposed areas would be watered two times per day (55% reduction in PM10 and PM2.5).
2.4.2.2 Operational Emissions
Emissions from the operational phase of the Project were estimated using CalEEMod Version 2020.4.0. Operational year 2027 was assumed as the first full year after completion of Project construction.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
29 November 2023
Area Sources
CalEEMod was used to estimate operational emissions from area sources, including emissions from consumer product use, architectural coatings, and landscape maintenance equipment. Emissions associated with natural gas usage in space heating and water heating are calculated in the building energy use module of CalEEMod, as described in the following text.
Consumer products are chemically formulated products used by household and institutional consumers, including detergents; cleaning compounds; polishes; floor finishes; cosmetics; personal care products; home, lawn, and garden products; disinfectants; sanitizers; aerosol paints; and automotive specialty products. Other paint products, furniture coatings, or architectural coatings are not considered consumer products (CAPCOA 2021). Consumer product VOC emissions are estimated in CalEEMod based on the floor ar ea of buildings and on the default factor of pounds of VOC per building square foot per day. For parking lot land uses, CalEEMod estimates VOC emissions associated with use of parking surface degreasers based on a square footage of parking surface area and pounds of VOC per square foot per day.
VOC off-gassing emissions result from evaporation of solvents contained in surface coatings such as in paints and primers using during building maintenance. CalEEMod calculates the VOC evaporative emissions from application of residential surface coatings based on the VOC emission factor, the building square footage, the assumed fraction of surface area, and the reapplication rate. The VOC emission factor is based on the VOC content of the surface coatings, and SDAPCD Rule 67.0.1 (Architectural Coatings) governs the VOC (or ROG) content for interior and exterior coatings.
The CalEEMod default of 250 grams per liter was assumed for parking area coatings. The model default reapplication rate of 10% of area per year is assumed. Consistent with CalEEMod defaults, it is assumed that the residential surface area for painting equals 2.7 times the floor square footage, with 75% assumed for interior coating and 25% assumed for exterior surface coating (CAPCOA 2021). For the parking lot, the architectural coating area is assumed to be 6% of the total square footage, consistent with the supporting CalEEMod studies provided as an appendix to the CalEEMod User’s Guide (CAPCOA 2021).
Landscape maintenance includes fuel combustion emissions from equipment such as lawn mowers, rototillers, shredders/grinders, blowers, trimmers, chain saws, and hedge trimmers. The emissions associated from landscape equipment use are estimated based on Ca lEEMod default values for emission factors (grams per square foot of residential building space per day) and number of summer days (when landscape maintenance would generally be performed) and winter days. For San Diego County, the average annual “summer” days are estimated to 365 days; however, it is assumed that landscaping equipment would likely only operate during the week (not weekends), so operational days were assumed to be 180 days per year in CalEEMod (CAPCOA 2021).
Energy Sources
As represented in CalEEMod, energy sources include emissions associated with building electricity and natural gas usage (non -hearth). Electricity use would contribute indirectly to criteria air pollutant emissions; however, the emissions from electricity use are only quantified for GHGs in CalEEMod, because criteria pollutant emissions occur at the site of the power plant, which is typically off -site. Therefore, for the purposes of the air quality analysis, the energy source parameters focus on criteria air pollutants generated as a result of natural gas consumption within the built environment. Natural gas consumption is attributed to systems like heating, ventilation, and air conditioning and water heating. CalEEMod assumes compliance with the 2019 Title 24 code.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
30 November 2023
Mobile Sources
Mobile sources for the Project would be motor vehicles ( e.g., automobiles , trucks, and buses ) traveling to and from the Project site. Motor vehicles may be fueled with gasoline, diesel, or alternative fuels. The trip rates for the proposed Project are based on OCRR Transportation Due Diligence Memorandum conducted by Intersecting Metrics, July 2023. CalEEMod default data, including temperature, trip characteristics, variable start information, and emissions factors, were conservatively used for the model inputs. The project traffic impa ct assessment (Intersection Metrics, July 2023), indicates that the project would reduce average daily trips coming from the Project site, compared to the existing restaurants. Table 6 presents the conclusion of the traffic analysis, which is shown as estimated reduction of 4,665 average daily trips to local roadways., Table 6. Project Traffic Generation Versus Current Uses Traffic Land Use Units Trip Rate Average Daily Trips (ADT)
Multi-Family Units 202 Dwelling Units 6 /Dwelling Unit 1,212 Specialty Retail 10,400 square feet 40 / thousand sq. ft. 416 City Park 1.1 Acres 50 Trips/Acre 55
Existing Uses (to be eliminated)
Existing Restaurants -63,484 100/KSF 6,348
Net Trip Generation -- -- -4,665
Source: (Intersection Metrics, July 2023.
2.5 Impact Analysis
Threshold 1: Would the Project conflict with or obstruct implementation of the applicable air quality plan? As stated in Section 4.3, Local, SDAPCD and SANDAG are responsible for developing and implementing the clean air plans for attainment and maintenance of the NAAQS and CAAQS in the SDAB; specifically, the SIP and RAQS. 5 The federal O3 maintenance plan, which is part of the SIP, was adopted in 2020. The SIP includes a demonstration that current strategies and tactics will maintain acceptable air quality in the SDAB based on the NAAQS. The RAQS was initially adopted in 1991 and is updated every 3 years (most recently in 2023). The RAQS outlines SDAPCD’s plans and control measures designed to attain the CAAQS for O3. The SIP and RAQS rely on information from CARB and SANDAG, including mobile and area source emissions, as well as informati on regarding projected growth in San Diego County and the cities in the County, to project future emissions and then determine from that the strategies necessary for the reduction of emissions through regulatory controls. CARB mobile source emission projections and SANDAG growth projections are based on population, vehicle trends, and land use plans developed by San Diego County and the cities in the County as part of the development of their general plans.
If a project proposes development that is greater than that anticipated in the local plan and SANDAG’s growth projections, the project might be in conflict with the SIP and RAQS and may contribute to a potentially significant cumulative impact on air quali ty. The northern portion of the Project site includes 1.63 acres of exiting vacant light industrial zoned land , while the remaining portion of the total 10.5 -acre project area is zoned Mixed -Use 1 (MU-1) and built with an existing 63,484 SF of restaurant u ses. Therefore, the Project requires a General Plan
5 For the purpose of this discussion, the relevant federal air quality plan is the O3 maintenance plan (SDAPCD 2016b). The RAQS is the applicable plan for purposes of state air quality planning. Both plans reflect growth projections in the SDAB.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
31 November 2023
Amendment and Rezone to change the General Plan designation and Zoning from Mixed -Use 1 (MU-1) and Light Industrial (L-1) to Specific Plan Area (SPA).
As stated above, the RAQS outlines SDAPCD’s plans and control measures designed to attain the CAAQS for O3. The RAQS is developed to attain ozone standards through control measures targeting VOC and NO x emissions as precursors to ozone formation. The SDAPCD mobile source emissions projection and SANDAG growth projections are based on population and vehicle trends and land use plans developed by the city. As such, the current RAQS assumptions would include the Project site based on emissions of VOC and NOx from land uses of zoning of L -1 and MU-1 It should be noted that the current low-density single-story restaurant complex does not conform with the current zoning and the proposed SPA would result in development standards that conform substantially to the MU- 1 development standards.
Because the Project proposes a general plan amendment and zone change from L-1 and MU-1 to SPA, a comparison of emissions of NOx and VOC (precursors to O 3) between existing zone buildout and the proposed Project are preformed to determine if the emissions resulting from the propose d Project are equal to or less than that which would have been accounted for in the SIP and RAQS. If the estimated emissions of the new zoning ( SPA) is equal to or less than the existing ( LI-1 and MU-1) then the strategies propose in the RAQS are sufficient to capture the project emissions and the project would not be in conflict or obstruction of the RAQS.
Per City of San Marcos General Plan, Table 2 -2. General Plan Land Use Designation Density, the maximum Density/Intensity for Light Industrial is 0.60 Floor Area Ratio (FAR). For this analysis, and per City guidance, the existing parcels would be modeled based on the alternative project utilized in the Fiscal Impact Study (DTA 2023) for the project, which includes: 173-unit townhomes, 10,400 square feet of commercial retail, is 28,436 square feet of office building and 133 parking spaces. CalEEMod default values were utilized for alternative project land uses to develop representative emissions. Table 7 provides a summary of the annual CalEEMod estimated VOC and NOx emissions, of alternative project compared to the Project.
Table 7. Estimated Annual Operational Ozone(O3) Precursor Emissions Source
VOC NOx
Tons per Year
Fiscal Impact Study Alternative
Area 12.59 0.23
Energy 0.01 0.09
Mobile 0.63 0.65
Total 13.23 0.97
Proposed Project SPA
Area 1.22 0.02
Energy 0.01 0.07
Mobile 0.67 0.69
Total 1.90 0.78
Difference (Proposed Project - Existing) -11.33 -0.19
Notes: VOC = volatile organic compound; NOx = oxides of nitrogen See Appendix A for complete results.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
32 November 2023
As shown in Table 7, the proposed Project development would result in a reduction of ozone precursors, VOC and NOx, of 11.33TPY and 0.19 TPY, respectively, compared to the Fiscal Impact Study alternative. Therefore, the proposed Project would not conflict with the SIP and RAQS and would result in a less than significant impact on air quality.
As presented in the July 2021, General Plan Housing Element, the most recent Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) from SANDAG stated that San Marcos’s share of regional future housing needs is 3,116 new units between April 15,2021, and April 15, 2029. As of June 30, 2020, 546 housing units have been planned or approved for development, with 2,570 units remaining needed to be developed in the City. The Project is expected to bring 202 units to market in 2027 which would be within SANDAG’s growth projection for housing during the 6th Cycle planning horizon.
Conclusion
The general plan amendment and zone change to specific plan area is not anticipated to result in air quality impacts that were not envisioned in the growth projections and RAQS, and this minor increase in residential units (202 units) in the region would not obstruct or impede implementation of local air quality plans. The Project would be consistent at a regional level with the underlying growth forecasts emissions in the RAQS. Impacts would be less than significant.
Mitigation Measures
No mitigation is required.
Level of Significance After Mitigation
Impacts would be less than significant without mitigation.
Threshold 2: Would the Project result in a cumulatively considerable net increase of any criteria pollutant for which the project region is non -attainment under an applicable federal or state ambient air quality standard?
Past, present, and future development projects may contribute to the SDAB adverse air quality impacts on a cumulative basis. By its nature, air pollution is largely a cumulative impact. The nonattainment status of regional pollutants is a result of past an d present development, and SDAPCD develops and implements plans for future attainment of ambient air quality standards. Based on these considerations, project-level thresholds of significance for criteria pollutants are used in the determination of whether a project’s individual emissions would have a cumulatively considerable contribution on air quality. If a project’s emissions would exceed the applied significance thresholds, it would have a cumulatively considerable contribution. Conversely, projects th at do not exceed the project-specific thresholds are generally not considered to be cumulatively significant.
Construction and operation of the Project would result in emissions of criteria air pollutants, which may result in a cumulatively considerable net increase in emissions of criteria air pollutants for which the SDAB is designated as nonattainment under the NAAQS or CAAQS. As discussed previously, t he SDAB has been designated as a federal nonattainment area for O 3 and a state nonattainment area for O 3, PM 10, and PM 2.5. The following discussion quantitatively evaluates potential short-term construction and long-term operational impacts that would result from implementation of the Project.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
33 November 2023
Construction Emissions
Proposed construction activities would result in the temporary addition of pollutants to the local airshed caused by on-site sources (i.e., off -road construction equipment , soil disturbance , and VOC off -gassing from architectural coatings and asphalt pavement application) and off-site sources (i.e., on-road haul trucks, delivery trucks, and worker vehicle trips). Construction emissions can vary substantially from day to day, depending on the level of activity, the specific type of operation, and for dust, the prevailing weather conditions. Therefore, such emissions levels can only be estimated, with a corresponding uncertainty in precise ambient air quality impacts.
As discussed under 2.4.2.1, criteria air pollutant emissions associated with construction activity were quantified using CalEEMod. Construction emissions were calculated for the estimated worst -case day over the construction period associated with each phase and reported as the max imum daily emissions estimated during each year of construction (2024–2026). Construction schedule assumptions, including phase type, duration, and sequencing, were based on information provided by the applicant or CalEEMod defaul ts and are intended to represent a reasonable scenario based on the best information available. NOx and CO emissions would primarily result from the use of construction equipment and motor vehicles.
Fugitive dust (PM10 and PM2.5) emissions would primarily result from grading and site preparation activities. The Project would be required to comply with SDAPCD Rule 55, Fugitive Dust Control. This rule requires that the Project take steps to restrict visible emissions of fugitive dust beyond the property line. Compliance with Rule 55 would limit fugitive dust (PM10 and PM2.5) generated during grading and construction activities. To account for dust control measures in the calculations, it was assumed that the Project would ensure that active sites be watered at least two times daily. The application of architectural coatings, such as exterior application/interior paint and other finishes would produce VOC emissions. The contractor would also be required to comply with the requirements of SDAPCD’s Rule 67.7, Cutback and Emulsified Asphalt, which would limit VOC emissions from asphalt off-gassing.
Table 8 presents the estimated maximum daily construction emissions generated during construction of the Project.
Details of the emission calculations are provided in Appendix A.
Table 8. Estimated Maximum Daily Construction Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions - Unmitigated Year
VOC NOx CO SOx PM10 PM2.5
Pounds per day
2024 20.85 82.28 74.26 0.24 17.85 7.81
2025 15.93 16.70 24.82 0.06 3.38 1.32
2026 15.89 16.63 24.46 0.06 3.38 1.32
Maximum daily emissions 20.85 82.28 74.26 0.24 17.85 7.81 Emission threshold 75 250 550 250 100 55
Threshold Exceeded? No No No No No No
Notes: VOC = volatile organic compound; NOx = oxides of nitrogen; CO = carbon monoxide; SOx = sulfur oxides; PM10 = particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter equal to or less than 10 microns ; PM2.5 = particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter equal to or less than 2.5 microns.
See Appendix A for complete results.
The values shown are the maximum summer or winter daily emissions results from CalEEMod. Although not considered mitigation, these estimates reflect the “mitigated” CalEEMod results in order to account for SDAPCD Rule 55 - Fugitive Dust Control, assuming watering of the project site two times per day.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
34 November 2023
As shown in Table 8, maximum daily construction emissions would not exceed the significance thresholds for VOC, NOx, CO, SOx, PM10, or PM2.5 during construction.
Operational Emissions
Following the completion of construction activities, the Project would generate VOC, NOx, CO, SOx, PM10, and PM2.5 emissions from mobile sources, including vehicular traffic; energy sources from natural gas usage; area sources, (including the use of landscaping equipment , consumer products, and from architectural coatings. As discussed in Section 2.4.2.2, Operational Emissions, pollutant emissions associated with long-term operations were quantified using CalEEMod using a combination of Project-specific information and CalEEMod default values.
Table 9 presents the maximum daily area, energy, and mobile source emissions associated with Project operation. Details of the emission calculations are provided in Appendix A.
Table 9. Estimated Operational Criteria Air Pollutant Emissions - Unmitigated Emission Source
VOC NOx CO SOx PM10 PM2.5
Pounds per day
Area 6.92 0.19 16.66 <0.01 0.09 0.09
Energy 0.04 0.38 0.16 <0.01 0.03 0.03
Mobile 4.07 4.08 35.99 0.08 8.94 2.42
Total 11.03 4.65 52.81 0.08 9.06 2.54
Emission Threshold 75 250 550 250 100 55
Threshold Exceeded? No No No No No No
Notes: VOC = volatile organic compound; NOx = oxides of nitrogen; CO = carbon monoxide; SOx = sulfur oxides; PM10 = particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter equal to or less than 10 microns ; PM2.5 = particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter equal to or less than 2.5 microns; <0.01 = reported value less than 0.01; negative values are presented in parentheses.
See Appendix A for complete results. Totals may not sum due to rounding.
As shown in Table 9, the maximum daily emissions of the Project would not exceed the significance thresholds for any criteria air pollutants.
As discussed in Section 2.3, Regional and Local Air Quality Conditions, the SDAB has been designated as a federal nonattainment area for O3 and a state nonattainment area for O3, PM10, and PM2.5. The nonattainment status is the result of cumulative emissions from various sources of air pollutants and their precursors within the SDAB, including motor vehicles, off-road equipment, and commercial and industrial facilities. Construction and operation of the Project would generate VOC and NOx emissions (which are precursors to O3) and emissions of PM10 and PM2.5. However, as indicated in Tables 7 and 8, Project-generated construction and operational emissions would not exceed the emission- based significance thresholds for VOC, NOx, PM10, or PM2.5.
Cumulative localized impacts would potentially occur if a construction project were to occur concurrently with another off-site project. Construction schedules for potential future projects near the Project area are currently unknown; therefore, potential construction impacts associated with two or more simultaneous projects would be considered speculative. However, future projects would be subject to CEQA and would require air quality analysis and, where necessary, mitigation if the project would exceed applied thresholds. Criteria air pollutant emissions associated with construction activity of future projects would be reduced through implementation of control measures required by the SDAPCD. For example, cumulative PM10 and PM2.5 emissions would be reduced because all future projects would be
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
35 November 2023
subject to SDAPCD Rule 55 (Fugitive Dust), which sets forth general and specific requirements for all construction sites in the SDAB. In addition, cumulative VOC emissions would be subject to SDAPCD Rule 67.0.1 (Architectural Coatings).
Cumulative air quality impacts are baisin-wide, and air quality is affected by all pollutant sources in the basin. As the individual project thresholds are designed to help achieve attainment with cumulative basin-wide standards, they are also appropriate for assessing the Project’s contribution to cumulative impacts. As shown in Tables 8 and 9, emission would be less than applicable screening thresholds. As emissions would be less than the screening thresholds, the Project would not result in cumulative considerable impact. Therefore, the Project’s cumulative air quality impact would be less than significant.
Mitigation Measures
No mitigation is required.
Level of Significance After Mitigation
Impacts would be less than significant without mitigation.
Threshold 3: Would the Project expose sensitive receptors to substantial pollutant concentrations? Air quality varies as a direct function of the amount of pollutants emitted into the atmosphere, the size and topography of the air basin, and the prevailing meteorological conditions. Air quality problems arise when the rate of pollutant emissions exceeds the rate of dispersion. Reduced visibility, eye irritation, and adverse health impacts on those persons termed “sensitive receptors” are the most serious hazards of existing air quality conditions in the area. Some land uses are considered more sensitive to changes in air quality than others, depending on the population groups and the activities involved. People most likely to be affected by air pollution, as identified by CARB, include children, older adults, athletes, and people with cardiovascular and chronic respiratory diseases; however, for the purposes of this analysis, residents are also considered sensitive receptors. As such, sensitive receptors include residences, schools, playgrounds, childcare cen ters, athletic facilities, long -term healthcare facilities, rehabilitation centers, convalescent centers, and retirement homes.
The SDAPCD identifies sensitive receptors as those who are especially susceptible to adverse health effects from exposure to TACs, such as children, the elderly, and the ill. Sensitive receptors include schools (grades Kindergarten through 12), day care centers, nursing homes, retirement homes, health clinics, and hospitals within two kilometers of the facility (SDAPCD 2019). Based on SDAPCD guidance, the nearest existing sensitive receptors include; single family residential (>1,000 feet away) and EZ Living Mobile Home Park (~1,500 feet away) and Big Future Preschool (>850 feet) the most proximate.
Health Impacts of Carbon Monoxide
Mobile source impacts occur on two scales of motion. Regionally, Project-related travel would add to regional trip generation and increase the vehicle miles traveled within the local airshed and the SDAB. Locally, project generated traffic would be added to the County’s roadway system near the Project site. If such traffic occurs during periods of poor atmospheric ventilation, is composed of a large number of vehicles “cold -started” and operating at pollution- inefficient speeds, and is operating on roadways already crowded with non -project traffic, there is a potential for the formation of microscale CO hotspots in the area immediately around points of congested traffic. Because of continued improvement in vehicular emissions at a rate faster than the rate o f vehicle growth and/or congestion,
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
36 November 2023
the potential for CO hotspots in the SDAB is steadily decreasing. In addition, according to the project traffic impact assessment (Intersection Metrics, July 2023), the project would reduce average daily trips coming from the Project site, compared to the existing restaurants. As shown in Table 6 the Project would result in an estimated reduction of 4,665 average daily trips to local roadways.,
CO transport is extremely limited and CO disperses rapidly with distance from the source. Under certain extreme meteorological conditions, however, CO concentrations near a congested roadway or intersection may reach unhealthy levels, affecting sensitive receptors such as residents, school children, hospital patients, and the elderly. Typically, high CO concentrations are associated with urban roadways or intersections operating at an unacceptable level of service (LOS). Projects contributing to adverse traffic impacts may result in the formation of CO hotspots.
To verify that the Project would not cause or contribute to a violation of the CO standards, a screening evaluation of the potential for CO hotspots was conducted using the County of San Diego screening threshold of 3,000 peak trips (County of San Diego 2007). The trip rates for the proposed Project are based OCRR Transportation Due Diligence Memorandum conducted by Intersecting Metrics, July 2023.. Based on this data, there would be approximately 118 trips during the AM peak-hour and 153 trips during the PM peak-hour, which would be minimal in comparison to the screening threshold of 3,000 peak tri ps. In addition, the project would reduce average daily trips coming from the Project site, compared to the existing restaurants. Therefore, the Project would not result in a CO hotspot and would result in a less than significant impact.
Health Effects of Other Criteria Air Pollutants
Project construction and operation would not exceed significance thresholds for VOC, NOx, CO, SOx, PM10, or PM2.5. VOCs and NOx are precursors to O3, for which the SDAB is designated as nonattainment with respect to the NAAQS and CAAQS.
The health effects associated with O3 are generally associated with reduced lung function. The contribution of ROGs and NOx to regional ambient O3 concentrations is the result of complex photochemistry. The increases in O3 concentrations in the SDAB due to O3 precursor emissions tend to be found downwind from the source location to allow time for the photochemical reactions to occur. However, the potential for exacerbating excessive O3 concentrations would also depend on the time of year that the VOC emissions would occur because exceedances of the O3 CAAQS/NAAQS tend to occur between April and October when solar radiation is highest. The holistic effect of a single project’s emissions of O3 precursors is speculative due to the lack of reliable and meaningful quantitative methods to assess this impact. The Project would not exceed the significance thresholds for VOC or NOx; therefore, implementation of the Project would contribute minimally to regional O3 concentrations and the associated health effects.
In addition to O3, NOx emissions contribute to potential exceedances of the NAAQS and CAAQS for NO 2 (since NO2 is a constituent of NO x). Health effects that result from NO 2 and NOx include respiratory irritation, which could be experienced by nearby receptors during the periods of heaviest use of off -road construction equipment. However, Project construction would be relatively short term, and off -road construction equipment would be operating at various portions of the site and would not be concentrated in one portion of the site at any one time. In addition, existing NO2 concentrations in the area are well below the NAAQS and CAAQS standards. Because Project generated NOx emissions would not exceed the significance threshold , the Project would not result in potential health effects associated with NO2 and NOx.
CO tends to be a localized impact associated with congested intersections. The associated potential for CO hotspots were discussed previously and were determined to be a less -than-significant impact. Furthermore, the existing CO concentrations in the area are well below the NAAQS and CAAQS standards. Thus, the Project’s CO emissions would not contribute to significant health effects associated with this pollutant.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
37 November 2023
Construction and operation of the Project would also not exceed thresholds for PM 10 or PM 2.5 and would not contribute to exceedances of the NAAQS and CAAQS for particulate matter or would obstruct the SDAB from coming into attainment for these pollutants. Additionally, the Project would implement dust control strategies and be required to comply with SDAPCD Rule 55, Fugitive Dust Control, which limits the amount of fugitive dust generated during construction. Due to the minimal contribution of particulate m atter during construction and operation, the Project is not anticipated to result in health effects associated with PM10 or PM2.5.
In summary, the Project would not result in any potentially significant contribution to local or regional concentrations of nonattainment pollutants and would not result in a significant contribution to the adverse health impacts associated with those pollutants. Impacts would be less than significant. Furthermore, there are numerous scientific and technological complexities associated with correlating criteria air pollutant emissions from an individual project to specific health effects or potential additional nonattainment days, and there are currently no modeling tools that could provide reliable an d meaningful additional information regarding health effects from criteria air pollutants generated by individual projects.
Health Impacts of Toxic Air Contaminants
In addition to impacts from criteria pollutants, project impacts may include emissions of pollutants identified by the state and federal government as TACs or hazardous air pollutants . State law has established the framework for California’s TAC identification and control program, which is generally more stringent than the federal program and aimed at TACs that are a problem in California. The state has formally identified more than 20 0 substances as TACs, including the federal hazardous air pollutants, and is adopting appropriate control measures for sources of these TACs. The greatest potential for TAC emissions during construction would be diesel particulate emissions from heavy equipment operations and heavy-duty trucks and the associated health impacts to sensitive receptors. The following measures are required by state law to reduce DPM emissions:
• Fleet owners of mobile construction equipment are subject to the CARB Regulation for In -use Off -road Diesel Vehicles ( 13 CCR 2449 ), the purpose of which is to reduce DPM and criteria pollutant emissions from in-use (existing) off-road diesel-fueled vehicles. • All commercial diesel vehicles are subject to Title 13, Section 2485 of the California Code of Regulations, limiting engine idling time. Idling of heavy-duty diesel construction equipment and trucks during loading and unloading shall be limited to five minutes; electric auxiliary power units should be used whenever possible.
Health effects from carcinogenic air toxics are usually described in terms of cancer risk. The SDAPCD recommends an incremental cancer risk threshold of 10 in a million (SDAPCD 201 5b). “Incremental cancer risk” is the net increased likelihood that a person continuously exposed to concentrations of TACs resulting from a project over a 9-, 30-, and 70 -year exposure period will contract cancer based on the use of standard Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment risk -assessment methodology (OEHHA 2015) . The Project would not require the extensive operation of heavy -duty construction equipment, which is subject to a CARB Airborne Toxics Control Measure for in -use diesel construction equipment to reduce diesel particulate emissions and would not involve extensive use of diesel trucks, which are also subject to a CARB Airborne Toxics Control Measure.
As shown in Table 7, maximum daily PM10 or PM2.5 emissions generated by construction equipment operation and haul- truck trips during construction, which is based on exhaust and fugitive dust generated by equipment operation and vehicle travel, would be well below the significance thresholds. Moreover, total construction of the Project would last approximately 30 months, after which Project-construction TAC emissions would cease. Thus, the duration of the
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
38 November 2023
proposed construction activities would only constitute a small percentage of the total 30-year exposure period. In regards to long-term TAC emissions and as a residential project, the Project would result in a minimal increase in daily truck traffic on the roadway network and would not require stationary sources (such as diesel emergency generators).
As previously described the nearest existing sensitive receptors are located to the greater than 850 feet away from the project site and DPM would disperse qui ckly. Therefore, the exposure of Project-related TAC emission impacts to proximate sensitive receptors would be less than significant.
Valley Fever
As discussed above in Section 2.1.2.2, the average incidence rate within the County is below the statewide average.
Furthermore, construction of the Project would comply with SDAPCD Rule 55, Fugitive Dust Control, which limits the amount of fugitive dust generated during construction. SDAPCD Rule 55 is intended to reduce PM10 emissions from any transportation, handling, construction, or storage activity that has the potential to generate fugitive dust. Based on the low incidence rate of coccidioidomycosis on the Project site and in the County, and with the Project’s implementation of dust control strategies and Valley Fever awareness and training, it is not anticipated that earth-moving activities during project construction would result in exposure of nearby sensitive receptors to Valley Fever. Therefore, the Project would have a less-than-significant impact with respect to Valley Fever exposure for sensitive receptors.
Mitigation Measures
No mitigation is required.
Level of Significance After Mitigation
Impacts would be less than significant without mitigation.
Threshold 4: Result in other emissions (such as those leading to odors) adversely affecting a substantial number of people?
Based on available information, the Project is not anticipated to result in other emissions that have not been addressed under Threshold 1 through Threshold 3 above. As such, this analysis focuses on the potential for the Project to generate odors. The occurrence and severity of potential odor impacts depends on numerous factors.
The nature, frequency, and intensity of the source ; the wind speeds and direction ; and the sensitivity of receiving location each contribute to the intensity of the impact. Although offensive odors seldom cause physical harm, they can be annoying and cause distress among the public and generate citizen complaints.
Odors would be generated from vehicles and/or equipment exhaust emissions during construction of the Project.
Odors produced during construction would be attributable to concentrations of unburned hydrocarbons from tailpipes of construction equipment and architectural coatings. Such odors would disperse rapidly from the Project site and generally occur at magnitudes that would not affect substantial numbers of people. Therefore, impacts associated with odors during construction would be considered less than significant.
Land uses and industrial operations associated with odor complaints include agricultural uses, wastewater treatment plants, food processing plants, chemical plants, composting, refineries, landfills, dairies, and fiberglass molding. The Project would not engage in any of these activities. Therefore, the Project would result in an odor impact that is less than significant .
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
39 November 2023
Mitigation Measures
No mitigation is required.
Level of Significance After Mitigation
Impacts would be less than significant without mitigation.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
40 November 2023
INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
13844
41 November 2023
3 Greenhouse Gas Emissions
3.1 Environmental Setting
3.1.1 Climate Change Overview
Climate change refers to any significant change in measures of climate, such as temperature, precipitation, or wind patterns, lasting for an extended period of time ( i.e., decades or longer). The Earth’s temperature depends on the balance between energy entering and leaving the planet’s system. Many factors, both natural and human, can cause changes in Earth’s energy balance, including variations in the sun's energy reaching Earth, changes in the reflectivity of Earth’s atmosphere and surface, and changes in the greenhouse effect, which affects the amount of heat retained by Earth’s atmosphere (EPA 2017).
The greenhouse effect is the trapping and build-up of heat in the atmosphere (troposphere) near the Earth’s surface. The greenhouse effect traps heat in the troposphere through a threefold process as follows: Short-wave radiation emitted by the Sun is absorbed by the Earth, the Earth emits a portion of this energy in the form of long-wave radiation, and GHGs in the upper atmosphere absorb this long-wave radiation and emit it into space and toward the Earth. The greenhouse effect is a natural process that co ntributes to regulating the Earth’s temperature and creates a pleasant, livable environment on the Earth. Human activities that emit additional GHGs to the atmosphere increase the amount of infrared radiation that gets absorbed before escaping into space, thus enhancing the greenhouse effect and causing the Earth’s surface temperature to rise.
The scientific record of the Earth’s climate shows that the climate system varies naturally over a wide range of time scales and that, in general, climate changes prior to the Industrial Revolution in the 1700s can be explained by natural causes such as ch anges in solar energy, volcanic eruptions, and natural changes in GHG concentrations.
Recent climate changes, in particular the warming observed over the past century, however, cannot be explained by natural causes alone. Rather, it is extremely likely tha t human activities have been the dominant cause of that warming since the mid-twentieth century and is the most significant driver of observed climate change (IPCC 2013; EPA 2017). Human influence on the climate system is evident from the increasing GHG co ncentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing, observed warming, and improved understanding of the climate system (IPCC 2013). The atmospheric concentrations of GHGs have increased to levels unprecedented in the last 800,000 years, primarily from fossil fuel emissions and secondarily from emissions associated with land use changes (IPCC 2013).
Continued emissions of GHGs will cause further warming and changes in all components of the climate system, which is discussed further in Section 3.3.2, Potential Effects of Climate Change.
3.1.2 Greenhouse Gases
A GHG is any gas that absorbs infrared radiation in the atmosphere; in other words, GHGs trap heat in the atmosphere.
As defined in California Health and Safety Code, Section 38505(g), for purposes of administering many of the State’s primary GHG emissions reduction programs, GHGs include carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), sulfur hexafluoride (SF6), and nitrogen trifluoride (NF3). (See also CEQA Guidelines, Section 15364.5.) Some GHGs, such as CO2, CH4, and N2O, occur naturally and are emitted into the atmosphere through natural processes and human activities. Of these gases, CO2 and CH4 are emitted in the greatest quantities from human activities. Manufactured GHGs, which have a much greater heat-absorption potential than CO2,
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
42 November 2023
include fluorinated gases, such as HFCs, PFCs, and SF 6, which are associated with certain industrial products and processes. The following paragraphs provide a summary of the most common GHGs and their sources.6 Carbon Dioxide. CO2 is a naturally occurring gas and a by-product of human activities and is the principal anthropogenic GHG that affects the Earth’s radiative balance. Natural sources of CO2 include respiration of bacteria, plants, animals, and fungus; evaporation from oceans; volcanic out-gassing; and decomposition of dead organic matter. Human activities that generate CO2 are from the combustion of fuels such as coal, oil, natural gas, and wood and changes in land use.
Methane. CH4 is produced through both natural and human activities. CH 4 is a flammable gas and is the main component of natural gas. Methane is produced through anaerobic (without oxygen) decomposition of waste in landfills, flooded rice fields, animal digestion, decomposition of animal wastes, production and distribution of natural gas and petroleum, coal production, and incomplete fossil fuel combustion.
Nitrous Oxide. N2O is produced through natural and human activities, mainly through agricultural activities and natural biological processes, although fuel burning and other processes also create N2O. Sources of N2O include soil cultivation practices (microbial processes in soil and water), especially the use of commercial and organic fertilizers, manure management, industrial processes (such as in nitric acid production, nylon production, and fossil-fuel-fired power plants), vehicle emissions, and using N2O as a propellant (e.g., rockets, racecars, and aerosol sprays).
Fluorinated Gases. Fluorinated gases (also referred to as F-gases) are synthetic powerful GHGs emitted from many industrial processes. Fluorinated gases are commonly used as substitutes for stratospheric ozone -depleting substances (e.g., chlorofluorocarbons [CFCs], hydrochlorofluorocarbons [HCFCs], and halons). The most prevalent fluorinated gases include the following:
• Hydrofluorocarbons: HFCs are compounds containing only hydrogen, fluorine, and carbon atoms. HFCs are synthetic chemicals used as alternatives to ozone-depleting substances in serving many industrial, commercial, and personal needs. HFCs are emitted as by-products of industrial processes and are used in manufacturing. • Perfluorocarbons: PFCs are a group of human -made chemicals composed of carbon and fluorine only.
These chemicals were introduced as alternatives, with HFCs, to the ozone depleting substances. The two main sources of PFCs are primary aluminum production and semiconductor ma nufacturing. Since PFCs have stable molecular structures and do not break down through the chemical processes in the lower atmosphere, these chemicals have long lifetimes, ranging between 10,000 and 50,000 years. • Sulfur Hexafluoride: SF6 is a colorless gas soluble in alcohol and ether and slightly soluble in water. SF 6 is used for insulation in electric power transmission and distribution equipment, semiconductor manufacturing, the magnesium industry, and as a tracer gas for leak detection. • Nitrogen Trifluoride: NF3 is used in the manufacture of a variety of electronics, including semiconductors and flat panel displays.
Chlorofluorocarbons. CFCs are synthetic chemicals that have been used as cleaning solvents, refrigerants, and aerosol propellants. CFCs are chemically unreactive in the lower atmosphere (troposphere) and the production of CFCs was prohibited in 1987 due to the chemical destruction of stratospheric O3.
6 The descriptions of GHGs are summarized from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Second Assessment Report (1995), IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007), CARB’s “Glossary of Terms Used in GHG Inventories” (2015a), and EPA’s “Glossary of Climate Change Terms” (2016c).
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
43 November 2023
Hydrochlorofluorocarbons. HCFCs are a large group of compounds, whose structure is very close to that of CFCs— containing hydrogen, fluorine, chlorine, and carbon atoms—but including one or more hydrogen atoms. Like HFCs, HCFCs are used in refrigerants and propellants. HCFCs were also used in place of CFCs for some applications; however, their use in general is being phased out.
Black Carbon. Black carbon is a component of fine particulate matter, which has been identified as a leading environmental risk factor for premature death. It is produced from the incomplete combustion of fossil fuels and biomass burning, particularly from older diesel engines and forest fires. Black carbon warms the atmosphere by absorbing solar radiation, influences cloud formation, and darkens the surface of snow and ice, which accelerates heat absorption and melting. Black carbon is a short -lived species that varies spatially, which makes it difficult to quantify the global warming potential. Diesel particulate matter emissions are a major source of black carbon and are TACs that have been regulated and controlled in California for several decades to protect public health. In relation to declining diesel particulate matter from the CARB’s regulations pertaining to diesel engines, diesel fuels, and burning activities, CARB estimates that annual black carbon emissions in California have reduced by 70% between 1990 and 2010, with 95% control expected by 2020 (CARB 2014).
Water Vapor. The primary source of water vapor is evaporation from the ocean, with additional vapor generated by sublimation (change from solid to gas) from ice and snow, evaporation from other water bodies, and transpiration from plant leaves. Water vapor is the most important, abundant, and variable GHG in the atmosphere and maintains a climate necessary for life.
Ozone. Tropospheric O3, which is created by photochemical reactions involving gases from both natural sources and human activities, acts as a GHG. Stratospheric O3, which is created by the interaction between solar ultraviolet radiation and molecular oxygen (O 2), plays a decisive role in the stratospheric radiative balance. Depletion of stratospheric O 3, due to chemical reactions that may be enhanced by climate change, results in an increased ground-level flux of ultraviolet-B radiation.
Aerosols. Aerosols are suspensions of particulate matter in a gas emitted into the air through burning biomass (plant material) and fossil fuels. Aerosols can warm the atmosphere by absorbing and emitting heat and can cool the atmosphere by reflecting light.
3.1.3 Global Warming Potential
Gases in the atmosphere can contribute to climate change both directly and indirectly. Direct effects occur when the gas itself absorbs radiation. Indirect radiative forcing occurs when chemical transformations of the substance produce other GHGs, when a g as influences the atmospheric lifetimes of other gases, and/or when a gas affects atmospheric processes that alter the radiative balance of the Earth (EPA 201 7). The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) developed the global warming potential (GWP) concept to compare the ability of each GHG to trap heat in the atmosphere relative to another gas. The GWP of a GHG is defined as the ratio of the time - integrated radiative forcing from the instantaneous release of 1 kilogram of a trace substance relative to that of 1 kilogram of a reference gas (IPCC 2014). The reference gas used is CO2; therefore, GWP-weighted emissions are measured in metric tons (MT) of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO 2e).The current version of California Emissions Estimator Model (CalEEMod) (Version 2020.4.0) assumes that the GWP for CH4 is 25 (so emissions of 1 MT of CH4 are equivalent to emissions of 25 MT of CO 2), and the GWP for N2O is 298, based on the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC 2007). The GWP values identified in CalEEMod were applied to the Project.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
44 November 2023
3.2 Regulatory Setting
3.2.1 Federal Regulations
Massachusetts v. EPA. In Massachusetts v. EPA (April 2007), the U.S. Supreme Court directed the EPA administrator to determine whether GHG emissions from new motor vehicles cause or contribute to air pollution that may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare, or whether the science is too uncertain to make a reasoned decision. In December 2009, the administrator signed a final rule with the following two distinct findings regarding GHGs under Section 202(a) of the federal Clean Air Act:
• The Administrator found that elevated concentrations of GHGs—CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, and SF6—in the atmosphere threaten the public health and welfare of current and future generations. This is the “endangerment finding.”
• The Administrator further found the combined emissions of GHGs —CO2, CH4, N2O, and HFCs —from new motor vehicles and new motor vehicle engines contribute to the GHG air pollution that endangers public health and welfare. This is the “cause or contribute finding.” These two findings were necessary to establish the foundation for regulation of GHGs from new motor vehicles as air pollutants under the Clean Air Act.
Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007. The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (December 2007), among other key measures, would do the following, which would aid in the reduction of national GHG emissions (EPA 2007):
• Increase the supply of alternative fuel sources by setting a mandatory Renewable Fuel Standard requiring fuel producers to use at least 36 billion gallons of biofuel in 2022. • Set a target of 35 miles per gallon for the combined fleet of cars and light trucks by model year 2020, and directs National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) to establish a fuel economy program for medium- and heavy-duty trucks and create a separate fuel economy standard for work trucks. • Prescribe or revise standards affecting regional efficiency for heating and cooling products and procedures for new or amended standards, energy conservation, energy -efficiency labeling for consumer electronic products, residential boiler efficiency, electric motor efficiency, and home appliances.
Federal Vehicle Standards. In Massachusetts v. EPA (April 2007), the U.S. Supreme Court directed the EPA administrator to determine whether GHG emissions from new motor vehicles cause or contribute to air pollution that may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare, or whether the science is too uncertain to make a reasoned decision. In December 2009, the administrator signed a final rule with the following two distinct findings regarding GHGs under section 202(a) of the federal Clean Air Act:
• The administrator found that elevated concentrations of GHGs—CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, and SF6—in the atmosphere threaten the public health and welfare of current and future generations. This is the “endangerment finding.”
• The administrator further found that the combined emissions of GHGs—CO2, CH4, N2O, and HFCs—from new motor vehicles and new motor vehicle engines contribute to the GHG air pollution that endangers public health and welfare. This is the “cause or contribute finding.”
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
45 November 2023
These two findings were necessary to establish the foundation for regulation of GHGs from new motor vehicles as air pollutants under the Clean Air Act (42 U.S.C. § 7401).
In 2007 , in response to the Massachusetts v. EPA U.S. Supreme Court ruling, the Bush Administration issued Executive Order (EO) 13432 directing the EPA, the Department of Transportation, and the Department of Energy to establish regulations that reduce GHG emissions from motor vehicles, non-road vehicles, and non-road engines by 2008. In 2009, the NHTSA issued a final rule regulating fuel efficiency and GHG emissions from cars and light-duty trucks for model year 2011; and, in 2010, the EPA and NHTSA issued a final rule regulating cars and light -duty trucks for model years 2012 through 2016 (75 Fed. Reg. 25324–25728).
In 2010, President Obama issued a memorandum directing the Department of Transportation, Department of Energy, EPA, and NHTSA to establish additional standards regarding fuel efficiency and GHG reduction, clean fuels, and advanced vehicle infrastructure. I n response to this directive, the EPA and NHTSA proposed stringent, coordinated federal GHG and fuel economy standards for model years 2017 through 2025 light-duty vehicles. The proposed standards projected to achieve 163 grams per mile of CO 2 in model year 2025, on an average industry fleet-wide basis, which is equivalent to 54.5 miles per gallon if this level were achieved solely through fuel efficiency.
The final rule was adopted in 2012 for model years 2017 through 2021 (77 Fed. Reg. 62624–63200). On January 12, 2017, the EPA finalized its decision to maintain the current GHG emissions standards for model years 2022 – 2025 cars and light trucks.
In addition to the regulations applicable to cars and light-duty trucks described above, in 2011, the EPA and NHTSA announced fuel economy and GHG standards for medium - and heavy-duty trucks for model years 2014 through 2018. The standards for CO 2 emissions and fuel consumption are tailored to three main vehicle categories:
combination tractors, heavy -duty pickup trucks and vans, and vocational vehicles. According to the EPA, this regulatory program will reduce GHG emissions and fuel consumption fo r the affected vehicles by 6% to 23% over the 2010 baselines (76 Fed. Reg. 57106–57513).
In August 2016, the EPA and NHTSA announced the adoption of the phase two program related to the fuel economy and GHG standards for medium - and heavy-duty trucks. The phase two program will apply to vehicles with model year 2018 through 2027 for certain tr ailers, and model years 2021 through 2027 for semi -trucks, large pickup trucks, vans, and all sizes of buses and work trucks. The final standards are expected to lower CO2 emissions by approximately 1.1 billion MT and reduce oil consumption by up to 2 billion barrels over the lifetime of the vehicles sold under the program (EPA and NHTSA 2016).
In August 2018, EPA and NHTSA proposed to amend certain fuel economy and GHG standards for passenger cars and light trucks and establish new standards for model years 2021 through 2026. Compared to maintaining the post-2020 standards then in place, the 2018 proposal would increase U.S. fuel consumption by about half a million barrels per day (2% to 3% of total daily consumption, according to the Energy Information Administration) and would impact the global climate by 3/1000th of one degree Celsius by 2100 (EPA and NHTSA 2018). California and other states have stated their intent to challenge federal actions that would delay or eliminate GHG reduction measures and have committed to cooperating with other countries to implement global climate change initiatives.
In 2019, the EPA and NHTSA published the Safer Affordable Fuel -Efficient Vehicles Rule Part One: One National Program (SAFE -1), which revoked California’s authority to set its own GHG emissions standards and set zero - emission vehicle (ZEV) mandates in Cali fornia. In March 2020, Part Two was issued which set CO2 emissions standards and corporate average fuel economy standards for passenger vehicles and light -duty trucks for model
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
46 November 2023
years 2021 through 2026. In March 2022, EPA reinstated California’s authority under the Clean Air Act to implement its own GHG emission standards and ZEV sales mandate. EPA’s March 2022 action concludes its reconsideration of the 2019 SAFE -1 rule by finding that the actions taken under the previous administration as a part of SAFE-1 were decided in error and are now entirely rescinded.
3.2.2 State Regulations
The statewide GHG emissions regulatory framework is summarized below by category: state climate change targets, building energy, renewable energy and energy procurement, mobile sources, solid waste, water, and other state regulations and goals. The followi ng text describes EOs, Assembly Bills (ABs), Senate Bills (SBs), and other plans and policies that would directly or indirectly reduce GHG emissions and/or address climate change issues.
State Climate Change Targets
The state has taken a number of actions to address climate change. These include EOs, legislation, and CARB plans and requirements. These are summarized below.
EO S-3-05. EO S -3-05 (June 2005) established California’s GHG emissions reduction targets and laid out responsibilities among the state agencies for implementing the EO and for reporting on progress toward the targets.
This EO established the following targets:
• By 2010, reduce GHG emissions to 2000 levels
• By 2020, reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels
• By 2050, reduce GHG emissions to 80% below 1990 levels EO S -3-05 also directed the California Environmental Protection Agency to report biannually on progress made toward meeting the GHG targets and the impacts to California due to global warming, including impacts to water supply, public health, agriculture, the coastline, and forestry. The Climate Action Team was formed, which subsequently issued reports from 2006 to 2010 (CAT 2016).
SB 32 and AB 197. SB 32 and AB 197 (enacted in 2016) are companion bills. SB 32 codified the 2030 emissions reduction goal of EO B -30-15 by requiring CARB to ensure that statewide GHG emissions are reduced to 40% below 1990 levels by 2030. AB 197 established the Joint Legislative Committee on Climate Change Policies, consisting of at least three members of the Senate and three members of the Assembly, in order to provide ongoing oversight over implementation of the state’s climate policies. AB 197 also adde d two members of the Legislature to the Board as nonvoting members; requires CARB to make available and update (at least annually via its website) emissions data for GHGs, criteria air pollutants, and TACs from reporting facilities; and, requires CARB to identify specific information for GHG emissions reduction measures when updating the scoping plan.
EO B-30-15. EO B-30-15 (April 2015) identified an interim GHG reduction target in support of targets previously identified under S-3-05 and AB 32. EO B-30-15 set an interim target goal of reducing GHG emissions to 40% below 1990 levels by 2030 to keep California on its trajectory toward meeting or exceeding the long-term goal of reducing GHG emissions to 80% below 1990 levels by 2050 as set forth in S-3-05. To facilitate achieving this goal, EO B-30- 15 called for CARB to update the Scoping Plan to express the 2030 tar get in terms of million metric tons (MMT) CO2e. The EO also called for state agencies to continue to develop and implement GHG emission reduction programs in support of the reduction targets.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
47 November 2023
EO B-55-18. EO B-55-18 (September 2018) establishes a new statewide goal “to achieve carbon neutrality as soon as possible, and no later than 2045, and achieve and maintain net negative emissions thereafter.” This EO directs CARB to “work with relevant state agencies to ensure future Scoping Plans identify and recommend measures to achieve the carbon neutrality goal.”
Assembly Bill 1279. The Legislature enacted AB 1279, the California Climate Crisis Act, in September 2022. The bill declares the policy of the state to achieve net zero GHG emissions as soon as possible, but no later than 2045, and achieve and maintain net negative GHG emissi ons thereafter. Additionally, the bill requires that by 2045, statewide anthropogenic GHG emissions be reduced to at least 85% below 1990 levels. Although AB 1279 establishes an overall policy to achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possibl e, but no later than 2045, recognizing the need to implement carbon dioxide removal and carbon capture, utilization and storage technologies, the Legislature established a specific target of 85% below 1990 levels by 2045 for anthropogenic GHG emissions. Therefore, the net zero target does not directly apply to development projects, but the 2045 target of 85% below 1990 levels represents the reductions required to contribute to accomplishing the State’s overall net zero policy.
AB 32 and California Air Resources Board’s Climate Change Scoping Plan . One specific requirement of AB 32 was for CARB to prepare a scoping plan for achieving the maximum technologically feasible and cost -effective GHG emission reductions by 2020 (Health and Safety Code Section 38561[a]), and to update the plan at least once every 5 years. In 2008, CARB approved the first scoping plan. The Climate Change Scoping Plan: A Framework for Change (Scoping Plan) included a mix of recommended strategies that combined direct regulations, market-based approaches, voluntary measures, pol icies, and other emission reduction programs calculated to meet the 2020 statewide GHG emissions limit and initiate the transformations needed to achieve the state’s long -range climate objectives. The key elements of the Scoping Plan include the following (CARB 2008):
1. Expanding and strengthening existing energy efficiency programs, as well as building and appliance standards.
2. Achieving a statewide renewable energy mix of 33%.
3. Developing a California cap-and-trade program that links with other Western Climate Initiative partner programs to create a regional market system and caps sources contributing 85% of California’s GHG emissions.
4. Establishing targets for transportation -related GHG emissions for regions throughout California, and pursuing policies and incentives to achieve those targets.
5. Adopting and implementing measures pursuant to existing state laws and policies, including California’s clean car standards, goods movement measures, and the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (17 CCR 95480 et seq.).
6. Creating targeted fees, including a public goods charge on water use, fees on high GWP gases, and a fee to fund the administrative costs of the State of California’s long-term commitment to AB 32 implementation.
The Scoping Plan also identified local governments as essential partners in achieving California’s goals to reduce GHG emissions because they have broad influence and, in some cases, exclusive authority over activities that contribute to significant direct and indirect GHG emissions through their planning and permitting processes, local ordinances, outreach and education efforts, and municipal operations. Specifically, the Scoping Plan encouraged local governments to adopt a reduction goal for municipal operations, and for community emissions to reduce GHGs by approximately 15% from then levels (2008) by 2020. Many local governments developed community-scale local GHG reduction plans based on this Scoping Plan recommendation.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
48 November 2023
In 2014, CARB approved the first update to the Scoping Plan. The First Update to the Climate Change Scoping Plan:
Building on the Framework (First Update) defined the state’s GHG emission reduction priorities for the next 5 years, and laid the groundwork to start the transition to the post -2020 goals set forth in EO S -3-05 and EO B -16-2012.
The First Update concluded that California is on track to meet the 2020 target but recommended a 2030 mid-term GHG reduction target be established to ensure a continuum of action to reduce emissions. The First Update recommended a mix of technologies in key economic sectors to reduce emissions through 2050, including energy demand reduction through efficiency and activity changes; large-scale electrification of on-road vehicles, buildings, and industrial machinery; decarbonizing electricity and fuel supplies; and the rapid market penetration of efficient and clean energy technologies. As part of the First Update, CARB recalculated the state’s 1990 emissions level, using more recent GWPs identified by the IPCC, from 427 MMT CO2e to 431 MMT CO2e (CARB 2014).
In 2015, as directed by EO B-30-15, CARB began working on an update to the Scoping Plan to incorporate the 2030 target of 40% below 1990 levels by 2030 to keep California on its trajectory toward meeting or exceeding the long- term goal of reducing GHG emis sions to 80% below 1990 levels by 2050 as set forth in EO S -3-05. The governor called on California to pursue a new and ambitious set of strategies, in line with the five climate change pillars from his inaugural address, to reduce GHG emissions and prepare for the unavoidable impacts of climate change. In the summer of 2016, the legislature affirmed the importance of addressing climate change through passage of SB 32.
In December 2017, CARB adopted California’s 2017 Climate Change Scoping Plan (2017 Scoping Plan) for public review and comment (CARB 2017). The 2017 Scoping Plan builds on the successful framework established in the initial Scoping Plan and First Update while identifying new, technologically feasible and cost-effective strategies that will serve as the framework to achieve the 2030 GHG target as established by SB 32 and define the state’s climate change priorities to 2030 and beyond. The strategies’ commitm ents include implementing renewable energy and energy efficiency strategies (including the mandates of SB 350), increasing stringency of the Low Carbon Fuel Standard, implementing measures identified in the Mobile Source and Freight Strategies, implementing measures identified in the proposed Short -Lived Climate Pollutant Reduction Strategy, and increasing stringency of SB 375 targets. To fill the gap in additional reductions needed to achieve the 2030 target, it recommends continuing the Cap-and-Trade Program and a measure to reduce GHGs from refineries by 20%.
For local governments, the 2017 Scoping Plan replaced the initial Scoping Plan’s 15% reduction goal with a recommendation to aim for a community -wide goal of no more than 6 MT CO 2e per capita by 2030, and no more than 2 MT CO 2e per capita by 2050, which are consistent with the state’s long -term goals. These goals are also consistent with the Under 2 Memorandum of Understanding (Under 2 2016) and the Paris Agreement, which are developed around the scientifically based levels necessary to limit global warming to below 2°C. The 2017 Scoping Plan recognized the benefits of local government GHG planning (e.g., through CAPs) and provided more information regarding tools CARB is working on to support those efforts. It also recognized the CEQA streamlining provisions for project-level review where there is a legally adequate CAP.7 The Scoping Plan recommends strategies for implementation at the statewide level to meet the goals of AB 32, SB 32, and the executive orders, and establishes an overall framework for the measures that will be adopted to reduce California’s GHG emissions. A project is considered consistent with the statutes and executive orders if it meets the
7 Sierra Club v. County of Napa (2004) 121 Cal.App.4th 1490; San Francisco Tomorrow et al. v. City and County of San Francisco (2015) 229 Cal.App.4th 498; San Franciscans Upholding the Downtown Specific Plan v. City and County of San Francisco (2002) 102 Cal.App.4th 656; Sequoyah Hills Homeowners Assn. v. City of Oakland (1993) 23 Cal.App.4th 704, 719.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
49 November 2023
general policies in reducing GHG emissions to facilitate the achievement of the state’s goals and does not impede attainment of those goals. A project would be consistent if it will further the objectives and not obstruct their attainment.
CARB adopted the 2022 Scoping Plan Update in December 2022, which outlines the state’s plan to reach carbon neutrality by 2045 or earlier, while also assessing the progress the state is making toward reducing GHG emissions by at least 40% below 1990 levels by 2030, as is required by SB 32 and laid out in the Second Update. The carbon neutrality goal requires CARB to expand proposed actions from only the reduction of anthropogenic sources of GHG emissions to also include those that capture and store carbon (e.g., through natural and working lands, or mechanical technologies). The carbon reduction programs build on and accelerate those currently in place, including moving to zero-emission transportation; phasing out use of fossil gas use for heating homes and buildings; reducing chemical and refrigerants with high GWP; providing communities with sustainable options for walking, biking, and public transit; displacement of fossil-fuel fired electrical generation through use of renewable energy alternatives (e.g., solar arrays and wind turbines); and scaling up new options such as green hydrogen (CARB 2022b).
The 2022 Scoping Plan also emphasizes that there is no realistic path to carbon neutrality without carbon removal and sequestration, and to achieve the state’s carbon neutrality goal, carbon reduction programs must be supplemented by strategies to remove a nd sequester carbon. Strategies for carbon removal and sequestration include carbon capture and storage from anthropogenic point sources, where CO2 is captured as it leaves a facility’s smokestack and is injected into geologic formations or used in industr ial materials (e.g., concrete); and carbon dioxide removal from ambient air, through mechanical (e.g., direct air capture with sequestration) or nature-based (e.g., management of natural and working lands) applications.
The 2022 Scoping Plan included Appendix D, Local Actions, which includes recommendations intended to build momentum for local government actions that align with the State’s climate goals, with a focus on local GHG reduction strategies (commonly referred to as climate action planning) and approval of new land use development projects, including through environmental review under CEQA. The recommendations provided in Appendix D are non-binding and should not be interpreted as a directive to local governments, but rather as evidence -based analytical tools to assist local governments with their role as essential partners in achieving California’s climate goals. Appendix D recognizes consistency with a CEQA-qualified GHG reduction plan such as a Climate Action Plan as a preferred option for evaluating potential GHG emission impacts under CEQA. Absent a qualified GHG reduction plan, Appendix D provides additional potential threshold options including key attributes that residential and mixed- use projects should ach ieve that would align with the State’s climate goals, a net -zero threshold, and use of air district recommended thresholds of significance.8
SB 605 and SB 1383. SB 605 (2014) required CARB to complete a comprehensive strategy to reduce emissions of short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) in the state; and SB 1383 (2016) required CARB to approve and implement that strategy by January 1, 2018. SB 1383 also establishes specific targets for the reduction of SLCPs (40% below 2013 levels by 2030 for methane and HFCs, and 50% below 2013 levels by 2030 for anthropogenic black carbon), and provides direction for reductions from dairy and livestock operations and landfills. Accordingly, and as mentioned above, CARB adopted its Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Reduction Strategy (SLCP Reduction Strategy) in March 2017. The SLCP Reduction Strategy establishes a framework for the statewide reduction of emissions of black carbon, methane, and fluorinated gases (CARB 2017c).
8 The threshold approaches outlined in the 2022 Scoping Plan, Appendix D, are recommendations only and are not requirements; they do not supplant lead agencies’ discretion to develop their own evidence-based approaches for determining whether a project would have a potentially significant impact on GHG emissions.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
50 November 2023
Building Energy
Title 24, Part 6. Title 24 of the California Code of Regulations was established in 1978 and serves to enhance and regulate California’s building standards. While not initially promulgated to reduce GHG emissions, Part 6 of Title 24 specifically established Building Energy Efficiency Standards that are designed to ensure new and existing buildings in California achieve energy efficiency and preserve outdoor and indoor environmental quality. These energy efficiency standards are reviewed every few years by the Building Standards Commission and the California Energy Commission (CEC) (and revised if necessary) (California Public Resources Code, Section 25402[b][1]). The regulations receive input from members of industry, as well as the public, with the goal of “reducing of wasteful, uneconomic, inefficient, or unnecessary consumption of energy” (California Public Resources Code, Section 25402). These regulations are carefully scrutinized and analyzed for technological and economic feasibility (California Public Resources Code, Section 25402[d]) and cost effectiveness (California Public Resources Code, Sections 25402[b][2] and [b][3]). As a result, these standards save energy, increase electricity supply reliability, increase indoor comfort, avoid the need to construct new power plants, and help preserve the environment.
The 2022 Title 24 standards are the currently applicable building energy efficiency standards, and became effective on January 1, 2023. The 2022 Title 24 standards improve upon the 2019 standards for new construction of, and additions and alterations to, r esidential and nonresidential buildings. The CEC adopted the 2022 Title 24 Energy Code in August 2021 and the California Building Standards Commission approved incorporating the updated code into the California Building Standards Code (CALGreen) in December 2021. The 2022 Energy Code went into effect on January 1, 2023. The 2022 Energy Code focuses on four key areas in newly constructed homes and businesses:
• Encouraging electric heat pump technology for space and water heating, which consumes less energy and produces fewer emissions than gas-powered units.
• Establishing electric-ready requirements for single-family homes to position owners to use cleaner electric heating, cooking, and electric vehicle (EV) charging options whenever they choose to adopt those technologies. • Expanding solar photovoltaic (PV) system and battery storage standards to make clean energy available onsite and complement the state’s progress toward a 100% clean electricity grid. • Strengthening ventilation standards to improve indoor air quality.
Title 24, Part 11. In addition to the CEC’s efforts, in 2008, the California Building Standards Commission adopted the nation’s first green building standards. The California Green Building Standards Code (Part 11 of Title 24) is commonly referred to as California’s Green Bu ilding Standards (CALGreen), and establishes minimum mandatory standards and voluntary standards pertaining to the planning and design of sustainable site development, energy efficiency (in excess of the California Energy Code requiremen ts), water conservation, material conservation, and interior air quality. The CALGreen standards took effect in January 2011 and instituted mandatory minimum environmental performance standards for all ground -up, new construction of commercial, low -rise residential and state-owned buildings and schools and hospitals. The CALGreen 2022 standards, which are the current standards, became effective January 1, 2023..
Title 20. Title 20 of the California Code of Regulations requires manufacturers of appliances to meet state and federal standards for energy and water efficiency. The CEC certifies an appliance based on a manufacturer’s demonstration that the appliance meets the standards. New appliances regulated under Title 20 include refrigerators, re frigerator-freezers, and freezers; room air conditioners and room air -conditioning heat pumps; central air conditioners; spot air conditioners; vented gas space heaters; gas pool heaters; plumbing fittings and plumbing fixtures; fluorescent lamp ballasts; lamps; emergency lighting; traffic signal modules; dishwaters; clothes
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
51 November 2023
washers and dryers; cooking products; electric motors; low -voltage dry -type distribution transformers; power supplies; televisions and consumer audio and video equipment; and battery charger systems. Title 20 presents protocols for testing each type of appliance covered under the regulations and appliances must meet the standards for energy performance, energy design, water performance and water design. Title 20 contains three types of standards for appliances: federal and state standards for federally regu lated appliances, state standards for federally regulated appliances, and state standards for non-federally regulated appliances.
SB 1. SB 1 (Murray) (August 2006) established a $3 billion rebate program to support the goal of the state to install rooftop solar energy systems with a generation capacity of 3,000 megawatts through 2016. SB 1 added sections to the Public Resources Code, inclu ding Chapter 8.8 (California Solar Initiative), that require building projects applying for ratepayer -funded incentives for photovoltaic systems to meet minimum energy efficiency levels and performance requirements. Section 25780 established that it is a goal of the state to establish a self -sufficient solar industry. The goals included establishing solar energy systems as a viable mainstream option for both homes and businesses within 10 years of adoption, and placing solar energy systems on 50% of n ew homes within 13 years of adoption. SB 1, also termed “Go Solar California,” was previously titled “Million Solar Roofs.” Renewable Energy and Energy Procurement
SB 1078. SB 1078 (Sher) (September 2002) established the Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) program, which required an annual increase in renewable generation by the utilities equivalent to at least 1% of sales, with an aggregate goal of 20% by 2017. This goal was subsequently accelerated, requiring utilities to obtain 20% of their power from renewable sources by 2010 (see SB 107, EO S-14-08, and S-21-09).
SB 1 368. SB 1368 (September 2006) , required the CEC to develop and adopt regulations for GHG emission performance standards for the long -term procurement of electricity by local publicly owned utilities. These standards must be consistent with the standards adopted by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC).
AB 1109. Enacted in 2007, AB 1109 required the CEC to adopt minimum energy efficiency standards for general - purpose lighting, to reduce electricity consumption 50% for indoor residential lighting and 25% for indoor commercial lighting.
EO S-14-08. EO S-14-08 (November 2008) focused on the contribution of renewable energy sources to meet the electrical needs of California while reducing the GHG emissions from the electrical sector. This EO required that all retail suppliers of electricity in California serve 33% of their load with renewable energy by 2020. Furthermore, the EO directed state agencies to take appropriate actions to facilitate reaching this target. The California Natural Resources Agency (CNRA), through collaboration with the CEC and Cal ifornia Department of Fish and Wildlife (formerly the California Department of Fish and Game), was directed to lead this effort.
EO S-21-09 and SBX1 -2. EO S-21-09 (September 2009) directed CARB to adopt a regulation consistent with the goal of EO S-14-08 by July 31, 2010. CARB was further directed to work with the CPUC and CEC to ensure that the regulation builds upon the RPS program and was applicable to investor -owned utilities, publicly owned utilities, direct access providers, and community choice providers. Under this order, CARB was to give the highest priority to those renewable resources that provide the greatest environmental benefits with the least environmental costs and impacts on public health and can be developed the most quickly in support of reliable, efficient, cost -effective electricity system operations. On September 23, 2010, CARB initially approved regulations to implement a
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
52 November 2023
Renewable Electricity Standard. However, this regulation was not finalized because of subsequent legislation (SB X1-2, Simitian, statutes of 2011) signed by Governor Brown in April 2011.
SB X1 2 expanded the Renewables Portfolio Standard by establishing a renewable energy target of 20% of the total electricity sold to retail customers in California per year by December 31, 2013, and 33% by December 31, 2020, and in subsequent years. Under the bill, a renewable electrical generation facility is one that uses biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaic, wind, geothermal, fuel cells using renewable fuels, small hydroelectric generation (30 megawatts or less), digester gas, municipal solid waste conversion, landfill gas, ocean wave, ocean thermal, or tidal current, and that meets other specified requirements with respect to its location.
SB X1-2 applies to all electricity retailers in the state including publicly owned utilities, investor -owned utilities, electricity service providers, and community choice aggregators. All of these entities must meet the renewable energy goals previously listed.
SB 350. SB 350 (October 2015, Clean Energy and Pollution Reduction Act) further expanded the RPS by establishing a goal of 50% of the total electricity sold to retail customers in California per year by December 31, 2030. In addition, SB 350 included the goal to double the energy efficiency savings in electricity and natural gas final end uses (e.g., heating, cooling, lighting, or class of energy uses on which an energy-efficiency program is focused) of retail customers through energy conservation and efficiency. The bill also requires the California Public Utilities Commission, in consultation with the CEC, to establish efficiency targets for electrical and gas corporations consistent with this goal. Regarding mobile sources, as one of its elements, SB 350 establishes a statewide policy for widespread electrification of the transportation sector, recognizing that such electrification is required for achievement of the state’s 2030 and 2050 reduction targets (see California Public Utilities Code Section 740.12).
SB 100. SB 100 (2018) increased the standards set forth in SB 350 establishing that 44% of the total electricity sold to retail customers in California per year by December 31, 2024, 52% by December 31, 2027, and 60% by December 31, 2030, be secured from qualifying renewable energy sources. SB 100 states that it is the policy of the state that eligible renewable energy resources and zero -carbon resources supply 100% of the retail sales of electricity to California. This bill requires that the achievement of 100% zero -carbon electricity resources do not increase the carbon emissions elsewhere in the western grid and that the achievement not be achieved through resource shuffling.
Mobile Sources
State Vehicle Standards (AB 1493 and EO B -16-12). AB 1493 (July 2002) was enacted in a response to the transportation sector accounting for more than half of California’s CO2 emissions. AB 1493 required CARB to set GHG emission standards for passenger vehicles, light-duty trucks, and other vehicles determined by the state board to be vehicles that are primarily used for noncommercial personal transportation in the state. The bill required that CARB set GHG emission standards for motor vehicles manufactured in 2009 and all subsequent model years. CARB adopted the standards in September 2004. EO B-16-12 (March 2012) required that state entities under the governor’s direction and control support and facilitate the rapid commercialization of zero-emissions vehicles. It ordered CARB, CEC, California Public Utilities Commission, and other relevant agencies to work with the Plug-in Electric Vehicle Collaborative and the California Fuel Cell Partnership to establish benchmarks to help achieve benchmark goals by 2015, 2020, and 2025.
On a statewide basis, EO B -16-12 established a target reduction of GHG emissions from the transportation sector equaling 80% less than 1990 levels by 2050. This directive did not apply to vehicles that have special performance requirements necessary for the protection of the public safety and welfare.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
53 November 2023
EO S-1-07. EO S-1-07 (January 2007, implementing regulation adopted in April 2009) sets a declining LCFS for GHG emissions measured in CO2e grams per unit of fuel energy sold in California. The target of the LCFS is to reduce the carbon intensity of California passenger vehicle fuels by at least 10% by 2020 (17 CCR 95480 et seq.). The carbon intensity measures the amount of GHG emissions in th e lifecycle of a fuel, including extraction/feedstock production, processing, transportation, and final consumption, per unit of energy delivered.
SB 375. SB 375 (Steinberg) (September 2008) addresses GHG emissions associated with the transportation sector through regional transportation and sustainability plans. SB 375 requires CARB to adopt regional GHG reduction targets for the automobile and light-truck sector for 2020 and 2035 and to update those targets every 8 years. SB 375 requires the state’s 18 regional metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs) to prepare a Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS) as part of their Regional Transportation Plan (RTP) that will achieve the GHG reduction targets set by CARB. If a MPO is unable to devise an SCS to achieve the GHG reduction target, the MPO must prepare an Alternative Planning Str ategy demonstrating how the GHG reduction target would be achieved through alternative development patterns, infrastructure, or additional transportation measures or policies.
Pursuant to California Government Code Section 65080(b)(2)(K), an SCS does not: (i) regulate the use of land; (ii) supersede the land use authority of cities and counties; or (iii) require that a city’s or county’s land use policies and regulations, including those in a general plan, be consistent with it (California Government Code Section 65080[b][2][K]). Nonetheless, SB 375 makes regional and local planning agencies responsible for developing those strategies as part of the federally required metropolitan transportation planning process and the state - mandated housing element process.
SANDAG serves as the MPO for the San Diego region and is responsible for developing and adopting a SCS that integrates transportation, land use, and housing to meet GHG reduction targets set by CARB. The RTP/SCS is updated every 4 years in collaboration the 18 cities and unincorporated County of San Diego, in addition to regional, state, and federal partners. The most recent, San Diego Forward: The 2021 Regional Plan was adopted in 2021 and provides guidance on meeting or exceed GHG targets through implemen tation of five key transportation strategies, including complete corridors, high -speed transit services, mobility hubs, flexible fleets, and a digital platform to tie the transportation system together. Through these strategies, the 2021 Regional Plan is projected to reduce per capita GHG emissions from cars and light-duty trucks to 20% below 2005 levels by 2035, exceeding the regions state-mandated target of 19% (SANDAG 2021).
Advanced Clean Cars Program and Zero -Emissions Vehicle Program . The Advanced Clean Cars (ACC) I program (January 2012) is an emissions -control program for model years 2015 through 2025. The program combines the control of smog - and soot -causing pollutants and GHG emissions into a single coordinated package of regulations: the Low -Emission Vehicle (LEV) regulation for criteria air pollutant and GHG emissions and a technology forcing regulation for zero -emission vehicles (ZEV) that contributes to both types o f emission reductions (CARB 2021a). The package includes elements to reduce smog-forming pollution, reduce GHG emissions, promote clean cars, and provide the fuels for clean cars. To improve air quality, CARB has implemented new emission standards to reduce smog-forming emissions beginning with 2015 model year vehicles. It is estimated that in 2025 cars will emit 75 percent less smog-forming pollution than the average new car sold in 2015. The ZEV program will act as the focused technology of the ACC I prog ram by requiring manufacturers to produce increasing numbers of ZEVs and plug-in hybrid EVs in the 2018 to 2025 model years.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
54 November 2023
The ACC II program is currently in development to establish the next set of LEV and ZEV requirements for model years after 2025 to contribute to meeting federal ambient air quality ozone standards and California’s carbon neutrality standards (CARB 2021a). The main objectives of ACC II are:
1. Maximize criteria and GHG emission reductions through increased stringency and real-world reductions.
2. Accelerate the transition to ZEVs through both increased stringency of requirements and associated actions to support wide-scale adoption and use.
The ACC II program establishes the next set of LEV and ZEV requirements for model years after 2025 to contribute to meeting federal ambient air quality ozone standards and California’s carbon neutrality standards (CARB 2022c).
The ACC II rulemaking package also considers technological feasibility, environmental impacts, equity, economic impacts, and consumer impacts. The ACC II regulations were approved by the California Office of Administrative Law (OAL) and became effective on November 30, 2022.
EO N -79-20. EO N-79-20 (September 2020) requires CARB to develop regulations as follows: (1) Passenger vehicle and truck regulations requiring increasing volumes of new ZEVs sold in the State towards the target of 100% of in-state sales by 2035; (2) medium - and heavy-duty vehicle regulations requiring increasing volumes of new zero -emission trucks and buses sold and operated in the State towards the target of 100 % of the fleet transitioning to zero-emission vehicles by 2045 everywhere feasible and for all drayage trucks to be zero emission by 2035; and (3) strategies, in coordination with other State agencies, the EPA and local air districts, to achieve 100% zero-emission from off -road vehicles and equipment operations in the State by 2035. EO N-79-20 called for the development of a Zero -Emissions Vehicle Market Development Strategy, which was released February 2021, to be updated every 3 years, that ensures coordination and implementation of the EO and outlines actions to support new and used ZEV markets. The primary mechanism for achieving the ZEV target for passenger cars and light trucks is the Advanced Clean Cars II (ACCII) Program, approved in August 2022. In addition to ACC II, the Clean Miles Standard regulation will also help enable the goal of 100 percent ZEV sales in 2035 by creating demand for ZEVs. This regulation will have aggressive requirements for electric miles that will transition ride - hailing fleets to zero -emission operations starting in 2 023 and ramping up through 2030. This regulation was approved by the Board in 2021
Advanced Clean Trucks Regulation. The Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) Regulation was also approved by CARB in 2020.
The purpose of the ACT Regulation is to accelerate the market for zero-emission vehicles in the medium- and heavy- duty truck sector and to reduce air pollutant emissions generated from on-road mobile sources (CARB 2021b). The regulation has two components including (1) a manufacturer sales requirement and (2) a reporting requirement:
1. Zero-emission truck sales: Manufacturers who certify Class 2b -8 chassis or complete vehicles with combustion engines will be required to sell zero-emission trucks as an increasing percentage of their annual California sales from 2024 to 2035. By 2035, zero-emission truck/chassis sales would need to be 55% of Class 2b – 3 truck sales, 75% of Class 4 – 8 straight truck sales, and 40% of truck tractor sales.
Company and fleet reporting: Large employers including retailers, manufacturers, brokers and others will be required to report information about shipments and shuttle services. Fleet owners, with 50 or more trucks, will be required to report about their existing fleet operations. This information will help identify future strategies to ensure that fleets purchase available zero-emission trucks and place them in service where suitable to meet their needs.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
55 November 2023
Water
EO B-29-15. In response to the ongoing drought in California, EO B-29-15 (April 2015) set a goal of achieving a statewide reduction in potable urban water usage of 25% relative to water use in 2013. The term of the EO extended through February 28, 2016, although many of the directives have become permanent water -efficiency standards and requirements. The EO includes specific directives that set strict limits on water usage in the state. In response to EO B-29-15, the California Department of Water Resources has modified and adopted a revised version of the Model Water Efficient Landscape Ordinance that, among other changes, significantly increases the requirements for landscape water use efficiency and broadens its applicability to include new development projects with smaller landscape areas.
EO B-37-16. Issued May 2016, EO B -37-16 directed the State Water Resources Control Board ( SWRCB) to adjust emergency water conservation regulations through the end of January 2017 to reflect differing water supply conditions across the state. The SWRCB also developed a proposal to achieve a mandatory reduction of potable urban water usage that builds off the mandatory 25% reduction called for in EO B -29-15. The SWRCB and Department of Water Resources will develop new, permanent water use targets that build upon the existing state law requirements that the state achieve 20% reduction in urban water usage by 2020. EO B -37-16 also specifies that the SWRCB permanently prohibit water-wasting practices such as hosing off sidewalks, driveways, and other hardscapes; washing automobiles with hoses not equipped with a shut -off nozzle; using non-recirculated water in a fountain or other decorative water feature; w atering lawns in a manner that causes runoff, or within 48 hours after measurable precipitation; and irrigating ornamental turf on public street medians.
EO N-10-21. In response to a state of emergency due to severe drought conditions, EO N-10-21 (July 2021) called on all Californians to voluntarily reduce their water use by 15% from their 2020 levels. Actions suggested in EO N - 10-21 include reducing landscape irrigati on, running dishwashers and washing machines only when full, finding and fixing leaks, installing water -efficient showerheads, taking shorter showers, using a shut -off nozzle on hoses, and taking cars to commercial car washes that use recycled water.
Solid Waste
AB 939, AB 341, AB 1826 , and SB 1383 . In 1989, AB 939, known as the Integrated Waste Management Act (California Public Resources Code, Sections 40000 et seq.), was passed because of the increase in waste stream and the decrease in landfill capacity. The statute established the California Integrated Waste Management Board, which oversees a disposal reporting system. AB 939 mandated a reduction of waste being disposed where jurisdictions were required to meet diversion goals of all solid waste through source reduction, recycling, and composting activities of 25% by 1995 and 50% by the year 2000.
AB 341 (Chapter 476, Statutes of 2011 [Chesbro]) amended the California Integrated Waste Management Act of 1989 to include a provision declaring that it is the policy goal of the state that not less than 75% of solid waste generated be source-reduced, recycled, or composted by the year 2020, and annual ly thereafter. In addition, AB 341 required the California Department of Resources Recycling and Recovery (CalRecycle) to develop strategies to achieve the state’s policy goal. CalRecycle has conducted multipl e workshops and published documents that identify priority strategies that it believes would assist the state in reaching the 75% goal by 2020. AB 341 sets a statewide goal for 75 percent disposal reduction by the year 2020. This is not written as a 75 percent diversion mandate for each jurisdiction. The 50 percent disposal reduction mandate still stands for cities, counties, and State agencies (including community colleges) under AB 939 and AB 75, respectively. CalRecycle will continue to evaluate
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
56 November 2023
program implementation as it has in the past through the Annual Report review process for entities subject to either AB 939 or AB 75. Similarly, AB 341 does not mandate a diversion goal for businesses , it simply requires that they implement a commercial recycling program.
AB 1826 (Chapter 727, Statutes of 2014, effective 2016) requires businesses to recycle their organic waste (i.e., food waste, green waste, landscape and pruning waste, nonhazardous wood waste, and food -soiled paper waste that is mixed in with food waste) depending on the amount of waste they generate per week. This law also requires local jurisdictions across the state to implement an organic waste recycling program to divert organic waste generated by businesses, including multifamily residential dwellings that consist of five or more units. The minimum threshold of organic waste generation by businesses decreases over time, which means an increasingly greater proportion of the commercial sector will be required to comply.
SB 1383 (2016) requires a 50% reduction in organic waste disposal from 2014 levels by 2020, and a 75% reduction by 2025 —essentially requiring the diversion of up to 27 million tons of organic waste —to reduce GHG emissions. SB 1383 also requires that not less than 20% of edible food that is currently disposed be recovered for human consumption by 2025.
Other State Actions
SB 97. SB 97 (Dutton) (August 2007) directed the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research to develop guidelines under CEQA for the mitigation of GHG emissions. In 2008, the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research issued a technical advisory as interim guidance regarding the analysis of GHG emissions in CEQA documents. The advisory indicated that the lead agency should identify and estimate a project’s GHG emissions, including those associated with vehicular traffi c, energy consumption, water usage, and constr uction activities (OPR 2008). The advisory further recommended that the lead agency determine significance of the impacts and impose all mitigation measures necessary to reduce GHG emissions to a level that is less than significant. The CNRA adopted the CE QA Guidelines amendments in December 2009, which became effective in March 2010.
Under the amended Guidelines, a lead agency has the discretion to determine whether to use a quantitative or qualitative analysis or apply performance standards to determine the significance of GHG emissions resulting from a particular project (14 CCR 15064.4(a)). The Guidelines require a lead agency to consider the extent to which the Project complies with regulations or requirements adopted to implement a statewide, regional, or local plan for the reduction or mitigation of GHG emissions (14 CCR 15064.4(b)). The Guidelines also allow a lead agency to consider feasible means of mitigating the significant effects of GHG emissions, including reductions in emissions through the implementation of project features or off -site measures. The adopted amendments do not establish a GHG emission threshold, instead allowing a lead agency to develop, adopt, and apply its own thresholds of significance or those developed by other agencies or experts. The CNRA also acknowledges that a lead agency may consider compliance with regulations or requirements implementing AB 32 in determining the significance of a project’s GHG emissions (CNRA 2009a).
With respect to GHG emissions, the CEQA Guidelines state in Section 15064.4(a) that lead agencies should “make a good faith effort, to the extent possible on scientific and factual data, to describe, calculate or estimate” GHG emissions. The CEQA Guideline s note that an agency may identify emissions by either selecting a “model or methodology” to quantify the emissions or by relying on “qualitative analysis or other performance -based standards” (14 CCR 15064.4(a)). Section 15064.4(b) states that the lead ag ency should consider the following when assessing the significance of impacts from GHG emissions on the environment: (1) the extent a project may
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
57 November 2023
increase or reduce GHG emissions as compared to the existing environmental setting; (2) whether the project emissions exceed a threshold of significance that the lead agency determines applies to the project; and (3) the extent to which the project complies with regulations or requirements adopted to implement a statewide, regional, or local plan for the reduction or mitigation of GHG emissions (14 CCR 15064.4(b)).
EO S-13-08. EO S-13-08 (November 2008) is intended to hasten California’s response to the impacts of global climate change, particularly sea -level rise. Therefore, the EO directs state agencies to take specified actions to assess and plan for such impacts. The final 2 009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy report was issued in December 2009 (CNRA 2009 b), and an update, Safeguarding California: Reducing Climate Risk, followed in July 2014 (CNRA 2014). To assess the state’s vulnerability, the report summar izes key climate change impacts to the state for the following areas: Agriculture, Biodiversity and Habitat, Emergency Management, Energy, Forestry, Ocean and Coastal Ecosystems and Resources, Public Health, Transportation, and Water. Issuance of the Safeg uarding California: Implementation Action Plans followed in March 2016 (CNRA 2016). In January 2018, the CNRA released the Safeguarding California Plan: 2018 Update, which communicates current and needed actions that state government should take to build climate change resiliency (CNRA 2018).
3.2.3 Local Regulations
3.2.3.1 San Diego County Air Pollution Control District The SDAPCD does not have established GHG rules, regulations, or policies.
3.2.3.2 City of San Marcos
City of San Marcos Climate Action Plan
The City adopted its CAP on December 8, 2020 (City of San Marcos 2020). The CAP acts as a roadmap to address challenges of climate change within the City. The CAP builds on the efforts and strategies identified in the City’s 2013 CAP and establishes GHG emission reduction targets and identifies achievable, locally based actions to reduce GHG emissions from municipal and community activities. The CAP includes a baseline GHG emissions inventory for 2012, GHG emissions forecasts for 2020 and 2030, local GHG emissions reduction strategies and measures to help the City achieve the 2030 target, climate adaptation measures for the City, and implementation and monitoring mechanisms to ensure the City’s measures and targets are achieved. The CAP established GHG emissions reduction goals of 4% below 2012 levels by 2020 and 42% below 2012 levels by 2030 (City of San Marcos 2020). The CAP was prepared in accordance with the requirements within CEQA Guidelines Section 15183.5, and the CAP Consistency Checklist was used to evaluate the Project’s significance with respect to GHG emissions.
City of San Marcos General Plan
The City’s General Plan (City of San Marcos 2012) includes various policies related to reducing Air Quality and GHG emissions. Applicable policies include the following:
Land Use and Community Design Element
Policy LU-2.1: Promote compact development patterns that reduce air pollution and automobile dependence and facilitate walking, bicycling, and transit use.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
58 November 2023
Policy LU -2.3: Promote landscaping (e.g., native, drought tolerant plants) that minimizes demands on water supply.
Policy LU-2.7: Promote the instillation of trees to reduce the urban heat-island effect and green infrastructure to reduce storm water runoff.
Policy LU-3.1: Require that new development and redevelopment incorporate connections and reduce barriers between neighborhoods, transit corridors, and activity centers within the City.
Mobility Element
Policy M-2.1: Work with new development to design roadways that minimize traffic volumes and/or speed, as appropriate within residential neighborhoods; while maintaining the City’s desire to provide connectivity on the roadway network.
Conservation and Open Space Element
Policy COS-4.5: Encourage energy conservation and the use of alternative energy sources within the community.
Policy COS-4.6: Promote efficient use of energy and conservation of available resources in the design, construction, maintenance and operation of public and private facilities, infrastructure and equipment.
Policy COS-4.8: Encourage and support the generation, transmission and use of renewable energy.
Policy COS-4.9: Encourage use and retrofitting of existing buildings under Title 24 of the California Building Energy Code.
3.3 Greenhouse Gas Inventories and Climate
Change Conditions
3.3.1 Sources of Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Anthropogenic GHG emissions worldwide in 2019 (the most recent year for which data is available) totaled approximately 52,400 MMT of CO2e, excluding land use change and forestry (PBL 2020). The top six GHG emitters include China, the United States, the Russian Federation, India, Japan, and the European Union, which accounted for approximately 62% of the total global emissions, or approximately 32,500 MMT CO2e (PBL 2020).
Per the EPA Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990 to 2019 (EPA 2021c), total United States GHG emissions were approximately 6,558.3 MMT CO2e in 2019 (EPA 2021c). The primary GHG emitted by human activities in the United States was CO 2, which represented approximately 80.1% of total GHG emissions (5,255.8 MMT CO2e). The largest source of CO2, and of overall GHG emissions, was fossil-fuel combustion, which accounted for approximately 92.4% of CO 2 emissions in 2019 (4,856.7 MMT CO2e). Relative to 1990, gross United States GHG emissions in 2019 were 1.8% higher; however, the gross emissions were down from a high of 15.6% above 1990 levels in 2007. GHG emissions decreased from 2018 to 2019 by 1.7% (113.1 MMT CO2e) and overall, net emissions in 2019 were 13% below 2005 levels (EPA 2021c).
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
59 November 2023
According to California’s 2000–2019 GHG emissions inventory (2021 edition), California emitted approximately 418 MMT CO2e in 2019, including emissions resulting from out-of-state electrical generation (CARB 2021c). The sources of GHG emissions in California include transportation, industry, electric power production from both in-state and out- of-state sources, residential and commercial activities, agriculture, high-GWP substances, and recycling and waste.
Table 10 presents California GHG emission source ca tegories and their relative contributions to the emissions inventory in 2019. Between 2000 and 2019, per-capita GHG emissions in California have dropped from a peak of
14.0 MT per person in 2001 to 10.5 MT per person in 2019, representing an approximate 25% decrease. In addition, total GHG emissions in 2019 were approximately 7 MMT CO2e lower than 2018 emissions (CARB 2021c).
Table 10. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Sources in California Source Category Annual GHG Emissions (MMT CO2e) Percent of Total Transportation 166.1 39.7%
Industrial 88.2 21.1%
Electric power 58.8 14.1%
Commercial and residential 43.8 10.5%
Agriculture 31.8 7.6%
High global-warming potential substances 20.6 4.9%
Recycling and waste 8.9 2.1%
Totals 418.2 100%
Source: CARB 2021c.
Notes: GHG = greenhouse gas; GWP = global warming potential; MMT CO2e = million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent.
Emissions reflect 2019 California GHG inventory.
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
The City has established a goal to reduce its community-wide GHG to reduce GHG emissions 40% below 1990 levels by 2030 (City of San Marcos 2020). The City’s community-wide GHG emissions inventory for baseline year 2012 is presented in Table 10 for informational purposes.
Table 11. City of San Marcos (Year 2012) Communitywide Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory Community Sector Total MT CO2e/year CO2e (%)
On-Road Transportation 322,000 54%
Electricity 162,000 27%
Natural Gas 75,000 12%
Solid Waste 15,000 3%
Off-Road Transportation 14,000 2%
Water 9,000 1%
Wastewater 3,000 <1%
Total 599,000 100%
Source: City of San Marcos 2020.
Note: GHG = greenhouse gas; MT CO2e = metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year Totals may not sum due to rounding.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
60 November 2023
3.3.2 Potential Effects of Climate Change
In California, climate change impacts have the potential to affect sea -level rise, agriculture, snowpack and water supply, forestry, wildfire risk, public health, and electricity demand and supply. The primary effect of global climate change has been a rise in average global tropospher ic temperature. Reflecting the long-term warming trend since pre-industrial times, observed mean surface temperature for the decade 2006–2015 was 0.87°C (likely between
0.75°C and 0.99°C) higher than the average over the 1850–1900 period (IPCC 2018). Scientific modeling predicts that continued emissions of GHGs at or above current rates would induce more extreme climate changes during the twenty-first century than were observed during the twentieth century. Human activities are estimated to have caused approximately 1.0°C (1.8°F) of global warming above pre -industrial levels, with a likely range of 0.8°C to
1.2°C (1.4°F to 2.2°F) (IPCC 2018). Global warming is likely to reach 1.5°C (2.7°F) between 2030 and 2052 if it continues to increase at the current rate (IPCC 2018).
Although climate change is driven by global atmospheric conditions, climate change impacts are felt locally. A scientific consensus confirms that climate change is already affecting California. The Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment identifie d various indicators of climate change in California, which are scientifically based measurements that track trends in various aspects of climate change. Many indicators reveal discernible evidence that climate change is occurring in California and is havi ng significant, measurable impacts in the state. Changes in the state’s climate have been observed, including an increase in annual average air temperature with record warmth from 2012 to 2016, more frequent extreme heat events, more extreme drought, a dec line in winter chill, an increase in cooling degree days and a decrease in heating degree days, and an increase in variability of statewide precipitation (OEHHA 2018).
Warming temperatures and changing precipitation patterns have altered California’s physical systems—the ocean, lakes, rivers and snowpack—upon which the state depends. Winter snowpack and spring snowmelt runoff from the Sierra Nevada and southern Cascade Mountains provide approximately one-third of the state’s annual water supply.
Impacts of climate on physical systems have been observed, such as high variability of snow -water content (i.e., amount of water stored in snowpack), decrease in snowmelt runoff, glacier change (loss in area), rise in sea levels, increase in average lake water temperature and coastal ocean temperature, and a decrease in dissolved oxygen in coastal waters (OEHHA 2018).
Impacts of climate change on biological systems, including humans, wildlife, and vegetation, have also been observed, including climate change impacts on terrestrial, marine, and freshwater ecosystems. As with global observations, species responses include those consistent with warming: elevational or latitudinal shifts in range, changes in the timing of key plant and animal life cycle events, and changes in the abundance of species and in community composition. Humans are better able to adapt to a changing climate than plants and animals in natural ecosystems. Nevertheless, climate change poses a threat to public health, as warming temperatures and changes in precipitation can affect vector -borne pathogen transmission and disease patterns in California as w ell as the variability of heat-related deaths and illnesses. In addition, since 1950, the area burned by wildfires each year has been increasing.
The CNRA has released four California Climate Change Assessments (2006, 2009, 2012, and 2018), which have addressed the following: acceleration of warming across the state, more intense and frequent heat waves, greater riverine flows, accelerating sea level rise, more intense and frequent drought, more severe and frequent wildfires, more severe storms and extreme weather events, shrinking snowpack and less overall precipitation, and ocean
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
61 November 2023
acidification, hypoxia, and warming. To address local and regional governments need for information to support action in their communities, the Fourth Assessment includes reports for nine regions of the state, including the San Diego Region, where the Project is located. Key projected climate changes for the San Diego Region include the following (CNRA 2019):
• Temperature is projected to increase substantially, along with mean temperature, heat wave frequency will increase, with more intensity and longer duration.
• Precipitation will remain highly variable but will change in character, with wetter winters, drier springs, and more frequent and severe droughts punctuated by more intense individual precipitation events. • Wildfire risk will increase in the future as climate warms. The risk for large catastrophic wildfires driven by Santa Ana wind events will also likely increase as a result of a drier autumns leading to low antecedent precipitation before the height of the Santa Ana wind season. • The sea level along San Diego County is expected to rise. High tides combined with elevated shoreline water levels produced by locally and distantly driven wind -driven waves will drive extreme events . Longer-term sea level will increase rapidly in the second half of the century and will be punctuated by short periods of storm-driven extreme sea levels that will imperil existing infrastructure, structures, and ecosystems with increasing frequency.
Agriculture. Some of the specific challenges faced by the agricultural sector and farmers include more drastic and unpredictable precipitation and weather patterns; extreme weather events that range from severe flooding to extreme drought, to destructive storm events; significant shifts in water availably and water quality; changes in pollinator lifecycles; temperature fluctuations, including extreme heat stress and decreased chill hours; increased risks from invasive species and weeds, agricultural pests and plant diseases; and disruptions to the transportation and energy infrastructure supporting agricultural production.
Biodiversity and Habitat. Specific climate change challenges to biodiversity and habitat include species migration in response to climatic changes, range shift and novel combinations of species; pathogens, parasites and disease; invasive species; extinction risks; changes in the t iming of seasonal life -cycle events; food web disruptions; threshold effects (i.e., a change in the ecosystem that results in a “tipping point” beyond which irreversible damage or loss has occurred).
Energy. Specific climate change challenges for the energy sector include temperature, fluctuating precipitation patterns, increasing extreme weather events, and sea-level rise.
Forestry. The most significant climate change related risk to forests is accelerated risk of wildfire and more frequent and severe droughts. Droughts have resulted in more large -scale mortalities and combined with increasing temperatures have led to an overall incre ase in wildfire risks. Increased wildfire intensity subsequently increases public safety risks, property damage, fire suppression and emergency response costs, watershed and water quality impacts, and vegetation conversions.
Ocean and Coastal Ecosystems and Resources. Sea-level rise, changing ocean conditions, and other climate change stressors are likely to exacerbate long -standing challenges related to ocean and coastal ecosystems in addition to threatening people and infrastructure located along the California coastline and in coastal communities.
Sea-level rise, in addition to more frequent and severe coastal storms and erosion, are threatening vital infrastructure such as roads, bridges, power plants, ports and airports, gasoline pipes, and emergency facilities, as well as negatively impacting the coastal recreational assets such as beaches and tidal wetlands.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
62 November 2023
Public Health. Climate change can impact public health through various environmental changes and is the largest threat to human health in the twenty -first century. Changes in precipitation patterns affect public health primarily through potential for altered water suppl ies, and extreme events such as heat, floods, droughts, and wildfires. Increased frequency, intensity, and duration of extreme heat and heat waves are likely to increase the risk of mortality due to heat- related illness, as well as exacerbate existing chronic health conditions. Other extreme weather events are likely to negatively impact air quality and increase or intensify respiratory illness, such as asthma and allergies.
Transportation. Although the transportation industry is a source of GHG emissions, it is also vulnerable to climate change risks. Increasing temperatures and extended periods of extreme heat threaten the integrity of the roadways and rail lines. High temperatures cause th e road surfaces to expand, which leads to increased pressure and pavement buckling. High temperatures can also cause rail breakages, which could lead to train derailment. Other forms of extreme weather events, such as extreme storm events, can negatively impact infrastructure, which can impair movement of peoples and goods, or potentially block evacuation routes and emergency access roads.
Increased wildfires, flooding, erosion risks, landslides, mudslides, and rockslides can all profoundly impact the transportation system and pose a serious risk to public safety.
Water. Climate change could seriously impact the timing, form, amount of precipitation, runoff patterns, and frequency and severity of precipitation events. Higher temperatures reduce the amount of snowpack and lead to earlier snowmelt, which can impact water supply availability, natural ecosystems, and winter recreation. Water supply availability during the intense dry summer months is heavily dependent on the snowpack accumulated during the winter time. Increased risk of flooding has a variety of public h ealth concerns, including water quality, public safety, property damage, displacement, and post-disaster mental health problems. Prolonged and intensified droughts can also negatively groundwater reserves and result in increased overdraft and subsidence. The higher risk of wildfires can lead to increased erosion, which can negatively impact watersheds and result in poor water quality.
3.4 Significance Criteria and Methodology
3.4.1 Thresholds of Significance
The significance criteria used to evaluate the Project’s GHG emissions impacts is based on the recommendations provided in Appendix G of the CEQA Guidelines. For the purposes of this GHG emissions analysis, the Project would have a significant environmental impact if it would (14 CCR 15000 et seq.):
1. Generate GHG emissions, either directly or indirectly, that may have a significant impact on the environment?
2. Conflict with an applicable plan, policy, or regulation adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of GHGs? Global climate change is a cumulative impact; a project participates in this potential impact through its incremental contribution combined with the cumulative increase of all other sources of GHGs. There are currently no established thresholds for assessing whether the GHG emissions of a project, such as the Project, would be considered a cumulatively considerable contribution to global climate change; however, all reasonable efforts should be made to minimize a project’s contribution to global climate cha nge. In addition, while GHG impacts are recognized exclusively as cumulative impacts (CAPCOA 2008), GHG emissions impacts must also be evaluated on a project-level under CEQA.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
63 November 2023
The CEQA Guidelines do not prescribe specific methodologies for performing an assessment, do not establish specific thresholds of significance, and do not mandate specific mitigation measures. Rather, the CEQA Guidelines emphasize the lead agency’s discret ion to determine the appropriate methodologies and thresholds of significance consistent with the manner in which other impact areas are handled in CEQA (CNRA 2009 a).
The City adopted the Final CAP on December 8, 2020. The CAP relies on a screening threshold of 500 MT CO2e per year based on land use size and a CAP Consistency Checklist to determine whether a project’s emissions would be consistent with GHG emissions estimated within the City’s CAP. Projects that are consistent with the City’s CAP, as determined through the CAP Consistency Checklist, would result in a less -than-significant cumulative impact regarding GHG emissions. If a project is not consistent with the City’s CAP , as determined through the CAP Consistency Checklist, potentially significant cumulative GHG impacts would occur.
3.4.2 Approach and Methodology
3.4.2.1 Construction
CalEEMod Version 2020.4.0 was used to estimate potential Project-generated GHG emissions during construction.
Construction of the Project would result in GHG emissions primarily associated with use of off -road construction equipment, on-road hauling and vendor (material delivery) trucks, and worker vehicles. All details for construction criteria air pollutants discussed in Section 2.4.2.1 , are also applicable for the estimation of construction -related GHG emissions. As such, see Section 2.4.2. 1 for a discussion of construction emissions calculation methodology and assumptions.
3.4.2.2 Operation
As with Air Quality, emissions from the operational phase of the Project were estimated using CalEEMod Version 2020.4.0.
Operational year 2027 was assumed as the first full year after completion of Project construction.
Area Sources
CalEEMod was used to estimate GHG emissions from the Project’s area sources, which include operation of gasoline- powered landscape maintenance equipment, which produce minimal GHG emissions. See Section 2.4.2.2, for a discussion of landscaping equipment emissions calculations.
Energy Sources
Title 24 of the California Code of Regulations serves to enhance and regulate California’s building standards. The 2022 Title 24 standards are the currently applicable building energy efficiency standards, and became effective on January 1, 2023. . CalEEMod assumes compliance with the 2019 Title 24 code. Therefore, this is a conservative evaluation since the Project would be required to comply with the 2022 Title 24 standards, and each revision of the standards results in greater energy efficiency. The estimation of operational energy emissions for the Project were based on CalEEMod land use defaults and total area (i.e., square footage) of the Project’s land use.
CalEEMod default energy intensity factors (CO2, CH4, and N2O mass emissions per kilowatt-hour) for San Diego Gas and Electric (SDG&E) is based on the value for SDG&E’s energy mix in 20 21. These default intensity values were used for the Project analysis.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
64 November 2023
Mobile Sources
All details for criteria air pollutants discussed in Section 2.4.2.2 are also applicable for the estimation of operational mobile source GHG emissions.
Regulatory measures related to mobile sources include AB 1493 (Pavley) and related federal standards. AB 1493 required that CARB establish GHG emission standards for automobiles, light -duty trucks, and other vehicles determined by CARB to be vehicles that are primarily used for noncommercial personal transportation in the state.
In addition, the NHTSA and EPA have established corporate fuel economy standards and GHG emission standards, respectively, for automobiles and light-, medium-, and heavy-duty vehicles. Implementation of these standards and fleet turnover (replacement of older vehicles with newer ones) will gradually reduce emissions from the Project’s motor vehicles. The effectiveness of fuel economy improvements was evaluated using the CalEEMod emission factors for motor vehicles in 2027 to the extent it was captured in EMFAC2017.
Solid Waste
The Project would generate solid waste, and therefore, result in CO2e emissions associated with landfill off-gassing.
CalEEMod default values for solid waste generation were used to estimate GHG emissions associated with solid waste for the Project.
Water and Wastewater
Supply, conveyance, treatment, and distribution of water for the Project require the use of electricity, which would result in associated indirect GHG emissions. Similarly, wastewater generated by the Project requires the use of electricity for conveyance and treatment, and GHG emissions will be generated during wastewater treatment. Water consumption estimates for both indoor and outdoor water use and associated electricity consumption from water use and wastewater generation were estimated using CalEEMod default values. The electricity use for water supply, treatment, distribution, and wastewater treatment are based on the electricity intensity factors from CalEEMod for the County and the indoor and outdoor water use default values in CalEEMod. Regarding indoor water use, the Project would install low-flow water fixtures pursuant to CALGreen standards, which would reduce the Project’s water consumption .
3.5 Impact Analysis
This section evaluates the GHG emissions impacts associated with the Project. The significance criteria described in Section 3.4.1, Thresholds of Significance, were used to evaluate impacts associated with the construction and operation of the Project.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
65 November 2023
Threshold 1: Would the Project generate greenhouse gas emissions, either directly or indirectly, that may have a significant impact on the environment?
Threshold 2: Would the Project conflict with an applicable plan, policy, or regulation adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases?
City of San Marcos’ Climate Action Plan Consistency
This section evaluates the Project’s impacts to GHG in accordance with the City’s 2020 CAP Consistency Checklist. New discretionary development projects subject to CEQA review that emit less than 500 MT CO 2e annually would not contribute considerably to cumulative climate change impacts, as stated in the City’s 2020 CAP Consistency Checklist, and therefore, would be considered consistent with the CAP and associated emissions projections.
For projects that are subject to CAP consistency review, the next step in determining consistency is to assess the project’s consistency with the growth projections used in development of the CAP. This section allows the City to determine a project’s consistency with the land use assumptions used in the CAP.
Step 1
Step 1 of the CAP Checklist determines land use consistency. Question 1 of Step 1 asks if a project is less than a certain size. It is deemed consistent with the City’s CAP by emitting fewer than 500 MT CO2e per year and would be less than significant. In order to determine if the Project emits less than 500 MT CO2e per year, construction and operational GHG emissions were quantified (as described in Section 3.4.2) and are summarized below.
Construction of the Project would result in GHG emissions, which are primarily associated with the use of off-road construction equipment, haul trucks, on-road vendor trucks, and worker vehicles. CalEEMod was used to calculate the annual GHG emissions based on the construction scenario. On-site sources of GHG emissions include off-road equipment and off-site sources including trucks and worker vehicles. Table 12 presents construction emissions for the Project in 2024 through 2026 from on-site and off-site emission sources.
Table 12. Estimated Annual Construction Greenhouse Gas Emissions - Unmitigated Year
CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e
Metric Tons per Year
2024 1,839.73 0.28 0.14 1,888.47
2025 710.24 0.08 0.03 720.61
2026 257.64 0.03 0.01 261.40
Total 2,807.60 0.39 0.18 2,870.48
Amortized Construction Emissions Over 30-years 95.68
Notes: CO2 = carbon dioxide; CH4 = methane; N2O = nitrous oxide; CO2e = carbon dioxide equivalent; <0.01 = reported value less than 0.01.
See Appendix A for complete results. Totals may not add due to rounding.
As shown in Table 12, the estimated total GHG emissions during construction of would be approximately 2,870.48 MT CO2e over the construction period. Estimated Project-generated construction emissions amortized over 30 years would be approximately 96 MT CO2e per year. As with Project-generated construction criteria air pollutant emissions, GHG emissions generated during construction of the Project would be short-term in nature, lasting only
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
66 November 2023
for the duration of the construction period, and would not represent a long-term source of GHG emissions. Amortized construction emissions were added to operational emissions to be compared to the Project for this assessment.
CalEEMod was used to estimate potential operational GHG emissions from area sources (landscaping equipment), energy sources (natural gas and electricity), mobile sources, solid waste, and water supply and wastewater treatment for the Project. Table 13 presents the net increase in GHG emissions from the Project.
Table 13. Estimated Annual Operational Greenhouse Gas Emissions Emission Source
CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e
metric tons per year
Area 2.45 <0.01 0 2.51
Energy 303.91305.12 0.02 <0.01 305.22306.42
Mobile 1,181.26 0.09 0.05 1,199.76
Solid waste 21.11 1.25 0 52.3127
Water supply and wastewater 79.2376.28 0.46 0.01 94.0591.09 Total 1,587.961,586.21 1.82 0.06 1,653.851,652.05
Amortized Construction Emissions Over 30-Years 95.68
Project Operations + Amortized Construction Total 1,749.531,747.73 Notes: CO2 = carbon dioxide; CH4 = methane; N2O = nitrous oxide; CO2e = carbon dioxide equivalent; <0.01 = reported value less than 0.01.
See Appendix A for complete results. Totals may not add due to rounding.
The values shown are the annual emissions reflect ed in the CalEEMod “mitigated” output in order to account for implementation of PDF-GHG-1 (PV panels) and consistency with regulations, specifically AB 939 (50% waste diversion) and CALGreen (low -flow fixtures requirement).
As shown in Table 13, the estimated GHG emissions from operation of the Project would be approximately 1,750 MT CO 2e per year , including amortized construction emissions. Pursuant to the City’s 2020 CAP Consistency Checklist, since the Project would emit greater than 500 MT CO 2e per year, then CAP Step 1, Question 2 must be address as follows.
Step 1, Question 2 of Step 1 asks if the proposed project is consistent with the City’s existing General Plan land use designation? No, the Project requires a General Plan Amendment and Rezone to change the General Plan designation and Zoning from Mixed-Use 1 (MU-1) and Light Industrial (L-1) to SPA. Pursuant to the City’s 2020 CAP Consistency Checklist, since the Project is not consistent with the City’s existing General Plan land use, then CAP Step 1, Question 3 must be address as follows.
Step 1 , Question 3 of Step 1 states that for projects not consistent with the existing General Plan land use designation, does the project include a General Plan Amendment that would generate GHG emissions equal to or less than estimated emissions generated under the exiting designation? Yes, the project would generate GHG emissions equal to or less than estimated emission generated under the existing designation as detailed below.
Table 14, Estimated Operational Greenhouse Gas Emissions, provides estimated GHG emissions from both the Fiscal Impact Study Alternative Land Use and Proposed Land Use Scenarios. For this analysis, and per City guidance, the existing parcels would be modeled based on the alternative project utilized in the Fiscal Impact Study (DTA 2023) for the project, which includes: 173 -unit townhomes, 10,400 square feet of commercial retail, is
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
67 November 2023
28,436 square feet of office building and 133 parking spaces. CalEEMod default values were utilized for alternative project land uses to develop representative emissions.
Table 14. Estimated Operational Greenhouse Gas Emissions Emission Source
CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e
Metric Tons per Year
Fiscal Impact Study Alternative Land Use Scenario
Area 255.75 0.17 0.01 264.11
Energy (natural gas and
electricity)
387.33 0.02 <0.01 389.00
Mobile 1,097.05 0.08 0.05 1,114.36
Solid waste 23.74 1.40 0 58.81
Water supply and
wastewater
89.00 0.56 0.01 107.16
Amortized Construction Emissions Over 30-Years 69.25
Fiscal Impact Study Alternative Land Use Operational Emissions 2,002.69 Proposed Land Use Scenario
Project Operations + Amortized Construction Total (from Table 13) 1,749.531,747.73 Difference (Proposed Project - Existing) -253.16-254.96 Detailed calculations are provided as Attachment B, CAP Checklist.
As shown in Table 14, the project would generate GHG emissions less than estimated emission generated under the Fiscal Impact Alternative Scenario . The difference between the Fiscal Impact Alternative Scenario use scenario emissions and the proposed land use scenario emissions is a reduction of 253 255 MT CO2E per year.
Step 2
Step 2 of the CAP Checklist determines the project’s consistency with the applicable strategies and measures of the CAP. As shown in Attachment B, CAP Checklist, the Project has demonstrated consistency with the applicable strategies and measures of the CAP as required by Step 2 of the CAP Checklist. Therefore, the Project is deemed consistent with the City’s CAP and would be less than significant. The following summarizes the Checklist items as presented in Attachment B.
Checklist Item 1. Electric Vehicle Charging Stations (Measure T-2) This checklist item applies to multi -family residential and non -residential projects. It asks if the project will install electric vehicle charging stations (Level 2 or better) in at least 5% of the total parking spaces provided on site.
The project would comply with this checklist item. The proposed multi-family residential project would include 501 518 total parking spaces, 25 26 of which would include EV charging stations. Charging stations will be installed in all garage parking stalls. The project would answer Yes to this question.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
68 November 2023
Checklist Item 2. Bicycle Infrastructure (Measure T-8)
This checklist item applies to residential and non -residential projects. It asks if the following conditions are met, would the project pay its fair-share contribution to bicycle infrastructure improvements of the following:
• Intersection or roadway segment improvements are proposed as part of the project. • The City ’s General Plan Mobility Element identifies bicycle infrastructure improvements at any intersection(s) or roadway segment(s) that would be improved as part of the project.
The project would comply with this checklist item. The project will determine specific details based on discussions with the City regarding San Marcos Boulevard thru-way.
Accordingly, the proposed project would answer “Yes” to this question.
Checklist Item 3. Transportation Demand Management (Measure T-9) This checklist item applies to residential and non -residential projects. Will the project develop and implement a Transportation Demand Management (TDM) Plan that includes, at a minimum, all of the TDM strategies listed below? • Provide discounted monthly transit pass or provide at least 25 percent transit fare subsidy to residents/employees.
• Provide designated car-share, carpool, vanpool, and/or park-and-ride parking spaces. • Provide pedestrian connections between all internal uses and to all existing or planned external streets around the project site(s).
• Provide secure bicycle parking spaces or bicycle racks, showers, and clothes lockers. • Encourage telecommuting for employees (allow one telecommute day per week or compressed work weeks) or provide a telecommute work center with common office space and equipment available to residents. -or
• Would the project implement and monitor for four (4) years a TDM program that demonstrates an alternative transportation (i.e. carpool, public transit, bicycle, walk, telecommute) mode share of at least 29 percent for all residents?
The proposed Project would not result in a VMT related impact, and therefore a TDM Plan is not required. The proposed project units are for sale units that would be managed by a HOA; therefore, the project providing discounted monthly transit passes to res idents would not be sensible. Future tenants of the proposed commercial/retail space would be encouraged to provide employees with discounted monthly transit passes; however, that would be at the discretion of the tenant. Due to the shared parking agreement for the project site, as required by the City, the project does not designate car -share, carpool, vanpool and/or park -and-ride spaces; however, such could be provided with direction from the City. The project would provide pedestrian connections throughout all uses on-site and connection to adjacent sidewalks and existing roadways. The project would provide communal bicycle parking, and all living units would provide bicycle storage and showers. Telecommuting is resident and tenant -based but will be encou raged. The TDM Plan is a proposed condition of approval prior to building occupancy.
Accordingly, the proposed project would answer “Yes” to this question.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
69 November 2023
Checklist Item 4. Reduce Parking Near Transit (Measure T-12) This checklist item applies to multi-family residential projects. If located within one-half mile of a major transit stop, would the project provide at least 27% fewer parking spaces than required for the same use based on the City’s municipal code parking requirements?
The project is not located within ½ mile of a major transit stop defined as a bus or light-rail station with fixed service and 10-minute minimum headways during peak hours. Therefore, the proposed project would answer “N/A” to this question.
Checklist Item 5. Water Heaters (Measure E-1)
This checklist item applies to residential projects and asks if the project would install one of, or a combination of, the following water heater types in place of natural gas water heaters:
• Electric heat pump water heater
• Instantaneous electric water heater
• Electric tank
• Solar water heater with heat pump water heater backup • Solar water heater with electric tank backup
The project would comply with this checklist item. The project would install instantaneous electric water heaters without water tanks that would meet the requirements of this checklist item. The project would answer Yes to this checklist question.
Checklist Item 6. Photovoltaic Installation (Measure E-2) This checklist item applies to non-residential projects. The item requires non-residential projects to install a minimum photovoltaic system of two watts per square foot of gross floor area.
The project would include 202 multi-family residential units and 10,400 square feet of commercial retail uses. Therefore, this checklist item would only apply to the 10,400 square feet of commercial retail use. Based on the 10,400 square feet of commercial retail uses the project would install a (10,400 x 2)/1,000 = 20.8 kW solar photovoltaic system. The project would answer Yes to this checklist question.
Checklist Item 7. Landscaping Water Use (Measure W-1)
This checklist item applies to residential and non-residential projects and asks if the project would comply with the City’s Water Efficient Landscape Ordinance.
The proposed project would comply with this checklist item. The project's landscaping would meet the requirements within the City's Water Efficient Landscape Ordinance. Per San Marcos Municipal Code Section 20.330.020 water efficient landscape standards are applicable to new construction with an aggregate landscape area equal to or greater than 500 sqft , The Project will include landscape area greater than 500 sqft, approximately 87,500 sqft.
Accordingly, the proposed project would answer “Yes” to this question.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
70 November 2023
Checklist Item 8. Urban Tree Canopy (Measure C-2)
This checklist item applies to residential and non-residential projects and asks if the project is providing more than 10 parking spaces, will the project plant at least one tree per five parking spaces provided? The project would comply with this checklist item. The project is providing 501 518 parking spaces and will plant at least 97 104 trees to satisfy this checklist requirement. As detailed on the Project landscape plan, the project would include a total of 243 trees. Accordingly, the proposed project would answer “Yes” to this question.
Plan, Policy or Regulation Consistency
Numerous plans, policies, and regulations have been adopted for the purpose of reducing GHG emissions. The principal overall state plan and policy are AB 32 and the follow-up legislation, SB 32. The quantitative goal of AB 32 is to reduce GHG emissions to 1 990 levels by 2020 and the goal of SB 32 is to reduce GHG emissions to 40 % below 1990 levels by 2030. The City’s CAP outlines the measures for the City to achieve its share of state GHG reductions. As discussed above, the project would be consistent with the CAP and, therefore, would be consistent with state GHG reduction goals.
At the regional level, the SANDAG’s RTP/SCS has been adopted for the purpose of reducing GHG emissions attributable to passenger vehicles in the San Diego region. In October 2015, SANDAG adopted its Regional Plan, which was subsequently updated in 2021. Th e RTP/SCS is not directly applicable to the Project because the underlying purpose of the RTP/SCS is to provide direction and guidance on future regional growth (i.e., the location of new residential and nonresidential land uses) and transportation pattern s throughout the City and greater San Diego County, as stipulated under Senate Bill 375. CARB has recognized that the approved RTP/SCS is consistent with Senate Bill 375. The SANDAG Regional Plan is generally consistent with the local government plans. As discussed in Section 2.5, Threshold 1, a s presented in the July 2021, General Plan Housing Element , the most recent Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) from SANDAG stated that San Marcos’s share of regional future housing needs is 3,116 new units between April 15,2021, and April 15, 2029. As of June 30, 2020, 546 housing units have been planned or approved for development, with 2,570 units remaining needed to be developed in the City. The Project is expected to bring 202 units to market in 2027 which would be within SANDAG’s growth projection for housing during the 6 th Cycle planning horizon . Since the Project is within the scope of development that was anticipated in the General Plan (see Section 2.5, Threshold 1), it would not result in growth that would conflict with the Regional Plan.
Based on the prece ding considerations, the Project would not conflict with an applicable plan adopted for the purpose of reducing GHG emissions, or generate GHG emissions that would have a significant impact on the environment; therefore, the Project’s impacts on GHG emissions would be less than significant.
Mitigation Measures
No mitigation is required.
Level of Significance After Mitigation
Impacts would be less than significant without mitigation.
13844
71 November 2023
4 References Cited
CAPCOA (California Air Pollution Control Officers Association. 2008. CEQA and Climate Change: Evaluating and Addressing Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Projects Subject to the California Environmental Quality Act.
January 2008.
CAPCOA. 2021. California Emissions Estimator Model (CalEEMod) User’s Guide, Version 2020.4.0. Prepared by BREEZE Software, A Division of Trinity Consultants, in collaboration with South Coast Air Quality Management District and the California Air Districts. September. Accessed November 2021. http://caleemod.com/.
CARB (California Air Resources Board). 2000. Risk Reduction Plan to Reduce Particulate Matter Emissions from Diesel-Fueled Engines and Vehicles. October 2000. Accessed August 2016. http://www.arb.ca.gov/ diesel/documents/rrpfinal.pdf.
CARB. 2005. Air Quality and Land Use Handbook: A Community Health Perspective. April 2005. Accessed August 2016. http://www.arb.ca.gov/ch/landuse.htm.
CARB. 2008. Climate Change Proposed Scoping Plan: A Framework for Change. October 2008. Accessed October 14, 2020 at http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/psp.pdf.
CARB. 2009. “Fact Sheet: Air Pollution Sources, Effects and Control”. December 2009.
CARB. 2011. Recommended Area Designation for the 2010 Federal Sulfur Dioxide Standard. June 2011.
Accessed December 2016. CARB Staff Report: June 2011 - SO2 Area Designation Recommendations.
CARB. 2014. First Update to the Climate Change Scoping Plan: Building on the Framework. May 2014. Accessed October 14, 2020 at http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/2013_update/ first_update_climate_change_scoping_plan.pdf.
CARB. 2016. “Ambient Air Quality Standards.” May 4, 2016. Accessed October 14, 2020 at http://www.arb.ca.gov/research/aaqs/aaqs2.pdf.
CARB. 2017a. “Inhalable Particulate Matter and Health (PM2.5 and PM10)” August 2017. Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/inhalable-particulate-matter-and-health.
CARB. 2017b. The 2017 Climate Change Scoping Plan Update: The Proposed Strategy for Achieving California’s 2030 Greenhouse Gas Target. January 20, 2017. Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/2030sp_pp_final.pdf.
CARB. 2017c. Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Reduction Strategy. March 2017. Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/sites/default/files/2020-07/final_SLCP_strategy.pdf.
CARB. 2018. “Glossary of Terms Used in Greenhouse Gas Inventories.” June 22, 2018. Accessed October 14, 2020 at http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/faq/ghg_inventory_glossary.htm.
CARB. 2019a. “Glossary.” Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/about/glossary.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
72 November 2023
CARB. 2019b. “Ozone & Health.” Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/ozone-and-health.
CARB. 2019c. “Nitrogen Dioxide & Health.” Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/ nitrogen-dioxide-and-health.
CARB. 2019d. “Carbon Monoxide & Health.” Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/ carbon-monoxide-and-health.
CARB. 2019e. “Sulfur Dioxide & Health.” Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/sulfur- dioxide-and-health.
CARB. 2019f. “Overview: Diesel Exhaust and Health.” Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://www.arb.ca.gov/ research/diesel/diesel-health.htm.
CARB. 2020. State Area Designations. October 2020. Accessed February 2022. http://www.arb.ca.gov /desig/adm/adm.htm.
CARB. 2021a. “Advanced Clean Cars Program”. Accessed December 2021 at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/our- work/programs/advanced-clean-cars-program/about.
CARB. 2021b. Advanced Clean Trucks Fact Sheet. August 20, 2021. Accessed at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov /sites/default/files/2021-08/200625factsheet_ADA.pdf
CARB. 2021c. “Current California GHG Emission Inventory Data: 2000-2019 GHG Inventory (2021 Edition)”.
Accessed July 2021 at https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/ghg-inventory- data?utm_medium=email&utm_source=govdelivery.
CARB. 2022. “Ambient air quality data.” [digital CARB data]. iADAM: Air Quality Data Statistics. Accessed February 2022 at https://www.arb.ca.gov/adam/topfour/topfour1.php.
CAT (California Climate Action Team). 2016. “Climate Action Team Reports”. Accessed December 2016. http://climatechange.ca.gov/climate_action_team/reports/index.html.
CDPH. 2019. Epidemiologic Summary of Coccidioidomycosis in California, 2018. https://www.cdph.ca.gov/ Programs/CID/DCDC/CDPH%20Document%20Library/CocciEpiSummary2018.pdf.
City of San Marcos. 2012. City of San Marcos General Plan. Adopted February 14, 2012. http://www.san-marcos.net/work/economic-development/general-plan.
City of San Marcos. 2020. City of San Marcos Final Climate Action Plan. Adopted December 2020. Accessed March 2021. https://www.san-marcos.net/home/showpublisheddocument?id=25084.
CNRA (California Natural Resources Agency). 2009a. Final Statement of Reasons for Regulatory Action:
Amendments to the State CEQA Guidelines Addressing Analysis and Mitigation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Pursuant to SB 97. December 2009.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
73 November 2023
CNRA. 2009b. 2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy: A Report to the Governor of the State of California in Response to Executive Order S-13-2008. Accessed October 14, 2020 at http://resources.ca.gov/docs/ climate/Statewide_Adaptation_Strategy.pdf.
CNRA. 2014. Safeguarding California: Reducing Climate Risk: An Update to the 2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy. July 2014. Accessed October 14, 2020 at http://resources.ca.gov/docs/climate/ Final_Safeguarding_CA_Plan_July_31_2014.pdf.
CNRA. 2016. Safeguarding California: Implementation Action Plans. March 2016. Accessed October 14, 2020 at http://resources.ca.gov/docs/climate/safeguarding/Safeguarding%20California- Implementation%20Action%20Plans.pdf.
CNRA. 2018. Safeguarding California Plan: 2018 Update: California’s Climate Adaptation Strategy. January 2018.
Accessed October 14, 2020 at http://resources.ca.gov/docs/climate/safeguarding/update2018/ safeguarding-california-plan-2018-update.pdf.
CNRA. 2019. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment: San Diego Region Report. March 2019. Accessed April 2022 at https://www.energy.ca.gov/sites/default/files/2019-11/Reg_Report-SUM-CCCA4-2018- 009_SanDiego_ADA.pdf.
County of San Diego. 2007. Guidelines for Determining Significance and Report and Format and Content Requirements – Air Quality. Land Use and Environment Group. Department of Planning and Land Use.
Department of Public Works. March 19, 2007.
County of San Diego. 2011. San Diego County General Plan Update: Final Environmental Impact Report. EIR No. 02-ZA-001. SCH No. 2002111067. August 2011. Accessed November 13, 2014. https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/sdc/pds/gpupdate/environmental.html.
County of San Diego. 2021. Coccidioidomycosis Case Counts and Rates by Zip Code – San Diego County Residents 2010-2021. January 2021.https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/dam /sdc/pds/ceqa/JVR/AdminRecord/IBR/COUNTY%20OF%20SAN%20DIEGO%202021%20Coccidioidomyc osis_ZipCode_SanDiegoCounty_2010_2019.pdf
EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). 2013. Integrated Science Assessment for Ozone and Related Photochemical Oxidants. EPA/600/R-10/076F. Research Triangle Park, North Carolina. February 2013.
EPA. 2016. Integrated Science Assessment for Oxides of Nitrogen—Health Criteria. EPA/600/R-15/068.
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina. January 2016.
EPA. 2017. “Climate Change.” Last updated January 19, 2017. Accessed May 19, 2021 at https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/climatechange_.html.
EPA. 2018. “Criteria Air Pollutants.” March 8, 2018. Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://www.epa.gov/criteria- air-pollutants.
EPA. 2021a. “EPA Region 9 Air Quality Maps and Geographic Information.” December 2, 2021. Accessed February 2022 at https://www3.epa.gov/region9/air/maps/index.html.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
74 November 2023
EPA. 2021b. “Air Data: Access to Air Pollution Data.” September 22, 2021. Accessed February 2022 at https://www.epa.gov/outdoor-air-quality-data/monitor-values-report.
EPA. 2021c. Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks 1990–2019. EPA 430-R-21-005. April 2021.
Accessed July 2021 at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-04/documents/us-ghg-inventory- 2021-main-text.pdf.
EPA and NHTSA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Transportation’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration). 2016. EPA and NHTSA Adopt Standards to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Improve Fuel Efficiency of Medium- and Heavy-Duty Vehicles for Model Year 2018 and Beyond.
August 2016. Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi/ P100P7NL.PDF?Dockey=P100P7NL.PDF.
EPA and NHTSA. 2018. The Safer Affordable Fuel-Efficient 'SAFE' Vehicles Rule for Model Years 2021-2026 Passenger Vehicles and Light Trucks. Proposed Rule August 2018. Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2018-08-24/pdf/2018-16820.pdf.
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 1995. IPCC Second Assessment: Climate Change 1995. A Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC. https://www.ipcc.ch/ site/assets/uploads/2018/02/ipcc_sar_wg_I_full_report.pdf.
IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 pp. Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/05/ar4_wg1_full_report-1.pdf.
IPCC. 2013. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.K.
Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P.M. Midgley. New York, New York:
Cambridge University Press. Accessed October 14, 2020 at http://www.climatechange2013.org/ images/report/WG1AR5_ALL_FINAL.pdf.
IPCC. 2014. Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by R.K. Pachauri and L.A.
Meyer. Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC. Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://www.ipcc.ch/ site/assets/uploads/2018/02/SYR_AR5_FINAL_full.pdf.
IPCC. 2018. “Summary for Policymakers.” In Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. Accessed May 19, 2021 at https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/05/SR15_SPM_version_report_LR.pdf.
NRC (National Research Council). 2005. Interim Report of the Committee on Changes in New Source Review Programs for Stationary Sources of Air Pollutants. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/11208.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
75 November 2023
NREL (National Renewable Energy Laboratory). 2022. “PVWatts Model”. https://pvwatts.nrel.gov/.
OEHHA (Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment). 2015. Air Toxics Hot Spots Program.
Risk Assessment Guidelines. Guidance Manual for Preparation of Health Risk Assessments. February 2015. Accessed January 2019. http://oehha.ca.gov/air/hot_spots/2015/2015GuidanceManual.pdf.
OEHHA. 2018. Indicators of Climate Change in California. May 9, 2018. https://oehha.ca.gov/media/downloads/climate-change/report/ 2018caindicatorsreportmay2018.pdf.
OPR (Governor’s Office of Planning and Research). 2008. CEQA and Climate Change: Addressing Climate Change through California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Review.
PBL (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency). 2020. Trends in Global CO2 and Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions, 2019 Report. Accessed October 14, 2020 at https://www.pbl.nl/sites/ default/files/downloads/pbl-2020-trends-in-global-co2-and-total-greenhouse-gas-emissions-2019- report_4068.pdf.
SANDAG (San Diego Association of Governments). (Not So) Brief Guide of Vehicular Traffic Generation Rates for the San Diego Region. April 2002.
SANDAG. 2015. San Diego Forward: The Regional Plan. October 2015. Accessed April 2017. http://www.sdforward.com/pdfs/RP_final/The%20Plan%20-%20combined.pdf.
SANDAG. 2021. SANDAG 2021 Regional Plan. Adopted December 10, 2021. Accessed April 2022. https://sdforward.com/mobility-planning/2021-regional-plan SDAPCD (San Diego Air Pollution Control District). 1976. Rules and Regulations. Regulation IV. Prohibitions. Rule
51. Nuisance. Effective November 8, 1976. Accessed June 2017. https://www.sdapcd.org/content/ dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/Rules_and_Regulations/Prohibitions/APCD_R50-1-51.pdf.
SDAPCD. 1979. Rules and Regulations. Regulation IV. Prohibitions. Rule 67.7. Cutback and Emulsified Asphalts.
Effective August 29, 1979. Accessed June 2017. https://www.sdapcd.org/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/ Rules_and_Regulations/Prohibitions/APCD_R67-7.pdf.
SDAPCD. 1997. SDAPCD Regulation IV: Prohibitions; Rule 50: Visible Emissions. Effective August 13, 1997.
Accessed June 2017. http://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/ Rules_and_Regulations/Prohibitions/APCD_R50.pdf.
SDAPCD. 1998. Regulation II: Permits; Rule 20.2: New Source Review Non-Major Stationary Sources. Effective December 17, 1998. Accessed July 27, 2018. https://www.sdapcd.org/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/ Rules_and_Regulations/Permits/APCD_R20-2.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2005. Measures to Reduce Particulate Matter in San Diego County. December 2005. Accessed March 2021. https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/Air%20Quality%20Planning/ PM-Measures.pdf.
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
76 November 2023
SDAPCD. 2009a. 2009 Regional Air Quality Strategy Revision. April 2009. Accessed October 2017. http://www.sdapcd.org/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/Air%20Quality%20Planning/2009-RAQS.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2009b. SDAPCD Regulation IV: Prohibitions; Rule 55: Fugitive Dust. June 24, 2009. Accessed October 2017. http://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/Rules_and_Regulations/ Prohibitions/APCD_R55.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2012. Redesignation Request and Maintenance Plan for the 1997 National Ozone Standard for San Diego County. Adopted December 5, 2012. San Diego, California: SDAPCD. http://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/Air%20Quality%20Planning/ 8_Hour_O3_Maint-Plan.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2015a. SDAPCD Regulation IV: Prohibitions; Rule 67.0.1: Architectural Coatings. June 24, 2015. https://www.arb.ca.gov/DRDB/SD/CURHTML/R67.0.1.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2015b. Air Toxics “Hot Spots” Program Report for San Diego County.
SDAPCD. 2016a. 2008 Eight-Hour Ozone Attainment Plan for San Diego County. Updated December 2016. https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/Air%20Quality%20Planning/8-Hour-O3- Attain-Plan.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2016b. 2016 Revision of the Regional Air Quality Strategy for San Diego County. December 2016. http://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/Air%20Quality%20Planning/ 2016%20RAQS.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2017. Annual Air Monitoring Network Plan 2016. Effective June 30, 2017. Accessed December 2017. https://www.sdapcd.org/content/dam/sdc/apcd/monitoring/2016_Network_Plan.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2019. Supplemental Guidelines for Submission of Air Toxics “Hot Spots” Program Health Risk Assessments (HRAs). May 2019. Accessed January 2020. https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/ content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/Toxics_Program/APCD_Hot_Spots_Supplemental_Guidelines.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2020a. 2020 Plan for Attaining the National Ambient Air Quality Standards for Ozone in San Diego County. October 2020. https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/dam/sdc/apcd/PDF/ Air%20Quality%20Planning/Att%20A%20(Attainment%20Plan)_ws.pdf.
SDAPCD. 2020b. Rule 20.2 – New Source Review Non-Major Stationary Sources. October 16, 2020. https://www.sdapcd.org/content/dam/sdapcd/documents/rules/current-rules/Rule-20.2.pdf SDAPCD. 2021. Rule 20.3 – New Source Review Major Stationary Sources and PSD Stationary Sources. October 14, 2021. Accessed April 2022 at https://www.sdapcd.org/content/dam/sdapcd/documents /rules/current-rules/Rule-20.3-2021.pdf.
USGS (United States Geological Survey). 2000. Operational Guidelines (version 1.0) for Geological Fieldwork in Areas 1 Endemic for Coccidioidomycosis (Valley Fever).
13844
77 November 2023
5 List of Preparers
David Larocca, Air Quality Specialist
AIR QUALITY AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS TECHNICAL REPORT
FOR THE RESTAURANT ROW PROJECT
13844
78 November 2023
INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
Appendix A
CalEEMod Output Files
San Marcos Restaruant Row Project
San Diego County, Annual
Project Characteristics -
Land Use - Based on applicant provided information
Construction Phase - Based on applicant provided information Off-road Equipment - Default values
Off-road Equipment - Default values
Off-road Equipment - Default values
Off-road Equipment - Default values
Off-road Equipment - Default values
1.1 Land Usage
Land Uses
Size
Metric
Lot Acreage
Floor Surface Area
Population
Other Asphalt Surfaces
2.10 Acre
2.10 91,476.00
0 Parking Lot
126.00
Space
1.13 50,400.00
0 City Park
1.10 Acre
1.10 47,916.00
0 Apartments Mid Rise
202.00
Dwelling Unit
5.32 202,000.00
578
Strip Mall
10.40 1000sqft
0.24 10,400.00
0 1.2 Other Project Characteristics
Urbanization
Climate Zone
Urban
13 Wind Speed (m/s)
Precipitation Freq (Days)
2.6 40
1.3 User Entered Comments & Non-Default Data
1.0 Project Characteristics
Utility Company
San Diego Gas & Electric
2027
Operational Year
CO2 Intensity
(lb/MWhr)
539.98
0.033
CH4 Intensity
(lb/MWhr)
0.004
N2O Intensity
(lb/MWhr)
CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2020.4.0
Date: 11/29/2023 12:38 PM
San Marcos Restaruant Row Project - San Diego County, Annual EMFAC Off-Model Adjustment Factors for Gasoline Light Duty Vehicle to Account for the SAFE Vehicle Rule Not Applied
Off-road Equipment - Defualt values
Trips and VMT - Trips rounded up to nearest even number to include arrival and departure trips. Grading haul trips based on CalEEMod default of 16 CY per truck.
Demolition - Demo includes 63,484 sqft of existing buildings and removal of 376,358 sqft of existing pavement.
Grading - Applicant Provided Information
Vehicle Trips - Based on Traffic Report, Intersecting Metrics, 2022.
Vehicle Emission Factors - Default values
Vehicle Emission Factors - Default values
Vehicle Emission Factors - Default values
Woodstoves - Per applicant no wood buring or natural gas buring fireplaces.
Construction Off-road Equipment Mitigation -
Fleet Mix - Default
Water And Wastewater -
Solid Waste -
Table Name
Column Name
Default Value
New Value
tblConstructionPhase
NumDays
20.00 490.00
tblConstructionPhase
NumDays
230.00
560.00
tblConstructionPhase
NumDays
20.00 34.00
tblConstructionPhase
NumDays
20.00 147.00
tblConstructionPhase
NumDays
20.00 66.00
tblFireplaces
FireplaceDayYear
82.00 0.00
tblFireplaces
FireplaceHourDay
3.00 0.00
tblFireplaces
FireplaceWoodMass
3,078.40
0.00 tblFireplaces
NumberGas
111.10
0.00 tblFireplaces
NumberNoFireplace
20.20 0.00
tblFireplaces
NumberWood
70.70 0.00
tblGrading
MaterialImported
0.00 184,420.00
tblOffRoadEquipment
OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount
1.00 2.00
tblOffRoadEquipment
OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount
3.00 2.00
CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2020.4.0
Date: 11/29/2023 12:38 PM
San Marcos Restaruant Row Project - San Diego County, Annual EMFAC Off-Model Adjustment Factors for Gasoline Light Duty Vehicle to Account for the SAFE Vehicle Rule Not Applied
2.0 Emissions Summary
tblTripsAndVMT
HaulingTripNumber
23,053.00
23,052.00
tblTripsAndVMT
VendorTripNumber
0.00 4.00
tblTripsAndVMT
VendorTripNumber
0.00 4.00
tblTripsAndVMT
VendorTripNumber
0.00 4.00
tblTripsAndVMT
VendorTripNumber
52.00 60.00
tblTripsAndVMT
WorkerTripNumber
15.00 16.00
tblTripsAndVMT
WorkerTripNumber
223.00
240.00
tblTripsAndVMT
WorkerTripNumber
45.00 48.00
tblTripsAndVMT
WorkerTripNumber
15.00 16.00
tblVehicleTrips
ST_TR
4.91 5.42
tblVehicleTrips
ST_TR
1.96 50.00
tblVehicleTrips
ST_TR
42.04 37.94
tblVehicleTrips
SU_TR
4.09 4.51
tblVehicleTrips
SU_TR
2.19 50.00
tblVehicleTrips
SU_TR
20.43 18.44
tblVehicleTrips
WD_TR
5.44 6.00
tblVehicleTrips
WD_TR
0.78 50.00
tblVehicleTrips
WD_TR
44.32 40.00
tblWoodstoves
NumberCatalytic
10.10 0.00
tblWoodstoves
NumberNoncatalytic
10.10 0.00
tblWoodstoves
WoodstoveDayYear
82.00 0.00
tblWoodstoves
WoodstoveWoodMass
3,019.20
0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2020.4.0
Date: 11/29/2023 12:38 PM
San Marcos Restaruant Row Project - San Diego County, Annual EMFAC Off-Model Adjustment Factors for Gasoline Light Duty Vehicle to Account for the SAFE Vehicle Rule Not Applied
2.1 Overall Construction
ROG
NOx
CO
SO2
Fugitive
PM10
Exhaust
PM10
PM10
Total
Fugitive
PM2.5
Exhaust
PM2.5
PM2.5
Total
Bio- CO2
NBio- CO2
Total CO2
CH4
N2O
CO2e
Year
tons/yr
MT/yr
2024
1.5605
6.6407
5.9021
0.0197
1.4904
0.2192
1.7096
0.4871
0.2040
0.6912
0.0000
1,839.731
1 1,839.731
1 0.2769
0.1403
1,888.470
9 2025
2.0703
2.1759
3.2029
7.8800e-
003
0.3534
0.0791
0.4325
0.0951
0.0748
0.1699
0.0000
710.2410
710.2410
0.0838
0.0278
720.6097
2026
0.6983
0.7994
1.1603
2.8600e-
003
0.1294
0.0291
0.1585
0.0348
0.0275
0.0624
0.0000
257.6421
257.6421
0.0309
0.0100
261.3962
Maximum
2.0703
6.6407
5.9021
0.0197
1.4904
0.2192
1.7096
0.4871
0.2040
0.6912
0.0000
1,839.731
1 1,839.731
1 0.2769
0.1403
1,888.470
9 Unmitigated Construction
ROG
NOx
CO
SO2
Fugitive
PM10
Exhaust
PM10
PM10
Total
Fugitive
PM2.5
Exhaust
PM2.5
PM2.5
Total
Bio- CO2
NBio- CO2
Total CO2
CH4
N2O
CO2e
Year
tons/yr
MT/yr
2024
1.5605
6.6407
5.9021
0.0197
0.9440
0.2192
1.1632
0.2934
0.2040
0.4975
0.0000
1,839.730
2 1,839.730
2 0.2769
0.1403
1,888.470
0 2025
2.0703
2.1758
3.2029
7.8800e-
003
0.3534
0.0791
0.4325
0.0951
0.0748
0.1699
0.0000
710.2406
710.2406
0.0838
0.0278
720.6093
2026
0.6983
0.7994
1.1603
2.8600e-
003
0.1294
0.0291
0.1585
0.0348
0.0275
0.0624
0.0000
257.6420
257.6420
0.0309
0.0100
261.3961
Maximum
2.0703
6.6407
5.9021
0.0197
0.9440
0.2192
1.1632
0.2934
0.2040
0.4975
0.0000
1,839.730
2 1,839.730
2 0.2769
0.1403
1,888.470
0 Mitigated Construction
CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2020.4.0
Date: 11/29/2023 12:38 PM
San Marcos Restaruant Row Project - San Diego County, Annual EMFAC Off-Model Adjustment Factors for Gasoline Light Duty Vehicle to Account for the SAFE Vehicle Rule Not Applied
ROG
NOx
CO
SO2
Fugitive
PM10
Exhaust
PM10
PM10
Total
Fugitive
PM2.5
Exhaust
PM2.5
PM2.5
Total
Bio- CO2
NBio-CO2
Total CO2
CH4
N20
CO2e
Percent
Reduction
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
27.69 0.00
23.75 31.39
0.00 20.98
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
Quarter
Start Date
End Date
Maximum Unmitigated ROG + NOX (tons/quarter)
Maximum Mitigated ROG + NOX (tons/quarter)
5 1-1-2024
3-31-2024
1.7299
1.7299
6 4-1-2024
6-30-2024
2.5261
2.5261
7 7-1-2024
9-30-2024
2.5264
2.5264
8 10-1-2024
12-31-2024
1.3591
1.3591
9 1-1-2025
3-31-2025
1.0489
1.0489
10 4-1-2025
6-30-2025
1.0535
1.0535
11 7-1-2025
9-30-2025
1.0650
1.0650
12 10-1-2025
12-31-2025
1.0722
1.0722
13 1-1-2026
3-31-2026
1.0453
1.0453
14 4-1-2026
6-30-2026
0.4563
0.4563
Highest
2.5264
2.5264
CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2020.4.0
Date: 11/29/2023 12:38 PM
San Marcos Restaruant Row Project - San Diego County, Annual EMFAC Off-Model Adjustment Factors for Gasoline Light Duty Vehicle to Account for the SAFE Vehicle Rule Not Applied
2.2 Overall Operational
ROG
NOx
CO
SO2
Fugitive
PM10
Exhaust
PM10
PM10
Total
Fugitive
PM2.5
Exhaust
PM2.5
PM2.5
Total
Bio- CO2
NBio- CO2
Total CO2
CH4
N2O
CO2e
Category
tons/yr
MT/yr
Area
1.2168
0.0173
1.4997
8.0000e-
005
8.3200e-
003
8.3200e-
003
8.3200e-
003
8.3200e-
003
0.0000
2.4525
2.4525
2.3500e-
003
0.0000
2.5113
Energy
8.0500e-
003
0.0689
0.0298
4.4000e-
004
5.5600e-
003
5.5600e-
003
5.5600e-
003
5.5600e-
003
0.0000
305.1074
305.1074
0.0153
3.1300e-
003
306.4229
Mobile
0.6668
0.6940
6.0624
0.0128
1.4940
9.6600e-
003
1.5036
0.3987
9.0100e-
003
0.4077
0.0000
1,181.264
8 1,181.264
8 0.0870
0.0548
1,199.763
6 Waste
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
21.0969
0.0000
21.0969
1.2468
0.0000
52.2666
Water
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
4.4198
71.8604
76.2802
0.4584
0.0113
91.0918
Total
1.8916
0.7802
7.5919
0.0133
1.4940
0.0235
1.5175
0.3987
0.0229
0.4216
25.5167
1,560.685
0 1,586.201
7 1.8098
0.0692
1,652.056
2 Unmitigated Operational
CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2020.4.0
Date: 11/29/2023 12:38 PM
San Marcos Restaruant Row Project - San Diego County, Annual EMFAC Off-Model Adjustment Factors for Gasoline Light Duty Vehicle to Account for the SAFE Vehicle Rule Not Applied
2.2 Overall Operational
ROG
NOx
CO
SO2
Fugitive
PM10
Exhaust
PM10
PM10
Total
Fugitive
PM2.5
Exhaust
PM2.5
PM2.5
Total
Bio- CO2
NBio- CO2
Total CO2
CH4
N2O
CO2e
Category
tons/yr
MT/yr
Area
1.2168
0.0173
1.4997
8.0000e-
005
8.3200e-
003
8.3200e-
003
8.3200e-
003
8.3200e-
003
0.0000
2.4525
2.4525
2.3500e-
003
0.0000
2.5113
Energy
8.0500e-
003
0.0689
0.0298
4.4000e-
004
5.5600e-
003
5.5600e-
003
5.5600e-
003
5.5600e-
003
0.0000
305.1074
305.1074
0.0153
3.1300e-
003
306.4229
Mobile
0.6668
0.6940
6.0624
0.0128
1.4940
9.6600e-
003
1.5036
0.3987
9.0100e-
003
0.4077
0.0000
1,181.264
8 1,181.264
8 0.0870
0.0548
1,199.763
6 Waste
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
21.0969
0.0000
21.0969
1.2468
0.0000
52.2666
Water
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
4.4198
71.8604
76.2802
0.4584
0.0113
91.0918
Total
1.8916
0.7802
7.5919
0.0133
1.4940
0.0235
1.5175
0.3987
0.0229
0.4216
25.5167
1,560.685
0 1,586.201
7 1.8098
0.0692
1,652.056
2 Mitigated Operational
3.0 Construction Detail
Construction Phase
Phase
Number
Phase Name
Phase Type
Start Date
End Date
Num Days
Week
Num Days
Phase Description
1 Demolition
Demolition
1/1/2024
2/15/2024
5 34
2 Site Preparation
Site Preparation
1/28/2024
2/10/2024
5 10
3 Grading
Grading
2/11/2024
9/3/2024
5 147
ROG
NOx
CO
SO2
Fugitive
PM10
Exhaust
PM10
PM10
Total
Fugitive
PM2.5
Exhaust
PM2.5
PM2.5
Total
Bio- CO2
NBio-CO2
Total CO2
CH4
N20
CO2e
Percent
Reduction
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2020.4.0
Date: 11/29/2023 12:38 PM