Cities Index.
Agenda packet

San Rafael City Council
October 7, 2024

Document
Agenda packet
Meeting
October 7, 2024
Body
San Rafael City Council
Pages
7
Original file
53.1 MB
Text extracted from the city's file for reading and search. Open the original on storage.googleapis.com. That file is the official record.

Sheriff Scardina:
ln accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (''FEMA")'s Local Mitigation Plans requirements, under 44 CFR §20 1.6, which specifically identify criteria that al low for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Solinas Community Public Utility District ("BCPUD") is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the BCPUD has agreed to participate in the Marin County Multi-jurisdictional Local Hazard Mitigation Planning ("MCM LHMP") effort.

Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning; the BCPUD agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requ irements. The plan wi ll comply with California AB 2140 through integration with the Marin Countywide Plan Safety Element and the municipalities' general plans. County staff on the MCM LI-IMP planning team are responsible fo r ensuring County compliance with AB 2140, and a representative of the BCPVD is responsib le fo r ensuring compliance for its jurisdiction.

The BCPUD understands that it must engage in the followi ng planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook (2013), including, but not limited to:
► Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
► The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area;
► The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction;
► Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an oppo1tunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.);
► Documentation of an effective process to ma intain and implement the plan; ► Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's govern ing body (each jurisdiction must officia lly adopt the plan); and ► Documentation of paiticipation in the NFIP, continued compliance with NFIP requirements, and address NFIP insured structures that have been repetitively damaged by floods.

Therefore, with a full understanding of the funding obligations incurred by an agreement between the 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Letter lo Sheriff Jamie Scardina
September 23, 2022
Page Two
Lead Jurisd iction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I, Jennifer Blackman, commit the BCPUD to the Marin County Mu lti-jurisdictional Local Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

Executed this 1,Qday of September 2022.
- Genera l Manager
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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l'tl E TO WN OP
Co1n e M A 0 6R A
240 TAM l. VISTA BLVD,
SUITE ! 10
CORTE MADERA. CA
94925
www.townofcortemaderaorg
ToWN MA AGER

TOWN CO CIL
41 5-927-5050
TOWN l ERK

41.5 -927 086
FINANCE I Bus. LICF.NSE
4 IS-927-5055

FIRE D EPARTMENT
4 15-927-5077
PLANNING / Zo ING
4 15-927-5064
B UIL.DfNG INSPECTOR
4 15-927-5062

TOWN ENGINEER

PUBLIC WORKS
628-258-0294

RECREATION D EPARTME T
415-927-S072
SANrfARY D ISTRICT NO. 2
628-253-l 158
CENTRAL 1\IIARJN

POLICE A UTHORITY
4 I 5-{}27-5 l SO
DEPARTMENT Of PUBLIC WORKS
PHONE: 628-258-0294
EMAIL: l'WCOIJNTER@TCt,,IMAIL.OR ,
December 5, 2022
Marin County Office offanergency Services
Marin County heriff's Office
1600 Los Gamos Dr. #200
San Rafael, CA 94903
Re: Lener of Commitment as Participating
Jurisdiction in Marin County Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Mitigation Plan r quirements under 44 CFR §201.6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehen ively by coordinating at the county, regional, or watershed level the Town of Corte Madera is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that Town of Corte Madera has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multi-juri dictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthermore, a a condition of participation in the mitigation planning, the Town of Co1·te Madera, agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

The Town of Corte Madera und rstands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitioa1ion Planning Handbook. including, but not limited to:
• ldentificarion of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification ofrisks, where they differ from the general planning area; Page I of2
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The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction;
• Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders ( examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and
Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and, Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body ( each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, Town Manager, commit the Tow11 of Corte Madera to the Marin County's Multi- jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

SJI.

This document is executed this __ day of December, 2022.

Adam Wolff
Town Manager, Town of Corte Madera

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December S, 2022

TOWN OF FAIRFAX
142 Solinas Road, Fairfax, California 94930
(4 1 5) 4 5 3 • I 5 8 4 / Fax (4 l 5) 4 5 3 • l 6 I 8
Marin County Office of Emergency Services
Marin County Sheriff's Office
l 600 Los Oamos Dr. #200
Sun Rafael, CA 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Mal'in County Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

As tl1e Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Loca l Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CPR §201.6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multijurisdictional mitigation plan and that many issues aro bet! r resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional, or watershed level, the Town f Fairfax is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that the Town of ·airfa.x has agreed to participate in the Marin aunty's Multi-jlll'isdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthermore, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning, Town of Fairfax, agrees to meet rhe requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 FR §201.6 and to provide such c operation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

The Town of Fairfax understands !hat it must engage in the following planning process as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning HandboQk- including, but not limited to:

Identification of h87"8rds unique to the jurisdiction and noL addressed in the mast~r planning document;
The conduct of a vulnerabil \ty analysis and an identification f 1isks, where they differ from the genera l planning area;
The formulation of mitigation goa l:; responsive to public input and dev lopment of mitigation action· complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction;
D1::111011slrntion lhnl thcri.: hns bi:en pmactively o/Terc;d an opportunity for p11rt icipmio11 i11 the pl n11J1ing process by all co111111unity stakeholders (example. of' pal'lit.:ipatit)n include r •le a11l involw1m;nt ii1 any plm111i11g. proccs . nlli.:ncling meetings. co1Wibu1ing reso:nrch. data. or oth r i11fom1mk1n. commenting 011 dral1s uf the plan. t:\c.); and Documentation or 1111 eflh ·tiv.: process to maint ain and implement the pl{m: imd, 1 1ormnl adoption ol"lhe Mu lti-jurisdiclionul T la7 .. ml Mitigation Plan by rhcjurisdiction' g~1wrnini bod ' (et1chj.1ri!)dii.:tion must offi cia ll y adopt the pl,m). 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Therefore. with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation plaiming process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I.

Fairfax Town Manager, commit the Town of Fairfax to the Marin County's Multijurisdictional Hazard M itigation P lanning effort.

This document is executed this 5th day of December, 2022.

Sincerely,
Town of Fair
~ fax, Town Manager
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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March 28. 2023
City of Larkspur
Office of E mergenc Management
Matin County fire

1. 600 Los Gamos Drive
San Rafael , CA. 94903
400 Mag,,olia Avenue, L.1rkspur, California 94939
Telephone: (415) 927-5110 fax, (415) 927-5022
We.bs,te: www.dtyoflark~pur.o1·g
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Marin Count Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning
Dear State J-Ia7,ard Mitigation Ofilccr:

As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (fEM/\) Local Mitigation Plan requirements tinder 44 CFR §201.6 specifically identif: criteria that allow fur multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues arc better re olvcd by evaluating hazards more cornprehcnsivdy by coordinating at the count_ , regional, or watershed leveL the City of Larkspur is submitting this letter of eommibneDl to confinn that the City of Lmk pur has agreed to participate in the Marill Coun t ·'s Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furlhcnnorc, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning. City of Larkspur. agree to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identi lied in 44 CPR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is neccs ar_ and in a timely manner to the Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional 1-lllwrd Mitigation Planning process to complete the plan in confonnance with iiEMA requirements.

The City ofLarkspur understands that it must engage in the following planning proce s, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook. including, but not limited to:
• ldcntilicatiot1 of hazards unique to thcjuri 5diction and not addrcssod in tbc master planning documen t:
• The conduct. of a ulnernbilily analysis and an .ideulification of risks where they diOer from the general pl anning area;
• The formulation of mitigation goal responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementaiy to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each juri diction:
• l)cmonstmt:ion that !here has been proact:i vely offered an opportunity for participation 111 the pl:inning prot1ess by all com1m1nity stakebold rs (examples of par\icip;:ition incl 1dc 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and, • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, City Manager Dan Schwarz, commit the City of Larkspur to the Marin County Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This document is executed this 28th day of March, 2023 . 0¼/~
Dan Schwarz
City Manager
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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MANAGEMENT TEAM
Las . 'Galhnas
101 luC3$ VaIfoy Ro d. Su,l 300
San Rafael, CA 94903
G~netal MaMger, Curt,~ P~~ton
Plani Operations, Mol Ucbmunn
CollectIons/Sore1ylMaln\en0nce, Grog Pe~so

VALLEY SANITARY DISTRICT
November 23, 2022
Tel: 415-472-1734
F&l<. q15-~99•7715
1-1ww,LGVSO,or9
Marin County Office of Emergency Services
1600 Los Gamos Drive
San Rafael, CA 94903
Engineering, Michael P. Cof1a7,
Adminis lr,nlive Service$1 Dale McOof"lald
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdictioh ih Marin Countv Multi-jurisc)ictional Haz;ard Mitigation Planning Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

DISTRJCT BOARD
Megan Clark
RonaIa Ford
Cr111g K Muri'ay
J~dy ScMabman
C,Y$lal J, Yezrnnn
As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201 .6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multijurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional , or watershed level, the Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigatioh Plannlng.

Furthermore, as a condition of participation In the mitigation planning, Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District, agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary' District understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mjligation Planning Handbook including, but not limiteo to:
• Identification of hazards uniqlJe to the jurisdlction and not addressed In the master planning document;
• The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks , where they differ from the general planning area:
• The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevaht involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research , data, or other informatlon, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and,
• Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigatioh Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, Curlis Paxton, commit Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District to the Marin County's Multi• jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This document is executed this 23rd day of November, 2022.

If you need further information or have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact our Administrative Services Manager, Dale McDonald at 415-526-15 HJ.

Curtis Paxton
Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District, General Manager
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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November 29, 2022
Marin County Administrator's Office
3501 Civic Center Drive #325
San Rafael, CA 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Marin County Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning
Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201.6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multijurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional, or watershed level, the City of Mill Valley is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that the City of Mill Valley has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthermore, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning, the City of Mill Valley, agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

The City of Mill Valley understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook. including, but not limited to:
• Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
• The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where C~eyr'41iJttan~amd~!!tQOOSai~nimg,a~a;alifomia 94941 • 415-388-4033 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and ,
• Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, Todd Cusimano, commit the City of Mill Valley to the Marin County's Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This document is executed this 29th day of November 29, 2022.

Todd Cusimano
City Manager
City of Mill Valley
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NORTH MARIN

WATER DISTRICT
999 Rush Creek Place
P.O. Box 146
Novato, CA 94948-0146
PHONE
415-897-4133
EMAIL
[email protected]
WEB
www.nmwd.com
January 3, 2023
Marin County Administrator's Office
3501 Civic Center Drive #325
San Rafael, CA 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Marin County MultiJurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201.6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional, or watershed level, the North Marin Water District is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that North Marin Water District has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthermore, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning , North Marin Water District, agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

North Marin Water District understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook, including , but not limited to:
• Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
• The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area;
• The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research , data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and ,
• Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body ( each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

DIRECTORS: JACK BAKER · KEN EICHSTAEDT • RICK FRAITES • MICHAELJOLY • STEPHEN PETTERLE OFFI CERS: ANTHONY WILLIAMS, General Manager • TERRIE KEHOE, District Secretary· JULIE BLUE, Auditor-Controller , ERIC M ILLER, Asst. GM/Chief Engineer 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Marin County Administrator
January 3, 2023

Page 2 of 2 ends

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, Anthony Williams, General Manager, commit North Marin Water District to the Marin County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This document is executed this 3rd day of January, 2023.

Sincerely,
~o/~
illiams
General Manager
North Marin Water District
Attachment: NMWD Board of Directors Memo dated December 20, 2022 lW:edm
R;\NON JOB No ISSUES\Hazard Mlligal[on Plan\BOD Memos\2022 1220 - letter of commilmenl\Letter or Commitment io Marin County MJHMP.docx 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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~ CITY OF NOVATO
~p cALIFORl\l l A
December 15, 2022
Marin County Administrator's Office
3501 Civic Center Drive #325
San Rafael, CA 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Marin County Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning
Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201 .6 specifically identify crn:eria that allow for multijurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional, or watershed level, the City of Novato is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that City of Novato has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthermore, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning, City of Novato, agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 ,6 and to provide such cooperation as Is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

City of Novato understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described fn FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook. including , but not limited to:
• Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
• The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks , where they differ from the general planning area;
• The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A 922 MACHIN AVENUE, NOVATO, CA 94945 I PHONE: 415.899.8900 I NOVATO.ORG Mny,n fm L,1 ,1, I Mny,;r Pro T1-m 511,~n w-miri (01Jncll111<1r1 t,F, ')er,1,e ,,u, ,., • f'JI £I ll1r.J • M,u I• Mill.w, • C11v Man.1t:c'I I ,itl 111 Mc(ull
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction:
• Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportuntty for participation 1n the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement ln any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and,
• Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, Adam McGil/, City Manager, commit City of Novato to the Marin County's Multi- jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This document is executed this 15 day of December, 2022.

Adam McGill, City Manager
City of Novato
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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February 6, 2023
ToM'N
~
ROSS
Office of Emergency Management
Marin County Fire
1600 Los Gamos Drive
San Rafael, CA. 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Marin County Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning
Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's {FEMA) Local Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201.6 specifically identify criteria that allows for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional, or watershed level, the Town of Ross is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that Town of Ross agrees to participate in the Marin County's Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthermore, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning, the Town of Ross agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements .

The Town of Ross understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's· Local Mitigation Planning Handbook. including, but not limited to:

Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area;
The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and
Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and, Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

P.O . BOX 320 , ROSS, CA 94957 -0320
415.453 .1453 • FAX 415.453.1950
www .townofross.org
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, Christa Johnson, Town Manager for the Town of Ross, does hereby acknowledge a commitment on behalf of the Town of Ross to participating in the Marin County's Multi- jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This document is executed this _k day of r::-li914
ChJ,1/4 ~
2023.

Town Manager, Town of Ross
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Steve Burdo
Mayor
Eileen Burke ViceMoyor

TOWN OF

SAN ANSELMO
EST . 1907
Town of San Anselmo
525 San Anselmo Avenue, San Anselmo, CA 94960-2682
(415) 258-4616
WINW towhofsananselmo.org
February 6, 2023
Office of Emergency Management
Marin County Fire
1600 Los Gamos Drive
San Rafael, CA. 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Marin County Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning
Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

Alexis Fineman Council Member
Brian Colbert
Council Member
Tarrell Kullaway
Council Member
As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's {FEMA} Local Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201.6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multijurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional, or watershed level, the Town of San Anselmo is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that the Town of San Anselmo has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthermore, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning, the Town of San Anselmo, agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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The Town of San Anselmo understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook. including, but not limited to:
• Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
• The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an ident ification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area;
• The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attend ing meetings, cont ributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and,
• Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, Dave Denery, the Town Manager, commit the Town of San Anselmo to the Marin County's Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. r
' s 6th day of February, 2023.

Dave Denery, Town Manager
Town of San Anselmo
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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November 29, 2022
Marin County Administrator's Office
3501 Civic Center Drive #325
San Rafael, CA 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Marin County Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's \FEMA) Local M[Ugation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201.6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multijurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional , or watershed level, the City of San Rafael is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that the City of San Rafael has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthem10re, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning the City of San Rafael, agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

The City of San Rafael understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook. including, but not limited to:
• Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
• The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area;
• The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction;
• Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all comm unity stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending CITY OF SAN RAFAEL I 1400 FIFTH AVENUE, SAN RAFAEL. CALIFORNIA 94901 CITYOFSANRAFAELORG Kale Colin, Mayor• Rochel Kertz, Vice Mayor· Maribeth Bushey. Councilmomber • Eli Hill. Councilmember • Maika, Llorens Gulati, Councilmember 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and
• Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and,
• Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, Jim Schutz, commit the City of San Rafael to the Marin County's Multi- jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This document is executed this 29m day of November 2022.

Jim Schutz
City Manager
CITY OF SAN RAFAEL I 1400 FIFTH AVENUE, SAN RAFAEL, CALIFORNIA 94901 CITYOFSANRAFAELORG Kale Colin, Mayor • Rochel Kertz, Vice Mayor · Maribeth Bushey, Counci lmembor • Eli Hill, Councilmernbor • Maika Llorens Gulati, Cour,cilmombor 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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DocuSign Envelope ID: DB4CA582-DE1 D-4BA9-8183-CD970254E3EB

CITY OF SAUSALITO
December 6, 2022
Marin County Office of Emergency Services
Marin County Sheriffs Office
1600 Los Gamos Dr. #200
San Rafael, CA 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment
Janelle Kellman , Mayo r
Chris Zapa ta, Ci ty Manager 420 Litho Street , Sausalito, California 94965-·1933 Telephone: 415-289-4100 C WWW S1UJSAI.ITO . GO\f File No.: 11 .18.02
Marin County Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201 .6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multijurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional , or watershed level, the City of Sausalito is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that the City of Sausalito has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthermore, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning, the City of Sausalito agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

The City of Sausalito understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook including, but not limited to:

Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area;
The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction;
Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research , data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and
Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and, Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, City of Admini::,tri;\tiun: (415) 289-4167
Rccr(:ation: (415) 289-4 189
FAX NU1'1IlERS:

Community Di.:vdupml!nt: (415) ~39-2256
Public Worl.s Engineering: (415) ;3~J9-2256
Library: (415) 331-7943 Public Wor"ks. M11intemmrc: (415) 289- 4138 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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DocuSign Envelope ID 0B4CA!'>82-DE1D-4BA9-810:H:0970254E3EB Marin County Emergen1:v Services
December 6, 2022

Page 2 ends

Sausalito City manager, commit the City of Sausalito to the Marin County's Multijurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This document is executed this 6th day of December 2022.

Sincerely,
City of Sausalito
Chris Z.3pata
City Manager
cc: Kevin McGowan, Public Works Director
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Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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Southern Marin Fire Protection District
Christian Tubbs, Fire Chief
December 12, 2022
28 Liberty Ship Way, STE 2800
Sausalito, California 94965
Phone: 415-388-8182
Marin County Office of Emergency Services
Marin County Sheriffs Office
1600 Los Gamos Dr. #200
San Rafael, CA 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Marin County Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning
Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

Fax: 415-388-8181
As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201.6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multijurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional, or watershed level, the Southern Marin Fire Protection District is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that Southern Marin Fire Protection District has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning .

Furthermore, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning, Southern Marin Fire Protection District, agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

Southern Marin Fire Protection District understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook. including, but not limited to:
• Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
• The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area;
• The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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• Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and,
• Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body ( each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; 1, Chris Tubbs, Fire Chief, commit Southern Marin Fire Protection District to the Marin County's Multi- jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This document is executed this 12th day of December, 2022.

Chris Tubbs
Southern Marin Fire Protection District, Fire Chief
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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Town omburcn • 1505 Tibumn Boul..,..,-d •Tiburon, CA 94920 • V. 415.435.7373 I' 415.435.2438 • www.u,wn<>ftibumn.org November 30, 2022
Marin County Office of Emergency Services
1600 Los Gamos Drive
San Rafael, CA 94903
Re: Letter of Commitment as Participating Jurisdiction in Marin County Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning
Dear State Hazard Mitigation Officer:

As the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Mitigation Plan requirements under 44 CFR §201.6 specifically identify criteria that allow for multijurisdictional mitigation plans and that many issues are better resolved by evaluating hazards more comprehensively by coordinating at the county, regional, or watershed level, the Town of Tiburon is submitting this letter of commitment to confirm that the Town of Tiburon has agreed to participate in the Marin County's Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning.

Furthermore, as a condition of participation in the mitigation planning, the Town of Tiburon, agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Marin County to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements.

The Town of Tiburon understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook. including, but not limited to:

Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document;
Jon Welner
Mayor
ficlt~
Vice Mayor
Noah Griffin
Coundlrnember
Holli'llller
COunc:ilmembter
Gre,Cbarm
Tuwn Managu
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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The conduct of a vulnerability analysi5 and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area;
The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions rnust be identified specific for each jurisdiction;
• Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); and
• Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; and, • Formal adoption of the Multi-jurisdictional Haz;:ird Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurfsdiction must officially adopt the plan).

Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by participating in the FEMA hazard mitigation planning process as a participant in a multi-jurisdictional plan; I, Greg Chanis, Town Manager, commit the Town of Tiburon to the Marin County's Multi• jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort.

This do'"m~ •:•d this 16 day of Novembe, 2022.

Manager, Town of Tiburon
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
513
APPENDIX B: DOCUMENTATION OF THE PLANNING PROCESS
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COUNTY OF
MARIN
2023 Marin County
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plans
Project Kickoff Meeting
Steering Committee Meeting Agenda
October 26, 2022, from 10:00 am -11:00 am
I. Welcome and Introductions
II. Hazard Mitigation and Emergency Management Overview Ill. Plan Overview- Steps and Timeline
IV. Planning Process
V. Community Profiles
VI. Planning Goals and Objectives
VII. Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment
VIII . Status of the Current Hazard Mitigation Projects IX. Identify New Hazard Mitigation Projects List
X. Planning Team
XI. Next Steps
XII. Questions & Concluding Remarks
Topic: Marin County MJHMP Kick-off Steering Team Meeting Time: Oct 26, 2022 10:00 AM Pacific Time {US and Canada) Join Zoom Meeting
https://us06web.zoom.us/j/88065994372?pwd=N3ZkdnR0bmlhQVErSUZXQVBiZFF3QT09 Meeting ID: 880 6599 4372
Passcode: 848288
~11ivc
onsulting
PO Box 143 Vacaville, CA 95696
(707) 685-2209 Preparative.org
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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2023 Marin County
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
Project Kickoff Meeting
Steering Committee Meeting Sign-In Sheet
October 26, 2022, from 10:00 am -11:00 am
Join Zoom Meeting
https://us06web.zoom.us/j/88065994372?pwd=N3ZkdnR0bmlhQVEr5UZXQVBiZFF3QT09 Meeting ID: 880 6599 4372
Passcode: 848288

1. 10:24:27 From Paul Bockrath : Paul Bockrath, Preparative Consulting

2. 10:24:29 From Kate, San Rafael : Kate Hagemann, city of san Rafael

3. 10:24:44 From Beb : Beb Skye, Marin County DPW

4. 10:24:45 From Hannah Lee : Hannah Lee, Senior Civil Engineer, Marin County Flood Control & Water Conservation District

5. 10:24:52 From Leslie Lacko : Leslie Lacko I Marin County CDA

6. 10:24:55 From Rich Simonitch : Rich Simonitch Town of Ross

7. 10:24:57 From Scott Schneider: Scott Schneider, Asst. Public Works Director, Town of San Anselmo

8. 10:25:00 From Woody Baker-Cohn/ Marin OES : Woody Baker-Cohn/ Assistant Emergency Manager/ Marin OES

9. 10:25:02 From Kevin McGowan, Sausalito DPW : Kevin McGowan, public works director from City of Sausalito is present.

10. 10:25:03 From Felix Meneau: Felix Meneau, Marin County DPW/Water Resources

11. 10:25:03 From Victoria LaMar-Haas, Cal OES : Victoria LaMar-Haas, Cal OES Local Mitigation Planning

12. 10:25:04 From Joanna K : Joanna Kwok, Senior Civil Engineer, City of San Rafael

13. 10:25:05 From Chris Good - Corte Madera : Chris Good, Senior Civil Engineer, Town of Corte Madera Public Works

14. 10:25:08 From Loren Umbertis, Town of Fairfax : Loren Umbertis, Public Works Director, Town of Fairfax

15. 10:25:11 From Jennifer Blackman : Jennifer Blackman, General Manager, Bolinas Community Public Utility District

16. 10:25:21 From Richard Diaz SRFD/OES: Richard Diaz - Community Disaster Preparedness Coordinator - City of San Rafael

17. 10:25:24 From David Block - Preparative: David Block, Preparative Consulting

18. 10:25:29 From mlockaby: Mark Lockaby Building Official Town of Fairfax

19. 10:25:32 From MCFD Staging User ipad iOS 11.2.1 HP34 (3)Tiger : Scott Alber, MCFD
~ P(O s
1 ox 143 Vacaville, CA 95696
'onsulting 707 685-2209 Preparative.erg
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
515
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Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
Project Kickoff Meeting

20. 10:26:07 From Greg Pea se - Las Gallias Va lley Sanitary District : Greg Pease - Collection System/Maintenance/Safety Manager - La s Gallinas Valley Sanitary Di strict

21. 10:45:22 From Chris Reilly : Chris Reilly, Emergency Services Manager, Marin

22. 23.

24. County OES
11:00:58 From Cory Bytof : Cory Bytof, City of San Rafael Sustainability From David Dammuller, City of Novato Public Works
From Jared Peri, Cal DES Local Mitigation Planning
PO Box 143 Vacaville, CA 95696
(707) 685-2209 Preparative.org
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
516
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2023 Marin County
Multi-Jurisdictional Local Hazard Mitigation Plan
Hazard Meeting
Steering Committee Meeting Agenda
October 26, 2022, from 10:00 am -11:00 am
I. Welcome and Introductions
II. Plan Overview -Steps and Timeline
Ill. Jurisdictiona l Points of Contact
IV. Jurisdictional Letter of Commitment
V. Identify Planning Team Members
VI. Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment
VII. Jurisdictional Profiles
VIII. Status of the Current Hazard Mitigation Projects
IX. Next Steps
X. Questions & Concluding Remarks
Topic: Marin County MJHMP Steering Team Meeting
Time: November 9, 2022 10:00 AM Pacific Time (US and Canada) Join Zoom Meeting
https://us06web.zoom.us/j/83506781602?pwd=TThmN2d6NVNIVHdJRFBaO0tzbHZIZz09 Meeting ID : 835 06781602
Passcode: 747816
One tap mobile
+ 16699006833,,83506781602#,,,, *747816# US (San Jose)
+ 14086380968,,83506781602#,,,, *747816# US (San Jose)
~ on
~ suli-i1,g
PO Box 143 Vacaville, CA 95696
(707) 685-2209 Preparative.org
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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Sign_n Sheet Marin Co . MJHMP Steering Committee Mtg 110922 10 :02:55
10 :03:14
10·:IB:15
Works Director,
10 : 03: 17
10:03:20
10 :03:26
Marin County DPI~
From Paul Bockrath : Paul Bockrath, Preparative Consulting From Tim Fuette (NMl~D) : Tim Fuette, Senior Engineer, NMl~D From Loren Umbertis, Town of Fairfax : Loren Umbertis, Public Town of Fairfax
From Leslie Lacko : Leslie Lac.ko I Marin County CDA
From Richard Diaz SRFD/OES Richard Diaz, City of San Rafael From Julia Elkin (she/her) Marin County DPW : Julia Elkin, 10·: 03: 3S From Joanna K : Joanna Kwok, City of San Rafael, Senior Civil Engineer
10:03:38 From Jennifer Blackman : Jennifer Blackman, General Manager, Bolinas Community Public Utility District
10:03:45 From Dave Jeffries : David Jeffries, JPSC for City of Novato and Novato Fire District, Consultant
10:04:02 fr'om Andrew Davidson : Andrew Davidson, City of Sausalito, Senior Engineer
10:04:08 From David -City of Novato: David Dammuller, Engineering Services Manager, City of Novato
10:04:19 From Greg Pease - Las Gallias Valley Sanitary District : Greg Pease, Collection System/Maintenance/Safety Manager> Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District
10:04:27 From Eric Miller (NMWO) : Eric Miller, Assistant GM/Chief Engineer, North Marin Water District
10:04:54 From Richard Sirnonitch : Richard Simonit c: h, Public Works Director - Town of Ross
10:06:37
10:07:21
Flood control
10: 10 : 49
Manager
From
From
& Water
From
Chris Reilly : Chris Reilly Marin DES
Hannah Lee : Hannah Lee, senior Civil Engineer, Marin County Conservation District
Ahmed Aly Mill Valley : Ahmed Aly, Mill Valley Project
10:13:01 From Felix Meneau : Felix Meneau, Capital Planning Project Manager - Marin County Flooct control & l~ater Conservation District 11:47 : 23 From Kevin McGowan, Sausalito DPW : Kevin McGowan, City of Sausalito
11: 48: 36
Anselmo
From Erica Freeman : Erica Freeman, Building Official Town of San 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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2023 Marin County COUNTY OF MARIN Multi-Jurisdictional Local Hazard Mitigation Plan ....__......._~- Project Kickoff Meeting
Planning Team Meeting Agenda
December 6, 2022, from 10:00 am - 11:00 am
I. Welcome and Introductions
II. Hazard Mitigation and Emergency Management Overview Ill. Plan Overview - Steps and Timeline
IV. Planning Process
V. Community Profiles
VI. Planning Goals and Objectives
VII. Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment
VIII. Status of the Current Hazard Mitigation Projects
IX. Identify New Hazard Mitigation Projects List
X. Planning Team
XI. Public Outreach
XII. Next Steps
XIII. Questions & Concluding Remarks
Topic: Marin County Hazard Mitigation Planning Team Kickoff Meeting Time: Dec 6, 2022 10:00 AM Pacific Time (US and Canada) Join Zoom Meeti ng
https: // us06web.zoom .us/j /89164164111 ?pwd=ZD I kSI RtZStq bzVrR U FyYn pz bHJQUT09 Meeting ID: 891 6416 4111
Passcode: r:279805
One tap mobile
+ 14086380968,,89164164111#,,,, *279805# US (San Jose)
+16694449171,,89164164111#,,,, *279805# us
~ I PO Box 143 Vacaville, CA 95696 ~ ,t_ive ( 70 7) 685-2209 Preparative.org onsult1ng 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
519
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MCM LHMP Planning Team Kiokoff Meeting Sign In Sheet 120622 10:07:02 From Loren Umbertis, Town of Fairfax
Works Director, Town of Fairfax
10:07:05 From Cory Bytof j City of San Rafael
Bytof, City of San Rafael, sustainability Program
10:07:06 From Tim Fuette (NMWD) : Tim Fuette
10:07:17 From Woody Baker-Cohn/ Marin OES :

Marin OES/OEM
Loren Umbertis, public
he/him ; 5i,gning in: Cory
(NMl1D)
t~oody Baker-Cohn / Asst EM /
10:07:40 From
Planning & Building -
Irene Borba - City of Belvedere : Irene Borba - Director of City of Belvedere
10:07:40 From Richard Simonitch : Rich Si.monitch, Town of Ross 10:07:44 From Dale McDonald : Dale McDonald/ Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District
10:07:47
Richard Diaz
From Richard Diaz : Signing in:

Office of Emergency Services
City of San Rafael
10:07:49 From Dave Jeffries : Dave Jeffries, City of Novato and Novato Fire District
10:07:56 From
10:08:04 From
Public l~orks Director,
10:08:2S From
David Block: David Block, Preparative Consulting
Kevin McGowan, Sausalito DPW: Signing in : Kevin McGowan, City of Sausalito; [email protected]
Svetlana: Svetlana Smorodinsky, CA Department of Public Health
10:08:25 From Scott Schneider: Scott Schneider, Town of San Anselmo Public l~orks
10:08:33
10:08:34
10:08:38
San Anselmo,
10:08:40
Corte Madera
From Eric Miller (NMWD) : Eric Miller, North Marin Water District From Joanna Kwok: Joanna Kwok, City of San Rafael
From Erica Freeman, Building Official : Erica Freeman, Town of Building Official
From RJ Suokko, Corte Madera Signing in ; RJ Suokko, Town of 10:08:42 From Tom Welch Mill Valley and SMFD Fire Department Tom l~elch City of Mill valley and Southern Ma rin Fire Protection District 10:08 : 42 From Jennifer Blackman : Jennifer Blackman, General Manager, Bolinas Community Public Utility Dist·rict
10 :08:48 From Stephen Marcotte: Stephen Marcotte - Bolinas Fire Protection District
10108:48 From Patrick Kelly, City of Mill Valley: Patrick Kelly, Director of Planning & Building, City of Mill Valley
10:08:57 From David -City of Novato: David Dammuller, City of Novato 10:09:08 From Sam Bonifacio, Town of Tiburon : Samantha Bonifacio, Town of Tiburon ( Assistant Planner)
10:09:17 From Ahmed Aly Mill Valley : Ahmed A Aly, P.E.

City of Mill Valley
Project Manager
415-384-4755
aaaly@c i tyofnlillvalley. org
Twitter: @MillValleyDPl~
10:09:39 From Laurie Nilsen : Laurie Nilsen, Emergency services Coordinator, Belvedere and Tiburon -
10:24:05 From Tom Welch Mill valley and SMFD Fire Department : Tom l~elch southenn Marin Fire Protection District, Deputy Chief of Operations. [email protected].
11:16:40 From Cory Bytof I City of San Rafael I he/him: San Rafael City Schools
11:18:39 From Svetlana Smorodinsky CDPH : County of Marin Department of Health and Human Services
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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2023 Marin Coun• ty
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
Planning Team Meeting Agenda
March 7, 2023, from 9:00 am -11:00 am
Planning Team Project Overview (9:00 am - 9:50 aml
(REQUIRED for Planning Team/OPTIONAL for Steering Committee) I. Welcome and Introductions
II. Hazard Mitigation and Emergency Management Overview Ill. Plan Overview -Steps and Timeline
IV. Community Overview
V. Planning Process
VI. Planning Goals and Objectives
VII. Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment
VIII. Stakeholders and Planning Team Identification
Meeting Break (9:50 am - 10:00 am)
Planning Team Meeting (10:00 am - 11:00 am}
(REQUIRED for Planning Team AND Steering Committee)
IX. Public Outreach
X. Planning Goals and Objectives
XI. Hazard Risk Ranking Worksheets
XII. Jurisdictional Profiles
XIII. Jurisdictional/ District Capability Assessment
XIV. 2018 Hazard Mitigation Project Status Update
XV. Next Steps
XVI. Questions & Concluding Remarks
Join Zoom Meeting
~ttps://us06web.zoom.us/j/85488557965?pwd=cklySmNna0pCKOhQVjBhMIAOMIUyQT09 Meeting ID: 854 8855 7965
Passcode: 979049
One tap mobi le
+ 16699006833,,85488557965#,,,, *979049# US (Sa n Jose) + 14086380968,,85488557965#,,,, *979049# US (Sa n Jose) ~ on
~ s ulti11g
PO Box 143 Vacaville, CA 95696
(707) 685-2209 Preparative.org
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
521
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Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Planning Team Meeting 030723 Sign-In

1. 09:05:0
Manager

2. 09:06:19

3. 09:09:30

4. 09:09:32

5. 09:09:47

6. 09:10:01
Marin County MJHMP Planning Meeting 030723
From Greg Pease : Greg Pease, LGVSD Collections System/Maintenance/Safety From Woody Baker-Cohn: Woody· Baker-Cohn/ Marin OEM/ Asst EM From Chris Reilly: Chris Reilly, Marin County Fire OEM
From Scott Alber : Scott Alber, MCFD
From Andy : Andrew Davidson, City of Sausalito
From Sarah Finnigan - Cal : Sarah Finnigan, Cal OES

7. 09 :11:13 From DANIEL RODRIGUEZ : DANIEL RODRIGUEZ, Security, Emergency Management Specialist Golden Gate Bridge, Highway & Transportation District

8. 09:14:13 From Daisy Allen, Mil l Val ley: Daisy Al len, City of Mill Valley Planning

9. 09:15:34 From hannah lee : Hannah Lee, County of Marin DPW and Marin County Flood Control & Water Conservation District

10. 09 :16:55 From Steven Torrence - Marin County OEM : Steven Torrence, Director of Emergency Management, Office of Emergency Management

11. 09 :18:11 From Marshall Nau : Marshall Nau, Fire Inspector, Southern Marin Fire District

12. 09 :54:55 From Daisy Allen, Mi ll Val ley

13. 09:55:01 From Victoria LaMar-Haas, Ca l OES: Victoria LaMar-Haas, Program Manager, Ca l OES Local Mitigation Planning

14. 10:02:38 From David -City of Novato : David Dammuller, Engineering Services Manager, City of Novato

15. 10:03:48

16. 10:03 :54

17. 10:04:19

18. 10:04:22

19. 10:04:34

20. 10:04:42

21. 10:04:51
District

22. 10:06:46
From Dave Jeffries : Dave Jeffries, City of Novato
From Scott Schneider : Scott Schneider, Town of San Anselmo From Tim Fuette (NMWD): Tim Fuette, NMWD
From Laurie Nilsen : Laurie Nilsen, Town ofTiburon & City of Belvedere OES From Sam Bonifacio- Tiburon Planning : Sam Bonifacio, Town of Tiburon From Julia Elkin (she/her), Marin County DPW : Julia Elkin, Marin County DPW From Jennifer Blackman : Jennifer Blackman, Solinas Community Public Utility From Markus Lansdowne - Caltrans D4 : Markus Lansdowne - Caltrans District 4 Emergency Operations Coordinator

23. 10:13:46 From Patri ce Chamberlain- CDPH Enviro & 0cc Health Emergency Prep

24. 10:45:15 From Leslie. Lacko: Leslie Lacko, CDA, Marin County

25. 10:48:21 From Svetlana Smorodinsky: CDPH Disaster Epidemiologist/ Environmental & Occupational Emergency Preparedness Team
Additional Meeting Attendees

26. Amber Davis: Marin County Public Health

27. Chris LeBaudour: Marin County EMS Authority

28. Danielle Jessup: Ca l OES Dam Safety Planning Division

29. Eric Goldman: Marin Water District

30. Jennifer McGill :

31. Jesse Sanchez:

32. Julie Ekstrom: CA. Dept. of Water Resources

33. Loren Umberis: Fairfax Public Works

34. Quinn Gardner: San Rafael

35. Ri ch Simonitch:

36. Richard Diaz: San Rafael FD

37. RJ Suokko: Corte Madera

38. Ahmed Aly: Mill Valley

39. Laney Davidson: Marin County
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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2023 Marin County
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
Planning Team Meeting Agenda
April 4, 2023, from 10:00 am -11:00 am
I. Welcome and Introductions
II. HMGP (DR-4683} Funding Timeline
Ill. Public Outreach
IV. Planning Goals and Objectives
V. Jurisdictional Hazard Vulnerability Maps
VI. Jurisdictional Profiles
VII. Jurisdictional/ District Capability Assessment
VIII. 2018 Hazard Mitigation Project Status Update
IX. Next Steps
X. Questions & Concluding Remarks
Topic: Marin County MJHMP Planning Team Meeting 040423
Time: Apr 4, 2023 10:00 AM Pacific Time (US and Canada) Join Zoom Meeting
https :// us06web.zoom . us/j/8962 42 64855 ?pwd=VTN G Vl VtUzgyVHVvN UM xR m 9QL0ZRd z09 Meeting ID: 896 2426 4855
Passcode: 283612
One tap mobile
+ 16694449171,,89624264855#,,,, *283612# us
+16699006833,,89624264855#,,,,*283612# US (San Jose)
~ 1ti c.
onsulting
PO Box 143 Vacaville, CA 95696
(707) 685-2209 Preparative.org
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
523
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COUNTY OF
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1. 10:01:52

2. 10:01:57

3. 10:02:08
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Planning Team Meeting 040423 Sign-In
Sign_in Sheet Marin County MJHMP Planning Meeting 040423 From Paul Bockrath : Paul Bockrath, Preparative Consulting From Woody Baker-Cohn : Woody Baker-Cohn/ Asst EM Marin OEM From Katherine Hagemann [email protected]: kate Hagemann, city of sa n Rafael

4. 10:02:14 From Beb : Beb Skye, County of Marin

5. 10:02:16 From Loren Umbertis, Public Works Director : Loren Umbertis, Director of Public Works, town of Fairfax

6. 10:02:19 From Chris Good - Corte Madera: Chris Good - Town of Corte Madera/Sanitary District No. 2

7. 10:02:20 From Steven Torrence- Director Marin County OEM: Steven Torrence - OEM Director - County of Marin

8. 10:02:22 From Laurie Nilsen: Laurie Nilsen Belvedere and Tiburon Administrative and Emergency Services Coordinator

9. 10:02:23 From Jennifer Blackman : Jennifer Blackman, Bolinas Community Public Utility District

10. 10:02:31 From Kevin McGowan, Sausalito DPW: Kevin McGowan, City of Sausalito

11. 10:02:33 From Hannah Lee: Hannah Lee, Senior Civil Engineer, Marin County Department of Public Works and Flood Control & Marin County Water Conservation District

12. 10:02:34 From Sarah Finnigan - Cal OES : Sarah Finnigan, Cal OES, ESC

13. 10:02:39 From Jennifer McGill : Jennifer McGill, Sonoma-Marin Area Rail Transit District

14. 10:03 :02 From Sam Bonifacio, Town of Tiburon : Sam Bonifacio, Assistant Planner with the Town of Tiburon

15. 10:03 :53 From Marshall Nau : Marshall Nau- Southern Marin Fire District

16. 10:05:26 From Dale McDonald : Dale McDonald - LGVSD

17. 10:05 :36

18. 10:05:37

19. 10:05:53

20. 10:06:24

21. 10:06:40
From Richard Simonitch : Richard Simon itch Town of Ross From Central Marin Fire : Matt Cobb - Central Marin Fire From Scott Alber : Scott Alber, MCFD
From Erica Freeman : Erica Freeman, Town of San Anselmo From patrice : Patrice Chamberlain - CA Dept of Public Health, Enviro & Occupationa l Emergency Prep Team

22. 10:08:56 From Daisy Allen, City of Mil.I Valley ; Daisy Allen, City of Mill Valley Planning

23. 10:09:23
Agency

24. 10:10:14
From Leslie Lacko : Leslie Lacko, Marin County Community Development From Quinn Gardner, San Rafael Dep Dir- Emergency Mgt (she/her) : Quinn Gardner, San Rafael
Additional Meeting Attendees

1. Amber Davis: Marin County Public Health

2. Ahmed Aly: Mill Valley

3. Daniel Rodriguez, Golden Gate Bridge, Highway & Transportation District

4. Manny Albano, San Rafael
S. Markus Lansdowne, Caltrans

6. Scott Schneider, San Anselmo
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
524
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2023 Marin County
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
Steering Committee Meeting Agenda
May 31, 2023, from 10:00 am -11:30 am
I. Welcome and Introductions
II . HMGP (DR-4683) Funding Timeline
Ill. Public Outreach Status
IV. Jurisdictional Hazard Vulnerability Maps
V. OEM Overview of Hazard Maps and Marin Maps
VI . Marin Co. MJHMP Risk Assessment Tool Overview
VII . 2018 Hazard Mitigation Project Status Update
VIII. Hazard Working Groups
IX. Next Steps
X. Questions & Concluding Remarks
Topic: Marin County MJH MP Steering Committee Meeting 053123 Time: May 31, 2023 10:00 AM Pacific Time (US and Canada) Join Zoom Meeting
https://us06web.zoom.us/j/88549237300?pwd=YjFzdXh2UW9mdDZEMkZiQIZiM0VaQT09 Meeting ID: 885 4923 7300
Passcode: 477919
One tap mobile
+16699006833,,88549237300#,,,, *477919# US (San Jose)
+14086380968,,88549237300#,,,,*477919# US (San Jose)
~ on
~ sulti11g
PO Box 143 Vacaville, CA 95696
(707) 685-2209 Preparative.org
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
525
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COUNTY OF
MARIN - - ~- Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Steering Committee Meeting 053123 Sign-In
Sign_in Sheet Marin County MJHMP Planning Meeting 053123 Marin County MJHMP Steering Committee Meeting Chat 053123 10:02:50 From Paul Bockrath to Everyone:

Paul Bockrath, Preparative Consulting
10:03:45 From Woody Baker-Cohn to Everyone:

Woody Baker-Cohn/ Marin OEM
10:03:46 From Rich Simonitch to Everyone:

Rich Simonitch, Town of Ross
10:03:49 From Erica Freeman, Town of San Anselmo to Everyone:

Erica Freeman, Town of San Anselmo
10:03:52 From Loren Umbertis, Public Works Director to Everyone :

Loren Umbertis, Town of Fairfax
10:03:56 From Beb to Everyone:

Beb Skye - County of Marin
10:03 :58 From Dave Jeffries to Everyone:

Dave Jeffries - for City of Novato
10:03 :59 From Julia Elkin I Marin County DPW to Everyone :

Julia Elkin, MarinCounty
10:04:04 From David -City of Novato to Everyone:

David Dammuller, City of Novato
10:04:05 From Daisy Allen to Everyone :

Daisy Allen, City of Mill Valley
10:04:15 From Chris Reilly to Everyone:

Chris Reilly, Marin County OEM
10:04:17 From Marshall Nau to Everyone:

Marshall Nau - Southern Marin Fire Protection District
10:04:17 From Greg Pease - Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District to Everyone:

Greg Pease - Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District
10:04:48 From Tim Fuette (NMWD) to Everyone:

Tim Fuette -NMWD
10:04:SG From Eric Miller - NMWD to Everyone:

Eric Miller - NMWD
10:04:56 From Scott Schneider to Everyone:

Scott Schnei der, Town of San Anselmo
10:05 :11 From Katherine Hagemann [email protected] to Everyone :

Kate Hagemann - City of San Rafael
10:0S:19 From Steven Torrence - Director Marin County OEM to Everyone:

Quinn Gardner - San Rafael
10:05 :23 From Chris Good - Corte Madera to Everyone:

Chris Good - Town of Corte Madera
10:05 :39 From Steven Torrence - Director Marin County OEM to Everyone:

Steven Torrence and Hannah Tarling- Marin County
10:05:43 From Leslie Lacko (she/her) I Marin Co to Everyone:

Leslie Lacko, Marin County CDA
10:06:20 From David Block to Everyone:

David Block, Preparative Consulting
10:08:S4 From Joanna Kwok to Everyone:

Joanna Kwok, San Rafael
10:24:34 From hannah lee to Everyone:

Hannah Lee, Senior Civil Engineer, County of Marin and Marin County Flood Control & Water Conservation District
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
526
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2023 Marin County
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
Planning Team Meeting Agenda
June 27, 2023, from 10:00 am -12:00 pm
I. Welcome and Introductions
II . HMGP (DR-4683) & BRIC Grant Funding Timeline
Ill. Public Outreach Status
IV. Jurisdictional Hazard Risk Assessment Tool
V. OEM Overview of Hazard Maps and Marin Maps
VI . Marin County Hazards over the Last 5-Years
VII . 2018 Hazard Mitigation Project Status Update
VIII. 2023 Hazard Mitigation Projects/Capital Improvement Projects IX. Hazard Working Groups
X. Next Steps
XI. Questions & Concluding Remarks
Topic: Marin County MJHMP Planning Committee Meeting 062723 Time: Jun 27, 2023 10:00 AM Pacific Time {US and Canada) Join Zoom Meeting
https; // us06web.zoo m .us/j /81005069903? pwd=e TM lN ldCSEtY dG NI Yj cvTlcyL2 U 2Zz09 Meeting ID: 810 0506 9903
Passcode: 848497
One tap mobile
+ 16694449171,,81005069903#,,,, *848497# us
+16699006833,,81005069903#,,,, *848497# US {San Jose)
~ on
~ sultiug
PO Box 143 Vacaville, CA 95696
(707) 685-2209 Preparative.org
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
527
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COUNTY OF
MARIN .:;........:s,..,....._
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Steering Committee Meeting 062723 Sign-In
Sign-In Sheet Marin County MJHMP Planning Meeting 062723 10:03:09 From Paul Bockrath to Everyone:

Paul Bockrath, Preparative Consulting
10:04:19 From Daisy Allen to Everyone:

Daisy Allen, Mill Valley Planning
10:04:20 From Woody Baker-Cohn to Everyone:

Woody Baker-Cohn/ Marin OEM
10:04:21 From Rich Simonitch Town of Ross to Everyone:

Rich Simonitch, Town of Ross
10:04:23 From Loren Umbertis to Everyone:

Loren Umbertis, Town of Fairfax
10:04:25 From Kevin McGowan, Sausalito DPW to Everyone:

Kevin McGowan, City of Sausalito
10:04:29 From Tim Fuette (NMWD) to Everyone:

Tim Fuette, NMWD
10:04:31 From Julia Elkin I Marin County DPW to Everyone:

Julia Elkin, Marin County DPW
10:04:33 From Beb to Everyone:

Beb Skye, County of Marin
10:04:45 From Chris Good - Corte Madera to Everyone:

Chris Good - Corte Madera
10:04:54 From hannah lee to Everyone:

Hannah Lee, County of Marin Public Works and Marin County Flood Control & Water Conservation District
10:04:54 From brandon chapman to Everyone:

Brandon Chapman, Golden Gate Bridge, Highway, and Transit District 10:05 :03 From David -City of Novato to Everyone:

David Dammuller, City of Novato
10:05 :08 From Leslie Lacko {she/her) I Marin Co to Everyone:

Les I ie Lacko
10:05 :12 From Hannah Tarling, Marin OEM to Everyone:

Hannah Tarling, County of Marin
10:05 :20 From Dale McDonald, LGVSD to Everyone:

Good morning from Las Gallinas
10:05:33 From Ezra Colman Central Marin Fire to Everyone:

Ezra Colman Central Marin Fire
10:05:49 From Scott Schneider to Everyone:

Scott Schneider, Town of San Anselmo
10:06:00 From Svet to Everyone:

Svetlana Smorodinsky CA Dept of Public Health
10:07 :00 From Patrice Chamberlain I CDPH Environmental Emergency Prep to Everyone:

Patrice Chamberlain, CA Dept of Public Health
10:07:34 From Dale McDonald, LGVSD to Paul Bockrath(Direct Message):

Dale McDonald, Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District
10:08:24 From Ruben Martin, Central Marin Fire Chief to Everyone:

Ruben Martin, Central Marin Fire
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
528
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2023 Marin County
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
Planning Team Meeting Agenda
November 27, 2023, from 2:00 pm - 3:00 pm
I. Welcome and Introductions
II. Plan Overview - Steps and Timeline
Ill. Planning Process
IV. Hazard Identification
V. Jurisdictional and District Profiles
VI. Public Outreach Strategy
VII . Next Steps
VIII. Questions & Concluding Remarks
Topic: Marin County OA MJHMP Final Planning Meeting
Time : Nov 27, 2023, 02:00 PM Pacific Time (US and Canada) https ://us06web.zoom .us/j/89495636330?pwd=hCUbJ1LwrGAiWdlth8waxvhPLDHANz.1 Meeting ID: 894 9563 6330
Passcode : 571784
~ on
~ sulti1ag
PO Box 143 Vacaville, CA 95696
(707) 685-2209 Preparative.org
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
529
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COUNTY OF
MARIN 4.----"'l=--
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Final Planning Team Meeting 112723 Sign-In
Marin County OA MJHMP Final Planning Team Meeting Sign-In Sheet 14:03:56 From Paul Bockrath To Everyone:

Paul Bockrath, Preparative Consulting
14:05:04 From Woody Baker-Cohn To Everyone:

Woody Baker-Cohn
14:05:08 From Katherine Hagemann [email protected] To Everyone:
l(ate Hagemann, City of San Rafael
14:05:09 From Quinn Gardner To Everyone:
quinn gardner, city of san rafael
14:05 :10 From Loren Umbertis To Everyone:

Loren Umbertis, Public Works Director, Town of Fairfax
14:05 :14 From Daisy Allen, City of Mill Valley To Everyone; Daisy Allen, City of Mill Valley
14:05 :18 From Dale McDonald, LGVSD To Everyone:

Dale McDonald, LGVSD
14:05:18 From Marshall Nau To Everyone:

Marshall Nau
14:05 :19 From David -City of Novato To Everyone:

David Darnmuller, City of Novato
14:05 :21 From Jennifer Blackman To Everyone:

Jennifer Blackman, General Manager, Bolinas Community Public Utility District 14:05:22 From iPhone To Everyone:

Joanna Kwok, City of San Rafael
14:05 :22 From Dave Jeffries To Everyone:

David Jeffries, JPSC for City of Novato and Novato Fire District 14:05:22 From RJ Suokko, Corte Madera To Everyone:

RJ Suokko, Corte Madera
14:05 :22 From Sam Bonifacio To Everyone:
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
530
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COUNTY OF
MARIN ,C....---"'l~-
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Final Planning Team Meeting 112723 Sign-In
Samantha Bonifacio, Town of Tiburon
14:05:24 From BebTo Everyone:

Beb Skyte County of Marin DPW
14:05:32 From Erica Freeman To Everyone:

Erica Freeman, San Anselmo
14:05 :34 From Marshall Nau To Everyone:

Marshall Nau - Southern Marin Fire District
14:05 :35 From Patrice Chamberlain I CA Dept of Public Health To Everyone:
hi all! Patrice Chamberlain, CA Dept of Public Health
14:05:47 From Kevin McGowan, Sausalito DPW To Everyone :

Kevin McGowan, Sausalito DPW
14:05:50 From max korten To Everyone:

Max Korten, Marin County Parks
14:05:53 From Richard Simonitch To Everyone:

Richard Simonitch, Town of Ross
14:06:01 From Tim Fuette {NMWD) To Everyone:

Tim Fuerte, NMWD
14:06:03 From Svetlana To Everyone:

Svetlana Smorodinsky, CDPH
14:06:13 From Laney Davidson To Everyone:

Laney Davidson, County of Marin Disability Access Manager 14:07:28 From Sarah Finnigan - Cal OES To Everyone:

Sarah Finnigan, Cal OES
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 1 / 19
Q1 How concerned are you about the following Hazards in your community?
Answered: 293 Skipped: 0
Climate Change
Dam Failure
Drought
Earthquake
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 2 / 19
Flooding
Landslides/Eros
ion/Debris...

Land
Subsidence...

Levee Failure
Sea Level Rise
Severe Weather
- Extreme Heat
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 3 / 19
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Not Concer… Somewhat … Moderately… Very Conce…
Severe Weather
- Wind, Hail...

Tsunami
Wildfire
• • • •
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 4 / 19

4.10%
12 10.24%
30 20.82%
61 64.85%
190 293

53.92%
158

25.60%
75 13.99%
41 6.48%
19 293

4.44%
13 11.26%
33 27.65%
81 56.66%
166 293

1.71%
5 22.87%
67 37.20%
109

38.23%
112 293

11.26%
33 24.57%
72 24.91%
73 39.25%
115 293

10.24%
30 30.03%
88 33.11%
97 26.62%
78 293

39.93%
117

35.15%
103

16.04%
47 8.87%
26 293

48.46%
142

25.26%
74 13.65%
40 12.63%
37 293

11.60%
34 23.21%
68 30.03%
88 35.15%
103 293

8.87%
26 21.84%
64 34.81%
102

34.47%
101 293

8.87%
26 27.30%
80 33.79%
99 30.03%
88 293

40.96%
120

34.47%
101

17.41%
51 7.17%
21 293

3.41%
10 11.95%
35 22.53%
66 62.12%
182 293
NOT

CONCERNED

SOMEWHAT

CONCERNED

MODERATELY

CONCERNED
VERY

CONCERNED
TOTAL
Climate Change
Dam Failure
Drought
Earthquake
Flooding
Landslides/Erosion/Debris
Flows
Land Subsidence (Sinkhole)
Levee Failure
Sea Level Rise
Severe Weather - Extreme
Heat
Severe Weather - Wind, Hail,
Lighting
Tsunami
Wildfire
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 5 / 19
Q2 What is the best way for you to receive information about how to make your home and the people in your home safer from natural disasters? Answered: 293 Skipped: 0
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 6 / 19
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Television
Radio
Newspaper
Cellphone Call
Cellphone Text
Home Phone
(Landline)
Social Media -
Facebook,...

County, City,
or Official...

Utility bill
Mail - Letter
or postcard
School/ School
District
Church/
Religious...

Community
Group or Clubs
Chamber of
Commerce
Outdoor
Advertising ...

Fire Station
Postings
Public Meetings
Other (please
specify)
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 7 / 19

16.04% 47

19.45% 57

27.65% 81

8.19% 24

51.19% 150

9.90% 29

23.89% 70

38.57% 113

15.02% 44

41.30% 121

3.41% 10

1.02% 3

10.58% 31

1.71% 5

9.90% 29

6.14% 18

24.23% 71

17.06% 50
Total Respondents: 293

ANSWER CHOICES RESPONSES
Television
Radio
Newspaper
Cellphone Call
Cellphone Text
Home Phone (Landline)
Social Media - Facebook, Twitter, Nextdoor
County, City, or Official Government website
Utility bill
Mail - Letter or postcard
School/ School District
Church/ Religious Institution
Community Group or Clubs
Chamber of Commerce
Outdoor Advertising - Billboards, Sandwich Boards, Bulletin Boards Fire Station Postings
Public Meetings
Other (please specify)
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 8 / 19

1.37% 4

19.45% 57

31.40% 92

47.78% 140
Q3 How concerned are you that a natural disaster could threaten your home or place of residence?
Answered: 293 Skipped: 0
TOTAL 293
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Not at all Somewhat Moderately Very Much

ANSWER CHOICES RESPONSES
Not at all
Somewhat
Moderately
Very Much
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 9 / 19
Q4 In the following List, Please check those activities that you or someone in your household, Completed, Plan to do in the near future, Have not done, or are Unable to do. (Please check one answer per activity).

Answered: 293 Skipped: 0

76.03%
222

9.59%
28 9.93%
29 1.03%
3 3.42%
10 292 1.46

67.47%
195

19.03%
55 9.69%
28 3.11%
9 0.69%
2 289 1.51

48.28%
140

32.76%
95 17.24%
50 1.38%
4 0.34%
1 290 1.73

62.12%
182

25.94%
76 10.92%
32 0.00%
0 1.02%
3 293 1.52

29.27%
84 9.41%
27 52.26%
150

4.88%
14 4.18%
12 287 2.45
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Completed. Planning to… Have not d… Unable to do.

I do not hav…
Attended
meetings or
received
written...

Talked with
family
members about
what to do...

Developed a
“Household/Fa
mily
Emergency...

Prepared a
“Disaster
Supply Kit”
(extra foo...

In the last
year, has
someone in
your...

COMPLETED. PLANNING
TO DO.

HAVE
NOT
DONE.

UNABLE
TO DO.

I DO NOT
HAVE
ENOUGH

INFORMATION
TO

COMPLETE
THIS TASK.

TOTAL WEIGHTED

AVERAGE
Attended meetings or received
written information on natural
disasters or emergency
preparedness.

Talked with family members
about what to do in case of a
disaster or emergency.

Developed a “Household/Family
Emergency Plan” in order to
decide what everyone would do
in the event of a disaster.

Prepared a “Disaster Supply Kit”
(extra food, water, batteries,
medications, first aid, and other
emergency supplies).

In the last year, has someone in
your household been trained in
First Aid or Cardio-Pulmonary
Resuscitation (CPR).
• • • •
1 •
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 10 / 19
Q5 Natural disasters can have a significant impact on a community, but planning for these events can help lessen the impact. The following statements will help us determine community priorities in planning for these hazards. Please tell us how important each one is to you? Answered: 293 Skipped: 0

61.94%
179

25.61%
74 8.30%
24 2.77%
8 1.38%
4 289 1.56

94.54%
277

4.78%
14 0.00%
0 0.34%
1 0.34%
1 293 1.07

48.12%
141

38.57%
113

8.53%
25 2.73%
8 2.05%
6 293 1.72

20.00%
58 46.90%
136

19.31%
56 9.31%
27 4.48%
13 290 2.31

78.35%
228

18.56%
54 2.75%
8 0.00%
0 0.34%
1 291 1.25

63.57%
185

23.37%
68 7.22%
21 3.44%
10 2.41%
7 291 1.58

66.55%
195

24.57%
72 6.14%
18 1.71%
5 1.02%
3 293 1.46

64.48%
187

24.48%
71 7.59%
22 2.07%
6 1.38%
4 290 1.51
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Very Import… Somewhat I… Neutral Not As Imp…
Not Import…
Protecti
ng
private
property
Protecti
ng
critical
facil...

Protecti
ng
natural
envir...

Protecti
ng
historic
al /...

Protecti
ng and
reducing
damag...

Preventi
ng
developm
ent i...

Promotin
g
cooperat
ion...

Strength
ening
emergenc
y...

VERY

IMPORTANT

SOMEWHAT

IMPORTANT

NEUTRAL NOT AS

IMPORTANT
NOT

IMPORTANT

TOTAL WEIGHTED

AVERAGE
Protecting private property
Protecting critical facilities
(hospitals, transportation
networks, fire stations)
Protecting natural
environment
Protecting historical / cultural
landmarks
Protecting and reducing
damage to utilities
Preventing development in
hazardous areas
Promoting cooperation
among public agencies,
citizens, non-profit
organizations and businesses
Strengthening emergency
services (police, fire,
ambulance)
• • • • •
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 11 / 19
Q6 Please provide your zip code
Answered: 290 Skipped: 3
94901
94903
94904
94912
94913
94914
94915
94920
94924
94925
94929
94930
94933
94937
94938
94939
94940
94941
94942
I
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 12 / 19
94942
94945
94946
94947
94948
94949
94950
94957
94960
94963
94964
94965
94966
94970
94971
94973
94974
94976
94977
94978
94979
Other (please
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 13 / 19
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Other (please
specify)•
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 14 / 19

6.21% 18

10.34% 30

3.10% 9

0.00% 0

0.00% 0

0.00% 0

0.00% 0

1.38% 4

0.69% 2

3.79% 11

0.00% 0

3.79% 11

0.34% 1

7.59% 22

0.69% 2

2.07% 6

2.76% 8

13.45% 39

0.00% 0

1.38% 4

1.38% 4

4.48% 13

0.00% 0

5.86% 17

4.83% 14

2.07% 6

5.52% 16

0.69% 2

0.00% 0

4.83% 14

0.00% 0

1.72% 5

ANSWER CHOICES RESPONSES
94901
94903
94904
94912
94913
94914
94915
94920
94924
94925
94929
94930
94933
94937
94938
94939
94940
94941
94942
94945
94946
94947
94948
94949
94950
94957
94960
94963
94964
94965
94966
94970
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 15 / 19

1.03% 3

0.69% 2

0.00% 0

0.00% 0

0.00% 0

0.00% 0

0.00% 0

9.31% 27
TOTAL 290
94971
94973
94974
94976
94977
94978
94979
Other (please specify)
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 16 / 19
Q7 Your City, Town, or Community Name
Answered: 290 Skipped: 3
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 17 / 19

85.37% 245

14.63% 42
Q8 Do you live within the limits of the specific City or Town listed in question #7?
Answered: 287 Skipped: 6
TOTAL 287
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Yes No

ANSWER CHOICES RESPONSES
Yes
No
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 18 / 19

1.03% 3

84.14% 244

14.14% 41

0.69% 2
Q9 Do you own, rent or share a home?
Answered: 290 Skipped: 3
TOTAL 290
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
None of the
above
Own Rent Shared Housing

ANSWER CHOICES RESPONSES
None of the above
Own
Rent
Shared Housing
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey 19 / 19

99.66% 291

0.34% 1
Q10 Do you have internet access at your home?
Answered: 292 Skipped: 1
TOTAL 292
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Yes No

ANSWER CHOICES RESPONSES
Yes
No
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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551
Public Outreach Survey Spanish
1 ~<;>U·N· TY OF a ~ ARIN ~
l ~<?U.N. TY OF
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Encuesta del Plan Local de Mitigaci6n de Riesgos MultiJurisdiccional del Condado de Marin en Espanol

1. lQue tan preocupado esta por los siguientes peligros en su comunidad? Moderadamente
No preocupado Algo preocupado preocupado Muy preocupado Cambia climatica 0 0 0 0
Falla de la presa 0 0 0 0
Sequia 0 0 0 0
Terremata 0 0 0 0
lnundaci6n 0 0 0 0
Deslizamientas
de tierra/flujas de 0 0 0 0
escombros
Falla del dique 0 0 0 0
Aumento del 0 0 0 0 nivel del mar
Clima severo -
Calar 0 0 0 0 extrema
Clima severa -
vienta, graniza, 0 0 0 0
iluminaci6n
Hundimiento de
la tierra 0 0 0 0
(sumidero)
Tsunami 0 0 0 0
Wildfire (Fuego) 0 0 0 0
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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2. lCual es la mejor manera de recibir informaci6n sobre c6mo hacer que su hogar y las personas en su hogar esten mas seguros de las desastres naturales? D Television
D Radio
D peri6dico
D Llamada de telefono celular
D Aumento del nivel del mar
D Telefono residencial (fijo)
D Redes sociales - Facebook, Twitter, Nextdoor
D Sitio web del condado, la ciudad o el gobierno oficial D Factura
D Correo - Carta o postal
D Escuela / Distrito Escolar
D Iglesia/ lnstituci6n religiosa
D Grupo comunitario o clubes
D Camara de Comercio
D Publicidad exterior - vallas publicitarias, tableros de sandwiches, tablones de anuncios D Publicaciones en la estaci6n de bomberos
D Reuniones publicas
D Otro (especiffquese)
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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a
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3. lQue tan preocupado esta de que un desastre natural pueda amenazar su hogar o lugar de residencia?
0 Denada
Q Atgo
0 Moderadamente
0 Mucho
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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4. En la siguiente lista, verifique aquellas actividades que usted o alguien en su hogar, Completado, planea hacer en el future cercano, no ha hecho o no puede hacer. (Marque una respuesta por actividad).

Asisti6 a
reuniones o
recibi6
informaci6n
escrita sobre
desastres
naturales o
preparaci6n para
emergencias.

Habl6 con los
miembros de la
familia sobre que
hacer en caso de
un desastre o
emergencia.

Desarroll6 un
"Plan de
Emergencia para
el Hogar /
Familia" para
decidir que
harian todos en
caso de un
desastre.

Prepar6 un "Kit
de suministros
para desastres"
(alimentos
adicionales, agua,
baterias,
medicamentos,
primeros auxilios
y otros
suministros de
emergencia).

En el ultimo ano,
lalguien en su
hogar ha recibido
capacitaci6n en
primeros auxilios
o reanimaci6n
cardiopulmonar
(RCP)?
Completado
0 0
0 0
0 Plan para hacer No hecho
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
Notengo
suficiente
informaci6n para
completar esta
Nose puede hacer tarea.
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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5. Los desastres naturales pueden tener un impacto significativo en una comunidad, pero la planificaci6n de estos eventos puede ayudar a disminuir el impacto. Las siguientes declaraciones nos ayudaran a determinar las prioridades de la comunidad en la planificaci6n de estos peligros. Per favor, d1ganos que tan importante es cada uno para usted.

Protecci6n de la
propiedad
privada
Protecci6n de
i nstalaciones
criticas
(hospitales, redes
de transporte,
estaciones de
bomberos)
Protecci6n del
media ambiente
natural
Protecci6n de
monumentos
hist6ricos /
culturales
Protecci6n y
reducci6n de
danos a las
servicios publicos
Prevenci6n del
desarrollo en
zonas peligrosas
Promover la
cooperaci6n
entre organismos
publicos,
ciudadanos,
organizaciones
sin animo de
lucro y empresas
Fortalecimiento
de las servicios
de emergencia
(policfa,
bomberos,
ambulancia)
Muy importante Algo importante Neutral
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
No es tan
importante
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
No es importante
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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6. Por favor, proporcione su c6digo postal
0 94901
0 94903
0 94904
0 94912
0 94913
0 94914
0 94915
0 94920
0 94924
0 94925
0 94929
0 94930
0 94933
0 94937
0 94938
0 94939
0 94940
0 94941
0 94942
0 94945
0 Otro (especifiquese)

7. El nombre de tu ciudad, pueblo o comunidad
0 94946
0 94947
0 94948
0 94949
0 94950
0 94957
0 94960
0 94963
0 94964
0 94965
0 94966
0 94970
0 94971
0 94973
0 94974
0 94976
0 94977
0 94978
0 94979
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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8. \lVive dentro de las Hmites de la ciudad o pueblo especffico mencionado en la pregunta # 7?
Q Sf
Q No

9. lEs propietario, alquila o comparte una casa?
0 Poseer
0 Alquilar
0 Vivienda compartida

10. lTienes acceso a Internet en tu casa?
0 sr
Q No
Si tiene alguna pregunta sobre esta encuesta, envie un correo electronico a [email protected]
2023 Marin County Operational Area
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~

12. CITY OF SAN RAFAEL

COMMUNITY PROFILE
Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional
Hazard Mitigation Plan
2023
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The City of San Rafael and Preparative Consulting would like to thank those collaborators and partners who participated in the planning and development of this document.

The official Marin County Operational Area (OA) Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (MJHMP) Steering Committee provided the oversight and dedication to this project that was required and without their commitment; this project would not be possible.

As with any working plan, this document represents planning strategies and guidance as understood as of the date of this plan’s release. This plan identifies natural hazards and risks and identifies the hazard mitigation strategy to reduce vulnerability and make the communities of the City of San Rafael more disaster resistant and sustainable. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE .................................................................... 12-1 Acknowledgements......................................................................................................... 12-3 Table of Contents ............................................................................................................ 12-5 Section 1.0: Introduction................................................................................................. 12-7

1.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................ 12-7

1.2 Planning Process ................................................................................................... 12-7

1.2.1 Steering Committee Members (Jurisdictional Representatives)....................... 12-8

1.2.2 Steering Committee Planning Process............................................................. 12-9

1.2.3 Coordination with stakeholders and agencies................................................... 12-9

1.2.4 Public Engagement ........................................................................................ 12-16

1.3 Overview and History ........................................................................................... 12-24

1.4 Government ......................................................................................................... 12-28

1.5 Weather and Climate ........................................................................................... 12-28

1.6 Demographics...................................................................................................... 12-29

1.7 Social Vulnerability and Risk ................................................................................ 12-33

1.8 Economy and Tax Base ....................................................................................... 12-50

1.9 Critical Facilities ................................................................................................... 12-51

1.10 Historical Properties............................................................................................ 12-57

2.0: Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment......................................................... 12-60

2.1 Climate Change................................................................................................. 12-62

2.2 Hazards ............................................................................................................... 12-70

2.2.1 Debris Flows.................................................................................................. 12-71

2.2.2 Drought.......................................................................................................... 12-77

2.2.3 Earthquake.................................................................................................... 12-79

2.2.4 Flooding......................................................................................................... 12-85

2.2.5 Land Subsidence/Sinkholes........................................................................... 12-96

2.2.6 Levee Failure................................................................................................. 12-99

2.2.7 Sea Level Rise ............................................................................................ 12-102

2.2.8 Severe Weather – Extreme Heat ................................................................. 12-108

2.2.9 Severe Weather – High Wind and Tornado ................................................. 12-110

2.2.10 Tsunami...................................................................................................... 12-113

2.2.11 Wildfire ...................................................................................................... 12-115 Section 3.0: Mitigation Strategy ................................................................................. 12-128 l ~'?UN. TY OF
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3.1 Changes in Development................................................................................... 12-128

3.2 Capability Assessment....................................................................................... 12-129

3.2.1 Regulatory Capabilities................................................................................ 12-130

3.2.2 Administrative and Technical Capabilities.................................................... 12-136

3.2.3 Fiscal Capabilities........................................................................................ 12-138

3.2.4 Community Outreach................................................................................... 12-139

3.2.5 Participation in the National Flood Insurance Program ................................ 12-140

3.3 Mitigation Goals ................................................................................................. 12-143

3.4 Status of Previous Mitigation Actions ................................................................. 12-145

3.5 Hazard Mitigation Actions................................................................................... 12-147

3.6 Progress in Local Mitigation Efforts .................................................................... 12-155

3.7 Plan Integration.................................................................................................. 12-155

3.8 Future Development Trends............................................................................... 12-156 Section 4.0: Plan Review, Evaluation, and Implementation...................................... 12-159

4.1 Plan Adoption..................................................................................................... 12-159

4.2 Plan Monitoring .................................................................................................. 12-159

4.3 Plan Evaluation .................................................................................................. 12-160

4.4 Plan Update ....................................................................................................... 12-160 Figures and Tables...................................................................................................... 12-162 Acronyms/Abbreviations ............................................................................................ 12-165 l ~'?UN. TY OF
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CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
SECTION 1.0: INTRODUCTION

1.1 INTRODUCTION
The City of San Rafael, Community Profile has been prepared in conjunction with the Marin County OA Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (MJHMP), establishing an interjurisdictional process for the development and implementation of effective hazard mitigation strategies in association with identified hazards that pose real or potential threats to the City of San Rafael.

1.2 PLANNING PROCESS
The majority of the Marin County OA is unincorporated sparsely populated rural and protected lands. Most of the 262,000 county population is consolidated into the Eastern portion of the county. The Marin County OA MJHMP Steering Committee and broader Planning Team approached the development of the Marin County OA MJHMP and the associated jurisdictional and district profiles from a coordinated and collaborative planning and public engagement unity of effort.

The Steering Committee felt a unified effort, led by the County OEM, would be the most effective approach for this planning process. This approach allowed the small jurisdictions and districts with limited staffing and resources to take advantage of the combined efforts of the County and other jurisdictions to reach a broader segment of each of their own populations and do so in a way to ensure greater equity and inclusion of the public in this planning process.

Extensive and coordinated public outreach was done involving all participating jurisdictions and districts with an eye towards equity, inclusion, openness, accessibility, and ensuring they meet the population where they live, work, or recreate to provide the public convenience of access and ease of participation in this planning process.

The Marin County OA is very different from most California Counties in that the populated portion of the County where the jurisdictions and district’s planning areas are located has the same climate, similar topography, and are exposed to many of the same hazards. Only three jurisdictions, Larkspur, Ross, and San Anselmo, are not coastal jurisdictions and are not impacted by Tsunami or Sea Level Rise.

This unity of effort approach allowed the Steering Committee to establish a more robust Planning Team representing local, countywide, regional, state, and federal stakeholders servicing the Marin County OA planning area. These stakeholders were in a unique position to provide informed and specific information and recommendations on hazard mitigation goals and actions, as well as population needs and social vulnerability for each of the jurisdictional and district planning areas. This united effort allowed the planning team to attend fewer meetings than they would have been required to attend if they were required to attend separate meetings for each participating jurisdiction and district. The reduced number of meetings allowed the planning team the opportunity and time to provide more detailed and thoughtful contributions to the planning effort.

In addition to providing representation on the coordinated Marin County OA Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Steering Committee, the City of San Rafael involved additional internal planning team to support the broader planning process. The City of San Rafael jurisdictional representatives for the coordinated Marin County OA Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plans Steering Committee and the Planning Team Members are represented below. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE

1.2.1 STEERING COMMITTEE MEMBERS (JURISDICTIONAL REPRESENTATIVES) Primary Point of Contact Alternate Point of Contact
Quinn Gardner, Deputy Director of
Emergency Management
Manny Albano, San Rafael Fire Community
Disaster Preparedness Coordinator
Telephone: 415-726-1960 Telephone: 415-256-5508
Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected] This annex was developed by the primary point of contact with assistance from the members of the local mitigation planning team listed in Table 1 and Table 2.

Table 1: City of San Rafael Local Hazard Mitigation Planning Team Members Jurisdiction Name Title/ Department Phone Email
San Rafael Quinn
Gardner
Deputy Director of
Emergency
Management
415-726-1960 [email protected]
San Rafael Cory Bytof Sustainability
Program Manager 415-485-3407 [email protected] San Rafael Joanna
Kwok Senior Civil Engineer 415-485-3408 [email protected] San Rafael April Miller Public Works Director 415-485-3355 [email protected] San Rafael Kate
Hagemann
Climate Adaptation &
Resilience Planner 415-256-5534 [email protected] San Rafael Manny
Albano
San Rafael Fire
Community Disaster
Preparedness
Coordinator
415-256-5508 [email protected]
Table 275: City of San Rafael Local Hazard Mitigation Planning Team Members This 2023 Marin County OA MJHMP is a comprehensive update of the 2018 Marin County OA MJHMP. The planning area and participating jurisdictions and organizations were defined to consist of the unincorporated County of Marin, five special districts, and the eleven incorporated jurisdictions to include the City of San Rafael. All participating jurisdictions are within the geographical boundary of the Marin County OA and have jurisdictional authority within this planning area.

The Steering Committee led the planning process based on the contribution and input from the whole community stakeholders who identified the community’s concerns, values, and priorities.

The Steering Committee met and reviewed the mitigation recommendations and strategies identified within this plan. Each participating local jurisdiction established a mechanism for the development and implementation of jurisdictional mitigation projects, as identified within this plan and associated locally specific supporting documents. As deemed necessary and appropriate, participating jurisdictions will organize local mitigation groups to facilitate and administer internal activities.

The Steering Committee assisted with the planning process in the following ways:
• Attending and participating in the Steering Committee meetings. • Identification of potential mitigation actions.
• Updating the status of mitigation actions from the 2018 Marin County OA MJHMP. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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• Collecting and providing other requested data (as available). • Making decisions on plan process and content.
• Reviewing and providing comments on plan drafts; including annexes. • Informing the public, local officials, and other interested stakeholders about the planning process and providing opportunity for them to be involved and provide comment.
• Coordinating, and participating in the public input process. • Coordinating the formal adoption of the plan by the governing boards.

1.2.2 STEERING COMMITTEE PLANNING PROCESS
The Steering Committee met monthly to develop the plan. Email notifications were sent out to each Steering Committee member to solicit their participation in the Steering Committee meetings. The meetings were conducted using a Zoom platform videoconferencing. Meeting attendees signed in using the chat feature to record their attendance.

The Steering Committee agreed to make and pass plan-based general policy recommendations by a vote of a simple majority of those members present. The Steering Committee will also seek input on future hazard mitigation programs and strategies from the mitigation planning team by focusing on the following:
• Identify new hazard mitigation strategies to be pursued on a state and regional basis, and review the progress and implementation of those programs already identified. • Review the progress of the Hazard Mitigation program and bring forth community input on new strategies.
• Coordinate with and support the efforts of the Marin County OEM to promote and identify resources and grant money for implementation of recommended hazard mitigation Strategies within local jurisdictions and participating public agencies.

During the planning process, the Steering Committee communicated through videoconferencing, face-to-face meetings, email, telephone conversations, and through the County website. The County website included information for all stakeholders on the MJHMP update process. Hannah Tarling of the Marin County Office of Emergency Management and Preparative Consulting established a Microsoft 365 SharePoint folder which allowed the Steering Committee members and Marin OEM and Preparative Consulting to share planning documents and provide a format for the planning partners to submit completed documents and access other planning related documents and forms. Draft documents were also posted on this platform and the Marin County OES website so that the Steering Committee members and the public could easily access and review them.

1.2.3 COORDINATION WITH STAKEHOLDERS AND AGENCIES
Opportunities for involvement in the planning process must be provided to neighboring communities, local and regional agencies involved in hazard mitigation, agencies with authority to regulate development, businesses, academia, and other private and nonprofit interests (44 CFR, Section 201.6(b)(2)).

Early in the planning process, the Marin County and City of San Rafael Steering Committee reached out to the following Local and Regional Agencies involved in hazard mitigation activities to invite them to participate in this planning process as a member of the Planning Team. These individuals work with Marin County and the City of San Rafael communities l ~'?UN. TY OF
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CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
and could provide subject matter expertise and relevant information to the planning process regarding the community history, hazard risk, vulnerability, and impact, mitigations efforts, community needs, demographics, and social vulnerability, economic concerns, ecology, and other community services and needs.

The Marin County and City of San Rafael Steering also determined that data collection, risk assessment analyses, mitigation strategy development, and plan approval would be greatly enhanced by inviting other local, state and federal agencies and organizations to participate in the process. Based on their involvement in hazard mitigation planning, their landowner status in the County, the City of San Rafael and/or their interest as a neighboring jurisdiction, representatives from the following groups were invited to participate on the Planning Team:

Eighty-five planning partners participated in this update, as listed in Table 2.

Table 2: 2023 MJHMP Local Planning Team Members
No. Agency Point of Contact Title
1 Belvedere Laurie Nilsen Emergency Svs, Coord.
2 Belvedere Rebecca Markwick Planning Director
3 Belvedere Samie Malakiman Associate Planner
4 Bolinas Com. PUD Jennifer Blackman General Manager
5 Bolinas Fire Protection
Dist.

Stephen Marcotte Asst. Fire Chief
6 Central Marin Fire District Matt Cobb Battalion Chief/Fire 7 Central Marin Fire District Ezra Colman Battalion Chief/Fire 8 Central Marin Fire District Rubin Martin Fire Chief
9 Corte Madera RJ Suokko Director of Public Works
10 Corte Madera Chris Good Senior Civil Engineer
11 Sanitary District No. 2 RJ Suokko DPW
12 Fairfax Loren Umbertis Public Works Director
13 Fairfax Mark Lockaby Building Official
14 Larkspur Dan Schwarz City Manager
15 Larkspur Julian Skinner Public Works Director/ City Engineer 16 Larkspur Robert Quinn Public Works Superintendent
17 Las Gallinas Valley
Sanitary District Dale McDonald Administrative Services Mgr. 18 Las Gallinas Valley
Sanitary District Greg Pease Safety Manager
19 County of Marin Steven Torrence OEM Director
20 County of Marin Hannah Tarling Emergency Management Coordinator 21 County of Marin Chris Reilly OEM Project Manager
22 County of Marin Woody BakerCohn Senior Emergency Management Coordinator 23 County of Marin Leslie Lacko Community Development Agency 24 County of Marin Hannah Lee Senior Civil Engineer
25 County of Marin Felix Meneau Project Mgr./ FCWCD
26 County of Marin Julia Elkin Department of Public Works 27 County of Marin Beb Skye Department of Public Works
28 County of Marin Scott Alber Battalion Chief, Marin County Fire Dept. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 2: 2023 MJHMP Local Planning Team Members
No. Agency Point of Contact Title
29 County of Marin Lisa Santora Deputy Public Health Officer, Marin Health & Human Services
30 County of Marin Koblick, Kathleen Marin Health & Human Services 31 County of Marin Amber Davis Public Health Preparedness 32 Mill Valley Patrick Kelly Department of Public Works 33 Mill Valley Ahmed A Aly Project Manager
34 Mill Valley Jared Barrilleaux Deputy Director of Engineering 35 Mill Valley Daisy Allen Senior Planner
36 Southern Marin Fire
District Tom Welch Deputy Chief/South Marin Fire Dist.
37 Southern Marin Fire
District Marshall Nau Fire Marshall/South Marin Fire Dist. 38 North Marin Water District Eric Miller Asst. General Manager 39 North Marin Water District Tim Fuette Senior Engineer 40 Novato David Dammuller Engineering Services Mgr.
41 Novato Dave Jeffries Consultant/JPSC
42 Ross Richard Simonitch Public Works Director
43 San Anselmo Sean Condry Public Works & Building Director 44 San Anselmo Erica Freeman Building Official
45 San Anselmo Scott Schneider Asst. PW Director
46 San Rafael Quinn Gardner Deputy Director of Emergency Management 47 San Rafael Cory Bytof Sustainability Program Manager 48 San Rafael Joanna Kwok Senior Civil Engineer
49 San Rafael Kate Hagemann Climate Adaptation & Resilience Planner 50 Sausalito Andrew Davidson Senior Engineer/ DPW
51 Sausalito Kevin McGowan Director of Public Works
52 Sausalito Brandon Phipps Planning Director
53 Tiburon Sam Bonifacio Assistant Planner
54 Tiburon Dina Tasini Director of Community Development 55 Tiburon Laurie Nilsen Emergency Svs, Coord.

Special Districts & Partner Agencies
56 County of Marin Disability
Access Program Laney Davidson Disability Access Manager/ ADA Coordinator 57 County of Marin Disability
Access Program Peter Mendoza Disability Access Manager/ ADA Coordinator 58 Emergency Medical
Services Chris Le Baudour EMS Authority
59 Fire Departments Jason Weber Fire Chiefs
60 Golden Gate Bridge,
Highway & Transportation
District
Daniel Rodriguez Security, Emergency Management Specialist 61 Golden Gate Bridge,
Highway & Transportation
District
Dennis Mulligan General Manager & CEO,
62 Marin City Climate
Resilience and Health
Justice
Terrie Green Executive Director
63 Marin Center for
Independent Living Peter Mendoza Director of Advocacy and Special Projects l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 2: 2023 MJHMP Local Planning Team Members
No. Agency Point of Contact Title
64 Marin City Community
Services District Juanita Edwards Interim General Manager 65 Marin County Community
Development Agency Leslie Lacko Community Development Agency 66 Marin County Flood
Control & Water
Conservation District
Garry Lion Advisory Board Member
67 Marin County Office of
Education Michael Grant Director, Marin County Office of Education 68 Marin County Parks Max Korten General Manager and Director 69 PG&E Mark Van Gorder Government Affairs, North Bay
70 PG&E Ron Karlen PG&E Public Safety Specialist
71 Sonoma Marin Area Rail
Transit (SMART) Jennifer McGill Chief of Police
72 Transportation Authority of
Marin (TAM) Anne Richmond Executive Director
73 Willow Creek School Itoco Garcia Superintendent
State Partners
74 Cal OES - ESC Sarah Finnigan Cal OES Emergency Services Coordinator 75 Cal OES, Division of
Safety of Dams Danielle Jessup Coordinator/ Dam Safety Planning Division 76 California Department of
Public Health
Svetlana
Smorodinsky
Disaster Epidemiologist/ Environmental &
Occupational Emergency Preparedness
Team
77 California Department of
Public Health
Patrice
Chamberlain Health Program Specialist II
78 California Department of
Water Resources Julia Ekstrom, PhD Supervisor, Urban UnitWater Use Efficiency Branch 79 Caltrans Trang Hoang Senior Transportation Engr/ Office of Advance Planning
80 Caltrans Markus Lansdowne Caltrans D4 Emergency Coordinator Federal Partners
81 Army Corps of Engineers Jessica Ludy Flood Risk Management, Equity, and Environmental Justice
82 National Park Service Stephen Kasierski OneTam
83 US Coast Guard LT Tony Solares Sector SF Waterways Safety Branch 84 US Coast Guard MST1 Brandon M.

Ward Emergency Management Specialist
85 US Coast Guard LT William K.

Harris USCG SEC San Francisco
Table 276: 2023 MJHMP Local Planning Team Members
Several opportunities were provided for the groups listed above to participate in the City of San Rafael’s planning process. At the beginning of the planning process, invitations were extended to these groups to actively participate on the Planning Team. Participants from these groups assisted in the process by attending several videoconferencing meetings where hazard vulnerability and risk were discussed along with hazard mitigation strategies and actions.

Planning Team members provided data and other applicable information directly as requested in meetings, emails, telephone calls, videoconferencing, worksheets, or through data contained l ~'?UN. TY OF
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on their websites or as maintained by their offices. This information was used to develop hazard vulnerability and risk profiles along with mitigation actions.

These key agencies, organizations, and advisory groups received meeting announcements, agendas, and minutes by e-mail throughout the plan update process. They supported the effort by attending meetings or providing feedback on issues. All the agencies were provided with an opportunity to comment on this plan update and were provided with a copy of the plan to review and offer edits and revisions. They were also provided access to the Marin County OEM hazard mitigation plan website to review all planning documents and hazard mapping tools.

Each was sent an e-mail message informing them that draft portions of the plan were available for review. In addition, the complete draft plan was sent to the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES) and FEMA Region IX for a pre-adoption review to ensure program compliance.

In addition, through the public meetings conducted at the beginning of the planning process, members of the planning team, the public, and other key stakeholders were invited to participate in the planning process through public outreach activities.

Further as part of the public outreach process, all planning areas engaged in public outreach and education by providing information on their website or though press releases directing the public to the main Marin County OEM website that provided coordinated and detailed public information of the planning process and how the public could participate. All planning areas were invited to attend the public meetings and to review and comment on the plan prior to submittal to Cal OES and FEMA. Additional public outreach action is detailed in the 1.2.4 PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT section of this annex.

The following planning meetings were held with the planning team:

Table 3: City of San Rafael & Marin County OA MJHMP Planning Meetings No. Date Attendees Meeting Planning Meeting Objectives
1 10/26/22 Steering
Committee
Project Overview
Meeting
• Plan Overview – Steps and
Timeline
• Planning Process
• Steering Committee Role
2 11/9/22 Steering
Committee
Steering
Committee
Kickoff Meeting
• Hazard Mitigation and
Emergency Management
Overview
• Plan Overview – Steps and
Timeline
• Community Overview
• Planning Process
• Hazard Identification and Risk
Assessment
• Stakeholders and Planning Team
Identification
3 12/6/22
Steering
Committee,
Planning
Team
Planning Team
Kickoff Meeting
• Hazard Mitigation and
Emergency Management
Overview
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Table 3: City of San Rafael & Marin County OA MJHMP Planning Meetings No. Date Attendees Meeting Planning Meeting Objectives
• Plan Overview – Steps and
Timeline
• Community Overview
• Planning Process
• Hazard Identification and Risk
Assessment
4 02/07/23 Steering
Committee
Steering
Committee
Hazard Profile
Meeting
• Jurisdictional Letter of
Commitment
• Identify Planning Team Members
• Hazard Risk Ranking
Worksheets
• Jurisdictional Profiles
• Jurisdictional/ District Capability
Assessment
• 2018 Hazard Mitigation Project
Status Update
5 03/07/23
Steering
Committee/
Planning
Team
Planning Team
Public Outreach
Strategy Meeting
• Planning Goals and Objectives
• Hazard Risk Ranking
Worksheets
• Jurisdictional Profiles
• Jurisdictional/ District Capability
Assessment
• 2018 Hazard Mitigation Project
Status Update
• Public Outreach Strategy
6 04/04/23 Steering
Committee
Steering
Committee
Meeting
• HMGP (DR-4683) Funding
Timeline
• Public Outreach
• Planning Goals and Objectives
• Jurisdictional Hazard
Vulnerability Maps
• Jurisdictional Profiles
• Jurisdictional/ District Capability
Assessment
• 2018 Hazard Mitigation Project
Status Update
7 04/13/23
General
Public,
Steering
Committee,
Planning
Team
Public Outreach
Town Hall
Meeting #1
(In-person and
virtual on Zoom)
Thursday, 6:00
pm to 7:30 pm
Marin County
BOS Chambers
• Meeting translated live in
Spanish with 29 language
subtitle capability for virtual
participants.
• Meeting also interpreted in
American Sign Language
• Meeting recorded and posted on
Hazard Mitigation website.
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Table 3: City of San Rafael & Marin County OA MJHMP Planning Meetings No. Date Attendees Meeting Planning Meeting Objectives
• Hazard Mitigation and
Emergency Management
Overview
• Planning Process
• Hazard Identification and Risk
Assessment
• Planning Goals and Objectives
• Hazard Mitigation Projects
• Community Input
8 04/29/23
General
Public,
Steering
Committee,
Planning
Team
Public Outreach
Town Hall
Meeting #2
(In-person and
virtual on Zoom)
Saturday, 10:00
am to 11:30 am
Marin County
Health and
Wellness Center
• Meeting translated live in
Spanish with 29 language
subtitle capability for virtual
participants.
• Meeting also interpreted in
American Sign Language
• Meeting recorded and posted on
Hazard Mitigation website.
• Hazard Mitigation and
Emergency Management
Overview
• Planning Process
• Hazard Identification and Risk
Assessment
• Planning Goals and Objectives
• Hazard Mitigation Projects
• Community Input
9 05/31/23 Steering
Committee
Steering
Committee
Hazard Ranking
Meeting
• HMGP (DR-4683) Funding
Timeline
• Public Outreach Status
• Jurisdictional Hazard
Vulnerability Maps
• OEM Overview of Hazard Maps
and Marin Maps
• Marin Co. MJHMP Risk
Assessment Tool Overview
• 2018 Hazard Mitigation Project
Status Update
• Hazard Working Groups
10 06/27/23
Steering
Committee,
Planning
Team
Planning Team
Meeting
• HMGP (DR-4683) & BRIC Grant
Funding Timeline
• Public Outreach Status
• Jurisdictional Hazard Risk
Assessment Tool
• OEM Overview of Hazard Maps
and Marin Maps
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Table 3: City of San Rafael & Marin County OA MJHMP Planning Meetings No. Date Attendees Meeting Planning Meeting Objectives
• Marin County OA Hazards over
the Last 5-Years
• 2018 Hazard Mitigation Project
Status Update
• 2023 Hazard Mitigation
Projects/Capital Improvement
Projects
• Hazard Working Groups
11 07/01/23-
09/01/23
Steering
Committee
Members
Steering
Committee
Members Plan
Development
Sessions
• Individual phone or conference
calls with planning jurisdictions
and districts to answer specific
questions and assist them in
developing their profile annex.
12 11/27/23
Steering
Committee,
Planning
Team
Planning Team
Meeting
• Presentation and review of the
Draft Marin County OA MJHMP
and Jurisdictional/District
Annexes
13 11/28/23
General
Public
Public Outreach
Presentation on
Marin County
Office of
Emergency
Management
Website
• Presentation and review of the
Draft Marin County OA MJHMP
and Jurisdictional/District
Annexes.
• Opportunity for public comment
and questions and answers.

Table 277: City of San Rafael & Marin County OA MJHMP Planning Meetings

1.2.4 PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT
Early discussions with the Marin County OEM established the initial plan for public engagement to ensure a meaningful and inclusive public process with a focus on equity and accessible to the whole community. The Public Outreach efforts mirrored the Planning Team approach with a unified effort, led by the County OEM, involving all participating jurisdictions and districts. Public outreach for this plan update began at the beginning of the plan development process with a detailed press release informing the community of the purpose of the hazard mitigation planning process for the Marin County OA planning area and to invite the public to participate in the process.

Public involvement activities for this plan update were conducted by the County and all participating jurisdictions and districts and included press releases; website postings; a community survey; stakeholder and public meetings; and the collection of public and stakeholder comments on the draft plan which was posted on the County website. Information provided to the public included an overview of the mitigation status and successes resulting from implementation of the 2018 plan as well as information on the processes, new risk assessment data, and proposed mitigation strategies for the plan update. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Equity and Whole Community Approach
The Marin County OEM and the Steering Committee prioritized equity and engagement of the whole community in the development of the Marin County OA MJHMP by establishing a framework with key actions for each step of the planning process. Elements of the equity approach included:

Engaging hard-to-reach populations
This effort was to ensure the greatest equity and access to the public to enable participation in the process. The Marin County OEM outreach strategy is to “meet people where they are.” The Town Hall meetings were conducted at different familiar locations within the county where people could easily access them and were conducted on both a weekday and weekend, and in the evening and during the daytime. The meetings were offered in-person with a virtual broadcast using Zoom videoconferencing and streamed live on Marin County OEM Facebook account. After the meeting, Marin County OEM uploaded the recorded meeting to their website to allow the public on demand access to the meeting.

Translation and Interpretation Services
The survey and outreach materials were provided in both English and Spanish to improve accessibility among populations with limited English proficiency. The website uses Google Translate for accessibility in multiple languages. Interpretation services were offered for both town hall meetings. Each town hall meeting included live Spanish translation and subtitles, Live American Sign Language (ASL/CDI) interpretation, the ability for the Zoom videoconferencing attendee to activate subtitles in 29 different languages, and vision accessible PowerPoint slide.

Three stakeholder and public meetings were held, two at the beginning of the plan development process and one prior to finalizing the updated plan. Where appropriate, stakeholder and public comments and recommendations were incorporated into the final plan, including the sections that address mitigation goals and strategies. Specifically, public comments were obtained during the plan development process and prior to plan finalization.

All press releases and website postings are on file with the Marin County OEM. Public meetings were advertised in a variety of ways to maximize outreach efforts to both targeted groups and to the public at large. Advertisement mechanisms for these meetings and for involvement in the overall MJHMP development process include:
• Development and publishing of an MJHMP public outreach article • Providing press releases to local newspapers and radio stations • Posting meeting announcements on the local County MJHMP website • Email to established email lists
• Personal phone calls
The public outreach activities were conducted with participation from and on behalf of all jurisdictions participating in this plan.

The Steering Committee has made the commitment to periodically bring this plan before the public through public meetings and community posting so that citizens may make input as strategies and implementation actions change. Public meetings will continue to be held twice a year after the first and third MJHMP meetings. Public meetings will continue to be stand-alone meetings but may also follow a council meeting or other official government meeting. The l ~'?UN. TY OF
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CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
public will continue to be invited to public meetings via social media messaging, newspaper invitations, and through the website for each jurisdiction participating in the plan. Each jurisdiction is responsible for assuring that their citizenry is informed when deemed appropriate by the Steering Committee.

WEBSITE
At the beginning of the plan update process, Marin County OEM established a hazard mitigation website https://emergency.marincounty.org/pages/lhmp on behalf of all the planning areas to ensure consistent messaging and information, to keep the public posted on plan development milestones, and to solicit relevant input. The website also provided information on signing up for Alert Marin, provided detailed information about the hazard mitigation process and plan development, provided a URL and QR code link to the survey in both English and Spanish, and provided information about upcoming town hall meetings. (See Figure 1) The site’s address was publicized in all press releases, surveys and public town hall meetings. Each planning partner also established a link on their own agency website.

Information on the plan development process, the Steering Committee, a link to the Hazard Mitigation survey, and drafts of the plan were made available to the public on the site for the public review period. The County of Marin intends to keep a website active after the plan’s completion to keep the public informed about successful mitigation projects and future plan updates.
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CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Figure 552: Marin County OEM MJHMP Website and San Rafael Public Outreach l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e ___ J MAR:'1N Emer gency: Portal Get Alerted Stay Informed Weather Prepare COVI D-19 More - '!# C) Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation
Update
■ The various communities and service providers within
Marin County are working together to update our Marin
County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan. As
part of this update process, we are asking for
community Insight and Input.

NATURAL HAZARDS
Loca\lon
[.>.tent

1.,.\a&nlludc/Strength)
Pn!\'IOUS Occvrrcnces
FutureProbabll,ty
hltpi:.//ffMf9ffoCY.1NOncounty.rxg/r-Jft/alefu
City of San Rafael Offi1ce of Em:e rgenc.y Se.rvioes IISI EOC San Rafael • Edited Just now
RISK

COMMUNITY ASSETS
Bu,11 Et,\.'ltOOITlt!flt
Nal.Ufal Enwonment
Econom,
Ev e ry f ew years our commun· y u pdates th e Local H azard M itJig ati on Plan (l!...HMP). T his year. o ur p lan has b een d eveloped alon g side oth er County jurisdict io ns. T he pl an p resents proj ects focused o n reduciing t h e im pacts o f n atura l h azards lilke, sea !le vel rise \'tliilldfi1res. fl oods and m o re. Community is invited to provide feedback.

Use the int e racti,v e m a p o n Em ergency.M a rinGounty.org/pages/mitJigati o n to see the pote ntial impact o f n atural ha zards in o ur area.

Lo ol< through t h e prop osed proj ects li,sted.

D o th ese projects reflect community n eeds? Let u s llmow by fillling out the survey.

All tlh:e plan s, an int e ractive m ap, an d m o re is availabl'e at https://e m erg ency.marincounty.org/ pages/mitigation
Cada cie rto t iempo se actJua'liza e Plan Local de M it igaci6n de Ri esgos (LHMP). El plan presenta proyectos c.en trados e n reduair el i mpacto d e p eligros naturales com o ell aumento de'I nivel d el m,ar, las incend ios fo r,estales, las inundaciones y m as. Se le pide a la comunidad que d e su o p ini6n.

U tilice ,e'I m apa interactiv o en Ernergency.MarinCounty.org/pages/mitigation p ara ver e'I impacto pot em:iial d e la s pelligros natural es e n su are a.

Re vise Pa lista d e p roy ectos propuestos.
i Reflej an e.stos p roy ectos las n ecesidades de su v ecindario? Dajen os sab er llenando I a en cu est a.

Se le p id e a la comunidad q u e cfe su opinion
Em ergen cy.Mari nCounty.o rg/pa ges/m it igation
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-20

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE

PUBLIC MEETINGS
Two separate Marin County OA MJHMP Public Town Hall Meeting were conducted at different locations within the County, on different days of the week and during different times of the day. This effort was to ensure the greatest equity and access by the public to enable participation in the process. The Marin County OEM outreach strategy is to “meet people where they are.” Each Town Hall Meeting included, live Spanish translation and subtitles, Live American Sign Language (ASL/CDI) interpretation, the ability for the Zoom videoconferencing attendee to activate subtitles in to 28 different languages, and vision accessible PowerPoint slide.

The first Town Hall Meeting was conducted on Thursday, April 13, 2023, from 6:00 pm to 7:30 pm, at the Marin County Board of Supervisors Chambers, Marin County Civic Center, 3501 Civic Center Drive, Room #330 San Rafael, CA 94903. The in-person meeting was also broadcast virtually using Zoom videoconferencing and streamed live on Marin County OEM Facebook account. Each of the jurisdictions participating in the MJHMP released a Press Release on their respective websites announcing the Public Town Hall Meeting and providing the date, time, and URL link to the Zoom Meeting for the public to log in and attend the Zoom Meeting. Marin County OEM also posted a notice for the Public Town Hall Meeting on their Facebook account. At the conclusion of the presentation, a question and answer session was held to answer questions from the attendees.

The second Town Hall Meeting was conducted on Saturday, April 29, 2023, from 10:00 am to 11:30 am, at the Marin County Health and Wellness Center, 3240 Kerner Ave. Rooms #109 and #110 San Rafael, CA. 94903. The meeting followed the same format as the first and hosted the same access level of equity and accessibility.

The Marin County OA MJHMP Public Town Hall Meeting was recorded and downloaded from Zoom and made available to all of the jurisdictions and districts to place on their websites and local Access TV for the public to view.

Meeting participants were also invited to complete the Hazard Mitigation Survey and were provide the URL link to the Survey Monkey website to complete the survey.

Figure 553: Marin County OEM MJHMP Public Town Hall Meeting l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
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CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE

SOCIAL MEDIA
The Marin County OA utilized several forms of social media to reach residents and customers. Information about the Hazard Mitigation Planning process was communicated to the public via Facebook, Twitter, and local access TV. Residents and customers were invited to complete the Hazard Mitigation Plan survey which was accessible via an attached URL or QR Code and provide feedback on potential hazard mitigation projects or programs.

The results of the survey were provided to each of the planning partners and used to support the jurisdictional annex process. Each planning partner was able to use the survey results to help identify actions as follows:
• Gauge the public’s perception of risk and identify what citizens are concerned about. • Identify the best ways to communicate with the public. • Determine the level of public support for different mitigation strategies. • Understand the public’s willingness to invest in hazard mitigation.

PRESS RELEASES
Press releases were distributed over the course of the plan’s development as key milestones were achieved and prior to each Marin County OA MJHMP Public Town Hall Meeting. All press releases were made available to the community in both English and Spanish.

Figure 554: Hazard Mitigation Plan Public Outreach Press Release l ~'?UN. TY OF
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___ _j MARIN
Marin County MutU.Jurisdictionlll Haza,-d
Mitigation Pian Public Outreach Suf'l'ey
Dear Marin County Comroonity Member,
The various oorrmunltles 'Wilhln Marin County are WOlklng logdller 10 update Mar1n eounrys Mutti,.Jm$dlctlonal Hazard Mitlg.WOO Plan. As pal'I Of this ocwtvm,mlty plannlng r:>fQCe$S,, we iire ~king tor c:onvnunlty lnp.rt to ensure that tne p,opo,eo n>tlilotlon """°"' and vul"""b<Hl/eo ore~ v.ttn tile community's exbllng peroeptjons and ex~tlons.

What Is Hazard Mitlgallon? Hazard MtigaUon ts lhe ertort to re<b:e the loss of life ono damage to poperty 3nd tile env1<onmen1 by ie.senrng tile Impact or natUflll hal.ards on 1M ct.1nvmmlty. By undttsl.andlng what natural hazards ~ lace In Mar1n COunry. and bow U'IOSe halard$ may impact oor communltle$. either by Injuring people, ~ or ...UQj!ng p,openy, c,, lmpac,lng tile en,!-:
we ,er~ this document 10 seek w.1)'$ co proted people, p,opetty. and the enYlronment trQm the: Im~ of these ~
A3 prefects or programs to reduce or mitigate the mpaa of lhese natural hazards on the cornnullty, To be ellglble for l.Oeal Hazard MitlgatJon Project funding we mUSI 11rs1 ~ how ~ natural halards impact us and tntn e;i;plore how we can prottd agalns.t them. we lee/ It IS 1~1'11 to engage 1M whale c:ommunily lntnt!;tfb'l
You ate aSl<ed to answer a few Simple quesclons abotJt yoo, leYet Of concem for natural hazards In )O.lt com~ and any preparedness actions you have taken or may be la~ to p,epare aor a na1ur.u disas~.

The Coonty wtll ~ address new ljlCl(I emerging threats-wil!hln thl$ dO(JJrrlenl suct, as Climate Change and poet air qualify: hOwever, lhe pnrnary natural haZatdS being as:5e$sed are!
OamFalue
Oec,ls Flow, Erosion, t.ondS!loe,
~-Fire Oebrls Flow
°'°'-9>'
Eanhquake
F"""'">g
Land Subsidence (Slnkll<>e)
Leitee !="• e
Se-.aLt\'elRiSe
Severe 1Neathet- Extfeme Heat
severe Weatnef - Wlncl, Halt.

Ughtnjng
WIidfire
Tsooaml
VlSU ,,,. 1,1.aaa County H,yrg MfrjgatJoa WtW!t'
bUm-;llmwfl!eocv marincoumv orr/eamc'JhMQ
~~1 • ', !""'.\ NOtntM,IJIIN ~ \lfAlllDISfllCT
~
r.~ ~
We Take have !he provided Su"'l"(I a Wl!bslle address (URL) for you to enter in ll[!I ,~. . --, ... 1 . , - '[!I ·•'. a searct1 bar or a QR oooe klryou to seantoac:oess anonllneSI.We)', http!l;Jfwww.SU'feymonke)' oorr{rlMamaultyt\Jljt.,1P
Atttnd, Town Hall MHtlpqt
You are il'Mled 10 attend one Of two fflfftlngs being held I~ __ _j MARIN
Marin County Muttl.Jurisdlctlonal Hazard
Mitigation Plan Pubtic Outreach SUNey
Wllh a vldecxonference and a Facebook live feed klr you to partidpa1e remotely. we Viii ~ an oveMeW Qt the Hazard Mldgalbn
Planning p,ocess ano e,q,laln 110w ycu can help.

You may aa:eos tile meeting remotely by ak:l<lng tile loom link belOw:

I . Thu ..... y, April 13, i,rn, 6:00 pm to 7:30 pm
Mar1n County Boltd or Suptrvtsors Chamber$
Marin Comly Civic. Center
3501 CMc center Drive, Room #330
San Rar..ei, CA 94903
~--
!!!,!:!9!!!!!
Meeting I[): 888 2383 1897 Pos,oooe: Ot 5749

2. Saturday, Aprlr 29, 2023, 10:00am to 11:30 am
Mar1n county Htalth Ind WtllntH Ctnle,
3240 Kerner A.ve. Rooms #109 and 111110
S... Rafael, CA. 94903
BSJ:!OM<fnl!!;
~usrew.t>.zoom u"11818243§()04()?JM<l=MWNkOOIYCOIISGIMll<D60GRM !l!'!!l!!lQ!l!! Mee ng 10: 818 24J6 0040 Passcode: 432999
Tnank ycu fc,, raioog tile tfme to-• ttob lmpo,tant """"Y· Eodl comroonlly membef"s fttdbaek IS crttieal II) lhe Cota'lty's ~b't. to devdOp a ~based plilfl lO effe<:<lvety p,ole<:I tile oomir<Jnllles ol Marln.

Sh:erel)',
Steven Torrence
Director Of emergency Management
Offlce of E-ncy •---ment
,~~~ = .. 0 8CPUO
~ - ::,,,,
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-22

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
SURVEY
A hazard mitigation plan survey (see Figure 4) was developed by the Steering Committee and made available to the public in both English and Spanish. The survey was used to gauge household preparedness for natural hazards and the level of knowledge of tools and techniques that assist in reducing risk and loss from natural hazards. This survey was designed to help identify areas vulnerable to one or more natural hazards. The answers to its ten questions helped guide the Steering Committee in defining our hazards, and selecting goals, objectives, and mitigation strategies. The survey was available on the hazard mitigation plan website, advertised in press releases, and at town hall meetings. Finally, the survey and the process of public input was advertised throughout the course of the planning process. The survey was available to the public on March 13, 2023, and closed on June 12, 2023. At the conclusion of the planning process 293 surveys were completed by the public.

Public Comments Considered by the Planning Team
The Planning Team used the following information gathered from the Public Outreach Survey to inform decisions regarding hazard mitigation strategies, actions, and priorities. • Climate Change, Wildfire, and Drought were the top hazards of concern for the public. • Text messages, mail, and the County website were the preferred methods for receiving hazard mitigation information.
• 48% of respondents expressed that they were “Very Much” concerned and 31% were “Moderately” concerned that a natural disaster could impact their home or place of residence.
• 85% of respondents own their own home.
• 99% of respondents have access to the internet.

Public Outreach Survey
h�ps://www.surveymonkey.com/r/MarincountyMJHMP
l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Marin County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey I 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-23

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Figure 555: Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey

PUBLIC COMMENT ON THE PLAN
To solicit public feedback on the draft plan, Marin OEM engaged in a multi-faceted approach intended to reach as many Marin residents as possible, including members of the community who are under-served and under-represented. All members of the community had the opportunity to provide initial comments on the plan during a two-week period from Wednesday, December 4, 2023, to Wednesday, December 18, 2023. Although the initial comment period was listed as two weeks, the public could submit comments indefinitely via the County’s website to support the County’s continuous improvement efforts. The base plan, as well as city, town and special district annexes, were available for download on emergency.marincounty.org (include photos). The website additionally asked for feedback in a survey in English and Spanish (include photos), the survey was designed to establish where that person lives or works, their top hazards of concern, elicit feedback on the plan and offer a place for them to share projects to reduce risk in their community. The survey collected responses from the community in English and in Spanish.

The website and survey were shared through traditional and social media (photos) The Marin Independent Journal (Marin IJ) used the press release to write an article (hopefully; include photos). Social media accounts were updated four times with an initial ask, two reminders, and a closing announcement. The Marin OEM Public Information Officer coordinated with the Marin County Public Information Officers (MAPIO) working group to distribute information to partner jurisdictions (city, town, and special districts) to share this information on their social media sites and with the communities in the area.

To reach those who may not be engaged digitally, the planning team worked with Marin County Community Response Teams, (CRTs are a collaboration of non-profit organizations supporting underrepresented communities in four zones) to conduct outreach with half-sheet flyers in English and Spanish to share in the 4 CRT zones (southern Marin, north Marin, west Marin, San Rafael). These half sheets were also shared county-wide at libraries, including in areas not covered by CRTs, like at the Fairfax library. CRTs are designed to reach Marin’s l ~'?UN. TY OF ~ ~ ARIN ~
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Public Outreach Survey
Encuesta del Plan Local de Mitigaci6n de Riesgos MultiJurfsdtcclonal del Condado de Marin en Espaftol https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/MarinCountyMJHMPEspanol
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CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
traditionally underserved and underrepresented communities, so by conducting outreach through this method, we were able to inform residents who may not have been engaged otherwise, including residents in Marin City, West Marin, and the Canal District of San Rafael.

After December 18, 2023, the various participating jurisdiction and district profiles remained on the Marin County OEM website for public comments. The City of San Rafael had an additional 14-day comment period for the City of San Rafael Community Profile where their profile was posted on the City website for final public comment from January 29 – February 12, 2024.

The 14-day public comment period gave the public an opportunity to comment on the draft plan update prior to the plan’s submittal to Cal OES. Comments received on the draft plan are available upon request. All comments were reviewed by the planning team and incorporated into the draft plan as appropriate.

Public Comments Considered by the Planning Team
The Marin County OEM posted the draft Hazard Mitigation Plan and hazard mitigation actions on their website and solicited public comments on the content. The City of San Rafael distributed press releases directing the community to the Marin County OEM website to review the draft plans. The Planning Team gathered public comments and information on the Marin County OEM website regarding proposed and current Hazard Mitigation Actions. The Planning Team used the comments and suggestions to inform decisions regarding hazard mitigation strategies, actions, and priorities. Most comments included ideas for hazard mitigation projects and comments on the effectiveness of current mitigation projects. These comments were used to revise the proposed hazard mitigation actions which resulted in the final list of hazard mitigation actions listed in 3.5 Hazard Mitigation Actions

1.3 OVERVIEW AND HISTORY
The area that is now the City of San Rafael was once the site of several Coast Miwok villages, including the village of Nanaguani along San Rafael Creek, inhabited by the Aguasto tribe. In 1817, Mission San Rafael Arcangel was founded as the 20th of 21 Spanish missions in the Spanish colonial province of Alta California. Originally planned as an asistencia (hospital) for Native Americans who became ill at Mission Dolores in present day San Francisco, Mission San Rafael Arcangel gained full mission status in 1822. Following the secularization of Spanish missions in 1833, the mission was placed under the control of administrators. In 1837, Timothy Murphy was appointed as administrator, and by 1844, was granted three contiguous parcels that shaped the future boundaries of San Rafael as Murphy’s land was eventually devised and portioned into smaller tracts.

San Rafael incorporated as a city in 1874. San Rafael grew gradually after California statehood in 1850 and was named county seat in 1851. Following the completion of the Transcontinental Railroad in 1869, the construction of the County Courthouse in 1872, and incorporation in 1874, San Rafael entered a period of accelerated growth. Over the ensuing decades leading into the turn of the twentieth century, the nascent town built out as freight, passenger, and streetcar extensions were completed4.
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The opening of the Golden Gate Bridge in 1937, and the increasing popularity of the automobile, increased connectivity between Marin County and San Francisco, effectively ending the rail transit era as the Great Depression neared its end and World War II dawned.

Following the war, housing starts increased, and the Terra Linda and Marinwood neighborhoods were developed on former ranch lands in 1953 and 1955, respectively. In the years immediately after the war, Fourth Street emerged as the main shopping area for Marin County. San Rafael’s downtown continued to prosper, as department stores, restaurants, the County Courthouse, and City Hall combined with churches, nearby residences, and emerging postwar industries to define the modern city.

Over the mid-twentieth century, San Rafael’s downtown continues to be centered on its Fourth Street commercial corridors, which displays a great variety of period architecture, embodied in its stores, shops, and restaurants. In 2017, Downtown San Rafael was designated as a California Cultural District.

The City of San Rafael is the county seat of Marin County located on the traditional lands of the Coast Miwok people. The City has a total area of 22.422 square miles.

City of San Rafael Land Acknowledgment
A Land Acknowledgment is a formal statement that recognizes the history and legacy of colonialism that impacted Indigenous Peoples, their traditional territories, and practices. It is a simple, powerful way of showing respect and a step toward correcting past practices and honoring truth.

This land acknowledgement is provided by the Federated Indians of the Graton Rancheria.

Outside of the acknowledgement, the partnership and work continues with the tribe to take actions that are most important to them.

We acknowledge that the present day City of San Rafael is traditionally home to the Coast Miwok people many of whom today are tribal citizens of the Federated Indians of Graton Rancheria. We thank the original care takers of this land and honor their continuing involvement in stewardship practices that benefit us all.
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Figure 556: Map of City of San Rafael in Marin County
Source: Marin County OEM
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Figure 557: Map of the City of San Rafael
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1.4 GOVERNMENT
The City of San Rafael is governed by a five-person City Council, four councilmembers are elected by their districts and the mayor is elected at large. The city council elects a vice mayor each year from its membership. The Mayor is the executive head of the City; and appoints a City Manager, the administrative head of the City. The city consists of 20 departments: the City Attorney, City Clerk, City Council, City Manager’s Office, Community Development (including homelessness and housing), Digital Service & Open Government, Economic Development, Finance, Fire Department, Human Resources, Library & Recreation, Parking Services, Police Department (including the Specialized Assistance for Everyone (SAFE)) , Public Works,),, the Sanitation District, and Sustainability and Volunteer Program.

The City Council assumes responsibility for the adoption of this plan; and the City Manager will oversee its implementation.

The San Rafael Fire Department delivers exceptional public service from six neighborhood fire stations and provides Chief services to the Marinwood Fire Department. On December 5, 1874, the San Rafael Fire Department was organized as a volunteer company for the purpose of providing fire protection for the newly incorporated City of San Rafael. Today, the San Rafael Fire Department is an organization with over 90 professionals trained in specialties including emergency medical care, firefighting, hazardous materials and emergency preparedness.

The San Rafael Police Department is a full time police department. In 1935 San Rafael Police Officers started wearing its own badges that said San Rafael Police. Prior to that year, they wore sheriff’s badges. There are approximately 63 sworn police officers that work for the department.

1.5 WEATHER AND CLIMATE
The City of San Rafael lies 12 feet above sea level. In San Rafael, the summers are long, comfortable, arid, and mostly clear and the winters are short, cold, wet, and partly cloudy. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 43.1°F to 73.7°F and is rarely below 49°F or above 63°F. The difference in precipitation between the driest month and the wettest month is 5 inches. The annual rainfall is 8 inches. The month of highest relative humidity is February (79%). The month with the lowest relative humidity is June (66%). The month which sees the most rainfall is January. The driest month of the year is July. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 558: The City of San Rafael Precipitation and Monthly Temperatures Source: En.Climate-Data.org

1.6 DEMOGRAPHICS
The California Department of Finance shows an overall estimated decrease in the population of the Marin County OA and the City of San Rafael since the last plan update in 2018. Of the total estimated 257,135 residents of the Marin County OA in 2022 based on the 2020 U.S. Census Survey, 190,148 residents live in the incorporated county and 66,987 residents live in the unincorporated county.

The City of San Rafael had an estimated population of 59,851 in the 2018 plan. 2020 U.S.

Census Survey estimated the City’s population at 61,271. However, revised estimates for 2022 estimate the population to decrease to 60,560 population.

Table 4: City of San Rafael Estimated Jurisdictional Population Jurisdiction Population 2022
(Estimate)
Population 2020 Population 2018
(Estimate)
Percent Change
2018-2022
Marin County OA 257,135 262,321 262,179 -1.92%
City of San Rafael 60,560 61,271 59,851 1.17%
Table 278: City of San Rafael Estimated Jurisdictional Population Source: California Department of Finance
According to the U.S. Census, the population of The City of San Rafael is 61,271 as of 2020.

Table 5 shows the population growth comparison of the State of California, County of Marin and the City of San Rafael between 2010 – 2020.

Table 5: Population Change of The City of San Rafael
Jurisdiction Total Population Change, 2010-2020
April 1, 2010 April 1, 2020 Number Percent
California 37,253,956 39,538,223 2,284,267 6.1%
Marin County OA 252,409 262,321 9,912 3.9%
City of San Rafael 59,851 61,271 1,420 1.17%
Table 279: Population Change of The City of San Rafael
Source: City of San Rafael Housing Element, US Census Bureau, California Department of Finance January February March April May June July August September October November December Avg.

Temperature
°C (°F)

9.3 °C
(48.7) °F
10 °C
(50) °F

11.2 °C
(52.2)
°F

12.2 °C
(54)
°F

14.2 °C
(57.5)
°F

16.3 °C
(61.3)
°F

16.6 °C
(61.8)
°F

16.9 °C
(62.4)
°F
17 °C
(62.6) °F

15.4 °C
(59.7) °F

12.1 °C
(53.8) °F

9.5 °C
(49.1) °F
Min.

Temperature
°C (°F)

6.1 °C
(43.1) °F

6.8 °C
(44.3) °F

7.8 °C
(46.1)
°F

8.6 °C
(47.6)
°F

10.3 °C
(50.5)
°F

11.8 °C
(53.3)
°F

12.4 °C
(54.4)
°F
13 °C
(55.3)
°F

12.8 °C
(55) °F

11.6 °C
(52.8) °F

8.8 °C
(47.9) °F

6.6 °C
(43.9) °F
Max.

Temperature
°C (°F)

13.6 °C
(56.5) °F

14.4 °C
(57.9) °F

15.8 °C
(60.5)
°F

17.2 °C
(62.9)
°F

19.4 °C
(67)
°F

22.2 °C
(72)
°F

22.5 °C
(72.6)
°F

22.8 °C
(73) °F

23.2 °C
(73.7) °F
21 °C
(69.8) °F

16.7 °C
(62.1) °F

13.5 °C
(56.2) °F
Precipitation
/ Rainfall mm
(in)
118
(4)
124
(4)
88 (3)
41 (1)
22 (0)
5 (0)
1 (0)
2 (0)
2 (0)
25 (0)
58 (2)
114
(4)
Humidity(%) 78% 79% 77% 70% 69% 66% 72% 73% 70% 69% 75% 77% Rainy days
(d)
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avg. Sun
hours
(hours)

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Table 6 lists the various languages spoken in the City of San Rafael.

Table 6: Languages Spoken in San Rafael
Primary Language Spoken % of Population
English only 64.7%
Spanish 25.0%
Other Indo-European languages 5.2%
Asian and Pacific Islander languages 3.7%
Other languages 1.3%
Table 280: Languages Spoken in San Rafael
Source: US Census Bureau (2020)
Figure 559: Races in San Rafael
Source: City-Data.com
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Races in San Rafael, CA (2021)
White (54.8%)
Asian (6.7%)
Blac k (1.7%)
Native Hawaiian (0.6%)
Hispanic (31.9%)
2+ races (3.5%)
Other (1.3%)
American Indian (0.2%)
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Table 7: Marin County OA Jurisdictional Housing Stock
2022 and 2018
Year Total Units Single Family Multi-Family Mobile
Detached Attached 2 to 4 5 plus Homes
California
2022
Number 14,583,998 8,341,577 1,010,851 1,168,669 3,500,674 562,223 Percent 100.0% 57.2% 6.9% 8.0% 24.0% 3.9%
2018
Number 14,157,502 8,160,864 985,926 1,129,761 3,318,946 562,005 Percent 100.0% 57.6% 7.0% 8.0% 23.4% 4.0%
Marin County OA
2022
Number 111,879 68,004 11,314 8,524 22,013 1,984
Percent 100.0% 60.8% 10.1% 7.6% 19.7% 1.8%
2018
Number 112,294 68,697 11,318 8,307 21,986 1,986
Percent 100.0% 61.2% 10.1% 7.4% 19.6% 1.8%
City of San Rafael
2022
Number 21,337 12,465 3,395 1,362 3,572 543
Percent 100.00% 58.42% 27.24% 40.12% 262.26% 15.20%
2018
Number 21,448 12,581 3,427 1,335 3,557 548
Percent 100.00% 58.66% 27.24% 38.96% 266.44% 15.41%
Table 281: Marin County OA Jurisdictional Housing Stock Source: California Department of Finance
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Figure 560: City of San Rafael Land Use Map
Source: City of San Rafael General Plan 2040 (Aug. 2021) I
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1.7 SOCIAL VULNERABILITY AND RISK
The California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES) has initiated the “Prepare California” grant program focused on building community resilience amongst vulnerable individuals living in the areas of the state most susceptible to natural disasters. The Prepare California Initiative is aimed at reducing long-term risks from natural disasters by investing in local capacity building and mitigation projects designed to protect communities.

Prepare California leverages funds approved in Governor Gavin Newsom’s 2021-22 State Budget and is designed to unlock federal matching funds for community mitigation projects that vulnerable communities would otherwise be unable to access. This program is intended for communities that are the most socially vulnerable and at the highest risk for future natural hazard events. The state identified communities by prioritizing California census tracts according to their estimated hazard exposures and social vulnerability.

The National Risk Index is a dataset and online tool to help illustrate the United States communities most at risk for 18 natural hazards: Avalanche, Coastal Flooding, Cold Wave, Drought, Earthquake, Hail, Heat Wave, Hurricane, Ice Storm, Landslide, Lightning, Riverine Flooding, Strong Wind, Tornado, Tsunami, Volcanic Activity, Wildfire, and Winter Weather.

For purposes of this plan the following National Risk Index (NRI) hazards are profiled in support of eight of the twelve Marin County OA MJHMP Hazards. NRI data was not available for Dam Failure, Land Subsidence, Levee Failure, or Sea Level Rise.

Table 8: NRI Hazards and Marin County OA MJHMP Hazards
NRI Hazards Marin County OA MJHMP Hazards
Earthquake Earthquake
Riverine Flooding Flooding
Coastal Flooding Flooding
Wildfire Wildfire
Landslide Debris Flow
Drought Drought
Heat Wave Severe Weather -Extreme Heat
Tsunami Tsunami
Strong Wind Severe Weather – Wind, Hail, Lightning
Table 282: NRI Hazards and Marin County OA MJHMP Hazards Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
The National Risk Index leverages available source data for Expected Annual Loss due to these 18 hazard types, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience to develop a baseline relative risk measurement for each United States county and Census tract. These measurements are calculated using average past conditions, but they cannot be used to predict future outcomes for a community. The National Risk Index is intended to fill gaps in available data and analyses to l ~'?UN. TY OF
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better inform federal, state, local, tribal, and territorial decision makers as they develop risk reduction strategies.

Calculating the Risk Index
Risk Index scores are calculated using an equation that combines scores for Expected Annual Loss due to natural hazards, Social Vulnerability and Community Resilience:

Risk Index = Expected Annual Loss × Social Vulnerability ÷ Community Resilience Hazard Type Risk Index
Hazard type Risk Index scores are calculated using data for only a single hazard type, and reflect a community's Expected Annual Loss value, community risk factors, and the adjustment factor used to calculate the risk value.
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The following Tables 9 - 22 illustrate the NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for the San Rafael Census Tracts.

Table 9: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1060.01 Hazard Type EAL Value Social
Vulnerability
Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $2,896,142 Very High Very High 1.4 $4,040,816 98.9 Riverine Flooding $558,070 Very High Very High 1.4 $778,642 97.8 Coastal Flooding $208,258 Very High Very High 1.4 $290,569 98.2 Drought $146,022 Very High Very High 1.4 $203,736 98.7
Wildfire $23,077 Very High Very High 1.4 $32,198 89.3
Heat Wave $7,811 Very High Very High 1.4 $10,898 53.1
Tornado $4,247 Very High Very High 1.4 $5,925 14.3
Landslide $4,006 Very High Very High 1.4 $5,589 91.1
Strong Wind $268 Very High Very High 1.4 $373 11.9
Tsunami $23 Very High Very High 1.4 $33 91
Table 283: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1060.01 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
The following Figures 10 - 23 illustrate the Social Vulnerability Map for the San Rafael Census Tracts.

Figure 561: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1060.01 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
ucas Va lley
Social Vulnerabil ity Legend
San Pablo Ba
Wildlife Are;
Score 81.48
National Percentile
81 .48
Percentile Within California
71 .40
0 81% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
100
71% of Census tracts in Cal ifornia have a lower
Social Vulnerabi lity
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low Very Low ■ Data Unavailable
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-36

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 10: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1081.00 Hazard Type EAL Value Social
Vulnerability
Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $1,252,334 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $1,287,401 93.1 Wildfire $31,464 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $32,345 89.3 Heat Wave $10,456 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $10,749 52.8 Tornado $4,772 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $4,906 11.6 Landslide $3,550 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $3,650 85.7 Strong Wind $336 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $345 11.2 Riverine Flooding $308 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $317 29.3 Coastal Flooding $0 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $0 0
Drought $0 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $0 0
Tsunami $0 Relatively Low Very High 1.03 $0 0
Table 284: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1081.00 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 562: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1081.00 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
lta
Social Vulnerability Legend
00:'rillID
Terra
Linda/ Sleepy
Hollow Divide
~
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low ■ Data Unavailable
Score 39.45
National Percentile

39.45 Percentile Within California
0 -
39% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
100
29% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vulnerability
Very Low
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-37

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 11: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1082.01 Hazard Type EAL Value Social
Vulnerability
Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $546,877 Very High Very High 1.57 $859,791 90.1 Heat Wave $3,994 Very High Very High 1.57 $6,279 43.5
Tornado $1,577 Very High Very High 1.57 $2,480 5.7
Landslide $599 Very High Very High 1.57 $941 63.7
Wildfire $158 Very High Very High 1.57 $248 45.8
Strong Wind $123 Very High Very High 1.57 $194 7.2
Coastal Flooding $0 Very High Very High 1.57 $0 0
Drought $0 Very High Very High 1.57 $0 0
Riverine Flooding $0 Very High Very High 1.57 $0 0
Tsunami $0 Very High Very High 1.57 $0 0
Table 285: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1082.01 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 563: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1082.01 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN
Sorich Ranch
Park
e
Social Vulnerability Legend
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low ■ Data Unavailable
San Pe
Mount
Score 95.23
National Percentile

95.23 Percentile Within California

91.50 0
95% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
100
92% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vulnerability
Very Low
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-38

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 12: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1082.02 Hazard Type EAL Value Social
Vulnerability
Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $1,683,172 Very High Very High 1.4 $2,358,985 97 Heat Wave $6,786 Very High Very High 1.4 $9,510 50.6
Tornado $4,156 Very High Very High 1.4 $5,825 14.1
Landslide $3,401 Very High Very High 1.4 $4,767 89.3
Strong Wind $240 Very High Very High 1.4 $336 11
Wildfire $116 Very High Very High 1.4 $162 40.9
Coastal Flooding $0 Very High Very High 1.4 $0 0
Drought $0 Very High Very High 1.4 $0 0
Riverine Flooding $0 Very High Very High 1.4 $0 0
Tsunami $0 Very High Very High 1.4 $0 0
Table 286: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1082.02 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 564: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1082.02 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN
~
e
Hollow D ivid e
iXllilOOil)
iIDffiliE
San Pedro
Mountain
Score
National Percentile

82.00 Percentile Within California

71.90 0
82% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
H~ ~ Vu lnerability
82 100
72% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vulnerability
~ W!lOOID
Socia l Vulnerability Legend
Dominican
University of
California
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low ■ Data Unavailable
Very Low
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-39

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 13: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1090.01 Hazard Type EAL Value Social Vulnerability Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $858,614 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $926,933 90.7 Heat Wave $6,980 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $7,535 46.6 Tornado $3,117 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $3,365 7.7 Landslide $2,980 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $3,217 83.9 Wildfire $1,757 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $1,897 73.6 Strong Wind $223 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $240 8.5 Coastal Flooding $0 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $0 0 Drought $0 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $0 0
Riverine Flooding $0 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $0 0 Tsunami $0 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.08 $0 0
Table 287: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1090.01 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 565: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1090.01 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~ '?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
elmo Greenfield A\fe
'il'il'ill@
Social Vulnerability Legend
San Ratael
Dominican
University of
California
ffiIDiiffi)
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low ■ Data Unavailable
Score 46.52
Hwy• National Percenti le Memo

46.52 Percentile Within California
0 -
47% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vu lnerability
100
s,,.,,,., 35% of Census tracts in California have a lower Social Vulnerabi lity
Very Low
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-40

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 14: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1090.02 Hazard Type EAL Value Social
Vulnerability
Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $878,039 Very Low Very High 0.77 $676,077 88.5 Landslide $17,439 Very Low Very High 0.77 $13,428 97.2
Heat Wave $6,528 Very Low Very High 0.77 $5,026 39.9
Wildfire $5,930 Very Low Very High 0.77 $4,566 80.1
Tornado $3,032 Very Low Very High 0.77 $2,335 5.4
Strong Wind $211 Very Low Very High 0.77 $162 6.4
Coastal Flooding $0 Very Low Very High 0.77 $0 0
Drought $0 Very Low Very High 0.77 $0 0
Riverine Flooding $0 Very Low Very High 0.77 $0 0
Tsunami $0 Very Low Very High 0.77 $0 0
Table 288: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1090.02 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 566: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1092.02 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
S~ selmo San Rafael
r - - ~
Social Vulnerability Legend
San
Mo
Dominica
University
Californi
Score
National Percentile

10.24 Percentile Within California I 5.80

10.24 0 100
10% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
6% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vulnerability
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low Very Low ■ Data Unavailable
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-41

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 15: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1101.00 Hazard Type EAL Value Social Vulnerability Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $1,897,762 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $2,105,437 96.4 Riverine Flooding $507,837 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $563,410 96.9 Landslide $91,056 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $101,020 99.6 Coastal Flooding $34,693 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $38,490 93.9 Heat Wave $9,626 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $10,680 52.7 Tornado $5,822 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $6,459 15.6 Wildfire $3,134 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $3,477 78.6 Tsunami $1,310 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $1,453 96.9 Strong Wind $338 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $375 11.9 Drought $0 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.11 $0 0
Table 289: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1101.00 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 567: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1101.00 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
W3iliID
San Rafael
wm@
Social Vulnerabil ity Legend
~
Harry A Barbie r
Memorial Pad
iliIDOOID
China Camp
State Park
WiNill)
Marin Islands
National
Wildlife Refuge
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low ■ Data Unavailable
Score 50.38
National Percentile

50.38 Percentile Within California
0 -
50% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
100
39% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vu lnerability
Very Low
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-42

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 16: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1102.00 Hazard Type EAL Value Social Vulnerability Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $1,454,196 Very Low Very High 0.65 $939,097 90.8 Riverine Flooding $689,063 Very Low Very High 0.65 $444,986 96 Coastal Flooding $99,874 Very Low Very High 0.65 $64,497 95.3 Heat Wave $8,402 Very Low Very High 0.65 $5,426 41.1
Tornado $5,938 Very Low Very High 0.65 $3,835 9
Landslide $4,229 Very Low Very High 0.65 $2,731 81.3
Wildfire $1,521 Very Low Very High 0.65 $982 64.8
Tsunami $754 Very Low Very High 0.65 $487 95
Drought $672 Very Low Very High 0.65 $434 80.9
Strong Wind $313 Very Low Very High 0.65 $202 7.5
Table 290: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1102.00 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 568: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1102.00 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
fael
iI!l'.fil@
Harry A Barbie r
Memorial Parl
W!ll'.ili)
China Camp
State Park
Social Vulnerability Legend
Marin Islands
National
Wildlife Refuge
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low ■ Data Unavailable
Score 2.9
National Percentile

2.97 Percentile Within California I 1.10
0 3% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
1% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vulnerability
Very Low
10 2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-43

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 17: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1110.01 Hazard Type EAL Value Social Vulnerability Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $1,961,205 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $2,094,386 96.4 Riverine Flooding $493,279 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $526,776 96.6 Landslide $1,896 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $2,024 76.3 Heat Wave $1,889 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $2,017 28 Tornado $1,886 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $2,014 4.8 Coastal Flooding $1,016 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $1,085 81.3 Drought $782 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $835 83.2 Strong Wind $82 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $87 4.2 Tsunami $0 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $0 0
Wildfire $0 Relatively Moderate Very High 1.07 $0 0
Table 291: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1110.01 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 569: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1110.01 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
San Rafael afael -
t Street
'est
Jm
4th St
2nd t
Social Vulnerability Legend
5 th 'A ve
San Rafael
Fourth Street
'&~cial
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low ■ Data Unavailable
Score 45.01
National Percenti le

45.01 Percentile Within California
0 -
Hi 45% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
100
34% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vulnerability
Very Low
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-44

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 18: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1110.02 Hazard Type EAL Value Social Vulnerability Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $2,186,537 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $2,113,288 96.5 Riverine Flooding $157,397 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $152,125 89.1 Heat Wave $7,761 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $7,501 46.5 Tornado $3,666 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $3,543 8.2 Landslide $3,248 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $3,140 83.5 Wildfire $493 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $476 54.3
Strong Wind $252 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $243 8.6 Coastal Flooding $0 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $0 0
Drought $0 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $0 0
Tsunami $0 Relatively Low Very High 0.97 $0 0
Table 292: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1110.02 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 570: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1110.02 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
SJl..o,...Ac, selmo Greenfield Ave
't.l"lJlA!J.!J
WilillXD
~ cial Vu lnerability Legend
I
■ Very High ■ Relatively High
■ Data Unavailable
iI!ill)[)
San Rafael
~
1,
Poplar Dr
Dominican
University of
California
II
Score 30.85
National Percentile

30.85 Percentile Within California
HMM
0 31% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vu lnerability
100
22% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vu lnerability
■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low O Very Low
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-45

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 19: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1121.00 Hazard Type EAL Value Social Vulnerability Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $2,953,072 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $3,592,625 98.6 Riverine Flooding $1,579,204 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $1,921,215 99.2 Coastal Flooding $335,107 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $407,682 98.6 Heat Wave $7,205 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $8,765 49.2 Tornado $4,348 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $5,290 12.7 Landslide $1,412 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $1,717 73.5 Wildfire $544 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $662 59
Strong Wind $253 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $308 10.3 Tsunami $0 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $1 88.3
Drought $0 Relatively High Very High 1.22 $0 0
Table 293: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1121.00 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 571: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1121.00 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN
College of
Marin Kentfield
- Campus •
Marin
Community
College
ffim:©O
wmilE
e
San Rafael
Social Vulnerability Legend
II
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low ■ Data Unavailable
Score 63.22
National Percentile

63.22 Percentile Within California

50.10 0
63% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
100
50% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vulnerabil ity
Very Low
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-46

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 20: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1122.02 Hazard Type EAL Value Social Vulnerability Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Earthquake $4,623,267 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $6,371,177 99.6 Riverine Flooding $3,465,093 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $4,775,134 99.8 Coastal Flooding $673,143 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $927,637 99.3 Heat Wave $6,945 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $9,571 50.7 Drought $6,392 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $8,808 91.4 Tornado $5,012 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $6,907 16.7 Landslide $1,375 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $1,895 75.2 Tsunami $787 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $1,084 96.5 Wildfire $289 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $398 51.9
Strong Wind $261 Relatively High Very High 1.38 $360 11.6 Table 294: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1122.02 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 572: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1122.02 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
~u uomrn1can-------
~ -~.;,::::.:· --/
San Rafael
j{/ia!IOO
iJWilffi
,llege of
n Kentfield
ampus -
Marin
m~ur:1v. - ~o\ ~geOO
~
University of
California
Wildlife Refug e
~ 7 uentin
- 1-~--
Social Vulnerabi lity Legend
Score 79.89
National Percentile

79.89 Percentile Within Cal ifornia

69.30 0
80% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
100
69% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vulnerability
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low Very Low ■ Data Unavailable
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-47

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 21: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1122.03 Hazard Type EAL Value Social
Vulnerability
Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Riverine
Flooding $949,892 Very High Very High 1.41 $1,335,333 98.8 Earthquake $339,205 Very High Very High 1.41 $476,845 86.4 Coastal
Flooding $104,469 Very High Very High 1.41 $146,860 97.1 Heat Wave $4,658 Very High Very High 1.41 $6,548 44.2
Tornado $972 Very High Very High 1.41 $1,367 3.5
Strong Wind $126 Very High Very High 1.41 $177 6.8
Lightning $119 Very High Very High 1.41 $167 3.6
Hail $15 Very High Very High 1.41 $21 3.2
Landslide $3 Very High Very High 1.41 $4 39.8
Tsunami $2 Very High Very High 1.41 $3 89.2
Cold Wave $0 Very High Very High 1.41 $0 0
Drought $0 Very High Very High 1.41 $0 0
Wildfire $0 Very High Very High 1.41 $0 0
Winter
Weather $0 Very High Very High 1.41 $0 0
Table 295: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1122.03 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 573: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1122.03 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN
Lowrie Yacht
Harbor - San
Rafael
fi
e
Social Vulnerability Legend
s e\l am 81 \f.q
Score 82.36
National Percentile

82.36 Percentile Within California

72.30 0
82% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerability
100
72% of Census tracts in Cal ifornia have a lower
Social Vulnerability
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low O Very Low ■ Data Unavailable
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-48

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Table 22: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1122.04 Hazard Type EAL Value Social
Vulnerability
Community
Resilience CRF Risk Value Score
Riverine
Flooding $1,730,596 Very High Very High 1.59 $2,753,311 99.6 Earthquake $742,329 Very High Very High 1.59 $1,181,016 92.5 Coastal
Flooding $201,710 Very High Very High 1.59 $320,912 98.3 Heat Wave $7,879 Very High Very High 1.59 $12,536 55.9
Tornado $1,813 Very High Very High 1.59 $2,884 6.6
Tsunami $991 Very High Very High 1.59 $1,576 97.1
Landslide $925 Very High Very High 1.59 $1,472 71
Strong Wind $216 Very High Very High 1.59 $344 11.2
Lightning $203 Very High Very High 1.59 $324 6.6
Hail $25 Very High Very High 1.59 $40 7.5
Cold Wave $0 Very High Very High 1.59 $0 0
Drought $0 Very High Very High 1.59 $0 0
Wildfire $0 Very High Very High 1.59 $0 0
Table 296: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1122.04 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
Figure 574: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1122.04 Source: FEMA National Risk Index 2023
l ~'?UN. TY OF
~ ARIN e
4th St
Montecito
Plaza Shopping
Center
101
San Rafael
High School -
San Rafael City
Social Vulnerability Legend
Marin Yacht
Club - San
Rafael
Pickleweed
Park
Pickleweed
library
■ Very High ■ Relatively High ■ Relatively Moderate ■ Relatively Low ■ Data Unavailable
Spinn
Lago
Score 96.49
National Percentile

96.49 Percentile Within California

93.90 0
96% of U.S. Census tracts have a lower Social
Vulnerabil ity
100
94% of Census tracts in California have a lower
Social Vulnerability
Very Low
2023 Marin County Operational Area
Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
12-49

CITY OF SAN RAFAEL COMMUNITY PROFILE
Social Vulnerability in San Rafael and the Marin County OA Most socially vulnerable residents in the Marin County OA reside in parts of Novato, parts of San Rafael, including in and around the Canal District, the Greenbrae neighborhood of Larkspur, and the unincorporated areas of Marin City and Santa Venetia. This aligns with what the County knows about Marin residents. However, discrepancy lies in the western, more rural area of the county. West Marin is comprised of seven villages, and other populated areas, that are distanced from the centralized resources in the eastern part of the county. At three local elementary school in West Marin (2022-2023 school year), students eligible for free and reduced lunch program are, 62%, 41%, and 52%, a reflection of the financial capacity of local families. West Marin is home to many farms that may employ and house underrecognized workers that may not have taken part in a census survey, what the SVI is calculated from. In the fourth quarter of FY 2021/22 the bus routes traveling to West Marin (Rural Routes) were the only service category to have increased in ridership since pre-COVID (increase 0.1%; Marin Transit, 2022) showing the reliance of West Marin residents on public transportation; however, this data continues to adjust based upon the increase in alternate methods of mass transportation. Considering this, the County of Marin acknowledges that unique social factors in West Marin require different approaches than other parts of the County.

Cold Weather Impact on Vulnerable Populations in San Rafael In the last 50 years (1974), average temperatures in Marin County have rose by 6 degrees Fahrenheit. The coldest recorded month was December of 1990 at 34.7 degrees (The Californian.com). The term “extreme cold” is defined by the National Weather Service as temperatures below freezing (32 degrees F), however, the impact of cold weather on individuals may vary by location and other conditions the population typically experience, the types of facilities they are in, and what efforts individuals are expected to take. There are several factors:
o Living or working outside of a building
o Having windows that do not provide cold weather protection o Wind chill
o Rain severity and duration
Cold weather is relevant to the City of San Rafael and Marin County populations in the vulnerability to populations who do not have adequate heating sources, those who are not housed, and those who are institutionalized without adequate heating. Prolonged cold, especially combined with rainfall, can cause hypothermia in vulnerable individuals and those affected by cold weather conditions in being safe during episodes of cold weather.

Estimated Annual Loss Index, Social Vulnerability Index, and Community Resilience Index in San Rafael
Looking to the community resilience index (CRI) results, the data is only calculated at the county-level and compared across the nation. As a whole, the Marin County OA is considered to have a “very high” ability to prepare for anticipated natural hazards, adapt to changing conditions, and withstand and recover rapidly from disruptions when compared to the rest of the U.S. Unfortunately, this metric does not give us the distinct experiences of the diverse communities across Marin.
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When the Estimated Annual Loss Index, Social Vulnerability Index, and Community Resilience Index are aggregated as one, final results of the National Risk Index show the Marin County OA as a whole to have “Relatively High” risk, this is due to the financial implications a disaster may have on the county. When broken out by census tract, five tracts are in the highest category (“Very High Risk”), this matches generally with the same tracts that are ranked in as higher social vulnerability; parts of Novato, parts of San Rafael, including in and around the Canal District, the Greenbrae neighborhood of Larkspur, and unincorporated areas of Santa Venetia.

However, Marin City is ranked as “Very Low” risk for the National Risk Index. Previous discussion highlighted why the Expected Annual Loss was low, but further discussion is required. As a County, we know Marin City should not be classified as “Very Low” on the NRI.

Marin City residents, for example, only have one way in and out of their community and this road floods frequently, making it unsafe to cross and leave the community for work, school, medical resources. Additionally, there is only one “grocery” store, a Target, in Marin City. Both of these elements contribute to the vulnerability of residents as they may be unable to leave or return home and have limited access to groceries, relying on a single store’s supply chain. At the local elementary school in Marin City, 47% of students are eligible for free and reduced-price meals (2022 – 2023 school year), a reflection of the financial capacity of local families. All this means, we can expect the social and built capacity of Marin City to be limited.

The City of San Rafael has 14 census tracts and more than half of them rate Very High (5) or Relatively High (2) for Social Vulnerability. The remaining 5 census tracts rate Relatively Moderate (3), Relatively Low (2) and Very Low (2) in Social Vulnerability Index.

The median income for a household in the City was $113,839 and the per capita income for the City was $60,891. Approximately 2.4 percent of families and 5.3 percent of the population were below the poverty line (2022 data, U.S. Census Bureau).

1.8 ECONOMY AND TAX BASE
The City of San Rafael is one of the Marin County OA’s primary retail, service, and commercial center. Table 23 shows income by household in The City of San Rafael as of 2019.

Table 23: Household Income for The City of San Rafael as of 2021 Household Income Number Percent
Total Households 23,816 -
Less than $10,000 714 3.0
$10,000 to $14,999 786 3.3
$15,000 to $24,999 1,167 4.9
$25,000 to $34,999 1,000 4.2
$35,000 to $49,999 2,001 8.4
$50,000 to $74,999 3,048 12.8
$75,000 to $99,999 2,620 11.0
$100,000 to $149,999 4,215 17.7
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Table 297: Household Income for The City of San Rafael as of 2019 Source: US Census Bureau American Community Survey 2021 Estimates Table 24 shows the percentage of people in The City of San Rafael over the age of 16 employed by industry.

Table 24: City of San Rafael Civilian Employed Population 16 years+ by Industry Industry Estimated Employed Percent
Civilian employed population 16 years and over 31,411 - Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining 465 1.48% Construction 2778 8.84%
Manufacturing 1320 4.20%
Wholesale trade 550 1.75%
Retail trade 3504 11.16%
Transportation and warehousing, and utilities 1313 4.18% Information 1462 4.65%
Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing 2295 7.31% Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste management services
5479 17.44%
Educational services, and health care and social assistance 6391 20.35% Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accommodation and food services
2971 9.46%
Other services, except public administration 1759 5.60% Public administration 1124 3.58%
Table 298 City of San Rafael Civilian Employed Population 16 years+ by Industry Source: US Census Bureau American Community Survey 2021 Estimates

1.9 CRITICAL FACILITIES
The following list of facilities has been determined to be critical to the ability of the City of San Rafael to fulfill the requirements of its mission during an emergency:

Table 16: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities
Category Name Address
Fire
Severity
Zone
Flood Zone
Critical Facilities
Fire Fire: Marinwood Fire Department
(MRW) / Headquarters & Station 58
777 Miller Creek Road
94903 High AE
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department
(SNR) / Station 51 1039 C Street 94901 N/A X
$150,000 to $199,999 2,453 10.3
$200,000 or more 5,787 24.3
Median household income (dollars) $104,521
Mean household income (dollars) $155,715
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Table 16: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities
Category Name Address
Fire
Severity
Zone
Flood Zone
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department
(SNR) / Station 52 210 Third Street 94901 N/A X
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department
(SNR) / Station 54
46 Castro Avenue
94901 N/A AE
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department
(SNR) / Station 55
955 Pt. San Pedro
Road 94901 N/A AE
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department
(SNR) / Station 56
650 Del Ganado Road
94903 Moderate X
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department
(SNR) / Station 57
3530 Civic Center Drive
94903 N/A X , AE
Fire Fire: Skywalker Ranch Fire Brigade
(SKY)
5858 Lucas Valley
Road 94912 Moderate X
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department
(SNR) / Station 53
30 Joseph Court
94903
N/A X
Law County Jail 13 Peter Behr Dr, San
Rafael, CA 94903 N/A X
Law County 911 Communications
Center / PSAP
1600 Los Gamos Drive,
Suite 200. San Rafael,
CA 94903
High X
Law Marin County Sheriffs Office
1600 Los Gamos Drive,
Suite 200. San Rafael,
CA 94903
High X
Law San Rafael Police Department 1400 Fifth Avenue,
San Rafael, CA 94901 Moderate X
EOC Marin County EOC
1600 Los Gamos Drive,
Suite 200. San Rafael,
CA 94903
High X
Local
Government Marin Civic Center 3501 Civic Center Dr, San Rafael, CA 94903 N/A X Local
Government
Marin County Corporate Yard
Building
2 Peter Behr Drive,
San Rafael, CA 94903 N/A X
Local
Government Marin County Fuel Island 2 - 6 Peter Behr Drive, San Rafael, CA 94903 N/A X Local
Government
Marin County Vehicle Repair
Shops/Building
2 - 6 Peter Behr Drive,
San Rafael, CA 94903 N/A X
Local
Government Boro Community Center 50 Canal Street, San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A AE Local
Government San Rafael Public Works Yard 111 Morphew St, San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A X Local
Government San Rafael Community Center 618 B Street, San Rafael CA 94901 N/A AH, AE Local
Government Terra Linda Community Center 670 Del Ganado Rd, San Rafael CA 94903 Moderate X Health /
Medical
Kaiser Permanente San Rafael
Medical Center
99 Montecillo Rd,
San Rafael, CA 94903 N/A X
Health /
Medical Adrian Way Home 306 Adrian WaySan Rafael, Ca 94903 N/A AE Health /
Medical Aldersly (Snf Unit) 326 Mission Ave 94901 N/A X Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - Devon Drive Home 363 Devon Dr 94903 High X Health /
Medical
Kaiser Foundation Hospital - San
Rafael 99 Montecillo Rd 94903 N/A X
Health /
Medical Smith Ranch Generations (Snf) 1550 Silveira Pkwy 94903 Moderate X l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 16: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities
Category Name Address
Fire
Severity
Zone
Flood Zone
Health /
Medical Northgate Post Acute 40 Professional Center Pkwy 94903 N/A X Health /
Medical Nova House, Inc. 393 Nova Albion Way 94903 High X Health /
Medical Aldersly (Snf Unit) 326 Mission Ave 94901 N/A X Health /
Medical Pine Ridge Care Center 45 Professional Center Pkwy 94903 N/A X Health /
Medical Professional Post Acute Center 81 Professional Center Pkwy 94903 N/A X Health /
Medical Marin Post Acute 234 N San Pedro Rd 94903 Moderate X Health /
Medical
San Rafael 5th Avenue Health &
Wellness 1601 5Th Ave 94901 N/A X
Health /
Medical Sunrise Ii 48 Golden Hinde Blvd 94903 High X
Health /
Medical Villa Marin (Rcfe Unit) 100 Thorndale Dr 94903 Moderate X Health /
Medical Three Home Village 1, 2, 3 675 Rosal Way, San Rafael, Ca 94903 N/A AE Health /
Medical Almavia Of San Rafael 515 Northgate Drive, San Rafael, Ca 94903 High X Health /
Medical
Nazareth House Of San Rafael,
Inc.
245 Nova Albion Way,
San Rafael, Ca 94903 N/A X
Health /
Medical Drake Terrace
275 Los Ranchitos
Road, San Rafael, Ca
94903
High X
Health /
Medical Cogir Memory Care 111 Merrydale Rd, San Rafael, Ca 94903 N/A X Health /
Medical Greenwood Assisted Living 233 West End Ave, San Rafael, Ca 94901 Moderate X Health /
Medical St. Michael's Extended Care 416 4th Street, San Rafael, Ca 94901 N/A AE, X Health /
Medical Golden Home Extended Care, Inc. 1234 Las Gallinas Ave, San Rafael, Ca 94903 High X Health /
Medical All Saints Extended Care Inc 1373 Lincoln Ave., San Rafael, Ca 94901 High X Health /
Medical
D Street Residential Support
Services
527 D Street, San
Rafael, Ca 94901 N/A X
Health /
Medical Schon Hyme Rest Home 25 Villa Avenue, San Rafael, Ca 94901 Moderate X Health /
Medical A Loving Touch 45 Meriam Drive 94903 N/A X
Health /
Medical
Smith Ranch Homes (Independent
Living)
500 Deer Valley Road
94903 High X
Health /
Medical Luna's Home 1027 Las Pavadas Ave 94903 Moderate X Health /
Medical Aldersly (Al) (Rcfe Unit) 326 Mission Ave 94901 N/A X Health /
Medical
Smith Ranch Skilled Nursing And
Rehabilitation Center
1550 Silveira Parkway
94903 N/A X
Health /
Medical Villa Marin (Snf) 100 Thorndale Dr 94903 Moderate X Health /
Medical Dominican Sisters Of San Rafael 1520 Grand Avenue 94901 N/A X l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 16: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities
Category Name Address
Fire
Severity
Zone
Flood Zone
Health /
Medical St. Vincent's School For Boys 1 St Vincent's Drive, 94903 High X, A, AE Health /
Medical Lighthouse 714 C Street, San Rafael 94901 N/A AH Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - Adrian House 306 Adrian Way, San Rafael N/A AE Health /
Medical Long Life Living #1 36 Mt Foraker Drive, San Rafael 94903 High X Health /
Medical Dominican Convent - Lourdes Site 77 Locust Ave, San Rafael, 94901 N/A X Health /
Medical
Dominican Convent - Jane D'anza
Site
1540 Grand Ave, San
Rafael 94901 N/A X
Health /
Medical Helen Vine Detox Center 291 Smith Ranch Rd, San Rafael 94903 Moderate X Health /
Medical Lifehouse Sunrise Ii 48 Golden Hinde Blvd, San Rafael 94903 High X Health /
Medical Bayside Marin Treatment Center 718 4th Street, San Rafael 94901 N/A X Health /
Medical Caremax Peachstone Residence
440 Peachstone
Terrace, San Rafael
94903
High X
Health /
Medical Center Point - The Manor 603 D Street, San Rafael 94901 N/A AE Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - Happy House 291 Devon Dr, San Rafael, Ca 94901 High X Health /
Medical Bay Home Inc. 19 Heatherstone Court, San Rafael 94903 High X Health /
Medical Marin Services For Men 501 Whitewood Drive, San Rafael, 94903 N/A X Health /
Medical Castle SLE 1363 Lincoln Ave #4, San Rafael, CA 94901 High X Health /
Medical Villa Marin (Il) 100 Thorndale Dr 94903 Moderate X Health /
Medical Parnow Friendship House
164 North San Pedro
Road, San Rafael
94903
Moderate X
Health /
Medical Lifehouse - Knoll Rd
18 Professional Center
Parkway, San Rafael
94903
N/A X
Health /
Medical Newport Academy 5 Maoli Dr, San Rafael, Ca 94903 High X Health /
Medical Helen Vine San Rafael House 235 Union Street. San Rafael, Ca 94901 N/A X Health /
Medical L'chaim House I 777 Montcillo Rd, San Rafael 94903 High X Health /
Medical Long Life Living #3 57 Vallejo Way, San Rafael 94903 High X Health /
Medical L'chaim House II
463 Albion Way, San
Rafael
94903
High X
Health /
Medical Lifehouse - Nova 93 Nova Albion Way, San Rafael 94903 N/A X Health /
Medical Tender Residential Home 257 Blackstone Dr, San Rafael 94903 Very High X Health /
Medical Aldersly (Il Unit) 326 Mission Ave 94901 N/A X
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Table 16: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities
Category Name Address
Fire
Severity
Zone
Flood Zone
Health /
Medical Buckelew Mariner Circle 6 Mariner Circle, San Rafael N/A AE Health /
Medical Buckelew - Avanti 7 Le Claire Ct, San Rafael, Ca 94903 N/A X Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - 980 Ignacio 35 Mitchell Blvd #8, San Rafael, Ca 94903 N/A X Health /
Medical Lifehouse - 1600 Vendola Drive 1600 Vendola Dr, San Rafael, Ca 94903 N/A AE Health /
Medical
Lifehouse (Supportive Living -
Various Sites)
18 Professional Center
Parkway, San Rafael,
Ca 94903
N/A X
Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - Reichert Ave 35 Mitchell Blvd. Suite 8 San Rafael, Ca 94903 N/A X Health /
Medical Marin Health & Wellness Campus 3253 Kerner Blvd, San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A AE Health /
Medical
Kaiser Permanente Downtown San
Rafael Medical Offices
1033 3rd St, San Rafael,
CA 94901 N/A AH, X
Health /
Medical Marin Community Clinic 3110 Kerner Boulevard, San Rafael, CA N/A AE Health /
Medical
Kaiser Permanente San Rafael
Medical Offices
1650 Los Gamos Dr.,
San Rafael, CA 94903 High X
Health /
Medical MarinHealth Urgent Care 4000 Civic Center Dr, San Rafael, CA 94903 N/A X School Dominican University 50 Acacia Avenue
San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A X
School Bahia Vista Elementary 125 Bahia Vista, San
Rafael CA 94901 N/A AE
School Coleman Elementary 800 Belle Ave.

San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A X
School Glenwood Elementary 25 West Castlewood
San Rafael, CA 94901 Moderate X, AE
School Laurel Dell Elementary 225 Woodland Ave.

San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A X
School San Pedro Elementary 498 Point San Pedro
San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A X
School Sun Valley Elementary 75 Happy Lane
San Rafael, CA 94901 High X
School Vallecito School 50 Nova Albion Way,
San Rafael CA 94903 N/A X
School Venetia Valley TK-8 177 N. San Pedro Rd.

San Rafael, CA 94903 N/A X
School Davidson Middle 280 Woodland Ave.

San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A X, AE
School San Rafael High 150 Third Street
San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A X
School Terra Linda High 320 Nova Albion Way
San Rafael, CA 94903 Moderate X
School Madrone High 185 Mission Ave.

San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A AE, X
Airport/
Heliport San Rafael - Airport 400 Smith Ranch Rd, San Rafael, CA 94903 N/A AE High Potential Loss Facilities
None
Critical Infrastructure
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Table 16: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities
Category Name Address
Fire
Severity
Zone
Flood Zone
Water/Wastew
ater
Central Marin Sanitation &
Household Hazardous Waste
Facility
1301 Andersen Drive,
San Rafael, CA 94901 Moderate AE, X
Communications MERA Antenna Site - Dollar Hill Robert Dollar Dr., San Rafael, CA High X
Communications MERA Antenna Site - EOF 1600 Los Gamos Dr 94903 High X
Communications MERA Antenna Site - Forbes Hill Hepburn Heights Rd, San Rafael, CA Moderate X
Communications MERA Antenna Site - Marin County
Radio Shop N/A X
Communications MERA Antenna Site - San Pedro
Ridge Site
Mayhills Rd. San
Rafael, CA Moderate X
Power Utility PG&E Substation - Las Gallinas 125 N Redwood Dr., San Rafael, CA 94903 High X
Power Utility PG&E Substation - San Rafael 2nd St, San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A AH
Transportation Marin Transit 711 Grand Ave,
San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A AE
Transportation Golden Gate Transit: Transit
Center Customer Service Center
850 Tamalpais
San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A AH
Transportation
Golden Gate Transit: EOC,
Dispatch, Fuel, IT
1011 Andersen Dr.,
San Rafael, CA 94901 N/A AE
Transportation
San Rafael Transportation Center
(SMART Train & central bus
station)
3rd & Hetherton, San
Rafael, CA, 94901 N/A AH, X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station - Piombo
LAT: 37.96
LON: -122.49 N/A AE
Communications MERA Antenna Site - Mt Burdell 38.1449, -122.5941 Moderate X Communications MERA Antenna Site – Big Rock
Ridge 38.0591, -122.6039 Moderate X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – San Quentin
LAT: 37.96
LON: -122.49 N/A VE
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – Cayes
LAT: 37.96
LON: -122.49 N/A AE
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – Kerner
LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.50 N/A AE
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – 400 Canal
LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.51 N/A X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – Rossi
LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.51 N/A X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station- Montecito
LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.52 N/A X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – North Francisco
LAT: 37.97
LON: - 122.52 N/A AE
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – Corporate Center
LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.52 N/A nN?A
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – Lindaro
LAT: 37.97
Lon: - 122.53 N/A AH
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – Glenwood
LAT: 37.98
Lon: - 122.48 N/A X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump
Station – Peacock
LAT: 37.98
Lon: - 122.47 N/A X, AE
Table 299: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities
Source: City of San Rafael
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1.10 HISTORICAL PROPERTIES
The City of San Rafael has twelve registered historically significant homes, public buildings, or landmarks. To inventory these resources, the HMPC collected information from a number of sources:
• California Department of Parks and Recreation Office of Historic Preservation (OHP) OHP is responsible for the administration of federally and state mandated historic preservation programs to further the identification, evaluation, registration, and protection of California’s irreplaceable archaeological and historical resources. OHP administers the National Register of Historic Places, the California Register of Historical Resources, California Historical Landmarks, and the California Points of Historical Interest programs.
• City of San Rafael Chamber of Commerce.
• City of San Rafael website.

As defined by the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), any property over 50 years of age is considered a potential historic resource and is potentially eligible for the National or California Register. Thus, in the event that the property is to be altered, or has been altered, as the result of a major federal action, the property must be evaluated under the guidelines set forth by NEPA. Structural mitigation projects are considered alterations for the purpose of this regulation. Similar regulations exist for buildings under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). There is a list of numerous other potentially historically significant structures listed in Appendix B of the City’s General Plan.

Table 26: Historic Sites In The City of San Rafael
Name/Landmark
State Plaque
Number
National
Register
(NR)
State
Landmark
California
Register
Date
Listed
(NR)
Jurisdiction
Boyd House X 12/17/1974 San Rafael
Bradford House X 6/6/1980 San Rafael
China Camp (924) X X X 4/26/1979 San Rafael
Dixie
Schoolhouse X 12/26/1972 San Rafael
Robert Dollar
Estate X 12/11/1972 San Rafael
Robert Dollar
House X 7/23/1991 San Rafael
Marin County
Civic Center (999) X 7/17/1991 San Rafael
Erskine B. McNear
House X 1/11/1982 San Rafael
Miller Creek
School Indian
Mound
X 10/14/1971 San Rafael
Mission San
Rafael Arcangel
(220)
X X San Rafael
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Table 26: Historic Sites In The City of San Rafael
Name/Landmark
State Plaque
Number
National
Register
(NR)
State
Landmark
California
Register
Date
Listed
(NR)
Jurisdiction
San Rafael
Improvement Club X 3/29/1984 San Rafael
St. Vincent’s
School for Boys
(630)
X X San Rafael
Table 300: Historic Sites In The City of San Rafael
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Figure 575: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities and Infrastructure Source: Marin County OEM
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San elmo
Marin County / San Rafael
Critical Infrastructure
in wood
Harry A Barbier
Memor' ark
•
0FflCI 0I
~ .~ ~ EMERGENCY

MANAGEMENT
Legend
e Dams
• Military and Civil
Defense Installations
Communication
Facilities
e Electric Power Facilities
Wastewater Facilities
e Water Supply Facilities
• Airports
Emergency Operations
Centers
• Fire Stations
Hospitals and Medical
Facilities
Police / Sheriff Stations
Schools
0 0.5 2
Jt!evMi:!<L ,... Miles
Marin County OEM / Woody Baker-Cohn
email: [email protected]
Date Printed: 11/01/23 ~ N
County of Marin, California State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, GeoTechnologies, Inc, METI/ NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land Management, EPA, NPS, USDA 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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2.0: HAZARD IDENTIFICATION AND RISK ASSESSMENT
The City of San Rafael identified hazards that affect the city and developed natural hazard profiles based upon the countywide risk assessment, past events and their impacts. Figure 25 shows the top hazards that the Jurisdiction is at risk from according to the hazard mitigation Steering Committee.

Figure 576: City of San Rafael Hazard Risk Assessment Ranking Figure 26: Risk Rank Categorization
Risk Level Risk Numerical Score
High Risk 12 - 16
Serious Risk 8 - 11
Moderate Risk 4 - 7
Low Risk 1 - 3
Figure 577: Hazard Risk Categorization
Each Marin County OA MJHMP participating jurisdiction and organization reviewed and approved the Top Hazards identified by the Planning Team. Each participating jurisdiction and organization then completed a more complex assessment tool to further develop their hazard assessment and prioritization.

The planning process used the available FEMA tools to evaluate all the possible threats faced.

The primary tool selected was the Hazard Assessment and Prioritization Tool. This matrix allowed the participating jurisdiction or organization to assess their own level of vulnerability and mitigation capability. Each participating Jurisdiction and organization assessed the top hazards for:
16 15
14 14
13 13 13
12 11
10 7
0 0
2 4
6 8
10 12
14 16
18 Weighted Rank Percentage Value
Hazard Types
Hazards by Rank
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• Probability/ Likelihood of Future Events
• Geographic Extent
• Magnitude/ Severity
• Climate Change Influence
• Significance
Probability/ Likelihood of Future Events
• Unlikely: Occurs in intervals greater than 100 years - Less than 1% probability of occurrence in the next year or a recurrence interval greater than 100 years. • Occasional: Occurring every 11 to 100 years - 1-10% probability of occurrence in the next year or a recurrence interval of 11 to 100 years.
• Likely: Occurring every 1 to 10 years - 10-90% probability of occurrence in the next year or recurrence interval of 1 to 10 years.
• Highly Likely: Occurring almost every year - 90-100% probability of occurrence in the next year or a recurrence interval of less than 1 year.

Geographic Extent
• Negligible: Less than 10% of the planning area
• Limited: 10-25% of the planning area
• Significant: 25-75% of planning area
• Extensive: 75-100% of planning area
Magnitude/ Severity
• Weak: Limited classification on scientific scale, slow speed of onset or short duration of event, resulting in little to no damage.
• Moderate: Moderate classification on scientific scale, moderate speed of onset or moderate duration of event, resulting in some damage and loss of services for days. • Severe: Severe classification on scientific scale, fast speed of onset or long duration of event, resulting in devastating damage and loss of services for weeks or months. • Extreme: Extreme classification on scientific scale, immediate onset or extended duration of event, resulting in catastrophic damage and uninhabitable conditions.

Table 27: Select Hazards Magnitude and Severity Scale
Hazard Scale/Index Weak Moderate Severe Extreme
Drought Palmer Drought
Severity Index +1.99 to -1.99 -2.00 to -2.99 -3.00 to -3.99 -4.00 and below Earthquake Modified
Mercalli I to IV V to VII VIII IX to XII
Richter
Magnitude 2,3 4,5 6 7,8
Tornado Fujita Tornado
Damage Scale FO F1, F2 F3 F4, F5
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Climate Change Influence
• Low: Minimal potential impact
• Medium: Moderate potential impact
• High: Widespread potential impact
Significance
• Low: Minimal potential impact - Two or more criteria fall in lower classifications, or the event has a minimal impact on the planning area. This rating is sometimes used for hazards with a minimal or unknown record of occurrences or for hazards with minimal mitigation potential.
• Medium: Moderate potential impact - The criteria fall mostly in the middle ranges of classifications and the event’s impacts on the planning area are noticeable but not devastating. This rating is sometimes used for hazards with a high extent rating but very low probability rating.
• High: Widespread potential impact - The criteria consistently fall in the high classifications and the event is likely/highly likely to occur with.

2.1 CLIMATE CHANGE
The County of Marin and associated jurisdictions profiled jointly recognize that the earth’s climate is forcibly being augmented due to humans’ reliance on fossil fuels and non-natural resources which pose negative impacts on the earth’s climate. Reliance on fossil fuels and nonnatural products results in the climate shifting to include unseasonable temperatures, more frequent and intense storms, prolonged heat and cold events, and a greater reliance on technological advancements to maintain the wellbeing of community members and balance of the environment. The forced adaptation to climatic shifts is necessary for the County and jurisdictions to understand and include with these assessments.

Locally to Marin, drought and rain events have already had devastating impacts to critical infrastructure, agriculture, and water resources; and globally, unseasonable temperatures have been identified as the cause for enhanced wildfires, severe droughts, ice sheets and glaciers disappearing, and persons emigrating from their countries due to a lack of sustainable, local resources. Melting land ice contributes additional water to the oceans and as ocean temperatures rise the water expands, both of which contribute to increase rates of sea level rise.

Marin is bordered on the west by the Pacific Ocean and on the east by San Francisco Bay, making it particularly vulnerable to flooding and erosion caused by sea level rise.

The cause of current climate change is largely human activity, burning fossil fuels, natural gas, oil, and coal. Burning these materials releases greenhouse gases into Earth’s atmosphere.

Greenhouse gases trap heat from the sun’s rays inside the atmosphere causing Earth’s average temperature to rise. This rise in the planet's temperature was formerly called, “global warming”, but climate change has shown to include both intense heat and cold shifts. The warming of the planet impacts local and regional climates. Throughout Earth's history, climate has continually changed; however, when occurring naturally, this is a slower process that has taken place over hundreds and thousands of years. The human influenced climate change that is happening now is occurring at an abnormally faster rate with devastating results. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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GLOBAL OBSERVED AND PROJECTED IMPACTS AND RISKS
AR6 WGI Headline Statements from the Summary for Policymakers (ipcc.ch) • Human-induced climate change, including more frequent and intense extreme events, has caused widespread adverse impacts and related losses and damages to nature and people, beyond natural climate variability.
• Global warming, reaching 1.5°C in the near-term, would cause unavoidable increases in multiple climate hazards and present multiple risks to ecosystems and humans. • Beyond 2040 and depending on the level of global warming, climate change will lead to numerous risks to natural and human systems.
• The magnitude and rate of climate change and associated risks depend strongly on near-term mitigation and adaptation actions, and projected adverse impacts and related losses and damages escalate with every increment of global warming. • Multiple climate hazards will occur simultaneously, and multiple climatic and non-climatic risks will interact, resulting in compounding overall risk and risks cascading across sectors and regions.

FUTURE TRENDS/ IMPACTS
Source: Study Confirms Climate Models are Getting Future Warming Projections Right – Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet (nasa.gov)
Global Warming
• If global warming transiently exceeds 1.5°C in the coming decades or later, then many human and natural systems will face additional severe risks. • An estimated 60% of today’s methane emissions are the result of human activities. The largest sources of methane are agriculture, fossil fuels, and decomposition of landfill waste.
• The concentration of methane in the atmosphere has more than doubled over the past 200 years. Scientists estimate that this increase is responsible for 20 to 30% of climate warming since the Industrial Revolution (which began in 1750). • According to the most recent National Climate Assessment, droughts in the Southwest and heat waves (periods of abnormally hot weather lasting days to weeks) are projected to become more intense, and cold waves less intense and less frequent. • The last eight years have been the hottest years on record for the globe. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 578: NASA Global Temperature Change CO2 Gas
Source: NASA Global Climate Change, 2022
Figure 579: NASA Global Temperature Change 1884 to 2022 Source: NASA Global Climate Change, 2022
Drought
• A NASA-led study in 2022 concluded that the 22-year-long megadrought in southwestern US was the driest the territory had experienced in at least 1,200 years and was expected to persist through at least 2022.

Sea Level Rise
• Global sea levels are rising as a result of human-caused global warming, with recent rates being unprecedented over the past 2,500-plus years. • U.S. Sea Level Likely to Rise 1 to 6.6 Feet by 2100.

I ~<;>UNTY OF
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~

ATMOSPHERIC METHANE CONCENTRATIONS
SINCE 1984
Data source: Data from NOAA, measured from a global
network of air sampling sites
1990 2000
YEAR
TIME SERIES: 1884 TO 2022
Data source: NASNGISS
Credit: NASA's Scientific Visualization Studio
2010
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320
2020 1960 1970 1980 1990
YEAR
2000 2010 2020
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• Global sea level has risen about 8 inches (0.2 meters) since reliable record-keeping began in 1880. By 2100, scientists project that it will rise at least another foot (0.3 meters), but possibly as high as 6.6 feet (2 meters) in a high-emissions scenario. • Sea ice cover in the Arctic Ocean is expected to continue decreasing, and the Arctic Ocean will very likely become essentially ice-free in late summer if current projections hold. This change is expected to occur before mid-century. • An indicator of changes in the Arctic sea ice minimum over time. Arctic sea ice extent both affects and is affected by global climate change.

Figure 580: NASA Global Temperature Change Sea Level
Source: NASA Global Climate Change, 2022
Wildfire
• Warming temperatures have extended and intensified wildfire season in the West, where long-term drought in the region has heightened the risk of fires. • Scientists estimate that human-caused climate change has already doubled the area of forest burned in recent decades. By around 2050, the amount of land consumed by wildfires in Western states is projected to further increase by two to six times. • Even in traditionally rainy regions like the Southeast, wildfires are projected to increase by about 30%.
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SATELLITE DATA: 1993-PRESENT
Data source: Satellite sea level observations.

Credit: NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center
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2010 2015 2020
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Flooding (Precipitation)
• Climate change is having an uneven effect on precipitation (rain and snow) in the United States, with some locations experiencing increased precipitation and flooding, while others suffer from drought. Climate change is having an adverse effect on this type of hazard in the Bay Area, including Marin County, including sea level rise and storm flooding from regular precipitation and atmospheric rivers. • On average, more winter and spring precipitation is projected for the northern United States, and less for the Southwest, over this century. For the City of San Rafael, this means more impact on the storm drainage system.
• Projections of future climate over the U.S. suggest that the recent trend toward increased heavy precipitation events will continue. This means that while it may rain less frequently in some regions (such as the Southwest), when it does rain, heavy downpours will be more common.
• Flooding impacts are intensified during high tides as many of the City storm drains discharge into the Bay below king tide heights. Many outfalls become non-operational during high tides, causing flooding, a problem that will be exasperated with sea level rise.

Cold Weather
• In the last 50 years (1974), average temperatures in Marin County have rose by 6 degrees Fahrenheit. The coldest recorded month was December of 1990 at 34.7 degrees (The Californian.com). The term “extreme cold” is defined by the National Weather Service as temperatures below freezing (32 degrees F), however, the impact of cold weather on individuals may vary by location and other conditions the population typically experience, the types of facilities they are in, and what efforts individuals are expected to take. There are several factors:
o Living or working outside of a building
o Having windows that do not provide cold weather protection o Wind chill
o Rain severity and duration
• The length of the frost-free season, and the corresponding growing season, has been increasing since the 1980s, with the largest increases occurring in the western United States.
• Cold weather is relevant to the City of San Rafael and Marin County populations in the vulnerability to populations who do not have adequate heating sources, those who are not housed, and those who are institutionalized without adequate heating. Prolonged cold, especially combined with rainfall, can cause hypothermia in vulnerable individuals. • Cold weather is relevant to the City of San Rafael and Marin County jurisdictions and partners in aiding those affected by cold weather conditions in being safe during episodes of cold weather.

According to the California Natural Resource Agency (CNRA), climate change is already affecting California and is projected to continue to do so well into the foreseeable future.

Current and projected changes include increased temperatures, seal level rise, a reduced winter snowpack, altered precipitation patterns, and more frequent storm events. Over the long term, reducing greenhouse gases can help make these changes less severe, but the changes cannot l ~'?UN. TY OF
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be avoided entirely. Unavoidable climate impacts result in a variety of secondary consequences including detrimental impacts on human health and safety, economic continuity, ecosystem integrity and provision of basic services. Climate change is being profiled in the 2023 Marin County OA MJHMP as a standalone hazard while addressing each of the other natural hazards.

The Marin County OA is considering climate change issues when identifying future mitigation actions.

California is experiencing a climate crisis that is increasingly taking a toll on the health and wellbeing of its people and on its unique and diverse ecosystems. Every Californian has suffered from the effects of record high temperatures, dry winters, prolonged drought, and proliferating wildfires in recent years. California’s biodiversity is threatened as alterations to habitat conditions brought about by a changing climate are occurring at a pace that could overwhelm the ability of plant and animal species to adapt.

Indicators of Climate Change in California
Source: 2022 Report: Indicators of Climate Change in California | OEHHA • Since 1895, annual average air temperatures in California have increased by about 2.5 degrees Fahrenheit (°F). Warming occurred at a faster rate beginning in the 1980s. • Recent years have been especially warm: Eight of the ten warmest years on record occurred between 2012 and 2022; 2014 was the warmest year on record. • Of all the Western states, California endured the hottest temperatures for the longest time, driving the average statewide temperature to the second warmest over the past 128 years.
• Extreme heat ranks among the deadliest of all climate-driven hazards in California, with physical, social, political, and economic factors effecting the capacity of individuals, workers, and communities to adapt, and with the most severe impacts often on communities who experience the greatest social and health inequities. • Glaciers have essentially disappeared from the Trinity Alps in Northern California • In 2020, wildfire smoke plumes were present in each county for at least 46 days. • The 2022 fire season saw more fires than the previous fire season along with continued extreme drought and heat conditions.
• The drought, begun in 2019, was the third statewide drought declared in California since 2000.
• This drought has been marked by extreme swings; the state received record-breaking amounts of precipitation in October and December 2021 that were offset by the driest January, February, and March 2022 dating back more than 100 years. The year 2023 opened with California simultaneously managing both drought and flood emergencies. • A series of storms in late December 2022 and early January 2023 broke rural levees, disrupted power, flooded roads, downed trees, and eroded coastal land. • Sea level rise accelerates coastal erosion, worsens coastal flooding during large storms and peak tidal events, and impacts important infrastructure positioned along our state’s 1,100-mile coast.
• The western drought which impacted all of California and the western United States was nearly lifted due to unseasonably heavy rains in late 2022 and early 2023.

The graph below shows the relative change, in millimeters, in sea levels at Crescent City (1933- 2020), San Francisco (1900-2020), and La Jolla (1925-2020). l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 581: Annual Mean Sea Level Trends
Source: 2022 Report: Indicators of Climate Change in California | OEHHA Climate Change in the Marin County Operational Area
Climate change is already having significant impacts across California. Temperatures are warming, heat waves are more frequent, and precipitation has become increasingly variable.

Climate change will continue to alter Marin County OA ecosystems as a result of rising temperatures, changes in precipitation, and sea level rise, which will increase the severity and occurrence of natural hazards across the Marin County OA well into the future. Coastal cooling processes that keep temperatures down, such as fog, will continue to decrease. Rising temperatures will exacerbate drought conditions and raise the potential for significant wildfires and associated smoke as vegetation becomes drier and tree mortality increases. Forested woodlands that play a major role in carbon reduction will gradually transition into chaparral and shrublands. There will be more extreme storms and weather events, including expanded heat waves and increased rain events with changes in precipitation. Significant rain events will lead to an increase in flooding and the potential for severe landslides. Shoreline communities will become inundated with sea level rise, storm surge, and high tide events. Marshlands and wetlands that act as natural storm barriers will disappear as they transition into open water.

Notable impacts from climate change that are already evident in the Marin County OA and surrounding region as identified in a 2020 Marin County Civil Grand Jury Report include:
• From 1895-2018, the average temperature in Marin County increased by 2.3 degrees Fahrenheit.
• Over the past century, sea level rise in the San Francisco Bay Area rose by eight inches and has accelerated rapidly since 2011.
• The threat of wildfires in 2019 was so severe that Pacific Gas and Electric shut off electric power to the County for multiple days.

Climate change will continue to affect homes, businesses, infrastructure, utilities, transportation systems and agriculture across the Marin County OA. The risk to socially vulnerable populations will increase as they feel the immediate impacts of climate change more significantly and are less able to adapt to climate changes and recover from its impacts. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Chart: OEHHA Climate Change Indicators of California 2022 • Source: NOAA • Get the data • Download image • Created with Datawrapper 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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The Marin County OA has adopted numerous planning initiatives and mitigation measures to help combat the effects of climate change across the OA. The Marin Climate Energy Partnership (MCEP), which is a partnership program including numerous Marin County jurisdictions, the County of Marin, and regional agencies, adopted a model Climate Action Plan (CAP) that is intended to support countywide strategic efforts and is currently being used to update or establish climate action plans for additional jurisdictions within Marin County. The adopted Climate Action Plan serves as the adopted plan for the unincorporated County, which was completed in 2020. The MCEP also collects data and reports on progress in meeting each County jurisdictions’ individual greenhouse gas emission targets. In October 2022, the County published the Greenhouse Gas Inventory for Unincorporated Community Emissions for the Year 2020. Marin County OA jurisdictions have already met their greenhouse reduction goals for 2020 and are about halfway to meeting the statewide goal to reduce emissions 40% below 1990 levels by the year 2030. Marin County also formed a Sea Level Marin Adaptation Response Team in 2018 and had a Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment and associated Adaptation Report completed for the County and each of its jurisdictions in 2017 as part of their Bay Waterfront Adaptation and Vulnerability Evaluation. Additional Marin County OA climate change mitigation programs and initiatives include Marin Clean Energy, Electrify Marin, the Marin Solar Project, the Marin Energy Watch Partnership, Resilient Neighborhoods, and Drawdown: Marin. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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2.2 HAZARDS
Of the hazards profiled in the Marin County OA MJHMP, those noted in the table are specific for the City of San Rafael as per the planning team.

Table 28: City of San Rafael Hazard Risk Assessment
Hazard
Probability/
Likelihood of
Future Events
Extent Magnitude/
Severity
Climate
Change
Influence
Significance Risk
Score
Debris Flow Highly Likely Significant Moderate Medium Medium 13.00 Drought Likely Extensive Moderate High Medium 14.00
Earthquake Occasional Significant Severe None Medium 10.00 Flooding Highly Likely Significant Severe High High 16.00 Land Subsidence Highly Likely Significant Weak Low Medium 11.00 Levee Failure Unlikely Significant Severe High High 13.00 Sea Level Rise Highly Likely Significant Moderate High High 15.00 Severe Weather –
Extreme Heat Likely Extensive Moderate High Low 13.00
Severe Weather –
Wind, Tornado Occasional Extensive Moderate Medium Medium 12.00 Tsunami Unlikely Limited Moderate None Medium 7.00
Wildfire Likely Significant Severe High Medium 14.00
Table 302: City of San Rafael Hazard Risk Assessment
Source: City of San Rafael
Omitted Hazards
Because San Rafael does not have any dams and is not within a dam flood inundation zone, dam failure is an omitted hazard.
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Table 29: County of Marin Hazard Risk Assessment
Hazard
Probability/
Likelihood of
Future Events
Geographic
Extent
Magnitude/
Severity
Climate
Change
Influence
Significance Risk
Score
Dam Failure Unlikely Negligible Extreme Low Medium 9.00 Debris Flow Occasional Extensive Severe Medium Medium 13.00 Drought Highly Likely Extensive Moderate High High 16.00 Earthquake Highly Likely Extensive Extreme None High 15.00 Flooding Highly Likely Limited Severe High Medium 14.00 Land Subsidence Occasional Limited Moderate Medium Medium 10.00 Levee Failure Unlikely Negligible Moderate Medium High 9.00 Sea Level Rise Highly Likely Limited Extreme High High 16.00 Severe Weather –
Extreme Heat Highly Likely Extensive Moderate High Medium 15.00 Severe Weather –
High Wind/Tornado Highly Likely Extensive Moderate High Medium 15.00 Tsunami Highly Likely Limited Extreme Medium High 15.00 Wildfire Highly Likely Significant Severe High High 16.00 Table 303: Hazard Risk Assessment
Source: County of Marin

2.2.1 DEBRIS FLOWS
For the purposes of the Marin County OA MJHMP, debris flows are classified as landslides (including rockslides) and mud flows.

A landside is the breaking away and gravity-driven downward movement of hill slope materials, which can travel at speeds ranging from fractions of an inch per year to tens of miles per hour depending on the slope steepness and water content of the rock/soil mass. Landslides range from the size of an automobile to a mile or more in length and width and, due to their sheer weight and speed, can cause serious damage and loss of life. The rate of a landslide is affected by the type and extent of vegetation, slope angle, degree of water saturation, strength of the rocks, and the mass and thickness of the deposit. Some of the natural causes of this instability are earthquakes, weak materials, stream and coastal erosion, and heavy rainfall. In addition, certain human activities tend to make the earth materials less stable and increase the chance of ground failure. These activities include extensive irrigation, poor drainage or groundwater withdrawal, removal of stabilizing vegetation and over-steepening of slopes by undercutting them or overloading them with artificial fill. These activities can cause slope failure, which normally produce landslides.

Landslide material types are often broadly categorized as either rock or soil, or a combination of the two for complex movements. Rock refers to hard or firm bedrock that was intact and in place l ~'?UN. TY OF
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prior to slope movement. Soil, either residual or transported material, means unconsolidated particles. The distinction between rock and soil is most often based on interpretation of geomorphic characteristics within landslide deposits, but can also be inferred from geologic characteristics of the parent material described on maps or in the field. Landslide movements are also based on the geomorphic expression of the landslide deposit and source area, and are categorized as falls, topples, spreads, slides, or flows. Falls are masses of soil or rock that dislodge from steep slopes and free fall. Topples move by the forward pivoting of a mass around an axis below the displaced mass. Lateral spreads move by horizontal extension and shear or tensile fractures. Slides displace masses of material along one or more discrete planes and can either be rotational or transitional. Flows mobilize as a deforming, viscous mass without a discrete failure plane.

Natural conditions that contribute to landslide include the following:
• Degree of slope
• Water (heavy rain, river flows, or wave action)
• Unconsolidated soil or soft rock and sediments
• Lack of vegetation (no stabilizing root structure)
• Previous wildfires and other forest disturbances
• Earthquake
In addition, many human activities tend to make the earth materials less stable and, thus, increase the chance of ground movement. Human activities contribute to soil instability through grading of steep slopes or overloading them with artificial fill, by extensive irrigation, construction of impermeable surfaces, excessive groundwater withdrawal, and removal of stabilizing vegetation.

Another hazard related to landslide and erosion is the fall of a detached mass of rock from a cliff or down a very steep slope (rockfall). Weathering and decomposition of geological materials produce conditions favorable to rockfalls. Other causes include ice wedging, root growth, or ground shaking (earthquake). Destructive landslides and rockfalls usually occur very suddenly with little or no warning time and are short in duration.

Landslides can cause high mortality and injuries from rapidly flowing water and debris. The most common cause of death in a landslide is trauma or suffocation by entrapment. Broken power, water, gas or sewage pipes can also result in injury or illness in the population affected, such as water-borne diseases, electrocution or lacerations from falling debris. People affected by landslides can also have short- and long-term mental health effects due to loss of family, property, livestock or crops. Landslides can also greatly impact the health system and essential services, such as water, electricity or communication lines.

Landslide susceptibly can be characterized by looking at both slope class and rock strength.

Landslide susceptibility classes express the generalization that on very low slopes, landslide susceptibility is low even in weak rock, and that landslide susceptibility increases with slope and in weaker rocks. Very high landslide susceptibility includes very steep slopes in hard rocks and moderate to very steep slopes in weak rocks. Figure 31 shows landslide susceptibility classes. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 582: Landslide Susceptibility Classes
Source: USGS
A mud flow is a general term for a mass-movement landform and process characterized by a flowing mass of fine-grained earth material with a high degree of fluidity. Heavy rainfall, snowmelt, or high levels of groundwater flowing through cracked bedrock may trigger a movement of soil or sediments. Floods and debris flows may also occur when strong rains on hill or mountain slopes cause extensive erosion and/or what is known as "channel scour".

Some broad mud flows are rather viscous and therefore slow; others begin very quickly and continue like an avalanche. Mud flows are composed of at least 50% silt and clay-sized materials and up to 30% water.

The point where a muddy material begins to flow depends on its grain size and the water content. Fine grainy material or soil has a smaller friction angle than a coarse sediment or a debris flow, but falling rock pieces can trigger a material flow, too. When a mud flow occurs it is given four named areas, the 'main scarp', in bigger mud flows the 'upper and lower shelves', and the 'toe'. See Figure 32 for the typical areas of a mud flow, with shelves (right) and without (left). The main scarp will be the original area of incidence, the toe is the last affected area(s).

The upper and lower shelves are located wherever there is a large dip (due to mountain or natural drop) in the mud flow's path. A mud flow can have many shelves. l ~'?UN. TY OF ~ ~ ARIN ~

ROCK STRENGTH
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SUSCEPTIBILITY

CLASSES
( 0 Ill V VI VII VIII IX X )
inaeasing susceptibitity
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Figure 583: Mud Flow Areas
Source: Washington Department of Natural Resources
If large enough, mud flows can devastate villages and country-sides. Mud flows are common in mountain areas prone to wildfire, where they have destroyed many homes built on hillsides without sufficient support after fires destroy vegetation holding the land. The area most generally recognized as being at risk of a dangerous mud flow are:
• Areas where wildfires or human modification of the land have destroyed vegetation • Areas where landslides have occurred before
• Steep slopes and areas at the bottom of slopes or canyons • Slopes that have been altered for construction of buildings and roads • Channels along streams and rivers
• Areas where surface runoff is directed
A landslide in San Rafael would most likely occur in the areas of the City where the terrain is steeper and is more susceptible to movement of soil. Most of San Rafael is hilly and lies in an areas of moderate to high landslide susceptibility. Some areas of the city have extreme landslide susceptibility including along the border of Sleepy Hollow and Lucas Valley, north of downtown, and in the southern end near Larkspur. These areas of San Rafael are primarily residential and consist of numerous winding streets and hillside homes that could be damaged or destroyed by a landslide. Residences in or on the fringes of open space areas including the San Pedro Mountain Open Space Preserve, Harry A. Barbier Memorial Park, China Camp State Park, the Loma Alta Open Space Preserve and the Terra Linda Open Space Preserve have moderate to high susceptibility to a landslide. There are thousands of residences in these areas. A landslide in any of areas could impact ingress and egress into communities that are at high susceptibility of a landslide. Highway 101 also has high landslide susceptibility through much of central San Rafael, and a landslide on the highway could cause significant transportation challenges that could impact the City. Much of downtown, including commercial buildings, the San Rafael City Hall, the San Rafael Police Department, the San Rafael Fire Station #51 and the Marin Academy lies in an area of moderate landslide susceptibility.

Numerous schools in southern San Rafael lie on the fringe of areas with moderate to high land susceptibility and include the Dominican University of California, the Laurel Dell Academy, the Davidson Middle School, the Glenwood School, San Rafael High School, the San Raphael School, and the Sun Valley School. Numerous critical facilities in northern San Rafael lie partly in areas of moderate to high landslide susceptibility and include Gallinas Elementary School, Terra Linda High School, the Vallecito School, the Mark Day School, the San Rafael Fire Station #53 and the Marin County Civic Center. There are dozens of medical facilities throughout San Rafael that lie in areas of moderate to high landslide susceptibility, including the Kaiser Permanente San Rafael Medical Center. The Caulbridge School lies predominantly in an area l ~'?UN. TY OF
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of extreme landslide susceptibility. Several radio towers throughout San Rafael lie in areas of moderate to extreme landslide susceptibility.
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Figure 584: City of San Rafael Debris Flow Critical Facilities and Infrastructure Source: Marin County OEM
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• Dams
• Military and Civil
Defense Installations
Communication
Facilities
Electric Power Facilities
Wastewater Facilities
Water Supply Facilities
Airports
Emergency Operations
Centers
Marin County / San Rafael
Landslide •
0RICI0I

EMERGENCY
• MANAGEMENT
inwood
Fire Stations V
Hospitals and Medical VI
Facilities • vn
Police / Sheriff Stations • vm
Schools • ix
Landslide • x
Susceptibility
Class
0 III
0 ade
swee

0.5 ...
2 Miles
Marin County OEM / Woody Baker-Cohn
email: [email protected]
Date Printed: 11/01/23
6 N
County of Marin, (alifornia State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, Geo Technologies, Inc, METI/NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land Management, EPA, NPS,

USDA, DOC/CGS
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An earthquake has the potential to cause landslides throughout areas of landslide susceptibility in San Rafael. A wildfire and subsequent rain event in any of the open spaces in and around San Rafael, including in the San Pedro Mountain Open Space Preserve, Harry A. Barbier Memorial Park, China Camp State Park and along the border of Lucas Valley and Sleepy Hollow could cause mudslides that could impact adjacent communities.

On 3/23/2023, a landslide in the 100 block of Bret Harte Avenue sent trees crashing into power lines.

On 3/5/2019, wet weather caused a landslide below Crestview Way, threatening a home.

On 2/7/2017, a severe storm caused a mudslide that resulted in a boulder shearing a house in the 300 block of Mountain View Avenue in two.

On 1/10/2017, a slide along the 30 block of Glenaire Drive in the Bret Harte neighborhood south of downtown San Rafael sent mud cascading 140 feet down onto three homes.

On 1/3–1/5/1982, a severe storm caused a mudslide that collapsed several homes, resulting in fatalities.

Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
Extreme storm events and more frequent wildfires as a result of climate change have the potential to increase the amount and severity of landslides, including disastrous debris flows.

Climate change is leading to more volatile precipitation patterns around the world with very dry stretches punctuated by storms that drop large amounts of rain in a short amount of time.

Landslides in wetter regions of California, including the Marin County OA, move on average faster and farther downhill during rainy periods compared to drought years, according to a 2022 study by the American Geophysical Union (AGU)36, showing the increased potential for landslides in the Marin County OA in rainy years. As development increases in the numerous canyons and around the many open spaces of the Marin County OA, the potential for significant impacts from a landslide and/or mudflow increases. Further development of the residential areas of San Rafael that have a higher landslide susceptibility will expose more people and property to landslide risk. With increased wildfire potential as a result of climate change, more residents in San Rafael could be susceptible to post-fire debris flows. Future development should take into account the movement of mud and debris in waterways after a major rain event. Adequate space adjacent to susceptible waterways should be maintained free of development to allow for the passage of mud and debris, and catchment basins should be built in these areas to help capture any excess mud and debris.

2.2.2 DROUGHT
A drought is a deficiency in precipitation over an extended period, usually a season or more, resulting in a water shortage causing adverse impacts on vegetation, animals, and/or people. It is a normal recurrent feature of climate that occurs in virtually all climate zones, from very wet to very dry. Drought is a temporary aberration from normal climatic conditions and can thus vary significantly from one region to another. Droughts occur slowly, over a multi-year period, and it 36 Landslide Sensitivity and Response to Precipitation Changes in Wet and Dry Climates. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022GL099499 l ~'?UN. TY OF
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is often not obvious or easy to quantify when a drought begins and ends. Drought is a complex issue involving many factors—it occurs when a normal amount of moisture is not available to satisfy an area’s usual water-consuming activities.

There are several types of drought which can often be defined regionally based on its effects:
• Meteorological drought is usually defined by a period of below average water supply, based on the degree of dryness (in comparison to normal or average) and the duration of the dry period. Drought onset generally occurs with a meteorological drought.
• Agricultural drought occurs when there is an inadequate water supply to meet the needs of the state’s crops and other agricultural operations such as livestock.

Agricultural drought links various characteristics of meteorological (or hydrological) drought to agricultural impacts, focusing on precipitation shortages, soil water deficits, reduced ground water or reservoir levels needed for irrigation. • Hydrological drought is defined as deficiencies in surface and subsurface water supplies. It is generally measured as stream flow, snowpack, and as lake, reservoir, and groundwater levels. Hydrological drought usually occurs following periods of extended precipitation shortfalls.

Socioeconomic drought occurs when a drought impacts health, well-being, and quality of life, or when a drought starts to have an adverse economic impact on a region.

Drought can occur in all areas of San Rafael, though its effects would be most felt in the mountainous areas around the city where the risk of wildfire would increase. The wetland areas of San Rafael, particularly the marshlands along San Rafael Bay and San Pablo Bay, could become drier during prolonged period of drought and experience marshland fires that could impact local businesses and residences in the area. Dry trees in public open spaces like Harry A. Barbier Memorial Park, Boyd Memorial Park and Jerry Russom Memorial Park can become a safety hazard to the public due to falling limbs or the toppling of the tree itself.

Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
Climate change increases the odds of worsening drought. Warmer temperatures enhance evaporation, which reduces surface water and dries out soils and vegetation. This makes periods with low precipitation in the summer drier than they would be in cooler conditions.

Climate also alters the timing of water availability as warmer winter temperatures cause less precipitation to fall. During droughts, communities in the Marin County OA including San Rafael may have limited access to water for household use, including drinking, cooking, cleaning, and watering plants, as well as for agriculture, transportation, and power generation. Drought may lead to higher water costs, rationing, or even the decimation of important water sources like wells in the Marin County OA. As more people move into the Marin County OA and San Rafael, additional strain will be placed on the OA’s water supply. Drought can affect livestock and crops in the Marin County OA, impacting its economy. Drought can increase the occurrence and severity of wildfires and tree mortality in the Marin County OA including in the open spaces in and around San Rafael. Impacts to residents and infrastructure from wildfire as a result of drought will increase as more development occurs in the mountainous areas of the Marin County OA including San Rafael where wildfires are more likely to occur. Drought also has the potential to dry out the marshlands along the shoreline of San Rafael, increasing the chances of brush fires there. Future development in this area and in the mountainous areas of San Rafael l ~'?UN. TY OF
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could expose people to drier summer conditions that could increase their vulnerability to wildfire.

Drought also increases the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, including by decreasing land productivity, which reduces the amount of vegetation storing carbon dioxide. In addition, increases in drought-related wildfire and soil erosion can release carbon dioxide sequestered in trees and plants back into the atmosphere. This will only worsen climate change for the Marin County OA into the future. When considering future development, the Marin County OA including San Rafael can help prepare for both future droughts and climate change by practicing and promoting water conservation and enhancing water efficiency throughout landscapes, city plans, and water infrastructure. The Marin County OA can also identify alternative water supplies, create drought emergency plans, and encourage farmers to plant drought-resistant crops.

2.2.3 EARTHQUAKE
Earthquakes are sudden rolling or shaking events caused by movement under the earth’s surface. Earthquakes happen along cracks in the earth's surface, called fault lines, and can be felt over large areas, although they usually last less than one minute.

The amount of energy released during an earthquake is usually expressed as a magnitude and is currently measured by seismologists on the Moment Magnitude (Mw Scale). The Mw Scale was developed to succeed the previously used Richter Scale and is measured on a scale of zero to ten with increasing values reflecting increasing intensity.

The other commonly used measure of earthquake severity is intensity, which is an expression of the amount of shaking at any given location on the ground service. Intensity is most commonly measured on the Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) Scale (see Figure 34).

Figure 585: Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale
Source: USGS
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Intensity Shaking
Not felt
II Weak
Ill Weak
IV Light
V Moderate
VI Strong
VII Very
strong
Severe
Violent
- Extreme
e
Description/Damage
Not felt except by a very few under especially favorable conditions.

Felt only by a few persons at rest,especially on upper floors of buildings.

Felt quite noticeably by persons indoors, especially on upper floors of bui ldings. Many people do not recognize it as an earthquake.

Standing motor ca rs may roc k slightly. Vibrations simi lar to the passing of a truck. Duration estimated.

Felt indoors by many, outdoors by few during the day. At night, some awakened. Dishes, windows, doors disturbed; walls make cracking sound. Sensation like heavy truck striking building. Standing motor cars rocked not iceably.

Felt by nearly everyone; many awakened. Some dishes, windows broken. Unstable objects overturned. Pendulum clocks may stop.

Felt by all, many frightened. Some heavy furniture moved; a few instances of fa llen plaster. Damage slight.

Damage negligible in buildings of good design and construction; slight to moderate in well-built ordinary structures; considerable damage in poorly built or badly designed structures; some chimneys broken.

Damage slight in specially designed structures; considerable damage in ordinary substantial buildings with partial collapse. Damage great in poorly built structures. Fall of chimneys, factory stacks, columns, monuments, walls. Heavy furnitu re overturned.

Damage considerable in specially designed structures; well-designed frame structures thrown out of plumb. Damage great in substantial buildings, with partial collapse. Buildings shifted off fou ndations.

Some well-bui lt wooden structures destroyed; most masonry and fra me structures destroyed with fou ndations. Rails bent. 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Figure 35 gives intensities (measured on the MMI scale) that are typically observed at locations near the epicenter or earthquakes of different magnitudes.

Figure 586: Mercalli Scale vs. Magnitude
Source: USGS
The extent of ground shaking also depends in large part on how soft the underlying soil is. Soft soils amplify ground shaking (see Figure 36). This was observed during the 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake when the most significant damages experienced in San Francisco were in the Marina District, which was built on fill.

Figure 587: Soil Types
Source: USGS
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Soil Vs>
type 1500
A m/sec
1500
Soil
type m/sec>
Vs> 750
B m/sec
750
Soil
Type m/sec>
Vs> 350
C m/sec
350
Soil
Type m/ sec>
Vs> 200
D m/sec
Soil 200
Type m/ sec>
E Vs
e
Richter Typical Maximum
Magnitude Scale Modified Mercalli
Intensity Scale

1.0-2.9 I

3.0-3.9 11-111

4.0-4.9 IV- V

5.0-5.9 VI- VII

6.0-6.9 VII-IX

7.0 or higher VIII or higher
Includes unweathered intrusive igneous rock. Occurs infrequently in the bay area. We consider it with type B (both A and Bare represented by the color blue on the map). Soil types A and B do not contribute greatly to shaking amplification.

Includes volcanics, most Mesozoic bedrock, and some Franciscan bedrock. (Mesozoic rocks are between 245 and 64 million years old. The Franciscan Complex is a Mesozoic unit that is common in the Bay Area.) Includes some Quaternary (less than 1.8 million years old) sands, sandstones and mudstones, some Upper Tertiary (1.8 to 24 million years old) sandstones, mudstones and limestone, some Lower Tertiary (24 to 64 million years old) mudstones and sandstones, and Franciscan melange and serpentinite.

Includes some Quaternary muds, sands, gravels, silts and mud. Significant amplification of shaking by these soils is generally expected.

Includes water-saturated mud and artificial fi ll. The strongest amplification of shaking due is expected for this soil type.
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An earthquake fault is defined as “a fracture or fracture zone in the earth’s crust along which there has been displacement of the sides relative to one another.” For the purpose of planning there are two types of faults, active and inactive. Active faults have experienced displacement in historic time, suggesting that future displacement may be expected. Inactive faults show no evidence of movement in recent geologic time, suggesting that these faults are dormant.

Two types of fault movement represent possible hazards to structures in the immediate vicinity of the fault: fault creep and sudden fault displacement. Fault creep, a slow movement of one side of a fault relative to the other, can cause cracking and buckling of sidewalks and foundations even without perceptible ground shaking. Sudden fault displacement occurs during an earthquake event and may result in the collapse of buildings or other structures that are found along the fault zone when fault displacement exceeds an inch or two. The only protection against damage caused directly by fault displacement is to prohibit construction in the fault zone.

An earthquake could occur anywhere in and around San Rafael due to the number of active faults within and near the Marin County OA.

Earthquake Shake Intensity
The colors on Figures 32 and 33 represent the level of ground shaking intensity of a potential future earthquake. The result is expressed as the level of ground shaking (expressed as a percentage of gravity) that on average occurs every 500 years.

This map shows the expected relative intensity of ground shaking and damage in California from anticipated future earthquakes. The shaking potential is calculated as the level of ground motion that has a 2% chance of being exceeded in 50 years, which is the same as the level of ground-shaking with about a 2500 year average repeat time. The relatively long-period (1.0 second) earthquake shaking is shown here. Long period-shaking affects tall, relatively flexible buildings, but also correlates well with overall earthquake damage.

Earthquake Shaking Potential Maps for California depict expected intermediate period (1s or 1hz) ground motions with 2% exceedance probability in 50 years. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 588: Marin County OA Earthquake Impact and Fault Lines Source: Marin County OEM
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EMERGENCY

MANAGEMENT
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Marin County OEM / Woody Baker-Cohn
email: [email protected]
Date Printed: 10/07/23
County of Marin, California State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, GeoTechnologies, Inc, METI/NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land Management, EPA, NPS, USDA, County of Marin, California State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, FAO, METI/NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land Management, EPA, NPS 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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San Rafael is located directly between the San Andreas and Hayward faults. A moderate to extreme earthquake originating from either of these major faults or any of the other faults in the region could have major impacts to the City. There is increased risk of shaking and liquefaction throughout San Rafael from an earthquake, particularly in the southern area of the city downtown and along the Highway 101 corridor; the area south of China Camp State Park; the northern area of the city along Manuel T. Freitas Parkway and the Highway 101 corridor, and areas along Galinas Creek and the South Fork of Galinas Creek. These areas include the primary commercial areas of the City including downtown, and numerous residential neighborhoods with thousands of residences. Nearly all of the city’s critical facilities lie in areas of moderate earthquake shaking potential with the exception of the Marin County Civic Center, the San Rafael Fire Station #53 and several medical facilities. Vulnerable structures include bridges and older buildings that have not undergone major seismic retrofitting. Utility infrastructure throughout the City could be impacted by an earthquake. Most of Highway 101 that runs through the City lies in an area of moderate earthquake shaking potential. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 589: City of San Rafael Earthquake Critical Facilities and Infrastructure Source: Marin County OEM
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Marin County / San Rafael
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Airports
Emergency Operations
Centers
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Legend
Fire Stations
Hospitals and Medical
Facilities
Police / Sheriff Stations
Schools
EarthquakeShaking

0.45 0.55

0.65 0.75
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- 1.55
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1.85 1.95
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Marin County OEM / Woody Baker-Cohn
email: [email protected]
Date Printed: 11/01/23 ~ N
County of Marin, California State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, GeoTechnologies, Inc, METI/NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land Management, EPA, NPS, USDA 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Earthquakes could also cause landslides in the open space areas in and surrounding San Rafael with steeper terrain, causing damage to homes and roads as a result of shifting soils.

San Rafael hasn’t yet experienced a significant earthquake. The Marin County OA was sparsely populated at the time of the 1906 San Francisco Earthquake, and the effects across the County were relatively minimal. Likewise, the 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake caused minimal impacts across the Marin County OA as the epicenter of the quake was further south in Santa Cruz County. Smaller earthquakes with minimal to no impacts are routinely felt in San Rafael.

Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
There is no direct link between climate change and seismic activity that could impact the Marin County OA including San Rafael, so climate change is not expected to cause any changes to the frequency or intensity of seismic shaking. According to a 2018 study by the Institute of Physics (IOP)37, climate change could result in “isostatic rebounds,” or a sudden upward movement of the crust because of reduced downward weight caused by glaciers. As glaciers are known to melt when overall global temperatures increase, climate change could indirectly lead to an increase in seismicity in the Marin County OA including San Rafael. Climate change could also impact earthquakes felt in the Marin County OA as droughts can further deteriorate existing fault lines and pumping groundwater can put further pressure on the earth’s crust.

Future development in the populated areas of Marin County OA where seismic shaking and subsidence are more prevalent could exacerbate the impacts of an earthquake. This includes the lowlands of San Rafael, where the risk of subsidence and subsequent earthquake shaking are higher. Future development in these areas could expose more people and infrastructure to earthquake shaking as a result of climate change.

2.2.4 FLOODING
Flooding is the rising and overflowing of a body of water onto normally dry land. Floods are among the costliest natural disasters in terms of human hardship and economic loss nationwide.

The area adjacent to a channel is the floodplain. Floodplains are illustrated on inundation maps, which show areas of potential flooding and water depths. In its common usage, the floodplain most often refers to that area that is inundated by the 100-year flood, the flood that has a one percent chance in any given year of being equaled or exceeded. The 100-year flood is the national minimum standard to which communities regulate their floodplains through the National Flood Insurance Program. The 200-year flood is one that has 0.5% chance of being equaled or exceeded each year. The 500-year flood is the flood that has a 0.2 percent chance of being equaled or exceeded in any given year. The potential for flooding can change and increase through various land use changes and changes to land surface, which result in a change to the floodplain. A change in environment can create localized flooding problems inside and outside of natural floodplains by altering or confining natural drainage channels. These changes are most often created by human activity such as construction of bridges or channels. In areas where flow contains high sediment load, such as Easkoot Creek in Stinson Beach (due to an active landslide upstream), the flow carrying capacity of the channel may be reduced dramatically during a single flood event. Coastal floodplains may also change over time as waves and currents alter the coastline (especially wetlands) and sea levels rise. 37 An Enhanced Seismic Activity Observed Due to Climate Change: Preliminary Results from Alaska. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/167/1/012018 l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Flooding can occur in several ways:

Riverine flooding – Riverine flooding, defined as when a watercourse exceeds its “bank-full” capacity, generally occurs as a result of prolonged rainfall, or rainfall that is combined with snowmelt and/or already saturated soils from previous rain events. This type of flood occurs in river systems whose tributaries may drain large geographic areas and include one or more independent river basins. The onset and duration of riverine floods may vary from a few hours to many days and is often characterized by high peak flows combined with a large volume of runoff. Factors that directly affect the amount of flood runoff include precipitation amount, intensity and distribution, the amount of soil moisture, seasonal variation in vegetation, snow depth, and water-resistance of the surface due to urbanization. In the Marin County OA, riverine flooding can occur anytime from November through April and is largely caused by heavy and continued rains, sometimes combined with snowmelt, increased outflows from upstream dams, and heavy flow from tributary streams. These intense storms can overwhelm the local waterways as well as the integrity of flood control structures. Flooding is more severe when antecedent rainfall has resulted in saturated ground conditions. The warning time associated with slow rise riverine floods assists in life and property protection.

Flash flooding – Flash flooding describes localized floods of great volume and short duration.

This type of flood usually results from a heavy rainfall on a relatively small drainage area.

Precipitation of this sort usually occurs in the winter and spring. Flash floods often require immediate evacuation within the hour and thus early threat identification and warning is critical for saving lives.

Localized/Stormwater flooding – Localized flooding problems are often caused by flash flooding, severe weather, or an unusual amount of rainfall. Flooding from these intense weather events usually occurs in areas experiencing an increase in runoff from impervious surfaces associated with development and urbanization as well as inadequate storm drainage systems.

Tidal flooding – Tidal flooding develops when high tides exceed either the top of bank elevation of tidal sloughs and channels, or the crest of bay levees. An especially high tide event that occurs during alignment of the gravitational pull between the sun and the moon, causing tidal water levels to rise to higher-than normal levels. King tides are normal, predictable events that occur semi-annually during winter months. Typically storms in which high tides coincide with peak stormwater flow are the most damaging.

The area is also at risk of flooding resulting from levee failures and dam failures. Dam failure flooding is discussed separately in the Dam Failure Section of this document; levee failure flooding is discussed separately in the Levee Failure Section of this document. Regardless of the type of flood, the cause is often the result of severe weather and excessive rainfall, either in the flood area or upstream reach.

A weather pattern called the “Atmospheric River” contributes to the flooding potential of the area. An Atmospheric River brings warm air and rain to the West. A relatively common weather pattern brings southwest winds to the Pacific Northwest or California, along with warm, moist air. The moisture sometimes produces many days of heavy rain, which can cause extensive flooding. The warm air also can melt the snowpack in the mountains, which further aggravates the flooding potential. In the colder parts of the year, the warm air can be cooled enough to produce heavy, upslope snow as it rises into the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada or l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Cascades. Forecasters and others on the West Coast often used to refer to this warm, moist air as the “Pineapple Express” because it comes from around Hawaii where pineapples are grown.

A diagram of an atmospheric river event is shown in Figure 39.

Figure 590: Diagram of an Atmospheric River Event
Source: NOAA
The Marin County OA is susceptible to various types of flood events. In coastal areas, flooding may occur when strong winds or tides result in a surge of seawater into areas that are above the normal high tide line. Other types of flooding in Marin include isolated ponding and stormwater overflow. Isolated ponding is when pools form on the ground and can occur in any area that doesn’t drain effectively – for example, in a natural depression in the landscape.

Stormwater overflow is when storm drains back up. Stormwater drainage systems quickly convey rainwater through underground pipes to creeks and the Bay. When the stormdrains are obstructed or broken or when the water bodies to which they lead to are already full, water backs up onto the streets. Although stormwater overflow and isolated ponding also occur throughout the County, the effects are typically not widespread or significantly damaging.

Flooding in San Rafael generally results from a combination of high tides from San Rafael Bay and San Pablo Bay and creek flooding Gallinas Creek, the South Fork of Galinas Creek and San Rafael Creek in low-lying areas. Local flooding in San Rafael is exacerbated where the storm water drainage network has inadequate capacity for peak flows.

Most of the lowland areas in San Rafael are in the 100-year floodplain, with several areas in the 500-year floodplain. The 100-year floodplain extends mostly along the Highway 101 corridor south of San Rafael Creek for three miles between Gallinas Creek and the South Fork of Gallinas Creek east of Highway 101, and north of Point San Pedro around the San Pedro Lagoon and the Peacock Gap Golf Country Club. This area include part of downtown, hundreds of homes, numerous commercial buildings and shopping plazas, several medical facilities, the Golden Gate, Bridge and Transportation District Emergency Operations Center, the Central Marin Sanitary Agency Wastewater Treatment Plant, a Pacific Gas and Electric yard, the San l ~'?UN. TY OF
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The science behind atmospheric rivers
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Rafael Fire Station #54, the Bahia Vista School, the Davidson Middle School, the San Rafael Fire Station #52, part of the San Rafael High School, the San Rafael Fire Station #55, the Smith Ranch Airport, and nine of the ten pump stations in the Marin Lagoon that could be susceptible to flooding. Approximately three miles of Highway 101 and the SMART railroad tracks lie in the 100-year floodplain and could be susceptible to flooding, presenting transportation challenges for the city. Approximately two miles of San Pedro Road lies in the 100-year floodplain and could be susceptible to flooding, effecting ingress and egress to communities north of Point San Pedro. The 500-year floodplain primarily extends west and north of the 100-year floodplain along San Rafael Creek and west of the 100-year floodplain along Gallinas Creek and the South Fork of Gallinas Creek. This area consists of most of downtown; part of the San Rafael transit center and train station, hundreds of homes and numerous commercial buildings and medical facilities; Laurel Dell Elementary School, Coleman Elementary School, the All Children Academics School; part of the San Rafael High School, Raphael School, Sun Valley Elementary School, the Marin Academy and the Star Academy; the Civic Center North Pump Station, the John Duckett Pump Station, the Northgate Industrial Park Pump Station, all six of the Captain Cove Pump Stations, and the Marin Emergency Radio Authority antenna site that could be susceptible to flooding. A large section of the 500-year floodplain lies north of downtown and extends along several hundred feet of Highway 101, including the SMART railroad tracks which could be susceptible to flooding. The San Rafael City Hall and the Marin County Civic Center lie outside of the 100 and 500-year floodplains, though access may be hindered due to area flooding.
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Figure 591: City of San Rafael Flooding Critical Facilities and Infrastructure Source: Marin County OEM
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San Anselmo
San I-' elmo
Legend
• Dams
Military and Civil • Defense Installations
Communication
Facilities
Electric Power Facilities
Wastewater Facilities
Marin County / San Rafael
Flooding
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Centers
Fire Stations
Hospitals and Medical
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100 Year Flood Plain \
Marin County OEM / Woody Baker-Cohn
email: [email protected]
Date Printed: 11/01/23 N
County of Marin, California State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, GeoTechnologies, Inc, METI/ NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land Management, EPA, NPS, USDA 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Table 31 shows the number of City of San Rafael critical facilities by flood zone.

Table 31: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities in the Flood Zones Category Name Address Flood Zone
Critical Facilities
Fire Fire: Marinwood Fire Department (MRW)
/ Headquarters & Station 58 777 Miller Creek Road 94903 AE Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department (SNR)
/ Station 51 1039 C Street 94901 X
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department (SNR)
/ Station 52 210 Third Street 94901 X
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department (SNR)
/ Station 54 46 Castro Avenue 94901 AE
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department (SNR)
/ Station 55 955 Pt. San Pedro Road 94901 AE
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department (SNR)
/ Station 56 650 Del Ganado Road 94903 X
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department (SNR)
/ Station 57 3530 Civic Center Drive 94903 X , AE
Fire Fire: Skywalker Ranch Fire Brigade
(SKY) 5858 Lucas Valley Road 94912 X
Fire Fire: San Rafael Fire Department (SNR)
/ Station 53
30 Joseph Court
94903 X
Law County Jail 13 Peter Behr Dr, San Rafael, CA
94903 X
Law County 911 Communications Center /
PSAP
1600 Los Gamos Drive, Suite 200.

San Rafael, CA 94903 X
Law Marin County Sheriffs Office 1600 Los Gamos Drive, Suite 200.

San Rafael, CA 94903 X
Law San Rafael Police Department 1400 Fifth Avenue,
San Rafael, CA 94901 X
EOC Marin County EOC 1600 Los Gamos Drive, Suite 200.

San Rafael, CA 94903 X
Local
Government Marin Civic Center 3501 Civic Center Dr, San Rafael, CA 94903 X Local
Government Marin County Corporate Yard Building 2 Peter Behr Drive, San Rafael, CA 94903 X Local
Government Marin County Fuel Island 2 - 6 Peter Behr Drive, San Rafael, CA 94903 X Local
Government
Marin County Vehicle Repair
Shops/Building
2 - 6 Peter Behr Drive,
San Rafael, CA 94903 X
Local
Government Boro Community Center 50 Canal Street, San Rafael, CA 94901 AE Local
Government San Rafael Public Works Yard 111 Morphew St, San Rafael, CA 94901 X Local
Government San Rafael Community Center 618 B Street, San Rafael CA 94901 AH, AE Local
Government Terra Linda Community Center 670 Del Ganado Rd, San Rafael CA 94903 X Health /
Medical
Kaiser Permanente San Rafael Medical
Center
99 Montecillo Rd,
San Rafael, CA 94903 X
Health /
Medical Adrian Way Home 306 Adrian WaySan Rafael, Ca 94903 AE Health /
Medical Aldersly (Snf Unit) 326 Mission Ave 94901 X
Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - Devon Drive Home 363 Devon Dr 94903 X l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 31: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities in the Flood Zones Category Name Address Flood Zone
Health /
Medical Kaiser Foundation Hospital - San Rafael 99 Montecillo Rd 94903 X Health /
Medical Smith Ranch Generations (Snf) 1550 Silveira Pkwy 94903 X Health /
Medical Northgate Post Acute 40 Professional Center Pkwy 94903 X Health /
Medical Nova House, Inc. 393 Nova Albion Way 94903 X
Health /
Medical Aldersly (Snf Unit) 326 Mission Ave 94901 X
Health /
Medical Pine Ridge Care Center 45 Professional Center Pkwy 94903 X Health /
Medical Professional Post Acute Center 81 Professional Center Pkwy 94903 X Health /
Medical Marin Post Acute 234 N San Pedro Rd 94903 X
Health /
Medical
San Rafael 5th Avenue Health &
Wellness 1601 5Th Ave 94901 X
Health /
Medical Sunrise Ii 48 Golden Hinde Blvd 94903 X
Health /
Medical Villa Marin (Rcfe Unit) 100 Thorndale Dr 94903 X Health /
Medical Three Home Village 1, 2, 3 675 Rosal Way, San Rafael, Ca 94903 AE Health /
Medical Almavia Of San Rafael 515 Northgate Drive, San Rafael, Ca 94903 X Health /
Medical Nazareth House Of San Rafael, Inc. 245 Nova Albion Way, San Rafael, Ca 94903 X Health /
Medical Drake Terrace 275 Los Ranchitos Road, San Rafael, Ca 94903 X Health /
Medical Cogir Memory Care 111 Merrydale Rd, San Rafael, Ca 94903 X Health /
Medical Greenwood Assisted Living 233 West End Ave, San Rafael, Ca 94901 X Health /
Medical St. Michael's Extended Care 416 4th Street, San Rafael, Ca 94901 AE, X Health /
Medical Golden Home Extended Care, Inc. 1234 Las Gallinas Ave, San Rafael, Ca 94903 X Health /
Medical All Saints Extended Care Inc 1373 Lincoln Ave., San Rafael, Ca 94901 X Health /
Medical D Street Residential Support Services 527 D Street, San Rafael, Ca 94901 X Health /
Medical Schon Hyme Rest Home 25 Villa Avenue, San Rafael, Ca 94901 X Health /
Medical A Loving Touch 45 Meriam Drive 94903 X
Health /
Medical
Smith Ranch Homes (Independent
Living) 500 Deer Valley Road 94903 X
Health /
Medical Luna's Home 1027 Las Pavadas Ave 94903 X
Health /
Medical Aldersly (Al) (Rcfe Unit) 326 Mission Ave 94901 X Health /
Medical
Smith Ranch Skilled Nursing And
Rehabilitation Center 1550 Silveira Parkway 94903 X
Health /
Medical Villa Marin (Snf) 100 Thorndale Dr 94903 X
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Table 31: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities in the Flood Zones Category Name Address Flood Zone
Health /
Medical Dominican Sisters Of San Rafael 1520 Grand Avenue 94901 X Health /
Medical St. Vincent's School For Boys 1 St Vincent's Drive, 94903 X, A, AE Health /
Medical Lighthouse 714 C Street, San Rafael 94901 AH
Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - Adrian House 306 Adrian Way, San Rafael AE Health /
Medical Long Life Living #1 36 Mt Foraker Drive, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Dominican Convent - Lourdes Site 77 Locust Ave, San Rafael, 94901 X Health /
Medical Dominican Convent - Jane D'anza Site 1540 Grand Ave, San Rafael 94901 X Health /
Medical Helen Vine Detox Center 291 Smith Ranch Rd, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Lifehouse Sunrise Ii 48 Golden Hinde Blvd, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Bayside Marin Treatment Center 718 4th Street, San Rafael 94901 X Health /
Medical Caremax Peachstone Residence 440 Peachstone Terrace, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Center Point - The Manor 603 D Street, San Rafael 94901 AE Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - Happy House 291 Devon Dr, San Rafael, Ca 94901 X Health /
Medical Bay Home Inc. 19 Heatherstone Court, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Marin Services For Men 501 Whitewood Drive, San Rafael, 94903 X Health /
Medical Castle SLE 1363 Lincoln Ave #4, San Rafael, CA 94901 X Health /
Medical Villa Marin (Il) 100 Thorndale Dr 94903 X
Health /
Medical Parnow Friendship House 164 North San Pedro Road, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Lifehouse - Knoll Rd 18 Professional Center Parkway, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Newport Academy 5 Maoli Dr, San Rafael, Ca 94903 X Health /
Medical Helen Vine San Rafael House 235 Union Street. San Rafael, Ca 94901 X Health /
Medical L'chaim House I 777 Montcillo Rd, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Long Life Living #3 57 Vallejo Way, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical L'chaim House II 463 Albion Way, San Rafael94903 X Health /
Medical Lifehouse - Nova 93 Nova Albion Way, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Tender Residential Home 257 Blackstone Dr, San Rafael 94903 X Health /
Medical Aldersly (Il Unit) 326 Mission Ave 94901 X
Health /
Medical Buckelew Mariner Circle 6 Mariner Circle, San Rafael AE l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 31: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities in the Flood Zones Category Name Address Flood Zone
Health /
Medical Buckelew - Avanti 7 Le Claire Ct, San Rafael, Ca 94903 X Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - 980 Ignacio 35 Mitchell Blvd #8, San Rafael, Ca 94903 X Health /
Medical Lifehouse - 1600 Vendola Drive 1600 Vendola Dr, San Rafael, Ca 94903 AE Health /
Medical
Lifehouse (Supportive Living - Various
Sites)
18 Professional Center Parkway,
San Rafael, Ca 94903 X
Health /
Medical Casa Allegra - Reichert Ave 35 Mitchell Blvd. Suite 8 San Rafael, Ca 94903 X Health /
Medical Marin Health & Wellness Campus 3253 Kerner Blvd, San Rafael, CA 94901 AE Health /
Medical
Kaiser Permanente Downtown San
Rafael Medical Offices 1033 3rd St, San Rafael, CA 94901 AH, X Health /
Medical Marin Community Clinic 3110 Kerner Boulevard, San Rafael, CA AE Health /
Medical
Kaiser Permanente San Rafael Medical
Offices
1650 Los Gamos Dr., San Rafael,
CA 94903 X
Health /
Medical MarinHealth Urgent Care 4000 Civic Center Dr, San Rafael, CA 94903 X School Dominican University 50 Acacia Avenue
San Rafael, CA 94901 X
School Bahia Vista Elementary 125 Bahia Vista, San Rafael CA 94901 AE
School Coleman Elementary 800 Belle Ave.

San Rafael, CA 94901 X
School Glenwood Elementary 25 West Castlewood
San Rafael, CA 94901 X, AE
School Laurel Dell Elementary 225 Woodland Ave.

San Rafael, CA 94901 X
School San Pedro Elementary 498 Point San Pedro
San Rafael, CA 94901 X
School Sun Valley Elementary 75 Happy Lane
San Rafael, CA 94901 X
School Vallecito School 50 Nova Albion Way, San Rafael
CA 94903 X
School Venetia Valley TK-8 177 N. San Pedro Rd.

San Rafael, CA 94903 X
School Davidson Middle 280 Woodland Ave.

San Rafael, CA 94901 X, AE
School San Rafael High 150 Third Street
San Rafael, CA 94901 X
School Terra Linda High 320 Nova Albion Way
San Rafael, CA 94903 X
School Madrone High 185 Mission Ave.

San Rafael, CA 94901 AE, X
Airport/
Heliport San Rafael - Airport 400 Smith Ranch Rd, San Rafael, CA 94903 AE High Potential Loss Facilities
Critical Infrastructure
Water/Wastew
ater
Central Marin Sanitation & Household
Hazardous Waste Facility
1301 Andersen Drive,
San Rafael, CA 94901 AE, X
Communications MERA Antenna Site - Dollar Hill Robert Dollar Dr., San Rafael, CA X Communications MERA Antenna Site - EOF 1600 Los Gamos Dr 94903 X l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 31: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities in the Flood Zones Category Name Address Flood Zone
Communications MERA Antenna Site - Forbes Hill Hepburn Heights Rd, San Rafael, CA X
Communications MERA Antenna Site - Marin County
Radio Shop X
Communications MERA Antenna Site - San Pedro Ridge
Site Mayhills Rd. San Rafael, CA X
Power Utility PG&E Substation - Las Gallinas 125 N Redwood Dr., San Rafael, CA 94903 X
Power Utility PG&E Substation - San Rafael 2nd St, San Rafael, CA 94901 AH Transportation Marin Transit 711 Grand Ave,
San Rafael, CA 94901 AE
Transportation Golden Gate Transit: Transit Center
Customer Service Center
850 Tamalpais
San Rafael, CA 94901 AH
Transportation
Golden Gate Transit: EOC, Dispatch,
Fuel, IT
1011 Andersen Dr.,
San Rafael, CA 94901 AE
Transportation San Rafael Transportation Center
(SMART Train & central bus station)
3rd & Hetherton, San Rafael, CA,
94901 AH, X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station -
Piombo
LAT: 37.96
LON: -122.49 AE
Communications MERA Antenna Site - Mt Burdell 38.1449, -122.5941 X Communications MERA Antenna Site – Big Rock Ridge 38.0591, -122.6039 X Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
San Quentin
LAT: 37.96
LON: -122.49 VE
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
Cayes
LAT: 37.96
LON: -122.49 AE
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
Kerner
LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.50 AE
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
400 Canal
LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.51 X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
Rossi
LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.51 X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump StationMontecito LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.52 X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
North Francisco
LAT: 37.97
LON: - 122.52 AE
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
Corporate Center
LAT: 37.97
LON: -122.52 nN?A
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
Lindaro
LAT: 37.97
Lon: - 122.53 AH
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
Glenwood
LAT: 37.98
Lon: - 122.48 X
Pump Station San Rafael Stormwater Pump Station –
Peacock
LAT: 37.98
Lon: - 122.47 X, AE
Table 304: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities in the Flood Zones Source: County of Marin/FEMA DFIRM
Floodwaters can be deep enough to drown people and move fast enough to sweep people and vehicles away, lift buildings off foundations, and carry debris that smashes into buildings and other property. Flood waters can cause significant erosion which can lead to slope instability, severely damaging transportation and utility infrastructure by undermining foundations or washing away pavement. If water levels rise high enough to get inside buildings, flooding can cause extensive damage to personal property and the structure itself. Flood events that l ~'?UN. TY OF
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develop very quickly are especially dangerous because there may be little advance warning.

Flooding may occur when strong winds or tides result in a surge of seawater into areas that are above the normal high tide line. Tide elevations within San Pablo Bay and San Rafael Bay have the potential to significantly impact the San Rafael storm drain system. San Rafael already sees flooding from king tides in San Pablo Bay and San Rafael Bay and this is only expected to increase with sea level rise and climate change.

On 1/9/2023, roads feeding into Highway 101 were flooded in San Rafael after a winter storm.

On 10/24/2021, widespread flooding occurred in San Rafael as a result of an atmospheric river event. Many roadways were under two feet of water and were impassable. Downtown flooding was focused in the area east of A Street. Road closures were in place around 2nd and 3rd street from A street to the freeway onramp. Several power outages impacted some traffic signals and pump stations in the city. The flooding worsened due to high tide.

Figure 592: City of San Rafael Flooding – 10/21/2021
Source: City of San Rafael
On 2/12-2/13/2019, a storm dumped 4.45 inches of rain in San Rafael causing localized flooding. Flooding was reported in the Contempo Marin neighborhood, and Lucas Valley Road was closed at the Highway 101 underpass toward Smith Ranch Road after rainwater began to pool and flood the road.. The closure caused traffic delays on nearby city routes as morning drivers sought access to Highway 101. Power was out into the afternoon to signal lights in the Northgate mall area, and the Northgate One shopping complex was without power. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
Climate change is expected to affect California's precipitation patterns, which are likely to influence future flood events. A 2017 study38 found that the number of very intense precipitation days in California is projected to more than double by the end of the century, increasing 117 percent, making it likely that flood events will become more frequent in the Marin County OA including San Rafael. Climate change is expected to alter rainfall patterns in Northern California, including the Marin County OA. As the climate warms, rain events are predicted to become more intense. The Marin County OA including San Rafael will likely experience more rain inundation events that lead to flooding and increase the potential threat of levee failure, tree mortality, and other potential hazards. Sea level rise as a result of climate change will exacerbate the impacts of tidal flooding in the lowland areas of the Marin County OA including the shoreline areas of San Rafael. Future development in these areas will expose more people and infrastructure to the effects of flooding. Development in the marshland areas of San Rafael would expose additional people and infrastructure to flooding as marshlands act as a natural buffer to storm surge. Development along San Rafael Creek, Gallinas Creek, and the South Fork of Gallinas Creek would expose more people, structures and infrastructure including major roads to creek flooding and storm surge as a result of climate change. Climate change could lead to worse flooding impacts in the downtown area including roads that feed onto Highway 101.

2.2.5 LAND SUBSIDENCE/SINKHOLES
Land subsidence is a gradual settling or sudden sinking of the Earth's surface owing to subsurface movement of earth materials. The principal causes are aquifer-system compaction, drainage of organic soils through groundwater pumping, underground mining, hydrocompaction, natural compaction, sinkholes, and thawing permafrost. More than 80 percent of the identified subsidence in the United States is a consequence of underground water exploitation. The increasing development of land and water resources threatens to exacerbate existing land-subsidence problems and initiate new ones.

Sinkholes can form in three primary ways. Dissolution sinkholes form when dissolution of the limestone or dolomite is most intensive where the water first contacts the rock surface.

Aggressive dissolution also occurs where flow is focused in preexisting openings in the rock, such as along joints, fractures, and bedding planes, and in the zone of water-table fluctuation where groundwater is in contact with the atmosphere. See Figure 42 for a picture and description of how dissolution sinkholes form.
38 Precipitation in a Warming World: Assessing Projected Hydro-Climate Changes in California and other Mediterranean Regaions. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-11285-y l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 593: Dissolution Sinkhole Formation
Source: USGS
Cover-subsidence sinkholes tend to develop gradually where the covering sediments are permeable and contain sand. In areas where cover material is thicker, or sediments contain more clay, cover-subsidence sinkholes are relatively uncommon, are smaller, and may go undetected for long periods. See Figure 43 for a picture and description of how coversubsidence sinkholes form.

Figure 594: Cover-Subsidence Sinkhole Formation
Source: USGS
Cover-collapse sinkholes may develop abruptly over a period of hours and cause catastrophic damages. They occur where the covering sediments contain a significant amount of clay. Over time, surface drainage, erosion, and deposition of sediment transform the steep-walled sinkhole into a shallower bowl-shaped depression. See Figure 44 for a picture and description of how cover-collapse sinkholes form.
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Thin overburden Rain
Rainfall and surface water percolate through
joints in the limestone. Dissolved carbonate
rock is carried away from the surface and a
small depression gradually forms.

Pond On exposed carbonate surfaces, a depression
may focus surface drainage, accelerating the
dissolution process. Debris carried into the
developing sinkhole may plug the outfiow,
ponding water and creating wetlands. ___} r- --.---
Granular sediments spall
into secondary openings
in the underlying carbonate
rocks.
-'dverb'ur~en· •. : : • . . ' ..

A column of overlying sediments settles into the
vacated spaces ( a process
termed "piping").
. ... : ..

Dissolution and infilling continue, forming a noticable depression in the land
surface.
. . . . . . -·~-
The slow downward erosion
eventually forms small surface depressions I inch to
several feet in depth and
diameter.
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Figure 595: Cover-Collapse Sinkhole Formation
Source: USGS
New sinkholes have been correlated to land-use practices, especially from groundwater pumping and from construction and development practices that cause land subsidence.

Sinkholes can also form when natural water-drainage patterns are changed and new waterdiversion systems are developed. Some sinkholes form when the land surface is changed, such as when industrial and runoff-storage ponds are created. The substantial weight of the new material can trigger an underground collapse of supporting material, thus causing a sinkhole.

The overburden sediments that cover buried cavities in the aquifer systems are delicately balanced by groundwater fluid pressure. The water below ground helps to keep the surface soil in place. Groundwater pumping for urban water supply and for irrigation can produce new sinkholes in sinkhole-prone areas. If pumping results in a lowering of groundwater levels, then underground structural failure, and thus, sinkholes, can occur.

Land subsidence and sinkholes would most likely occur in the lowland areas of San Rafael where superficial deposits and fill are more prevalent, particularly in and around marshland bordering San Rafael Bay and San Pablo Bay. The downtown area, the primary commercial areas of the city along the Highway 101 corridor, and numerous residential neighborhoods with schools and other critical facilities are at increased risk of land subsidence. Land subsidence could have numerous impacts for San Rafael, including the settling of businesses and homes as well as the shifting of roadways and utility infrastructure that run through the city.

On 1/2016, a sinkhole formed at the Rotary Manor Senior Community as a result of a collapsed culvert that fed into San Rafael Creek. The complex garden was destroyed when the sinkhole appeared.

There have been no major sinkholes in San Rafael since the last plan update.

Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
Climate change could indirectly influence land subsidence as more severe and prolonged periods of drought may encourage more groundwater withdrawals. In coastal areas like the Marin County OA including San Rafael, land subsidence leads to higher sea levels and increased flood risk. The rate of land subsidence could increase across the Marin County OA including the lowland areas of San Rafael as a result of climate change. The impacts of land subsidence on infrastructure, including roads and underground utilities, in San Rafael could l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Sediments spall into a cavity. As spalling continues, the cohesive covering sediments form a structural
arch.

The cavity migrates upward by progressive roof
collapse.

The cavity eventually
breaches the ground surface, creating sudden and
dramatic sinkholes.
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increase with future development in the lowland populated areas of the city where land subsidence is more likely to occur.

2.2.6 LEVEE FAILURE
Levee failure is the overtopping, breach or collapse of the levee. Levees can fail in the event of an earthquake, internal erosion, poor engineering/construction or landslides, but levees most commonly fail as a result of significant rainfall or very high tides. During a period of heavy rainfall, the water on the water-body side of the levee can build up and either flow over the top (“overtopping”) or put pressure on the structure causing quickening seepage and subsequent erosion of the earth. The overflow of water washes away the top portion of the levee, creating deep grooves. Eventually the levee weakens, resulting in a breach or collapse of the levee wall and the release of uncontrollable amounts of water. Figure 45 shows a levee and the multiple ways it can fail.

Figure 596: Levee Failure Mechanisms
Source: University of California
San Rafael is protected by non-accredited levees along the Santa Venitia Marsh, Gallinas Creek, the South Fork of Gallinas Creek, San Rafael Creek, and San Rafael Bay. The Marin County Levee 22 along the Santa Venitia Marsh is 3.79 miles long with an undocumented height. Approximately five people and one building with a property value of approximately $190 thousand are a risk of failure of the Marin County Levee 22. The Smith Ranch Levee lies between Gallinas Creek and the South Fork of Galinas Creek and is 2.26 miles long with an undocumented height. Approximately 1,308 people and 211 buildings with a property value of $104 million are at risk of failure of the Smith Ranch Levee, including the Smith Ranch Airport. l ~ '?UN. TY OF
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Levee crest
Anatomy of a levee 1 a. Overtoppi ng 1 b. Overtopping/Jetting

2. Internal ErosionfPiping 3. Surface Erosion 4. Sliding S. Wave Impacts 6. Structural Impacts

7. Liquefaction

8. Piping of substratum 9. Tree damage 1 0. Slope failure 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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The Marin County Levee 3 lies along the South Fork of Gallinas Creek and is 0.9 miles long with an undocumented height. Approximately 501 people and 224 buildings with a property value of $122 million are at risk of failure of Marin County Levee 3, including the entire Marin Lagoon community and its nine pump stations. The McNears seawall lies San Rafael Bay and is 1.4 miles long with an undocumented height. Approximately 604 people 242 buildings with a property value of $169 million in both San Rafael and the unincorporated County of Marin are at risk of failure of the McNears seawall, including hundreds of residences around the Peacock Gap Golf Country Club. The Marin County Levee 2 lies along the south bank of San Rafael Creek and its confluence with San Rafael Bay and is 0.2 miles long with an undocumented height. Approximately seventeen people and four buildings with a property value of $11.7 million is at risk of failure of the Marin County Levee 2, including the area in and around Pickleweed Park. The Marin County Levee 22 lies along San Rafael Creek and San Rafael Bay and is 1.18 miles long with an undocumented height. Approximately 951 people and 436 buildings with a property value of $196 million are at risk of failure of Marin County Levee 22, including the residential community around the Spinnaker Lagoon. Marin County Levee 19 lies along San Rafael Bay and is 0.67 miles long with an undocumented height. Approximately 16,425 people and 1,727 buildings with a property value of $2.44 billion are at risk of failure of the Marin County Levee 19 including several miles of Highway 101.

San Rafael has never experienced a levee failure.
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Figure 46: City of San Rafael Levee Inundation Impact
Source: Marin County OEM
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San elmo
• Dams
Military and Civil • Defense Installations
Communication
Facilities
• Electric Power Facilities
Wastewater Facilities
• Water Supply Facilities
Airports
Marin County / San Rafael
Levee Inundation
•
0FIICI0I
. .~ ~ EMERGENCY

MANAGEMENT
in wood
Emergency Operations
Centers
Fire Stations
Hospitals and Medical
Facilities
~ Police / Sheriff Stations
Schools
- Levee Centerline
- Levee Inundation
Harry A Barbier
Memor' ark

0.5 1 2
: _cflttE;)vN'!~<L = Miles ~
Marin County OEM / Woody Baker-Cohn
email: [email protected]
Date Printed : 11/01/23 N
County of Marin, California State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, GeoTechnologies, Inc, METI/NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land Management, EPA, NPS, USDA 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
Climate change is expected to lead to an increase in the frequency and severity of major storm events, which can place added strain on levee systems. An increase in rainfall and runoff as a result of climate change will increase the potential for higher water levels in leveed areas across the Marin County OA including in San Rafael, increasing the potential for a levee failure. Rising seas will lead to increased stress on the levees around the Marin County OA shoreline including in San Rafael, particularly during a major tidal event and potential tsunami. As development increases in the populated areas of San Rafael protected by its levees, particularly along San Rafael Bay and around its marshlands, the potential for significant impacts to residents and infrastructure will only increase.

2.2.7 SEA LEVEL RISE
Climate change is the distinct change in measures of weather patterns over a long period of time, ranging from decades to millions of years. More specifically, it may be a change in average weather conditions such as temperature, rainfall, snow, ocean and atmospheric circulation, or in the distribution of weather around the average. While the Earth’s climate has cycled over its 4.5-billion-year age, these natural cycles have taken place gradually over millennia, and the Holocene, the most recent epoch in which human civilization developed, has been characterized by a highly stable until recently.

The Marin County OA MJHMP is concerned with human-induced climate change that has been rapidly warming the Earth at rates unprecedented in the last 1,000 years. Since industrialization began, the burning of fossil fuels (coal, oil, and natural gas) at escalating quantities has released vast amounts of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases responsible for trapping heat in the atmosphere, increasing the average temperature of the Earth. Secondary impacts include changes in precipitation patterns, the global water cycle, melting glaciers and ice caps, and rising sea levels. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), climate change will “increase the likelihood of severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts for people and ecosystems” if unchecked.

Through changes to oceanic and atmospheric circulation cycles and increasing heat, climate change affects weather systems around the world. Climate change increases the likelihood and exacerbates the severity of extreme weather – more frequent or intense storms, floods, droughts, and heat waves. Consequences for human society include loss of life and injury, damaged infrastructure, long-term health effects, loss of agricultural crops, disrupted transport and freight, and more. Climate change is not a discrete event but a long-term hazard, the effects of which communities are already experiencing.

Climate change adaptation is a key priority of the State of California. The 2013 State of California Multi- Hazard Mitigation Plan stated that climate change is already affecting California. The State has also seen increased average temperatures, more extreme hot days, fewer cold nights, a lengthening of the growing season, shifts in the water cycle with less winter precipitation falling as snow, and earlier runoff of both snowmelt and rainwater in the year. In l ~'?UN. TY OF
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addition to changes in average temperatures, sea level, and precipitation patterns, the intensity of extreme weather events is also changing.

Rising sea levels are considered a secondary effect of climate change due to warming ocean temperatures and melting glacial ice sheets into the ocean. The California coast has already seen a rise in sea level of four to eight inches over the 20th century due to climate change. Sea level rise impacts can be exacerbated during coastal storms, which often bring increased tidal elevations called “storm surge.” The large waves associated with such storm surges can cause flooding in low-lying areas, erosion of coastal wetlands, saltwater contamination of drinking water, disruption of septic system operations, impacts on roads and bridges, and increased stress on levees. In addition, rising sea levels results in coastal erosion as shoreline sediment is re-deposited back into the ocean. Evidence shows that winter storms have increased in frequency and intensity since 1948 in the North Pacific, increasing regional wave heights and water levels during storm events.

According to the 2017 “Rising Seas in California, An Update on Sea-Level Rise Science” report Marin County may experience impacts from Sea Level Rise over defined periods of time, to include long-term changes (second half of this century and beyond), and short- to mid-term projections (within the next two or three decades).

The lowland areas in San Rafael are particularly vulnerable to sea level rise and could experience between one and six feet of inundation (Mean High Water (MHW)), especially as these neighborhoods continue to subside over time. (Marin Shoreline Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment, 2017). Much of this vulnerable land was built on fill that used to be tidal marsh or mud. Sea level rise would likely return this area to tidal habitat again without measures to protect existing land uses. With a 100-year storm surge, downtown and further inland areas within the basin of the valley as far back as Gerstle Park could experience flooding.

San Rafael’s vulnerable assets include the entire Canal neighborhood and Kerner Business District, and shoreline development and boating facilities off Point San Pedro Road. In time, the impacts move into downtown San Rafael, Peacock Gap, and Marin Lagoon. Recent construction at the Loch Lomond Marina and surrounding properties helped to elevate the shoreline to offer further protection from sea level rise in those areas. In addition to sea level rise, subsidence is already a significant issue south of Interstate 580 and Highway 101, and in Marin Lagoon, where development is built largely on fill atop bay mud. With sea level rise, subsidence rates could increase. San Rafael’s exposed historic resources could also be vulnerable to both tidal flooding and 100-year storm surge flooding from San Rafael Creek, generally in close proximity to Highway 101. Resources include the Litchfield Sign (local landmark), the French Quarter, two potentially historic areas, Ritter Street and Gerstle Park (partial), and four potentially historic structures.

The following are key issues related to San Rafael sea level rise and a 100-year storm surge:
• Flooding in the Canal area and Kerner Business District could compromise extensive multi-family housing, commercial, industrial, and recreational uses. • Highway 101 on and off-ramps could anticipate 100-year storm surge flooding in near-term and tidal flooding in the medium-term.
• The San Rafael Transit Center could be vulnerable in the long-term. This could compromise local and regional bus lines, and the new SMART train. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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• A significant portion of downtown could face storm surges in the near- and mediumterms and sea level rise in the long-term. • Golden Gate Bridge, Highway and Transportation District facilities on Andersen Drive could be vulnerable in the medium-term.
• Several schools including Bahia Vista and Glenwood Elementary, Davidson Middle, and San Rafael High schools could be vulnerable.
• Five historic landfills along the shoreline and one closed brownfield site further inland could be subject to inundation.
• Miles of electrical transmission and natural gas pipelines are in the near-term. • Marinas and other boating facilities could be vulnerable to sea level rise in the medium- to long-term.
• Peacock Gap homes and golf course could be vulnerable to storms in the near-term and sea level rise in the long-term.
• Marin Lagoon and streets in the Las Gallinas area could begin to see peripheral tidal flooding and storm surge flooding in the near-term, and neighborhood scale flooding by the long-term.
• Fire Station 54 is vulnerable to ten inches of sea level rise. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 47: City of San Rafael Sea Level Rise Impact
Source: Marin County OEM
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l,l
San Anselmo
San elmo
Legend
• Dams
Military and Civil • Defense Installations
Communication
Facilities
• Electric Power Facilities
Wastewater Facilities
Marin County / San Rafael
Sea Level Rise
inwood •
Emergency Operations
Centers
Fire Stations
Hospitals and Medical
Facilities
Police / Sheriff Stations
Schools Corte MadeO 0.5 \
•
0fllCI0F
- EMERGENCY
• • : MANAGEMENT
2 Miles • Water Supply Facilities Sea Level Rise M o·
~ Airports 1 ft Sea Level Rise
- 5 ft Sea Level Rise
Marin County OEM / Woody Baker-Cohn
email: [email protected]
Date Printed: 11/01/23 N
County of Marin, California State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, GeoTechnologies, Inc, METI/NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land Management, EPA, NPS, USDA 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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The 2017 Marin Shoreline Sea Level Rise Vulnerably Assessment estimates that San Rafael could anticipate impacts to over 58,000 people over 4,700 living units with $2.6 billion in assessed property value as a result of a 100-year sea level rise scenario and including storm surge. A majority of privately held parcels contain buildings used for housing, work, entertainment, worship, and commerce. Many public parcels can also contain buildings, especially schools, community centers, and emergency services. Without shelter, many, if not most, of the existing activities on the land would not be feasible. Damages to and destruction of buildings especially several hundred to thousands of buildings at once, would be devastating to the local, regional, and state economy for years afterwards. Buildings in San Rafael are older, and many, especially downtown are unreinforced and could be weakened by flooding. These buildings are primarily mixed-use or commercial. Newer commercial buildings are typically concrete slab tilt-ups or smaller cinder block and stucco buildings. According to a BCDC profile for San Rafael for the Stronger Housing Safer Communities on seismic and flooding safety, most single-family homes in the low-lying areas of San Rafael are one- and two-story homes, built in the Victorian era, the earlier part of the 20th century, post-WWII, and newer modern homes. There are also 2-4 unit dwellings, and medium- and large-sized apartment complexes typically of wood construction. Several critical businesses could be vulnerable to sea level rise.

These businesses either contain critical goods like medications and access to medical and building supplies after a major storm or flooding event or house some of the most vulnerable populations in the region. Transportation is a major concern for San Rafael and for the entire region. San Rafael serves as a regional transit center, and nearly all routes stop there, including the newly unveiled SMART line. In the near-term, other major roads impacted are Bellam Boulevard, Francisco Boulevard East, Kerner Blvd, Grand Avenue and Irwin Street.

Much like with buildings, many of the roads to be flooded first are in, or are major access ways to, the Canal District and north of Interstate 580. Residents in this area tend to live with scarce financial resources and can be especially burdened by disruptions in the transportation system or damage to their vehicles. In addition, those with health or mobility constraints, who do not own a home or car, or are not proficient in the English language, may also be disproportionally burdened by sea level rise and storms. If these residents are displaced, the upheaval and loss would be significant to the community and the regional economy that depends on their contributions. Further, this area hosts the majority of light industrial and a major portion commercial uses that depend on the transportation network to reach clients, receive and deliver materials, and receive customers. Moreover, already constrained street parking could be flooded with tidal waters. Repeated exposure to saltwater would damage personal and commercial vehicles. Emergency access for fire, ambulance, and police could be limited at a time residents are most vulnerable. Fire Station 54 could be directly flooded, damaging equipment and vehicles in the station. In the medium-term, tidewaters extend under the freeways further into the street grid of downtown and the industrial and commercial Andersen Drive area. While Highway 101 is generally elevated, on and off ramps at grade could be flooded out along most of its course through the city. Unlike 101; however, Interstate 580 could anticipate surface flooding between the medium- and long-terms. In the long-term, streets and homes in the Gerstle Park neighborhood west of downtown and US Highway 101 could flood when Mahon Creek overflows its banks. While previously impacted by storm surges. Pt. San Pedro Road could expect impacts at tidal MHHW by the long-term. Roads bayside of Pt. San Pedro Road, such as Mooring Road, could be vulnerable in the near-term. PG&E has significant assets in San Rafael that could be exposed and vulnerable to sea level rise and storm surge impacts. Underground gas pipes could face buoyancy pressures as the water table l ~'?UN. TY OF
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beneath them rises and pushes them to the surface. The pressure can place bending forces on the pipes, especially where they are held down by roads. Moreover, if a road sheltering a natural gas pipe is damaged enough to rupture the pipes the consequences could be severe.

The transmission lines are above ground and could be vulnerable to falling trees and high winds. In addition, posts could become damaged over time, from floating debris, and subsidence. The PG&E offices and yard on Andersen Drive could anticipate storm surge impacts in the long-term. The San Rafael public works building and corporate yard may not experience direct impacts until the long-term with a storm surge, and primarily in the parking lots. However, access to and from the site could be compromised in the long-term due to sea level rise alone.

Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
The two major causes of global sea level rise are thermal expansion of warming oceans and the melting of land-based glaciers and polar ice caps. Climate change is affecting natural and built systems around the world, including the California coast. In the past century, average global temperature has increased about 1.4°F, and average global sea level has increased 7 to 8 inches. Sea level rise in the San Francisco Bay Area is projected to increase by eight inches MHW in 2050 and could reach 4.5 to eight feet by 2021 if greenhouse gas emissions aren’t reduced39.

Figure 48: Projections of Sea Level Rise in the San Francisco Bay Area, 2000-2100 Source: 2019–2020 Marin County Civil Grand Jury, Climate Change: How Will Marin Adapt? While the Marin County OA shoreline including around San Rafael already experiences regular erosion, flooding, and significant storm events, sea level rise will exacerbate these natural processes, leading to significant social, environmental, and economic impacts. The third National Climate Assessment cites strong evidence that the cost of doing nothing exceeds the costs associated with adapting to sea level rise by 4 to 10 times. Sea level rise will continue to affect the Marin County OA including San Rafael with increased tidal flooding and storm surge, particularly up San Rafael Creek, during severe weather events. Future development in the coastal and lowland areas of San Rafael including the entire Canal neighborhood, Kerner Business District and shoreline development and boating facilities off Point San Pedro Road would only amplify these impacts and will put more people and property at risk from flooding as 39 2017 Marin Shoreline Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment. https://www.marincounty.org/- /media/files/departments/cd/planning/slr/baywave/vulnerability-assessmentfinal/final_allpages_bvbconsulting_reduced.pdf?la=en l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Sea-Level Rise if Greenhouse Gas
Emissions Remain High
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090
(Year)
8 7
6 2
Sea-Level Rise if Greenhouse Gas
Emissions Are Moderated
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090
(Year)
8 7
6 5
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a result of sea level rise. Sea level can also lead to increased land subsidence and the potential of levee failure, with billions of dollars in property in San Rafael at risk of a levee failure. The impacts of a tsunami would also be magnified with rising seas. Transportation and utility infrastructure across San Rafael will continue to become inundated.

2.2.8 SEVERE WEATHER – EXTREME HEAT
Extreme heat is defined as temperatures that hover 10 degrees or more above the average high temperature for the region and last for several weeks. A heat wave is an extended period of extreme heat, often with high humidity. When relative humidity is factored in, the temperature can feel much hotter as reflected in the Heat Index (see Figure 49):

Figure 49: Heat Index
Source: NOAA
Heat kills by taxing the human body beyond its abilities. In a normal year, about 1,300 Americans succumb to the demands of summer heat. Heat is the leading weather-related cause of mortalities in the US. In 2006, California reported a high of 204 heat related deaths, with 98 reported in 2017 and 93 deaths reported in 2018.

Extreme heat has the potential to impact all areas of San Rafael and would be felt more in areas where there is a widespread presence of concrete and asphalt, which stores heat longer. This includes most of the downtown and commercial area of the city. There are thousands of residences in this area. Heat waves can cause power outages and can sicken people who are exposed to high temperatures too long, particularly infants and the elderly.

In September 2022 the Marin County OA including the San Rafael experienced an Extreme Heat Event with temperatures exceeding 113 degrees.

Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
The primary effect of climate change is warmer average temperatures. The annual average daily high temperatures in California are expected to rise by 2.7°F by 2040, 5.8°F by 2070, and l ~ '?UN. TY OF
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NOAA's National Weather Service
Heat Index
Temperature jOf)
80 82 84 86 98 100 102 104
40 80 81 83 85 105 109 114 1
45 80 82 84 87 109 114 1
~ 50 81 83 85 88 ~ 81 84 86 8'9 ~ 55
""C 60 82 84 88 91 .E 65 82 85 89 93 ::l
:c 70 83 86 90 95 G,
> 75 84 88 92 97 :.:a
<ll 80 84 89 94 100 Qi
Cl 85 85 90 96 102 110
90 86 91 98 105 113
95 86 93 100 108 117
100 87 95 103 112 121
Likelihood orHe111 Ois orders w it h Prolon9ed Exposure or Srreuous Activity O c .. 1.,tion 0 1 Ex.treme C~Ultion O,mger ■ Extreme D.in91er 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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8.8°F by 2100 compared to observed and modeled historical conditions40. At the current rate, annual average temperatures in the Marin County OA region and Bay Area will likely increase by approximately 4.4 degrees by 2050 and 7.2 degree by the end of the century unless significant efforts are made to reduce greenhouse emotions according to California’s latest climate change assessment.

Figure50: Annual Average Temperatures in the San Francisco Bay Area, 2000-2100 Source: California Climate Change Assessment (Fourth Edition) As climate change accelerates in the 21st century, it is anticipated that extreme heat events will become more frequent and intense across the Marin County OA including in San Rafael. There will be increased residential and business needs for cooling and addressing heat-related issues.

These effects would primarily be felt in the lowland areas of San Rafael where heat builds in developed areas. Heat waves also tax the energy grid. Future development in the Marin County OA including San Rafael could exacerbate the impacts from heat related events, particularly in electricity provision and water delivery. Increased temperatures will also lead to an increase in the occurrence and severity of wildfires across the Marin County OA including San Rafael as conditions become hotter and drier. These effects will primarily be felt in the mountainous and marshlands areas of San Rafael where hotter and drier conditions are more apt to lead to wildfires. Future development near the many open spaces around San Rafael could expose more people and infrastructure to the threat of a major wildfire as a result of increasing temperatures.
40 California Adaptation Planning Guide
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- 82 u..
.

QI 80 ._
:,
~ 78 QI
a.
~ 76 ....,
~ 74
E
~ 72 11)
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~ 70 11)
iii
:, 68 C
C
<t 66
a) Annual time series
Historical - observed
Historical - modeled range
RCP4.S average
RCP8.S average
RCP4.S range
RCP8.S range
1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
- 82 11..
.

QI 80 ._
.a
~ 78 QI
a.
~ 76 _µ
~ 74
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~ 72
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~ 70 11)
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b) Time period summaries
Historical - observed AVG/MIN/MAX
Historical - modeled AVG/MIN/MAX
RCP4.5 AVG/MIN/MAX
RCP8 .5 AVG/M IN/MAX
MAX
MIN
1976-2005 2006-2039 2040-2069 2070-2100
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2.2.9 SEVERE WEATHER – HIGH WIND AND TORNADO
High Wind
High wind is defined as a one-minute average of surface winds 40 miles per hour or greater lasting for one hour or longer, or winds gusting to 58 miles per hour or greater regardless of duration that are either expected or observed over land. These winds may occur as part of a seasonal climate pattern or in relation to other severe weather events such as thunderstorms.

The Beaufort scale is an empirical measure that relates wind speed to observed conditions on land and is a common measure of wind intensity (see Figure 51).

Figure 51: Beaufort Wind Scale
Source: NOAA
Windstorms in the Marin County OA are typically straight-line winds. Straight-line winds are generally any thunderstorm wind that is not associated with rotation (i.e., is not a tornado). It is these winds, which can exceed 100 mph, which represent the most common type of severe weather and are responsible for most wind damage related to thunderstorms. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Beaufort
number
0 1
2 3
4 5
Description
calm
Light air
Ught breeze
Gentle breeie
Moder.ate breeze
Fresh breeze
Strong breeze
High wind, Moderat.e
gale, eargale
Gale, Frnsh gale
Strongg-ale
Storm, Whole gale
v olent storm
Hurricane
Wind ,speed
Land conditions
kts m/h
<1 <1 Cillm. S o e rises vertically.
1-2 1-5 Wind mo on visible ·n smoke.
3 - 6 6 - 11 Wind fl!lt one po~d skin. Leaves ru!.tie.
7- 10 12 - 19 Lt:aves and small et vi£!: in constant motion. 11 - 15 20 - 2.8 Dus1 and loose paper rai sed. Small b1anches be~in to move. 16 - 20 29- 38 Branche:s of a modera e size mo e. Small trees be11ln o s vay. 11-26
27-33
34 - 40
3!1- 4!1 large branches in molion. hi stl ingheard in overhead wires. Umbrella use becomes diffi cult_ Empty plastic garbage cans tl p over. 50 _ 61 Whole rees In mo Ion. Effort needed to •nilk aga lns;t the wind. Swaying of skyscrapers mc1v be felt espc<lally by people on upper oors. 62 _ 74 Some twi~ broken from tree:s. Cllrs vee-r en read_ Proeress en foo is serlcusly impeded.

Some branches break off trees, and some small trees blowo er. 41 - 47 75 - 88 Construction/ empore rv signs llnd barricades blow over. 011m11ec to c I rcus tents and czrnopics.
48-55 89 _ 102 Trees are broken o or uprooted. :;apllngs bent and deformed. Poorly a~ched ospholt sh1n1les and ~hingles In poor condi ion peel ofi roofs.

Widespread vegetation damage. Many roofing surfaces are damaged; 56 - 63 103 - 117 a5pha lH les tha.t ha e curled up and/orfrac ur~ due to age may break away comple elv.

Z:64
verv widesi,,e11d d11maee to veee euon. some windows may bree : mobile z 118 homes and poorly constructed sheds and barns are darnai.ed. Debris may be hurled about
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Tornado
Tornadoes are rotating columns of air marked by a funnel-shaped downward extension of a cumulonimbus cloud whirling at destructive speeds of up to 300 mph, usually accompanying a thunderstorm. Tornadoes are the most powerful storms that exist, and damage paths can be in excess of one mile wide and 50 miles long. The Enhanced Fujita Scale (see Figure 52) is commonly used to rate the intensity of tornadoes in the United States based on the damages that they cause.

Figure 52: Enhanced Fujita Scale
Source: NOAA
Tornadic waterspouts are tornadoes that form over water or move from land to water. They have the same characteristics as a land tornado. They are associated with severe thunderstorms, and are often accompanied by high winds and seas, large hail, and frequent dangerous lightning.
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EF-1
EF-2
EF-3
EF-4
Enhanced Fujita Scale
65-85 mph winds
86-110 mph winds
111-135 mph winds
136-165 mph winds
166-200 mph winds
>200 mph winds
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Figure 53597: Waterspout Formation
Source: MarineInsights
All of San Rafael is susceptible to storms and damage from wind and tornadoes, though the mountainous areas surrounding the city and the parks inside the city have increased susceptibility due to a higher presence of trees. Drought can increase the susceptibility of trees toppling over in a high wind event. Fallen trees could damage homes and other facilities.

Power lines could be impacted by fallen trees and wind, causing power outages. Roadways could also become blocked by fallen trees, affecting the ability of residents to reach their homes.

On 12/2/2012, high winds caused power lines to blow down across Smith Ranch Road. Two power poles were snapped off on Highway 101 in Terra Linda, closing the northbound offramp to Lucas Valley-Smith Ranch Road. Power lines fell at the Park’n’Ride lot and across Redwood Boulevard. Smith Ranch Road was closed between Redwood Boulevard and the Highway 101.

A stretch of Redwood Boulevard was closed south of Paul Drive.

On 3/14/2023, high winds caused arcing power lines along Mountain View Avenue, contributing to power outages in the city.

San Rafael has never experienced a tornado.

Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
It is anticipated that the atmospheric rivers that deliver storms to Northern California may intensify because of climate change. This increase in storm intensity may bring more intense winds and potential tornados to Northern California, including the Marin County OA and San Rafael. Significant wind events and tornados can topple trees, particularly those that may be saturated or drought stressed as a result of climate change. An increase in fallen trees in San Rafael as a result of increased storms due to climate change can lead to an increase in power l ~ '?UN. TY OF
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WATERSPOUTS AT SEA THE VERTICAL
FUNNEL
Water spouts at sea are vertical wind shear; a wind force that changes direction as it goes higher.

IT'S NOT SEAWATER

INSIDE WATERSPOUTS
The clouds gather. and water condensation leads to a swirling mass of water droplets.

WIND VELOCITY
According to NOAA, an average waterspout is around 50 meters in diameter. and its associated wind moves at 50 miles an hour.

TORNADIC AND NONTORNADIC WATER
SPOUTS
A tornadic waterspout is associated with thunderstorms. high winds. hail. and frequent lightning.

Fair-w eather w aterspouts
need warm water to develop along the dark flat base of a line of growing cumulus clouds.

THE EARLIEST

WATERSPOUTS
In 1555, at the Grand Harbour of Valletta.

CAN BE

DESTRUCTIVE
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outages. Future development in any of the forested areas of San Rafael including in the southern and western mountainous residential areas will increase the effects of severe wind events.

2.2.10 TSUNAMI
Tsunamis consist of waves generated by large disturbances of the sea floor, which are caused by volcanic eruptions, landslides or earthquakes. Shallow earthquakes along dip slip faults are more likely to be sources of tsunami than those along strike slip faults. The West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Warning Center (WC/ATWC) is responsible for tsunami warnings. Tsunamis are often incorrectly referred to as tidal waves. They are actually a series of waves that can travel at speeds averaging 450 (and up to 600) miles per hour with unusual wave heights. Tsunamis can reach the beach before warnings are issued.

A tsunami experienced by San Rafael would most likely occur from an earthquake, the location of which would determine the amount of time that the tsunami waves would reach the city. Much of eastern San Rafael is at a lower elevation. The three areas of San Rafael in a tsunami inundation zone include the southern area of the city protected by Marin County Levee’s 12 and 19, the San Pedro Point area protected by the McNears seawall, and the marshlands at the lower end of Gallinas Creek near Santa Venetia. There are hundreds of residences, numerous commercial buildings, several critical facilities, and major roads and highways that lie in these areas and could be susceptible to a tsunami. The San Rafael Fire Station #54, the San Rafael Fire Station #55, the Bahia Vista School, the Golden Gate Bridge, Highway and Transportation District EOC and a Pacific Gas and Electric yard all lie in a tsunami inundation zone and could be susceptible to a tsunami. Several miles of Highway 101 and Interstate 580 lie in an tsunami inundation area and could be susceptible a tsunami, effecting ingress and egress in San Rafael and the greater Marin County OA.

San Rafael has experienced damage to docks in the east San Rafael area from Tsunami associated surges but is generally well protected within the Bay. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 54: City of San Rafael Tsunami Critical Facilities and Infrastructure Source: Marin County OEM
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San elmo
• Dams
Military and Civil • Defense Installations
Communication
Facilities
• Electric Power Facilities
Wastewater Facilities
• Water Supply Facilities
Airports
Marin County / San Rafael
Tsunami -
~ EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
inwood '7
Ven
Emergency Operations
Centers
Fire Stations
Hospitals and Medical
Facilities
Police / Sheriff Stations
Schools
Hazards Group
D Tsunami Inundation
Harry A Barbier
Merner" ark
0 0.5 2
Miles
Marin County OEM / Woody Baker-Cohn
email: [email protected]
Date Printed: 11/01/23 ~ N
County of Marin, California State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, GeoTechnologies, Inc, METI/ NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land Management, EPA, NPS, USDA 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
The biggest threat to tsunamis is sea level rise which is a direct result of climate change. Sea level rise can make tsunamis worse than they already are because higher sea levels allow for tsunamis to travel further inland and cause even more damage. Sea level rise results in more vulnerable coastlines which make coastal communities even more vulnerable to an incoming tsunami as the natural buffer to absorb the energy of an incoming tsunami will cease to exist.

This is particularly true in the Marin County OA including San Rafael, where a large segment of the developed population lies in an area vulnerable to sea level rise. Furthermore, it has been theorized that ocean warming, caused by climate change, can impact the tectonic plates that rest below large bodies of water. Ultimately, this can result in more geological activities and worse tsunamis. Climate change has also affected ocean patterns, which could eventually lead to tsunamis distributing themselves across the ocean and impacting areas that are currently not susceptible to a tsunami. Tsunamis as a result of climate change and associated sea level rise will exacerbate the impacts of flooding in the lowland areas of the Marin County OA including San Rafael. This is particularly true along the mouth of San Rafael Creek and around the marshland areas of Gallinas Creek where additional storm surge as a result of a larger tsunami could cause greater impacts. Future development in these areas as well as in the southern area of the city protected by levees will expose more people and infrastructure to the effects of flooding as tsunami inundation areas expand with climate change. Development in marshland in San Rafael would expose additional people and infrastructure to flooding as marshlands act as a natural buffer to a tsunami. Flooding could be exacerbated in areas where levees could fail along Gallinas Creek and along the shoreline of San Rafael, including the southern area of the city and the area around Point San Pedro as a result of high wave heights associated with a more significant tsunami. A major tsunami as a result of sea level rise caused by climate change could cause additional flooding impacts to Interstate 580 in San Rafael, significantly impacting travel into and out of the Marin County OA.

2.2.11 WILDFIRE
A wildfire is a fire that occurs in an area of combustible vegetation. The three conditions necessary for a wildfire to burn are fuel, heat, and oxygen. Fuel is any flammable material that can burn, including vegetation, structures, and cars. The more fuel that exists and the drier that fuel is, the more intense the fire can be. Wildfires can be started naturally through lightning or combustion or can be set by humans. There are many sources of human-caused wildfires including arson, power lines, a burning campfire, an idling vehicle, trains, and escaped controlled burns. On average, four out of five wildfires are started by humans. Uncontrolled wildfires fueled by wind and weather can burn acres of land and everything in their path in mere minutes and can reach speeds up to 15 miles per hour or faster depending upon wind speed and ember distribution. On average, more than 100,000 wildfires burn 4 to 5 million acres of land in the United States every year. Although wildfires can occur in any state, they are most common in the Western states including California where heat, drought, and thunderstorms create perfect wildfire conditions.

Wildfires are of primary concern when they occur in the Wildland Urban Interface (WUI), which is defined as areas where homes are built near or among lands prone to wildfire. Even relatively small acreage fires may result in disastrous damages. Most structures in the WUI are not destroyed from direct flame impingement, but from embers carried by wind. The damages can be widely varying, but are primarily reported as damage to infrastructure, built environment, and injuries to people.
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The pattern of increased damages is directly related to increased urban spread into historical forested areas that have wildfire as part of the natural ecosystem. Many WUI fire areas have long histories of wildland fires that burned only vegetation in the past. However, with new development, a wildland fire following a historical pattern may now burn these newly developed areas. WUI fires can occur where there is a distinct boundary between the built and natural areas or where development or infrastructure has encroached or is intermixed in the natural area. WUI fires may include fires that occur in remote areas that have critical infrastructure easements through them, including electrical transmission towers, railroads, water reservoirs, communications relay sites or other infrastructure assets.

Consequently, wildland fires that burn in natural settings with little or no development are part of a natural ecological cycle and may actually be beneficial to the landscape. Century old policies of fire exclusion and aggressive suppression have given way to better understanding of the importance fire plays in the natural cycle of certain forest types.

Warning times are usually adequate to ensure public safety, provided that evacuation recommendations and orders are heeded in a timely manner. While in most cases wildfires are contained within a week or two of outbreak, in certain cases, they have been known to burn for months, or until they are completely extinguished by fall rains.

Wildfire poses the greatest risk to human life and property in the Marin County OA’s densely populated WUI, which holds an estimated 69,000 living units. The Marin County OA is home to 23 communities listed on CAL FIRE’s Communities at Risk list, with approximately 80% of the total land area in the county designated as having moderate to very high fire hazard severity ratings. The county has a long fire history with many large fires over the past decades, several of which have occurred in the WUI. To compound the issue, national fire suppression policies and practices have contributed to the continuous growth (and overgrowth) of vegetation resulting in dangerously high fuel loads. The Community Wildfire Protection Plan (CWPP) provides a scientifically based assessment of wildfire threat in the WUI of the Marin County OA.

The City of San Rafael has a 38 Point Action Plan aimed at reducing risks associated with wildfire.

Fire protection in California is the responsibility of either the federal, state, or local government depending upon the location of the incident. On federally owned land, or federal responsibility areas (FRA), fire protection is provided by the federal government, and or in partnership with local agreements. In state responsibility areas (SRA), CAL FIRE typically provides fire protection. However, in some counties CAL FIRE contracts with county fire departments to provide protection of the SRA – this is the case in the Marin County OA, where CAL FIRE contracts with MCFD. Local responsibility areas (LRA) include incorporated cities and cultivated agriculture lands, and fire protection is typically provided by city fire departments, fire protection districts, counties, and by CAL FIRE under contract to local government. The San Rafael Fire Department provides first response and wildfire prevention efforts to San Rafael.

CAL FIRE contracts with MCFD to provide wildland fire protection and associated fire prevention activities for lands designated by the State Board of Forestry as SRA. The MCFD is responsible for the protection of approximately 200,000 acres of SRA within the county and is the primary agency that handles wildland fires. This includes the area of China Camp State Park, in east San Rafael. MCFD also provides similar protection services to approximately l ~'?UN. TY OF
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100,000 acres of FRA in the Golden Gate National Recreation Area (GGNRA), the Muir Woods National Monument, and the Point Reyes National Seashore.

Figure 55 indicates the federal responsibility areas, state responsibility areas and local responsibility areas in the Marin County OA.

Figure 55: Federal, State and Local Responsibility Areas in the Marin County OA Source: Marin Community Wildfire Protection Plan
The mix of weather, diverse vegetation and fuel characteristics, complex topography, and land use and development patterns in the Marin County OA are important contributors to the fire environment. The MCFD Woodacre ECC currently manages the data from four Remote Automated Weather Stations (RAWS) for predicting fire danger utilizing the National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS) during the fire season. The RAWS are located in Woodacre, Middle Peak, Barnabe, Big Rock and a new station will be coming online in Novato.

The Marin County OA is bounded by the cool waters of the Pacific Ocean to the west, the San Francisco and Richardson Bays to the southeast, the San Pablo Bay to the east, and Sonoma County agricultural lands to the north. The combination of these large bodies of water, location in the mid-latitudes, and the persistent high pressure over the eastern Pacific Ocean results in several micro-climates. Weather in the OA consists of warm, dry summers and cool, wet winters. The climate in early fall and late spring is generally similar to the summer, and late fall is similar to winter. Spring is generally cool, but not as wet as the winter. While these general weather conditions are fairly representative of the typical Marin County OA weather, complex l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Legend
Federal responsl bflily areas (FRA)
Local respons,b,llly areas (LRA)
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topography, annual variability of weather patterns, and less frequent and transient weather patterns are important to fire conditions.

In the late spring through early fall, the combination of frequent and strong high-pressure systems (known as the Pacific High) over California combined with the cool waters of the ocean/bays results in persistent fog and low clouds along the coast (including over the southern Marin County OA near the San Francisco Bay) with winds. The fog often penetrates into the inland valleys of the northern and central Marin County OA, especially during overnight hours.

At the coastline, mist from fog can keep the land surfaces modestly moist while inland land surfaces above the fog or inversion are often very dry.

The Pacific High that persists from late spring through early fall over the eastern Pacific, combined with a thermal low pressure over the Central Valley of California, results in an almost continuous sea breeze. These winds usher in cool and moist air and can be strong at times (15 to 25 mph), especially over the ridge tops and through northwest to southeast lying valleys, including San Geronimo/Ross, Hicks, Lucas Valleys, and Mill Valley and the Marin Headlands.

These westerly winds are usually highest in the afternoon, decrease in the evening, and are light overnight before increasing again in the late morning/early afternoon.

Occasionally in the summer and more often in the fall, the Pacific High moves inland and centers over Oregon and Idaho, while low pressure moves from the Central Valley of California to southern California and Arizona. The resulting north-to-south pressure gradient can be strong enough to retard the typical sea breeze and can even result in winds blowing from the land to the ocean (offshore winds). As the offshore winds move air from the Central Valley to the coastal areas of California, the air descends and compresses, which greatly warms and dries the air. Under these “Diablo” wind conditions, temperatures in the Marin County OA can reach 100°F in the inland areas and even 80°F at the coast, and relative humidity can be very low. In addition, wind speeds can be high (20 to 40 mph), gusty and are often much faster over the mountains and ridge tops such as Mt. Tamalpais, Loma Alta, Marin Headlands and Mt. Burdell compared to low-lying areas. Wind speeds can be high over the ridges and mountains at all times of day under this “offshore” wind pattern and are often much slower or even calm at night in low-lying areas because nighttime cooling decouples the aloft winds from the surface winds. It is during these Diablo wind events that there is a high potential for large, wind-driven fires should there be an ignition. Historically, the largest and most destructive fires have occurred during these offshore (also known as Foehn) wind events including the Angel Island and the Vision fires which were located in West Marin.

A few times per year in the summer and early fall, monsoonal flow from Mexico may bring in moist and unstable air over central and northern California, which can result in thunderstorms with or without precipitation. With the otherwise dry summer conditions, lightning from this type of weather pattern can ignite fires. These monsoonal flow patterns are usually only one to twoday events.

Beginning in late November and lasting through the end of March, the Pacific High moves south and weakens, allowing storms that originate in the Gulf of Alaska to move over California.

These storms bring precipitation and, at times, strong winds out of the south. Each storm usually results in one fourth inch to several inches of rain over a day or so. Near Mt. Tamalpais, rainfall amounts are enhanced by orographic lifting, resulting in higher rain amounts in the l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Kentfield and Fairfax areas compared to the rest of the county. Typically, after the first rain in November, the cool weather and occasional storm keeps the ground wet through late Spring.

However, in some years, significant rain does not occur until later in the year (e.g., early-to-late December) and there can be several weeks without any storms and rain. During storms, temperatures are usually mild.

When there are no storms over California, a land-breeze typically forms (i.e., winds blowing from the Central Valley to the Pacific Ocean). These winds can reach 30 mph, and travel through the southeast to northwest lying valleys, over low-lying ridges such as the Marin Headlands, and through the Golden Gate. These winds are usually highest in the mid-morning hours and decrease in the afternoon as the Central Valley warms during the day. The winds are associated with cold and modestly moist air.

In late February/early March through late April, the Pacific High strengthens and moves north, and storms impacting the county become less frequent. During this time of year there is often a low-pressure area over the desert in southwest California. The combination of the Pacific High to the north and low-pressure to the southwest results in strong winds blowing from the northwest to the southeast. Like the sea breeze, these winds bring in cool, moist air and are usually highest in the afternoon hours. Because of winter and spring rains, the land is wet and there is little danger of wildland fire despite the strong winds and only occasional precipitation.

There is often little coastal fog this time of year.

Vegetation, which is also known as fuel, plays a major role in fire behavior and potential fire hazards. A fuel’s composition, including moisture level, chemical make-up, and density, determines its degree of flammability. Of these, fuel moisture level is the most important consideration. Generally, live trees contain a great deal of moisture while dead logs contain very little. The moisture content and distribution of fuels define how quickly a fire can spread and how intense or hot it may become. High moisture content will slow the burning process since heat from the fire must first eliminate moisture.

In addition to moisture, a fuel’s chemical makeup determines how readily it will burn. Some plants, shrubs, and trees such as chamise and eucalyptus (both present in the Marin County OA) contain oils or resins that promote combustion, causing them to burn more easily, quickly, and intensely.

Finally, the density of a fuel influences its flammability; when fuels are close together but not too dense, they will ignite each other, causing the fuel to spread readily. However, if fuels are so close that air cannot circulate easily, the fuel will not burn freely.

The Marin County OA has extensive topographic diversity that supports a variety of vegetation types. Marin County’s OA has significant changes in topography with steep vegetated slopes which can also add to the ability of the fuel to further expand a wildfire.

Environmental factors, such as temperature, precipitation, soil type, aspect, slope, and land use history, all help determine the existing vegetation at any given location. In the central and eastern parts of the county, north facing slopes are usually densely wooded from lower elevations to ridge peaks with a mixture of mostly hardwood tree species such as coast live oak, California bay, Pacific madrone, and other oak species. Marshlands are also present throughout the county; once ignited marsh fires can be difficult to contain and extinguish. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Grasslands with a mixture of native and nonnative annual and perennial plant species occur most often in the northern and western parts of the county due to a combination of soil type, lower rainfall, and a long history of ranching. The southern and western facing slopes tend to have a higher percentage of grasslands, which in turn have the potential to experience higher rates of fire spread. Grassland fires are dangerous even without extreme fire weather scenarios due to the rapid rate of fire spread; in some cases, fires spread so quickly that large areas can burn before response resources are able to arrive.

In the west portion of the county closer to the coast, where precipitation is higher and marine influence is greater, most areas are densely forested with conifer species (i.e., Bishop pine, Douglas-fir, and coast redwood) and associated hardwood species. Chaparral vegetation also occurs in parts of the county, especially on steeper south and west facing slopes. This mix of densely forested areas mixed with chaparral results in higher fuel loads and potentially higher fire intensity. Expansion of the residential community into areas of heavier vegetation has resulted in homes existing in close proximity to dense natural foliage; these homes are often completely surrounded by highly combustible or tall vegetation, increasing the potential that wildland fires could impact them.

As part of the development of the Marin Community Wildfire Protection Plan (CWPP), an updated vegetation map layer was created using the most recent vegetation information available from a variety of state and local data sources.

Vegetation distribution in the Marin County OA is characterized by approximately 20 different types of vegetation which have been classified into 15 fire behavior fuel models. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 56598: Fuel Model Map for the Marin County OA
Source: Unknown
Insect infestations and plant diseases, such as California oak mortality syndrome (sudden oak death), are increasing and threaten to change the structure and overall health of native plant communities in Marin County. Sudden oak death has no known cure and is the biggest concern; this syndrome is caused by the fungus-like Phytophthora ramorum, which has led to widespread mortality of several tree species in California since the mid-1990s; the tanoak (Lithocarpus densiflorus) in particular appears to have little or no resistance to the disease. Sudden oak death has resulted in stands of essentially dead trees with very low fuel moistures.

Studies examining the impacts of sudden oak death on fire behavior indicate that while predicted surface fire behavior in sudden oak death stands seems to conform to a common fuel model already in use for hardwood stands, the very low moisture content of dead tanoak leaves may lead to crown ignitions more often during fires of “normal” intensity.

Two other plant diseases prevalent in the Marin County OA are pitch canker (which affects conifers such as Bishop pine and other pine species) and madrone twig dieback (which affects Pacific madrones). Pitch canker is caused by the fungus Fusarium circinatum (F. subglutinans, F. sp. pini), which enters the tree through wounds caused by insects. While some trees do recover, most infected trees are eventually killed by the fungus. Management of this disease largely focuses on containment to reduce the fungus spreading to other trees. Pitch canker is a particular issue in the NPS lands of Pt. Reyes National Seashore, where many acres of young l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Fuel Model
D 101 : Short, Sparse Dry Climate Grass
D 102: Low Load. Dry Climate Grass
D 104: Moderate Load, Ory Climate Grass
D 107: High Load . Dry Climate Grass
D 121 : Low Load, Dry Climate Grass-Shrub
D 141 : Low load Dry Climate Shrub
D 142: Moderate Load Dr/ Climate Shrub
D 145: High Load, Dry Climate Shrub
D 147: Very High Load, Dry Climate Shrub
Low Load Dry Climate Timber-Grass-Shrub
D 165: Very High Load, Ory Climate Timber-Shrub
CJ 181 : Low Load Compact Conifer Litter
182: Low Load Broadleaf Litter
- 186: Moderate load Broadleaf Utter
- 189: Very High Load Broadleaf Litter
- 91: Urban.'Developed
98: Open Water
c::J 99: Bare Ground
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Bishop Pines that were seeded on the Inverness Ridge by the Mount Vision Fire of 1995 have been infected.

These dead and dying trees have created large swaths of land with dense and dry fuel loads.

Madrone twig dieback is caused by the native fungus Botryosphaeria dothidea and appears to be getting worse throughout the county due to drought effects on Pacific madrones. Three additional threats to trees common to the Marin County OA include:
• Bark and ambrosia beetles (Monarthrum dentiger and monarthrum scutellare), which target oak and tanoak trees. Sudden oak death may be exacerbating the effects of beetle infestations which prey on trees already weakened by this disease. • Root rot, caused by oak root fungus (Armillaria mellea), is primarily associated with oaks and other hardwoods but also attacks conifers. These fungal infestations cause canopy thinning and branch dieback and can kill mature trees. As with the beetle infestations, sudden oak death may be exacerbating the effects of root rot fungus in the county forests.
• Velvet-top fungus (Phaeolus schweinitzii) is a root rot fungus affecting Douglas-fir and other conifers, with the infection typically occurring through a wound.

Topography characterizes the land surface features of an area in terms of elevation, aspect, and slope. Aspect is the compass direction that a slope faces, which can have a strong influence on surface temperature, and more importantly on fuel moistures. Both elevation and aspect play an important role in the type of vegetation present, the length of the growing season, and the amount of sunlight absorbed by vegetation. Generally, southern aspects receive more solar radiation than northern aspects; the result is that soil and vegetation on southern aspects is warmer and dryer than soil and vegetation on northern aspects. Slope is a measure of land steepness and can significantly influence fire behavior as fire tends to spread more rapidly on steeper slopes. For example, as slope increases from 20 – 40%, flame heights can double and rates of fire spread can increase fourfold; from 40 – 60%, flame heights can become three times higher and rates of spread can increase eightfold.

The Marin County OA is topographically diverse, with rolling hills, valleys and ridges that trend from northwest to southeast. Elevation throughout the county varies considerably, with Mt.

Tamalpais’ peak resting at 2,574 feet above sea level and many communities at or near sea level. Correspondingly, there is considerable diversity in slope percentages. The San Geronimo Valley slopes run from level (in the valley itself) to near 70%. Mt. Barnabe has slopes that run from 20 to 70%, and Throckmorton ridge has slopes that range in steepness from 40 – 100%.

These slope changes can make fighting fires extremely difficult.

In the WUI where natural fuels and structure fuels are intermixed, fire behavior is complex and difficult to predict. Research based on modeling, observations, and case studies in the WUI indicates that structure ignitability during wildland fires depends largely on the characteristics and building materials of the home and its immediate surroundings.

The dispersion of burning embers from wildfires is the most likely cause of home ignitions.

When embers land near or on a structure, they can ignite near-by vegetation or accumulated debris on the roof or in the gutter. Embers can also enter the structure through openings such as an open window or vent and could ignite the interior of the structure or debris in the attic. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Wildfire can further ignite structures through direct flame contact and/or radiant heat. For this reason, it is important that structures and property in the WUI are less prone to ignition by ember dispersion, direct flame contact, and radiant heat.

Public Safety Power Shutoff (PSPS) Events
As a result of the 2017 Northern California Wildfires, the 2018 Camp Fire in Butte County and other wildfires caused by power line infrastructure, Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) began initiating Public Safety Power Shutoff (PSPS) events in their service areas (including Marin County) to help prevent the start of future wildfires. PG&E will initiate a PSPS if conditions indicate potentially dangerous weather conditions in fire-prone areas due to strong winds, low humidity, and dry vegetation. During these events, PG&E will proactively turn off power in high fire risk areas to reduce the threat of wildfires. The most likely electric lines to be considered for a public safety power outage will be those that pass through areas that have been designated by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) High Fire-Threat District at elevated (Tier 2) or extreme risk (Tier 3) for wildfire. Customers outside of these areas could have their power shut off, though, if their community relies upon a line that passes through a high fire-threat area or an area experiencing severe weather. PG&E will consider numerous factors and analyze historical data to help predict the likelihood of a wildfire occurring, and closely monitoring weather watch alerts from the National Weather Service (NWS). These factors generally include, but are not limited to:
• A Red Flag Warning declared by the National Weather Service • Low humidity levels, generally 20 percent and below
• Forecasted sustained winds generally above 25 mph and wind gusts in excess of approximately 45 mph, depending on location and site-specific conditions such as temperature, terrain and local climate
• Condition of dry material on the ground and live vegetation (moisture content) • On-the-ground, real-time observations from PG&E's Wildfire Safety Operations Center and field crews
Pacific Gas & Electric Company (PG&E) operates a total of 1,179 miles of overhead electricity transmission and distribution lines in the Marin County OA. Overhead electricity lines and poles can be damaged or downed under severe weather conditions, particularly severe wind conditions, which increases the potential for wildfire ignition. 52 percent of PG&E’s overhead distribution lines and 41 percent of its overhead transmission lines are located in CPUCidentified High-Fire Threat Districts subject to elevated or extreme fire risk. PG&E is currently planning and implementing safety measures to prevent wildfires and reduce the impacts of Public Safety Power Shutoff (PSPS) events on communities in the Marin County OA and throughout California.

In October 2019 the County of Marin and the City of San Rafael experienced two PSPS events totaling over five days without power.

These measures include installing weather stations; installing high-definition cameras; installing sectionalizing devices on its overhead lines to separate the grid into smaller sections; hardening the system by installing stronger power poles, covering lines, and undergrounding lines in targeted areas; creating temporary microgrids to provide electricity during PSPS events; and enhancing existing vegetation management activities. From 2018 to July 2021, PG&E hardened three miles of overhead lines, installed 68 transmission and distribution sectionalizing devices, l ~'?UN. TY OF
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completed enhanced vegetation management on approximately 51 of overhead line miles, installed 28 weather stations, and installed 12 high-definition cameras in the Marin County OA.

PG&E has also begun undergrounding several overhead transmission lines throughout California.

A wildfire in San Rafael would most likely occur on the central and northwestern areas of the city which is in a high FHSZ and where there is more forested terrain. Open spaces in this area include Boyd Memorial Park and Jerry Russom Memorial Park. Neighborhoods in a high FHSZ include the Smith Ranch area, West End from San Rafael Hill to Ridgewood Avenue and Bret Harte Avenue, the Los Ranchitos areas and Terra Linda neighborhoods. The areas of San Rafael in a high FHSZ are primarily residential with thousands of homes and consists of numerous winding streets and hillside homes that could be damaged or destroyed by a wildfire.

Many of the hillside neighborhoods are at risk of wildfires and have extremely limited ingress and egress for residents and emergency services. Part of downtown including numerous businesses and the San Rafael City Hall, San Rafael Police Department, and San Rafael Fire Station #51; the Sun Valley School; part of the Terra Linda School; the Marindale School; the Caulbridge School; the County of Marin Office of Education; the County of Marin 911 Communications Center; the Pacific Gas and Electric Las Gallinas substation; and several Marin Emergency Radio Authority (MERA) towers lie in a high FHSZ and could be susceptible to a wildfire. Pockets of San Rafael including the area around San Pedro Hill and Harry A.

Berbier Memorial Park lies in a moderate FHSZ and could be susceptible to a wildfire. This area includes hundreds of residences; part of downtown including numerous businesses, the Marin Academy and the Saint Raphael School; numerous medical facilities; part of the Terra Linda High School; part of the Star Academy; the John Duckett Pump Station; part of the Kaiser Permanente San Rafael Medical Center; the San Rafael Fire Station #56, part of the Pacific Gas and Electric yard; part of the Central Marin Sanitation Agency Wastewater Treatment Plant; several MERA towers; and the radio tower for the Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District and the Ross Valley Sanitary District.

All of San Rafael could be impacted by a Public Safety Power Shutoff (PSPS) event and/or suffer poor air quality from smoke as a result of a wildfire in Marin County or the surrounding region. As wildland areas around San Rafael become drier due to climate change, the risk of a wildfire occurring and impacting the town will continue to increase. Fires in the town may increase over time as marshlands, parks, and other open spaces experience drier conditions.

San Rafael has never had a major wildfire cause significant damage to life or property.

However, vegetation fires in San Rafael Open space and along roadways are an annual occurrence.

On 11/2/2023, a quarter–acre grass fire burned on San Rafael Hill. The fire was reported at about 2:30 a.m. near the San Rafael Elks Lodge west of Robert Dollar Drive. Firefighters controlled the blaze within about 20 minutes. No one was evacuated. The cause appeared to be related to unhoused encampments or related activity, due to personal belongings found in the vicinity. The fire’s slow rate of spread was influenced by defensible space cleared by the San Rafael Fire Department.

On 10/18/2023, a vegetation fire broke out on San Rafael Hill near Mountain Park. The blaze burned a roughly 40 by 40 square foot area off Coleman Avenue, between Graceland Drive and Vineyard Drive. The fire happened ahead of a broad heat advisory set to take effect and a few l ~'?UN. TY OF
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hours before a controlled burn was scheduled to take place on the Mount Tamalpais Watershed.

On 6/6/2022, a vegetation fire burned two acres and prompted home evacuations. The fire in the Dominican-Black Canyon neighborhood was reported at 9:50 p.m. in a eucalyptus grove on a steep hillside between Deer Park Avenue and Highland Avenue. Residents from five structures were asked to evacuate during the fire. The homes were threatened, but not damaged. The nearby Dominican University campus was not evacuated.

On 9/1/2021, residents had to evacuate a section of Lucas Valley near San Rafael after a vegetation fire broke out on a hillside. The fire was reported at about 2:10 p.m. near Mount Lassen Drive. It grew to about 30 acres. Flames burned uphill away from homes. The evacuation zone included the area north of Lucas Valley Road between Las Gallinas Avenue and Bridgegate Drive and north to Marinwood open space. The cause was under investigation.

On 6/9/2018, a vegetation fire ignited in the hills of San Rafael north of downtown, burning in Boyd Memorial Park near Highway 101. The fire was first reported at 3:25 p.m. Evacuation orders weren’t issued, but residents in the area were encouraged to shelter in place at one point. The cause was under investigation. The fire moved at a moderate speed and consumed grass and other “flashy fuels” that ignite easily and burn quickly.

Figure 57599: 2018 San Rafael Wildfire in Boyd Memorial Park Source: SF Gate
On 1/24/2014, a brush fire raced through an east San Rafael marsh behind the Sonnen BMW dealership near Kerner and East Francisco boulevards and Shoreline Parkway, shooting flames 20 feet high as three acres burned. The blaze was doused within 45 minutes. No structures were threatened and no one was injured, but the brush and pampas grass fire was more dangerous than usual. Officials believe sharp “popping” sounds coming from the blaze came from ammunition bursting in the heat. Two people were seen fleeing as firefighters arrived.

The fire was apparently the result of a homeless encampment situation. Firefighters had responded to well over 20 brush fires triggered by homeless encampments over the past several months in the area.
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Figure 58: City of San Rafael Wildfire Critical Facilities and Infrastructure Source: Marin County OEM
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San Anselmo
• Dams
• Military and Civil
Defense Installations
Communication
Facilities
Electric Power Facilities
Wastewater Facilities
• Water Supply Facilities
Marin County / San Rafael
Fire Severity
• ' EMERGENCY

OIIICIOI
• • : MANAGEMENT
Ir -NOC j •
Legend
Airports Fire Severity Zone 7- Emergency Operations
Centers - Very High
Fire Stations High 0 0.5 2 Moderate Made Hospitals and Med Miles ical swee Facilities Non·Wildland/Non· 6 Urban Police / Sheriff Stations Marin County OEM / Woody Baker-Cohn D Urban Unzoned Schools email: [email protected]
Date Printed: 11/01/23 N
County of Marin, California State Parks, Esri, HERE, Garmin, SafeGraph, GeoTechnologies, Inc, METI/ NASA, USGS, Bureau of Land anagement, EPA, NPS, USDA 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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Climate Change and Future Development Considerations
Climate change can lead to an increase in wildfire events. Climate change has been a key factor in increasing the risk and extent of wildfires in the western United States. Changes in climate create warmer, drier conditions. Increased drought, and a longer fire season are boosting these increases in wildfire risk.

Figure 59: Trends in the Annual Number of Large Wildfires in the United States Source: Fourth Climate Change Assessment
As summer conditions in Northern California become hotter and drier due to climate change, the occurrence and severity of wildfires will only increase. The Marin County OA including San Rafael is particularly susceptible to these future impacts of climate change on wildfire, as the OA’s climate has generally been wet enough historically to avoid major wildfires. Extreme heat events and high wind events could cause electrical systems to become overloaded and fail, sparking wildfires. An increase in wildfires as a result of climate change could lead to more significantly burned areas that could contribute to debris flows after a significant storm event, particularly in the open space areas around San Rafael. Future development in the WUI throughout San Rafael will expose more people and property to the impacts of a potentially significant wildfire. The growing number of people in the San Rafael WUI can increase risk to life, property and public health as a result of a wildfire. Future development around the San Rafael open space parks and marshlands would expose more people to the effects of brush fires as those natural areas dry out in the summer due to climate change. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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g All Regions
~ lhlllu11l1~1lli1,ll11J 1984 1992 2000 2008 i ~f m/Kl,~th/C•~•d• Mio, ~ o J'.f"= ill 1984 19'92 2doo 2do8 i ~f "'' P1,;,1tol,mb;, P1,1,., j 0 19184 1992 2doo 2do8
a Basin and Range
I:~ 0 1....1; 9'84=:;:::, =1::;:9'9=2===20:;:::'o=o =2=0;::: 108= Mediterranean California
;,l . ,992 • 2000 • 2008
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0 v
2o'o8
1992 2000 2008
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SECTION 3.0: MITIGATION STRATEGY

3.1 CHANGES IN DEVELOPMENT
The overall hazard mitigation priorities in the City of San Rafael have not changed since the 2018 MJHMP update. Marin County understands that hazard exposure may occur in areas of new development, however, the county feels current building standards, municipal codes, and regulations will provide adequate mitigation against hazard vulnerability.

The strategies that support the overall city priorities have changed since the 2018 MJHMP and are reflected in the sections below. There were many projects that were either ongoing day-today activities or were response related that were deleted from the 2018 MJHMP project list and not carried over to this plan update. Several actions were completed, and new projects were added to coincide with the changes in priorities, progress in local mitigation efforts and changes in development.

It is tremendously important to San Rafael residents that growth is well managed and harmonious with community needs. New development and other physical alterations must respect the character and scale of the city. Change and development should be accomplished in ways that enhance and blend with San Rafael’s existing physical and social qualities.

Development should respect the physical fabric of the city, while improving its social fabric through new housing and economic opportunities that reach all residents.

The City of San Rafael General Plan 2040 leaves in place most zoning standards but makes a few important changes. New Downtown zoning will enable higher densities and more housing without losing the area’s hometown character. Northgate Mall and its environs will retain their General Plan Map designations, but policies are more emphatic about future changes that respond to retail trends, the desire for a North San Rafael Town Center, and the need for housing. Greater investment in the Canal area and Southeast San Rafael will improve living conditions for many residents, provide job opportunities, and create additional revenue, while responding to the challenges of rising sea level. Intentionally guiding growth allows areas needing improvement to be enhanced without reducing neighborhood quality.

Though new housing laws at the state level have exempted much residential development from the CEQA process; those laws have preserved all life safety requirements of the building and fire codes. When not usurped by State law, future land use and growth strategies in the City of San Rafael will be consistent with priorities detailed in the 2023 Marin County OA MJHMP and aim to concentrate future development in already developed areas and away from locations where natural characteristics should be avoided such as steep slopes and sensitive habitats.

Priority areas for development are those that have, or can readily be supplied with, adequate public facilities and services. This is done through various policies relating to zoning and minimum development standards and requirements. Zoning designations prescribe allowed land uses and minimum lot sizes for the purpose of supporting efficient infrastructure design, conservation of natural resources, and avoidance of conflicting uses.

As detailed in the "Climate Change and Future Development Considerations" section of each hazard profile, development in San Rafael has occurred and will continue to occur throughout the town in areas prone to all of its identified hazards. Increased growth in these areas may increase the vulnerability of people and structures to these hazards. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 22: City of San Rafael Projected Growth Areas
Project Location # of
Units
# of
Parce
ls
Project Date Acres
Fire
Severity
Zone
Flood
Zone
1130 Mission Ave 13 2 2018 .40 NA X
980 Lincoln Ave 38 1 2018 .42 NA AH
21 G ST 1 1 2018 .04 NA X
809 B ST 41 3 2018 .57 NA X
21 G Street 1 1 2019 .04 NA X
215 Belle Avenue 4 3 2019 .28 NA X
1010 Northgate Drive 0 1 2019 6.94 NA X
703 3rd Street 0 1 2019 .16 NA AH
1628 5th Avenue 9 1 2019 0.2 NA X
496 B Street 6 1 2020 .14 NA AE
980 Lincoln Avenue 38 1 2020 .42 NA AH
999 Third Street 5 1 2020 .10 NA X
350 Merrydale Road 0 1 2020 2.08 NA X
104 Shaver Street 1 1 2020 .14 NA X
190 Mill Street 41 1 2020 .33 NA AE
815 B Street 41 2 2020 .29 NA X
496 B Street 6 1 2021 .14 NA AE
1628 5TH AVE units 1-9 9 1 2021 .2 NA X
21 G ST 1 1 2021 .04 NA X
1200 IRWIN ST 15 3 2021 .62 NA X
815 B Street 41 2 2021 .29 NA X
190 Mill Street 41 1 2021 .33 NA AE
1628 5TH AVE units 1-9 9 1 2022 .2 NA X
999 3rd Street 5 1 2022 .10 NA X
1380 Lincoln Avenue 9 1 2022 .22 NA X
Los Gamos Drive - - 2022 - - -
55 Brookdale Avenue 10 1 2022 .2 NA X
88 Vivian Street 0 1 2022 2.41 NA AE
Total 2524 28 165.37
Table 305: City of San Rafael Future Growth Areas
Source: City of San Rafael

3.2 CAPABILITY ASSESSMENT
The overall priorities in the City of San Rafael have not changed since the 2018 MJHMP update. However, the strategies in which to support the overall City priorities have changed and are reflected in the sections below. There were many projects that were either ongoing day-to-day business activities or were response related that were completed or deleted from the 2018 MJHMP project list and not carried over to this plan update. Several actions were completed and new projects were added to coincide with the changes in priorities, progress in local mitigation efforts and changes in development.

Capabilities are the programs and polices currently in use to reduce hazard impacts or that could be used to implement hazard mitigation activities. The capability assessment identifies the local planning mechanisms where information from the 2018 MJHMP is incorporated and where updated hazard mitigation information from this 2023 MJHMP will be incorporated once - ===-t+:=f:===t:==f=~r- f-= =====--= -==1t====t-~=t=-±==t-_t---- 2023 Marin County Operational Area
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approved. The 2018 capability assessments have been successfully incorporated into the City of San Rafael General Plan to include the Public Safety Element, Land Use Element, and Housing Element and the 2023 capability assessments will also be incorporated into the General Plan and these Elements. The capability assessment is divided into four sections:
regulatory, administrative and technical, fiscal, and outreach and partnerships.

3.2.1 REGULATORY CAPABILITIES
The legal and regulatory capabilities include existing ordinances and codes that affect the City’s physical or built environment. Examples of legal and/or regulatory capabilities can include: a jurisdiction’s building codes, zoning ordinances, subdivision ordnances, special purpose ordinances, growth management ordinances, site plan review, general plans, capital improvement plans, economic development plans, emergency response plans, and real estate disclosure plans. The table below lists regulatory mitigation capabilities, including planning and land management tools, typically used by local jurisdictions to implement hazard mitigation activities and indicates those that are in place.

Table 33: City of San Rafael Legal and Regulatory Capabilities Plans
Yes/No
Latest
Update
Does the plan/program address hazards?
Does the plan identify projects to include in the mitigation strategy?
Can the plan be used to implement mitigation actions?
General Plan Y
2021
The City General Plan ‘2040’ was adopted in 2021, which serves as a basis for decisions that affect the City’s growth and development such as transportation, land use, streets and infrastructure, parks, housing and neighborhoods,
recreation and community facilities, downtown, the
environment, public health and safety, and flooding. The General Plan is a strategic and long-term document
identifying goals and polices that guide and direct the City in terms of implementing policies, programs, resources and hazard mitigation actions.

Strategic Plan Y City has approved annual goals and objectives and general plan.

Capital Improvements Plan Y
City staff develops a Capital Improvement Program (CIP) for council consideration, which serves as a multi-year planning tool to coordinate the financing and scheduling of major projects to improve and maintain its infrastructure.

The CIP directs construction activities for City owned
facilities and infrastructure for the next five years.

Mitigation actions may involve construction of new or
upgraded facilities and infrastructure.

Economic Development Plan Y Draft developed in 2023.

Local Emergency Operations
Plan
Y
2023
These plans inform priority mitigation actions and
programs. The City has updated its EOP and was adopted
by City Council in October of 2023
Continuity of Operations
Plan
N Tentatively scheduled for development in late 2024
Flood Mitigation Plan (FMP) N City may consider increased staffing for floodplain activities. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Engineering Studies for
Streams
N
Open Space Management
Plan
Y Minor with fuller plan in Progress
Regional Transportation
Plan (RTP) N City has no specific plan or role in transportation. Relies on County/Agency specific plans.

Stormwater Management
Plan/Program Y
Engineering Studies for
Streams N
Community Wildfire
Protection Plan
Y
2020
Marin County has a CWPP last updated in 2020 and the
City has our 38 point 2020 Wildfire Prevention and
Protection Action Plan
Other special plans (e.g.,
brownfields redevelopment,
disaster recovery, coastal
zone management, climate
change adaptation)
Y Various
Building Code, Permitting,
and Inspections Y/N Are codes adequately enforced?
Development Standards Y Title 12 – Building Regulations Title 14 – Building Code and Zoning
Building Code Effectiveness
Grading Schedule (BCEGS)
Score
Y Classification 3 (1 and 2 family dwellings) and 3 (all other) Fire department ISO rating: Y ISO 1
Site plan review
requirements Y As relevant to the permit
Land Use Planning and
Ordinances Y/N
Is the ordinance an effective measure for reducing
hazard impacts?
Is the ordinance adequately administered and enforced?
Municipal Code Y
Yes, subdivision ordinance, floodplain ordinance,
stormwater ordinance
Chapter 4.12 – Citywide Vegetation Standards
Title 7 – Emergency Services
Title 12 – Building Regulations
Title 14 – Building Code and Zoning
Title 15 – Subdivisions
Title 17 – Waters and Waterways
Title 18 – Protection of Flood Hazard Areas
Title 19 – Open Space
Zoning Ordinance Y
The Zoning Ordinance sets forth regulations and
standards for development to ensure that the policies,
goals, and objectives of the General Plan are carried out.

Rezoning can be initiated by the City Council, Planning Commission, or by an individual property owner.

Subdivision ordinance Y City Ordinance Title 15 – Subdivisions l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Floodplain ordinance Y City Ordinance Title 18 – Protection of Flood Hazard Areas
Clean Storm Water
Ordinance Y City Ordinance Title 17 – Waters and Waterways Natural hazard-specific
ordinance (stormwater,
steep slope, wildfire)
Y Citywide Vegetation Standards
Flood insurance rate maps No
Elevation Certificates No
Acquisition of land for open
space and public recreation
uses
Y City Ordinance Title 19 – Open Space
Erosion or sediment control
program
Unk
Plans
Yes/No
Latest
Update
Does the plan/program address hazards?
Does the plan identify projects to include in the mitigation strategy?
Can the plan be used to implement mitigation actions?
Comprehensive/Master Plan Y
2020
The City General Plan ‘2020’ was adopted in 2004 and
been amended several times since. The City is currently undergoing its
next General Plan update ‘2040’ and community
workshops are being held.

Strategic Plan Y City has approved annual goals and objectives and general plan
Capital Improvements Plan Y
City staff develops a Capital Improvement Program (CIP) for council consideration, which serves as a multi-year planning tool to coordinate the financing and scheduling of major projects to improve and maintain its
infrastructure. The CIP directs construction activities for City owned facilities and infrastructure for the next five years. Mitigation actions may involve construction of new or upgraded facilities and infrastructure.

Table 306: City of San Rafael Legal and Regulatory Capabilities Source: City of San Rafael
City of San Rafael General Plan or Master Plan
California Government Code 65300 requires that every City and County in the state have a General Plan. The City of San Rafael General Plan, adopted in 10/27/2020, was prepared over a 12-year period that included an extensive public review process. The General Plan is the most important policy and planning document in the city and is used by virtually every department. The General Plan is the City's statement of its vision for the future. The General Plan contains policies covering every aspect of the City: land use (how land can be developed), circulation, noise, air quality, housing, open space and conservation, and health and safety.

City of San Rafael specific goals and policies related to mitigation of natural hazards are as follows:

City may consider increased staffing for floodplain
management activities.

City may consider increased staffing for floodplain
management activities.
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Table 34: City of San Rafael General Plan
Goal/Policy/
Program
The San Rafael general plan is the planning guideline for the future of a city. It contains goals, and policies describing the community's vision for economic viability, livable neighborhoods, and environmental protection.

Land Use Element
Goal
The Land Use Element includes policies guiding the physical form of the city and provides direction on growth management, development, and land use compatibility. It includes the San Rafael Land Use Map, which shows the location and intensity of land uses envisioned for the future. The Element identifies those areas of the city where change will be encouraged as well as those areas where existing uses will be maintained and enhanced. The intent is to direct growth and reinvestment strategically, reinforcing San Rafael’s best qualities while revitalizing areas in need of improvement.

Goal 1: Well-Managed Growth and Change - Grow and change in a way that serves community needs, protects the environment, improves fiscal stability, and enhances the quality of life.

Goal 2: A Complete Community - San Rafael is a complete community, with balanced and diverse land uses.

Goal 3: Distinctive Neighborhoods - Create and sustain neighborhoods of integrity and distinctive character
Policy This plan will guide policy decisions.

Program NA
Conservation and Open Space Element
Goal
The Conservation and Climate Change portion of the San Rafael General Plan addresses the management of San Rafael’s natural resources, including soil, minerals, water, air, vegetation, and wildlife. It identifies environmentally sensitive areas in the city and includes policies for their long-term protection.

Goal 1 of Conservation – Supporting our natural communities.

Goal 2 of conservation – Clean air.

Goal 3 of conservation – Clean water
Goal 4 of conservation - Management of sustainable energy Goal 5 of conservation – Reduce Greenhouse emissions.

Open space defines neighborhood edges and provides a necessary complement to the built environment coordination is a critical part of park and open space management in San Rafael. As noted above, the City is one of several service providers. Others include the County of Marin/Marin Open Space District, the State of California, the Marinwood Community Service District, San Rafael City Schools, and the Miller Creek School District.

Goal of Open Space: Protected, Well-Managed Open Space - Manage San Rafael’s open spaces for all to enjoy
Policy
Program PROS-3.1A: Criteria for Open Space Protection - Environmental health and safety issues and potential geologic and seismic hazards. a) Aesthetics (visual backdrop or edge, unique site features, shoreline, ridgelines). b) Wildlife resource value (wetlands, creeks, and riparian areas, wildlife habitat and movement
c) corridors, and habitat for special status species).
d) Ability to sequester carbon and mitigate potential climate-related impacts, including reduction
e) of wildfire hazard, drought resilience, and protection from sea-level rise. f) Importance to the community as a whole and/or adjoining neighborhoods. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 34: City of San Rafael General Plan
Goal/Policy/
Program
The San Rafael general plan is the planning guideline for the future of a city. It contains goals, and policies describing the community's vision for economic viability, livable neighborhoods, and environmental protection.
g) Merits of alternative uses.
h) Ability to connect existing open spaces.
i) Potential for recreational uses and/or environmental education, especially for economically
j) disadvantaged communities.

Program PROS-3.3A: Open Space Management Plan
a) Hazard reduction, in accordance with ecologically sound practices and wildfire science,
including removal of highly flammable invasive species, emergency access, and erosion control. This should be closely coordinated with ongoing efforts by the San Rafael and Marin
County Fire Departments, Marin Wildfire Prevention Authority, CalFIRE, and non-profit organizations such as FireSafe Marin.

Program NA
Public Safety
Goal
An overarching goal of this is to reduce the economic and social dislocation associated with environmental hazards. Risks can be reduced by considering natural hazards in land use and development decisions, and by implementing policies and programs to reduce losses to life and property. This is especially important for San Rafael’s most vulnerable populations, who may find themselves in harm’s way without the resources to prepare, respond, and recover.

Goal 1 – A safe and more resilient city - Minimize San Rafael’s vulnerability to the impacts of hazards and emergencies.

Goal 2 – Resilience to geological Hazards - Minimize potential risks associated with geologic hazards, including earthquake-induced ground.
shaking and liquefaction, landslides, mudslides, erosion, sedimentation, and settlement.

Goal 3 – Resilience to Flooding and Sea Level Rise - Recognize, plan for, and successfully adapt to the anticipated effects of increased flooding and sea level rise.

Goal 4 – A Fire-Safe Community - Minimize injury, loss of life, and damage to property resulting from wildland fire hazards.

Goal 5 – Protection from Hazardous Materials - Protect those who live, work, and visit San Rafael from risks associated with hazards.
materials
Goal 6 – Emergency Preparedness - Improve disaster preparedness, resiliency, response, and recovery.

Policy
a) Policy S-1.1: Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (LHMP)
b) Policy S-1.2: Location of Future Development
c) Policy S-1.3: Location of Public Improvements
d) Policy S-1.4: Public Health Emergencies
e) Policy S-2.1: Seismic Safety of New Buildings
f) Policy S-2.2: Minimize the Potential Effects of Landslides g) Policy S-2.3: Seismic Safety of Existing Buildings
h) Policy S-2.4: Post-Earthquake Inspections
i) Policy S-2.5: Erosion Control
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Table 34: City of San Rafael General Plan
Goal/Policy/
Program
The San Rafael general plan is the planning guideline for the future of a city. It contains goals, and policies describing the community's vision for economic viability, livable neighborhoods, and environmental protection.
j) Policy S-3.1: Sea Level Rise Prediction Map
k) Policy S-3.2: Data Consistency
l) Policy S-3.3: Awareness and Disclosure
m) Policy S-3.4: Mitigating Flooding and Sea Level Rise Impacts n) Policy S-4.1: Wildfire Hazards
a. Program S-4.1A: Wildfire Prevention and Protection Action Plan b. Program S-4.1B: Fire Hazard Maps
o) Policy S-4.2: Fire Resilience in Developed Areas
p) Policy S-4.3: New Development in Fire Hazard Areas
q) Policy S-5.1: Hazardous Waste Management
r) Policy S-6.1: Disaster Preparedness Planning
s) Policy S-6.2: Neighborhood Disaster Preparedness Programs t) Policy S-6.3: Improving Evacuation Capacity
u) Policy S-6.4: Emergency Operations Centers
Program NA
Public Facilities Element
Goal
The Community Services and Infrastructure Element addresses schools, libraries, law enforcement, fire and emergency medical services, water, sewer, storm drainage, solid waste, energy, and telecommunication facilities in San Rafael.

Goal CSI-1: Educational Excellence - Promote excellent schools and high-quality, equitable education.

Goal CSI-2: Modern, Welcoming Libraries that Meet Community Needs - Enhance library services and facilities to meet the informational and recreational needs of the community.

Goal CSI-3: Exceptional Public Safety Services - Provide and maintain exceptional fire, public safety, and paramedic services.

Goal CSI-4: Reliable, Efficiently Managed Infrastructure - Support reliable, cost-effective, well-maintained, safe, and resilient infrastructure and utility services.

Goal CSI-5: Sound Municipal Financial Practices- Maintain sound financial practices and sufficient revenue sources to provide high-quality City services Policy
a) Policy CSI-5.1: Cost-Benefit Analysis
b) Policy CSI-5.2: Transparent Budgeting
c) Policy CSI-5.3: Program Assessments
d) Policy CSI-5.4: Diversifying Funding Sources
e) Policy CSI-5.5: Local Government Partnerships
Policy CSI-5.6: Public-Private Partnerships
Program NA
Table 307: City of San Rafael General Plan
Source: City of San Rafael General Plan
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3.2.2 ADMINISTRATIVE AND TECHNICAL CAPABILITIES
The administrative and technical capability identifies the City personnel responsible for activities related to mitigation and loss prevention. Many positions are full time and/or filled by the same person. The City may consider opportunities for future additional training and increased staffing.

Table 35: City of San Rafael Administrative and Technical Capabilities Administrative Yes/No Is coordination effective?
Administrative Services Y
The Administrative Services Department handles finance
and purchasing, budgeting, risk management, information technology, and business licensing for the community. The department may be responsible for implementing
mitigation actions related to the department’s scope.

Planning Commission Y
The Planning Commission consists of citizen volunteers
appointed by the City Council to make decisions or advise the Council on land use and property development issues.

The Commission assures that new development is
consistent with our long-range General Plan, State laws and other public policies that advance the interests of our community.

Hazard Mitigation Planning
Committee Y
The City participates in the Marin County MultiJurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee which meets quarterly to review and manage Hazard
Mitigation projects and programs.

Maintenance programs to
reduce risk (e.g., tree
trimming, clearing
drainage systems)
Y
The City of San Rafael utilized MWPA funds to conduct
various levels of vegetation removal. Removal is based on the SRMC. The Department of Public Works maintains
drainages with annual surveys and clearing.

Mutual aid agreements Y San Rafael is part of the greater Marin County mutual aid agreement system.

Technical Yes/No Has capability been used to assess/mitigate risk in the past?
Warning systems/services
(Reverse 911, outdoor
warning signals)
Y
Utilizes the emergency warning systems through the EAS
system as their primary warning capability. Utilizes the emergency warning systems through telephone
notification utilizing reverse 911.

Hazard data and
information N
Grant writing N
Hazard analysis Y
San Rafael took part in the county-wide wildfire evacuation Risk assessment.

Staff/Personnel Resources Yes/No
FT/ PT
Is staffing adequate to enforce regulations?
Is staff trained on hazards and mitigation?
Is coordination between agencies and staff effective?
Chief Building Official Y/FT
This position in San Rafael is adequately staffed to
enforce regulations. The Chief Building official helps the city develop and enforce building standards such as
WUI code. The Building Department works in
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coordination with other departments such as Public
Works, Fire to develop standards.

Floodplain Administrator Y/PT
Emergency Manager Y/FT The City has Staff assigned to Emergency Management Planning, Response, Recovery, and Mitigation.

Community Development Y/FT
Develops and maintains the General Plan, including the
Safety Element. Develops area plans based on the
General Plan, to provide more specific guidance for the development of more specific areas. Reviews private
development projects and proposed capital improvements
projects and other physical projects involving property for consistency and conformity with the General Plan.

Civil Engineer Y/FT
San Rafael staffs a team of civil engineers to help with the continuation of both short and long-term projects related to hazard mitigation.

GIS Coordinator Y/PT The city staffs a part-time GIS specialist.

City Planning, Building,
and Public Works Staff Y/FT
These departments are responsible for planning and
building-related activities including issuing permits,
conducting environmental reviews, preparing planning
documents, and addressing housing issues. Mitigation
activities related to planning and building can be
implemented by this department. The Public Works
Department is responsible for City-owned infrastructure, including streets, bike lanes and sidewalks, storm
drains, traffic signals, and streetlights. Mitigation actions involving new or retrofitted public infrastructure, as well as those related to water conservation, fall within the purview of the Public Works Department.

Police Department Staff Y/FT
The San Rafael Police Department conducts
emergency preparedness activities for the community.

Mitigation activities related to emergency preparedness can be implemented by the Police Department.

Fire Department Staff Y/FT
The San Rafael Fire Department has responsibility for
fire suppression and emergency response in
commercial, residential, wildland / urban interface, and parts of the city. The Fire Department supports the
implementation of mitigation actions that reduce the risk of wildfire.

Chief Building Official Y/FT
This position in San Rafael is adequately staffed to
enforce regulations. The Chief Building official helps the city develop and enforce building standards such as the WUI code. The Building Department works in
coordination with other departments such as Public
Works, and Fire to develop standards.

Table 308: City of San Rafael Administrative and Technical Capabilities Source: City of San Rafael
Yes, Public Works Director
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3.2.3 FISCAL CAPABILITIES
The fiscal capability assessment shows specific financial and budgetary tools available to the jurisdictions such as community development block grants; capital improvements project funding; authority to levy taxes for specific purposes; fees for water, sewer, gas, or electric services; impact fees for homebuyers or developers for new development; ability to incur debt through general obligations bonds; and withholding spending in hazard-prone areas.

Table 36: City of San Rafael Fiscal Capabilities
Financial Yes/No
Has the funding resource been used in past and for what type of activities?
Could the resource be used to fund future mitigation
actions?
Capital improvements project
funding Y Funding has not been used in the past for mitigation, but could possibly fund future mitigation activities.

Authority to levy taxes for
specific purposes Y Funding has not been used in the past for mitigation, but could possibly fund future mitigation activities.

Fees for water, sewer, gas, or
electric services Y Funding has not been used in the past for mitigation, but could possibly fund future mitigation activities.

Impact fees for new
development Y Funding has not been used in the past for mitigation, but could possibly fund future mitigation activities.

Stormwater utility fee N
Incur debt through general
obligation bonds and/or
special tax bonds
Y
Funding has not been used in the past for mitigation, but could possibly fund future mitigation activities.

Incur debt through private
activities N
Community Development
Block Grant Y Funding has not been used in the past for mitigation, but could possibly fund future mitigation activities.

Other federal funding
programs
Y Funding has not been used in the past for mitigation, but could possibly fund future mitigation activities.

State funding programs Y Funding has not been used in the past for mitigation, but could possibly fund future mitigation activities.

Table 309: City of San Rafael Fiscal Capabilities
Source: City of San Rafael
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3.2.4 COMMUNITY OUTREACH
The outreach and partnerships capability assessment shows outreach and public education programs available to the City of San Rafael and the City of San Rafael partnerships utilized to promote those programs.

Table 37: City of San Rafael Community Outreach
Outreach and Partnerships Yes/No Could the program/organization help implement future mitigation activities?
Local citizen groups or
non-profit organizations
focused on environmental
protection, emergency
preparedness, access and
functional needs
populations, etc.

Y
Community Emergency Response Team, Marin
Conservation League, City of San Rafael Climate Action
Team
Ongoing public education
or information program
(e.g., responsible water
use, fire safety, household
preparedness,
environmental education)
Y
County Household Hazardous Waste Program,
MCSTOPP, Marin County Environmental Health Services,
The Bay Institute
Natural disaster or safety
related school programs N
StormReady certification N
Firewise Communities
certification Y Yes
Community Rating System Y Yes
Public-private partnership
initiatives addressing
disaster-related issues Y
The Get Ready program, developed in Marin County, is a
free 2-hour course provided to the community. The course is designed to help residents plan for an emergency with a family plan, evacuation checklist, and strategies to keep residents and their families safe.
(https://readymarin.org/get-ready/)
Table 310: City of San Rafael Community Outreach
Source: City of San Rafael
City Emergency Management may consider opportunities
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3.2.5 PARTICIPATION IN THE NATIONAL FLOOD INSURANCE PROGRAM Given the flood hazard in the planning area, an emphasis will be placed on continued compliance with the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). Detailed below is a description of City of San Rafael’s flood management program to ensure continued compliance with the NFIP.

City of San Rafael has participated in the Regular Phase of the NFIP since July 31, 1971. Since then, the City of San Rafael has administered floodplain management regulations that meet or exceed the minimum requirements of the NFIP. Under that arrangement, residents and businesses paid the same flood insurance premium rates as most other communities. The Community Rating System (CRS) was created to recognize floodplain management activities that are above and beyond the NFIP’s minimum requirements. The City of San Rafael does not currently participate in the CRS program.

As part of the City’s efforts to comply with NFIP, the City of San Rafael will make updates and revisions to these regulations periodically to ensure they are most effective at minimizing the threat of harm from flood events. These updates and revisions may be promoted by changes in local demographics, shifts in land use, changes to flood regimes such as frequency and intensity of flood events, and other factors that may warrant action. The City will also continue to incorporate any changes to the locations and designations of mapped floodplains into future planning documents, including future updates to this Plan.

The City of San Rafael will also explore opportunities to enforce or enhance City municipal codes, building code, and other regulatory actions to address substantial improvements/ substantial damage properties. The City of San Rafael will consider developing a Substantial Damage Management Plan.

In addition to the capabilities in the municipal code regarding floodplains, the City of San Rafael has additional capabilities. Table 38 shows the City of San Rafael participation in and continued compliance with the NFIP, as well as identify areas for improvement that could be potential mitigation actions.
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Table 38: City of San Rafael NFIP Status
NFIP Topic Comments
Insurance Summary
How many NFIP policies are in the
community? What is the total premium
and coverage?
1,011 policies in force in the City of San Rafael with
$15,310,152 in premiums, resulting in $313,460,800
of insurance in force.

How many claims have been paid in the
community? What is the total amount of
paid claims? How many of the claims
were for substantial damage?
There have been 588 closed paid losses totaling
$6,147,345. There were 7 severe repetitive loss
properties in the City of San Rafael totaling
$950,071.78
How many structures are exposed to
flood risk within the community?
*“flood risk” is defined as the 1% annual
chance flood (100-year flood. Numbers
are from overlay of FEMA SFHA and
building stock data.

The exact number of structures within the SFHA is
unknown due to limited GIS capabilities; however, as
of 2016 there were 2,926 improved parcels within the
SFHA.

Describe any areas of flood risk with
limited NFIP policy coverage
According to FEMA the estimated insurance
penetration rate in the SFHA in Marin County is

39.596%. While an equivalent estimate is not
available specifically for the City of San Rafael there are certain demographics that are more likely to be
underinsured or uninsured including: elderly residents
who no longer have a mortgage, undocumented
residents, renters, subletters, small businesses with
limited cashflow.

Staff Resources
Is the Community Floodplain
Administrator or NFIP Coordinator
certified?
The City’s Climate Adaptation and Resilience Planner
is a CFM.

Is floodplain management an auxiliary
function? Yes
Provide an explanation of NFIP
administration services (e.g., permit
review, GIS, education or outreach,
inspections, engineering capability)
Public works staff review permits for compliance with
NFIP requirements prior to issuance.

What are the barriers to running an
effective NFIP program in the
community, if any?
None.

Compliance History
Is the community in good standing with
the NFIP? Yes
Are there any outstanding compliance
issues (i.e., current violations)?
There are no outstanding compliance issues that are
known to the City.

When was the most recent Community
Assistance Visit (CAV) or Community
Assistance Contact (CAC)?
The date of the most recent CAV or CAC is unknown.

Is a CAV or CAC scheduled or
needed? No
Regulation
When did the community enter the
NFIP?
07/31/71
Are the FIRMs digital or paper? Digital
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Do floodplain development regulations
meet or exceed FEMA or State
minimum requirements? If so, in what
ways?
Floodplain development regulations comply with
FEMA and State minimum requirements.

Provide an explanation of the permitting
process.

Development permits that are submitted to the City
are reviewed by trained staff for compliance with
applicable NFIP requirements.

Community Rating System (CRS)
Does the community participate in
CRS? No
What is the community’s CRS Class
Ranking? N/A
What categories and activitiesprovide
CRS points and how can the class be
improved?
N/A
Does the plan include CRS planning
requirements N/A
Table 311: City of San Rafael NFIP Status
Source: FEMA, City of San Rafael
NFIP Insurance Coverage Details
City of San Rafael joined the NFIP on July 31, 1971. The City of San Rafael does not participate in the Community Rating System. NFIP insurance data provided by FEMA indicates that as of 06/21/2023, there were 1,011 policies in force in the City of San Rafael with $15,310,152 in premiums, resulting in $313,460,800 of insurance in force. There have been 588 closed paid losses totaling $6,147,345. There were 46 repetitive loss structures in the City. Thirty-nine were in A zones, and 2 were in B, C, or X zones, and the remainder are unknown. There were seven severe repetitive loss properties in the City of San Rafael totaling $950,071.78.

Repetitive Loss Properties
Repetitive loss records are as follows:
• Number of FEMA-identified Repetitive-Loss Properties: 46 • Number of FEMA-identified Severe-Repetitive-Loss Properties: 7 • Number of Repetitive-Loss Properties or Severe-Repetitive-Loss Properties that have been mitigated: 0
• Repetitive Loss Residential Structures: 46
• Repetitive Loss Non-Residential Structures: 0
• Severe Repetitive Loss Residential Structures: 4
• Severe Repetitive Loss Non-Residential Structures: 3
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3.3 MITIGATION GOALS
The information developed from the risk assessment was used as the primary basis for developing mitigation goals and objectives. Mitigation goals are defined as general guidelines explaining what each jurisdiction wants to achieve in terms of hazard and loss prevention.

Hazard Risk Prioritization
Mitigation Goals & Objectives
Mitigation Project Identification
Mitigation Project Implementation
Goal statements are typically long-range, policy-oriented statements representing jurisdictionwide visions. Objectives are statements that detail how each jurisdiction’s goals will be achieved, and typically define strategies or implementation steps to attain identified goals. Other important inputs to the development of jurisdiction-level goals and objectives include performing reviews of existing local plans, policy documents, and regulations for consistency and complementary goals, as well as soliciting input from the public.

The following represents overarching strategic goals associated with the identification and eventual implementation of appropriate and meaningful hazard mitigation efforts in relation to prioritized hazards and threats confronting the Marin County OA. These goals form the basis for specific supporting process objectives and are shown from the highest priority, at the top of the list, to those of lesser importance.

The establishment of hazard mitigation goals represents both individual and collective strategies that have been mutually agreed upon by the Steering Committee and have changed with the 2023 MJHMP update. Objectives were added to Goals 2 and 5. Eventually, these goals have been adopted by the Marin County OA as the guiding policy behind local hazard mitigation efforts, in conjunction with other associated principles.

Goals were defined for the purpose of this mitigation plan as broad-based public policy statements that:
• Represent basic desires of the community;
• Encompass all aspects of community, public and private; • Are nonspecific, in that they refer to the quality (not the quantity) of the outcome; • Are future-oriented, in that they are achievable in the future; and • A time-independent, in that they are not scheduled events.

Goals are stated without regard to implementation. Implementation cost, schedule, and means are not considered. Goals are defined before considering how to accomplish them so that they are not dependent on the means of achievement. Goal statements form the basis for objectives 44 CFR Requirement §201.6(c)(3)(i) [The hazard mi�ga�on strategy shall include a] descrip�on of mi�ga�on goals to reduce or avoid long‐term vulnerabili�es to the iden�fied hazards. l ~'?UN. TY OF ~--- ~ ~ ARIN ~
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and actions that will be used as means to achieve the goals. Objectives define strategies to attain the goals and are more specific and measurable.

Goal 1: Minimize risk and vulnerability of the community to the impacts of natural hazards and protect lives and reduce damages and losses to property, economy, and environment in the Marin County OA.
• Minimize economic and resource impacts and promote long-term viability and sustainability of resources throughout the Marin County OA. • Minimize impact to both existing and future development. • Provide protection for public health.
• Prevent and reduce wildfire risk and related losses.

Goal 2: Provide protection for critical facilities, infrastructure, utilities, and services from hazard impacts.
• Incorporate defensible space and reduce hazard vulnerability. • Develop redundancies in utilities and services.
• Enhance resilience through enhanced construction.

Goal 3: Improve public awareness, education, and preparedness for hazards that threaten our communities.
• Enhance public outreach and participation in the Alert Marin Emergency Notification System.
• Enhance public outreach, education, and preparedness program to include all hazards of concern.
• Increase public knowledge about the risk and vulnerability to identified hazards and their recommended responses to disaster events, including evacuation and sheltering options.
• Provide planning and coordination for "At-Risk" populations. • Provide planning and coordination for companion animals, livestock, and other animal populations.
• Increase community awareness and participation in hazard mitigation projects and activities.

Goal 4: Increase communities' capabilities to be prepared for, respond to, and recover from a disaster event.
• Improve interagency (local, state, federal) emergency coordination, planning, training, and communication to ensure effective community preparedness, response and recovery.
• Enhance collaboration and coordination of disaster-related plans, exercises, and training with local, state, and federal agencies, neighboring communities, private partners, and volunteers.
• Enhance the use of shared resources/Develop a strong mutual aid support system. • Create and maintain a fully functional, interoperable radio and communication system with all regional public safety partners.

Goal 5: Maintain FEMA Eligibility/Position the communities for grant funding. • Review hazard events and ongoing hazard mitigation projects annually. • Assess the need to pursue or adjust hazard mitigation projects after significant hazard events.
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Goal 6: Reduce exposure to High Hazard Dams that pose an unacceptable risk to the public. • Improve alert and warning systems to provide residents downstream of a High Hazard Dam to receive timely warning to evacuation when threatened by potential or imminent dam failure.
• Enhance overall community preparedness to respond and evacuate a potential or imminent dam failure.
• Increase public awareness of the risk posed by High Hazard Dams and the potential for relocation of housing outside a possible inundation zone. • Prioritize High Hazard Dam Mitigation projects and programs.

3.4 STATUS OF PREVIOUS MITIGATION ACTIONS
Table 39 summarizes the actions that were recommended in the previous version of the hazard mitigation plan and their implementation status at the time this update was prepared.

Table 39: Status of Previous Hazard Mitigation Actions
Action Number / Name Completed Ongoing Not
Started
Still
Relevant
Included in
Updated
Action
Plan

2. Identify the locations and then subsequently
equip, stock and train staff in order to establish
emergency evacuation shelters used to
temporarily house people during major
emergencies.

X X X

3. Update the San Rafael Emergency Operations
Center (EOC) Handbook X

4. Outfit and equip the City’s new Emergency
Operation’s Center
(EOC) scheduled for operation in Calendar Year
2019
X X X

5. Plan, prepare, conduct community outreach and
deploy emergency evacuation exercises in
neighborhoods prone to wildfire or tidal flooding
during extreme wet weather periods.

X X

6. Bayside Acres Beach Sewer
Relocation/Replacement X X X

7. Beach Drive (Fiberglass) Pump Station and
Sewer Rehabilitation X X X

8. Recruit and ultimate appoint a new Emergency
Management Coordinator (EMC) to fill vacant post. X

9. Evaluate and Implement signal timing for first
responders X X X

10. Tree Safety Maintenance Program X X X

11. Purchase and installation of EMTRAC signal
control equipment into 17 San Rafael Fire Vehicles
and 25 intersections.

X X X X
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Table 312: Status of Previous Hazard Mitigation Actions Source: City of San Rafael
Table 39: Status of Previous Hazard Mitigation Actions
Action Number / Name Completed Ongoing Not
Started
Still
Relevant
Included in
Updated
Action
Plan

13. San Rafael Capital Improvement Program
(CIP) Implementation X X X

19. Develop a climate adaptation plan, and
implement resulting strategies X X X

22. Water Storage Facility Study X X X

23. Leaky Pipe Replacement Program X X X

24. Marin Municipal Water District exploration of
desalination plants X X X

25. Evaluate the use of reclaimed water/increase
purple pipes X X X

26. Evaluate and enhance conservation measures
to reduce water consumption X X X

28. Earthquake Hazard Study

30. Structural Soft Story Identification and
Mitigation Plan X X X

33. Adopt a Drain Program X X X

35. City Storm Drain System Analysis and
Improvements X X X

36. City Flood Alert System X

39. 70-96 Bret Harte Sewer Easement Repair X X X

40. Landslide Identification and Management
Program X X X

41. Fairhills Slide Repair X X X

43. Create a City of San Rafael specific
Community Wildfire Protection Plan (CWPP). X X X

44. Create new strategic fuel interruption zones in
WUI areas and maintain and expand existing fuel
interruption zones already in place.

X X X

46. Create new point specific wildfire prevention
programs specifically targeting areas where
homeless encampments are known to exist.

X X X

47. San Rafael Measure A Project Implementation X X X

48. East San Rafael Shore Project: Plan X X X

49. East San Rafael Shore Project: Permitting and
Construction X X X
"Still Relevant" indicates that the project or program was first proposed in the 2018 MJHMP and remains still relevant to the current 2023 MJHMP hazard vulnerabilities. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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3.5 HAZARD MITIGATION ACTIONS
The 2023 Marin County OA MJHMP was revised to reflect progress in local mitigation efforts.

Mitigation projects were selected for each hazard and for the City of San Rafael based off the hazard risk assessment. The projects are supported by the mitigation goals and objectives, and are ranked using the following criteria; approximate cost, timeframe of completion, whether the project requires City Council regulatory action, and an assumption as to whether or not the project would be subject to CEQA or NEPA requirements. Funding sources are identified for all projects. All projects consider new, future, and existing development. Project worksheets are used by the Planning Team and Steering Committee to describe criteria for each project.

Based on the hazard profiles, threat assessment, capabilities assessment, community survey results, discussions among the City of San Rafael Hazard Mitigation Planning Team members, and existing best practices, a set of potential mitigation actions was developed and then evaluated based on the following criteria:
• FEMA requires local governments to evaluate the monetary and non-monetary costs and benefits of potential mitigation actions. Although local governments are not required to assign specific dollar values to each action, they should identify the general size of costs and benefits.
• The City of San Rafael Hazard Mitigation Planning Team may elect to include measures with a high cost or low benefits, but such measures should be clearly beneficial to the community and an appropriate use of local resources.

In addition, FEMA directs local governments to consider the following questions as part of the financial analysis:
• What is the frequency and severity of the hazard type to be addressed by the action, and how vulnerable is the community to this hazard?
• What impacts of the hazard will the action reduce or avoid? • What benefits will the action provide to the community? The City of San Rafael Hazard Mitigation Planning Team also chose to review and revise the potential hazard mitigation actions with consideration for climate impact and social vulnerability.

Projects and programs were assessed with consideration of these variables.

Prioritization
As part of the mitigation actions development and review, the City of San Rafael Hazard Mitigation Planning Team also prioritized the actions. The prioritization efforts looked at the risks and threats from each hazard; lifesaving, life safety, property protection and lastly environmental protection; financial costs and benefits; technical feasibility; consideration for climate impact, and social vulnerability, and community values. The City of San Rafael Hazard Mitigation Planning Team members were asked to identify their priority actions using the following criteria.

Implementation priority ratings were assigned as follows:
• High Priority - An action that meets multiple objectives, is linked to a high risk hazard, has benefits that exceed costs, and has a potential source of funding. Action can begin within the short term (1 to 5 years).
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• Medium Priority - An action that meets multiple objectives, is linked to a high or medium risk hazard, has benefits that exceed costs, and is eligible for funding though no funding has yet been secured for it. Action can begin within the short term (1 to 5 years) once funding is secured.
• Low Priority - An action that will mitigate the risk of a hazard, has benefits that do not exceed the costs or are difficult to quantify, has no secured source of funding, and is not eligible for any known grant funding. Action can be completed in the long term (1 to 10 years). Low-priority actions may be eligible for grant funding from programs that have not yet been identified.

During the five-year update cycle, the Marin County Office of Emergency Management will hold quarterly update meetings with the Marin Operational Area Hazard Mitigation Working Group and local stakeholders to discuss revisions to the plan and progress updates for the hazard mitigation actions. The City of San Rafael will actively participate in this Working Group. The Marin County Office of Emergency Management and all participating jurisdictions and special districts will continue to hold public meetings after the first quarter and third quarter update meetings annually and will continue to invite public participation in the update process via updated public surveys. Additionally, the City of San Rafael Deputy Director of Emergency Management will work with the various City departments we will oversee the hazard mitigation actions and track the progress of the actions to the City officials and Marin Operational Area Hazard Mitigation Working Group.

The City of San Rafael maintains project worksheets with detailed descriptions of each project.

A summary of each project is found in the table below.

Table 40 lists the Current Hazard Mitigation Actions for the City of San Rafael. .
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Table 40: City of San Rafael Current Hazard Mitigation Actions No. Mitigation Action
Hazards
Mitigated/
Goals Met
Jurisdiction/
Responsible
Agency
New,
Existing,
Completed,
Removed
Estimated Cost
and Potential
Funding Source
Timeline/
Priority Comments/ Progress
SR-1
Marin Emergency Radio Authority
(MERA) Upgrades. MU-13 Protect
Infrastructure and Critical Facilities
All Hazards/
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Marin
County and
the City of
San Rafael
OES
Existing
(2018)
Cost TBD; State
and/or Federal
grants, existing
budgets
The city, as a participant,
is also studying
replacement for the
system as it reaches the
end of its service life.

SR-2
Update and implement safety and
resilience elements of the General
Plan. MU-4 Adopt Development
Regulations in Hazard Areas
All Hazards/
1, 2, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael
Planning Dept.

Existing
(2018)
Cost: General
Funds
1 – 3
years/
High
An updated General Plan
was adopted which
includes significant public
safety components.

SR-3
Review and complete a study on the
effectiveness of current California
Building codes for seismic, flood, fire,
and other disasters.MU-8 Adopt and
Enforce Building Codes
All Hazards/
1, 2, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael
Planning
Dept.

Existing
(2018)
Cost: General
Funds
3 - 5
years/
Medium
The city continues to
review and adopt current
California Building codes.

SR-4
Enhance and promote community
and individual emergency
preparedness. MU-15 Develop and
Conduct a Household Disaster
Preparedness Program. ET-2
Increase awareness of extreme
temperature risk and safety.

All Hazards/
3, 4, 5
Marin
County and
the City of
San Rafael
OES
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, BRIC,
Fire Safe Marin,
Private Grants
1 - 2
years/
High
Focus on signing residents
up for Alert Marin and
establish a personal
evacuation kit and plan.

SR-5
Identify the locations and then
subsequently equip, stock, and train
staff to establish emergency
evacuation shelters used to
temporarily house people during
major emergencies. MU-13 Protect
Infrastructure and Critical Facilities
All Hazard/
1, 2, 4
City of San
Rafael OES
Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, BRIC,
CDAA, Fire Safe
Marin, Private
Grants
1 - 2
years/
High
None
SR-6
Evaluate and Implement signal timing
for first responders including
EMTRAC on 17 fire vehicles. MU-13
Protect Infrastructure and Critical
Facilities
All Hazard/
1, 2, 4
City of San
Rafael Fire
Dept.

Existing
(2020)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, BRIC,
CDAA, Fire Safe
Marin, Private
Grants
3-5 years/
medium
This action is in its initial
stage with planned
expansion.

Ongoing
1-2 years/
High
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Table 40: City of San Rafael Current Hazard Mitigation Actions No. Mitigation Action
Hazards
Mitigated/
Goals Met
Jurisdiction/
Responsible
Agency
New,
Existing,
Completed,
Removed
Estimated Cost
and Potential
Funding Source
Timeline/
Priority Comments/ Progress
SR-7
Implementation of SRMC code for
new construction and substantial
renovation projects to implement 7a
standards. Codes restricting wood
shake roofs. WF-5 Require or
Encourage Fire-Resistant
Construction Techniques.

Wildfire
1, 3, 4, 5 City of San
Rafael
Building Dept.

Existing
(2018)
Cost: General
Funds, MWPA
3-5 years/
medium None
SR-8
Receive and review Vegetation
Management Plans (VMP) for
development in the Wildland-Urban
Interface (WUI) areas.

WF-9 Implement a Fuels
Management Program. WF-8
Conduct Maintenance to Reduce
Risk.

Wildfire
1, 3, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael
Fire Dept.

New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, BRIC,
Fire Safe Marin,
Private Grants,
MWPA
1 - 2
years/
High
This reduces the chance
of a wildland fire igniting
the structure(s) and
reciprocally, wildland
ignition from a structure
fire.

SR-9
Removal and/or reduction of
hazardous fuels located within COSR
jurisdictional boundaries. WF-9
Implement a Fuels Management
Program, ET-1 Reduce Urban Heat.

Wildfire
1, 2, 4, 5
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, BRIC,
Private Grants,
MWPA
1 - 2
years/
High
Reduces the chance of a
wildland fire igniting the
structure(s) and
reciprocally, wildland
ignition from a structure
fire. Supports
environmental restoration.

SR-10
Hillside neighborhoods adaptation
projects to protect against wildfire risk
including narrow-street parking
restrictions, continuing vegetation
management in highest-risk areas,
and other projects listed in the
CWPP. WF-3 Reduce Risk through
Land Use Planning. WF-8 Conduct
Maintenance to Reduce Risk.

Wildfire/
1, 2, 4, 5
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, BRIC,
Private Grants,
MWPA
1 - 2
years/
High
None
SR-11
Consider the development of
transitional zones where additional
fuel management will be conducted.

Wildfire
1, 2, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael Fire
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

MWPA, HMGP
Grants
3-5 years/
medium Various projects
City of San
Rafael
Fire Dept.

City of San
Rafael
Fire Dept.
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Table 40: City of San Rafael Current Hazard Mitigation Actions No. Mitigation Action
Hazards
Mitigated/
Goals Met
Jurisdiction/
Responsible
Agency
New,
Existing,
Completed,
Removed
Estimated Cost
and Potential
Funding Source
Timeline/
Priority Comments/ Progress
WF-7 Create Defensible Space
Around Structures and Infrastructure.

WF-9 Implement a Fuels
Management Program.

SR-12
Continue efforts to partner with
Neighborhood response groups and
firewise communities to improve
wildfire adaptation. WF-10 Participate
in Firewise Program.

Wildfire
1, 3, 4
Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

MWPA, Firesafe
Marin
3-5 years/
medium
Continued efforts to
expand the interest in fireadapted communities
through the local Firewise
program.

SR-13
Participate in Countywide evacuation
route assessment and mapping
study(s). WF-1 Map and Assess
Vulnerability to wildfire.

Wildfire
1, 2, 3, 5
Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

MWPA, HMGP
Grants
1 - 2
years/
High
The study is set to be
completed this year.

SR-14
Conduct fuel reduction of hazardous
vegetation along evacuation routes.

WF-8 Conduct Maintenance to
Reduce Risk.

Wildfire
1, 2, 4
Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

MWPA, HMGP
Grants
1 - 2
years/
High
Annual surveying and
mitigation work.

SR-15
Staff Defensible space program to
educate the public and support code
enforcement efforts to improve citywide structure ignition potential. WF-7 Create defensible space around
structures and infrastructure.

Wildfire
1, 3, 4, 5
Existing
(2019) Cost: MWPA 3-5 years/medium
The Defensible space
program is an ongoing and
year round program.

SR-16
Develop and Implement a Fuels
Management Program. WF-9
Implement a Fuels Management
Program.

Wildfire
1, 2, 4
Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

MWPA, HMGP
Grants
1 - 2
years/
High
None
SR-17
Conduct a city-wide survey of
hazardous trees and vegetation. WF1 Map and Assess Vulnerability to Wildfire.

Wildfire
1, 3, 5 Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

MWPA, HMGP
Grants
1 - 2
years/
High
Data collection is
conducted through the
defensible space
inspection program.

SR-18
Develop tools, equipment, and
programs to implement a mobile
public education and outreach
Wildfire
1,2,3,4,5
City of San
Rafael Fire,
Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

MWPA, HMGP
Grants
1 - 2
years/
High
The City conducts public
education withing San
Rafael which is
City of San
Rafael
Fire Dept.

City of San
Rafael
Fire Dept.

City of San
Rafael
Fire Dept.

City of San
Rafael
Fire Dept.

City of San
Rafael
Fire Dept.

City of San
Rafael
Fire Dept.
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Table 40: City of San Rafael Current Hazard Mitigation Actions No. Mitigation Action
Hazards
Mitigated/
Goals Met
Jurisdiction/
Responsible
Agency
New,
Existing,
Completed,
Removed
Estimated Cost
and Potential
Funding Source
Timeline/
Priority Comments/ Progress
program for emergency
preparedness, hazard education, and
community mitigation input. WF-11
Increases Wildfire Risk Awareness.

WF-12 Educate Property Owners
about Wildfire Mitigation Techniques.

Firesafe
Marin
supplemented by Firesafe
Marin.

SR-19
San Rafael adaptation projects to
protect against flooding including
maintaining, replacing, or new flood
control pump stations, maintaining
and dredging existing lagoons and
canals, maintaining, and improving
storm drainage throughout
neighborhoods, and other projects
listed in the assessment. F-1
Incorporate Flood Mitigation in Local
Planning. F-9 Manage the Floodplain
Beyond Minimum Requirements. F15 Elevate or Retrofit Structures and Utilities.

Flooding,
Sea Level
Rise,
Tsunami/
1, 2, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael
Sustainability
Dept., Marin
County
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, FMA,
CDAA
3-5 years/
medium
City’s Climate Adaptation
Plan
SR-20
Updating or enhancing flood control
pump stations, storm force mains,
and gravity storm lines around town.

This will also include maintaining and
dredging existing flood control open
channels, canals, and lagoons. F-14
Conduct Regular Maintenance for
Drainage Systems and Flood Control
Structures. F-17 Protect
Infrastructure.

Flooding,
Sea Level
Rise, Levee,
Tsunami/
1, 2, 4, 5
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, FMA,
CDAA
3-5 years/
medium None
SR-21
San Rafael Capital Improvement
Program (CIP) Implementation. SLR3 Protect buildings and infrastructure.

F-19 Construct flood control
Flooding,
Sea Level
Rise, Levee,
Tsunami/
City of San
Rafael
Planning
Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, FMA,
CDAA
3-5 years/
medium
This plan includes various
storm drains, creek
restoration, and water
pump repair projects.

City of San
Rafael
Sustainability
Dept., Marin
County
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Table 40: City of San Rafael Current Hazard Mitigation Actions No. Mitigation Action
Hazards
Mitigated/
Goals Met
Jurisdiction/
Responsible
Agency
New,
Existing,
Completed,
Removed
Estimated Cost
and Potential
Funding Source
Timeline/
Priority Comments/ Progress
measures. F-13 Improve storm drain
capacity.
1, 2, 4, 5
SR-22
Develop a “Homeowners Guide to
Flood and Tsunami Hazards” to help
property owners identify mitigation
techniques, preparation practices,
and funding opportunities to adapt to
sea level rise. TSU-6 Increase Public
Awareness of Tsunami Hazards. F-23
Educate property owners about Flood
Mitigation Techniques.

Flooding,
Sea Level
Rise, Levee,
Tsunami/
1, 2, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael
Planning and
Sustainability
Departments
Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, FMA,
CDAA
3-5 years/
medium None
SR-23
Enhance Community facilities to
support energy resiliency and socially
vulnerable populations during
extreme weather events. ET-3 Assist
Vulnerable Population
Severe
Weather-Heat
1,2,4,5
City of San
Rafael OES
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, BRIC,
CDAA, Private
Grants
1 - 2
years/
High
This action includes heat,
rain, poor air quality, and
cold weather conditions.

SR-24
Educate the public about severe
weather safety, power outages, and
powerline safety. SW-7 Increase
Severe Weather Risk Awareness.

Severe
Weather-Heat
1,3,4
City of San
Rafael OES
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, CDAA
1 - 2
years/
High
Develop community
outreach in preparation for
severe weather to
enhance public safety
SR-25
Coordinate with local government and
private organizations to prepare and
implement staff shelters during
predicted severe weather conditions.

SW-6 Retrofit Public Buildings and
Critical Facilities.

Severe
Weather-Heat
1,4
City of San
Rafael
Building Dept.

New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, CDAA
1 - 2
years/
High
Open warming and shelter
locations for residents
experiencing
homelessness to improve
health and life safety.

SR-26
Fire and Building code amendments
and adoption to reduce the damage
to structures from earthquakes,
landslides, and fire. fire sprinklers for
new and substantially remodeled
structures. EQ-1 Adopt and Enforce
Building Codes. SU-3 Consider
Subsidence in Building Design.

Earthquake
1, 2, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael Fire
& Building
Departments
Existing
(2021)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, CDAA
3-5 years/
medium
Substantial remodels are
indicated by more than
50% sheetrock removal
during 4 years or
conducting more than 50%
of the structures assessed
value in remodel cost.
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Table 313: City of San Rafael Current Hazard Mitigation Actions Table 40: City of San Rafael Current Hazard Mitigation Actions No. Mitigation Action
Hazards
Mitigated/
Goals Met
Jurisdiction/
Responsible
Agency
New,
Existing,
Completed,
Removed
Estimated Cost
and Potential
Funding Source
Timeline/
Priority Comments/ Progress
SR-27
Train homeowners to locate and shut
off gas valves if they smell or hear
gas leaking. Prepare citywide
education. EQ-7 Increase Earthquake
Risk Awareness.

Earthquake
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael OES
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, CDAA
1 - 2
years/
High
This action may be
implemented in
preparation for training
programs.

SR-28
Remove non-native plants and trees
from all County and City and Town
facilities, and replace them with
drought-tolerant, native plants. D-8
Enhance Landscaping and Design
Measures
Drought
1, 2, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael Fire
Dept.

Existing
(2019)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, CDAA
3-5 years/
medium None
SR-29 Survey and explore the potential of
enhancing reclaimed water systems.

Drought
1, 2, 4, 5
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, CDAA
3-5 years/
medium None
SR-30
Landslide Identification and
Management Program – LS-1 Map
and assess vulnerability to landslides.

Landslide
1, 2, 4, 5
City of San
Rafael OES &
Public Works
New
(2023)
Cost TBD:

HMGP, CDAA
3-5 years/
medium None
City of San Rafael
Sustainability
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3.6 PROGRESS IN LOCAL MITIGATION EFFORTS
This plan has been created as a “living” document with input from the population and professionals within the City of San Rafael. Based on the planning meetings and the progress monitored by the steering committee members several mitigation actions were accomplished since the last planning cycle. Table 39 provides a brief description of the progress made in the local mitigation efforts and the plan for those mitigation actions that were not completed or are ongoing.

The planning team for the City of San Rafael identified and prioritized the mitigation actions as detailed in Table 40, based on the risk assessment and in accordance with the process outline in Section 3, Mitigation Strategy, of the base plan. Background information and information on how each action will be implemented and administered, such as ideas for implementation, responsible office, potential funding, estimated cost, and timeline are also included. General processes and information on plan implementation and maintenance of this LHMP by all participating jurisdictions is included in Section 4.0: Plan Review, Evaluation, and Implementation.

3.7 PLAN INTEGRATION
For hazard mitigation planning, “integration” means that hazard mitigation information is used in other relevant planning mechanisms, such as general planning, capital facilities planning, emergency management, hazard specific planning, and that relevant information from those sources is also used in hazard mitigation. This section identifies where such integration is already in place from the 2018 MJHMP, and where the 2023 MJHMP will be used for further integration.

The planning team for the City of San Rafael will maintain this plan and will serve as a lead staff for grant project applications on City projects selected for application under the Hazard Mitigation Assistance grant programs.

An important implementation mechanism that is highly effective and low-cost is incorporation of the hazard mitigation plan recommendations and their underlying principles into town plans and mechanisms. Where possible the City of San Rafael will use existing plans and/or programs to implement hazard mitigation actions. Mitigation is most successful when it is incorporated into the day-to-day functions and priorities of government and development. As described in this plan’s capability assessment, the City of San Rafael already implements policies and programs to reduce losses to life and property from hazards. This plan builds upon the momentum developed through previous and related planning efforts and mitigation programs and recommends implementing actions, where possible, through these other program mechanisms.

These existing mechanisms include Integration opportunities for the 2023 Marin County OA MJHMP:

City General Plan - Integrates hazard mitigation through the consideration of hazards most likely to impact the City. These hazards are considered in the Safety Element, Housing Element and Open Space Element.

City and District Emergency Operations Plans – Integrates hazard mitigation through the consideration of the City’s planned response to hazards most likely to impact the City.

County, City and Town Ordinances - Integrates hazard mitigation through the consideration of plans and policies outlined in the capability assessments in the jurisdictional annexes. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Flood/Storm Water Management/Master Plans - Integrates hazard mitigation through the consideration of strategies to reduce flood risk and storm water management for the protection of life and property.

Community Wildfire Protection Plan - Integrates hazard mitigation through the consideration of strategies to reduce fire hazard and the risk of catastrophic wildfires in the WUI, while promoting the protection and enhancement of the county’s economic assets and ecological resources.

The successful implementation of this mitigation strategy will require review of existing plans and programs for coordination and multi-objective opportunities that promote a safe, sustainable community. A few examples of incorporation of the MJHMP into existing planning mechanisms include:

25. As recommended by Assembly Bill 2140, each community should adopt (by reference or incorporation) this MJHMP into the Safety Element of their General Plans. Evidence of adoption (by formal, certified resolution) shall be provided to CalOES and FEMA

26. Integration of flood actions identified in this mitigation strategy with the actions and implementation priorities established in existing Flood Management Programs

27. Using the risk assessment information to update the hazards section in the County, City and Town Emergency Operations Plans
Efforts should continuously be made to monitor the progress of mitigation actions implemented through these other planning mechanisms and, where appropriate, their priority actions should be incorporated into updates of this hazard mitigation plan.

3.8 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT TRENDS
San Rafael is a desirable place to live, work, or own a business in part due to the variety of land uses that can be found in the city. It offers older neighborhoods with traditional city blocks and mixed uses, as well as mid- to late- 20th Century suburban areas where residential and commercial uses have been separated. Its neighborhoods are complemented by multiple business districts, ranging from industrial areas to office parks to neighborhood shopping centers. Its developed areas are complemented by a network of open spaces, connecting the city to nature and making it more interesting and scenic. Past land use decisions have maintained a balance of uses that give the city a “hometown” quality and make San Rafael what it is today.

The San Rafael Land Use Element is closely aligned with other elements of the General Plan.

The Mobility Element has been calibrated with the Land Use Element to ensure that transportation capacity is adequate to support new development. At the same time, the Land Use Element shifts development patterns to make walking, bicycling, and transit use a more viable way to get around. The Land Use Element similarly aims to reduce the hazards identified in the Safety and Resilience Element, while preserving the natural resources addressed in the Conservation and Climate Change Element.

The Land Use Element guides future change to fit the desired character of San Rafael, preserve the city’s historic qualities and natural environment, serve community needs, sustain the local economy, and enhance the quality of life. Its goals and policies provide the direction needed to strengthen San Rafael’s sense of place and keep the city a place that feels like “home.” l ~'?UN. TY OF
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The Land Use Element reflects the Guiding Principles of General Plan 2040. It strategically directs San Rafael’s growth to areas where it will strengthen the city, protect natural resources, reduce exposure to environmental hazards, support climate change initiatives, and conserve and strengthen existing neighborhoods. The land use goals and policies are underpinned by a basic belief that change is both inevitable and necessary and should be harnessed to achieve the vision of a thriving city.

It is tremendously important to San Rafael residents that growth is well managed and harmonious with community needs. New development and other physical alterations must respect the character and scale of the city. Change and development should be accomplished in ways that enhance and blend with San Rafael’s existing physical and social qualities.

Development should respect the physical fabric of the city, while improving its social fabric through new housing and economic opportunities that reach all residents.

The Land Use Element responds to the chronic risks that come from living with natural disasters, including wildfires, earthquakes, and floods. This requires more than just being prepared for emergencies. The Land Use Map (see Figure 60) itself responds to hazard levels in different parts of the city, limiting development in high fire- hazard areas and on steep landslide-prone hillsides. Policies in the General Plan require elevated foundations in low-lying areas, and flood-proofing buildings where sea level rise is an issue. The Land Use Map includes a sea level rise overlay area, providing a reminder of where extra steps may be necessary to ensure the safety of life and property.

As detailed in the "Climate Change and Future Development Considerations" section of each hazard profile, development in San Rafael has occurred and will continue to occur throughout the town in areas prone to all of its identified hazards. Increased growth in these areas may increase the vulnerability of people and structures to these hazards. l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 60: City of San Rafael Land Use Map – Open Space Source: City of San Rafael General Plan 2040 (Aug. 2021) l ~'?UN. TY OF
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SECTION 4.0: PLAN REVIEW, EVALUATION, AND

IMPLEMENTATION
The strategies presented are deemed appropriate and effective by recommendation of the City of San Rafael.

4.1 PLAN ADOPTION
Upon submission to the California Office of Emergency Services (CalOES) for review, and subsequent approval by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), the Marin County OA MJHMP will be presented to local government for formal adoption. As appropriate, the adopted plan and accompanying City of San Rafael Community Profile Annex of the Marin County OA MJHMP will then be incorporated into local general plans for integration into organizational policy.

4.2 PLAN MONITORING
The process of hazard mitigation does not end with the completion, approval, and adoption of the Marin County OA MJHMP. During the five-year lifespan the Marin County and City of San Rafael plan, the County, cities, towns and special districts, along with community-based organizations will ensure that the mitigation goals and strategies identified are exercised and monitored under a collaborative and cooperative umbrella, and that the document itself is properly maintained.

The Marin County Office of Emergency Management, as lead coordinating agency for hazard mitigation planning within the Marin County OA, leads the Marin Operational Area Hazard Mitigation Working Group that meets quarterly to review and manage the plan, projects, and programs. The City of San Rafael is a participating member of the Marin Operational Area Hazard Mitigation Working Group. The City of San Rafael Public Works Director will monitor and update the City of San Rafael Annex to the Marin County OA MJHMP.

The review will identify changing community priorities, updated or new planning documents and the progress or status of the mitigation actions as detailed in the mitigation strategy. Additional questions to complete the review will be considered as follows:
• Do the goals address current and expected conditions? • Are the goals and objectives consistent with changes in the local, state, and federal policy?
• Status updates on all mitigation actions?
• Have the hazards or risks changed?
• Are current resources appropriate for implementing the MJHMP? • Have the outcomes occurred as expected?
• Is the County and jurisdictions or districts participating in the plan implementation process as expected?

The Working Group is a subgroup of the Marin Disaster and Citizens Corps Council. During the five-year update cycle, the Marin Operational Area Hazard Mitigation Working Group will have quarterly update meetings with the Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee and local stakeholders to discuss revisions to the plan and progress updates for the hazard mitigation actions. Further, Marin OEM will host an annual one-day mitigation summit to increase l ~'?UN. TY OF
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engagement and enhance collaboration on the plan and projects. The summit will also have the goal to educate stakeholders on innovative approaches to mitigation, trends, and new plan requirements. Marin OEM, as the host, will seek subject matter experts, state and federal officials, and representatives from within the Marin OA to speak to mitigation and planning. The knowledge gathered and the coordination facilitated during the summit will be used to update the base plan and annexes.

Marin OEM has the capacity to lead the Working Group and Multi-Jurisdictional Planning with one coordinator assigned with direct maintenance of the plan, a department analyst assigned to support the coordinator with project and grant tracking, and a community preparedness coordinator assigned with conducting regular public outreach on the plan and education on mitigation. Community feedback and integration will continue through outreach events and OEM website, where residents and visitors are invited to provide feedback through a survey, available in English or Spanish.

Specific plan maintenance activities by the Marin County Office of Emergency Management and its participating jurisdictions/special districts may include:
• Hold quarterly update meetings with the Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee and local stakeholders to discuss revisions to the plan and progress updates for the hazard mitigation actions.
• Annual Hazard Mitigation Summit
• Holding public meetings after the first quarter and third quarter update meetings. • Maintaining the Marin County OEM Hazard Mitigation Website, which provides the public with the ability to access identified hazard impact maps, location address search capability, and a listing of hazard mitigation actions. • Monitoring of the Marin County and all participating jurisdiction mitigation project activities and dissemination of status reports.
• Generation of reports relative to plan status, project management, and revision updates to executive leadership.

Preparations for the plan’s future revision and updating.

4.3 PLAN EVALUATION
Upon approval and adoption by the City of San Rafael, the prioritized mitigation strategies will be further developed for funding and implementation by the lead agencies. The plan describes the potential sources of hazard mitigation funding, and general procedures to obtain that funding.

The mitigation strategies represented and adopted within this plan are recommendations only and must be approved and funded in order to be implemented as official mitigation solutions.

Ultimately, it is the responsibility of jurisdictional and agency officials within the Marin County to undertake project implementation based upon identified mitigation strategies, funding availability, and local need when it arises. The Marin County Office of Emergency Management will meet with the Marin Operational Area Hazard Mitigation Working Group, including the City of San Rafael, to evaluate the plan after each update meeting.

4.4 PLAN UPDATE
The City of San Rafael Public Works Director will monitor and update the City of San Rafael Annex to the Marin County OA MJHMP. During the five-year update cycle, the City of San Rafael and the Marin County Office of Emergency Management will hold quarterly update l ~'?UN. TY OF
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meetings with the Marin Operational Area Hazard Mitigation Working Group and local stakeholders to discuss revisions to the plan and progress updates for the hazard mitigation actions. The Marin County Office of Emergency Management and all participating jurisdictions and special districts will continue to hold public meetings after the first quarter and third quarter update meetings annually and will continue to invite public participation in the update process via updated public surveys.
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FIGURES AND TABLES
Figures
Figure 1: Marin County OEM MJHMP Website.................................................................... 12-19 Figure 2: Marin County OEM MJHMP Public Town Hall Meeting......................................... 12-20 Figure 3: Hazard Mitigation Plan Public Outreach Press Release ....................................... 12-21 Figure 4: Hazard Mitigation Plan Survey ............................................................................. 12-23 Figure 5: Map of City of San Rafael in Marin County........................................................... 12-26 Figure 6: Map of the City of San Rafael............................................................................... 12-27 Figure 7: The City of San Rafael Precipitation and Monthly Temperatures .......................... 12-29 Figure 8: Races in San Rafael ............................................................................................ 12-30 Figure 9: City of San Rafael Land Use Map ........................................................................ 12-32 Figure 10: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1060.01 .................... 12-35 Figure 11: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1081.00..................... 12-36 Figure 12: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1082.01 .................... 12-37 Figure 13: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1082.02 .................... 12-38 Figure 14: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1090.01 .................... 12-39 Figure 15: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1092.02 .................... 12-40 Figure 16: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1101.00..................... 12-41 Figure 17: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1102.00..................... 12-42 Figure 18: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1110.01..................... 12-43 Figure 19: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1110.02..................... 12-44 Figure 20: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1121.00..................... 12-45 Figure 21: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1122.02..................... 12-46 Figure 22: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1122.03..................... 12-47 Figure 23: City of San Rafael Social Vulnerability Map Census Tract 1122.04..................... 12-48 Figure 24: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities and Infrastructure ....................................... 12-59 Figure 25: City of San Rafael Hazard Risk Assessment Ranking ........................................ 12-60 Figure 26: Hazard Risk Categorization................................................................................ 12-60 Figure 27: NASA Global Temperature Change CO2 Gas .................................................... 12-64 Figure 28: NASA Global Temperature Change 1884 to 2022 .............................................. 12-64 Figure 29: NASA Global Temperature Change Sea Level ................................................... 12-65 Figure 30: Annual Mean Sea Level Trends.......................................................................... 12-68 Figure 31: Landslide Susceptibility Classes ........................................................................ 12-73 Figure 32: Mud Flow Areas ................................................................................................. 12-74 Figure 33: City of San Rafael Debris Flow Critical Facilities and Infrastructure.................... 12-76 Figure 34: Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale ........................................................................ 12-79 Figure 35: Mercalli Scale vs. Magnitude.............................................................................. 12-80 Figure 36: Soil Types .......................................................................................................... 12-80 Figure 37: Marin County OA Earthquake Impact and Fault Lines ........................................ 12-82 Figure 38: City of San Rafael Earthquake Critical Facilities and Infrastructure .................... 12-84 Figure 39: Diagram of an Atmospheric River Event............................................................. 12-87 Figure 40: City of San Rafael Flooding Critical Facilities and Infrastructure......................... 12-89 Figure 41: City of San Rafael Flooding – 10/21/2021 .......................................................... 12-95 Figure 42: Dissolution Sinkhole Formation.......................................................................... 12-97 Figure 43: Cover-Subsidence Sinkhole Formation .............................................................. 12-97 l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Figure 44: Cover-Collapse Sinkhole Formation................................................................... 12-98 Figure 45: Levee Failure Mechanisms ................................................................................ 12-99 Figure 46: City of San Rafael Levee Inundation Impact……………………………………….12-101 Figure 47: City of San Rafael Sea Level Rise Impact........................................................ 12-105 Figure 48: Projections of Sea Level Rise in the San Francisco Bay Area, 2000-2100 ....... 12-107 Figure 49: Heat Index....................................................................................................... 12-108 Figure 50: Annual Average Temperatures in the San Francisco Bay Area, 2000-2100 ...... 12-109 Figure 51: Beaufort Wind Scale .........................................................................................12-110 Figure 52: Enhanced Fujita Scale ......................................................................................12-111 Figure 53: Waterspout Formation.......................................................................................12-112 Figure 54: City of San Rafael Tsunami Critical Facilities and Infrastructure ........................12-114 Figure 55: Federal, State and Local Responsibility Areas in the Marin County OA.............12-117 Figure 56: Fuel Model Map for the Marin County OA ........................................................ 12-121 Figure 57: 2018 San Rafael Wildfire in Boyd Memorial Park ............................................. 12-125 Figure 58: City of San Rafael Wildfire Critical Facilities and Infrastructure ........................ 12-126 Figure 59: Trends in the Annual Number of Large Wildfires in the United States............... 12-127 Figure 60: City of San Rafael Land Use Map – Open Space............................................. 12-158 List of Tables
Table 1: City of San Rafael Local Hazard Mitigation Planning Team Members...................... 12-8 Table 2: 2023 MJHMP Local Planning Team Members........................................................ 12-12 Table 3: City of San Rafael & Marin County OA MJHMP Planning Meetings ....................... 12-16 Table 4: City of San Rafael Estimated Jurisdictional Population .......................................... 12-29 Table 5: Population Change of The City of San Rafael........................................................ 12-29 Table 6: Languages Spoken in San Rafael.......................................................................... 12-30 Table 7: Marin County OA Jurisdictional Housing Stock ...................................................... 12-31 Table 8: NRI Hazards and Marin County OA MJHMP Hazards............................................ 12-33 Table 9: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1060.01....................... 12-35 Table 10: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1081.00..................... 12-36 Table 11: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1082.01 ..................... 12-37 Table 12: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1082.02..................... 12-38 Table 13: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1090.01..................... 12-39 Table 14: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1090.02..................... 12-40 Table 15: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1101.00..................... 12-41 Table 16: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1102.00..................... 12-42 Table 17: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1110.01 ..................... 12-43 Table 18: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1110.02 ..................... 12-44 Table 19: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1121.00..................... 12-45 Table 20: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1122.02..................... 12-46 Table 21: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1122.03..................... 12-47 Table 22: NRI Hazard Type Risk Index for San Rafael Census Tract 1122.04..................... 12-48 Table 23: Household Income for The City of San Rafael as of 2019.................................... 12-51 Table 24 City of San Rafael Civilian Employed Population 16 years+ by Industry ............... 12-51 Table 25: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities ..................................................................... 12-56 Table 26: Historic Sites In The City of San Rafael ............................................................... 12-58 l ~'?UN. TY OF
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Table 27: Select Hazards Magnitude/ Severity Scale or Index............................................. 12-61 Table 28: City of San Rafael Hazard Risk Assessment........................................................ 12-70 Table 29: Hazard Risk Assessment..................................................................................... 12-71 Table 30: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities in the Flood Zones ....................................... 12-90 Table 31: City of San Rafael Critical Facilities in the Flood Zones ....................................... 12-94 Table 32: City of San Rafael Future Growth Areas ............................................................ 12-129 Table 33: City of San Rafael Legal and Regulatory Capabilities ........................................ 12-132 Table 34: City of San Rafael General Plan ........................................................................ 12-135 Table 35: City of San Rafael Administrative and Technical Capabilities ............................. 12-137 Table 36: City of San Rafael Fiscal Capabilities ................................................................ 12-138 Table 37: City of San Rafael Community Outreach ........................................................... 12-139 Table 38: City of San Rafael NFIP Status.......................................................................... 12-142 Table 39: Status of Previous Hazard Mitigation Actions..................................................... 12-146 Table 40: City of San Rafael Current Hazard Mitigation Actions ........................................ 12-154 l ~'?UN. TY OF
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ACRONYMS/ABBREVIATIONS
Acronym Definition
ABAG Association Bay Area of Governments
ADU Accessory Dwelling Units
AQI Air Quality Index
ARP Address Resolution Protocol
ASL American Sign Language
ATSDR Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry
BAAQMD Bay Area Air Quality Management District
BCDC Bay Conservation and Development Commission
BCEGS Building Code Effectiveness Grading Schedule
BCPUD Bolinas Community Public Utility District
BFE Base Flood Elevation
BRIC Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities
CA California
CAC Community Assistance Contact
CAL FIRE California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection Cal OES California Office of Emergency Services
CAP Climate Action Plan
CASPER Community Assessment for Public Health Emergency Response - California Department of Public Health
CAV Community Assistance Visit
CDAA California Disaster Assistance Act
CDC Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
CDI Certified Deaf Interpreter
CEQA California Environmental Quality Act
CERT Community Emergency Response Team
CGS California Geological Survey
CIP Capital Improvement Plan
CIR Conservation Incentive Rate
CITR Conservation Incentive Tier Rate
CMFD Central Marin Fire District
CMSA Central Marin Sanitation Agency
CNRA California Natural Resource Agency
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CO Carbon Monoxide
COVID-19 Coronavirus Disease 2019
COYL Coyote Creek Left Bank Levee
CPUC California Public Utilities Commission
CRF Community Risk Factor
CRI Community Resilience Index
CRS Community Rating System
CRT Community Response Team
CSA County Service Area
C-SMART Sea-level Marin Adaption Response Team
CWPP Community Wildfire Protection Plan
DDoS Distributed Denial of Service
DMA Disaster Mitigation Act
DNS Domain Name System
DOF California Department of Finance
DoS Denial-of-Service
DPW Department of Public Works
DR Disaster Relief
DSOD Division of Safety of Dams - California Department of Water Resources DWR California Department of Water Resources
EAL Expected Annual Loss
EAS Emergency Alert System
ECC Emergency Command Center
EOC Emergency Operation Center
EOP Emergency Operations Plan
EPA Environmental Protection Agency
EPC Emergency Preparedness Commission
ESHA Environmentally Sensitive Habitat Areas
FD Fire Department
FEMA Federal Emergency Management Agency
FHSV Fire Hazard Severity Zones
FIRM Flood Insurance Rate Maps
FMA Flood Mitigation Assistance
FMP Flood Mitigation Plan
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FOG Fats, Oils, & Grease
FPA Floodplain Administrator
FRA Federal Responsibility Areas
FY Fiscal Year
GGBHTD Golden Gate Bridge, Highway and Transportation District GGNRA Golden Gate National Recreation Area
GGNRA Golden Gate National Recreation Area
GIS Geographic Information System
Gov Government
GPAC General Plan Advisory Committee
H2S Hydrogen Sulfide
HFHSZ High Fire Severity Zone
HIRA Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment
HIV/AIDS Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome HLR Historic Loss Ratio
HMGP Hazard Mitigation Grant Program
IoT Internet of Things
IP Intellectual Property
IPAWS Integrated Public Alert and Warning System
IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
ISEPA Identified Site Emergency Planning Application
JPA Joint Powers Agreement
LCP Local Coastal Program
LGVSD Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District
LHMP Local Hazard Mitigation Plan
LOMA Letters of Map Amendment
LOMR Letters of Map Revision
LRA Local Responsibility Areas
LRAD Long-Range Acoustic Device
LSAC Levee Safety Action Classification
Marin IJ Marin Independent Journal
MCEP Marin Climate Energy Partnership
MCFD Marin County Fire Department
MCOSD Marin County Open Space District
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MCPIO Marin County Public Information Officers
MCSTOPP Marin County Stormwater Pollution Prevention Program MERA Marin Emergency Radio Authority
MERS Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome
MFHSZ Moderate Fire Severity Zone
MG Million Gallons
MGD Million Gallons Per Day
MHOAC Medical/Health Operational Area Coordinator
MHW Mean High Water
MJHMP Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan
MMI Modified Mercalli Intensity
MMRC Marin Medical Reserve Corps
MMWD Marin Municipal Water District
MRZ Mineral Resource Zones
MV2040 Mill Valley General Plan 2040
Mw Scale Moment Magnitude Scale
MWPA Marin Wildfire Prevention Authority
NASA National Aeronautics and Space Administration
NCDC National Climatic Data Center
NEPA National Environmental Policy Act
NFDRS National Fire Danger Rating System
NFIP National Flood Insurance Program
NID National Inventory of Dams
NIH National Institute for Health
NMWD North Marin Water District
NPDES National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System
NPR Northwestern Pacific Railroad
NR National Register of Historic Places
NRI National Risk Index
NWS National Weather Service
O3 Ozone
OA Operational Area
OEM Office of Emergency Management
OHP Office of Historic Preservation
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OWTA On-Site Wastewater Treatment Systems
PD Police Department
PG&E Pacific Gas & Electric
PM10 Particulate Matter Less Than 10 Microns In Aerodynamic Diameter PSPS Public Safety Power shutoffs
PtH Pass the hash
PUD Public Utility District
PW Public Works
RACES Radio Amateur Civil Emergency Service
RAWS Remote Automated Weather Stations
RCD Resource Conservation District
RHNA Regional Housing Needs Assessment
RTP Regional Transportation Plan
SASM Sewerage Agency of Southern Marin
SFBRA San Francisco Bay Restoration Authority
SFHA Special Flood Hazard Area
SFHA Special Flood Hazard Areas - FEMA
SFHA Special Flood Hazard Area
SHMP State Hazard Mitigation Plan
SHSGP State Homeland Security Grant Program
SMART Sonoma Marin Area Rail Transit
SMCSD Sausalito Marin City Sanitary District
SMFD Southern Marin Fire District
SOD Sudden Oak Death
SOX Sulfur Oxides
SQL Structured Query Language
SR State Route
SRA State Responsibility Areas
SSMP Sewer System Management Plan
SVI Social Vulnerability Index
TAM Transportation Authority of Marin
TBD To Be Determined
TENS Telephone Emergency Notification System
UCERF2 Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 l ~'?UN. TY OF
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UCERF3 Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 USACE U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
USGS United States Geological Survey
UWMP Urban Water Management Plan
VHFHSV Very High Fire Severity Zone
VMP Vegetation Management Plans
WC/ATWC West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Warning Center
WHO World Health Organization
WSCP Water Shortage Contingency Plan
WUI Wildland Urban Interface
WWTP Waste Water Treatment Plant
XSS Cross-Site Scripting
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U.S. Department of Homeland Security
FEMA Region 9
1111 Broadway, Suite 1200
Oakland, CA 94607-4052
www.fema.gov
July 3, 2024
Steven Torrence
Director of Emergency Management
Marin County Office of Emergency Management
1600 Los Gamos Drive, Suite #301
San Rafael, CA 94903
Dear Steven Torrence:

The Marin County Operational Area Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan 2023 has been amended to include the following jurisdictions as an official planning participants:
• City of Belvedere
• Town of Fairfax
• City of Larkspur
• City of Mill Valley
• City of Novato
• Town of Ross
• Town of San Anselmo
• City of San Rafael
• Town of Tiburon
• Bolinas Community Public Utility District
• Las Gallinas Valley Sanitary District
• North Marin Water District
• Southern Marin Fire Protection District
These jurisdictions must submit an adoption resolution to FEMA in order to be considered fully approved.

FEMA’s approval of the Marin County Operational Area Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan 2023 remains for a period of five years from the original approval date of January 31, 2024 for all approved participants. An updated list of the status of current participating jurisdictions is enclosed with this letter.

Prior to January 31, 2029, Marin County and all participating jurisdictions are required to review and revise the plan to reflect changes in development, progress in local mitigation efforts, and changes in priorities, and resubmit it for approval in order to continue to be eligible for mitigation project grant funding.

FEMA
Marin County Hazard Mitigation Plan Amendment Notice
July 3, 2024

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