Figure 15: Projected Change in Employment by Economic Sector; Wildomar; 202 to 2042
Source: PlaceWorks, 2023.
0 200 400 600 800 1,000
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and…
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and…
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional, Scientific, and…
Management of Companies and…
Administration & Support, Waste…
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Arts, Entertainment, and…
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (excluding Public…
Public Administration
365
Wildomar General Plan Update Market Study Technical Memorandum DRAFT June 29, 2023 Page 24
5B. Development Demand
To project the demand for non-residential development, other than retail and food services (which were projected in the previous section), the analysis allocates the projected job growth into three major land use categories:
Commercial (excluding retail and food services; includes uses like lodging, auto sales, consumer banking, and so forth), Office, including medical office, and Industrial. Applying generalized assumptions for the amount of building square footage per employee, the analysis estimates the amount of building space that would be needed to accommodate the projected growth in employment.
Not all of the projected employment is allocated to these land use types.
Construction jobs are counted at the place of business, not where actual construction work occurs. And many construction jobs are part of small businesses that are operated from the business owner’s home., Thus a portion of the construction jobs are not allocated to commercial, office, or industrial land uses. A large portion of the jobs (nearly 50 percent) in the Administration & support, waste management and remediation sector are temporary employment jobs. These jobs are counted at the place of business of the temporary employment firm and not at the location where the work actually occurs. It is not possible to know where these jobs occur. Finally, some of the jobs in the projected employment are public sector jobs, include most education and hospital jobs.
The potential market demand for non-residential development is provided in Table 7. If past trends in employment growth continue over the next 20 years, the analysis projects that the market could support the development of up to 92,600 square feet of commercial building space (in addition to the retail and food services building space projected in the previous section), 243,000 sq. ft. of offices (primarily medical office), and 294,000 sq. ft. of industrial building space (primarily light industrial, flex space, and manufacturing, but also include a small amount of warehousing).
It is currently anticipated that medical office will be minimally impacted by work-from-home trends, but other office-based businesses could be. Thus the projected office demand could be somewhat lower. In addition, the Southern California region lacks sufficient land planned and zoned for industrial uses needed to accommodate warehousing growth. If the community’s vision includes warehousing, then there could be substantially more demand for industrial building space than shown in Table 7, which reflects past industrial development.
Table 7: Building Space Market Potential (GFA, sq. ft.) by Land Use Type (excluding retail sales and food services); Wildomar; 2022 to 2042 Land Use
Category
20-Year
Employment
Growth
Typical
Building GFA
(sq. ft.) per
Employee
Total Market
Potential (GFA,
sq. ft.)
Commercial 310 300 92,600
Office 690 350 243,000
Industrial 330 900 294,000
Total 1,330 629,600
Source: PlaceWorks, 2023.
366
Wildomar General Plan Update Market Study Technical Memorandum DRAFT June 29, 2023 Page 25
Appendix
The following tables provide underlying data used in the analyses for this report. 367
Wildomar General Plan Update Market Study Technical Memorandum DRAFT June 29, 2023 Page 26
Table A-1: Number of Households; Wildomar and Comparison Jurisdictions; 2010 to 2022 Wildoma
r
Lake
Elsinore Menifee Murrieta Corona Moreno
Valley
Temecul
a
Los
Angeles
County
Orange
County
Riverside
County
San
Bernardi
no
County
Ventura
County
2010 9,992 14,788 27,461 32,749 44,950 51,592 31,781 3,239,28 0 990,019 686,260 611,618 266,920
2011 10,033 14,861 27,934 32,815 44,967 51,639 32,024 3,243,77 8 993,765 690,108 613,585 267,422
2012 10,085 14,990 28,291 32,895 45,087 51,834 32,393 3,248,21 1 995,490 693,652 615,977 267,942
2013 10,299 15,559 28,947 33,088 45,582 52,112 32,881 3,253,26 4 999,053 700,851 619,922 268,251
2014 10,446 15,874 29,352 33,134 46,043 52,180 33,183 3,262,58 2 1,005,56
8 705,811 622,609 269,338
2015 10,541 16,289 29,806 33,434 46,101 52,275 33,842 3,274,74 2 1,011,68
9 711,185 625,567 270,413
2016 10,595 16,800 30,352 33,520 46,265 52,363 34,063 3,287,52 8 1,017,53
9 717,126 629,119 271,708
2017 10,768 17,038 30,900 34,091 47,012 52,519 34,261 3,305,78 4 1,025,32
4 723,337 633,599 272,567
2018 10,945 17,309 31,569 34,406 47,421 53,024 34,471 3,321,37 9 1,034,72
4 730,218 638,633 272,979
2019 11,080 17,493 32,469 34,676 47,614 53,486 34,576 3,340,82 1 1,044,23
6 737,020 642,806 274,135
2020 11,126 17,614 33,348 35,150 48,100 53,998 34,623 3,360,40 2 1,051,15
3 744,644 645,798 275,693
2021 11,146 17,949 34,256 35,361 48,444 54,188 34,719 3,382,89 6 1,058,09
0 751,584 649,259 276,493
2022 11,292 20,825 36,308 35,874 48,374 56,447 36,070 3,443,28 4 1,084,16
8 773,390 675,032 280,427
2010–
2022 1,300 6,037 8,847 3,125 3,424 4,855 4,289 204,004 94,149 87,130 63,414 13,507 368
Wildomar General Plan Update Market Study Technical Memorandum DRAFT June 29, 2023 Page 27
Annual
Rate 1.02% 2.89% 2.35% 0.76% 0.61% 0.75% 1.06% 0.51% 0.76% 1.00% 0.83% 0.41% Source: PlaceWorks, 2023, using data from the California Department of Finance. 369
Wildomar General Plan Update Market Study Technical Memorandum DRAFT June 29, 2023 Page 28
Table A-2: Total Population by Single Year of Age; Riverside County; 2020 Estimate and 2045 Projection Age 2020 2045 Age 2020 2045 Age 2020 2045
0 28,549 27,090 32 30,598 35,328 64 27,089 32,648
1 28,230 27,189 33 29,541 35,480 65 26,663 32,621
2 29,573 28,018 34 29,499 36,095 66 25,066 31,482
3 31,410 28,731 35 29,587 35,526 67 23,632 31,095
4 31,757 29,492 36 29,741 36,577 68 22,421 31,348
5 32,479 30,508 37 30,021 38,061 69 22,007 30,974
6 32,244 30,742 38 29,713 38,368 70 21,737 32,077
7 31,889 31,050 39 30,303 38,167 71 20,766 31,340
8 31,907 31,008 40 30,092 37,534 72 20,703 31,294
9 32,937 31,374 41 28,379 37,523 73 20,130 31,784
10 32,243 31,896 42 28,063 37,061 74 17,022 32,223
11 33,601 32,283 43 28,098 36,784 75 16,434 32,588
12 35,307 32,706 44 27,712 37,536 76 15,772 31,194
13 35,622 32,537 45 28,776 38,169 77 14,886 29,761
14 35,263 33,044 46 28,235 37,766 78 13,294 28,414
15 35,716 34,794 47 28,645 38,022 79 11,992 28,405
16 35,646 34,476 48 29,548 38,268 80 11,588 28,802
17 34,931 34,510 49 30,802 39,132 81 10,414 27,660
18 35,996 35,387 50 31,710 38,660 82 9,565 26,449
19 37,273 35,743 51 30,892 38,926 83 8,740 24,862
20 37,587 35,794 52 29,573 39,103 84 8,162 23,945
21 36,570 34,937 53 28,773 38,169 85 7,607 23,018
22 36,123 34,362 54 29,351 36,860 86 6,625 20,814
23 35,834 33,950 55 30,653 35,191 87 5,980 18,785
24 35,882 33,317 56 30,496 33,745 88 5,400 17,100
25 35,025 33,077 57 30,558 32,787 89 5,008 15,595
26 35,329 32,963 58 29,724 31,849 90 4,408 14,455
27 36,167 33,990 59 30,152 31,949 91 3,468 11,729
28 35,789 35,609 60 30,189 32,030 92 2,849 9,583
29 34,907 35,844 61 28,601 32,459 93 2,425 8,014
30 33,623 36,094 62 28,181 32,719 94 1,966 6,711
31 31,906 35,872 63 27,843 32,238 95 1,426 5,512
370
Wildomar General Plan Update Market Study Technical Memorandum DRAFT June 29, 2023 Page 29
Age 2020 2045 Age 2020 2045 Age 2020 2045
96 1,152 4,265 101 13 901 106 1 86
97 723 3,401 102 7 640 107 1 52
98 471 2,584 103 2 425 108 3 25
99 214 1,845 104 5 272 109 7 15
100 61 1,346 105 2 191 110+ 28 17
Source: California Department of Finance.
371
Figure 2.3
Proposed Roadway Classification
Wildomar Mobility Plan
Scott Rd
Murrie at Rd
Lakeshore Dr
Corydon Rd
Grand Ave
Clinton Keith Rd
Mission Trl
Palomar St
Washington Ave
Jefferson Ave
Jackson Ave
Nutmeg St
Hancock Ave
Prielipp Rd
California
§¨¦15
§¨¦215
² Lake
Elsinore
City of
Lake Elsinore
City of
Menifee
City of
Murrieta
Oaks Rd
0 0.5 Miles 1
Bundy Canyon R
Lemon St d Orange St
Palomar St
Monte Vista Dr
Hills Rd
Canyon
Cottonwood
Canyon Rd
Gruwell St
Salida Yamas
Dr
Hidden
Springs Rd
Malaga Rd
McVicar St
Del Sol
La Estre lla St
The Farm
Rd
Sheila Ln
Wildomar Trail
Wildomar Trail
Wildomar Trail
Bayless Rd De p asqua
Rd le
Jana Ln
Elizabeth Ln
Stable
Lanes Rd
Wyman
Rd Gateway Dr
Susan Dr
Bunny
Trl
Hidden Trl
Skylark Dr
Grape St
Future
Commercial Dwy
Lost Rd
Inland Valley Dr
Proposed Roadway Classification & Median Treatment
Primary Arterial (6-Ln)
Major Arterial (4-Ln)
Minor Arterial (4-Ln)
Collector (2-Ln)
Raised
Raised or Striped or
Center Left-Turn Lane
None (Left-Turn
Pocket, as needed)
None (Left-Turn
Pocket, as needed)
Bundy Canyon Rd
Wildomar General Plan Update: Current Mobility Element Network 372 6-Ln
4-Ln
2-Ln
2-Ln
4-Ln
6-Ln
2-Ln
2-Ln
2-Ln
2-Ln
4-Ln
4-Ln
4-Ln
2-Ln
4-Ln
6-Ln
2-Ln
4-Ln
4-Ln
6-Ln
4-Ln
2-Ln
2-Ln
Wildomar General Plan Update: Proposed Mobility Element Network Proposed Network 2023 Scott Rd
Murrie at Rd
Lakeshore Dr
Corydon Rd
Grand Ave
Clinton Keith Rd
Mission Trl
Palomar St
Washington Ave
Jefferson Ave
Jackson Ave
Nutmeg St
Hancock Ave
Prielipp Rd
Cali of rnia
§¨¦15
§¨¦215
² Lake
Elsinore
City of
Lake Elsinore
City of
Menifee
City of
Murrieta
Oaks Rd
0 0.5 1 Miles
Bundy Canyon Rd
Lemon St
Orange St
Palomar St
Lost Rd
Hills Rd
Canyon
Cottonwood
Canyon Rd
Gruwell St
Salid
D
a
e p asqua
Rd le
Yamas
Dr
Inland Valley Dr
Malaga Rd
McVicar St
Del Sol
La Estre lla St
Wildomar Trail
Wildomar Trail
Wildomar Trail
Monte Vista Dr
Bundy Canyon Rd
Hidd en Springs Rd Gateway
Dr
Walnut St
Como St
Catt Rd
Waite St A ml ond St
4-Ln
Sauer
Rd
Oak
Circle Dr
Sunset Ave
Olive St
Grape St
Proposed Roadway Classification & Median Treatment
Primary Arterial (6-Ln)
Major Arterial (4-Ln)
Minor Arterial (4-Ln)
Collector (2-Ln)
Raised
Raised or Striped or
Center Left-Turn Lane
None (Left-Turn
Pocket, as needed)
None (Left-Turn
Pocket, as needed)
Rural Collector (2-Ln) None
#-Ln Number of Travel Lanes
Potential Connections
Wesley St
Bryant St
373
Proposed General Plan Update
Study Session
City Council Meeting
July 18, 2023
374
Agenda
1. Project Overview and Schedule
2. Overview of Outreach Activities
3. Land Use Plan Development and Process
4. Focus Areas
5. Proposed Land Use Plan
6. Proposed Roadway Network Updates
7. Next Steps
375
Project Schedule
LAND
USE &
CIRC
PLANS
VISION
STATEMENT
/GUIDING
PRINCIPLES
GOALS
AND
POLICIES
PUBLIC
HEARINGS
AND
ADOPTION
JUNE 2022 –
JAN 2023
AUG 2022 –
JULY 2023
SUMMER/FALL
2023 LATE 2023 EARLY 2024
PROGRAM
EIR
EXISTING
CONDITIONS
MAR 2022 –
JUNE 2022
376
Outreach Efforts
377
• General Plan Advisory Group Meetings • 6/16/22 – Visioning • 9/15/22 – Land Use and Focus Areas • 10/10/22 – Land Use and Focus Areas Part 2 • 2/2/23 – Preferred Land Use Plan • 3/30/23 – Circulation • Community Pop-ups • 6/14/22 – Coffee w/ the City • 7/19/22 – Wildomar’s 14th Birthday Celebration • 9/17/22 – Mariachi Night • Citywide Workshops (In-person & Virtual) • 6/22 - Visioning, Land Use, Open Space, Circulation • 11/22 – Land Use and Focus Areas • Surveys • 6-8/22 – Visioning • 11/22–1/23 – Land Use and Focus Areas • Stakeholder Interviews • 6-8/22 – 15 Interviews • Project Website • 2,900 unique visitors since launch on 6/14/22 Outreach Efforts
378
Land Use Plan
Development and
Process
379
Current General Plan Land Use
380
Preliminary Land Use Changes
• The land use map was
reconfigured to align to parcel
lines
• Land Uses were streamlined to
more accurately reflect
Wildomar’s Specific needs and
eliminate redundancy
• Rural Community residential
designations were combined with
the lowest density Community
Development designations
• Medium High Density and High
Density Residential categories
were consolidated
381
Key Changes to LU Designations
Current General Plan Designations Proposed General Plan Designations 382
Mixed-Use Designations (New)
Mixed Use Low (MUL) Mixed Use High (MUH)
Minimum Lot Size No Minimum 2 Acres
Residential Density 5-30 du/ac 30-40 du/ac
Non-Residential Intensity (max) 1.0 FAR 2.0 FAR
Format
Vertical or Horizontal
(vertical unlikely) Vertical or Horizontal
Residential Requirement 0 - 100% 30-50%
Non-Residential Requirement 0 - 100% 50-70%
383
Preliminary Land Use Changes
• Land uses were updated
to reflect on the ground
uses, current densities,
and consistent application
of the Public Facilities
designation
384
Focus Areas
385
Areas Unlikely to Change
• Areas unlikely to change
include:
• Lower density residential
neighborhoods
• Open Spaces
• Conserved Lands and
Habitat Conservation
Areas
386
• Areas where change is
more likely to occur or
where the City may want
to proactively guide
change
• Areas of potential change
include higher density
residential uses and
commercial uses that
could be developed or
redeveloped to support
economic development
Areas of Potential Change
387
Areas of Potential Change General Plan Overview
388
Areas of Potential Change General Plan Overview
389
Areas of Potential Change General Plan Overview
390
Focus Areas for Consideration General Plan Overview
391
Focus Areas for Consideration
• GPAG reviewed
preliminary changes and
provided input on focus
areas
392
Focus Area Concepts
• Conceptual land use options
were developed for each of the
9 focus areas
• Community input was solicited
to determine preferred
concepts
• Citywide Workshop #2 – 39
Attendees
• Online Survey – 239 Survey
Responses
Example Focus Area Concepts
393
• Approximately 6% of
all parcels changed
land uses in and
adjacent to focus
areas
Focus Area Recommendations
394
• Mixed Use Low allows
for Commercial or
Residential along
Mission Trail, consistent
with current uses
• Maximum density for
residential uses lowered
to align with on the
ground density
395
• Mixed Use Low allows
flexibility for
residential or
commercial uses in
this area
• Mixed Use High is
appropriate for
parcels larger than 2
acres
396
• Most of area maintained
for commercial/retail
use
• Mixed Use Low allows
flexibility for transitional
uses
• Medium Density
Residential is
appropriate adjacent to
Elsinore HS and
adjacent residential
uses
397
• Commercial uses
maintained in Old
Town core
398
• Mixed Use High
provides a mix of
residential and
commercial uses on
large vacant parcels
with freeway access
399
• Mix of uses allowed
along Clinton Keith
• Residential areas
allow uses consistent
with adjacent
developed
neighborhoods
400
• Mixed Use High allows
for maximum
flexibility for large
vacant property
adjacent to the City’s
commercial heart
• Future Specific Plan
will allow for
consideration of a
more fine-grained
distribution of uses
401
• Light Industrial allows
for small scale
manufacturing and
complimentary
commercial uses
• Potential economic
engine for the City
402
• Preserves existing
commercial and
allows residential uses
consistent with
existing adjacent
neighborhoods
403
Proposed Land
Use Plan
404
Proposed Land Use Plan
405
Areas of Change
406
Key Changes
407
Key Changes
408
Outside of Focus Areas
• Land uses were changed to
better reflect on the ground
uses
• Residential areas changed to
better match current density
• Consistently applied PF
designation to public schools
and cemetery
• Consistently applied OS-R to
City Parks
• These changes affect 2% of all
parcels in the City
409
• The areas highlighted
reflect proposed MHDR
Designations (5-14 du/ac)
• These areas were
previously either MHDR
(5-8 du/ac) or HDR (8-14
du/ac)
• These changes only affect
2% of all parcels in the
City
Slightly Expand Middle Density Housing Range
410
GPAG and Plans in Progress
• Less than 1% percent of
all parcels changed land
uses as recommended by
the General Plan Advisory
Group and to align with
plans in progress
411
Planning Commission Recommendations
• Special study sessions
were held with the
Planning Commission on
4/19/23 and 5/24/23
• The Planning
Commission proposed
land use changes and
recommends the
preferred land use plan
be considered by City
Council
412
Land Use Distribution
(11,672 acres)
(113 acres)
(999 acres)
(547 acres)
(194 acres)
(148 acres)
(11,519 acres)
(421 acres)
(565 acres)
(621 acres)
(313 acres)
(235 acres)
413
Buildout Estimates
Existing No Project
(Current GP)
Proposed
GP
Change:
No Project Over
Existing
Change:
Proposed Over
Existing
Change:
Proposed Over
No Project
Dwelling Units 11,988 19,284 21,057 7,297 (+61%) 9,069 (+76%) 1,773 (+9%) Population 37,326 60,045 65,565 22,719 (+61%) 28,239 (+76%) 5,520 (+9%) NonResidential SF 2,992,377 4,252,115 5,950,666 1,259,738 (+42%) 2,958,289 (+99%) 1,698,551 (+40%) Employment 5,841 9,516 12,097 3,675 (+63%) 6,256 (+109%) 2,581 (+27%) 414
Proposed Roadway
Network
415
Current Roadway Network
As shown in Mobility Element
approved in 2021
416
Proposed Roadway Network
417
Proposed Roadway Network
New Collector Roadways were
added to provide more
connectivity between
residential neighborhoods and
the City’s main Arterials
418
Proposed Roadway Network
New Collector Roadways were
added to provide more
connectivity between
residential neighborhoods and
the City’s main Arterials
A new roadway classification
“Rural Collector” was
introduced
419
Proposed Roadway Network
New Collector Roadways were
added to provide more
connectivity between
residential neighborhoods and
the City’s main Arterials
A new roadway classification
“Rural Collector” was
introduced
Potential connections were
introduced across major
barriers in the City such as
Interstate 15 or the hills
between Bundy Canyon Road
420
Proposed Roadway Network New Collector Roadways were
added to provide more
connectivity between
residential neighborhoods and
the City’s main Arterials
A new roadway classification
“Rural Collector” was
introduced
Potential connections were
introduced across major
barriers in the City such as
Interstate 15 or the hills
between Bundy Canyon Road
Removal of roadways from the
Mobility Element due to
feasibility issues or because the
roadway does not provide
major connectivity benefits
421
Proposed Roadway Network New Collector Roadways were
added to provide more
connectivity between
residential neighborhoods and
the City’s main Arterials
A new roadway classification
“Rural Collector” was
introduced
Potential connections were
introduced across major
barriers in the City such as
Interstate 15 or the hills
between Bundy Canyon Road
Removal of roadways from the
Mobility Element due to
feasibility issues or because the
roadway does not provide
major connectivity benefits
Re-alignment of Inland Valley
Drive and Hidden Springs Road 422
Next Steps
Goal and Policy Development (Summer/Fall)
GPAG Meeting #5 on Goals and Policies (Fall)
Public Workshop #3 on Goals and Policies (Fall)
Environmental Review (Summer-Winter)
Development Code (Summer-Winter)
Public Hearings are Anticipated in March 2024+/-
423
Thank You
424